Why I'm Flip Flopping Again.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
you know i always thought it would be
cool to be a clown because i think i'm
quite funny and especially as a kid i
told everyone i wanted to be a comedian
and everyone laughed at me now no one's
laughing at me anymore but i wanted to
make this video because the truth is i
did paper hand and i'll explain in this
video exactly why i'm a flip-flopping
paper-handed weenie baby bear clown but
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kevin for xero fees so why did i paper
hand well i paper-handed because j-pal
scared the out of me and i
paper-handed i didn't get margin called
i have about four million dollars in
taxable stock gains from 2021 and having
just sold have another about four
million in taxable stockings in 2022
already and hopefully a lot more to come
now my portfolio did lose a chunk of
value measuring from the third week of
november to well now but honestly if you
measured from the beginning of october
to now it's
not that vastly different those three
weeks in november were pretty wild and
honestly it was more like a little bump
in the road that of course everybody
wishes they could have sold at the top
at but you can't be perfect and time the
market all the time
but honestly like i said three weeks
earlier my portfolio wasn't far off with
the exception of a firm well
for that one that probably needs a video
of its own but at this point i'm
preserving capital because i really
believe the fed is going to rake us over
the coals they're going to ream us so
hard and i don't want to get dreamed now
even though i flip-flopped because of
j-pal particularly the fomc minutes that
came out on january 5th which scared the
crap out of me in fact i covered it live
and i panicked live in that video i
think i had like a 50-minute breakdown
like not like a breakdown of the minutes
even though it was a breakdown of the
minutes but like also like a physical
and mental breakdown it was uh 54
minutes long and it's titled the fed
just crashed stocks the worst report yet
in case you want to watch it
that that
like putting the pieces of the puzzle
back together that's what set me off but
the problem is i didn't do anything with
my portfolio because i've been so damn
programmed to just buy the dip all the
time
by the dip like i became the meme of by
the dip and literally been buying the
dip for the last 12 years in both stocks
and real estate like that's that's just
what i do and it quite honestly it took
16 days to fully realize what the f was
about to happen now i realized obviously
i could be wrong going forward and i
don't recommend anybody trying to try to
time the market even though i believe we
could be in for a big cyclical rotation
where we go from the top of a cycle to
the bottom of a cycle and i just want to
move from the top half to the bottom
half in cash uh i vapor ended like a
little weeny because well quite
frankly i think shit's gonna hit the fan
much worse so right now i'm 95 cash 4.99
gold
[Laughter]
and like 0.1 percent some other stuff i
do still have stocks and i do still hold
amc and again i didn't get margin called
i do still have 24 million dollars in
real estate though but that's also a
topic for a different video and that's
in addition to that percentage i just
talked about which is about another 20
mil so anyway uh it's worth talking
about flip-flopping so after i tried to
uh well basically gamble on the federal
reserve meeting which was literally
going full
and i mean this in like the wall street
bets terminology full betting on
short term options on small caps like
literally stupid i literally wrote in my
alerts
in my stocks in psychology and money
group do not do this i am going full
like i literally wrote that that
i'm going hard on on this bet it was a
total freaking gamble uh and i lost more
money uh betting on these short term
options which is very stupid and i knew
that going in but i didn't listen to
myself so it's kind of like i do as i
say not as i do thing now i don't think
there's an excuse for that kind of
behavior because i'm supposed to be an
example but at least i acknowledged it
when it happened uh and i do think the
reason for that like if there's any
justification was honestly because i was
a bit shell-shocked because i really
like it's so weird to go from 12 years
of by the dip to flip to now being a
bear and everybody hating you because
nobody likes bears but anyway uh you
know
and again i i don't think that uh you
know you know by the dip is over or
whatever for me it is okay like i just
can't buy the dip right now not now i
will buy the dip when the fed u-turns
which right now they're you turning
against us not towards us i want a
u-turn towards us that's when i buy the
dip but what i do want to do is oh my
gosh there's an earthquake happening
right now
oh that was so cool
oh my gosh that's like one of the first
earthquakes that i think i've ever felt
in california that was
amazing that was really cool okay but
anyway
well
i hope there's not another one but
anyway so uh let's let me talk about
flip-flopping so
uh i decided that i am a flip-flopper i
i think it's actually a good good
representation so i think weenie baby
and flip-flopper and all this is
actually appropriate because really the
only thing that i haven't flipped on in
my life is lauren i wanted to start a
taxi company in 2008 in high school
because i thought it was stupid how hard
it was to call a taxi and get a ride
like i hated waiting for a car and like
i wish taxis were easier to get i really
wish i had turned that into an app in
2008 but i flip-flopped on that idea
before i could ever think about that
then i switched high schools four times
because i'm a flip-flopper then i wanted
to become a cop but i flip-flopped on
that i also flip-flopped on every guild
i was ever a part of and flipped my way
up to a top 10 guild by flip-flopping so
much in world of warcraft and then i
sold my account for 1900 in 2008 because
i flip-flopped only to flip-flop again
and played later that year even though i
was really good at other games as well
like counter-strike splinter cell halo
and runescape nowhere near as good as
world of warcraft i never really got
great at those games because i spent too
much time flip-flopping between those
four
in 2008 i decided to become a youtuber
so my first video in 2008 and this is
wild but it's true my first video in
2008
was a video that is still on youtube it
is called
heroes of talara what we know video one
it is a game review from 2008
uh but then of course i flip-flopped on
youtube and didn't really ever make any
more videos until like 2018 when it was
popular to be a youtuber
i also never wanted to be a real estate
agent and i told myself i'd only become
an agent to learn how to invest
and then i became a real estate agent so
i flip flopped on that i also
flip-flopped on college by almost
dropping out to be an agent full-time
because it was going so well and the
only reason i didn't flip-flop out of
college was because i ended up
flip-flopping into a different major
which was quite frankly easier and
allowed me to sell more real estate now
ucla had a policy against flip-flopping
majors for transfer students because
they didn't want people to like get in
under let's say like an art degree or
something and then flip-flop into like a
business degree or whatever uh but i
bitched my way through the dean's office
and well whatever offices i needed to
get through until they actually wrote a
new policy and let you down flip so as
long as you were down flipping at
college you were good
i then got my lending license while
selling real estate after becoming a
real estate agent and real estate broker
i got my lending license to do loans for
people so they had money to fix up their
homes before selling them but because
there was so much risk involved with
lending people my own money i
flip-flopped on that because it was
stupid risky i then got my contractor's
license and offered clients to fix up
their homes before we sold their homes
and while that business cost me about
one million dollars and i made a video
on youtube called how i lost a million
dollars on my business
and also lost the 15 employees the
sprinter brand the warehouse and a ton
of equipment
no i guess i wouldn't really say lost
that part because i just kind of ended
that part and sold what we could but
anyway i flip-flopped on that business
because it was a money-losing cancerous
business i don't recommend construction
for anyone
uh unless you're a briefcase contractor
and you can sub everything out
then i got my drone license to do
licensed drone photography but when i
realized that wasn't profitable i
flip-flopped on that i also did my own
actual home photography but when i
started making more money i flip-flopped
on that business as well and started
hiring other people to do it
which uh yeah basically
lots of flip-flopping but we're not done
yet see recently uh during the pandemic
i bought a house in santa barbara that i
went to a court
auction for but after one year of hell
with the city i ended up selling the
property for 150 000 profit just
recently and i did nothing to it other
than making it worse
uh that's because i flip-flopped and
didn't really want to deal with the city
of santa barbara anymore then i made a
youtube video saying i'd never sell it
courses which i definitely flip-flopped
on that i sell some amazing courses do
as i say not as i do and buy those
courses
uh but anyway then i made a youtube
video saying i would never sell
specifically a stock course which i also
then proceeded to flip-flop on then i'm
pretty sure i said i'd never take a
sponsorship in my life for a video that
i would just be my own sponsor and only
be sponsored by my courses and i
flip-flopped on that which definitely
reminds me to make sure to remind you to
go check out the link to titan in the
description down below i then bought
like stocks like peloton at thirty to
sixty dollars and then flip-flopped on
them because i saw metrics failing uh
fortunately i got out of peloton at like
113 dollars which is really good but i
definitely lost money on a firm now uh i
said not to buy new cars well i
flip-flopped on that hardcore and i
bought a lucid dream and i regret it i
always say i regret every single card
that i buy i bought a tesla model s
plaid i regret it that was stupid but
anyway do i say not as i do i'm a
flip-flopper now i said i was going to
buy a jet plane you might not know this
yet i was going to buy a jet plane for
23.5 million dollars
i don't want to talk about it okay
different video but anyway i
flip-flopped on that and lost 50 000 on
the deposit and well now i'm selling all
my because i'm a flip-flopping
weenie baby paper hander but i think the
bottom line of this is every time i
flip-flop i believe that personally i'm
making the right decision to increase
profit and success in my life and so far
being a flip-flopping weenie baby
is working out quite well so if you want
to subscribe to see where this
flip-flopping journey takes us hopefully
we can flip our way flip-flop our way to
the top and uh well subscribe to enjoy
more flip-flopping thanks so much
goodbye
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