Why the Fed Deleted M2 Money Supply — Hiding Inflation? [Explained].
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone kevin here there is a lot
of talk circulating online that the
federal reserve is trying to hide things
from us
oh no but yes there are tons of videos
uh talking about the federal reserve
canceling and
ending the tracking of the m2 money
supply because the fed doesn't want us
to know
what's happening with our money supply
so they figure huh
we don't want you to know how much money
you're or how much we're devaluing your
dollar
let's just hide the data from you and
there are a ton of these videos and
articles around
creating a lot of fear uncertainty and
doubt about the federal reserve now i'm
not here
to show the federal reserve i got my own
beef with the federal reserve
it's really hard to get in touch with
the federal reserve if somebody works at
the fed
or somebody wants to talk to me from the
fed i would love to talk to you please
reach out
but anyway let's break down what's
actually happening here
is the fed actually hiding data from us
or what is really happening because
again there's so much thought out there
regarding this
i like to clear it up and talk about
what's actually happening so here's the
thing
when you type in m2 money supply into
you get this chart from the st louis fed
but it says discontinued and the m2
money supply is
sort of a tracker of how much money
there is and it's kind of interesting
because
it's sort of been going up consistently
here so our
dollar has consistently been getting
devalued
except when we go into the pandemic here
we have this sort of skyrocketing it's
more dramatic if you look at it like
this
it's like all of a sudden it's like oh
man that's a lot of that's a lot of
money printing right
basically uh the m2 money supply in this
chart here went from 15.5 trillion
to 19.4 trillion
dollars and the m2 money supply includes
things like checking accounts savings
accounts and other things
and we're not going to go through
exactly the differences between the m1
the m2 and the m3
doesn't matter the m2 is one of the ways
we track the supply of money
and so this chart has been going up
since well during the pandemic
and all of a sudden it's discontinued
and this is leading to
a lot of thoughts that oh my gosh this
is it's obvious
the fed doesn't want us to know how much
more
they're going to destroy the value of
our dollar because now if this chart
skyrockets
again by the same amount because they
just print that much more money we won't
know about it
and that's the fear uncertainty and
doubt that's going around that
the fed doesn't want us actually to know
how much inflation is happening
so they're just going to pull the rug
out from under us about all these
these these charts they're just going to
take a take take them away from us and
keep us in the dark
unfortunately that's not actually what's
happening for the fear mongers so
unfortunately for the fear mongers
that is not what is happening so what
happened
is this and there is a change here okay
in fairness we got to talk about the
change
on december 17th the federal reserve
decided to make a
change to the m2 money supply
charts part of the reason and they don't
give a very
clear reason here which i'm frustrated
about which is one of the reasons i've
been trying to get on the phone with the
federal reserve
but i want to talk about what happened
and potentially one of the reasons so
let's actually start with what actually
happened
so right here of particular note
the publication frequency of the release
of the m2 money supply will change from
weekly to monthly and the release will
contain
only monthly average data weekly average
non-seasonally adjusted data will
continue to be provided
in the board's beta download program
while weekly averages seasonally
adjusted will no longer
be provided okay and then they go on
other modifications include
so basically it's these two lines right
here where the fed is essentially saying
this
all right look we have this m2 money
supply chart
that we used to update weekly and we
used to update it weekly both
seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally
adjusted
now what we're going to do because i'm
assuming maybe seasonally adjusting
takes a bunch of work or whatever
i don't know i'm i'm not trying to make
an excuse here they're saying
we're going to get rid of the seasonal
adjusted weekly data we're getting rid
of that we're still going to give you
the monthly data
but we're going to get rid of the weekly
seasonally adjusted app the
non-seasonally adjusted weekly data if
you really care about the weekly data we
will still give that to you
on a monthly basis so basically every
single month
they will provide i think the next
release is coming up here on april 24th
they will provide once a month an update
as to how much the money supply has
grown
and in that update we'll get a
seasonally adjusted monthly
set seasonally or non-seasonally
adjusted monthly set
and a non-seasonally adjusted weekly set
okay so that's what happened
so i want to contrast this and then i
want to go into
maybe one all right and practically what
this means
so what actually happened here the fed
did not take away this data completely
this data is not gone the data still
exists
and the data is going to stay here all
that's going to happen
is it's going to move over to a monthly
update
so for example they even give a little
chart here this series will no longer be
updated
this series will be replaced by
basically this one here
m2 money supply it's still here when
when the chart stops pinwheeling of
course
i'm sure i refresh over here there we go
it's still here
so the data is still here the only
difference is this chart is only going
to show monthly data
if we want which actually kind of shows
a little bit more of a smoother view
we get less of sort of the the
jagger which
you know if we wanted the weekly data
they're still going to provide it but
they are making a little harder to get
the weekly data
because you have to go into this
basically downloader software and it
downloads a little chart for you in a
spreadsheet so you can still see it
it's just not as convenient anymore now
the only reason they give for this they
do not go into any more detail
the only reason they give for this is to
streamline the statistical release
so in other words hey if we provide less
information
we don't have to do it as often and i
guess that streamlines the release
now it is a little weird it's kind of
like hey in this time when people
probably want to see the monthly
fluctuations kind of like we used to
have like this
see you used to be able to see all these
kind of little ups and downs and
bumps in the row oh wait sorry there you
go you used to be able to see all of
these
these bumps here now we just get sort of
a more flatlined version of it
the data's still there uh we just have a
little bit
less of a read on how that inflection
point is changing or how those
inflections are happening
on a week to week basis but honestly i
wasn't even looking at the m2 money
supply
on a week to week basis maybe i'd look
at it once
once a month for me this doesn't really
make a practical difference
the fed is still providing this
information so if you hear
any kind of disinformation out there
that says the fed's no longer providing
data on the m2 money supply
that's wrong now why the fed went from a
monthly or from a weekly basis to a
monthly basis again
i don't know maybe they are trying to
hide something right maybe that's where
we got to be skeptical
but it's wrong to say the fed is
completely hiding data from us
when that's not true they're still
providing that information monthly
and i think in fairness to data and
what's right we got to make that very
clear so here's the monthly data release
it says
these data this data is released on the
fourth tuesday of every month
generally at 1 pm so in other words
now much like unemployment inflation and
so many other measures that are released
monthly
all we have to do is wait for that
monthly update and then we'll get the
data
it's not really being hidden from us and
again we still have access to that
monthly information
that means the fourth thursday
of april for example would be the 22nd
so on the 22nd at 1 pm
eastern time i'll even put it down on
the calendar we should get the h6 and
m2 on a supply release
so stay tuned for that we'll take a look
at it when it comes out not really
expecting anything crazy
but i put it on the calendar so anyway
uh
hopefully this adds a little bit of
clarity to all this drama that's going
on
personally yeah is it a little sus
like really now you're gonna make that
kind of change
maybe yeah like 50 sauce
are they fully hiding it from us no is
it less visible
yes does it matter probably not
thanks so much for watching have a good
[Music]
one
you
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