Top 5 Stocks to Buy or Sell NOW! [Episode 1]
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone me kevin here in this video
i'm going to break down a set of top
trades that you want to keep an eye on
going forward in the next few days and
weeks now
i want to be super clear here these are
swing trades some of them are
trades that i might actually hold longer
but i want to be clear this video is
different from my typical fundamental
analyses videos
these are more interested in looking at
market swings
so let's talk about the first one but of
course first i have to remind you to get
30
totally for free with m1 finance deposit
100 get 30 bucks
boom pow yeah and deposit a hundred
bucks with weeble and get at least
twenty one dollars
if not up to sixteen hundred dollars
links down below
let's go so let's talk about the first
one a continued run
on gm general motors has a market cap of
78.4 billion
dollars and sold 7.7 million vehicles in
2019.
neo on the other hand sold 43 000 cars
in 2020 so literally
one half of one percent of the cars that
gm sold
and has a 91 billion dollar market cap
which is about 13 billion dollars larger
than gm's
today microsoft announced that it is
partnering with gm's cruise technology
with a mega 2
billion dollar investment cruz is gm's
driverless
startup and has a very similar name to
chevy super cruise which is kind of like
the autopilot
on tesla except for chevy and cadillac's
chevy super cruise only works on mapped
highways and has
a little camera on the dashboard that
watches your eyes to make sure you're
paying attention
well that same technology is created by
the company crews which is
a company that gm bought tesla keep in
mind makes you jiggle the little wheel
to make sure you're paying attention
which means a lot of people don't
actually pay attention
uh lucid by the way i also just
discovered also plans to use a little
camera to make sure that you're paying
attention on the dashboard
so we'll see how that goes but anyway
the cruise startup alone
right now is valued at around 30 billion
dollars which if you subtract that from
gm's market cap that's like
almost half of gm's market cap right now
cruz is going to be using microsoft's
azure
cloud platform to help get crews to
driverless vehicles and eventually
wait for it robo taxis so really
about 40 of every dollars that you're
investing into gm right now
are potentially going right into crews
just based on
valuation metrics here and to me
gm here could actually be a modern kind
of
competitive play against tesla
and google's driverless waymo division
in you know a few years from now when
they actually start getting to
autonomous vehicles on the road
not now but we're starting to see that
ev
excitement go over to gm we're seeing
that stampede
run over to gm gm last year was up like
14 the thing's up like 20
this year and we're only 19 days into
this year so far
with way less trading days in now keep
this in mind
recently the rsi is through the roof so
if you're looking at trading technicals
it's like oh come on man
this this thing is over bought this
thing is like
how can we buy this thing right now but
folks
that that ev rage and and this
realization
of the size uh that cruises relative
to gm as a company itself it kind of
justifies this right here
uh we'll see how this goes and volumes
through the roof over here in the last
few days
but basically gm is becoming a biden
play
and honestly it's probably better to
throw money at gm
than to throw your money into some crazy
eevee spack that could end up nickeling
out because nickel
ing out because there's so many eevee
specs that just aren't actually
producing products yet
sure look i might be excited about lucid
but you gotta have like balls of steels
to go in
deep on lucid because
they haven't actually sold a single car
yet so
if you're nervous about the ev you're
looking for something a little safer
30 billion dollar market cap built into
gm here on
cruise technology that that's really
interesting
v a or i'm sorry vw on the other hand
get this
vw on the other hand they had insane
excitement in germany over
yay we have the vwid.3
uh and and yay ev sales are doubling in
europe in 2020 and yay the id3 is so
cool and awesome
but the wall street journal just
destroyed volkswagen for all of the
problems the id3 is having
because it's been plagued with software
issues and this is where there's
actually a big lesson about gm here
regarding volkswagen they say quote what
they didn't consider
electric vehicles are more about
software than hardware and producing
exquisitively engineered gas-powered
cars doesn't translate into
coding savvy really good line there
but again what makes gm different from
from volkswagen in this case
well what makes it different is the fact
that gm bought cruz
in 2016 for 1 billion dollars the
company had 40 employees then
now cruz has 2 000 employees gm
is literally well cruise the part within
the umbrella of gm
is literally becoming a mega powerhouse
of autonomous innovation
right now right in front of our faces
you cannot short
gm if anything you want to use you want
to you want to spend some money and you
want to go shopping today whenever you
watch this video or next time the
market's open folks
call options on gm are looking a little
juicy and again
the stocks run up so i don't know that i
would go with anything
super short term because in the super
short term we know when we've got an
overbought
we can always go right back down the
markets are really good about punishing
us
when we chase the whoo unless you're
just like really lucky with the timing
uh but folks gm pay attention to this
one
the size of crews within gm blew me away
okay next up folks expi
the online work from home real estate
broker folks of this
pandemic has accelerated a shift to
working from home
duh i don't think any of y'all can
disagree with me on that but
most people don't even know what the
hell expi is and i yeah i should have
said he double hockey sticks but
i'm that passionate about this people
are clueless about what expi is
what if i told you that expi that's the
ticker symbol or exp real estate
was a company that basically let you
hang your real estate license if you're
a real estate agent
with a virtual brokerage where you could
attend
virtual training sessions and basically
never have to set foot into a
traditional office again
you could literally work work from home
doing youtube videos
naked or in your underwear i'm not i got
pants on but you could
and you could still be a real estate
broker well
that is the beauty about exp it has
jumped on the revolution of
working from home and normalizing being
a real estate agent who works from home
and who doesn't work for an office i am
a real estate broker
i get this model people are always like
oh kevin but don't you gotta have a real
an office as a real estate agent
no way i anytime i take meetings i
either meet at my clients property
if they're a seller or my buyers i meet
for coffee or even new sellers i meet
for coffee sometimes why
because i can buy them whatever i want
it's starbucks or coffee bean now things
have been a little different during the
pandemic
but you know you got to eat and drink
outside most of the time but the point
is
expi guess what they just announced two
for one stock split
i first recommended this stock to all my
course members when it was around
forty one dollars per share right now
it's at about eighty one dollars per
share
now this is uh that's that's about
double okay but
it's about to go back to what we bought
it for via two for one split which is
awesome the split is scheduled for
january 29th technically this change is
nothing for the fundamentals of the
company
but what it could do is finally bring
that wall street attention
to expi that it really deserves expi
is a game changer it's revolutionary
really excited about that company long
term
and i have to say i would love a little
bit of wall street attention to one of
these days a look at
shift stock if you haven't looked at
that one yet i feel it coming
and the data we are looking at as course
members that we've been looking at in
the last few days
reiterates that shift is a buy this is a
bonus one i'm not going to go deep into
the data in this video
maybe tomorrow's video we'll talk about
that one more deeply but look into
ticker symbol
sft shift technologies folks the metrics
are looking so good the website
analytics the analytics on the business
model the inventory models
i'm liking where that company could
potentially go once it gets that wall
street
attention which at the moment i think
expi is going to be getting
that is of course next to jivo jivoji
vegevo holy smokes this stock is up over
72 percent giving up just seven percent
in after hours so far but wow
what a riot i talked about this stock
being a potential potential up-and-comer
in my course live streams last week and
boy oh boy
many of you are like kevin i see the
momentum and you jumped in
and hats off to all of those of you who
jumped in as momentum traders
you nailed it on this one you nailed it
big time on this one
it's kind of like all those of you who
when last week in the course member live
stream i'm like
you know what's looking really juicy
right now amc call options because it's
like at the lowest price it's ever been
and the last time i did amc call options
i made a butt load of money on it
and both of these trades were trades
that i was too much of a baby to make
because i decided you know
i'm going to pay off margin this week i
want to reduce my margin otherwise i
would have made these trades
but no kevin had to pay off margin
anyway
congratulations to those of you who
actually pulled the trigger on
those trades even though i was somewhat
er not
not in the mood for them at the moment
so congratulations again
i'm glad we were able to talk about them
though and i was able to bring them to
your attention
now gevo let's talk about this one going
forward okay
gevo this is a company that is pretty
much a pure biden play here
it manufactures biofuels for planes like
uh ethanol
uh donald trump was not really good for
a company like gevo because donald trump
is very
pragmatic in that look if something's
going to increase the cost of
cars or airplane rides i don't want it
that's pretty much
donald trump's mo gevo is a name that
has secured an air force contract in
2012
it's a name that has an agreement with
delta to supply 10 million gallons of
fuel for the next 10 years per year
it's a company that right now has 48.6
million
gallons of saf or sustainable aviation
fuels under contract
we'll just call those safs for now and
potentially another
40 or sorry 35 million gallons in
contract review
plus another 251 million gallons in
discussion so right now if we just tied
together
the gallons that they have under
contract in the final stages we've got
about 83 million gallons of this saf
fuel
that gevo might be producing that's
enough for about 224
10-hour flights that's um
i mean that's okay but it's relatively
nominal compared to the amount of
flights that we see
that are you know all the flights going
on throughout the world so it's a small
number which potentially sets gevo up
for
a huge addressable market if safs become
more well cheap see right now the saf
market share is so
teeny tiny because oil is just dirt
cheap right now
oil costs somewhere around a buck for
well i should say jet fuel will cost
somewhere around a buck 48 per gallon
right now
safs way more back when the military did
a contract with them
safs were selling for somewhere around
58
per gallon back in 2012
there was talk that hey you know for
this to actually go mainstream
we need gevo you know saf fuel basically
to get down to three dollars a gallon
that was back when oil prices and
airline prices were
airline fuel prices or jet fuel prices
were around three dollars a gallon as
well well now gevo's struggling to get
their
production costs under three dollars ish
uh per gallon based on their their
latest filing where i found that they
talked about this
and we'll talk about that more in a
moment but the problem is
even though back in 2012 jet fuel was
selling for like three bucks a gallon
and they're like okay let's get gevo
down to three bucks a gallon and cost
that's great
uh well cool that'd be wonderful uh but
now oil prices have fallen even more
it's hard to justify paying extra for
gevo
and even if gevo can produce saf
again the sustainable aviation fuel for
three dollars a gallon doesn't mean they
can sell it for three dollars a gallon
because they got r d they got staff they
got administration
to be profitable they have to sell these
down these like fuels
for like 10 bucks a gallon so why on
earth would an airline pay 10
a gallon if they could get you know
regular
jet fuel for a dollar 50 a gallon like
it's insane
you would need an insane amount of
subsidies
to actually convert a fleet like you
wouldn't you would only do a little bit
to have the marketing impact of yes we
use some sustainable fuels
and that's kind of what i think is
happening with delta delta by the way
and this is uh interesting math here so
delta is planning to buy 10 million
gallons of gevo fuel per year for the
next 10 years
that's 10 times 10 that's 100 million
gallons well delta values this deal at
one billion dollars
which kind of implies that delta's
paying around ten dollars per gallon for
the cheapo fuel uh which again
reiterates folks
the airlines especially at a time like
this
and that delta contract was made before
the pandemic so it'd be interesting to
know what the latest is on that contract
so far i wouldn't be surprised if it's
all on hold but anyway this stuff at 10
bucks a gallon it's literally liquid
gold so why are we even talking about
gevo why the heck is gevo up 72
today well folks the only reason is
because gevo
fell onto the radar because gevo's
co-founder francis arnold was named
or was named by president biden uh to
biden's science team that's it that's
literally the announcement that took
this
500 million market cap company and and
basically almost doubled it
uh that announcement right there has a
lot of people very very excited about
gevo
i personally am very very concerned
about that price disparity
because even if biden comes in and says
hey look we'll do a 20
incentive we'll just print money for for
gevo
or or saf you know sustainable aviation
fuels folks
still still okay eight bucks to 150 come
on man i'm not converting my fleet
it's gonna be a lot of money printing or
i ain't buying it
we'll see the alternative is gevo could
also get their production costs down
substantially
and i think that's the goal is if gevo
can get their production costs down
substantially to be more at parity with
oil
great unfortunately the whole ev
movement is reducing demand for oil
which uh makes that even harder for gevo
so you've got really a lot of kind of
pulling
in different directions here at evo for
me if i was in gevo right now i'd
probably ring the bell and take profits
on this one i'm very happy if you made
money on it
i would ring the bell make the money get
out of there usually i don't recommend
selling
uh i can't count gevo out though because
honestly during the inauguration
tomorrow biden could just go up there
and go
we're gonna make biofuels the number one
fuel ever used and the stock's just
going to keep going to the moon
so be careful pay solid attention to the
inauguration because
you know this this could be big but for
right now it feels more like
uh a 10 year out hydrogen play then this
is big for tomorrow
with the exception of hype and
speculation which is definitely driving
the price
right now so be careful on this one uh i
i would take profits on this one
still think it's a great company do not
don't get me wrong still think
the the technology the service they
provide and their mission for the world
good in terms of price action scary good
if you owned it
not so good if you want to get into it
next folks shopify
a little nervous about this one so i'm
seeing look shopify is so cool like
entrepreneurs tend to prefer online
entrepreneurs at least tend to prefer
shopify over square but the business
entrepreneur the person has the
you know ground location prefers square
over shopify
because they integrate better blah blah
blah blah shopify is competing with shaw
you know square on this whatever y'all
have your own opinions on shopify versus
square and i know that
and many of you all are like kevin we
know you're more bullish on etsy than
you are square
and shopify combined and that's that is
kind of true
uh but i do like square a lot better
than i like shopify but i still like
shopify
one thing that i want to say though is
take a look at this this made me a
little nervous okay
so i'm gonna jump on over to this chart
right here so what this chart shows us
is square up this is the website you go
to when when you want to sign up for
square it actually redirects to
square.com
uh anyway square from july we've got
this nice growth here right this is good
uh then we've got uh just for comparison
here uh i threw in squarespace which you
know it has its little ups and downs but
it's it's also kind of been trending uh
up here so uh
we like we like squarespace again just
comparing to
squarespace uh then something that's
very
interesting uh and this is the more
important
uh aspect to consider when we look at
this chart right here
uh so really out of everything this is
this is what what is interesting to me
is why is it that shopify.com
is actually showing a little bit of a
decline right here
but not only that we've also got a
little bit
of a flattening at the my shopify url
which my shopify is usually where people
log into their store
so look the the store logins are kind of
flattening a little bit on website
ranking here and the shopify sign up
data is kind of
slowing down a little bit again this
isn't a square video so we don't have to
care so much about square.com versus
square up and all this kind of stuff
right now we just want to focus on
shopify and to me as a short-term metric
i thought that was a little bit of a
head scratcher why why is shopify
showing that why aren't we seeing more
growth with shopify
there is an argument that maybe you know
shopify
is uh is is potentially not as much of a
recovery trade as square is
think about it square is a reopening
trade it's a bitcoin trade it's a
stimulus trade
right now you've got all of those
happening shopify is more of a little
bit more of maybe that stay-at-home
stock right
let's go ahead and pull up the chart
really quick on shopify here now i'm
going to jump over to google really
quick just to make a very simple
observation here but uh shopify kind of
been flat
relatively flat since august we're about
that 8.39
right square on the other hand you know
may it's it could be argued that since
august
uh or the end of august here square's
already been baking in some of these
gains we might be expecting to see 36
percent increase
so definitely a lot a stronger action
here on square
and then shopify which makes us wonder
when is that next
shopify breakout going to happen because
2020
look we had a really great movement
between the crash in july
but since july even what 13 it's been a
little bit of an
underperformer so is it possible that
shopify is going to surprise us
totally totally possible because just
because uh
you know subscriptions didn't go up to
the moon uh or more people aren't using
the website doesn't mean that revenue
isn't up substantially
uh so we'll have to see what the
turnover ratios are at shopify
uh we'll have to see the initial chart
just looking at that little bit of data
there
the initial chart makes me scratch my
head a little bit more on shopify
uh it does kind of make me think of
netflix and disney a little bit though
folks look i mean netflix okay netflix
did
nothing since july either it was down 4
since july
it's up 12 in after hours because they
just blew expectations out of the water
so it's entirely possible that that
shopify could
totally surprise us that little bit of
data i see there
doesn't make me excited i'm going to be
i'm going to keep looking for data
though before
shopify earnings but it's definitely
something to keep an
eye on and just to make sure we're
comparing
as much as we can like for like here
when i looked at netflix's data
folks netflix's website analytics were
up
their time on website was up uh you know
their uh their overall bounce rate was
down
that's good thing for netflix.com
compared to
what we're seeing at shopify so a little
nervous on that one now people are
wondering kevin should we dive into walt
disney because
netflix is up i think disney's already
given its big jump over here
it's 10 bump uh due to disney plus
really killing it over here at the
beginning of december
we'll see how this translates when
disney ends up reporting but folks
disney and netflix honestly both of
these and even shopify square these are
companies you can own blindfolded
forever
disney is a company that i love so much
because you've got you've got this
built-in recovery play
plus the netflix right by via disney
plus you've got both of that kind of
built in
the hotels the theme top parks the um
the high quality cruise lines very
expensive cruise lines once those things
get cruising again
and you get the disney plus blowing up
whoo i mean there's some real potential
at disney uh
in my opinion if if there's if disney's
undervalued
or if if the market's uh looking for an
undervalued company let's put it this
way
disney might be one of those because it
still
trades with that old school valuation it
still doesn't have that
that netflix valuation uh but we'll go
deeper onto disney in
a different video these are just ideas
here so uh let's move on now
okay the last one united united
airlines reports earnings tomorrow after
the inauguration
they are losing money like crazy they're
pretty much expected to miss
earnings and delta missed earnings this
week although their stock did go up a
tiny little bit after they missed
earnings which
that's the weirdness of the market uh
but uh this might also potentially
because
b because airline executives are really
talking down
uh airline travel right now they're
complaining over lockdowns they're
complaining over covid they're
complaining about
a lack of travelers they're complaining
about you know anti-masters or ask
anti-masters and and what about uh you
know what happens if uh biden comes out
with these mask mandates
that are potentially more stringent who
knows a lot of potential issues at the
airlines but
what do we do with united this one's a
little up in the air i don't have
strong conviction on this one either way
i personally first would recommend one
of the things that you should totally do
is track traffic do that by going to
medkevin.com
tsa you'll be able to see the tsa
passenger data
i would write that all into a
spreadsheet download that
table if you can put it all into a
spreadsheet get that data
analyzed i i i don't have as much high
conviction on these
uh these airline stocks they make me a
little bit more nervous
if i was going to get into these airline
stocks i would probably recommend
jumping into something like
jets uh that way you could get the
airline etf
with jetsea at nine to ten percent
exposure to southwest delta
united an american each plus you get
some exposure to spirit jetblue and
others
some people say hey kevin look you know
maybe go all in on
spirit i have to say website data
between united
delta and spirit shows delta and united
actually doing better
and one of the arguments or one of the
issues we had
originally when the pandemic started is
we thought and i remember
we were talking we talked about this in
the course live streams one of the
issues we thought was
look spirit's great as a low-cost
airline and people are going to want to
save money but there's going to be so
much competition
from southwest delta and united an
american
that what's going to happen is those
companies are going to lower their
prices
and when they lower their prices you
really take away the whole aspect of
oh come to spirit we're a discount
carrier sure
you might be a discount carrier but i
can get a normal carrier at a discount
now
right once they start getting more of
their planes flowing and then you got
wider seats you get the
the tray table that you can actually put
your arms on
without without falling off so some
potential risks there this is why
you know with the airlines ooh just uh
such a such a tough tough sector right
now
probably be more interested in jets
anyway those are my thoughts
those are my trading thoughts the things
that are on my mind
if you liked this sort of meet kevin's
thoughts on trades
this is like totally the opposite of of
what i ordinarily do because i usually
talk fundamentals
but here's the thing when i research my
fundamentals i usually sit there i'm
like oh that'd be a good trade if i if i
were gonna trade i'd do that
and then like usually two days later i'm
like damn i should have done that trade
but i've been i've had my head in in
sort of the the sand of fundamental
uh buying mostly and i don't think
that's a bad thing i think based on my
schedule and my workload i think that
that's very common but
uh hey when i come upon uh when i come
upon these ideas upon
with through my fundamental research
like the gm cruise
i think that's still i think honestly
the size of crews is still a little bit
uh you know under wraps but
that's that's powerful but uh when i
come upon these things i want to share
these ideas with you and then of course
you can make your own decisions i don't
want to tell you to trade a certain way
or another i'll give you my opinions
where i can and give you some thoughts
but folks
these are all things to pay attention to
so thank you so much for watching we
will see you in the very next video
thanks for being here consider
subscribing and sharing the video if you
found it helpful thanks
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