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Biden Admin: 25 Days Left BEFORE Economic Collapse

10m 41s1,745 words262 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

we have just 25 days left of before the

0:03

collapse of our economy says Tucker

0:06

Carlson let's listen to the clip and

0:08

here's the reality we have 25 days to

0:11

avert economic catastrophe catastrophe

0:13

is what will happen if we run out of

0:15

diesel fuel according to data from the

0:17

Energy Information Administration by the

0:19

Monday of Thanksgiving week that's 25

0:21

days from now there will be more no more

0:23

diesel

0:24

so what's going to happen then well

0:26

everything will stop that means trucks

0:28

and trains and barges all unable to move

0:31

farm equipment will shut down there will

0:34

be no deliveries because there will be

0:35

no trucks there'll be no diesel

0:37

generators and then inevitably our

0:40

economy will crash because everything

0:42

runs on diesel fuel so is Tucker Carlson

0:46

correct that we could have no trucks

0:48

trains barges farm equipment diesel

0:50

generators or potentially even jet fuel

0:53

completely leading to catastrophe in our

0:56

economy in 25 days well if we review

1:00

exactly what is going on in our diesel

1:03

markets we know the following that

1:05

Reuters is reporting critically low

1:07

levels of storage and price spikes very

1:09

likely within the next six months for

1:11

diesel unless of course the economy in

1:14

consumption slowed down when we look at

1:17

earnings calls or reports in general

1:19

from companies about diesel consumption

1:22

and demand we get information like this

1:25

Bloomberg's nef tells us that diesel

1:27

appears scarce heading into winter

1:29

thanks to under investment by the nation

1:32

exacerbated by Refinery closures and

1:35

disruptions it's worth noting that we

1:37

had about 700 to 800 Wells drilling for

1:42

oil in America right before the pandemic

1:45

that number is presently sitting at

1:47

about 612 and has very slowly been

1:50

ramping back up Goldman Sachs is also

1:53

reporting warning signs for a diesel

1:56

demand and Diesel Supply Exxon who

1:58

reported earnings this morning also says

2:00

that diesel demand continues to be

2:02

strong despite downward pressure on

2:04

gasoline demand so gasoline demand is

2:08

falling but diesel demand from

2:09

manufacturing and Industry continues to

2:12

be strong on top of that we have the

2:14

lowest stockpile of diesel fuel we have

2:16

seen since

2:17

1982 at just 106 million barrels well

2:22

below the seasonal average a lot of this

2:23

is of course being blamed on the Biden

2:25

administration's closing of the Keystone

2:27

pipelines restricting of refineries

2:29

something very common by the way in

2:31

California when I ran for governor in

2:33

California one of the clearest and most

2:35

immediate problems that I noticed

2:36

especially before coming in third place

2:38

in the election which I thought was a

2:40

pretty good showing but one of the

2:42

problems that I noticed was California

2:44

as an example is the kind of state that

2:47

says hey you know what we want to go

2:49

green but rather than taking our 1970s

2:53

style oil and gas refining

2:55

infrastructure and making it more

2:57

efficient let's just say we're not

3:00

allowed to make any changes to the old

3:02

crappy refineries unless those changes

3:05

are a hundred percent green

3:07

but wait a minute you can't make a

3:09

Refinery 100 green you could make it 30

3:13

percent more efficient by allowing

3:15

improvements but no that would be

3:17

California politicians supporting

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refineries how dare you make them more

3:21

efficient let them stay dirty so that

3:24

way people are truly forced over to

3:25

electric and Greener products which is

3:28

substantially more expensive than if we

3:30

would just reduce prices and increase

3:32

Supply by actually increasing the

3:34

efficiency of the refineries that we

3:36

already have but of course politicians I

3:38

like those in California like to stand

3:40

in the way of that it's not just

3:41

California though or the United States

3:43

China is also scaling back production as

3:45

their economy slows down and we're

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seeing a really slow ramp up by

3:50

companies like shell Exxon Chevron BP

3:54

even though they have record profits but

3:57

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below now these record profits you'd

5:19

think might be leading to record

5:21

investments into more rigs but that's

5:24

not the case because a lot of these oil

5:26

and gas companies know that these record

5:28

profits won't last so what are they

5:31

doing they're using the excess Capital

5:33

to pay off debt and pay dividends to

5:36

their shareholders to prop up the stock

5:38

so that if they ever need to do a

5:40

capital raise again in the future they

5:42

have a higher or larger well to draw

5:44

from for Capital raise so BuyBacks and

5:48

dividends and debt reduction are a big

5:50

priority of a lot of the refining

5:53

producers right now and some of this of

5:55

course has to do with our political

5:56

environment as well that does make it

5:58

harder for oil and gas companies to

6:00

actually increase localized production

6:02

however and in the meantime exxon's

6:05

earnings for the year are are so large

6:09

that if you combine the earnings of

6:11

Amazon Procter and Gamble and Tesla all

6:16

three of their estimated earnings

6:18

combined for 2022 are expected to be

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less than the combined earnings of just

6:24

Exxon mobil's divisions this is

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remarkable in fact these companies have

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made and reported so much money in

6:33

profits that just looking at Exxon they

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have just reported the highest profit in

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152 years and Chevron just had its

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second largest quarter ever

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so what do we think is this demand going

6:48

to subside well not according to

6:51

Refinery CEO from the company Saras this

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Refinery CEO says demand is extremely

6:58

robust for 2023 and they've quote been

7:01

able to sign contracts for 2023 at very

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high premiums so obviously refining

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productivity is not as high as it should

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be to provide the actual diesel

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resources we need and Bloomberg is

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reporting that we expect diesel prices

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to jump while gas prices actually are

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expected to fall so with all of these

7:26

factors leading to a massive shortage of

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diesel is it true that we're likely to

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be 25 days away from collapse and trucks

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and trains and barges just won't have

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access to diesel anymore well this is my

7:41

opinion but my opinion is no we will not

7:45

run out of diesel that is my expectation

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and the reason we won't run out of

7:49

diesel in my opinion is we'll simply see

7:52

the short-term price of diesel Spike to

7:55

high levels making the inflationary

7:57

problems in shipping in manufacturing

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and in Freight worse for all of the

8:03

companies in America and worsening and

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prolonging our inflationary disaster

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remember there's an old economic theory

8:10

that has always been proven correct and

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it's likely to be the same for diesel

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and that theory is we will never run out

8:18

of landfill space that's the argument

8:20

the argument is we will never run out of

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landfill space and individuals say how

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could that be possible at some point

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we'll just have so much trash we won't

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have landfill space anymore the argument

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is simple prices will go up to such a

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high level that people will simply by

8:35

Price be compelled to recycle more or

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create less trash by either reusing or

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otherwise maybe even burning their trash

8:44

whatever they need to do to get rid of

8:46

it the same is true when it comes to a

8:48

Commodities demand like diesel if diesel

8:51

shortages are so strong you might see

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local diesel rationing like you see in

8:57

States like New York or areas that

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really rely on diesel for heating

9:02

however you're unlikely to see an

9:06

impossibility of a of actually getting

9:08

diesel you'll just see the price go up

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substantially so a price spike Could

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Happen which is inflationary and bad for

9:15

our economy where we actually run out

9:17

probably not could there be government

9:20

interventions that set price ceilings

9:22

yes but generally price ceilings only

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exacerbate supply shortages as the

9:28

market then can't reap the benefit of

9:30

higher prices hopefully leading to more

9:32

investment but then again politicians

9:34

might say hey higher prices haven't been

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leading to more investment at oil and

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gas companies now so why would they

9:40

later either way do I think we're about

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25 days from collapse absolutely not do

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I think we've got a big red flag coming

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up with a massive diesel shortages and a

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likely spike in diesel during this

9:53

winter absolutely yes and will that

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contribute to headline inflation

9:58

absolutely will it contribute to core

10:00

inflation possibly that's because even

10:03

though Gas and energy are stripped from

10:06

core those increase increases in Freight

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and uh and essentially manufacturing

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expenses will flow through to goods and

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service products in the actual core

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sector of CPI potentially helping

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Elevate CPI prices and this is

10:23

unfortunate given that we have our

10:25

fingers crossed for inflation to be

10:26

coming down not going up so Tucker's on

10:30

the right track are we 25 days away from

10:32

collapse I personally don't think so but

10:35

he's not wrong about some of the things

10:36

and concerns that he's bringing up

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