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trump is doing it AGAIN

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0:00

Well, folks, Donald Trump is back at it

0:03

again. Here's what you got to know for

0:05

this week. Coming to you from the Aloha

0:07

area. Look at those beautiful tsunami

0:10

warning sirens. Don't those look like

0:12

some great 1960s metal. Like something

0:15

you'd find in a good juicy wedge deal.

0:17

Yes, they certainly do. Okay, let's talk

0:19

about what to expect this week. First of

0:21

all, thank you so much to all of those

0:22

of you who signed up to the Me Kevin

0:24

membership on Friday. We had a really

0:26

great day. Great call outs. The call

0:28

outs killed it. I think you all saw that

0:30

and saw a ton of you joined on Friday.

0:31

So, welcome aboard. Uh, tomorrow is

0:33

going to be really interesting because

0:34

honestly, we got some more taco this

0:35

weekend. Okay, not only a Donald Trump

0:38

Maria Barmo interview, which obviously

0:40

they're very friendly. You get the

0:41

softballs over on Fox. Duh. Uh, and so,

0:44

uh, what do we got? We got not only

0:47

Trump talking during that interview

0:49

that, hey, you know, we're going to try

0:50

to work something out on soybeans. It's

0:52

hurting the American farmers. We want to

0:53

walk back some of these latest

0:54

restrictions with China. For example,

0:56

the United States imposed a $50 per ton

0:59

port fee on Chinese ships. Uh, and then

1:02

China retaliated. It's like, fine, we'll

1:04

impose a $56 port fee per per ton for US

1:08

ships coming into our docks and we're

1:10

going to increase it over 3 years. So,

1:11

it's this classic kind of tit fortat

1:13

nonsense, right? It's really ridiculous.

1:15

But the Wall Street Journal this weekend

1:16

had a great piece. They said that in

1:19

recent weeks, Donald Trump has exempted

1:22

dozens of products, offering to carve

1:25

out hundreds more for uh from farm and

1:28

airline products, offering 5-year

1:30

exemptions to autoimp import tariffs.

1:32

And this is especially happening for

1:34

products that we don't produce

1:35

domestically. So, what you're finding is

1:37

you're getting more and more taco, and

1:39

now people are reporting on it because

1:41

this is all happening quietly in the

1:43

background. This is Donald Trump's MO. I

1:45

mean, this is exactly what we saw with

1:46

liberation is come out strong. I'm going

1:48

to I'm going to do this, tariff

1:50

everybody 50%. And then you just slowly

1:52

walk it back like, "All right, well, if

1:54

you do this for me, you know, I'll roll

1:55

this back. I'll roll this back. I'll

1:56

roll this." This is Donald Trump's style

1:58

of negotiating. It's fine. You create

2:00

chaos and you purposely make it so

2:02

confusing so you can pick up the pieces

2:04

the way you want, right? Like, how do we

2:07

keep track of all this stuff? How do we

2:08

keep track of, you know, upholstered

2:10

furniturey furniture tariffs or, you

2:13

know, heavy truck tariffs over a certain

2:15

weight or kitchen cabinets and vanities?

2:18

Like all of this is designed to

2:20

purposefully negotiate with very

2:21

specific countries. Donald Trump of

2:23

course already credits uh ending like

2:25

the drama for example between Pakistan

2:27

and India and others. Uh he credits

2:30

tariffs for helping him use that as

2:32

leverage. Go, hey, I'll just back off

2:34

these tariffs if you all stop fighting.

2:35

Oh, okay. Well, that's easy.

2:38

So, you got to give him some credit with

2:40

this, but uh the the headline, in case

2:42

you want to read the story, it's a good

2:43

one. The US is tiptoeing away from many

2:46

of Trump's signature tariffs. And I

2:48

thought that was a great headline

2:49

because it's that it implies that quiet

2:52

walkback, that taco is continuing. If

2:55

you go to meet Kevin.com/data,

2:57

I still have the taco scale there from

2:59

last week and we have the taco scale in

3:01

like the eight range. Which honestly, if

3:02

I were to update it today, I'd probably

3:03

update it, you know, probably to

3:05

something like a nine out of 10 because

3:07

any kind of new tariff we get, it just

3:09

tacos away, which is great. Now,

3:11

something that I was a little

3:12

disappointed in was, uh, you know, Trump

3:13

with Ukraine. We'll talk about that in

3:15

just a moment. I was also a little bit

3:16

disappointed with uh, you know, Hamas

3:18

now says that 27 Palestinians have been

3:20

killed. Uh, Israel is saying, well, you

3:22

know, people are getting close to our

3:23

our, you know, pullback lines, and so

3:25

they're going to erect larger uh,

3:27

barriers to make it very clear where

3:29

their pullback lines are. But I do want

3:31

to finish this China talk. So, uh, Trump

3:33

right now, he's focused more on using

3:35

the 232 tariffs, mostly because of the

3:38

Supreme Court EPA ruling. Don't expect

3:41

the Supreme Court to say anything, by

3:42

the way, on Trump's tariffs until as

3:44

late as they possibly can. So, you're

3:47

going to hear talk about how the Supreme

3:49

Court is supposed to review Trump's

3:51

tariffs, the Emergency Economic uh,

3:54

Powers Act tariffs in November. Yes, the

3:57

Supreme Court is going to hear that, but

3:58

don't actually expect any kind of

4:00

decision until probably February to

4:02

April. I would guess the later part

4:04

because the Supreme Court doesn't want

4:05

to do anything bad to Trump. So, uh, and

4:08

in the meantime, Trump Trump is slowly

4:10

going to move away to 232 tariffs. So,

4:12

even if he loses the EPA tariffs,

4:16

tariffs, he can just rely on 232. I

4:19

mean, this is just part of the game,

4:20

right? Uh, so anyway, lots of taco,

4:22

which is good. We also saw LED lights,

4:24

certain minerals and like gold were

4:27

exempted from tariffs. Uh slow walk away

4:30

from a lot of the various different

4:31

tariffs that we have. Uh which is great.

4:33

I mean it's broadly bullish. I was

4:36

disappointed. I'll make a separate video

4:37

on this. I was disappointed on the

4:38

Ukraine issue. So I do think honestly

4:41

one of the benefits just briefly I don't

4:43

want to go so deep on this. I'm going to

4:45

get back to the ocean here.

4:47

One of the benefits of giving tomahawks

4:49

to Ukraine is they have a thousandmile

4:53

range and you could overwhelm Russian

4:55

defenses, not to go strike the Kremlin

4:57

or go kill, you know, civilians, which

4:59

is exactly what Russia is doing to

5:01

Ukrainian civilians, but take out the

5:04

the drone factory that's literally about

5:07

980 mi from Kief. It's close. It's like

5:11

800 miles from the border of Ukraine,

5:12

but Ukraine doesn't control that border

5:14

anymore. This is why Putin wants time

5:16

because the more t time Putin buys, the

5:19

more he kind of pushes the Ukrainians

5:20

back, the more of a buffer zone he gets,

5:22

the more time they have to identify with

5:25

radar and otherwise uh missiles coming

5:28

in like tomahawks. And so, of course, if

5:29

you take tomahawks, you're going to have

5:31

to overwhelm Russian air defenses. But

5:33

ideally, you want to take out these

5:34

Iranian factories or, you know, jointly

5:37

built between Russian and Iranian

5:38

factories and just set back some of

5:41

Russia's ability to attack Ukraine. And

5:45

that way you could slowly tilt the

5:47

balance back in favor of Ukraine pushing

5:50

back some of these lines. That's the

5:51

idea with these Tomahawks, by the way.

5:53

And so, I was a little disappointed. I

5:54

feel like Putin kind of won there by

5:56

talking that back, but we could talk

5:58

about that separately. Uh, broadly, we

6:00

do have Tesla earnings coming up. uh the

6:03

uh this Wednesday. That'll be

6:04

interesting. I know a lot of people are

6:05

excited about that because we're going

6:06

to get a lot of earnings uh from from an

6:09

amazing beat on vehicles. But are we

6:12

really expecting a lot of enthusiasm

6:15

post those earnings? Post those

6:17

earnings, it's all going to come down to

6:18

sort of commentary in the earnings call.

6:20

Nobody really cares about the earnings.

6:22

We already know what deliveries are. We

6:24

know what the earnings are going to be

6:25

like. We can all calculate that in.

6:26

That's not where the surprise is going

6:27

to be. we need to hear bullish stuff on

6:31

Optimus or a a new lowerc cost vehicle

6:35

or whatever FSD, robo taxis, whatever.

6:37

Now, obviously, this isn't going to be

6:39

the place for announcements. We know

6:41

that. But what we want to look for is

6:43

just optimism and hope.

6:46

You know, look at Figure for example,

6:47

Figure Technologies. They've got like

6:49

two robots working at BMW. And the joke

6:51

is those robots don't really do

6:53

anything. But they're a great showpiece

6:54

because Figure can say, "Hey, we've got

6:56

robots working in BMW's factory." And

6:59

you know, people have leaked that those

7:00

robots aren't really doing anything

7:02

productive. They're really just like

7:03

caged off and it's a joke that they

7:05

don't really do anything. But it creates

7:07

enthusiasm and excitement. You know,

7:09

you're really not going to get true

7:12

progress on these robots uh validated

7:15

until a company comes in and says, "Oh,

7:18

we're ordering a thousand of these."

7:20

That's when you know you have

7:21

validation, right? Uh until then, you're

7:23

uh uh you're still early on the robot

7:25

movement, which is fine. Uh X is

7:28

launching uh handles for sale. We know

7:31

that X needs money. Donald Trump says

7:34

tariffs are unsustainable with these

7:36

levels. That's old news. That was from

7:37

Friday. Palanteer supports providing

7:39

tomahawk. Palanteer CTO supports um what

7:43

was this? Uh Palanteer CTO. Oh, that's

7:46

right. US is funding its own destruction

7:48

through economic dependence on communist

7:51

adversaries. Right? This is basically

7:53

saying, hey, we need to maximize our

7:56

domestic uh resilience, which I support.

7:59

I just want to be really clear about

8:00

that. We should have domestic

8:01

resilience. We should be supporting our

8:02

rare earth's facilities. But we have to

8:04

be careful because if we take a bessant

8:06

approach and we set price floors, what

8:08

we really create is inefficient

8:09

industries. See, China is brilliant in

8:13

the sense that they have so many people

8:16

manufacturing that they drive prices

8:18

down. Not through price floors, maybe

8:20

through subsidies for those businesses,

8:21

yes, but the price of manufacturing

8:24

comes down so dramatically that they

8:27

just dominate compared to other

8:29

countries. Their costs are so low. And

8:31

so if we set price floors artificially

8:33

out here, as soon as things relax over

8:37

time with China, we'll just go right

8:38

back to ordering from China. And that

8:40

hurts our ability to be dependent again

8:42

or independent again. And so we have to

8:44

be careful that we're not relying on

8:47

sort of short- termism to

8:50

make ourselves faux independent. In

8:52

other words, let me give you an example.

8:54

If I go to you and I'm like, "Hey, can

8:56

you sell lemonade and I'll pay you $100

8:58

per cup?" Of course, you could employ

9:01

five people to stand there and sell one

9:02

cup of lemonade. Doesn't matter. you're

9:04

still going to drive a profit cuz you're

9:06

selling it for 100 bucks, you know, a

9:09

cup, which is insane. So, of course,

9:11

you're going to breed inefficiency,

9:12

whereas, you know, China's probably

9:15

selling these cups for a buck and their,

9:18

you know, cost of goods sold is 50. So,

9:21

as soon as you take away the government

9:22

crutch, you know, the US company's

9:25

relying on this higher price, the

9:26

Chinese are relying on this lower price,

9:29

who goes bankrupt, right? That that's

9:30

where you have to be careful with price

9:32

floors. So really backwards mindset here

9:34

from Bessant. But I also I mean that's

9:37

just talk from him right now. So maybe

9:39

it won't end up coming through. But I

9:40

will say all of it is supportive really

9:42

of taco. This idea of hey we're going to

9:45

we see problems we're creating here.

9:47

We're going to slowly walk some back

9:48

things back which is great which is an

9:50

opportunity. Uh and I'm kind of

9:52

optimistic. We do have CPI coming out

9:54

this week but it's not until Friday. So

9:57

are we really expecting terrible news

9:59

this week? No. But uh we'll see. You

10:01

know, so far we're just getting the walk

10:02

back from Trump. We'll get CPI on

10:04

Friday. Not expecting bad news there.

10:07

And uh hey, we'll be sending out

10:09

reports. I don't know if I'll be live

10:10

too terribly much given that I'm here in

10:12

Hawaii and it's like 3:00 a.m. is like

10:14

6:00 a.m. my time. 3:00 a.m. here is

10:16

like 9:00 a.m. Eastern. So, it's going

10:18

to be a little crazy, but we will still

10:19

be sending out the alpha report and

10:21

we'll still be live with course members.

10:23

So, good luck this week and uh stay

10:25

tuned for videos. Make sure you download

10:26

the Meet Kevin app to get all the

10:27

notifications. See you there. Bye.

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