*THIS* EV Could 4x & Outperform Tesla [and EV News].
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone meet kevin here in this
video we're going to talk an eevee
update electric vehicle update we're
going to talk tesla neo but most
importantly we're going to be talking in
this video about a potential
newer company that we haven't talked
much about on this channel it is a spec
that merged earlier this year it's only
got about a two billion dollar valuation
and folks there could be some potential
upside in this particular company
because it's been flying under the radar
but they're doing some pretty incredible
things so let's get right into talking
about this right after i mentioned that
you should check out the programs on
building your wealth link down below
with a coupon code expiring when my
birthday comes up i'll be 30 soon so
check those programs out price will be
going up on those programs on building
your wealth okay look first update that
we've got as the following electric
vehicles there's a fun fact here killed
1.5
million barrels per day of oil demand in
2021.
now even though investing in oil has
been phenomenal over the past a year
because commodity prices especially
energy prices are up 30 to 40 percent
oil natural gas and they've only
recently started inflecting the downside
this has led stocks like exxon mobil to
do extremely well
evs are taking a bite out of oil demand
1.5 million barrels per day in 2021
we're expecting that to substantially
balloon over the next of four to five
years
uh folks tesla the neo and then this uh
smack we're gonna talk about tesla tesla
won approval to build more test cars and
it's yet unfinished a german berlin
gigafactory now they are still waiting
for final permitting but they can now
test at manufacture as many as 2 000
electric vehicles at the factory this is
up from 250 previously they're not
allowed to sell these test test cars but
it does allow them to get the factory to
an operational state to train their
employees and to check for quality
control on these vehicles that they're
producing
now it's worth noting that the max
capacity for giga berlin could
potentially exceed 1 million vehicles in
the future but right now we're expected
to go through phase one of 250 000
vehicles a year and then phase two of
500 000 vehicles per year the plant will
also have the uh the the capacity to
produce a 500 million cells totaling 50
gigawatt hours
a year when it's a fully operational
this is pretty incredible especially
since when we add this for tesla uh even
500 000 here plus about 600 000 at giga
shanghai plus 500 at fremont and growing
and the austin gigafactory we should
easily be at over 2 million deliveries
for tesla within the next year to 18
months at an annualized rate and we're
up from there
now regarding neo there's an interesting
update regarding battery swapping
chinese companies as companies
throughout china are expecting to build
over 8 000 battery swapping stations in
2022 and 26 000 by 2025. now remember
tesla used to try or used to have
battery swapping as as a prototype in
america they never ended up going
mainstream with battery swapping because
elon must believe that american
consumers don't want to swap their
batteries they want to be responsible
for their own battery they don't want
somebody else's battery and they'd
rather just use a supercharger because
it's fast enough now supercharging your
tesla instead could still take 40 to 50
minutes to fill up on average
battery swapping can take as little as
three minutes the problem is you've got
to build the stations you've got to have
more batteries that are charging and
then more batteries
on sort of in inventory basically to be
prepared for people to pick these
batteries up
and so
a lot of folks have had complaints about
battery swapping but i'll tell you if
china is planning on building 26 000
battery swapping units by 2025 that
tells us something now battery swapping
is probably here to stay neo is expected
to have 4 000 of these units or 15.3
percent of all of these units by 2025
the biggest though uh is actually this
company called alton which i don't
believe is a public company that's
a-u-l-t-o-n
and they are producing the vast majority
of these chargers uh compared to all of
the others like a geely also producing
alton expected to produce over 8 000 or
over 30
of these uh battery swapping stations
not expecting to see these swapping
stations in the united states though who
knows that could change when and if neo
finally delivers vehicles in america
right now it seems like they're focusing
on the european market especially norway
which has an extremely high ev adoption
rate right folks now let's talk about
this back that has definitely had some
massive pain on the charts this is a
stack that well 10 par value ran all the
way up to 31
in january of 2021 it today sits at
about 10
just recently in the last couple weeks
at a low of eight dollars and 26 cents
and the company we're talking about is a
two billion dollar company and it is a
company that is potentially slated to go
to the moon
especially following the passage of the
bipartisan infrastructure plan and the
implementation of five billion dollars
in investments into folks
electric buses
proterra is the company it was a merger
between the arc-like spac and proterra
and proterra is now a public company
again trading for about ten dollars
roughly its back par value
lockups for the company are not expected
to expire uh at least the espaka lockups
until the company trades over twenty
dollars so some insulation here from
lockups and proterra estimates that
their current addressable market is over
260 billion dollars
is selling
electric buses especially since states
like california are required to con
convert to completely zero emission
vehicles by 2040 so electric bus is
likely uh to be the uh the vehicle of
choice for uh for city buses and school
buses but this also includes currently
cities like new york city chicago and
seattle
proterra
conducts about 80 percent of their
revenue by selling city buses and the
other 20 percent is made up of chargers
and school buses at this point though
this dynamic could change they only
delivered five vehicles in quarter three
of 2021 we'll see what q4 numbers look
like when earnings come out but they are
expecting 407 million in revenue in
two 2022
means they're really only selling for
about five to six times 2022 sales
relatively low especially compared to
when the spec merger was conducted and
some of the euphoria we've seen on the
chart previously
they're expecting 784 million or nearly
a doubling from 2022 in 2023
that would put you at a price to sales
ratio of about three out to 2023 no
current path to profitability and that's
because the company is spending money
substantially trying to
expand their business operations they do
have over 600 million dollars available
in cash currently burning about 50 to 60
million dollars per quarter uh that
gives them a nice run rate of about uh
potentially up to a couple years uh in
in cash the company has two battery
production facilities as well right now
so they're taking a very tesla-esque
approach their current annual capacity
is about a
one gigawatt per hour or one
gigawatt-hour annual capacity they're
looking to build their third
multi-gigawatt facility so this will be
their third battery production facility
introducing an additional
multi-gigawatts of power
uh this uh third facility is expected to
cost 76 million dollars to get up off of
the ground so
some cash headwinds could be coming for
the company as they continue to build
out factories uh by comparison tesla
does produce about 38 to 39 gigawatt
hours they're working on getting over to
50. pradera proterra excuse me also
provides chargers for commercial vehicle
operators and really their goal is to
create a mini ev ecosystem and this is
pretty much the goal of any electric
vehicle company when you look at a
rivien they're trying to get their
customers to use their chargers they're
charging products to buy their charging
services at charging and destination
chargers throughout this is this is a
very common additional revenue model uh
for evs so nothing super proprietary
here
their chargers charge at about 250
kilowatts uh per uh per hour that's
about the same speed as the fastest
tesla superchargers
they uh their their lithium ion
batteries are expected to be as large as
6 megawatt hours
which is about 60 times the size of a
battery that you would see in a regular
vehicle which does make sense given
the size of the vehicles that these are
going in the uh average weight of a city
bus by the way just just for comparison
is somewhere between 25 000
and 40 000
pounds that's about 10x the weight of uh
of a regular vehicle and makes sense you
can carry about 10x the amount of people
uh but substantially larger battery
sizes to really keep those ranges going
and get these vehicles moving throughout
the day now in october they also
announced that they were considering
using electric school buses to turn them
into electricity generators during the
day to basically provide power to the
grid when school buses aren't being used
and potentially during midday
electricity usage so this is kind of an
interesting opportunity for potentially
school districts to invest in these
electric school buses and then be able
to park them in such a way that they're
actually feeding power
back to the grid and offsetting some of
the energy cost of let's say air
conditioning uh in schools here's just
an example of a proterra branded
school bus you've got the proterra
charging systems here bi-directional
power capabilities uh so again being
able to support the grid here are just
some examples of the proterra electric
buses and really interesting charging
system where essentially the bus can
drive under a charger and almost like uh
like an electric monorail in a city or
maybe not even a monorail more more just
like a an electric street car and say
san francisco where you've got these
these overhead lines that are charging
or powering uh the streetcars here's an
example where proterra has uh charging
stations that you could just drive under
and then the vehicle charges uh by
making contact with the charging units
here
so uh overall proterra is is something
some folks are beginning to speculate uh
might be hit with a rotation here though
you got to remember this is a small cap
when you're under five bill you're
relatively small under two bill is
technically the definition of small cap
though that continues to shift and a
round two bill that makes them a prime
target for hedging for short sellers
right now the company has a current
short interest of six point three seven
percent that is up from the low four
percent and just four weeks ago so
you've definitely seen an increase in
the shorts and this could be one of the
things that is depressing the stock so
you do have some potential capital calls
coming up as they expand their battery
facilities and they expand their
production you have a risk they're not
producing they're not a profitable
company so it's very easy for algorithms
to sell this company off but it's at
such a low level that folks are
wondering two billion dollars for an
electric vehicle manufacturer that could
benefit quite well off the bipartisan
infrastructure package
seems quite fair and quite interesting
you've got the vertical group projecting
that this is a 40 per share company in
2025 that would be a 4x by 2025 with a
fair value they believe of 25
today which is about 20 times 2025
ebitda uh and that uh that compares to
the russell 2000 which trades for about
17 at times 2021 ebitda additionally its
lockups ended 120 days and 180 days
after the merger that occurred on june
12th so we shouldn't have a lockup
headwinds which potentially means the
price could be lower because of lockups
that have already expired which could
potentially again create another
opportunity to get in on proterra so
there you have an ev update if you found
this video helpful consider sharing this
and of course check out the programs on
building your wealth link down below
thanks so much bye
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