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Trump is going Nuclear.

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0:00

potentially reigniting a global arms

0:02

race that had, at least until recently,

0:05

seemed to have faded into history. He

0:07

did not explain the goal of the new

0:09

testing, instead arguing that it was

0:11

simply a response to what other

0:13

countries have been doing.

0:15

>> They seem to all be nuclear testing.

0:18

>> We have more nuclear weapons than

0:20

anybody. We don't do testing. You know,

0:21

we've halted it years, many years ago,

0:25

but with others doing testing, I think

0:27

it's appropriate that we do also.

0:30

>> America's last confirmed nuclear test

0:32

was in 1992, and the last time China did

0:35

it, as far as we know,

0:37

>> was 1996. And while Russia has not

0:40

tested a bomb in recent years, Vladimir

0:42

Putin touted the successful test of a

0:44

new nuclearpowered cruise missile

0:46

earlier this month. While similar to

0:48

threatening to revoke Russia's

0:50

ratification of a global treaty banning

0:52

nuclear tests,

0:53

>> MSNBC senior White House correspondent

0:55

Von Hillyard is in South Korea.

0:57

>> Well, also I want I want you to see the

0:59

torpedo. Uh you could see this the

1:01

images of it. They call it the Poseidon

1:04

Doomsday Torpedo. Look at this.

1:06

Poseidon, Russia's doomsday nuclear

1:09

torpedo. Underwater drone launched from

1:12

the world's largest nuclear sub. 65- ft

1:16

doomsday. That's a sixstory

1:19

nuke torpedo which could be guided to a

1:22

coastal target at 115 mph with a 100

1:25

megaton warhead detonating triggering a

1:28

1600 ft tsunami of radioactive seawater.

1:32

Uh okay, this this is actually I mean

1:37

that's the pitch on this document.

1:39

Typically, tsunamis are going to be in

1:41

the range of 40 to 60 feet. Uh, and then

1:45

smaller tsunamis are going to be like

1:46

your your 20 to 40 foot waves. Uh you

1:50

have seen a thousand foot tsunamis

1:53

before, but I think the only time you've

1:55

seen thousand foot tsunamis are when you

1:57

have an asteroid that takes out all of

1:59

the uh dinosaurs or you have some crazy

2:02

event like I believe there are lakebased

2:04

scenarios where you have massive

2:06

mudslides that create these insane uh

2:08

surges of water. But uh not very typical

2:11

to see that large. So I think a little

2:13

bit of that might be overblown but still

2:16

you could see this escalating of

2:18

hostilities here and it's a sign of

2:21

greater problems in negotiations. A

2:23

society that has honored not

2:26

proliferating nuclear weapons which

2:28

means expanding the manufacturing and

2:30

testing of nuclear weapons for decades.

2:32

You know we've had nuclear

2:33

non-prololiferation treaties and

2:35

otherwise. But now, President Trump said

2:38

the US is going to match its rivals in

2:40

testing nuclear weapons after Russia in

2:43

recent days announced trials of a

2:45

nuclearpowered underwater drone, nuclear

2:47

capable cruise missile. Yeah. Russia

2:50

also had this uh uh torpedo that they

2:52

revealed that can essentially create

2:55

smaller tsunamis that could devastate

2:57

coastal areas. So a torpedo that

3:00

essentially creates such a seismic shock

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that it creates a a tsunami at a coastal

3:06

region. So a lot of this seems to be an

3:10

increase of aggression against

3:12

specifically Russia because we're really

3:14

losing that fight against Russia. Part

3:16

of me believes that one of the reasons

3:18

we're losing the fight against Russia is

3:19

because China is saying, "Russia, you

3:22

have to keep fighting America." like

3:25

China wants this because the more Russia

3:29

fights America and creates this sort of

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distraction geopolitically, the more

3:32

frustrated Trump gets, the weaker Trump

3:34

appears against Putin. If Trump appears

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weak against Putin, then China can

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appear strong towards the Europeans or

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South Americans or otherwise to cozy up

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to them and build better trade relations

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with them. This is why we're getting not

3:48

a trade deal, but a kick down the road.

3:50

And it's a 12 month kick down the road,

3:53

which basically takes us right up to

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midterms, which essentially means it's

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just going to get kicked down the road

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even more.

4:00

I because of other countries testing

4:02

programs, I have instructed the

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Department of War to increase our

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nuclear weapons testing on an equal

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basis. That process will begin

4:10

immediately. And I get it. You know,

4:12

it's very tit for that. Well, like, oh

4:13

well, if they're doing it, we should do

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it, too. It's just a reversal from what

4:17

we've historically seen the United

4:19

States do. Uh, okay. So, then we have,

4:22

uh, wow, I just got a message here. Uh,

4:27

looks like, wow, jeez. Yes. Uh, I'm just

4:31

looking at some of the fundraising

4:32

amounts here. A lot of fundraising

4:33

amounts just coming in here uh, for

4:35

house and reinvest. Great. Great for um,

4:38

I guess people are looking to diversify,

4:40

huh? But anyway, Trump appeared to be

4:42

reacting to Russia's accelerated testing

4:43

of nuclear capable super weapons in

4:45

recent weeks. Yeah, here it is. Russia

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said it had tested an atomic powered

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torpedo drone capable of carrying

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nuclear weapons days after its military

4:54

hailed a trial of a longd distanceance

4:58

cruise missile. This is exactly how

5:01

we're seeing escalation and not

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deescalation. Part of this is Putin

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wanting to send a signal to Trump. Don't

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even think about sending, you know, old

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school tomahawk missiles. Why would you

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send tomahawk missiles when this is what

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you're now up against? This is saber

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rattling. It's very common. It's what

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we've seen historically with countries

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like North Korea. The problem is Russia

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is so in bed with uh China that it makes

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this a lot harder. Now, Foreign Affairs

5:33

has a piece on the uh America and China

5:36

relationship, which is interesting. They

5:38

say in repeated cycles of confrontation,

5:41

uh there's basically been a dete so like

5:45

it's almost like an agreement to

5:46

disagree, right? Uh and and so it does

5:50

imply that to some extent we don't want

5:52

to fully decouple from China, which is

5:54

great, but it still suggests we have

5:59

problems that need to be solved. And

6:01

China is setting us up as America versus

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everyone else. This is what I mean.

6:05

China gets to cozy up to everyone,

6:07

right? The possibility of an inflection

6:09

point seems to stem in part from changes

6:11

in US foreign policies. From Beijing's

6:14

perspective, Trump's first term marked

6:15

the onset of a period of strategic

6:17

competition with the United States,

6:19

viewing China as the most serious

6:21

adversary. It was, in other words, the

6:23

US versus China. Under Biden, Washington

6:26

maintained the same goals, but sought to

6:29

do so in concert. So, it was really

6:32

under Biden, you had Biden's adviserss

6:35

and the West versus China. Now, it's

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just the US versus essentially all in

6:43

part because of Liberation Day. That's

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exactly why China is now cozying up to

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build foundations with other countries

6:52

and why I think China is pressuring

6:54

Russia to keep this going. And I think

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China is supporting and supplying Russia

7:00

with the advanced chip hardware and

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technology, the military hardware that

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they need uh to keep these wars going.

7:07

We already know they're sending

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munitions to Russia. This is no

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surprise. It's just the there are more

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reasons as to why China wants to build

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out their own uh you know Nvidia style

7:19

chip technology than just artificial

7:23

intelligence. It all has to do with like

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the AI drone armies that are being

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talked about

7:30

being built. And who wants drones the

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most? Russia right now. Take a look at

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this. You've got articles here. China's

7:37

This is in Tom's Hardware. China's

7:38

autonomous military combat drone

7:42

uh powered by Deep Seek highlights

7:45

Nvidia Reliance for now. Right. China's

7:49

uh North Industries uh corporation, a

7:52

state-owned defense firm, unveiled the

7:55

P60, an autonomous military vehicle that

7:58

can travel 50 km an hour. That's 31

8:00

miles uh an hour. Uh featuring

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autonomous uh combat support

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capabilities. According to Reuters, the

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drone is powered by Deepseek, but

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details remain a secret and suggest that

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they continue to use Nvidia GPUs. So,

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this is where through, you know, their

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skirting by buying these through

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Singapore or otherwise. Uh, they're

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still using our hardware, but China

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wants to do everything they can to

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decouple.

8:25

And this is understandable. If they

8:26

could use Blackwell for now, fine. But

8:28

understand these movements have military

8:31

implications which is also kind of

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scary. Uh and so this is why this this

8:37

truth of buying time great one-year

8:39

truths but it just buys China more time

8:43

to decouple from the United States as

8:45

well which isn't great. Uh so going back

8:48

to uh what we have with uh this uh uh

8:52

this piece about Russia, uh I I I just

8:55

want to think about

8:59

this escalation here from Trump is

9:03

really a sign that we're kind of losing

9:04

in some of these negotiations. I'm not

9:07

trying to be anti-Trump. I'm just saying

9:08

for us to have to prop up our nuclear

9:11

tests as a way to sort of try to gain

9:13

leverage over Russia and China is to me

9:16

indicative of a failure not a success.

9:20

And I get it. It's going to be branded

9:21

as well if they're doing it. We should

9:23

do it too, right? But this is like

9:25

Gandhi, an eye for an eye makes the

9:26

world go blind, right? This is the

9:28

opposite of what has been done for

9:30

decades. Remarks later on a flight back

9:32

from uh South Korea, Trump provided no

9:34

further clarity. Uh but says, "We don't

9:37

do testing. We halted it many, many

9:39

years ago." Well, let's be clear, we're

9:41

still secretly doing But anyway, the US

9:44

last nuclear explosive test was in 1992,

9:47

but we test delivery system. Exactly.

9:49

This is my reference, right? We could I

9:51

mean, we regularly test the delivery

9:53

systems. ICBM, submarines, bombers, mock

9:56

weapons. Russia is the only other nation

9:58

with a nuclear arsenal. Trump's social

10:00

media post came hours before a meeting

10:02

with Xiinping. Trump has previous See,

10:05

Exactly. Because it's leverage building.

10:08

Exactly. It's Donald Trump revealed what

10:12

he was going to negotiate with Putin two

10:14

with uh Xiinping two days before on

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purpose because they're trying to build

10:18

leverage before the meeting because the

10:20

meetings are really just a you know

10:23

they're a facade. They're really not

10:25

much of a meeting. Much of the work has

10:27

already been done by negotiators and

10:29

sort of pre-public negotiating and then

10:31

they do their photo op. Trump has

10:33

previously expressed interest in

10:34

brokering a nuclear treaty with China to

10:36

reduce nuclear stockpiles, though China

10:37

has resisted. Well, of course, because

10:39

China has 300 nuclear warheads. Russia's

10:41

got like 5,800. I think we've got

10:43

somewhere around 5,800 to 6,000 as well.

10:46

Uh, you know what? This is a problem.

10:47

And then this is where people then say

10:49

like, "Oh, well Kevin, if you were the

10:51

president, what would you do?" Well,

10:53

first of all, I'm not the president and

10:54

I'm not saying I have the answers. But I

10:57

do think that

10:58

this this sort of lash out from Trump

11:01

with, you know, some taco but some more

11:04

tariffs, then we're going to do nuclear

11:06

tests. Those sort of aggressions are

11:08

signs that the Trump method might not

11:10

work in the long term. It might work in

11:12

the short term. And so I typically think

11:14

what's better is working in conjunction

11:17

with Democratic allies. And I'm not

11:20

saying democrats like left. I mean

11:22

democratic countries. So the United

11:24

Kingdom, France, uh Italy, Germany, uh

11:27

Poland,

11:29

you know, these these are countries that

11:31

we could Japan, South Korea, right?

11:34

Taiwan, that's going to piss China off.

11:36

But working with these nations makes us

11:39

much more powerful against the rise of a

11:43

communistdirected state or a dictatorial

11:47

state like Putin. That's how you fight

11:49

them. But alienating our allies to then

11:53

try to go fight China and Russia with

11:55

fire, right? Fight fire with fire while

11:58

alienating our friends is probably the

12:00

the scariest and most short-termism

12:03

method you could use relative to

12:05

long-termism approaches. Uh which you're

12:08

much better off negotiating through like

12:11

proper trade, not this tariff stuff. You

12:14

know, I don't like tariffs. We don't

12:15

have to go deep into the economics of

12:17

tariffs. people get mad at me. Uh but

12:19

but proper trade resilience with your

12:23

allies. Anyway, that that's my take. So

12:26

I I see this nuclear stuff as actually a

12:28

sign of a failure. In 2019, the US

12:31

withdrew from a also under Trump

12:34

landmark uh disarmament treaty with

12:36

Russia because it said Moscow had

12:38

violated a treaty. That was just a ruse

12:39

to try to you know uh uh again fight

12:43

fire with fire against Russia. Uh, China

12:46

tested a nuclear bomb in 96 but

12:48

continues to test nuclear capable, you

12:50

know, missiles. We test missiles all the

12:52

time. Of course, this is this is not a

12:53

big deal. Uh, that's why I clarified as

12:56

well that, you know, Trump says, "Oh, we

12:57

haven't done tests in a while." It's

12:58

like, "No, we test all the time." But

13:00

anyway, just a little bit of color. When

13:02

you see this stuff about the nukes, I

13:04

think it's it's worth paying attention.

13:06

How China enables Russia's military.

13:09

This is a going to be really interesting

13:11

because you've got this opinion ed from

13:14

uh the editorial board of the Wall

13:15

Street Journal. Uh and they really

13:17

highlight this relationship between

13:19

China and Russia that a lot of people

13:21

don't really pay attention to. And so

13:24

let's look at it together. The latest

13:26

evidence comes in new reports on China's

13:29

help for Russia's military. We already

13:31

know this, right? China again like I've

13:34

said they want

13:36

uh weakness of the US to be distracted

13:40

in fighting Russia because it just makes

13:42

China appear stronger and the US appear

13:46

weaker. We know we are the strongest

13:48

military but the fact that we're not

13:49

winning against Russia is an

13:51

embarrassment to the US at least that's

13:54

the point of view that China is going to

13:55

take and they're going to weaponize that

13:57

against us.

13:58

China said that they don't provide

14:00

lethal weapons to Moscow. But in

14:02

non-public reports prepared by the State

14:04

Department and European governments, we

14:06

cast basically doubts mostly because we

14:09

can track supply chains of not only

14:10

bullets but also drones going to China.

14:12

Right? They don't seem to mention the

14:13

bullets parts here, but there are plenty

14:15

of other talks about lethal munitions

14:17

going from China uh directly to Russia.

14:20

But anyway, uh first-person point of

14:22

view, drones going to Russia. We know

14:24

that engineers can also have

14:26

non-military uses such as Washington

14:28

machines, pumps, or electric uh scooters

14:30

or for the engines for FPVs. But the

14:32

report says the final recipient is a or

14:35

Russia or Moscow based company

14:37

identified by Ukrainian intelligence as

14:38

a drone maker. Well, yeah. I mean, none

14:41

of this is a surprise. Uh and so reports

14:44

just find this link over and over again.

14:46

Ukraine has also identified uh Russian

14:48

company Morgan LLC, which is not under

14:50

US sanctions, as a supplier of long

14:52

range drone components uh for their

14:55

facilities. This isn't a surprise

14:57

either. They also they have uh you know,

14:59

a lot of their manufacturing facilities

15:01

are located uh in ways that they can

15:04

directly ship uh to Iran. So they could

15:07

get pieces through Iran from China uh

15:11

through rivers that just basically

15:13

connect Russia and Iran. I mean if you

15:16

go over here, you could actually see uh

15:20

Iran up here. We see uh obviously the

15:24

Caspian Sea here. Here's Thrron, the

15:27

capital. Uh, and we can follow rivers uh

15:31

that go from uh the sea all the way deep

15:36

into Russia. Uh, and they will

15:39

manufacture their drone facilities uh

15:42

deep inside of Russia. Uh, which you

15:45

know are decently far away from Ukraine.

15:48

Uh, and and they have all the supply

15:50

chains they need to connect Russia to

15:53

Iran and to China. Uh so this isn't none

15:56

of this is a surprise. Uh in fact I have

15:59

a uh a whole piece on this where I sort

16:01

of broke down uh the drone facility uh

16:05

one of the drone facilities that you

16:06

could see. You could see it here. Take a

16:08

look at this. Uh here is an example

16:10

where I sort of map out some of the

16:12

distances of these. But here you have

16:14

the camel river which is the upper

16:15

portion of this which provides access to

16:17

the Caspian Sea. And you could see a lot

16:19

of the uh you know a lot of transport

16:21

ships even in the the facilities is

16:23

you've got leaked documents of these

16:24

drone manufacturing plants being built

16:26

in Russia uh and how they're directly

16:29

connected to Iran. These are Iranian

16:32

drone facilities deep inside of Russia

16:35

uh and they're shipping directly to uh

16:38

Iran and then of course you know in

16:41

conjunction with China. So anyway, uh

16:43

these drones are just examples, but they

16:45

add the case for imposing secondary

16:47

sanctions on China and Russia, but we're

16:49

just not going to end up seeing them.

16:50

>> Why not advertise these things that you

16:52

told us here? I feel like nobody else

16:53

knows about this.

16:54

>> We'll we'll try a little advertising and

16:55

see how it goes.

16:56

>> Congratulations, man. You have done so

16:58

much. People love you. People look up to

16:59

you.

17:00

>> Kevin Praath there, financial analyst

17:02

and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always great

17:04

to get your take.

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