10x EVTOL Stocks | JOBY, ARCH, EVEX, BETA
FULL TRANSCRIPT
So now let's analyze the difference
between Archer Aviation and Joby. Uh
this is uh Archer's performance. Uh
since it uh I wonder if it's spacked
given that it started at $10. I wouldn't
be surprised if it spacked and it stayed
at 10 here for a while. As is with most
stocks that spack, they were down, you
know, 70 to 80% for a period of time.
Archer Aviation now trading for just
above their spa levels at almost $11. If
you look at uh Joby, you have another
one that also likely spacked settled out
over $10 here. Also fell down to
somewhere in the $3 range and also now
almost back to $10. So, what can we
analyze inside of these companies? Well,
I always like starting with uh the
fundamentals of the business. And you
can also get a nice business description
from these companies in their annual
reports. It's kind of a little hack that
I like doing. We grab their annual
reports and then what you'll find is
under business description, which is
usually just a page. They'll tell you
exactly what they do. So, here's Joies.
Joby is developing an all-electric
vertical takeoff and landing EV tall air
taxi. We intend to operate in cities
around the world. Our mission is to help
the world uh connect faster and more
easily with people and places in a fast,
quiet, and convenient aerial transport
service. Okay. One of the things that
you have to keep in mind with these
aircraft is that they're noisy. And so
that's why they're pitching quiet uh in
their annual report here because they're
not quiet right now. I mean, even a jet
engine is really loud obviously, right?
We don't want jet engines floating
around low, but helicopters around 1,500
ft pretty dang loud. these things. I I
don't know how quiet they could really
make it because you're breaking the wind
to create lift essentially. So, the
noise issue, obviously, they're showing
this out here in a field, is going to be
a big issue for air taxis. However, I
think it's solvable because you can
create corridors.
And usually the way you create corridors
with these things is you just follow
highways. That's my take. So, I'll give
an example here. Let's go to Los
Angeles. Sorry, I don't like LA. If you
live there, I still love you, but I just
don't like LA. You know, let's imagine
for a moment you took off from, I don't
know, let's pick an airport over here.
Uh here, let's take Fullerton or
something like that. I could absolutely
see a future where a company like Joby
or Archer or whatever in these taxi
services is basically able to take off,
you know, from some facility over here
or where these planes are parked or
whatever. It's probably a flight school
over here or whatever. and they end up
just following highways, right? Because
then you're concentrating noise. So, I
think that's a solvable problem. Uh, and
then you obviously have, you know, uh,
parking spots wherever. I mean, the nice
thing is about being able to fly is you
don't only have to follow the highway,
but then you create a corridor where you
fly maybe across to a different highway,
uh, you know, and however you go park
somewhere else here, Compton airport,
wherever you want to go. So, I think
it's solvable uh getting this this quiet
issue dealt with. The Joby EV tall is
designed to transport a pilot and up to
four passengers and an expected payload
of a,000 lb. Now, that's actually pretty
impressive because that looks like a
pretty small aircraft, the one we just
saw in the picture there. I've got about
500 flight hours as a pilot. And what
I've noticed in smaller aircraft is
their payload is really, really low.
I would say 1,000 pounds of payload.
Pretty impressive. However, this is
basically enough for five people, pilot
and four passengers. You're not going to
put a lot of baggage in there. In fact,
a pilot and four passengers assume zero
bags. If you're going to take a bunch of
bags, you might just be a pilot and two
passengers. So, there's a little bit of
a problem in in payload that you're
going to run into as well in these. Uh,
but if you're talking about a few
business executives and they're just
taking a briefcase, they got to get to
downtown LA in and out or whatever, it
could function. Again, you need those
corridors where people are going to be
okay with the noise. According to our
modeling, more than 90% of urban routes
in cities such as New York and Los
Angeles are significantly shorter than
this. The aircraft is optimized with a
target of 100 miles. Yeah. Okay. The
thing is, you need reserves in aircraft.
So, you're probably not going to want to
go and it's sort of like drones, okay?
With a drone, you usually want to land
when you're at about 20% battery because
it just the voltage starts dropping and
you're just going to fall out of the
sky. So, the reality is you need a
reserve on top of that. So, you probably
want to start thinking about landing
when you're at 50 miles, which means
realistically you've got about a 50 mile
charge on this puppy. Not great yet.
That's one of the other issues is
batteries are heavy and you I don't
think have the battery technology yet.
So it might just be early, you know, to
get the noise routes to get the payloads
to be functional, you know, cuz again,
you like can't get any bags in there if
you got four passengers. You don't have
a second pilot worth of redundancy, but
that could be okay, especially if there
are a bunch of technological
redundancies in the actual aircraft
itself. And so realistically, you've got
maybe 50 miles of range here, right?
Okay, cool. So that's our Joby aircraft.
That's the goal that they have. We
completed our first international
exhibit uh flight in at the end of 2024.
We do not currently intend to sell our
aircraft to third parties or customers.
Instead, we plan to manufacture and own
our own aircraft. Aha. building a
vertically integrated transportation
company for government agencies, the Air
Force, the Department of Defense, you
know, you could actually potentially
take people from like Vegas or Henderson
or wherever and fly them into uh you
know, Area 51 or whatever and and use
these as sort of back and forth routes.
Again though, that 100 mile range really
makes me nervous because if you have a
100 mile range and you go fly 50 miles,
you need to sit and park. Well, now the
darn thing is parking for 2 hours,
right? If you do a 25 mile trip, you can
go there and back, but then again,
you're down for a few hours. So, you
just don't have the uptime that like I
mean, think about like a Southwest
Airlines and and the whole point of a
taxi is minimal downtime. It's like you
park, you grab your passengers, you go
fly, you come back, you land, you park,
you fuel it up, and you go again. The
the downtime is relatively limited. You
know, even larger commuter aircraft,
your downtime's what, you know, 45
minutes or so, maybe an hour. But do you
really want to minimize that? How long
is it going to take to charge these
puppies all the way up to full? Because
you're not doing the first 50%. you're
doing the last 50% which charges slower
than the first 50%. So that's going to
be something to pay attention to with
with these models over at Joby and
Archer. We believe vertically integrate
and they're going for vertical
integration. This makes sense. I mean
this is, you know, a big pitch and it's
kind of cool if they could pull it off.
When they pull it off, it would be
great. We operate a powertrain
electronics engineering and
manufacturing facility in San Carlos,
California. Well, that's kind of cool.
I'd love to visit that. With local
support from California, we have begun
the construction of a new plant. Oh,
that's cool. We believe California
operations will be able to support low
production plans and testing and
development. I mean, that's kind of
cool. The NEO of the skies. Yeah, I see
your comment here. I think that's
awesome. How do you know the 100 mile
range is not already counting the
reserve battery? I suppose I don't. I
mean, you could be right about that
because it says the aircraft is
optimized with a target range of up to
100 miles. Let me just put it this way.
I think they're gonna give you the most
salesy item here. But I appreciate you
saying that because I don't have that
answer. Maybe if we look at their pitch
site on their product, it might say over
here 200 mile top speed. Yeah, see they
don't downtown to JFK. I mean, these are
all popular, but those are already being
serviced by actual helicopters. That's
another thing, too, you have to
remember. Yeah, they don't talk about
their battery here. These companies are
also going to compete with helicopter
operators. So, keep that in mind. Okay,
so let's look at the financials. So,
Joby has current, we don't really
honestly need to look at their revenues
that much. What we need to look at is
what's going on over here. Job's current
assets. We've got 122 million of cash.
That's that's decent, but you could see
it's burned down in just the last
quarter by a lot, actually. Look at
that. What happened here? get almost $80
million of burn right here uh in the
cash. I mean, they could have deployed
it into another asset, I suppose. Total
current assets went down. Total assets
went down. Doesn't look like it went
into very much in terms of assets. Our
payables are stable and our total
liabilities plummeted here. Something
something got paid out here. Earnout
shares liability, warrant liability. Oh,
this is all old spa stuff. When
basically the stock reaches a certain
price, they just dilute the stock more
because like insiders get, you know,
bonuses or early investors get paid out
more or whatever. Okay, cool. So, as you
can see, this is a pre-revenue company.
Holy smokes, dude. How did we spend $134
million on R&D? And what are you
spending GNA money on? $29 million on
GNA. Well, you're not selling anything.
So, really, this is $29 million of
general and administrative. Wow.
Including some related party purchases.
Well, those are nominal numbers. That's
fine. Okay. All right. So, I mean, look,
we know it's losing money. That's not
the secret here. Uh the question is, how
long can they sustain with this cash
burn? So, their cash flow, I mean, look
at this plant property equipment 15. We
have a $125 million cash burn in three
months. And when I add these two numbers
together here, so Joby does not have a
lot of cash and we're we're nowhere
close to actual operations in my opinion
at this point. I'm very excited about
what they can do. I think they can pull
this off, but they need money. So if
we're burning 125 miller, we do have
these short-term investments though.
That's good. So, we're burning, call it
135. We've got 812 minus the current
liabilities. The current liabilities are
good, only about 50 mil, right? So,
we're paying our bills as they come in.
We got 762 million available. Divided by
135, you got 5.6 quarters, you got about
a year and a half cash for a startup
like this. That's probably not highly
unusual.
Uh, it's not great. What's the line from
Chernobyl? Not great, not terrible.
Not great, not terrible. Let's compare
that to Archer. Uh, and and I have I
have no horse in this race race. So, I I
don't want anybody to think that, you
know, I have a bias for either of these.
So, they're doing the same kind of
pitch, you know, a commuter, which is,
you know, what Hilos do as well. Okay.
So, similar pitch, different aircraft.
Archer announces planned Los Angeles air
taxi network. That was in August. Oh,
see this is smart. I like this. Oh my
gosh, look at this. This almost follows
the highway the way I was talking about.
Although I don't know if these are the
actual flight routes or if these are
just like sort of hoped passages, but
this is cool. Now, how far are these?
Plans to launch network in Los Angeles.
10 to 20 minute electric flights. That's
cool. Land at LAX,
USC,
various different destinations. Okay,
that's cool. Los Angeles Rams begin as
early as 2026.
Yeah, but what kind of approvals do you
have to do this? Because I think they're
just saying we plan to do that or like
we hope to do that, but do they have
anything from the government that says
they care? Well, I guess the University
of California is engaged to be part of
the network. I guess a private entity
like Well, I mean, technically, well,
yeah, it's a private entity. I guess
technically they could probably do it on
their private land. It's like, hey, you
could land over here. That's kind of
cool. So, these are designed for back
and forth flights of 20 to 50 mi with
minimal charge time in between. So,
they're kind of trying to address the
concern that I had. 100x quieter than a
helicopter at cruising altitudes.
Really,
if that's true, that's very impressive
because helicopters are also quite noisy
at cruising altitudes, though. So, in
other words, takeoff and landing might
be pretty noisy, but then at cruise,
these puppies might almost just glide.
Huh, that's interesting. Redundant
systems, that's fine. Designed to carry
a pilot up to four passengers and
carry-on luggage. See how they specify
specifically carry-on luggage because
again, they they just don't have the
payload for this, right? 100x is that
like 20 dB quite I know, right?
So, Governor Nuome commented this is
what Okay, whatever. I don't really care
what Newsome is talking about. Yeah. So
I I guess if you make an argument that
you have a partnership with a private
entity, this this could function. Okay.
All right. Fine. So let's look at their
I mean they're not going to have
earnings either, but let's see if their
cash burn is like how different their
cash burn is. First quarter results. So
operating. Okay, what do we have here?
Net loss in the quarter of also about
$und00 million. We do have a billion
dollars of cash though. So you have
Let's see what the cash flow is. Wait,
why do I see AI here? AI partnership
with Palunteer. Get out of town, dude.
Everybody is partnering with Paladier.
That is the funniest thing ever. That I
just saw it out of the corner of my eye
and I'm like, wait.
Archer has forged a foundational
partnership with Palanteer to build
artificial intelligence for the future
of nextgen aviation technologies. The
company's plan to include the
development of next-gen software
utilizing AI to improve the range. Dude,
hey, quick reminder. If you want to earn
a 5% yield plus all of the upside in my
real estate startup, we are offering a
nonacredited investor round where we
will pay you a 5% yield plus you get all
of the upside in the stock when your
stock converts in the future. It gives
you an opportunity to diversify away
from rich stock market valuations,
diversify away from most tariff risk,
diversify away from the craziness of the
treasuries market, especially with these
Moody's downgrades. You diversify into
fixerupper real estate, which is what I
believe I do best. This is my baby. I
call it my little Berkshire Hathaway.
Now, maybe I'm biased, but I've got over
$5 million of my own money invested into
this business, and I'm so excited for
what I think we're going to be able to
do with this business over not just the
next years, but the next decades. So, if
you want to invest in my real estate
startup, go to househack.com and know
that I will do everything for this
business in my power to make sure we can
do the absolute best that we can. Make
sure to read the solicitations and
disclosures on the house hack website
because there is risk with every
investment. What? You're using AI to
improve the range? This is mostly
mechanical.
I don't that seems like I mean like
maybe you could use AI for logistics,
right? So the way you do that is like
hey I got I need to go here, here, and
here. I've got people I got to pick up
here, here, and here. I've got these
payloads I've got to move and AI can put
that data together. That's what I think
what they mean here. But I don't I don't
think AI is somehow going to make my
propellers and my battery more
efficient. I don't know, maybe I'm
wrong. I think this is probably more
just logistics planning, which is
basically the same thing that you would
see at um you know, like UPS or
whatever, right? So, this isn't really
that big of a deal. Archer plans to
deliver its midnight aircraft to the
United Arab Emirates in the coming
months for planned deployment later this
year. Okay. Archer recently secured
design approval for the first hybrid
helport. Well, I mean that's cool. Abu
Dhabi. That's cool. Okay. Okay. S.
They're also out of California. I wonder
where these are parked. This is just at
an airport somewhere. I bet you I could
fly into this airport where these are
parked and uh and go see them. Just go
walk over to him. Probably get in
trouble. So, I'm not going to do it.
Don't sue me, bro. Don't I have a button
for that somewhere? I think if I push my
sound effects, I'm going to break
something again. I need to fix my little
soundboard. All right. So, do we have a
cash flow here? Because I don't actually
have a full statement. So, let me do
this. Let's go to because they only gave
you a Q1 press release. So, we go to the
SEC filings. We're going to go to a
quarterly. Oh, there it is. Perfect.
This is much easier for me to read.
Okay. And also just to look at their
difference in business. It should be
roughly the same. Uh it was a spec. Oh,
they don't give it in a 10 Q. Of course,
it's only in the 10K. That's fine. Um so
what do we have over here? This we have
$1 billion here. Good. Yeah, we were in
the 10 Q over here. Okay, perfect. Just
making sure. Good. So we have a billion
dollars of cash. Look at this. Their
cash has actually gone up. How did their
cash go up by $200 million? Well, let's
find out. It's over here on the cash
flow statement. They'll tell you cash
flows. Here it is. Ah,
they issued $300 million of shares
proceeds from registered direct
offering.
But when was that? Yeah, just in the
last three months. Interesting. Email
them, Kevin. They might do an interview.
I'm down. I I would I'd be look what's
kind of weird now is I've never analyzed
these companies uh like as a pilot. This
is my first time as a pilot analyzing
this and I think it's kind of cool
because my mindset now is coming from
the angle of okay, how much weight can I
carry? Uh you know what kind of winds
can I land in? How much reserve fuel do
I need? Which in this case is battery.
you know, like what are what are my
safety features, right? Like all these
things matter now and that and you just
don't really think about those when when
you're not in that world, which totally
makes sense. So looking at it now, it's
kind of exciting. Cool. So net loss 100
mil. So they raised money. I actually
think these companies probably won't run
out of money because there's so much
hope around them that they could just
keep doing that. They could keep raising
money, right? So what are they spending
money on? Oh, you know what? Let's put
these side by side. Oh, the Q's are up
nicely. Well, that's what I thought
would Oh, and Nebas. Nice.
I'm just looking at the ones in our
alpha report this morning in the course
member live stream. We were talking
about Nebas and Corewave and and and
some others and targets and that. And
so, I'm just seeing the momentum move on
those. We even talking a little bit
about AMD, although that was because of
a course member. So, shout out to them.
Okay, so this was let's look at the
expenses here. Who's spending more
money? Here we go. So R&D and then we'll
compare it to R&D over here. All right.
So on the left we have Joby and on the
right we have Archer. So R&D here we
spent 103 mil. Over here we spent 134 in
the quarter and that was R&D. GNA. Both
of them are pretty up there on GNA. 40
mil and 29 mil. I'm still a little
frustrated by that. But Joby actually
has a bigger burn. It looks Wait, but
Job's net law or operating loss is
negative 163. But then we have
Oh, okay. Well, this is this is uh this
has to do with warrants and earnout
shares. Okay, that's not going to be
ongoing. So, let me just look at the
operating expenses. loss from operations
144, loss from operations 163. So Joby
has a little bit less capital and
they're burning more money and Archer
just raised like $300 million on the
market. So I think the way to look at
these plays when when you look at both
of them is they're kind of options on
the future. like you're not really close
to these doing anything anytime soon in
terms of functional revenues. My guess
is you've got probably, you know, I
could see test flights in 2026,
like actual test routes, but those are
going to be money losing flights. You
don't have the battery technology yet
and you really need to figure out how to
increase the payload so you could take
more passengers ideally than just four
people, right? Because if you're going
to do that flight, it'd be nice to take
like 12 people, you know, and some
baggage, right? Fine. But whatever, you
know, maybe maybe they could charge
enough. I don't know, four people for
that kind of flight. It it just seems
like the revenue like the the cost per
ticket is going to be so high. I mean,
think about it this way. If if I took
that thing off, let's say if I had a
helicopter, if I went from one part of
LA to another part of LA, I would
probably expect to spend 1,500 bucks for
one person to get from one point in LA
to another point with a helicopter,
right? takeoff, land cycles, warranty
programs on the engine uh for the
helicopter or engines for a multi-engine
uh the uh for like a plane uh warranty
program on just parts and repairs uh
your landing struts, whatever. And I
don't know much about helicopters, but
I'm speculating that you would have to
spend that sort of money plus the fuel
obviously and the pilot, right? You got
to pay for all these things. If you put
four people into it, well, four people,
1,500 divided by four people, that's
$375 a person. That's your break even.
You got to make a profit on that. Well,
somebody's not going to spend $500 to
avoid a 20-minute commute. So, the cost
to operate these things would be my
biggest question is like, can I get
these down to an operation cost of $750
an hour? Well, let's say I can operate a
Joby or an Archer at $750 an hour. half
the cost of helicopter and I could put
four passengers in it. My break even is
about $200 a person. Okay. Are people
going to pay say $300 to get from one
end of LA to the other? Some people
will. That's not that bad. Uh you know,
if you want to forget two hours of
traffic and you know you're some CEO or
whatever, you're making plenty of money,
it's an option. It's interesting but
then you have to convince people on
safety. You need the noise routes. So
point is are these in the future?
Absolutely. I think there's no doubt
that there is a future here. I think the
limitations right now are politics
around noise and permits payload and
weight break even costs aren't even that
matter that much of a matter right now
because once they start operating the
stocks will go up and they'll be able to
raise plenty of money from their stocks.
Uh that said, you're constantly likely
going to get diluted. So when you get
these momentum runs right here, it's not
actually a surprise to me that after the
stock ran in November and December, they
issued a crapload of shares and the
stock went down because that's what they
should do. It just gives them more cash
to survive longer. So, you know, good
for them. So long-term future, yes,
between now and then, there are a lot of
things to look at. battery tech,
regulation, safety, profitability. So, I
wouldn't bet against these companies
because once they figure it out, they'll
be worth way more than they are today. I
mean, what do they trade at? I mean, $7
billion, that's already quite a lot for
like a money losing idea, right? Six and
seven billion for money losing idea.
It's already quite a bit, dude.
Coreweave keeps going. Let's go. This
was in my alpha report for trades today.
Okay. Uh, send Kim Kardashian up there.
She'll do anything these days, says
someone.
Uh, okay. Let's see here. Archer
Aviation is re I want to see some of
your comments. Somebody writes, "Archer
Aviation is recommended by Arc Invest."
Kathy Wood, I like how you like
specified like, "Oh, by the way, you
know, Kathy is ArchInvest."
Thank you for clarifying that. Somebody
says FAA can't handle the traffic they
have now. Might be issues there. Yeah,
especially through busy areas like LA.
But that's why I think they'll do
corridors and and I think they can route
traffic around specific corridors. So
I'm less worried about traffic. Although
I respect the concern because it's a
disaster if they are on like perfect
corridors every single time. Might not
be that big of a deal. Does the physics
make sense on short distance air travel?
So much wasted energy. I don't believe
in flying cars. Well, I mean it's not
about the physics or the energy. It's
about time, right? People who don't want
to sit for traffic in two hours because
they have an important meeting that's
going to make them $100,000. They'll pay
$500 for a ticket to go get there faster
so they could get to the next meeting.
Right. It's sort of the nature of the
economy after all. Right. Let's see
here. Oh, that's funny. Thank you for
saying that. Yeah, I see a comment here.
Uh what was it? Uh where was it? 12248
AMD resisting to the scent like Kevin's
alpha report. Uh, thanks Renee for
saying that. Yeah, if you're not part of
the alpha report yet, remember you can
get that at meetc.com.
Joby has more FAA certifications under
the new FAA EV tall rules. Hm. Okay.
Well, let me look at those. FAA EV tall
rules. Let's see what they came up.
Advanced air mobility. What is this
umbrella term for an aircraft that's
highly automated, electronically
powered, vertical takeoff and landing,
air taxis? milestones.
Oh. Oh, this is to certify the actual
aircraft to fly. Oh. Oh. Oh. Oh. That's
very good. That's very good. So, they
are they have a a pathway to certify the
aircraft to fly, which is good because I
do think we can get air corridors. I
still am worried about battery range and
um payload, but that is very
interesting. Thank you for mentioning
it. Can you honestly think?
Oh, Mav Mav, you need a hug. Okay. Wall
Street article, Wall Street Journal.
Okay. Rumors circulating. Okay. We'll
take a look at that in just a moment.
So, Joby has Toyota as an investor and
manufacturing partner. So, that I
actually think is quite valuable. I
think the Japanese
industry as as well as the Chinese,
frankly, are are great partners. And I
think if you can manufacture these with
a with an Asian partner, you'll do very
very well. So I do actually like that
with Joby on on a Toyota partnership.
Archer announces partnership with uh
Anderil to develop hybrid EV tall
military aircraft raises additional 430
mill.
Nice. Yeah. I mean so basically they
sold stock on the news of this
partnership. I respect that. I mean
that's cool. military partnership.
That's a perfect use for this perfect
use because you're not you're less
worried about, you know, downtown LA
politics and the bull crap of trying to
have noise corridors. You don't care. A
military partnership for Archer.
Very smart. As well as having a
manufacturing partner. Uh, very, very
interesting. So, I totally agree with
that. So, I like that. Thank you for
bringing that up. You could use drones
to find wedge deals by taking photos of
the roofs.
I mean, yeah, I guess technically.
Uh, I'm just I want to buy my own Joby
and my own Archer. I'm going to go fly
myself around from my backyard. Kind of
cool. Okay, cool. So, those are my
thoughts on Joby and Archer. Uh, again,
I love the direction of where this is
going. I do think military is the way to
go. the more of these partnerships, like
they will be part of the future. It's
just a time issue. That's it. And how
much stock do they have to burn in the
meantime because obviously they're
losing cash, right? So, your investment
is kind of like a lifeline to those
companies to keep them with their R&D
and manufacturing or whatever, whatever,
whatever, which is fine. Uh, but just
know it's it's going to be a while until
we get to profitability. It's something
where like Warren Buffett would look and
say, "Hey, too speculative for me." But
then again, he'll miss the boat when and
if they hit and they get their approvals
and their certifications and their
profitability and he'll wait until
they're like dividend cash cows, right?
But before these are dividend cash cows,
we're probably looking at like 15 years.
So, who knows? Could it be a
generational opportunity? Maybe. But
another way to look at it too is could
there be a really big buy the dip
opportunity in a recession? Probably.
Because in a recession, people are going
to have less money to buy these stocks.
So the stocks plummet and then when the
stocks plummet and they raise money
because they have to, they push the
stock to these, you know, $3 lows, they
basically become a penny stock, right?
So those might be these might be the
opportunities to invest in sort of these
more speculatives. Just because the
market is more euphoric now doesn't mean
that the actual underlying business
fundamentals have changed at all over
the last, you know, 6 months. Again, not
bearish, just it's just going to be a
time issue. a good append, you know, uh
a good little addin to our Joby Archer
video where you've got Beta Beta
Technologies. We don't have financials
for for them because they're a private
company, but basically they're an EV
tall manufacturer
uh that
you know sees the future of these EV
talls expanding from just being regional
operations under 200 miles of range now
to up and down the east coast by the mid
2030s and across the country by 2040.
That's because of the limitation as they
say now being batteries which makes
sense. Uh the batteries are very very
heavy and you need a lot of battery to
get a good distance. So you're doing
these 15 20 minute flights. Uh and then
you go land.
Totally makes sense. Uh and kind of
exciting. Uh I mean here's just yet
another competitor compared to Archer
and Joby. Uh and I think they were said
they were raising somewhere around uh
what I think maybe like a $3 billion
valuation. We we should look really uh
we'll look in just a moment but uh yeah
actually we'll just let's see beta
mobility
investment
uh valuation. Let's see what they've
got. So they raised
beta technologies not mobility.
Beta technology raised
ah series valuation of $3.78 billion
which is a bit of a discount from Joby
and Archer which are trading for you
know5 to6 billion right now. And here's
a company that's private, but uh you
know, at least based on what they're
saying, they minimize their cash burm by
selling batteries and and parts uh you
know, components or technologies,
whereas Joby and Archer don't, you know,
they're using cash that they're earning
or basically collecting from
shareholders and throwing it into uh
into the business to uh expand these EV
talls. So, kind of an exciting biz. It's
also worth noting that Embraier,
one of the commenters here, brought it
up, but it's true. And we've we've
talked about this. I mean, years ago, I
remember talking about Embraer uh
getting into these mobility plays as
well. But here's like an Embraer
article on uh you know, their
partnership with Eve Air Mobility. This
has actually got a ticker Eve X
uh a global leader in manufacturing and
providing services for EV tall
announcing a significant advancement in
the first flight of its EV tall
prototype team of engineers blah blah
blah I think they spun this business off
Embrier who manufactures actual business
jets right now uh and regional airliners
they I'm pretty sure spun this off
through its relationship with Embry Air
the third largest aircraft manufacturer
Eve is able to take advantage of
Embria's 55 year history in designing
blah blah blah and manufacturing with
letters in of intent for 2900 EV talls.
So this it's turning into quite a you
know competitive space which makes
sense. I think that's just sort of the
direction you're going. But here's
another option. Here's a EVE is a 1.66
billion company. big market or a
partnership also another spa big
partnership with um Embraier
little bit of a newer company though and
smaller see 174 employees beta
technologies has like 800 employees uh
and this one founded in 2020 where
whereas a lot of the others were 2015 to
2017 so Eve a little bit newer spin-off
from Embri also spacked uh it'll be
interesting to see where they go but uh
I guess you could look at Eve Eve. Uh,
just do Evall here. And yeah, there we
go. Eve mobility. And you can see their
EV tall. So, yeah. Okay. Well, this
one's green.
So, no no shortage basically of uh
competitors here. Oh, look at this. They
even let you pick a route to fly. Uh,
okay. Let's do Miami. Oops, that's so
funky. Miami to South Beach. Oh, that'd
be nice because that's like a 45minute
drive. You know, the airport's like way
inland over in Miami and uh getting to
South Beach. You basically have to, you
know, get across the bridge right next
to downtown Miami and it's a pain in the
butt. So, I my guess is it's at least a
40-minute drive depending on traffic.
But, we're going to look right now.
Okay. We're going to reveal it together.
Let's Let's Oh, 20. It's Wow. It's 20 to
24 minutes. I was wrong. I was wrong.
Shorter than I thought. But anyway, I
guess it depends on the time of day
because I feel like I've taken this
drive before and I've been stuck in
traffic and it sucks. So, it could be
time of day. Right now, it's 8. It's
11:00 a.m. on a Tuesday. So, I don't
know. Let's be mean and just go to like
4
p.m. Let's see what it says.
Oh, wow. Yeah. Look at this. Look at
this. during rush hour. 35 minutes to an
hour 20. That's what I've been stuck in
before. So, if you happen to go during a
crappy time, you're screwed. 30 minutes
to an hour. That's where my 40 minutes
is coming from. So, anyway, okay, let's
fly it with Eve.
Oh, see, they even use 45 minutes as an
average drive time. The EV tall, they're
saying 15 minutes. Now, one thing that I
think people forget when it comes to
aviation,
it's not just the flight time that
matters. It's also the leadup time.
Like, you got to drive yourself to the
airport. You know, by the time you drive
yourself to the airport, you could have
already been there,
right? So, you have to drive yourself to
the airport. after you drive yourself to
the airport. I mean, this might be good
for like arrivals to the airport, right?
So, maybe you flew into the airport, but
then you got to walk to wherever the EVE
terminal is, okay? So, you have to
adjust for that. Then you have to board
the plane, check in. You're not going to
put a lot of baggage in the thing
because they can't carry baggage really
yet. And by the time you actually are
buckled up and able to, you know, start
taxiing to take off and you're sequenced
in for traffic, it's going to be another
20 minutes, 30 minutes. So like when you
actually add these time frames up, this
I don't know how desirable of this this
one is. I don't think this is a good
example because I don't think you're
saving that much time. They should they
should have a better example than this.
I don't know anything about Sydney,
but let's see what they're doing here.
Popping over 50 minutes versus See, this
is a better example because it shows how
you have to take this weird roundabout
way to drive. 6 minutes versus 50. Kind
of cool. Singapore. Let's try this
airport. See, I like this. Okay, that's
a tunnel. Oh, they have a tunnel though.
45 minutes versus nine. But still, all
the check-in pro, it's like a novelty,
right? If they've got a tunnel, may as
well, if you've got the car, use the
car.
I don't know. So far, those aren't very
exciting. They should really pick better
routes. You know, something where like
there's not a bridge to go over water.
90 minutes versus 19. All right, maybe.
Anyway, it's coming. It'll be part of
the future. Which of the companies to
pick? I don't know because air air
travel the problem with air travel is
it's such a commodity.
Uh it's
they're probably just money losing
businesses. So best case scenario, you
become like a manufacturer and you just
sell the product to operators because I
think the business probably just loses a
bunch of money because, you know, how
are people going to be motivated to pay
uh for these,
you know, flights unless they're
substantially cheaper because you're not
saving that much time passengers between
say uh Newark and JFK or JFK and
Westchester uh as a this. So, first of
all, it was four passengers on the
airplane. Instead of coming out and
checking it out, why don't you come? You
should come fly with us. I would love
to. It's an amazing experience. What
does it mean? Do I get to wear a
parachute?
You don't. You can if you want, but I
don't think you need one. We We I mean,
we had years of safety requirements
testing to bring us to the level to be
able to carry passengers. This is the
electric uh aircraft company that just
did a Hampton's to JFK flight. Point
that the recurring cost of flight is
nearly insignificant. As I mentioned
after the flight, going from East
Hampton to JFK was about $7 of
electricity. It's transformative, but
total cost is what we care about. Low
cost and it's super safe because the
safety standard keeps going up. And this
is going to totally change aerospace.
Well, let me ask the obvious question
here. We talk about range anxiety all
the time when it comes to electric
vehicles. When we're talking about
electric aircrafts, I have to imagine uh
that anxiety is tenfold at least.
Actually, it's like one
in aviation. We have compulsory
requirements to carry extra energy
that's measured in hours, right?
Typically 45 minutes plus an alternate.
So an hour of extra fuel. So wherever
you're going, you plan for that. You
charge up appropriate such that when you
land, you have about an hour extra fuel
to accommodate any contingencies. Unlike
driving on the road, it's a very
controlled environment. So the range
anxiety is kind of irrelevant in this
case. Unless you're going to Newark
because then you could be just circling
for hours. You could be. But remember,
you could land at Peterborough, you
could land out in Essex, you could land
anywhere if you start to get to a low
fuel just like you would in a regular
airplane. So, let me ask about um how
advanced the technology is. Like, can
you build a ton of these? Um can you
start flights soon? Are is charging
something that takes forever? Um so,
we've built a charging network all over
the United States. It's we've covered
the entire East Coast, gone to the West
Coast. charging takes about as long as
it Yeah, Embra Air has um they have
investments in air taxis. Uh I can't
remember which brand. We should look it
up. Length of the flight. So, you can go
all over the East Coast. We've flown
across the country and back. We have all
kinds of flying going on. Um it's uh
it's it's not a limitation at all. In
fact, it's a hell of an opportunity for
our business because we own the charging
network. So, not only are we the
aerospace company, we're the fuel
provider as well. Yeah, fair point
there. Eve, Eve Air Mobility, you're
hoping to get FAA certification by 2027.
There is some skeptism out there that
it'll happen that quickly. So, what
gives you the confidence that this could
be something that happens in the next
year or two? Yeah, I mean, quietly up in
Vermont, we have we have led the charge
beyond all of our public peers on
certification and entry into service.
So, we achieved a market survey ticket
that allowed us to carry the passengers
last week. That's a step towards
certification. We have articles like the
hardest articles, the motors, the
inverters, the new stuff that are in
type inspection authorization, which is
one step away from certification right
now, which is way ahead of the balance
of the industry. So, we're not a big
marketing company. We're a technology
company. I'm an engineer. I'm a pilot.
And we've quietly chunked away and done
the right things for a safe, reliable,
repeatably produced aircraft. and to the
facility. We built a a a huge aerospace
manufacturing facility specific for
electric aviation in Vermont. And uh
it's actually almost 200,000 square feet
and it'll make 300 aircraft a year. Wow.
You raised I mean what I consider to be
a ton of money at the end of last year,
right? Over $300 million in series C. Um
how quickly do you burn through that?
When's the next time you're going to
need financing? Yeah, what's fortunate?
So we've raised about $1.2 2 billion
total and we also have an import export
bank of America. They have 800 employees
just under $1 and a half billion dollars
of capital has come into the company.
However, uniquely in this space, we're
making money selling chargers, selling
propulsion, selling batteries. So, our
cash burn is pretty low right now. We
likely will do another financing round
towards the end of the year this year,
but uh right now we don't need any
capital. We're very well financed and
we're paying for a lot of the things we
do through the sales of our technology.
Well, with that in mind, let's talk
about the future of the business. Could
you imagine going public at any point?
Would you be open to being sold to maybe
a Boeing or an Airbus or one of the
other big uh aircraft makers out there?
What does the future look like? Please
tell us now on national television. So,
so I will certainly So, yes, I can
imagine the the the course will at some
point probably intersect with a public
company. No, the the answer is I have no
interest in selling the company. This is
something I've been dreaming about. This
is my senior thesis in college. Finally
materializing 20 plus years later doing
something transformative for good for
him. That's awesome. And changing the
way the world will move. I have no
interest in getting out of it. This is
awesome. I mean, I get to fly the
planes. I get to build the planes. I get
to share it with people that I care
about. All of our employees fly. This is
like a dream come true. I have no
interest in getting out. Dude, I don't
disagree. And I'm honestly going to try
and take a weekend uh to drive up and
see your facility in Vermont. Um one
better. I'll come down and pick you up
and then we'll That would be fantastic.
We live right by the Westchester
airport. We'll fly the electric plane to
the electric plane facility. When when
uh when is this when are electric planes
going to replace um you know fossil fuel
uh powered jets. So So it will be
regional mobility. We'll be less than
200 miles. Then we'll go to 400 miles by
the 2030s. Then we'll be up and down the
east coast by mid 2030s. By 2040, 2045,
we'll be going across the country in
electric planes. The energy storage
keeps going up. Electric aviation is is
really fit to go to high altitude
because you don't have to breathe,
right? So, the aircraft can go pretty
fast, pretty high. So, the cost of
operation plummeting, the economies uh
economy is driving the scalability. This
is like what we were talking about
yesterday in the Archer Joby uh
comparison. more easily suited to
autonomous flight as well or even you
know control from. It's a modern
aircraft that's all fly by wire which
means it's all computer controlled so
autonomy is a natural fit for an
electric airplane. We've flown our
aircraft numerous times autonomously.
The military is already buying our
autonomous aircraft. All right, Kyle. Uh
I feel like we're just getting started
but we have to leave it there. Hope to
have you back. That's awesome. I think
that's really
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