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Why the Fed Deleted M2 Money Supply — Hiding Inflation? [Explained].

8m 57s1,669 words287 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

hey everyone kevin here there is a lot

0:02

of talk circulating online that the

0:03

federal reserve is trying to hide things

0:05

from us

0:06

oh no but yes there are tons of videos

0:10

uh talking about the federal reserve

0:12

canceling and

0:13

ending the tracking of the m2 money

0:16

supply because the fed doesn't want us

0:17

to know

0:18

what's happening with our money supply

0:20

so they figure huh

0:21

we don't want you to know how much money

0:23

you're or how much we're devaluing your

0:25

dollar

0:25

let's just hide the data from you and

0:28

there are a ton of these videos and

0:31

articles around

0:32

creating a lot of fear uncertainty and

0:35

doubt about the federal reserve now i'm

0:37

not here

0:38

to show the federal reserve i got my own

0:39

beef with the federal reserve

0:41

it's really hard to get in touch with

0:42

the federal reserve if somebody works at

0:44

the fed

0:45

or somebody wants to talk to me from the

0:46

fed i would love to talk to you please

0:48

reach out

0:50

but anyway let's break down what's

0:52

actually happening here

0:54

is the fed actually hiding data from us

0:57

or what is really happening because

0:59

again there's so much thought out there

1:01

regarding this

1:02

i like to clear it up and talk about

1:04

what's actually happening so here's the

1:05

thing

1:06

when you type in m2 money supply into

1:09

google

1:09

you get this chart from the st louis fed

1:12

but it says discontinued and the m2

1:15

money supply is

1:16

sort of a tracker of how much money

1:17

there is and it's kind of interesting

1:20

because

1:20

it's sort of been going up consistently

1:22

here so our

1:24

dollar has consistently been getting

1:26

devalued

1:27

except when we go into the pandemic here

1:29

we have this sort of skyrocketing it's

1:31

more dramatic if you look at it like

1:32

this

1:33

it's like all of a sudden it's like oh

1:34

man that's a lot of that's a lot of

1:36

money printing right

1:37

basically uh the m2 money supply in this

1:40

chart here went from 15.5 trillion

1:43

to 19.4 trillion

1:47

dollars and the m2 money supply includes

1:50

things like checking accounts savings

1:52

accounts and other things

1:54

and we're not going to go through

1:55

exactly the differences between the m1

1:57

the m2 and the m3

1:58

doesn't matter the m2 is one of the ways

2:00

we track the supply of money

2:03

and so this chart has been going up

2:05

since well during the pandemic

2:07

and all of a sudden it's discontinued

2:10

and this is leading to

2:11

a lot of thoughts that oh my gosh this

2:13

is it's obvious

2:14

the fed doesn't want us to know how much

2:17

more

2:18

they're going to destroy the value of

2:19

our dollar because now if this chart

2:21

skyrockets

2:22

again by the same amount because they

2:23

just print that much more money we won't

2:25

know about it

2:25

and that's the fear uncertainty and

2:28

doubt that's going around that

2:29

the fed doesn't want us actually to know

2:31

how much inflation is happening

2:32

so they're just going to pull the rug

2:34

out from under us about all these

2:36

these these charts they're just going to

2:37

take a take take them away from us and

2:39

keep us in the dark

2:41

unfortunately that's not actually what's

2:43

happening for the fear mongers so

2:45

unfortunately for the fear mongers

2:46

that is not what is happening so what

2:49

happened

2:50

is this and there is a change here okay

2:53

in fairness we got to talk about the

2:54

change

2:54

on december 17th the federal reserve

2:56

decided to make a

2:58

change to the m2 money supply

3:01

charts part of the reason and they don't

3:04

give a very

3:05

clear reason here which i'm frustrated

3:06

about which is one of the reasons i've

3:07

been trying to get on the phone with the

3:09

federal reserve

3:10

but i want to talk about what happened

3:11

and potentially one of the reasons so

3:13

let's actually start with what actually

3:14

happened

3:14

so right here of particular note

3:18

the publication frequency of the release

3:22

of the m2 money supply will change from

3:25

weekly to monthly and the release will

3:28

contain

3:29

only monthly average data weekly average

3:32

non-seasonally adjusted data will

3:35

continue to be provided

3:37

in the board's beta download program

3:39

while weekly averages seasonally

3:41

adjusted will no longer

3:43

be provided okay and then they go on

3:46

other modifications include

3:47

so basically it's these two lines right

3:50

here where the fed is essentially saying

3:52

this

3:52

all right look we have this m2 money

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supply chart

3:56

that we used to update weekly and we

3:59

used to update it weekly both

4:00

seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally

4:03

adjusted

4:04

now what we're going to do because i'm

4:05

assuming maybe seasonally adjusting

4:07

takes a bunch of work or whatever

4:08

i don't know i'm i'm not trying to make

4:10

an excuse here they're saying

4:11

we're going to get rid of the seasonal

4:13

adjusted weekly data we're getting rid

4:15

of that we're still going to give you

4:16

the monthly data

4:17

but we're going to get rid of the weekly

4:19

seasonally adjusted app the

4:20

non-seasonally adjusted weekly data if

4:22

you really care about the weekly data we

4:24

will still give that to you

4:26

on a monthly basis so basically every

4:29

single month

4:30

they will provide i think the next

4:32

release is coming up here on april 24th

4:35

they will provide once a month an update

4:38

as to how much the money supply has

4:40

grown

4:41

and in that update we'll get a

4:42

seasonally adjusted monthly

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set seasonally or non-seasonally

4:46

adjusted monthly set

4:48

and a non-seasonally adjusted weekly set

4:50

okay so that's what happened

4:51

so i want to contrast this and then i

4:54

want to go into

4:55

maybe one all right and practically what

4:58

this means

4:58

so what actually happened here the fed

5:01

did not take away this data completely

5:03

this data is not gone the data still

5:06

exists

5:06

and the data is going to stay here all

5:09

that's going to happen

5:10

is it's going to move over to a monthly

5:12

update

5:13

so for example they even give a little

5:15

chart here this series will no longer be

5:17

updated

5:18

this series will be replaced by

5:20

basically this one here

5:21

m2 money supply it's still here when

5:24

when the chart stops pinwheeling of

5:26

course

5:27

i'm sure i refresh over here there we go

5:29

it's still here

5:30

so the data is still here the only

5:32

difference is this chart is only going

5:34

to show monthly data

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if we want which actually kind of shows

5:37

a little bit more of a smoother view

5:39

we get less of sort of the the

5:41

jagger which

5:43

you know if we wanted the weekly data

5:44

they're still going to provide it but

5:45

they are making a little harder to get

5:47

the weekly data

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because you have to go into this

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basically downloader software and it

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downloads a little chart for you in a

5:53

spreadsheet so you can still see it

5:55

it's just not as convenient anymore now

5:57

the only reason they give for this they

5:59

do not go into any more detail

6:01

the only reason they give for this is to

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streamline the statistical release

6:07

so in other words hey if we provide less

6:10

information

6:10

we don't have to do it as often and i

6:13

guess that streamlines the release

6:15

now it is a little weird it's kind of

6:17

like hey in this time when people

6:19

probably want to see the monthly

6:20

fluctuations kind of like we used to

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have like this

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see you used to be able to see all these

6:25

kind of little ups and downs and

6:27

bumps in the row oh wait sorry there you

6:29

go you used to be able to see all of

6:31

these

6:31

these bumps here now we just get sort of

6:34

a more flatlined version of it

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the data's still there uh we just have a

6:39

little bit

6:40

less of a read on how that inflection

6:43

point is changing or how those

6:45

inflections are happening

6:46

on a week to week basis but honestly i

6:49

wasn't even looking at the m2 money

6:51

supply

6:51

on a week to week basis maybe i'd look

6:54

at it once

6:54

once a month for me this doesn't really

6:57

make a practical difference

6:58

the fed is still providing this

7:00

information so if you hear

7:02

any kind of disinformation out there

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that says the fed's no longer providing

7:06

data on the m2 money supply

7:08

that's wrong now why the fed went from a

7:11

monthly or from a weekly basis to a

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monthly basis again

7:14

i don't know maybe they are trying to

7:16

hide something right maybe that's where

7:18

we got to be skeptical

7:19

but it's wrong to say the fed is

7:21

completely hiding data from us

7:22

when that's not true they're still

7:24

providing that information monthly

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and i think in fairness to data and

7:28

what's right we got to make that very

7:30

clear so here's the monthly data release

7:32

it says

7:32

these data this data is released on the

7:35

fourth tuesday of every month

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generally at 1 pm so in other words

7:41

now much like unemployment inflation and

7:44

so many other measures that are released

7:46

monthly

7:47

all we have to do is wait for that

7:49

monthly update and then we'll get the

7:51

data

7:51

it's not really being hidden from us and

7:54

again we still have access to that

7:55

monthly information

7:56

that means the fourth thursday

8:00

of april for example would be the 22nd

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so on the 22nd at 1 pm

8:04

eastern time i'll even put it down on

8:06

the calendar we should get the h6 and

8:09

m2 on a supply release

8:12

so stay tuned for that we'll take a look

8:14

at it when it comes out not really

8:15

expecting anything crazy

8:17

but i put it on the calendar so anyway

8:20

uh

8:20

hopefully this adds a little bit of

8:22

clarity to all this drama that's going

8:23

on

8:24

personally yeah is it a little sus

8:27

like really now you're gonna make that

8:29

kind of change

8:31

maybe yeah like 50 sauce

8:34

are they fully hiding it from us no is

8:37

it less visible

8:38

yes does it matter probably not

8:41

thanks so much for watching have a good

8:44

[Music]

8:52

one

8:54

you

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