January 2023 NonFarm Payroll Review & HTF Concepts

good evening folks welcome back I hope

everybody's doing well

I'm gonna be doing a quick little review

on Friday's price action all right so if

es this is our daily chart

we won't be looking at NASDAQ today so

my focus was on Es as you all know if

you've been following along my Twitter

account if you don't know what that

Twitter account is go to my YouTube

channel on the main page and you'll see

in the upper right hand corner it'll say

the official Twitter

of the instrumental Trader

that's my Twitter space so if you recall

I mentioned that we were inside this

trading range here

until we get out of this range

you have to be a caliper okay so I

mentioned that this area here also this

is a volume and balance that would be a

likely draw up into and above the

short-term high and we got that like

gangbusters on Friday

now before you think I'm tooting my horn

here

uh just note that

this low

at 38 22 and a half

and then this low right here

at 38 14 and a half those two levels I

was watching as a potential break and

then I targeted 3814 I felt like we had

a really good chance of doing that the

low came in at 38.19 even

on the micro

e-mini you can look that up as

m-e-s-h-2023 it actually went below

the 14. so

take a look at that and you'll see an

smt Divergence and that means

the mes h2023 went lower than the

esh2023 symbol Okay so

just something out there for you to

study

on the upside there this was the draw I

mentioned earlier in the week and you

can find it on the YouTube channel in

the videos

whenever I make a notation of a level

especially if it's a daily chart

that is something you want to have on

your chart at all times

and it needs to be visible on all time

frames and I'll

tell you what that means when we get

into the lower time frame chart but for

right now this is what you should have

noted on your chart so when we see on

the lower time frame chart this orange

level here this rectangle that's what

this is okay it's rooted to

this candle's close

on December 15 2022 and this candle is

open

on December 16th

2022. okay

so we're going to drop down into an

hourly all right here's the hourly chart

and you can see this is the

relative equal lows I was looking for

as a potential drop down below that

so I was looking for that 3014 based on

these

old lows okay so in the event at

non-front payroll Wicked down below that

that would have been what I was

anticipating and then if they would have

done that I would have been looking for

something to draw back up into the very

minimum right here

and then if it was to accelerate

obviously you know going back a little

bit further looking up in here and

this target was mentioned as upside

earlier in the week

or not from payroll you know I'm not

gonna hold something

to that level even for a demo trade okay

so uh just keep that in mind when we go

through our example here so we had nice

South Dakota resting below these

relative equal lows sell side is sell

stops anyone that's long or wants to

sell short in or is trying to make money

going down if the market goes lower

if it goes below that and rejects that

that is a stop read

and then we would look for the opposing

buy side which would be here

here

and above here and then if it's really

going to have an extrapolation to the

upside

that Orange Box is that daily volume

imbalance I mentioned early in the week

last week

all right so

we're going to drop down into a 15

minute time frame and I want you to take

a look at this candle right here okay

that's Friday

and again always have your chart

at New York you're gonna be tired of me

saying this all the time but you'd be

surprised how many folks on Twitter how

many times people send me a message

through tradingview they'll leave a

comment in videos if I comment on

someone else's video they'll ask you

know what how do I have my time set like

yours into dentaling also if you've been

following along on the ES

in my commentary on Twitter you have

discovered that I am time traveling I'm

10 minutes ahead of your chart

yeah that proves I'm doing it live

because if you haven't subscribed to a

live feed

that means you're not getting live data

and you can't trade with delayed data on

trading view you can only do that

with live execution with real-time data

Okay so

the reason why my chart looks like it's

10 minutes ahead it's because I'm doing

it with real-time data and not delayed

data not Market replay like a

ninjatrader okay there's nothing wrong

with practicing using a market replay

function studying price as it prints but

you can't press the button in trading

view so it's kind of like a litmus test

for those individuals that uh

want to say that this is always

hindsight or Cherry Picked you know I'm

putting it out there on Twitter

everything's time stamped as you'll see

so go to this candle right here

that is the midnight candle in New York

local time right there

and we're going to drop a level right

there

so 38 47 and a half we'll make that

purple

I want to say why

I just want to go there

thinking of Prince

I'm not I'm not a Ravens fan by the way

a lot of people are asking are you a

Ravens fan no I don't I don't like

football

I don't like it at all so

that right there

is our filter for power three now what

does that mean

well for power three if we're thinking

that it's going to go down

you would ideally want to see a move

above it and then go back back below it

and then create some kind of selling

opportunity and then reach down into

that 3014 but we got real close to 3814

foreign

like five handles away

so if we see this run up here on

non-farm payroll at 8 30 and we're not

trading on non-farm Bureau I push the

button and manage a position as you'll

see here and if you've watched it

already on Twitter I showed a

screenshot of each progression as I was

calling each level the whole business is

on Twitter so I'm trying not to steal

the Thunder from going through those

tweets yourself I know it's probably

daunting for some of you you want to

have a handheld experience where I'm

doing all the screen captures for you

all the the busy work for you but you're

never going to learn doing that way okay

so I'm preaching to the folks that are

trying to learn if you are lazy you will

not do well here okay so I'm demanding

you

spend time doing this yourself I'm gonna

guide you but you have to be able to do

it yourself otherwise your trading

journal is going to be empty or you

won't have one and you won't have the

benefit of learning

so at 8 30 we had a run above that level

and I noted it on Twitter real time I

said take your attention to 3014 because

it could easily just Spike down there

now had it done 84 14 and if it expanded

beyond that I had 3804 also known as a

potential level

so in the event because I don't know

what they're going to do with the

employment number this is the reason why

I don't trade this non-farm payroll

event now I've taught my students in old

mentorship

that there's a way to trade the market

after

that first 30 minutes or so or not from

payroll but it's not something that I

would advise anybody doing it's good for

studying price action and I gave an

example of walking through it on Twitter

calling the levels where I thought it

was going to go and push the button and

manage to stop and manage positions and

partials and the whole business and

you'll see obviously the executions here

but we failed to go back below this low

here

and when we go into lower time frames

it'll make more sense but let's drop to

a five minute now

[Music]

foreign

here in the form of a buy side and

balance cell side and efficiency that

means by side was offered

it's inefficient in what

cell side so in other words it needs to

have some movement between this candle's

high and that candle is low so you're

you're focus should be right in here

this range

okay right in here

this candle is high

and this candle is low there's only one

candle between those two candles

it's this one here and it's one big

beefy caffeinated candle okay back in

the 90s when I was doing a live s p

trading room on Internet relay chat yeah

that's how old I am

the

every time we would create a big candle

like this I would call it a caffeine bar

and it's just a lot of energy and you

hear me sometimes say I want to see an

energetic move every time I say it my

mind goes back to the good old days on

Merc but

your eye should be gravitating to these

types of movements this is a bicent

amount of cell standard efficiency it's

category for a PD array is fair value

Gap

but it's

distinction is a buy side imbalanced

cell sign and efficiency bissy

b-i-s-i okay so don't bother Googling it

because this is all my language this is

my vocabulary I created this so that way

you can differentiate what it is I'm

referring to and throughout the year

you'll know exactly what this is okay by

the time this time next year you're

going to be a pro at it so you can see

how we went down into that area here

dipped into it

and then turned around and attacked

these relative equal highs

now before I drop down into the one

minute chart I wanted to kind of take

you through this

thought process

right about in here I tweeted and said

note 3814 because we could have easily

spiked back down through here cleaned

this area up ran the stops on anyone

that was long with stop losses below

that old 15 minute low

let me bring it back here so you can see

so here's old lows here and there's one

more segment of price action

right there that's where those

sell stops I was referring to all week

[Music]

so if it was able to do that that's fine

then I would have been looking for a run

to take these out but it didn't give me

that so go through my tweets on Friday

you'll see me refer again as it's

dropping down pay attention to 3814. but

then we get into this area here which I

was watching but I want to see proof

okay I don't want to just go in there

and co-sign something on Twitter and not

have any idea what it is I'm looking for

I want to see proof as the what it would

likely do if it's not going to go to 30

or 14 that's fine there's no trade there

I'm not selling short

I want to see if you can get to 3814 but

if it cannot and it rejects this by side

of balance outside of efficiency what

does that mean to reject well it's not

getting through it so in other words in

the

easiest language I could

provide for you in regards to that

the lowest portion of that range between

this candle is low and this candle is

high if any time you have a big one

single candle and it's separated with

the candles high before it here and a

candle after it's low here and it's just

that range that's shaded in blue there's

only one pass one candle okay

that is significant

when price is coming back down into it

but

when there's high impact news drivers

like

well not from payroll or FMC it can

overshoot

these areas

okay so when I'm looking at Price action

if I don't have a high impact news

driver like fomc or not from payroll

which I wouldn't be trading or not for

apparel anyway despite what you're going

to see later on

on a regular day like a medium impact or

high impact news driver that's not fomc

in other words it's an interest rate

announcement based report that's coming

out or just you know not from payroll if

I'm just studying price and maybe you

know looking at non-front role a couple

times throughout this year with you all

just to reinforce the idea of what it is

I try to avoid doing well not from

payroll so that way you want to see me

lose you want to see me get it wrong I'm

going to stand in front of you live on a

non-farm payroll and do the whole

business right in front of you and

you'll see why I don't want to touch

that day because

the elements of precision are

likely to be outside my grasp

and it's because it's highly manipulated

so if it's highly manipulated I don't

want to be in that

okay and you shouldn't want to either

now if you're forced by compulsion or

lack of discipline you just have to be

in here studying on non-farial because

you feel drawn to it like a moth to a

flame

demo it okay don't Trade It live and

then you'll see quickly why you

shouldn't do it okay but this purple

level here

look what's happening the market drops

back down I gave it the likelihood of

maybe it ran up in here to get above the

opening price and then does it break

below this area here

and then tag the 3014 level now if it

would have went below 3014 came up into

a fair value Gap

I would have looked for a run to 3804

and you can find that 3804 level on your

daily chart it's an old daily low

there's your homework assignment for

that

but

it doesn't matter because I already gave

that out I already gave it out in the uh

previous discussion about why the levels

were being done and I think that would

be seen or heard rather on my Twitter

space that's on Friday morning why I

don't trade not from payroll so I gave

you the level specifically there

but if you don't want to listen to that

sort of space you can obviously go

through the deal chart and find those

old daily lows and you'll see where 3804

is right so anyway because we failed and

rejected to go below this level here

you're gonna have to drop down to a one

minute chart which we'll do now

[Music]

[Music]

all right so here's that same by Center

balance else on an efficiency it's been

refined to show on just

the one minute chart

so we have that drop down in here

then we rallied and if you look at the

tweets you're going to see it a weird

tweet where it says put a line on

38 39 and 38 6.

I'm sorry 38 36.75 I think that's what

it is and I read it wrong and I got 50

year old eyes folks I apologize but what

I was trying to get your attention to

was here okay this little area right

there if that can stay open

and this is what I was going to get at

this area here if that stays open notice

it doesn't trade back down into it let

me

highlight here

[Music]

all right so that area there stays open

in other words the price doesn't go down

into it and

a short-term high is taken out here's a

short-term high right there

okay so this stayed open in this short

term high was taken out to the upside

there's a small little Gap right in here

notice where all of this is occurring

see this dotted line here

you're going to see a tweet

that I'm going to be able to put right

on top the chart and you'll see

how I'm right here I'm calling

that the 3876 buy stops are in the

crosshairs

that means that I'm watching to see if

this level

stays open and if

we get above the short-term high right

there

because if we do

then it's likely to do what run to take

out these relative equal highs see in

retail books and Educators that teach

support resistance which I don't trade

they're going to see that as resistance

it one of all this High here it went up

here stopped dropped down aggressively

so naturally anybody that wants to make

money they're going to think get short

and as long as it doesn't go above here

you're good got a stop loss up there

it's fine

well I teach my students how to attack

retail logic and Theory because it's

based on fallacy it's based on things

that aren't making the market move

higher or lower it's providing Bull's

eyes and targets for people to hunt

liquidity now you're going to see a lot

of Educators if you haven't already seen

it already and I get a lot of this from

other Educators though they'll you know

talk about my opinion of the marketplace

and they'll say what I'm saying is

flawed logic and they'll say things like

nobody's hunting your stop well that's

not true because if that was

if it was true

then you wouldn't see my Concepts be as

precise as they are

the market is delivered on the basis of

liquidity and

balanced rebalance

that's it that's the only thing that's

happening otherwise it's some kind of

unexpected event where manipulation

comes in

where nobody can determine what it's

going to do and you're going to lose

regardless if you're in the marketplace

that's unfortunate that's what happens

sometimes

but that's the inherent risk that's what

everybody takes on when they speculate

in these markets with real money

so when the market does in fact trade

above the short-term High here any

retracements down into this area here

what area this candle here

from the high to the opening rate at

that dotted line what is that dotted

line again

that's the midnight opening price in New

York time on Friday

so power three is what

we're now thinking it's going to go to

here you'll see proof of that because

I've tweeted it and you can still see

the tweets I haven't been changing I

don't delete any tweet no tweets being

deleted ever

as it drops back down into this candle's

High to open I'm getting real close to

the midnight opening price on Friday so

that means I'm doing what

I'm going to try to buy

at

or just below

the opening price at midnight because my

expectation is this is what I teach my

students

if this is

what the range is likely to do

on the daily chart in order to this

hypothetical

candlestick

[Music]

okay let's say this hypothetical

candlestick

[Music]

represents the daily chart

okay and I use obviously green

[Music]

so let's use this here

[Music]

okay so we have

this scenario here where we're expecting

the opening price

no again think about this candle

on The Daily time frame right now we're

looking at a one minute chart so don't

be confused by this okay I'm just

showing the logic

the opening price would be this price

right here

[Music]

and what's confusing for some of you and

this because you haven't been properly

mentored you just

listen to other people take my stuff and

teach you incorrectly

because they're not paying attention

they're not taking notes and they

haven't learned how to trade profitably

with the concepts so

I'm trying to correct all of you okay I

know you're overzealous and you want to

go out make your courses and your

mentorships and all that other stuff but

you're actually hurting people

okay so there's a lot of reasons why I'm

doing what I'm doing this last year

but pay attention because if you're

trying to rip me off and Rebrand my

stuff

at least do the benefit of helping the

people that's going to be affected by

you teaching my stuff incorrectly

by doing it at least better than you

used to and that means by doing this

the opening price at midnight

New York local time that is your daily

opening price I don't care what trading

views opening price is when you put on

the daily chart and like

look at the daily candles opening price

that's not accurate

okay that's hours and hours away from

what it is that the algorithm is going

to refer to

you want to have New York

at midnight that opening price just pull

up a 15 minute time frame and you'll

have it so you want to have that price

noted that's what I have here remember

we walked from the 50-minute chart and

extended it out in time

if we're bullish

by having this level on your chart

you want to be buying at that level or

beneath it

in worst case scenario you want to be

buying near it

[Music]

so your thought process would be like

this on the daily chart your watch and

you'll see me doing this with live

commentary starting in February

where I'm expecting the accumulation

phase on The Daily range to occur

below a specific level

and you'll see how it's you're in a 90

Club okay if you if you do these types

of things and your draw on liquidity was

that well let's just say this

level up here was the

30 95 and a quarter level

don't be discouraged or distracted by

the actual prices over here

but let's just say that was your

your draw on liquidity okay I don't want

to be

unrealistic and

say that you would have known about the

volume and balance had you not been

watching the videos

if you want to watch the videos and

obviously you would have

but let's just say that was your draw

on liquidity for buy site

based on the weekly chart based on what

you expected in terms of higher time

frame analysis I can say this because

you watched me do it this week even

though I was looking for something down

here it matters not what I'm showing you

is the logic as how I shifted gears

intraday Friday and worked in this whole

scenario here

but you would be trying to buy below the

midnight opening price on any day

don't think this is just a non-profit

payroll event you're trying to buy at

the opening price or below on The Daily

candle when you're bullish

and if you get above the opening price

like you see it doing here and here as

it goes back close to that opening price

you can be a buyer there too if there's

Lodge behind it and the logic I used was

these two down closed candles is a

bullish order Block it's also a swing

High we went through it here so this is

what I teach you to look for for what

the shift in Market structure meaning

the market has tipped its hand to you

that it wants to go higher so if it's

going to go higher where it's going to

go to well you have an imbalance right

here right yeah it's fine you have a

bearish breaker here that's fine too but

look closely

actually

take a step away from your computer

screen back up in your room right now

look at this chart a little bit further

away about 10 12 feet away

you're going to see these levels here

way too smooth it looks too perfect

it looks too much like classic support

and resistance and here's a note that

you want to have in your

study Journal

and anytime you see levels in your chart

that are like this or they're just too

perfect and smooth

I always say this okay but smooth edges

like to be made Jagged that means when

it's smooth like this the market will

rip into that and make it jagged

it doesn't like to have smooth highs and

smooth lows it will always always find a

way to go back into those levels it may

not happen right away may not happen the

same trading day but it will always look

to go into those levels again

that's what the algorithm does so

let's go back to our analogy it's let's

assume that this level here is this

level right there on the daily chart so

at that level for whatever reason we

think there's something up here that is

going to be a draw on price okay

liquidity up there is making the highest

probability that the market will want to

gravitate to that level

and that this happens to be on our daily

chart that's the level you would have

well while you're watching price when

it's down here like this

Meandering around like it was doing here

I'm I'm not paying attention to all of

this this is all based on the reaction

to 8 30 in the morning

not from payroll

so I'm not worried about this price

action I look at this and ignore it I

want to see where the real range is it's

here

then they did this fake run okay it

looks like it's gonna break this if it

doesn't and tears off goes lower into

our buy side imbalance outside and

efficiency then we wait does it break

lower I'm not chasing it I'm just

observing it I'm watching I told you

note 3814 see if you can get down there

it didn't want to do it then it rallies

away leaves this area in here and I gave

you the two wrong uh price action uh

levels if you look at this low here

you're looking at this Price Right There

if you look at this candle's low

it's 38

.25

38 38.25 and I said 38 39 I believe it's

what I tweeted and it was inaccurate I

apologize 38 39 25 is wrong and I was

looking at this level here

the high 36.75

so that's what I was looking for and I

was watching obviously you knew I'm

looking at a one minute chart I was

commenting over a woman in chart but I

wanted you to have that on your

your try I told you to have a line on

this level in this level reason why

because I was going to come back and

talk about this level today

more specifically I was going to do it

Friday but I didn't have the time to

deal but I apologize

but the market wasn't able to get down

to that and then with this short-term

High it breaks above it so there's a

shift in Market structure there so I'm

looking at all of this area here below

the opening price and now this level is

this conceptually in my mind

in my mind this is what I'm seeing the

algorithm refer to I am not

I don't care about this

I don't care about every candle prior to

that see when you're looking at Price

action you're getting caught up in all

of this noise my focus my absolute focus

is only here

right there

inside that box that's what I'm focusing

on that's the initial framework that the

algorithm is going to work within why

because that's the dealing range this is

where we are this is where we made the

high for the day we've left liquidity in

place on in the form of buy side we've

broke down back into a discount we have

not went lower we create a short-term

high this range was not closed in or

even retreated to then we had a

short-term High broke there with this

candle moving higher so in my mind I'm

thinking this level here this line

represents this here

so I'm looking at the daily range like

this even though

okay that we have traded up here and

we've already essentially been here I

don't care

I'm thinking about it just like the

algorithm will

if we want to personify the algorithm

so when it's coded to refer to an old

dealing range that's what this is here

this high to low I believe it's going to

do what expand outside of that range in

the form of external range liquidity

it's going to go outside the boundaries

created by this high and that low in the

form of a up move

you'll see me tweet if you go through

Friday's tweets and you also see me

actually copy a tweets link and you can

put them in your trading view chart just

copy my tweet or anybody else's tweet

and right click on the uh the chart

somewhere and click paste after you copy

the link of any particular Twitter post

especially mine because you want to be

able to hold me accountable everything I

say on Twitter go through each day and

post what it is I drew your attention to

I'm not deleting anything you'll never

see me delete a tweet it will never

happen if I'm right you're gonna see it

if I'm wrong you're gonna see it it is

what it is I'm out here without a safety

net okay I'm walking the high wire and I

had no shame or fear of it okay it is

what it is but I'm also teaching that

not from payroll is a day that you don't

want to be Trading so I really wanted to

do poorly well not from hero so I can

say see that's why so don't don't read

into what I'm about to show you because

I don't think that it's me saying in

secret

no we don't okay we're not trying to do

that but you can practice it and it's

fine but this little segment of price

action that's the focus

that's the setup that's the only thing

that you would need to be concerned

about at the moment you don't worry

about the hourly chart you don't worry

about the four hour chart you're not

worried about the daily chart you're not

worried about the weekly chart you're

not worried about the 15 the 10 minute

the seven minute the three minute the

two minute this is it this is the

framework right here

the fact that it shifted Above This

short-term high right there

sets the stage for a run above here

okay and I don't know and you didn't

know

that it was going to go up to 38.96

and a quarter but once it got Above This

level

here

I took 10 contracts off of a 12 contract

position and I left two contracts on

by having

that run above that 38 76 and a quarter

level I drew your attention on Twitter

to 38.95

for buy side

and then I had a limit order at

38.96 and a quarter

and it

reached up in there and did its business

I also had 38.85

noted it's a old daily high as well and

you can find that level on your daily

chart go back over the course of last

week and you'll see previous day's highs

38.85 was another level that I tweeted

okay I'm not gonna have that tweet on

the chart because it becomes too much

but you're welcome to go through my

tweets and whenever I'm giving you key

levels or things that I'm looking for

for the day drop them on your chart

after the fact like if you're in school

if you're running a business or if

you're working your job and you can't do

it live when I'm doing it it's

educational for you to see where on the

chart I was saying it and then find the

things I'm teaching you

okay and trust me by doing that it will

provide you a better

perspective on what it is that was being

done at the time even though you don't

have the benefit of being there right

then at least this is the closest thing

you'll have to seeing what it is I was

trying to draw your attention to

so back to this example if it's inside

this let me go back here

if I'm just looking at this shade layer

here

let me do this

so inside that and it's not a nice color

I'm looking at this

shaded area in here and I believe it's

likely to go from here

if it takes out this high from here up

to here

so I'm in envisioning the daily candle

looking like this right now even though

we've already been here and came down

right now the algorithm is thinking okay

we're real close to the opening price at

midnight which is right there we ran

above it so it did this it went up a

little bit

and now we're back down inside the

middle of the range that would be

represented by this low

to this high and then when it drops back

down it's getting real close to that

opening price again so it's doing

something like this

okay and I'm anticipating

that the daily range will now expand up

into this level here where bicep would

be which is represented by this High

here that's why this red line is being

annotated on the chart so I'm expecting

price to keep gravitating higher and

that would be something like here

and then continuously

gravitating towards that high like it's

doing here I'm not getting tricked into

thinking it's going to go down this

level is way too clean

being it's smooth it's like relatively

equal highs the Market's not going to

leave that and I actually tweet also I

said I do believe we're going to go to

38.76

0.25 because it's so close it would be

criminal

to leave it intact okay so all this time

it's dropping down I'm not worried about

it not going up there

so it gives you the confidence to stay

with the idea and then finally when it

runs above it

like that this is what the daily candle

looks like

and I'm gonna watch and see does it keep

digging into my next objective which

would be an old High

at

38.85

so with 38.85 which being an old daily

High there's buy side above that why do

I know that it's just the way it is

large funds like the used previous days

highs and lows so that liquidity is real

it's not theoretical it's not something

like you see on a Dom a depth of Market

ladder or

something to that effect that's why I'm

not a fan of that because those things

can be spoofed

fund managers are not pulling their

orders in and out okay they're placing

them there they're hard and it's going

to be what it is it's going to run to

them and that's why that type of

perspective on where liquidity is old

daily highs for buy stops old daily low

or lows for sale stops and you can make

a lot of money

trading those types of pools of

liquidity they can act as targets and it

can act as a framework for entries Okay

so

as you can see the market does in fact

trade up to there as well and I took a

partial there and then it left one

contract on for 38.96 in a quarter

that level being the next draw and you

you'll see a tweak and the whole time

it's doing

this expansion up higher higher higher

and we're not thinking oh it's going to

collapse in reverse because the candle

if it's going to have a big move like

this it's probably going to close

near or at its daily High

now think about that because if you can

do this

you can hold on to the last hour of

trading which would be three o'clock

and then something happens at three

o'clock I've already taught you

or I've introduced to you

where the market can come back into its

range

and I want you to see it like this

[Music]

[Music]

foreign

we can see that it goes up into that

daily volume and balance remember that

orange rectangle I drew on the daily

chart time frame it goes right up into

it look at the bodies of the camera

respecting the top end of that then it

drops back down into the low end of it

bounces around hangs in there and then

leaves it see that and here is three

o'clock great

there

so if your target

happened to be this daily volume

imbalance

[Music]

[Music]

that could look like something like this

so in your mind's eye

and tracking what the daily range would

look like on a daily chart I mean you

would obviously have a daily chart

referred to throughout the day that

gives you the confidence to stay with

the trade because I get a lot of

questions all the time how do I how do I

stay in these trades how do I not get

shaken out of them because I'm thinking

like this because this is my concept of

power three power three is accumulation

manipulation distribution

so accumulation

smart money's doing Longs at that time I

didn't know for certain I have to wait

for 8 30 to come in do the manipulation

and then it will tip its hand and I just

walk you through that based on that

short-term High being broken and the

inefficiency for the market to fill in

that buy set of balance outside

efficiency so 3814 was no longer a

factor in the tweets

took your attention to now we're going

to look for 3876 and a quarter then

we're going to look for 38.85 and then

we're going to look for 38 96 and a

quarter

and then

unfolded like a script

so in my mind I'm thinking this is the

daily candle

I'm not being swayed by all the little

minor fluctuations on these one minute

candles which is what makes everybody

think that it's noise it's not noise

it's the same price that the candle is

using to make the daily chart

candlestick

this is a matter of knowing

The Rules of Engagement and knowing that

okay once we get to the last hour three

o'clock if it gets to a Target like that

be done

be content with that because it's likely

to do what it's likely to pull back into

the range

and create

a little bit of Wick at the top end of

the candle

so inside this little area now

this little retracement and it closes

off the high so if this is the high let

me get this box out here because it's

going to keep flittering

flittering is that even a real word I

just made it so let's go with it the

high here we're going to say is that

and it might pull off and then close

trading for the day right there that

closing price

so we see it over here

's the high

short term low it breaks

comes back up into a volume imbalance

we're just going to tag sell side right

below here

boom where's it close off the high there

so it looks like

this for the daily candle

okay and we're very close to it because

it's not

the best in terms of scale

it won't look exactly like that but

conceptually it's obviously the best I

can do artistically

okay and for the purposes of looking at

the daily chart

let's look at the daily candle now

[Music]

and there it is

Okay so

obviously if you're new this is the

first time you watch the video from me

and you're looking at this one it's

going to look like oh well you know

anybody can do what you're doing you're

talking about it after the fact no go

back a couple days ago last week and

you'll see me actually refer to this

level right there and that's where it's

going to draw to which would be above

this High here the next high would be

what this one so there's buy side above

that and there's the little volume and

balance you don't see this taught in

books folks okay it's not classic

support and resistance it's not Sam

seidance supply and demand stuff okay

Chris Laurie doesn't teach this Larry

Williams doesn't even know anything

about it okay nobody nobody's teaching

this but me okay and I want you to

understand that if I had a way of

showing you where to find this

information quicker without having to do

all this work I would do it okay believe

me I would do it

but it doesn't exist anywhere else okay

so when I codified these Concepts these

things are going to be shown and taught

correctly from me there's no other

outside Source but me so I want you to

learn it correctly

that way you're not going to hurt other

people trying to be smart and pretend

that you can run a mentorship when you

don't even know what you're doing all

right so here's the one minute chart and

this is the best I could come up with

conceptually going through the

individual fluctuations and this chart

with the exception of the actual tweets

you see here

uh you can see the times

okay and don't take this

for what it is being shown here these

are actual links to the tweets okay and

if I click on this right here it'll take

me to the direct link here

if I click on this one it will take me

to this tweet here if I clicked on this

one it'll take me to that one just go

back and look at Friday January 6 2023

at these respective times

New York local time okay and you will

see that these tweets are in fact right

there

right there 38 76 buy stops what is that

that's right here

folks if I can't see it I would not be

able to do this

okay I'm not gonna always be on live

streams obviously I've only committed to

two a week but once I get one good move

for the week I'm done

then I'll do something like this for the

other day I don't want to be caught up

in doing live streams all the time okay

and I don't want to create the

opportunity for you to fall into a

the dependency on it

because I'm only trying to teach you to

do one good setup per week and I know

somebody like oh well we need to see no

we don't need to do anything except for

practice that's what we need to do okay

I can do this and it's not for you to be

copying because that's exactly what some

of you are wanting to do but I can teach

this effectively through tweets too and

this is proof of that now

the drawdown on this

or drawback should be is

I won't be able to show like the US 500

cfd and a lot of you are not able to get

the real-time data or trade this Futures

Contract yes

I will on my live streams find a way to

toggle back and forth between es 500 and

I'm sorry not es 500 us 500 and Es

Futures Contract interchangeably okay so

if I'm looking at something

that is on ES I'll I'll flip over to the

US 500 to kind of give you guys that are

following Along on that at least the

Baseline idea where we're

studying and practicing okay and the

same thing for Nasdaq if we're looking

at NASDAQ or NQ Futures Contract then I

would be showing you the us-100 cfd okay

so or the equivalent you know but

there's a can't trade the Futures

Contract all right so let's get through

this because I got a lot of things I

want to cover here and then give you my

opinion on Forex I know some of you just

don't care about this Market here as

much as it is a beautiful Market to

trade but here's the buy side of balance

outside efficiency and over here let's

scrub back here for a moment here's a

high with a low prior to it and a lower

low so that's a bullish breaker so it's

not on my chart because I'm doing all

this stuff commentary monitoring it and

trying to screen capture and share

things on Twitter

it's a lot to manage and a lot to do and

I don't have the time I don't have the

benefit of time

to do all the things and you type out

all this stuff here and you see when I

do my recordings it's

I have no time to do anything else but

just that

but what I was watching is down here

when it came down to this breaker

and it right above this short-term High

there I was trying to prompt you all on

Twitter but I gave the wrong levels and

all you got to do is put those levels up

I tweeted in and you'll see they make

absolutely no sense there is no fair

value gap on those levels but I was

trying to draw your attention to this so

it was a typo during the Heat of the

Moment and it is what it is but this

short-term High here I was looking at

this short-term High being broken right

on this candle here the same way I'm

telling you this one when it came

through it there that's a Dead Ringer

it's going right here

okay and you can see that by me tweeting

at 38.76 buy stops in the crosshairs

right there as that candle is dropping

down bang

right into the order block

this short term high is a shift in

Market structure now I have two what two

shifts in Market structure

this short term High here and this Gap

stayed open then we have a shift in

Market structure above this this high

with this candle right there

and we have this fair value Gap left

open

when this thing starts to run higher

I'm confident that I'm on side

what do I mean by that I'll show you in

a second just settle them

then we have

a order block here with this drop down

the market accumulates around that's

what this little trend line is here on

the opening price and we have a fair

value guide so it a little shorter block

trades through it again it's a retrade

then it leaves it

then comes back down and it becomes what

a reclaimed order block there

Okay so this is not institutional order

flow entry drill institutional workflow

entry drill is when you have an open

range in the form of a fair value Gap

and it drops down one tick below the

framework of the high like it does

here

look at this candle's low you're looking

at that price right there

this candle is low as what

38.77 in half

this candle here

trades down into what

38.77 and a quarter that's institutional

order flow integral that's mine that's

my name don't Google because you're not

gonna find anything about it what's

actually happening is it's high

frequency Trading

it's being entered there okay

there's nothing more I can teach you

about it except for the fact that if I

trust the fact that these ranges are not

going to close in

I'm going to use that as another area to

build a partial and pill you know build

a pyramid position larger

in the event that I do it wrong I can

still be a buyer here and do a pyramid

entry

I'm not saying I did it here but I'm

just saying that

in other instances where you see me

doing my recordings and I'm recording my

management and stop placement and

building another entry in

to build the position bigger

sometimes I'm buying what I believe is

institutional order flow entry drill and

it goes down and closes in the fair

value Gap I'm not intimidated by that

it's okay it just gives me the

opportunity to get in and then if I have

room or leverage still in my equity in

my position if it goes down to the lower

end I can buy again one more time

so whatever position I put here I'll

duplicate that here

so I want to say it was dropping back

down here I could be a buyer of one

contract

say I may have six here

um three here

two here

and then I'll do

one here but if it drop down one more

time I'll do one more

that's the low end of that fair value

Gap I won't do two or anything higher

than I'll just do the same thing I did

on the lowest new pyramid entry

and it won't be that big of a deal

because I have all of the equity behind

all these positions still in my favor

supporting it so I don't look at it as

adding to a losing position because I'm

already stacked with all this Equity

from here to here and all up to here and

I've already taken a partial here and a

partial here so I'm not going to Pyramid

I want to move like this which is why

you're going to ask okay well when would

you not want a pyramid as you'll see I

took a partial here the largest portion

of it and a partial here and the last

portion came off here

so just look at these tweets 3876 buy

stops are in a crosshairs that's this

3876 is the high side liquidity

buy stops and buy side liquidity is the

same thing interchangeably

in the crosshairs means it's likely to

go up there

okay that's what my language is implying

there

and then this tweet Follow The Line to

it goes right up to that candle right

there

what's the time of that candle look down

here what's the time on that candle

1008.

1008 I believe 38.76 and a quarter is

the next draw on liquidity

I would want to see big move with speed

above 38.75

when's that occurring right there

and 38.75 is right there

right there

right there and what do we get expansion

through

we got it and we have a fair value Gap

at Old highs

I can't add because I've already taken

two partials off I've taken profits

partials twice now

with this candle running above here

in this candle right above here

and then finally screenshot your one

minute es chart here where right on that

very candle so at

1036

yeah 10 36 I got this already I'm sorry

10 36 candles right there up down at the

bottom of the chart right down here okay

10 36. on that candle I'm saying at that

moment as it's going through it you want

to screenshot that because it'll help

you

Trust

holding on positions

even if you get out of your paper trade

because you can't handle it

still screenshot your chart if you have

the ability to do it when it happens and

goes to your levels that you called for

in your own analysis

and

to prove

okay look over here

there's no executions right see any any

arrows popping up

[Music]

okay now I'm gonna move this over

right in this figure how you got in this

fairy god favorite you got in the

bullish order block reclaimed order

block you want to see it stay open the

partial running above here the other

partial here and the other partial here

so when it runs above

[Music]

it gives me my 10 contracts in the last

two come off at logical places where

3085 that was the level I gave in a

tweet which doesn't appear here in my

example but you can see it it's just too

many things that pop up on this chart

and just show it as I want to see it

and then finally getting up into 38 96

and a quarter

okay and

that my friends is no other arrows see

that

right in here right in here right in

here here here and here all the levels

and look

see them

okay no trickery here I'll move the

chart around so you can see that it's

not

Photoshop

and

it is what it is they won't they won't

get wider either they're not drawn

arrows as another person say oh you're

drawing the arrow

if it's strong they'll be wider and

they'll move farther away they stay in

the same position all the time and drawn

arrows don't give you

the little tick down here where you

actually get down that when you hover

over top of it and it doesn't give you

the pop-up where you actually executed

so

if that doesn't work when you consider

that now does it

all right folks and that'll be it for

today hope you found this one insightful

I'm sure I'll be talking to you through

Twitter and other YouTube Productions

be safe