Efficient Ranges - Bootcamp Ep.5
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Okay, welcome to technical boot camp
episode 5. In this class, we are talking
about efficient ranges. So, efficient
ranges are pretty much the opposite of
what we discussed last week when we
talked about imbalance. Efficient ranges
are areas that are not imbalanced, but
they give you really good trading
opportunities if you understand them.
So, in this class, we're going to talk
about how to identify and understand
efficiency, how to successfully trade
efficient ranges, and how to use it for
more market clarity than you already
have. I think this one is incredibly
valuable. If you watch all of this, it's
going to open up something that you
didn't know before that's going to help
you to take some really good trades. So,
with that said, let's not waste any
time. Let's get straight into the
education. In order to understand
today's class, you must have watched the
previous lesson on imbalances. Now, if
you recall, imbalances are the open
price ranges between demand zones like
this area here and where price is
currently trading that haven't yet been
filled. So an imbalance is basically an
open impulsive price movement from a
demand up to where price currently is.
Now that means that every one of these
previous movements where we have demand
zone and drive away were at one point an
imbalanced price range before the market
made this return to the demand this
range here was imbalanced. But when the
imbalance is filled, so when each of
these movements are filled by this
returning corrective move, then these
imbalances no longer exist. And these go
from being called inefficient ranges. So
when it's imbalance, it's an inefficient
range to when it is filled, it's an
efficient range. So every time we have a
push away and then a pullback and a
retest of a demand like this, we create
an efficient range. All right? So
there's one there and then there's one
here and then there's one here as well
where we've had a push away and a
pullback and a retest. So these three
areas here are efficient price moves.
Okay? Demand is created, market pushes
away, market pulls back, demand is
retested, imbalance is filled, creating
efficiency. The only inefficient range
that we have here is this drive higher
because we haven't yet come back to fill
the demand zone that's been created. So
we have efficient efficient efficient
and then an inefficient range to finish
it off. Okay. So as you learned in the
previous class, imbalances or
inefficiencies are used to create good
buying opportunity. We know that if we
want to buy into this market, we don't
want to buy here. We want to buy down
here. So, we would wait for the pull
back in and then we would buy from
there. And that these imbalances can
also be used for targets for trades. So,
let's say the market did give us some
reason for us to sell from here. Well, a
very clear target for that would be this
area of demand because at this point, we
know this is the highest probability
point that the market's going to reverse
and go the other way. So, they're good
for targets and entries and building
clarity around kind of magnet price
areas the market will be drawn through.
But we didn't talk about efficient
ranges and how we can actually utilize
imbalances that have already been
filled. So, when we're looking at this
price movement as a whole, we've
determined that all of this area here is
efficient. There is no imbalance
remaining in any of this price action.
The only imbalance we have is just here
within the current leg of movement. So,
that creates what we call then an
efficient range. The entirety of the
movement that has no imbalance in it is
known as an efficient range. Okay? And
these efficient ranges are valuable in
their own right. They do provide us with
opportunity, but only when you
understand how to use them. Now, there
are two core things to understand about
efficient ranges. Number one is that if
a market returns into an efficient
range, it is not an opportunity to keep
trading in the direction of the trend
that has been moving up to this point.
So the first thing you need to
understand is that once a demand zone
has been hit, it is not relevant again.
If we have this demand for example that
we have marked on and the market comes
down and trades into it for a second
time, well because it's already been
retested, it's already efficient, a
second tab is not relevant to trade off
of in the direction that you were
initially moving. If an efficient demand
zone is hit for a second time, it then
becomes a sign that the market is losing
strength and the more likely outcome
from an opportunity like this is
actually going to be for the market to
break down and trade lower. So the first
point to make is that basically a demand
zone or a supply zone is only good once.
After the first tap, it is not something
we want to focus on. Okay? Because once
the imbalance is filled, there is now no
longer any open orders and that zone has
essentially been used up. So demand and
supply zones are only good for their
first tap. And if they get tapped again
after the imbalance has already been
filled, such as like in the example
we've got drawn on the chart here, as we
say, it's something that is more likely
to go short and sell off than to go
long. So that's the first thing we need
to understand about efficiency is less
so about the broader range as a whole
and more so about individual supply and
demand zones. If a supply or demand has
been retested previously, a second
retest is not good news. It's not
something we want to buy off. It
basically tells us that the market is
losing strength because it's ignoring
the current imbalanced areas and trading
back into already balanced already
efficient zones. So we shouldn't expect
this from efficient demand or supply
zones. we should more so expect this. So
moving away from individual supply and
demand zones then and talking on a
broader perspective of the full
efficient range this red box that we've
drawn on here is a very useful and
important point that I'm going to teach
you now and this is the real core lesson
behind today's class on how to utilize
efficient ranges. So if we have then
these three demand zones, these three
pushes away, these three pullbacks,
these three imbalance fills, this one,
this one and this one, this creates our
efficient range. We then have a final
imbalance and a new demand zone which
creates the inefficiency. And the
standard way to trade this would be to
obviously buy if the market pulled back
to there. But we are trading in a market
of probabilities. And sometimes that
won't happen. What will happen instead
is the market will take this low back
out, trade back into that efficient
demand zone that we've just discussed.
And at this point, things change because
what we've done here is we have broken
into an efficient range. And if we break
into an efficient range, and here's the
big lesson for today, the most likely
outcome is that the market will trade
through the entirety of the efficient
range. So if we push back into an area
that has no imbalance in it, it's very
likely the market will trade all the way
through that entire range to reach into
the next point of imbalance. So if we
had a market, let's say, that had some
demand zone down here and then a bit of
imbalance leading up into the start of
this efficient range. This would then
create basically a demand zone target
down here and some inefficiency into
here or some imbalance into there. Now
obviously as we know these imbalances
act as magnets for price based off of
what we discussed in the last class. So
therefore if the market breaks into an
imbalanced or a a balanced zone should I
say an efficient range well this now
gives us two pieces of information.
Number one the imbalance the other side
of the range is going to act as a magnet
for price. And number two, because there
is no imbalance and no inefficiency
inside of this efficient range, well
then there is no core reason for the
market to find footing for a reversal
from here. So seeing the market reverse
out of an efficient range is very low
probability. And yes, it will happen on
the rare occasion. But for the most
part, when we do see a break into an
efficient range and when there is no
imbalance left to be filled until the
other side of the range, well then the
most likely outcome, the most common
thing we see is for the market to trade
all of the way through the efficient
range as we have marked just here. So
this gives us valuable information as
you can imagine because we will see
efficient ranges quite often in the
markets. We will see ranges where there
is no imbalance remaining and there's
quite a ways to go before the next
imbalance is clear. And when you
understand this rule of inefficiencies
basically being magnets for price like
this one down here and efficient price
ranges having no logical reason to
reverse the market price. Well, when you
see this first sign, this very first
sign of just a market pushing back into
an efficient range, you basically have
an immediate trade prepped to run the
shore all the way through that range.
And the same goes for buy side ideas as
well. If we have a bearish efficient
range and the market drives above the
previous high and trades into the
efficient range, well, now we understand
given there's no reason for any of these
zones because they've already been
retested to provide reactions and to
provide downside for the market. We
actually have early sighting to an
opportunity here to buy this market all
the way up through the entirety of the
efficient range to trade towards
wherever the next imbalance or
inefficiency may be. So that creates an
opportunity where a trade forms which
would be from here with stops under the
low up to here to take out the high of
the efficient range. Now when the high
of the efficient range is taken we can
see one of two things happen. We can see
a continuation towards an area of supply
or demand or we can see the market
change direction like this and then
trade back down in line with where the
initial trade was running. So it's kind
of what we would call and don't worry if
you don't understand this yet a bit of a
liquidation or a run on liquidity. Okay,
the liquidity around efficient ranges I
basically refer to as range liquidity.
So down here we would have that RL range
liquidity which simply is basically the
final point of the efficient range
before the imbalance is met. All right.
Now don't worry if you don't understand
liquidity yet. Of course we have to get
to it in the boot camp. But in a
nutshell, it essentially refers to a
magnet area of significant money or
orders that basically the market will be
drawn towards and then has a reasonable
probability of creating reactions from.
All right. So when you're trading these
efficient ranges in this manner, the
best place to target, let's say you were
taking a cell from here down to the low
of the efficient range, would not be to
extend it through to where demand and
supply may be. It would just be to take
the profits as soon as you hit that
point at the low of the efficient range.
and then you see if the market wants to
continue or reverse and trade it
accordingly. So they're good for number
one if the market breaks into an
efficient range creating trading
opportunity through the entirety of the
range and number two once that has
occurred and the market sweeps liquidity
or takes out the low or the high of an
efficient range. It provides potential
opportunity for us to flip the market
back in the initial direction and
continue with the larger trend. Okay.
So, what we're going to do now is head
over to the charts and I'll show you an
example on the buy side and the sell
side of how this efficient range can be
used in real time. How we identify them
and then how we trade this format. Okay.
So, first things first, let's identify
where efficient and inefficient ranges
are. Here's how you're going to spot one
in real time. So, taking a look at the
leg of price action from this low
upwards. This is going to be the low
that we use to the high. We basically
have got a little variation of efficient
and inefficient price action. Okay. The
first thing we're going to do to
identify where this efficiency and
inefficiency is is plot out the demand
zones and we'll see which ones are met
and which ones are not. So, we have this
last candle before an impulsive move
away. That's going to be demand zone
number one. Put these on just to make
them clearer. Then we have the next zone
which really is going to be this
sideways candle before the impulse away.
This one as you can see has been
retested here. So that creates
efficiency. Then we have another demand
zone just here after the next impulse
just before a new impulse of away. And
then again we have got here efficiency.
So the markets come back in and tap this
zone. Then we have another impulse
before the impulse. We have another
demand zone. That's going to be just
here. And again this one has been
retested. Now the next movements up.
We've got this little zone just here.
This one didn't really create a giant
impulse, but regardless, it's been
filled. And then we have this demand
just here. So that is basically going to
indicate the efficient and inefficient
ranges. There is an imbalance or an
inefficiency here. So basically just for
uh avoiding confusion, imbalance and
inefficiency are the same thing. You
could say a balanced range or an
efficient range. They're the same thing.
I don't say balanced range also uh
efficient. So just be aware an
inefficiency is imbalance. Efficiency is
a point with no imbalance. All right. So
we cannot identify any imbalance in this
market between this low and basically
this zone here which creates this entire
area as our efficient range. All right,
we'll draw it to the very high. It's
basically going to be all of this price
action here is efficient because there
is no imbalance left inside of this
range. So that is what we classify as a
efficient range. Now beneath that of
course we have a open demand zone and an
imbalance. So that could potentially be
a point that the market would be drawn
to. But what did we just say? Well, we
said we don't want to really target a
demand zone beneath the efficient range.
We want to target just the low of the
range because this is the safest way to
trade returns through these ranges if it
takes place. All right. So that's going
to be our range low or efficient range
low. Of course, if the market was to
break into the efficient range, then
this would become the point that we
would want to target. So, we have our
efficient range marked and we have our
efficient range low marked and then we
have our imbalanced demand zone. So,
this is going to be basically the final
point to hold and continue. And if this
breaks through, then we go short. All
right. So what we would be looking for
in a general trading scenario if we were
to see this in real time first of all
based on supply and demand and standard
imbalances our first opportunity would
be to look for a trade like this. Now
whether we used a confirmation entry or
just a direct buy limit doesn't really
matter. The difference will be whether
you take a loss or not. But what we do
with our trading as you've heard me say
before and as you're probably starting
to see is set everything up in a way
that a losing trade creates a new
opportunity. So we would be looking for
initially this trade to buy from this
demand to take the market higher. But if
this was invalidated, which would mean
the market breaking through this low and
failing the demand, well, that would
actually set us up for a new winning
trade because what it would do is open
up this efficient range. All right. So
what we're going to do now is see how
the market goes. We may have for
example, let's take a look uh buy an
opportunity on here, stop beneath the
low, targets to the high. But what we
actually see is the market takes that
level out. What this does in itself
though is create a new opportunity for
us to sell through the efficient range
because we now have the understanding
that this efficient range has been
pushed into. Right now, all of this can
be seen as an efficient range. And
because there's no imbalance points for
the market to reverse from, because
there's nothing in here that actually
will act as support or wait for price to
reverse back to the upside, we should
just be looking for a direct selling
opportunity through towards what we have
marked as that efficient range low. So
the first way that we trade this is as
soon as we see the market trading into
an efficient area. We are told by the
market directly there is no point here
for us to actually see bullish reversal
until we reach the next point of
imbalance. Until we reach those next
orders, that next pool of money, there
is very low likelihood of any bullish
reversal taking place in here. So what
we should be doing is looking for direct
selling opportunities to bring this
market down. Now, if we see what happens
next in the market, it's exactly that we
have a drive to the downside which
perfectly fills the efficient range low.
So, your trade here would likely be
selling from this supply. Basically,
from that point there, you'd be getting
into the market. Obviously, for this, we
would use um refined opportunity,
refined entries, lower time frames. But
the general trade would look like that.
Okay? You'd be selling down inside the
trend as soon as we see that first break
into an efficient range and capitalizing
on the movement from here all the way
through the range to the point of range
liquidity which will be the low or the
high of the efficient range. In this
case for a bullish trend it's obviously
going to be the range low because if we
break into that efficient range we shift
from bullish to bearish until this range
is filled. So now take a look at this.
As we said what can happen a lot of
times is once an efficient range low has
been taken out we see pretty sharp
reversals. Now in this case the market
comes down a little bit further but then
after sweeping the low we see a push
into new highs. Okay? So just because we
see this leg of downward price action
doesn't mean that this is going to open
a new leg of price action and new
continued downside because a lot of the
times what we're doing is just coming to
sweep that liquidity. Essentially what
we've got if we break this down is two
points of support for buyers. So we see
throughout this trend at this point at
this point and at this point and at this
point that buyers are clearly in control
and they are pushing the market up every
time the market retests an area of
demand. So the buyers here are really
taking on in strong numbers those
discount price areas to put new orders
into the market and to accelerate the
buying control in the market. Now
obviously then this zone here is
basically the final point where that may
happen again. So obviously the initial
thing to do, the correct thing to do
here would be to look for buyers
initially because you'd be looking for a
continuation. You'd be anticipating a
continuation of the buying pressure
we've seen so far. So you'll be seeing
this is a point of support where buyers
can take on a massive number of buyers
from a discount price area once again.
But they might not do that. Okay? And if
they don't and we don't get enough
buying coming in at this level, well
then there is no point of support
through the efficient range because all
of the imbalances are filled. However,
with the imbalance we have down here at
the low and with the liquidity that's
going to be sitting here, this
essentially acts as the next point of
support. Okay, liquidity is just money
and orders. All right, so if this first
point of support fails, this one here
that we've just marked as this did, this
can still be a bullish market overall.
So, it can be net bullish and that would
lead to price appreciation. But if we
want to see that price appreciation, we
need to get into a discount price level
that's more significant than the one
that we failed at, which was the one up
here. Which means generally coming down
all the way through the efficient range
to create basically or reach a new area
of discount price action. When we get
into here, the market is so discounted
that we will see that large influx of
buying take place and a continuation
back to where we initially were going.
So when we see one of these efficient
range entries, when we see one of these
demand zone fails that drives us into an
efficient range, it's not always going
to be a bearish reversal situation in a
trade like this. It's more so just
buyers saying, "We are not happy with
this price. We would like a better
price." And when the market reaches a
significantly better price, taking out
this range, we then see a big influx of
buying again, which creates the drive
higher. Okay, so that is how you
identify efficient ranges. And that's a
perfect example of how it works when you
just jump onto the charts and see these
efficient ranges breaking in real time.
So if the market breaks into an
efficiency, well then that is the point
where you would like to go short through
the range and then flip that bias again
when you reach the range low. And as
we've said, we'll find an example just
now. This works exactly the same way for
a market that is selling off. Okay, if
we break a high driving us into an
efficient bearish range, we are likely
to trade all the way through that range.
Take out the high and then that's the
point where we may potentially shift
into a bearish bias. Just a short
interruption. What you're learning here
about technicals is absolutely necessary
to be a good trader. But technicals
alone are not sufficient to get you to
where you want to go. Most traders don't
get stuck because of what they see on
the charts. They get stuck because of
habits, risk behavior, decision-making
under pressure, and self-sabotage
patterns that form off of the charts.
These things simply don't show up in
technical analysis. So, I've created a
class. It's 15 minutes. It's short. It's
sweet. It gets to the point to help you
to understand what it is that's holding
you back from success away from the
charts themselves. The link for that is
in the description. You should watch it
after this class. Don't jump ship now.
This class is important, but when it's
done, head over there, join that. It's
completely free. watch that class and
it's going to change the way you think
about trading. So with that said, let's
get back to the boot camp. All right, so
we're looking at an example now where
the market is moving down. We're going
to do the same thing again. We have the
high of our range basically up here.
Okay, so that's going to be the range
high. The range low is down here. And
then if we take a look at the supply and
demand within this, we have got first of
all a supply zone here. Efficient,
right? Because it's been retested. Then
we have the zone here which going to be
this blue candle as we do extended to
the high of the wick. Again, this is
efficient. This zone here has been
retested. So that's efficient. So it's
not a sneaky little zone we need to be
aware of. We have this area again
efficient before the impulse. So
basically we have a full efficient range
here. Right? So if we were to basically
factor this as an efficient range, we
then understand if the market trades
above this high here that would drive us
into the efficient range again.
Therefore, the logical move to do would
be we break into there buy through the
entirety of the efficient range and then
when we take this high that is when we
would shift into the idea of selling
because the efficient range would be
filled. All right. So, we see this
essentially as a big area for the market
to trade all the way through if we get
over that high. Now, of course, without
the benefit of hindsight, the initial
movement would be to look for short from
the supply here. So, you may be looking
at selling from there. But when we start
to see the market shifting this way like
so around this point when we break over
the high any selling would be basically
invalidated at this point and the market
bias would shift to bullish which means
we would look for the buy from this
point through to there. Okay. So let's
see how this goes. We get a pullback
retest of this demand zone here and then
a trade higher. So this one we actually
get a little bit of insight into where
the trade would come from as well which
for this case would be as you can see we
have this imbalanced demand. The market
trades in, taps in with a wick, and then
we get this bullish run. So, you'd have
a trade pretty much from here through to
there. And again, as you see, this
doesn't shift the bias. Sometimes it
will, but it didn't in this example. It
didn't in the previous in the majority
it won't. As soon as we took this high,
the market reverses and actually drives
back to the downside. Okay. So, again,
these efficient range uh well, when we
break into an efficient range and trade
through it, it's not always a market
reversal trade. It's a short-term trade
towards the next point of support or
resistance from a market. Okay, not in
the traditional sense, but where we're
going to start seeing resistance from
sellers and buying pressure kind of
exhaust. So, we saw that efficient range
traded through and then as soon as we
take that high, we reach that next point
of liquidity. We see that market
reversal brings us down to where we are
provides the buying opportunity and then
potential for selling opportunities off
the back of that as well. So to recap
what we've discussed so far in this
class, we find efficient ranges by
identifying areas where consistent
demand zones have been created, pushed
away, pulled back and retested or supply
zones for selling examples which creates
an area where there is no support or
resistance for a market. We then
identify the final point of imbalance
such as this demand zone and we
understand that if the market stays
above it, it's probable to trade higher.
But if we break below and invalidate
that movement and invalidate that
demand, the highly probable next outcome
for this market is to trade all the way
through the efficient range towards the
next point of imbalance, which as you
can see in this case, it's going to be
down here. All right. So, understanding
this about efficient ranges is
incredibly useful. Now that you've seen
this, you're going to understand this
when you're trading in the markets
yourself. And when you see an efficient
range like this broken into, you won't
be worrying about where do I buy from at
this point? The market's broken this
low. Should I continue buying? Should I
look at this zone again? This zone? No.
You wait for the full zone to be filled,
which does two things. First of all,
creates a trading opportunity to sell
through the range towards the efficient
range low. And number two, provides
pretty much the prime possible point to
look for a reversal back to the upside
once new support has been met, once
we've actually reached a point where
market participants are seeing this as a
discount price again. Okay. So,
efficient ranges, understanding how to
utilize these is just as valuable as
understanding imbalances as discussed in
the previous class. Now, in this lesson,
we did talk a few times about a topic
called liquidity. And don't worry, we're
getting to liquidity soon and we're
going to spend a fair bit of time on it
because it's a pretty complex concept
with a few different things that you
need to learn and understand about it.
But, we'll be getting there soon. And
for now, this is all you need to know
about efficient ranges. It's a simple
one, but it's an incredibly valuable one
at that. So, I hope you enjoyed this
class. Hit the link in the description
to watch the trading diagnosis class.
It's only 15 minutes. Going to show you
why you're not winning off the charts.
And then uh I'll see you in the next
episode of the boot
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