The Bed Bath and Beyond Meme Stock *Wipeout.*
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Bed Bath and Beyond absolute and complete disaster and it shows you the
danger of investing in momentum movers and actually trying to hoddle momentum
movers now look I'm not here to bag on Bed Bath and Beyond I like my 20 off
coupons as much as the next person and I grew up as a millennial going to Bed
Bath and Beyond and buying you know Oxo stuff and the KitchenAid mixers you know
and the towels they always had so much inventory of towels it was so cool so I
want that color this season and that color that's I miss the good old days of
retail stores and Bed Bath and Beyond it's nostalgic it's it's just as
nostalgic and being in line at GameStop for the midnight release of every single
version of World of Warcraft okay or Splinter Cell okay it didn't matter what
midnight released it was Call of Duty I was there it reminds me of the good old
days of Black Friday where there's so many people in the store you felt like
you were on a Japanese Subway and you were about to suffocate to death because
there were so many people there or you are in a South Korean alley okay no too
soon for that so anyway look we got to know what's going on with Bed Bath and
Beyond because the darn stock ran up almost a double and one of the biggest
warnings that I've had is when it comes to momentum-based stocks when we know
this as soon as the momentum goes away the stock Falls it's very simple and the
goal though is to trade that right so what happens is you get volume increases
the stocks skyrockets when the volume goes away the stock Falls it's the
simplest trade ever the problem is people will hold on to their trade
because they think oh we're in the next momentum wave
but the companies that are facing profitability problems or they're
becoming a penny stock or which basically a Bed Bath and Beyond has
become because they're facing bankruptcy these companies need to raise money so
here's a company that actually did the smart thing they actually are now trying
to take advantage of the meme movement and so as their stock ran up 92 percent
yesterday what does the company do oh no surprise they conduct an offering this
is what I've been warning for months be careful about getting into profitless
companies there's a reason that I say that the companies you want to pay
attention to are companies with high free cash flow you want stable revenues
even even in the face of discounts right and you want ideally strong margins
those are the companies you want in my opinion to invest in now this isn't
personalized Financial advice for you I don't know what your situation is but I
am Eliza's financial advisor I run an ETF uh and I do this stuff for a living
on a daily basis and the big concern about putting a lot of your money into
companies that don't have high free cash flow that are losing money and don't
have strong margins is the potential that you're just going to get diluted so
that way the company can stay alive just a little bit longer and that's exactly
what Bed Bath and Beyond did yesterday they basically announced a near 1
billion dollar series a convertible stock offering in warrants the company
expects to raise 225 million dollars of gross proceeds uh from the offering
together with another 800 mil from the issuance of Securities related to their
warrants now this is basically to say they're
going to their company to their stock and they're saying hey look our company
has a market cap of 700 million dollars after a meme rallied up nearly double
from 350 million dollars approximately why don't we just raise a billion
dollars which is more than our market cap and as long as we get investors hey
maybe it could help us avoid bankruptcy and what are we going to do with that
money well we're going to buy some inventory we're going to make sure we
pay off the inventory debts that we owe like using this hundred million dollars
to pay off our first and last out facility we're going to pay off the
outstanding loan facility that we have under our abl facility whatever it's
like a credit line right we're going to make payments on the missed interest
payments on the notes that we have that are due March 3rd and maybe we'll have
some money over to prevent us from going into bankruptcy but no guarantees if we
can't raise this money we might still end up going bankrupt so anyway what
they're basically doing is they're pulling an AMC they're taking every meme
investor and momentum investors money and they're basically saying hey thanks
for buying our stock we're now going to dump on you and we're going to make you
lose the money that you're now being a bag holder on basically and we're going
to use that to try to bail out our own company this is basically the same exact
thing that AMC did with ape and yeah sure AMC has been rising recently but
when we zoom out we can clearly see what's been happening with AMC the trend
is not great now AMC is doing their best to pay off their debt but they're doing
so with your money as an investor in the company as an investor in a company
who's losing the company's losing money they will take the equity you provide to
them and the liquidity you provide to them in the stock market and use that to
pay off debts this is what companies do that lose money and this is why I prefer
companies that have free cash flows positive operating margins up a positive
operating leverage they can increase their their revenue or keep revenue
stable while maybe reducing Opex right or growing up X at a lower rate and Bed
Bath and Beyond is not that look at this this is a company that has net sales
ending in the quarter November 26th of 1.25 billion dollars the sales at Bed
Bath and Beyond have plummeted by about a third look at that 1259 divided by
1877 that puts you at a decline of about 33 in sales so sales are falling 33
percent their gross margin uh or their cost of
goods sold sits somewhere at 78 nearly 78 of every dollar they make is going
into actual cost of product but then they've got this insane operating
expense uh where they actually end up with an operating loss of around 450
million dollars net income here loss of about nearly 400 million dollars they're
losing money like crazy and if we jump on over to their cash flow statement
let's see what they got we got the balance sheet over here so we could look
at it in just a moment we look at their cash flow statement here's their net
loss and their actual cash flow is negative
307 million minus an additional 100 Mil in capex you're sitting at around
negative 400 million dollars in cash flow for folks the three months ended in
November if you go to their negative cash flow for the last nine months of
believe this is this is negative cash flow yeah nine months ended November
their negative cash flow is actually 890 plus 322. their negative cash flow in
nine months is 1.2 billion dollars oh look that's literally three times their
current negative cash flow so they're literally losing 400 million dollars a
quarter 400 million dollars a quarter divided by 90. this company is literally
throwing out the window 4.4 million dollars a day that's what this company
is burning just trying to stay alive it makes absolutely zero fundamental sense
that the company would rally at all on anything other than just stupid momentum
trading on a penny stock that's all this is and so it's no surprise that when
there was stupid momentum trading on a penny stock with with a you know a small
market cap and low liquidity in the share price because who in the right
mind is actually buying this to hold it it's no surprise that when the company
issues a suggestion that hey we're going to try to raise a billion dollars we're
going to dilute all our shareholders it's no surprise that the sucker Falls
uh nearly over 40 percent now it's remarkable because some people who don't
understand math very well will say but Kevin it's up 92 percent now it's now
it's down 40 that means it's still up more right uh no that's actually not how
it works see we're sitting over here at three dollars and fifty cents and the
sucker memes up nearly double but if you double and then you lose half you're
basically at the same spot right I mean think about it if you have a five dollar
stock and it doubles you're at ten dollars if you now Fall by half you're
right back at five Math is fun anyway it is absolutely
ludicrous that anybody would touch Bed Bath and Beyond stock with with any more
than a complete speculative mindset and when you look at a company like Bed Bath
and Beyond you should run the suckers going bankrupt and it doesn't have
assets like Hertz people look at these bankrupt companies and they think these
bankrupt companies are going to kill it like Hertz did post bankruptcy but
people forget that the reason Hertz did well post bankruptcy is because they had
assets that were going up in value not down in value they had used cars during
the used car shortage and guess what that meant it shot the asset value of
Hertz to the moon so of course companies went in to bid the crap out of Hertz
because they had a lot of good product used cars that became substantially more
valuable than the original estimates uh for what uh what the assets were worth
at Hearts so Hertz ends up meme stocking up through bankruptcy recovers from its
restructuring and because they have all this inventory and these incredible
buyouts and then they end up with new management that actually gets into
leasing electric vehicles and they rebuild they used to or the the leasing
business and they get new inventory after selling out their old inventory at
a profit it's no surprise the company does well after bankruptcy that is very
different from Bed Bath and Beyond the according to Bloomberg the executives
had a meeting with all their staff and guess what the executive said to help
solve their problems they're like we need more corporate staff instead of
working from home we need you all coming in an extra day and somebody yells out
of the audience like picture this okay I picture this to sort of you got like a
table of Executives like all right guys we're going to try to save the company
and in doing so less work from home more in person Face to Face Time and and then
you get the people in the audience that are like
somebody shouts out allegedly somebody shouts out and goes working coming in
one more day is not going to make our company not lose money and apparently
the audience like the other employees at the company start nodding and basically
cheering and clapping like yeah exactly like right on like why don't you
actually fix the damn company and the reality is Bed Bath and Beyond is a
failure Bed Bath and Beyond is a Sears it failed to adapt it failed to pull a
Best Buy now that's my opinion okay Best Buy used to be a fantastic store a great
competitor against Circuit City then their return policy started turning to
crap and their customer service went to trash the company started failing the
company was going and trending towards bankruptcy they were going to become the
next Circuit City and they were going to go bankrupt but guess what bad uh what
Best Buy did they realized wait we need to loosen our return policies we need to
get into e-commerce and we have to focus on better customer service and guess
what Best Buy is a success story they turned it around you could buy stuff
online on their website their inventory management system is even better than
Walmart's Walmarts is trash Walmart tells you they have stuff in stock and
then they don't then they cancel your order a few hours later I'm sorry you
don't actually have it in stock it's like your website says we have in stock
yeah our systems aren't aligned with what we actually have online versus what
we actually have in store and I'm like you this is like an elementary problem
y'all are idiots uh but that's Walmart for you Best Buy and Walmart doesn't
even make that much money there's no reason like their stock should plummet
there's no reason their socks doing as well as it has been over the last year
the only reason it has been doing so well is because it's deemed a staple and
people move into Staples in a recessionary time so you're basically
getting Trader momentum in Walmart anyway and it's Trend momentum too
anyway Best Buy adapted Best Buy became a functional online e-commerce platform
that you can actually use Best Buy as a competitor at Amazon you could price
match with Amazon you could get your product same day which you can't do with
Amazon and they really sell you on those Services now I'm not saying you need to
use those and I've never used them myself but now you buy a TV at Best Buy
they'll come install it for you they'll do the mount for you want to buy an
appliance why would you buy it on Amazon if you could go have Best Buy do it all
for you start to finish and install it for you and make it all easy for you
want to buy a surround system for your home why buy it on Amazon where you have
to figure out what all the damn wires do when you can just hire Geek Squad to do
it for you it's actually very very smart Amazon's been trying to get into it by
subcontracting to local vendors but it's been very difficult for Amazon to
actually pull off successfully and they've kind of been winding back that
program because it's been hard for them whereas Best Buy actually has local
employees who can do it for you it's pretty impressive but it shows you how
different a company like Best Buy is from a loser like Bed Bath and Beyond I
hate to say it but that is what it is so I don't know that's that's my stick on
Bed Bath and Beyond and the rip-off and that's happening in sort of the momentum
world and why if you are fomoing because you see certain momentum stocks that are
going up like 30 percent and the quality companies that you're investing in are
going up like four or five percent right you should be looking at those meme
stocks and going thank you because eventually when meme stocks run up the
Quality Companies come up and then the meme stocks get diluted and they plummet
and crash and burn so think about it as a good thing
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