Russia is Literally Collapsing [WORST Situation in 32 Months] | Ukraine
FULL TRANSCRIPT
holy smokes things are getting really
severe in Russia not only is the Russian
Rupal absolutely collapsing the value of
the Rupal now lower than where it was
when Russia first invaded Ukraine but
Vladimir Putin is now threatening to
ramp up production of a brand new
missile a Hypersonic mach 10 plus
missile capable of delivering nuclear
warheads to
Ukraine because he wants to escalate and
grab as much land as possible before
Donald Trump takes
office this is not good and in this
video I'm going to break down exactly
what's going on we're going to start
with the Russian economy then I'm going
to talk to you about what's going on
with these new missiles the latest
between North Korea's involvement with
Russia what's going on in the Russian
territory that Ukraine is trying to grab
Russian territory territorial grab of
Ukraine what Donald Trump's Envoy is
saying about how they want to resolve
this conflict as soon as possible and
what the Biden Administration is doing
spoiler alert the Biden Administration
is throwing lots and lots of money at
Ukraine and this is also ramping up
right before Donald Trump takes office
let's get into it first quick note we
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17th well speaking about launching I'll
tell you the one thing that's not
launching right now is the Russian
economy the Russian Rupal not only is
collapsing to the levels that we have
not seen since the invasion a 32 Monon
low but Russia's Central Bank is
freaking out they are trying to
intervene to stabilize the Russian Rupal
Vladimir Putin says don't worry this is
just a seasonal fluctuation even though
this is the lowest we've been in 32
months and Vladimir Putin says don't
banic is it's okay it's the Central Bank
Ville handle well it doesn't appear to
really be working and a lot of folks
think that right now this is happening
because of a few reasons number one US
sanctions might actually finally be
starting to bite against Russia onethird
of the Russian Rupal is now gone
onethird of its value has evaporated in
just the last 90 days and you've got
some serious economic problems within
Russia it's self because so many workers
from the civilian economy are being
moved from the civilian economy to the
military where the military is offering
higher pay attracting people out of the
civilian economy what you're finding is
you've created a wage price spiral for
civilian jobs in Russia and it's leading
to substantial
inflation now one of the reasons the
military this is what some people say
it's kind of sad but some people say one
of the reasons the military can offer
more pay is because they don't have to
end up paying you for
long let that sink in wages though in
the civilian sector are up 8.4% in
Russia that's inflation adjusted and
yields on savings accounts are
21% because quite frankly inflation is
so high not because the
economy is imperfect apparently
according to Russia the unemployment
rate is is only 2.3% but rather because
there is such a whacked up supply and
demand Dynamic that you actually have
extremely low
unemployment but extremely high
inflation that's because so much effort
is being moved to the military and it's
really starting to affect things like it
local services like construction or even
people working for the local police
force apparently there are as many as
nine job openings per unemployed person
in Russia so if you're looking for a job
and you can't find one plenty of jobs
available in Russia problem is they
might drag you out of there and throw
you into the military exacerbating the
problem but understand this part of the
reason the Russ the Russian Rupal might
be collapsing it's not just because of
the sanctions it's not just because oil
is falling or sanctions on gas prom bank
or potentially the fact that you know as
oil Falls a large source of Russian
income is falling leading to potential
more potentially more destabilization in
Russia but also the potential that this
High inflation and ultra low
unemployment might lead to a collapse of
productivity a collapse of gross
domestic product and ultimately
stagflation now keep this in mind
Russian GDP is already about 3.9% of
Global Production and output this means
that a collapse of the Russian economy
could drag down other economies that are
already suffering think Middle Eastern
countries like turkey think China in
Asia and when they get
hammered they might end up being less
capable of trading with the United
States and therefore affecting the US
economy everything is connected and so
when you have over 9% inflation in
Russia on an annualized basis which
people think honestly is probably closer
to 18 plus perc and you end up having
wages spiraling out of control at an 8
to 9% inflation adjusted clip which
again probably aligns with about 18%
non-inflation adjusted you're creating
really large economic problems and this
is leading to a flight of assets out of
Russia Russian stock market is suffering
down 20% so far this year the Russian
Rupal is collapsing this is going to
make it harder for Russia's economy to
actually Finance itself which frankly is
part of the goal the Strategic goal of
NATO in the United States now is if you
hurt their economy maybe you could end
the war in Ukraine which Putin says he's
open to discussing but then again Joe
Biden and Biden Administration have
banned any talks with Putin so you can't
really negotiate a resolution who knows
why but let's get into some of the other
facts that are going on right now when
you have the economic pain that you have
in Russia Now problem is stimulative
efforts like money printing by the
Russian Central Bank might do nothing
more than create more inflation and
that's because there just aren't enough
people to actually take jobs so if you
are able to increase Supply you just end
up causing more deflation and stagnation
if you are trying to hire people because
you're a business and you have more
money there just aren't more people
created you can't print people
so you have a really big problem in
Russia and it comes at the same time as
Vladimir Putin is ramping up strikes
against Ukraine potentially now focusing
decisionmaking centers like military
outposts and Kiev also ramping up to
take as much land control as possible
likely before negotiations begin with
Donald Trump this is probably so that
Putin can play this sort of 4D chess
move where he sort of ramps up to pull
back when he negotiates with Trump it's
kind of a strategic way to get as much
as you can out of a negotiation go
really extreme right before the
negotiation uh anyway Russia has also
been picking up its attacks against the
Russian or sorry against the Ukrainian
energy sector apparently now as many as
1 million people without power seninsky
calls this a vile escalation senin is
complaining about Russia using cluster
Munitions which are illegal according to
the Geneva conventions and now Russia is
striking deep and deeper into multiple
cities almost purposefully trying to
shut down power and heating during
winter this is really a form of
psychological warfare following actual
physical Warfare now what we found is
that you've got Ukrainian Air Forces
doing their best to take down Russian
missiles and drones but their strength
against taking down these mostly Iranian
made shaad drones isn't that good they
have a success ratio of taking down
these drones at only about 30 to 40%
they're causing a lot of problems in
Ukraine and they're enabling Russia to
slowly creep up on the battlefield and
take more land before these potential
negotiations I want you to see what's
going on with land control this was
before The Invasion on the left on the
right this was after the initial Advance
now Ukraine did a great job at pushing
back Russia's
initial attack but we have been stuck in
this sort of November 20 22 map for
about 2 years and Russia has actually
slowly been moving forward very slowly
making very very little inroads along
these you kind of see a little bit of a
of a jut out over here so some inroads
being made but Russia still controls
over 177% of land has previously been
claimed by Ukraine a lot of folks
believe that Russia is trying to
solidify this land grab so that way if
Donald Trump forces some form of
negotiated settlement Russia could just
take control of this land specifically
that valuable land around the denero
region and River because that after all
is where 90% of Ukraine's energy
production is which is really desirable
for Russia they want that oil and
natural gas production something else to
keep in mind is that yes you do have
Ukraine in curing on the K region of
Russia but they've recently lost as much
as 40% of the land that they've taken
partly because North Korean soldiers are
now fighting in Russia to support the
Russians against ukrainians Ukraine at
one point controlled 531 square miles in
the K region now according to Ukraine
down to just about 309 square miles
which means uh Ukraine's push in theur
is getting squeezed while at the same
time Russ keeps pushing deeper and
deeper and using these longer range
missiles to fight back against Ukraine's
aat missiles now authorized by the
United States and this is exactly why
landmines are now being authorized by
the United States to Ukraine to again
try to prevent that push forward of
Russia all of this happening before the
Trump approach now what's going on with
Trump well remember every time I met and
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check this out but Trump does especially
since we're on Black Friday sale and
prices are going to be going up soon
Donald Trump promises quick peace
negotiations this is because Donald
Trump's Envoy suggests that there's
probably going to be a seeding of land
to Russia this is the opposite of what
Joe Biden has encouraged which is do not
give up any land however one of the ways
that they could accomplish this is
potentially negotiating directly with
Kim Jong-un North Korea this is
something that Joe Biden has been vastly
opposed to but that Donald Trump is open
to doing negotiating directly with Putin
or King Kim Jong-un to try to like
resolve these problems Franklin but also
potentially forcing Ukraine into giving
up Land by suggesting that the United
States will only continue to arm Ukraine
if a ceasefire occurs and a land
division occurs at the same time this is
happening Iran and Russia are deepening
their alliances but the Trump
Administration thinks that they might
actually be able to negotiate
independently with Russia and Ukraine or
sorry uh Russia and Iran because Iran
and Russia actually have competing
interests think about it they have
different strategies in the Middle East
they compete as oil producers and
sellers and so if the Trump
Administration can negotiate independent
deals with North Korea Iran and Russia
the United States could potentially
strengthen their positioning with all of
these various different countries
especially since right now what's
happening is you're actually
strengthening relationship between Iran
building drone facilities in Ukraine uh
between uh Iran and Russia obviously
between Russia and China where China is
ramping up their manufacturing of uh
shells and Munitions quietly they say
they don't they say they only provide
chips and non-lethal Hardware but most
people think that's BS North Korea is
now getting Battlefield experience and
ramping up their production of military
equipment as well which is something
they hadn't been doing when they were
not involved in military conflicts now
they literally have a training ground
against Ukraine and Ukraine's being
funded by the US so you're basically
training the North Koreans with their
funding
there a lot of things going on here uh
but what you really have is a
militarizing world and it's scary now
Vladimir Putin this morning did suggest
that if Ukraine becomes a nuclear power
and this is a big threat if Ukraine
becomes a nuclear power Russia will use
all means of Destruction Ukraine cannot
make a nuclear weapon they could
probably only have the capability of
creating a dirty bomb but Russia will
respond to any threat according ly and
that today anything is possible Vladimir
Putin also compliments Trump suggesting
that he is an intelligent a politician
and don't worry about the Rupal or the
Russian economy everything is under
control says Vladimir Putin so how do we
put all of the pieces of this puzzle
together knowing that tomorrow is Black
Friday and we currently have the Trump
299 sale going on for that Trump course
so on pre-sale all that content comes
out December 17th well here's how would
put it all together I would say that
number one we're probably seeing a ramp
up by both Ukraine and Russia before the
Trump inauguration that is more pressure
via acat missiles those those uh shorter
range but longer range missiles than
Ukraine has had access to before seeing
that same ramp up against the energy
infrastructure by uh Russia and that
push that pushing of uh Ukraine out of
the K region we're seeing this
escalation of talking in action before
January because we expect negotiations
to begin when Donald Trump takes office
these negotiations could end the war and
I think both sides are trying to get to
a place where they have the best
strategic Advantage for those
negotiations so they're ramping up try
to prevent the Russian Advance with
landmines try to get into Russia deeper
and vice versa get into Ukraine deeper
and hit more energy infrastructure in
Ukraine at the same time the Russian
economy is having serious problems so
there is a big incentive for Russia to
end this war so people who are deployed
in the military can actually get back to
jobs and maybe they could stabilize
their economy which is important for the
entire global economy this is why it's
so important to pay attention to this
you've got stagflation in Russia mostly
because you have a lack of workers if
you could get back to a normalized
pre-war economy you'd have less problems
here and potentially more global
stability it's really in the best
interest of everyone to see this war end
especially when it does end you might
actually see oil prices fall and
therefore gas prices fall which could
boost consumer spending in the United
States giving you more dollar hollers to
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so what do we know about the potential
for escalation between now and then we
know it's very high things could get
worse before they get better and so
we've still got somewhere around 54 days
before the inauguration so we've got
quite a bit of waiting to do between now
and then and a lot can happen and with
this now mass production of these
nuclear capable missiles that Putin is
undertaking uh we got to be careful
because these Hypersonic missiles could
create a lot of damage for Ukraine
between now and the inauguration and
really put Ukraine on the back seat
which may escalate tensions between the
United States and Russia under the Biden
Administration until then anyway this is
a full summary of what's going on thank
you so much for watching I'm going to go
make some more Tim Horton's Coffee shout
out to you Canadians a and we'll see you
in the next one goodbye good luck check
out me kevin.com can not advertise these
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nobody else knows about this we'll we'll
try a little advertising and see how it
Go congratulations man you have done so
much people love you people look up to
you Kevin P there financial analist and
YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get
your take
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