trump is doing it AGAIN
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Well, folks, Donald Trump is back at it
again. Here's what you got to know for
this week. Coming to you from the Aloha
area. Look at those beautiful tsunami
warning sirens. Don't those look like
some great 1960s metal. Like something
you'd find in a good juicy wedge deal.
Yes, they certainly do. Okay, let's talk
about what to expect this week. First of
all, thank you so much to all of those
of you who signed up to the Me Kevin
membership on Friday. We had a really
great day. Great call outs. The call
outs killed it. I think you all saw that
and saw a ton of you joined on Friday.
So, welcome aboard. Uh, tomorrow is
going to be really interesting because
honestly, we got some more taco this
weekend. Okay, not only a Donald Trump
Maria Barmo interview, which obviously
they're very friendly. You get the
softballs over on Fox. Duh. Uh, and so,
uh, what do we got? We got not only
Trump talking during that interview
that, hey, you know, we're going to try
to work something out on soybeans. It's
hurting the American farmers. We want to
walk back some of these latest
restrictions with China. For example,
the United States imposed a $50 per ton
port fee on Chinese ships. Uh, and then
China retaliated. It's like, fine, we'll
impose a $56 port fee per per ton for US
ships coming into our docks and we're
going to increase it over 3 years. So,
it's this classic kind of tit fortat
nonsense, right? It's really ridiculous.
But the Wall Street Journal this weekend
had a great piece. They said that in
recent weeks, Donald Trump has exempted
dozens of products, offering to carve
out hundreds more for uh from farm and
airline products, offering 5-year
exemptions to autoimp import tariffs.
And this is especially happening for
products that we don't produce
domestically. So, what you're finding is
you're getting more and more taco, and
now people are reporting on it because
this is all happening quietly in the
background. This is Donald Trump's MO. I
mean, this is exactly what we saw with
liberation is come out strong. I'm going
to I'm going to do this, tariff
everybody 50%. And then you just slowly
walk it back like, "All right, well, if
you do this for me, you know, I'll roll
this back. I'll roll this back. I'll
roll this." This is Donald Trump's style
of negotiating. It's fine. You create
chaos and you purposely make it so
confusing so you can pick up the pieces
the way you want, right? Like, how do we
keep track of all this stuff? How do we
keep track of, you know, upholstered
furniturey furniture tariffs or, you
know, heavy truck tariffs over a certain
weight or kitchen cabinets and vanities?
Like all of this is designed to
purposefully negotiate with very
specific countries. Donald Trump of
course already credits uh ending like
the drama for example between Pakistan
and India and others. Uh he credits
tariffs for helping him use that as
leverage. Go, hey, I'll just back off
these tariffs if you all stop fighting.
Oh, okay. Well, that's easy.
So, you got to give him some credit with
this, but uh the the headline, in case
you want to read the story, it's a good
one. The US is tiptoeing away from many
of Trump's signature tariffs. And I
thought that was a great headline
because it's that it implies that quiet
walkback, that taco is continuing. If
you go to meet Kevin.com/data,
I still have the taco scale there from
last week and we have the taco scale in
like the eight range. Which honestly, if
I were to update it today, I'd probably
update it, you know, probably to
something like a nine out of 10 because
any kind of new tariff we get, it just
tacos away, which is great. Now,
something that I was a little
disappointed in was, uh, you know, Trump
with Ukraine. We'll talk about that in
just a moment. I was also a little bit
disappointed with uh, you know, Hamas
now says that 27 Palestinians have been
killed. Uh, Israel is saying, well, you
know, people are getting close to our
our, you know, pullback lines, and so
they're going to erect larger uh,
barriers to make it very clear where
their pullback lines are. But I do want
to finish this China talk. So, uh, Trump
right now, he's focused more on using
the 232 tariffs, mostly because of the
Supreme Court EPA ruling. Don't expect
the Supreme Court to say anything, by
the way, on Trump's tariffs until as
late as they possibly can. So, you're
going to hear talk about how the Supreme
Court is supposed to review Trump's
tariffs, the Emergency Economic uh,
Powers Act tariffs in November. Yes, the
Supreme Court is going to hear that, but
don't actually expect any kind of
decision until probably February to
April. I would guess the later part
because the Supreme Court doesn't want
to do anything bad to Trump. So, uh, and
in the meantime, Trump Trump is slowly
going to move away to 232 tariffs. So,
even if he loses the EPA tariffs,
tariffs, he can just rely on 232. I
mean, this is just part of the game,
right? Uh, so anyway, lots of taco,
which is good. We also saw LED lights,
certain minerals and like gold were
exempted from tariffs. Uh slow walk away
from a lot of the various different
tariffs that we have. Uh which is great.
I mean it's broadly bullish. I was
disappointed. I'll make a separate video
on this. I was disappointed on the
Ukraine issue. So I do think honestly
one of the benefits just briefly I don't
want to go so deep on this. I'm going to
get back to the ocean here.
One of the benefits of giving tomahawks
to Ukraine is they have a thousandmile
range and you could overwhelm Russian
defenses, not to go strike the Kremlin
or go kill, you know, civilians, which
is exactly what Russia is doing to
Ukrainian civilians, but take out the
the drone factory that's literally about
980 mi from Kief. It's close. It's like
800 miles from the border of Ukraine,
but Ukraine doesn't control that border
anymore. This is why Putin wants time
because the more t time Putin buys, the
more he kind of pushes the Ukrainians
back, the more of a buffer zone he gets,
the more time they have to identify with
radar and otherwise uh missiles coming
in like tomahawks. And so, of course, if
you take tomahawks, you're going to have
to overwhelm Russian air defenses. But
ideally, you want to take out these
Iranian factories or, you know, jointly
built between Russian and Iranian
factories and just set back some of
Russia's ability to attack Ukraine. And
that way you could slowly tilt the
balance back in favor of Ukraine pushing
back some of these lines. That's the
idea with these Tomahawks, by the way.
And so, I was a little disappointed. I
feel like Putin kind of won there by
talking that back, but we could talk
about that separately. Uh, broadly, we
do have Tesla earnings coming up. uh the
uh this Wednesday. That'll be
interesting. I know a lot of people are
excited about that because we're going
to get a lot of earnings uh from from an
amazing beat on vehicles. But are we
really expecting a lot of enthusiasm
post those earnings? Post those
earnings, it's all going to come down to
sort of commentary in the earnings call.
Nobody really cares about the earnings.
We already know what deliveries are. We
know what the earnings are going to be
like. We can all calculate that in.
That's not where the surprise is going
to be. we need to hear bullish stuff on
Optimus or a a new lowerc cost vehicle
or whatever FSD, robo taxis, whatever.
Now, obviously, this isn't going to be
the place for announcements. We know
that. But what we want to look for is
just optimism and hope.
You know, look at Figure for example,
Figure Technologies. They've got like
two robots working at BMW. And the joke
is those robots don't really do
anything. But they're a great showpiece
because Figure can say, "Hey, we've got
robots working in BMW's factory." And
you know, people have leaked that those
robots aren't really doing anything
productive. They're really just like
caged off and it's a joke that they
don't really do anything. But it creates
enthusiasm and excitement. You know,
you're really not going to get true
progress on these robots uh validated
until a company comes in and says, "Oh,
we're ordering a thousand of these."
That's when you know you have
validation, right? Uh until then, you're
uh uh you're still early on the robot
movement, which is fine. Uh X is
launching uh handles for sale. We know
that X needs money. Donald Trump says
tariffs are unsustainable with these
levels. That's old news. That was from
Friday. Palanteer supports providing
tomahawk. Palanteer CTO supports um what
was this? Uh Palanteer CTO. Oh, that's
right. US is funding its own destruction
through economic dependence on communist
adversaries. Right? This is basically
saying, hey, we need to maximize our
domestic uh resilience, which I support.
I just want to be really clear about
that. We should have domestic
resilience. We should be supporting our
rare earth's facilities. But we have to
be careful because if we take a bessant
approach and we set price floors, what
we really create is inefficient
industries. See, China is brilliant in
the sense that they have so many people
manufacturing that they drive prices
down. Not through price floors, maybe
through subsidies for those businesses,
yes, but the price of manufacturing
comes down so dramatically that they
just dominate compared to other
countries. Their costs are so low. And
so if we set price floors artificially
out here, as soon as things relax over
time with China, we'll just go right
back to ordering from China. And that
hurts our ability to be dependent again
or independent again. And so we have to
be careful that we're not relying on
sort of short- termism to
make ourselves faux independent. In
other words, let me give you an example.
If I go to you and I'm like, "Hey, can
you sell lemonade and I'll pay you $100
per cup?" Of course, you could employ
five people to stand there and sell one
cup of lemonade. Doesn't matter. you're
still going to drive a profit cuz you're
selling it for 100 bucks, you know, a
cup, which is insane. So, of course,
you're going to breed inefficiency,
whereas, you know, China's probably
selling these cups for a buck and their,
you know, cost of goods sold is 50. So,
as soon as you take away the government
crutch, you know, the US company's
relying on this higher price, the
Chinese are relying on this lower price,
who goes bankrupt, right? That that's
where you have to be careful with price
floors. So really backwards mindset here
from Bessant. But I also I mean that's
just talk from him right now. So maybe
it won't end up coming through. But I
will say all of it is supportive really
of taco. This idea of hey we're going to
we see problems we're creating here.
We're going to slowly walk some back
things back which is great which is an
opportunity. Uh and I'm kind of
optimistic. We do have CPI coming out
this week but it's not until Friday. So
are we really expecting terrible news
this week? No. But uh we'll see. You
know, so far we're just getting the walk
back from Trump. We'll get CPI on
Friday. Not expecting bad news there.
And uh hey, we'll be sending out
reports. I don't know if I'll be live
too terribly much given that I'm here in
Hawaii and it's like 3:00 a.m. is like
6:00 a.m. my time. 3:00 a.m. here is
like 9:00 a.m. Eastern. So, it's going
to be a little crazy, but we will still
be sending out the alpha report and
we'll still be live with course members.
So, good luck this week and uh stay
tuned for videos. Make sure you download
the Meet Kevin app to get all the
notifications. See you there. Bye.
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