Ted Cruz CONFRONTED by Becky Quick on CNBC.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
you know Joe Biden started off with a
position he wouldn't talk at all he
wouldn't compromise he was unwilling to
consider anything that was obviously
unreasonable and and he had to fold from
that because it that didn't withstand
scrutiny
where we are now I don't know if the
White House is willing to be reasonable
I I'll tell you what I've encouraged
President Joe Biden to do which is
listen to Vice President Joe Biden in
2011 the last big debt ceiling Showdown
we had
where Republicans held a line and said
we need to rein in spending it was Vice
President Joe Biden who negotiated what
was called the budget Control Act
designed to cut 2.3 trillion in spending
and he sat down with with Mitch
McConnell and and with with the house
speaker and they negotiated that deal
I hope Joe Biden as president has at
least some modicum of the same
willingness to do that I'm worried that
he doesn't have the ability to do it
anymore and and look I will say honestly
this is going to be a negotiation that
plays out Kevin McCarthy definitely has
a stronger hand because he passed the
bill in the house that gives him a
stronger negotiating power he is not
going to take something to the floor
that he can't get at least a majority of
his caucus to sign off on so hopefully
the two of them can work some sort of a
deal out look I think we both agree that
it's not a good scenario any way shape
or form if we default on our debt we
should absolutely not default on the
debt and and I will tell you I'm I am
more worried now that we might default
than I ever have been really and the
reason is I don't think Biden is is up
to the task I don't think he's engaged
in the negotiations personally and
directly
yeah they literally met yesterday what
are you talking about Ted his mental
capacities are markedly diminished from
from even a few years ago and don't make
me go through this and what what makes
me worry is yeah I think the decision
making in the White House is being done
by a bunch of 20-something and 30
something little marxists who don't have
an appreciation for reality I told you I
didn't want to dig into this we're going
to get stuck digging into this I mean I
will say the same argument there have
been people who questioned the last
president's ability to be able to have
rational conversations and do these
things there were people who were
talking about having him removed with
the 25th Amendment but look he's in the
room he's making the talks hopefully so
I can tell you the reality all right
when the Senate is in session every
Republican senator we have lunch
together
we sit around and talk about how
virtually none of us have spoken to the
president even once he doesn't talk to
Republican Senators and that's weird we
all know Joe I was sworn into office by
Vice President Joe Biden he was a man of
the Senate this White House hides him
and and it's unfortunate Donald just
meet with him
McConnell had met with him briefly but
it is I used to talk to Trump every week
sometimes every day I spoke with Obama I
spoke with Obama regularly it is weird
Lindsey Graham has flown all over the
world with Joe Biden for 20 years
Lindsay hadn't talked with Joe they keep
him hidden that's not disputed like no
but nobody denies that they keep him
he's not doing media he doesn't do media
he doesn't just sit down with McConnell
and McCarthy is talking to him every day
he also just went to the G7 it's not
like this guy
I don't want to be in the corner of um
on on things great if he is then he
ought to do what he did in 2011. I I
don't think he is and I'm worried
because I think the young extreme
staffers in the White House have no
appreciation for just how damaging a
default would be and so I think they are
quite willing Force the default because
they think the media will blame it on
Republicans and I think that would be
wildly responsible the talking points I
hear all the time is that this would be
much worse for the president to go into
a default because he's the president who
would get blamed in the next election
cycle which is why Donald Trump is
urging anyone in the house to say no so
I I don't think that's what the White
House believes I think the White House
believes whatever happens
the media will blame it on Republicans
whether that's true or not I think
that's what the White House believes and
and one thing to be clear Joe Biden
today could take the chances of a
default to zero here's what I think a
responsible president would say he would
stand up and say under no circumstances
will we ever ever default on the debt no
matter what the United States honors our
commitments now how could he do that he
could do that by claiming the 14th
Amendment
I know except that would be patiently
unconstitutional but but he could do it
in a very simple way that is clearly
legal which is that every month federal
tax revenues coming into the federal
government
significantly exceed interest on the
debt and he could say we're going to pay
interest on the debt we're not going to
default everything else that's what's
called prioritization he could do that
and then they they're very well may get
to that situation they may get to that
situation but the reason that he hasn't
said that which he could say he could
take the chances of default to zero the
reason he hasn't is is I think the White
House is trying to scare Monger on this
they're trying to threaten to fall not
paying the rest of our bills would not
be great either well but but let's stop
paying the veterans do you stop paying
the defense department about paying the
salaries of people in Congress okay not
paying the salaries of people in
Congress would actually be a pretty good
step so so that that actually those
should be the first bills they don't pay
actually to be clear everyone agreed
that the death ceiling needs to be
raised but if you look historically it
has been the only leverage that has been
effective in reigning in out of control
spending look it's a negotiating tool I
get it and it's the only thing that
works and you know given squawk bucks
get it gets into the numbers I think
it's worth pausing for a second and
reflecting at how different this is from
the past so 2017
total federal spending was about four
trillion dollars
total federal tax revenue was about 3.3
trillion dollars now quick math that
means we had about a 700 billion dollar
deficit that was 2017.
fast forward to today
total spending has gone from 4 trillion
up to six and a half trillion dollars
six point four trillion dollars tax
revenues have exploded tax revenues have
gone from 3.3 trillion
to 4.8 trillion now quick pause to note
when we signed the 2017 tax cuts that I
fought very hard to pass
every Democrat went on TV and said this
is going to slash Federal revenues and
blow up the deficit turns out they were
entirely wrong on that every year
federal tax revenues have gone up and
they've gone up from 3.3 trillion
to 4.8 trillion the problem isn't
tax revenues the problem is we had a
spending binge from the Democrats that
has caused the national debt to go from
20 billion to 30 to 20 trillion rather
to 32 trillion reasons infrastructure
Bill a chip spill the ridiculously named
inflation reduction act yeah look I
voted against those bills those were
mistakes you voted against the
infrastructure Bill too yes
okay so there are people who who would
say even once we get through that you
got to cut the spending back because
those are long-term projects that maybe
even if they were in need of spending
and by the way if the infrastructure
Bill had focused on actual roads and
bridges and infrastructure that we need
I would have happily voted for it the
problem was it was filled with with all
sorts of goodies for special interest
that had nothing to do with real
infrastructure so you said
the numbers so CNBC so the S P 500 is at
4200 there seems to be a firm belief in
the market that a deal will be reached
it sounds like you you're saying to
Market participants brace yourself
because we could actually go to default
that's a scenario that we are not
pricing into the markets right now I
agree and listen I think a deal will be
reached I think at the end even though
you're saying Joe Biden's not going to
be the vice president of 2011 you think
a deal is going to be I think a deal
will be reached but I worry that the
chances of a default are greater than
they ever have been that I worry that
this White House is reckless enough to
force a default I don't think that'll
happen I think that's less likely than
not but the odds are higher than than we
should be happy with
let's switch to technology we were just
having a well the the discussion about
what happened yes we'll respond to some
of these things as well in just a moment
sure of the Pentagon being bombed
what what else can you imagine under the
scenario how do you stop it how do you
make sure that this is not going to be
something that we have to be worried
about every day oh look it's it's a
Brave New World we're in and and it is
frightening between technology the
technology of deep fakes between where
AI is going
um it's just going to be a very
dangerous environment for the
foreseeable future and
we're going to have to have real
skepticism to almost anything you see to
make sure it is real and accurate it's
not going to be that hard to suddenly
have video of some politician saying
something they never said uh or somebody
you know people doing things that never
happened and and so it's going to be
incumbent
on it's actually why I'm a big believer
in in free speech that if you have lots
of people engaged uh you can have
real-time fact checking you remember one
of the first big instances of this was
Dan Rather back in I guess it was 2004
where he had 60 Minutes this Brig big
expose on George W bush with these
documents and you know it's one of the
first instances of I guess there's a
bunch of you know bloggers in their
pajamas who noticed the documents that
he claimed to have appeared to be
fraudulent and it ended up within a
couple of days revealing that they were
faking fraudulent documents that was one
of the first real illustrations to me of
the power of the community of folks
online being able to point to facts and
correct them and and with new technology
we're going to need to do that it's
easier to do that when you have a
limited number of news sources and a
bunch of people
when everybody is a news service which
is essentially what you have on a lot of
these social media apps you know that
that becomes it's how something can get
faked and spread instantaneously and
before you have the time to fact check
it yeah
there's questions about security
something along those lines
say yes and no
um
I worry about what has happened to much
of the media there's a reason I like
coming on squat box because because you
all actually talk about substance and
you get into it and and you guys are
much much less partisan than most of the
other media Outlets out there
um one of the really unfortunate
consequences I think of the age of trump
is that much of the media Trump broke
the media that that stations like CNN
MSNBC
they hate Trump so much
that they've stopped practicing
journalism and and I don't think that's
good for America when
when people who are supposed to be
journalists view their role as advocates
pushing a point of view particularly in
that context I think it's important to
have lots and lots of people where
everyone can be a publisher and can
press back so the media is broken but
back to the question is there anything
Congress can do about AI because
misinformation can spread and it's like
shouting fire in a crowded movie theater
and and in this case it could be
billions of dollars in market cap shaved
off the stock market a single stock so
many different ramifications here well
it's it's not like Congress is going to
be able to waive a magic wand and make
ai go away
um it's not like Congress is going to be
able to stop uh criminal activity and
make suddenly criminals go away either
but you stand up on an amicus brief
against section 230 and I think that's a
good start yeah absolutely yeah look
section 230 was passed at a time when
the internet barely existed and it was
designed to protect a Nason industry and
to enable it to grow we now have big
Tech is are these massive behemoths the
largest companies in the world and the
power they exercise the Monopoly control
they exercise and in particular 230
when it was passed Congress assumed that
big Tech would be a neutral Public
Square in other words it wouldn't be
putting it some on the scale it wouldn't
be silencing some voices and not others
but it would let everyone speak and and
the reasoning was it's not fair to sue
Facebook because of a comment you make
or I make because if you make it or I
make it it's not Facebook's fault now
now that's true if they're an open
Public Square for everyone
what's happened is that big Tech in
recent years has decided to actively and
aggressively censor speech
and silence views they disagree with and
I gotta say Elon musk's buying Twitter
and making the Twitter files public was
an absolute Game Changer if that is your
view though about big Tack and their
ability to control speech Etc then that
should be even more of a concern when it
comes to AI yeah they are the leaders in
AI right now they're the ones that have
accrued billions of Market billions of
dollars in market cap because of the
notion they are in the lead on AI so is
that a much bigger concern and how does
it factor in also because there's a
thinking that if you if you constrain
the development of AI in this country
that you're going to actually allow
other countries particularly China right
to take the lead in this technology look
I think you make a very good point and I
am quite nervous about constraining the
development of AI and are there very
real dangers coming from AI across the
board yes I I chaired the very first
congressional hearing ever on artificial
intelligence
the problem is and and is there a need
for congressional action on some point
almost surely there is but the problem
is most people in Congress don't
understand this at all look we don't do
intelligence very well much less
artificial intelligence
um and you know the Senate I think the
median age is about 142.
um you know one of my colleagues on
Judiciary referred to the internet as a
system of tubes
we should be careful asking folks who
don't really understand it to regulate
it I think Congress needs to get smarter
I think we need to have hearings I think
we need to consider testimony but I
think we should proceed slowly so that
we don't go in and break things the last
thing I want is for China to get way way
ahead of us on AI because government
Regulators have gotten in the way
so it is reasonable to be worried about
where AI is taking us but I don't think
Congress is going to fix the problem
overnight
Crews want to thank you for coming in
today always a pleasure good to see you
this was actually surprisingly a really
good piece like that's one of the
reasons I like this five to uh you know
six o'clock hour even though this began
a little bit before that with CNBC is is
they they have really good guests on
around this time uh and uh it really
better than than what you see or closer
to Bell time on CNBC or or earlier in
the morning uh just my take you know
anyway so uh I'll go backwards here a
little bit and just address a few things
uh first of all a lot of people are
talking about investing in Chinese AI uh
I actually think there's a reason to be
cautious about that specifically because
with uh Chinese AI you're running into
severe risks of U.S sanctions basically
destroying Chinese AI companies I know
that sounds extreme like how could
America destroy a company oh a vacant uh
even just limiting China's access to
some of the most powerful or Advanced
microchips could sandbag saw
social intelligence race and I think
that's probably exactly why America is
sanctioning China's ability to get their
hands on Advanced lithography machines
to to make uh uh you know uh smaller uh
transistors uh you know or reduce the
spacing between them down to you know
that five to three nanometer uh level uh
or below that mostly because
one of the best weapons we have is just
having better chips than China I still
refer to China as the uh a teenager of
the global stage where China is kind of
coming into its uh discovery of its sort
of like power like ah you know I'm a I'm
a big you know uh he had like I went to
the zoo last week I went to San Diego
with uh my kids Lauren and I and uh
they're they're teaching the kids about
uh you know the gorillas and and it's
kind of like the gorilla teenagers they
uh they get really aggressive because
they're just coming to realize how
strong they are but they don't know what
they're doing so they're constantly like
hurting themselves and stumbling over
each other and they have to kind of like
realize how strong they are and to some
extent it maybe a little bit feels like
China is kind of like that and so
personally I I can't invest in China uh
because a I don't understand like it's a
totally different culture so I don't
understand how to even analyze what
companies would do well with Chinese
consumers so this is why I've always
stayed away from from China but also I
think that the United States and Europe
will probably make it their mission to
continue to sort of keep a boot uh or on
on the neck or or maybe more appropriate
like keep the the gorilla of China caged
a little bit basically limit their
ability to really explode with
artificial intelligence relative to what
I think American companies will be able
to do uh keep in mind as well you know
just sort of on the the uh a topic of
China Joe Biden's suggested potentially
some softening relations coming with
China I really believe this is because
they have to you know China's GDP is
coming in uh or is expected to come in
substantially lower than what they've
been growing at the last like two
decades and they've been growing at
somewhere around 8.9 percent now their
GDP will grow somewhere around five
percent and they're trying to stimulate
their economy to grow more because they
want that growth uh the United States
has way more Partnerships around the
world than China does and and their
their potentially way stronger I mean
think about American alliances are not
just trade Partnerships but they're
defense Partnerships uh sure China's got
their Belt Road initiative and they've
got some friends in Pakistan and North
Korea and maybe Iran now after their
negotiations with the Saudis but I mean
when you look at and then maybe you
could say Russia but I mean what kind of
friend is that I mean that's you know
that's the Loose Cannon friend you're
like you know just just leave us alone
but maybe uh settle down you know China
really ought to condemn Russia but I
don't want to go like super deep here on
China but but really if if you think
about it
it's it's tough It's it's tough to argue
that investing in Chinese chips or AI is
the best move when you know the
International Community is good to do
everything they can to limit uh Chinese
growth now then you wonder like okay
well how much of that is already priced
in I I I don't know you have to figure
that one out but then again trying to
underwrite Chinese stocks with with
their public filings relative to what we
have and I'm not saying in companies
with public filings over here are not
shysters there are plenty of reasons to
think that companies with public filings
are are you know shysters uh like just
look at uh not to mention any names not
possible uh but um but yeah so so going
back to Ted Cruz's argument
I'm not terribly worried about Chinese
AI
uh as an individual mostly because I
actually think that
Congress uh we'll give them credit there
and the International Community will
already cage in China so uh that that
leaves me less worried about that uh and
uh it will be interesting to see how
regulation evolves for for AI here but
uh you know that that'll all come in
time probably too late as it usually
does uh there's already research now
that AI is getting more attention than
Bitcoin has been getting over the past
three to four to five years I find it
very interesting because the stock
market's been trending up but Bitcoin
really has that I mean Bitcoin had a
really nice run there so yeah we're at
27 3 right now uh so it's done very well
because it's nearly doubled right I mean
we're at 15 something so so maybe it's
just on its uh natural break so to speak
you know you go to the one year yeah
we're about to the same level as the one
year on BTC right now but uh at the
start of the year we were at 16 nine so
I think it's Bitcoin just fine because
if you think about it it's outperformed
the other indices 16 9 yeah it's up 61
it's way outperformed you know it's
basically performed like a tech stock
not not the NASDAQ though nasdaq's only
up like 27 but anyway
uh this uh this debt ceiling just to
sort of finish that
it's interesting that Ted Cruz argues
that Joe Biden should come out and
declare that America will not default
when and this is what I just so much
hate about politics
it's literally what Joe Biden has done
and I'm not here to like shell a party
or Joe Biden or whatever but you know
of course if you're Joe Biden you're
like we will not default and then the
Republicans are like man if only Joe
Biden would come out and say we will not
default you know it's Gotta suck being
the president because you're just like
dude I literally just said that man if
only he would just say it it's like ah
uh but uh but I I think that Ted is you
know the talk was good but I think it's
there's a little bit of extremeness in
this idea that uh you know the the
quote-unquote 20 year olds in the White
House are willing to let the uh
government default I uh I'm not that
skeptical do I think that uh Joe Biden
is at a hundred percent in that mental
capacity Department no uh but I do do I
think that like somehow uh woke left
this uh 20 year old staffers are running
the White House
I mean hopefully not I mean nobody knows
but but I I don't think that would lead
to a default I think that's a really
weak argument to say that oh yeah woke
leftists who are 20 years old they're
gonna be willing to gamble uh you know
our entire economy on this debt ceiling
negotiation it actually it doesn't sound
like the negotiations are going that
badly and this is what you know earlier
we started on the Dead Sea land like
this is just so annoying but really I
mean every day it's like uh you'll get
the oh Republicans walked out and then
like a day later things are better or
like Kevin McCarthy on Sunday Joe Biden
should be here instead of at the G7 it's
like dude the presidents are always at
the G7 meeting the United States
president has never missed a meeting of
the G7 because if they did it would be
G6
okay well has never been a gsign no uh
so
the United States president has never
missed that meeting and then over the
weekend you get Kevin McCarthy well Joe
Biden should be here instead of over
there it's like that's a popular thing
to say but like
you can't all of a sudden stop the the
global calendar of events uh you know
because you want to sit down and Duke
things out and sure enough they end up
sitting down and and you know had
Progressive talks uh so I I I don't know
I I uh I think Becky quick really held
uh held a good discussion here with with
Ted uh you know I obviously uh it's a
lot of it's party talk but uh none of
this was particularly scary and uh
I don't know what to say other than that
not not scared uh maybe uh the lead are
we able to say that though because I
feel like the stock market is slightly
uh taken to continue red today after
yesterday's rally but then again you
would kind of expect a little bit of a
get a give back so uh that's uh that's
pretty typical now I want you to know
this when it comes to AI time is what's
going to make you money and if you can
prove that value to an employer you'll
always be able to be employed so this is
another way of making sure that you
don't get replaced
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