A Moment of Silence | Tesla Stock.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone me Kevin here we got to
talk about a Tesla stock and my price
Target now we've talked about my price
Target last week and a lot of folks are
like Kevin this price Target seems low
and I wanted to clarify something that's
really important about a Tesla stock but
before I do I want to offer a moment of
silence a moment of silence to Jim chos
who is a legend for shorting
Enron but then shorted Tesla
and basically went from multi-billions
of dollars in assets to under $200
million in assets and ended up deciding
to close his hedge fund now something
interesting about this individual as
well and I remember this really clearly
you might you might or you might not it
depends if you were paying attention to
the AMC news you might remember that
when AMC offered the AP the AMC
preferred Equity units I'm like m no no
no no no no no I don't like this I don't
like these at all everything was just
written really nasty and and basically
set up to screw the retail investor AMC
is undertaking the most brilliant move
I've ever seen in stock market history
and it's literally designed to screw
people who just don't read the fine
print that's exactly what ended up
happening now unfortunately I got a lot
of hate for covering that in fact look
at this
69% dislike ratio on that video even
though it ended up being right but what
was really interesting was people were
referencing a Jim chos interview where
when those AP units came out for AMC he
said Oh short AMC buy the AP units
because they're basically the same so
the AP will go up and AMC will go down
and just calm down Apes um I'm actually
an AMC security holder on the other side
we actually bought the new a preferred
and we have shorted the the uh the AMC
comment against it they are economically
the same security and I'm like no bro
they're both going to go down in 6 to 12
months I expect T terer symbol ape will
be worth $1 or less that would be an 86%
declin from today no I'm not I don't
want to laugh to cheer at the demise of
AMC or what has happened uh I want AMC
to be able to transition and succeed
hopefully T Swizzle can help them out a
lot and obviously this is an AMC video
but it's very interesting to think that
this is the same dude the same dude who
was short Tesla was also has totally the
person who misinterpreted and
misunderstood what AMC was doing and I'm
I'm not here to say I got it right on
the AP units but that is what happened
now the reason I bring up this AMC Talk
regarding Tesla is that clearly this
person might be missing
some very clear indicators when he
invests in companies hence in my opinion
why going for closing hedge funds
because if he really believed in his
thesis he would say no this is he'd pull
a Kathy Wood right this is an
opportunity this is a chance to double
down on the shorts versus Tesla this is
a chance to double down and be twice as
right that's a way of saying like for
example if you believe in in uh interest
rate sensitive stocks like Tesla which I
imagine you probably do I certainly do
it's my largest position it's the
biggest position my actively manage ETF
I believe in let me put it this way I
believe in Tesla so freaking much that
I'm willing to pay for an actively
managed
ETF and put whatever I can into that
actively managed ETF so that way when
Tesla booms I can rebalance it as if
it's in a Roth IRA without tax
implications now I have to be careful
there I don't want to get in trouble
basically talk to your CPA about the tax
benefits of ETFs you could trade in them
uh sort of like you're exchanging real
estate but that assumes that you have
gains right so anyway the point of all
of this is just to say I'm really
bullish on Tesla that that's why I'm
building everything in that direction
and I'm d i double down on the
bullishness of Tesla I double down on
the trades I make whether it's chips or
n phase or whatever and I realize in the
painful times it's like oh Kevin you
know I like I I get
it but I think this is a great
opportunity so this moment of silence
now to be had for Jim chanos the person
who got the AMC debacle wrong and a
short Tesla let's just say I think is a
transition point to the start of Tesla
actually crushing it so moment of
silence
to the
moon now we need to talk about Tesla
because look last week we went through
my spreadsheet we went through a
very in my opinion conservative estimate
what I said is I said let's remove
everything that is Tesla basically
Optimus Dojo super computer FSD Robo
taxi we're going to call Energy well
energy above 10% we're going to call all
of that
the icing on the cake that is your
margin of safety in Tesla you you don't
want to start calculating and pricing in
everything that the company has because
then when something goes slightly wrong
it go you suffer and then it's like you
miss expectations and that I like to go
shoot low so I'm going to take all that
out even though those are some of those
things like Optimus could end up being
more profitable than Autos in the future
you know you get a functional Optimus
that could sit in a factory and do
something for you over and over over
again they are going to sell out the
Optimus robot like there is no tomorrow
I am highly confident in the future of
Robotics if I had enough
money to create a startup another one
another one okay we're going to turn
into DJ Kaled it's going to be like
Kevin another one
hopefully because what we want is to
make sure they're all a success as well
right you don't want to get distracted
and uh and and have not success
fortunately uh house hack is off to a
really phenomenal start
so if I was going to create a startup
the startup that I would create and I
had the money to do it would be uh and
it was outside of the real estate
startup that we're already doing and the
finance startup that we're already doing
it was outside of those it would be in
robotics it would be to try to make the
Optimus robot to compete with Tesla
because I think the market will be so
huge so my
analysis removed all of those hopes and
I said I think just solely based on that
this is a $1,000 stock and there were a
lot of comments people like Kevin that's
not bullish enough man man that's that's
too that's way too low man I'll be
disappointed if it's only $1,000 by that
point okay who wait a second wait a
second wait a second I should have and
and I'm working on this my communication
wasn't as clear as it should have been
at least apparently based on the
comments uh that is a very conservative
,000 estimate based on removing all of
the rest that I think will be very
profitable for Tesla and if you paid
close attention to the video I said I
think that $1,000 price Target will
actually be hit within the next year
that's because I think we're going to
see over the next year as interest rates
come down as long as we avoid a
recession we avoid massive job loss I
think what we're going to see is a shift
from
treasuries and cash straight into
stocks and it'll be growth at any cost
again and I actually believe we're going
to see massive Euphoria again now I'm
not I can't guarantee we're going to get
to $1,000 with Tesla I can't guarantee
you're going to make money investing in
Tesla okay I'm not your personal
financial adviser we know this but this
is a this is an opinion that I have I
really believe there's a chance we could
go for a th000 bucks once the economy
goes from uh fearful about recession and
high interest rates to positioning to we
need growth at any cost there will be a
disproportionate explosion in those
stocks in my opinion uh one of the
reasons you see stuff like this
happening is look you've got resident
bear cesi kabes letter here or whatever
first outflows from treasury funds since
February of
2023 okay so what did they buy investors
purchased $24 billion of stocks okay
imagine when all of this fat turns into
buying stocks we're just at the
beginning there was another one right
here us Commercial Bank deposits fell
right because people are buying stocks
it's getting started it's getting
started the more the disinflation
narrative holds and more people realize
it's not just a narrative it's a reality
the more people buy stocks so okay let's
be clear
here between now and the end of next
year I think the stock market will start
pricing in 2030 which means we price in
1,000 bucks just for the automotive
business now what's going to happen is I
think people are going to price in
cybertruck scale we're going to look I
want to be very clear about
CT I think the cybertruck event will be
a short-term by the rumor sell the news
cybertruck gets delivered they'll only
deliver like five or 10 cars they'll
deliver them to employees only people
are going to be like what we thought you
were going to deliver like 500 or a
th000 by the end of the year this sucks
then those are going to get out on the
road and uh you know people are going to
take pictures of them and go oh panel
Gap this or a cyber truck's going to get
into a car accident there's just going
to be a lot of negative Nelly news in
the short term it's all like legitimate
fud fear uncertainty and doubt this
vehicle I strongly believe obviously
can't guarantee it
will be a massive Catalyst for Tesla and
so what you're going to find is at the
same time as you get this pricing in of
2030 price targets next year you'll
actually be getting cybertruck ramp and
Broad mainstream cybertruck adaptation
people who are today like oh look ar
rivian damn that car looks good they're
going be like Dam that I want one of
those especially the Price Is
Right so near-term bearish long-term
bullish on the CT but then what you're
going to get is after you price in the
2030 only Automotive price targets based
on CT
excitement that's where we're going to
get a little dangerous because I think
we're going to get into Euphoria and I
think you get into Euphoria where people
are going to start saying things like we
need a price in dojo we need a price in
in Optimus they were able to pull off
the Cyber truck that's it Optimus uh $10
billion now what $1 trillion of Revenue
in in 2040 and you're going to start
seeing that pull forward where you can
actually blast through that $1,000
PT also I want to be clear on the flip
side just to sort of balance this video
because I have to be careful just like
implying that I'm only to the Moon
bullish although that is how I am
positioned okay my positioning aligns
with that uh I want to be very clear I
do not think we are revisiting the lows
that we had last year I think this was
the fear of Paul vulker and the fear of
vehicle bankruptcy I do not see us
repricing this in looking at the fibs
everything we've seen here entirely
reasonal B bouncing off the 200 day
moving average entirely reasonable and
that 200 day moving average is very
consistent with what I like to call the
Nike Swoosh the volatile Nike Swoosh the
volatility is what we see on the day the
moving average is obviously the not
volatile part so that's my take on test
I want to be very clear when I said
1,000 bucks 2030 I think that's going to
get priced in way
sooner but we'll have to be careful
because we are going to get to Euphoria
again in my opinion so again very clear
it's my opinion I'm very excited moment
of silence for Jim chos cyber truck is
going to be awesome we'll see you all
soon thank you so much for um giving me
another chance if you've been thinking
about uh either unsubbing or uh you're
not certain about subbing uh I'm going
doing my best why not advertise these
things that you told us here I feel like
no nobody else knows about this we'll
we'll try a little advertising and see
how it Go congratulations man you have
done so much people love you people look
up to you Kevin P there financial
analyst and YouTuber meet Kevin always
great to get your
take even though I'm a licensed
financial adviser real estate broker and
becoming a stock broker this video is
neither personalized Financial advice
nor real estate advice for you it is not
tax legal or otherwise personalized
advice tailored to you this video
provides generalized perspective
information and commentary any
thirdparty content I show should not be
deemed endorsed by me this video is not
and shall never be deemed reasonably
sufficient information for the purpose
of evaluating a security or investment
decision any links or promoted products
or either paid affiliations or products
or Services which we may benefit from I
personally operate and actively managed
ETF and hold long positions in various
Securities potentially including those
mentioned in this video however I have
no relationship to any issuers other
than house act nor am I presently acting
as a market
maker
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