Bitcoin & Ethereum are about to Explode | MARK THIS.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone kevin here this video is
sponsored by masterworks but more on
them in a moment first we've got to talk
about how the federal reserve and what
the fed just said today in my opinion
gives us the license to see bitcoin hit
120k
and 10k ethereum i'm going to explain
exactly why in this video let's get
right into that
first
i believe based on surveys that i've
done and research that i've done that at
least 40 to potentially 55 of
individuals who invest in
cryptocurrencies or cryptocurrency
assets do so because they see
cryptocurrencies as a hedge against
inflation they see real estate out of
reach which is a traditional hedge
against inflation
at least leveraged real estate is and
they see that
fiat or just holding dollars is
obviously not something that is going to
hedge you at all against inflation if
anything you are most exposed to
inflation holding on to dollars in fact
you're more protected from inflation in
the stock market than you are holding
cash obviously cash is nice for
opportunities but hey
why not instead of hold cash or holding
cash hold cryptocurrencies which are
also extremely liquid that you could use
for opportunities as they present
themselves for example if you're going
to hold cash to go buy stocks on the dip
you may as well hold money in
cryptocurrencies and then buy certain
stocks if they dip after earnings or
whatever
if you wanted to preserve your wealth
your cash wealth and protect it from
inflation while at the same time having
the liquidity to go purchase something
in the event that there's a dip
obviously that works well unless of
course bitcoin or ethereum or all of a
sudden plummeting which entirely could
happen but that's the benefit of bitcoin
or ethereum is because there's
volatility the goal is that you would
make money and be protected more from
inflation but what did the federal
reserve just say
that actually gives us a license to see
bitcoin and ethereum run substantially
well it is actually
a wind behind what i've been talking
about all year and that is that i think
2022 is going to be the year that
cryptocurrencies really take off i think
that's when we're really going to see
a push for a real bitcoin etf not a
futuristic etf i think that's where
we're going to get actual stablecoin
regulation which will be bullish for the
market in my opinion because it should
help us limit excesses of leverage which
i understand the traditional banking
system has lots of leverage as well i
get that
but we want to make sure that we're not
like 10 times as leveraged as the
regular market because then we could be
really building cryptocurrency
valuations on uh you know sort of
toothpick foundations and i don't like
investing in things that are on
toothpick foundations i like companies
or assets that have really solid
foundations and then fluctuate and
hopefully in the long term go up in
price right but anyway that philosophy
aside the federal reserve is essentially
telling us a few things one they told us
that inflation is not under control they
said that we're working to get inflation
under control so in other words italics
right now inflation is not under control
which many of us already knew that but
it actually was uttered by the fed today
that inflation is not under control they
also say that they expect inflation to
last until q2 and q3 of 2022
that means anywhere between april and
september of 2023 or sorry 2022 is when
we would expect to continue to see
inflation until
and my expectations are that even when
inflation starts ticking down we're
still going to have higher wages and
higher rents that are going to have this
sort of lagging inflationary impact
pushing inflation up even more now we
could potentially see crypto do really
well the first nine months of 2022 and
i'm bullish about that i do think that
it's possible crypto markets are going
to start trying to price that in
starting even this month or december of
this year trying to price that
expectation in but we could potentially
see a downward catalyst for
cryptocurrencies when that inflation
starts inflecting down as individuals
potentially see less of a reason to be
in cryptocurrency at least those
individuals were using it as an
inflation hedge obviously if somebody's
in something because of an inflation
hedge or their goal is to hedge against
inflation and inflation goes away then
it would make sense that they would be
sellers of something that's otherwise
their inflation hedge right like when
inflation goes away maybe you dump gold
and you take it and you go buy some
other assets like tech stocks or
whatever you want to do so while i do
think we'll have that that shift
i do think it's going to take long not
only going to take longer but when that
shift starts coming i think that shift
is not going to be a dramatic drop in
inflation i think we're going to see a
little bit more of kind of a slow bleed
out of inflation because of the lagging
impact of wages still going up and of
rents still going up the next part of
this video is sponsored by masterworks
i'm really excited about what i have to
share with you here you all know that
i've been tracking trends of investors
pulling money out of the stock market
hedging against inflation and warning of
market crashes when we see catalysts in
the market remember folks when we see
trends in the market about people
getting nervous about inflation they
specifically get nervous about
high-yield growth stocks because they
have to discount those potential yields
which means they take money out right
in fact some top equity firms are now
projecting real returns of potentially
less than five percent even kathy wood
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and morningstar is predicting a
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500 by 174 from 1995 to 2020 which is
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what's interesting here is that that's
almost double the appreciation of real
estate gold and 90 of cryptocurrencies
during the same time
and that asset is contemporary art and
unlike other assets i mentioned and just
about nobody is talking about
contemporary art because it's been
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check out mastworks dot io and thank you
for sponsoring today's video so what's a
strategy for investing around all of
this well in my opinion here's my
strategy my goal is to be about eight to
ten percent crypto as a tool where i
park money either when i'm saving for
taxes or i'm i can't find any goods uh
stock deals so for example if there's no
good stock that i can see that's selling
for a big discount park eight to ten
percent of my money in cash but rather
than it actually being in us dollars
i'll have that in crypto so that'll be
bitcoin ethereum and cardano those are
the big three that i'm parking money in
i do own some smaller amounts of
different altcoins but these will be my
big core positions so like 95 plus
percent will be these core positions
then what we'll do is as i see the
inflation potentially start inflecting
down i'm going to really want to pay
attention to have we hit some new highs
and are there going to be opportunities
to potentially take profits so that way
let's say i put 10 percent of my stock
trading portfolio or let's say i put
three million dollars aside for
cryptocurrency uh cash that i have
sitting on the side and for
opportunities where i'll sell the crypto
and buy stocks when opportunities come
up if that crypto becomes more valuable
let's say it goes up by 30 and all of a
sudden i have 3.9 million dollars i'm
going to probably shave that extra 900k
once we start seeing inflation turn
and then only when i start seeing
inflation turn will actually move that
extra crypto to cash but i'll only start
shaving
well if as long as i'm not on margin if
i'm on margin that's different for me
margin is like get rid of borrowed money
like be out of margin but i have no
margin right now so the rest will go
into crypto until i see inflation
starting to rotate down until that
happens it's going to make sense to in
my opinion continue to focus on the
larger core cryptos for the bulk of your
portfolio bitcoin ethereum cardano maybe
solana even uh and the rationale behind
that is as much as it's fun to trade
some of the smaller tokens i wouldn't
put a large portion of my portfolio in
i'd probably put somewhere around that
same thing i could do with stocks five
to ten percent into shorter term trades
and hey if you hit it really hard and
you double or triple you take that money
out then take maybe half of that or
three quarters of that gain start
throwing it into that bitcoin ethereum
cardano solana pie that way you're
diversifying and then go play again it's
kind of like going to the park hopefully
you win big bring back load up your
other core positions and then go back
into the market and try to go shopping
again for that opportunity kind of a
strategy i have but in my opinion this
move by the federal reserve to
essentially admit that inflation is out
of control right now that they expect it
to go down in between q2 and q3 but in
the meantime they're going to continue
to print money until probably june of
2022 when the taper completes and
they're not even certain they're going
to raise rates at that point it's all
gonna have to do with what inflation
does at that point well it's possible in
my opinion that cryptocurrencies just
continue to do well up until that point
now no guarantees because the market
likes to try to anticipate inflation
going down and in that moment when we
see inflation start trending back down
again we'll probably see a little bit of
anchoring on the price of cryptocurrency
so my opinion a lot of crypto price
right now is not going to be related to
stock to flow but in the short term it's
going to be related to inflation and we
do have cpi data coming out soon so
let's see cpi data release
and let's look at expectations as well
for this i think that'd be good so the
next cpi data release is actually pretty
soon it's coming out november 10th
that's going to be cpi data for october
remember they always report one month
behind
so november 10th that's next week uh
wednesday actually is when it comes out
so one week from today
and then we're gonna get a report on
what inflation is like for october we
know that inflation came in a little
hotter in september but we did also have
more coveted shutdowns we have seen some
costs start coming down like used autos
have come down a little bit but they've
also been kind of fluctuating back up we
have seen lumber push back up but that
shows up in things like the producer
price index and not in the consumer
price index
which is just another thing that kind of
adds to a little bit of confusion
because you do have these different
measures of inflation i really think
they try to almost confuse us on
inflation which is kind of annoying but
anyway uh let's uh let's go ahead and
look at the expectation so if you have
not yet marked your calendar november
10th is the day that you want to mark
your calendar if we get a big beat on
inflation numbers
i'll probably buy crypto like my goal is
going to be to sit there right at 5 30
when that inflation report comes out and
then buy or sell crypto based on what i
see happen that moment so i'm going to
be sitting here with my coinbase and i'm
going to be ready to go all right so
10th cpi month over month the survey is
showing an expectation for a 0.6 percent
increase increase that's up from point
four percent last year a point six
percent increase if we hit that
expectation that's a seven point two
percent annualized inflation rate that's
very high this expectation is that this
inflation report is going to come in
high and if it does come in high
i think that's going to be a bullish
scenario for crypto even if it misses
the expectation is this high it would
have to miss dramatically
but anyway
cpi uh at uh 5.8 percent year over year
uh is the expectation that's not the
annualized month-over-month version
and then it looks like we're expecting
uh cpi without food and energy to be at
4.3 these are all increases
of around 8
from last
month
so the expectations are very high for
inflation uh for the october report uh i
don't we're not gonna get any inflection
point this year on inflation it doesn't
look like and jerome powell himself said
we're not going to see
you know real moderating of inflation
until the middle of next year in my
opinion bullish for crypto bullish sign
for crypto so we'll see what happens uh
very interested to to track what happens
as well over the next few days as we
lead into that inflation report but
right now the expectations are
definitely high
so these are my thoughts on why the
federal reserve has kind of given a
license for cryptocurrencies to do very
very well over the next year and folks
we'll see the next one thanks again
[Music]
you
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