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Bitcoin & Ethereum are about to Explode | MARK THIS.

14m 20s2,620 words397 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

hey everyone kevin here this video is

0:01

sponsored by masterworks but more on

0:03

them in a moment first we've got to talk

0:05

about how the federal reserve and what

0:07

the fed just said today in my opinion

0:10

gives us the license to see bitcoin hit

0:13

120k

0:14

and 10k ethereum i'm going to explain

0:18

exactly why in this video let's get

0:20

right into that

0:21

first

0:23

i believe based on surveys that i've

0:25

done and research that i've done that at

0:27

least 40 to potentially 55 of

0:30

individuals who invest in

0:32

cryptocurrencies or cryptocurrency

0:34

assets do so because they see

0:36

cryptocurrencies as a hedge against

0:40

inflation they see real estate out of

0:42

reach which is a traditional hedge

0:44

against inflation

0:46

at least leveraged real estate is and

0:48

they see that

0:50

fiat or just holding dollars is

0:52

obviously not something that is going to

0:55

hedge you at all against inflation if

0:56

anything you are most exposed to

0:58

inflation holding on to dollars in fact

1:00

you're more protected from inflation in

1:02

the stock market than you are holding

1:04

cash obviously cash is nice for

1:06

opportunities but hey

1:08

why not instead of hold cash or holding

1:10

cash hold cryptocurrencies which are

1:12

also extremely liquid that you could use

1:15

for opportunities as they present

1:16

themselves for example if you're going

1:18

to hold cash to go buy stocks on the dip

1:22

you may as well hold money in

1:23

cryptocurrencies and then buy certain

1:25

stocks if they dip after earnings or

1:27

whatever

1:28

if you wanted to preserve your wealth

1:31

your cash wealth and protect it from

1:34

inflation while at the same time having

1:35

the liquidity to go purchase something

1:37

in the event that there's a dip

1:39

obviously that works well unless of

1:40

course bitcoin or ethereum or all of a

1:42

sudden plummeting which entirely could

1:45

happen but that's the benefit of bitcoin

1:47

or ethereum is because there's

1:48

volatility the goal is that you would

1:49

make money and be protected more from

1:51

inflation but what did the federal

1:53

reserve just say

1:55

that actually gives us a license to see

1:57

bitcoin and ethereum run substantially

2:00

well it is actually

2:01

a wind behind what i've been talking

2:04

about all year and that is that i think

2:06

2022 is going to be the year that

2:08

cryptocurrencies really take off i think

2:10

that's when we're really going to see

2:12

a push for a real bitcoin etf not a

2:15

futuristic etf i think that's where

2:17

we're going to get actual stablecoin

2:19

regulation which will be bullish for the

2:20

market in my opinion because it should

2:22

help us limit excesses of leverage which

2:25

i understand the traditional banking

2:26

system has lots of leverage as well i

2:29

get that

2:30

but we want to make sure that we're not

2:31

like 10 times as leveraged as the

2:33

regular market because then we could be

2:35

really building cryptocurrency

2:36

valuations on uh you know sort of

2:38

toothpick foundations and i don't like

2:40

investing in things that are on

2:41

toothpick foundations i like companies

2:43

or assets that have really solid

2:45

foundations and then fluctuate and

2:49

hopefully in the long term go up in

2:50

price right but anyway that philosophy

2:53

aside the federal reserve is essentially

2:55

telling us a few things one they told us

2:59

that inflation is not under control they

3:01

said that we're working to get inflation

3:03

under control so in other words italics

3:06

right now inflation is not under control

3:08

which many of us already knew that but

3:10

it actually was uttered by the fed today

3:12

that inflation is not under control they

3:14

also say that they expect inflation to

3:16

last until q2 and q3 of 2022

3:22

that means anywhere between april and

3:25

september of 2023 or sorry 2022 is when

3:29

we would expect to continue to see

3:31

inflation until

3:32

and my expectations are that even when

3:34

inflation starts ticking down we're

3:37

still going to have higher wages and

3:39

higher rents that are going to have this

3:41

sort of lagging inflationary impact

3:43

pushing inflation up even more now we

3:45

could potentially see crypto do really

3:47

well the first nine months of 2022 and

3:50

i'm bullish about that i do think that

3:52

it's possible crypto markets are going

3:54

to start trying to price that in

3:56

starting even this month or december of

3:58

this year trying to price that

4:00

expectation in but we could potentially

4:02

see a downward catalyst for

4:04

cryptocurrencies when that inflation

4:06

starts inflecting down as individuals

4:08

potentially see less of a reason to be

4:11

in cryptocurrency at least those

4:13

individuals were using it as an

4:14

inflation hedge obviously if somebody's

4:16

in something because of an inflation

4:18

hedge or their goal is to hedge against

4:20

inflation and inflation goes away then

4:22

it would make sense that they would be

4:23

sellers of something that's otherwise

4:25

their inflation hedge right like when

4:26

inflation goes away maybe you dump gold

4:28

and you take it and you go buy some

4:30

other assets like tech stocks or

4:31

whatever you want to do so while i do

4:33

think we'll have that that shift

4:36

i do think it's going to take long not

4:38

only going to take longer but when that

4:40

shift starts coming i think that shift

4:42

is not going to be a dramatic drop in

4:44

inflation i think we're going to see a

4:46

little bit more of kind of a slow bleed

4:47

out of inflation because of the lagging

4:49

impact of wages still going up and of

4:53

rents still going up the next part of

4:55

this video is sponsored by masterworks

4:57

i'm really excited about what i have to

4:59

share with you here you all know that

5:01

i've been tracking trends of investors

5:03

pulling money out of the stock market

5:05

hedging against inflation and warning of

5:08

market crashes when we see catalysts in

5:11

the market remember folks when we see

5:13

trends in the market about people

5:15

getting nervous about inflation they

5:16

specifically get nervous about

5:18

high-yield growth stocks because they

5:20

have to discount those potential yields

5:22

which means they take money out right

5:24

in fact some top equity firms are now

5:26

projecting real returns of potentially

5:29

less than five percent even kathy wood

5:30

is suggesting this compression happening

5:33

and morningstar is predicting a

5:35

potential negative growth cycle for some

5:37

stocks now this isn't to say that they

5:40

are right but it's something to take

5:41

into consideration or arguments here on

5:43

both sides but there's an asset class

5:45

that you may not have heard about which

5:47

by some measures has outpaced the s p

5:49

500 by 174 from 1995 to 2020 which is

5:53

incredible considering the historic bull

5:55

run that we've already been in over that

5:56

time to so to outpace would mean we'd

5:58

have to have even a better return and uh

6:00

what's interesting here is that that's

6:01

almost double the appreciation of real

6:04

estate gold and 90 of cryptocurrencies

6:06

during the same time

6:08

and that asset is contemporary art and

6:12

unlike other assets i mentioned and just

6:14

about nobody is talking about

6:16

contemporary art because it's been

6:17

traditionally difficult for small

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investors to get started most retail

6:21

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multi-million dollar pieces of art to

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diversify their portfolios and protect

6:26

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6:28

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7:12

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7:16

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check out mastworks dot io and thank you

7:27

for sponsoring today's video so what's a

7:29

strategy for investing around all of

7:31

this well in my opinion here's my

7:34

strategy my goal is to be about eight to

7:37

ten percent crypto as a tool where i

7:41

park money either when i'm saving for

7:44

taxes or i'm i can't find any goods uh

7:47

stock deals so for example if there's no

7:49

good stock that i can see that's selling

7:52

for a big discount park eight to ten

7:54

percent of my money in cash but rather

7:56

than it actually being in us dollars

7:58

i'll have that in crypto so that'll be

8:00

bitcoin ethereum and cardano those are

8:02

the big three that i'm parking money in

8:04

i do own some smaller amounts of

8:06

different altcoins but these will be my

8:07

big core positions so like 95 plus

8:10

percent will be these core positions

8:13

then what we'll do is as i see the

8:16

inflation potentially start inflecting

8:18

down i'm going to really want to pay

8:20

attention to have we hit some new highs

8:23

and are there going to be opportunities

8:24

to potentially take profits so that way

8:26

let's say i put 10 percent of my stock

8:30

trading portfolio or let's say i put

8:32

three million dollars aside for

8:34

cryptocurrency uh cash that i have

8:36

sitting on the side and for

8:38

opportunities where i'll sell the crypto

8:40

and buy stocks when opportunities come

8:41

up if that crypto becomes more valuable

8:44

let's say it goes up by 30 and all of a

8:47

sudden i have 3.9 million dollars i'm

8:50

going to probably shave that extra 900k

8:54

once we start seeing inflation turn

8:57

and then only when i start seeing

8:59

inflation turn will actually move that

9:01

extra crypto to cash but i'll only start

9:04

shaving

9:06

well if as long as i'm not on margin if

9:07

i'm on margin that's different for me

9:09

margin is like get rid of borrowed money

9:11

like be out of margin but i have no

9:13

margin right now so the rest will go

9:14

into crypto until i see inflation

9:17

starting to rotate down until that

9:19

happens it's going to make sense to in

9:20

my opinion continue to focus on the

9:23

larger core cryptos for the bulk of your

9:25

portfolio bitcoin ethereum cardano maybe

9:28

solana even uh and the rationale behind

9:31

that is as much as it's fun to trade

9:34

some of the smaller tokens i wouldn't

9:36

put a large portion of my portfolio in

9:38

i'd probably put somewhere around that

9:39

same thing i could do with stocks five

9:41

to ten percent into shorter term trades

9:43

and hey if you hit it really hard and

9:45

you double or triple you take that money

9:47

out then take maybe half of that or

9:49

three quarters of that gain start

9:51

throwing it into that bitcoin ethereum

9:53

cardano solana pie that way you're

9:55

diversifying and then go play again it's

9:57

kind of like going to the park hopefully

9:59

you win big bring back load up your

10:01

other core positions and then go back

10:03

into the market and try to go shopping

10:04

again for that opportunity kind of a

10:06

strategy i have but in my opinion this

10:08

move by the federal reserve to

10:10

essentially admit that inflation is out

10:12

of control right now that they expect it

10:14

to go down in between q2 and q3 but in

10:17

the meantime they're going to continue

10:19

to print money until probably june of

10:21

2022 when the taper completes and

10:23

they're not even certain they're going

10:25

to raise rates at that point it's all

10:26

gonna have to do with what inflation

10:28

does at that point well it's possible in

10:30

my opinion that cryptocurrencies just

10:32

continue to do well up until that point

10:34

now no guarantees because the market

10:36

likes to try to anticipate inflation

10:38

going down and in that moment when we

10:41

see inflation start trending back down

10:43

again we'll probably see a little bit of

10:45

anchoring on the price of cryptocurrency

10:47

so my opinion a lot of crypto price

10:49

right now is not going to be related to

10:51

stock to flow but in the short term it's

10:53

going to be related to inflation and we

10:56

do have cpi data coming out soon so

10:59

let's see cpi data release

11:02

and let's look at expectations as well

11:04

for this i think that'd be good so the

11:06

next cpi data release is actually pretty

11:08

soon it's coming out november 10th

11:11

that's going to be cpi data for october

11:14

remember they always report one month

11:15

behind

11:17

so november 10th that's next week uh

11:21

wednesday actually is when it comes out

11:23

so one week from today

11:25

and then we're gonna get a report on

11:28

what inflation is like for october we

11:30

know that inflation came in a little

11:32

hotter in september but we did also have

11:34

more coveted shutdowns we have seen some

11:36

costs start coming down like used autos

11:40

have come down a little bit but they've

11:41

also been kind of fluctuating back up we

11:43

have seen lumber push back up but that

11:45

shows up in things like the producer

11:47

price index and not in the consumer

11:48

price index

11:50

which is just another thing that kind of

11:52

adds to a little bit of confusion

11:53

because you do have these different

11:54

measures of inflation i really think

11:56

they try to almost confuse us on

11:58

inflation which is kind of annoying but

12:00

anyway uh let's uh let's go ahead and

12:02

look at the expectation so if you have

12:04

not yet marked your calendar november

12:06

10th is the day that you want to mark

12:08

your calendar if we get a big beat on

12:10

inflation numbers

12:12

i'll probably buy crypto like my goal is

12:16

going to be to sit there right at 5 30

12:19

when that inflation report comes out and

12:21

then buy or sell crypto based on what i

12:23

see happen that moment so i'm going to

12:25

be sitting here with my coinbase and i'm

12:27

going to be ready to go all right so

12:29

10th cpi month over month the survey is

12:32

showing an expectation for a 0.6 percent

12:35

increase increase that's up from point

12:37

four percent last year a point six

12:40

percent increase if we hit that

12:41

expectation that's a seven point two

12:44

percent annualized inflation rate that's

12:46

very high this expectation is that this

12:49

inflation report is going to come in

12:51

high and if it does come in high

12:53

i think that's going to be a bullish

12:55

scenario for crypto even if it misses

12:59

the expectation is this high it would

13:00

have to miss dramatically

13:03

but anyway

13:04

cpi uh at uh 5.8 percent year over year

13:08

uh is the expectation that's not the

13:10

annualized month-over-month version

13:13

and then it looks like we're expecting

13:16

uh cpi without food and energy to be at

13:18

4.3 these are all increases

13:22

of around 8

13:24

from last

13:25

month

13:26

so the expectations are very high for

13:29

inflation uh for the october report uh i

13:32

don't we're not gonna get any inflection

13:34

point this year on inflation it doesn't

13:36

look like and jerome powell himself said

13:38

we're not going to see

13:40

you know real moderating of inflation

13:42

until the middle of next year in my

13:44

opinion bullish for crypto bullish sign

13:46

for crypto so we'll see what happens uh

13:48

very interested to to track what happens

13:50

as well over the next few days as we

13:52

lead into that inflation report but

13:54

right now the expectations are

13:55

definitely high

13:56

so these are my thoughts on why the

13:59

federal reserve has kind of given a

14:00

license for cryptocurrencies to do very

14:02

very well over the next year and folks

14:04

we'll see the next one thanks again

14:06

[Music]

14:17

you

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