Omicron is WORSENING | What You NEED to Know TODAY.

hey everyone me kevin here i know a lot

of us are tired about hearing about

omicron but the reality is it is going

to put a severe dent in global gdp in

2022 it could affect supply chains it

could affect a lot of discretionary

spending and we could see that household

savings rate go right back up and of

course the potential of a reintroduction

of certain types of business stimulus

again we've got to talk about omicron

let's talk about it we'll also recap

what we've talked about in the past so

that way if you're new here you get a

quick little recap so let's get into the

news first so omicron is expected to be

dominant in britain denmark and norway

this month the us is facing a rising

cases but low levels of the variant so

far have been detected in individuals

remember just the other day the cdc said

we were at a three percent uh case rate

of omicron however listen to this folks

abc news just reported that even though

there have been almost no clinical

omicron infections in florida waste

water samples already show that the new

omicron variant is the dominant strain

in orlando florida this is really

important because orlando you might not

know is the home to disney world which

is obviously popular vacation

destination which means we're likely to

see omicron very quickly become dominant

throughout the rest of the united states

omicron represented almost 100

of the coronavirus samples uh collected

that's unbelievable

now uh those hospitalized

tentatively at least for the time being

seem to be coming in with delta though

delta seems to be leading to that rise

in hospitalizations the omicron variant

has been detected in at least 40 states

since the first case in the united

states 17 days ago on a seven day

average coven 19 hospital admissions are

up four percent to 7 800 per day and

deaths are up 8 to 1200 per day

now

this is this part here's going to be a

little bit of recap with some of the

most important of the data that we've

talked about in prior days along with

updates that are most relevant now so

i'm going to try to only in this next

section here try to keep the most

relevant information to what we know

specifically about

about these various different topics so

for example t cells we know that t cells

help our body fight illness they

specifically help prevent severe disease

well folks 70

of our t cells are expected to still

respond to omicron if you have two doses

of either the pfizer or the moderna

vaccine the pfizer was the one that's

tested and the moderna one is the one

that is expected to have a similar

response however antibodies folks this

is where we're running into issues with

the antibodies

there are indications uh on 12 9 we got

an indication from bloomberg that

antibody levels

by uh

as studied by bioentech

were at least to a decent level

to where antibodies could still help

fight omicron but another study was much

less positive and after this we find out

through yet another study that there's a

40-fold reduction in antibody

effectiveness in omicron from the alpha

variant for individuals with a double

shot of the vaccine

so antibodies are really getting hurt

hard here and again that's because of

all the mutations to the tip of the

spike protein the t helper cells they

attack the entire spike but it's the tip

that has a substantial amount of

mutations over 30 mutations the

antibodies are really failing here this

is helping well this is i should say

compounded by the fact that omicron is

four times more transmissible than delta

and

now we're getting indications that

omicron infects

70 times faster than delta but the

variant replicates about 10 times less

effectively than original covid and this

is how they're sort of getting to this

net net 4x transmissibility this was

really interesting released by a

university of hong kong study on

wednesday

and the lead researcher did mention that

although omicron is less severe it is so

infectious that it may lead to a higher

volume of severe disease and even death

and if you think about it to some degree

this makes sense if every single day you

have 50 000 people get covet and it's

the delta variant and maybe let's say 10

percent of those individuals are going

to the hospital that's 5 000 individuals

going to the hospital right well if

every day with omicron you have 1

million people who are getting omicron

and one percent so five times fewer

people are going to hospital one percent

of going to the hospital that's 10 000

hospitalizations that's twice as many as

delta and so that's the concern and you

can see in the numbers it's going to

create problems

right now

this was revised down which is scary

from 2.4 the previous rate was 2.4 in

the united kingdom omicron was doubling

at a rate of 2.4 days per double it's

now down at one and a half

in the united kingdom it is spreading

like wildfire now it's worth recapping

that the one death boris johnson

mentioned uh was a death with omicron

and not from omicron the daily mail

from the united kingdom

they indicated that they spoke with this

stepson of the individual who died and

the stepson said the person who died was

in his 70s who was fit and healthy and

never left the house he was an

unvaccinated conspiracy theorist and

this is what the stepson claimed late

yesterday and that we did not get this

transparency from boris johnson now

there are still some disease modelers

that believe we could usher in the end

of the pandemic by having omicron

however there are still questions of

like hey sure but if a lot of people get

omicron and we end up getting hurt

immunity through omicron what about long

covet and so long covet is still a big

question mark could people get long

coveted from omicron we just don't know

yet so people are still nervous about

catching omicron because of the

potential for long coven which a lot of

folks are trying to avoid there are even

younger folks who are like look i'm not

worried about dying i'm not worried

about having to go to the hospital but i

don't want lankova to affect me in my

sports or whatever

now regarding re-infections early

indications per bloomberg suggests it is

much easier to get reinfected with the

omicron variant even if you've already

had coven the same study

that indicated this

showed clinical results showing that

clinical results are coming out say that

the omicron variant is demonstrating

high rates of not only reinfection but

also vaccine breakouts not ideal now

regarding vaccines if you are double

vaccinated you are more likely to be

asymptomatic especially if you're closer

to when you got that shot obviously if

it's been six months your efficacy has

declined substantially against delta

after six months your efficacy goes from

like 85 to 90 percent down to around 45

to 50 percent with omicron you're going

down with two shots to as low as 22.5

according to time who broke this story

now the world health organization

recommends if you do get your second

dose get the same brand pfizer is

conducting clinical clinical vaccine

trials for children under five however

so far

two doses was not enough for children

under five so the current

trial is including a three dose regimen

for children under five in order to

create an immune response in younger

children the vaccine just did not

generate enough of an immune response

for children under five and especially

under two

now the cdc says children exposed to

covet can safely return to school for

in-person learning as long as they're

regularly tested for coven regarding

boosters the last that we had was from

reuters that on 1210 we heard boosters

could give a 70 to 75 percent protection

against symptomic disease but that you

were likely to still potentially get

covid uh but that you would be

asymptomatic and a recent columbia

university study from 1216 indicated

that omicron is markedly resistant to

vaccines and boosters saying that a

third vaccine may not protect against

infection or a third booster well your

third shot the booster may not protect

imperial college uh of london indicated

that having had covid only offers a 19

protection against omicron

now then we already know that apple is

offering money to some employees for

staying home jeffries and many funds are

working at home pinterest is working at

home throughout 2022 google's uh you

know threatening to withhold pay from

individuals who are unvaccinated and

others are delaying returning to the to

work uh facebook uber lyft other

companies like this you know

corporate office workers uh so this this

folks this is going to be a big drag on

gross domestic product right

now regarding masks uh a quick this was

just a quick little note here if two

people are masked with surgical masks

you do see about a 92 percent reduction

in transmission and i know we all hate

masks but i thought this was interesting

if an uninfected person is masked and

somebody is infected and is not masked

you get a 67 reduction in covid but if

the infected person is masked you get a

75 reduction in kova transmission

obviously the n95 mask is providing the

valveless one is providing uh some of

the best protection uh for both both

cases here

new york really is is the hot epicenter

of all of this right now uh live nation

cancellations are up ohio's also having

issues they've activated a thousand

national guard individuals to help

relieve staffing shortages at health

care facilities of the 263 people 263

000 people tested we're at about eight

percent positive in new york though npr

reports we could be as high as 13

positive with omicron in uh in new york

now uh the johnson and johnson vaccine

there is an advisory panel for the cdc

that mentioned that it prefers the

pfizer uh this was yesterday prefers the

pfizer and moderna vaccines over johnson

and johnson

and this is after the cdc confirmed that

54 people have developed a rare blood

clot condition following the johnson and

johnson vaccination all were

hospitalized and nine of them died 36

ended up having to go to the icu so that

is why they unanimously voted to

recommend pfizer and moderna over the

johnson johnson vaccine johnson johnson

stock didn't really fall after this news

because the j j vaccine is mostly a

non-profit project for them the

condition is trombosis uh by the way

that was uh that was happening but

anyway uh the death rate for johnson and

johnson was still uh per 1 million doses

was 0.57

which is higher than the moderna and

pfizer there are the myocarditis

concerns regarding uh

the modern vaccine especially in younger

males however none of those have been

linked to a death and uh almost all of

them

recovered naturally without treatment

there were a few more severe cases that

took longer for individuals to recover

from we covered that and and cited

citations for this in uh in a report

just a few days ago now the fda also

says uh the currently available evidence

supports this casual relationship

between thrombosis and the johnson

vaccine uh now it's worth noting that

the side effects listed by the cdc do

not include uh thrombosis uh anyway now

i know a lot of people don't like dr

fauci but dr fauci did mention that some

rapid home tests uh are apparently not

as accurate as the pcr test right now

the pcr tests are still the gold

standard so if you get a negative

at-home test some of the at-home tests

are not functioning as well as they

should this is obviously uh not ideal

but

that that is seen as an issue at the

moment we do also have some

miscellaneous quotes here that are just

worth noting uh eric topol dr eric topal

mentions the concern here really is for

a lot of folks is getting long coveted

and then there is a professor who argues

that a lot of the projections for kovitz

trajectory are being overblown to keep

people fearful and at home but at least

at the moment we are noticing mobility

decline substantially in the uk and in

new york and we could expect mobility

and increased uh work from home to uh to

affect gdp and unfortunately the stock

market but also obviously people's lives

who are getting sick so uh do your best

stay safe and

folks thank you so much for watching

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appreciate your support as always we'll

see in the next one goodbye