The Arrest of Putin | The Worsening of World War 3

this is going to be a massive update on

Russia not only are we going to talk

about the ICC and the a Putin arrest

warrant but we're also going to talk

about what this means for China Iran the

United States World War III

it's all not good but there are a ton of

updates let's get everything covered now

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out personally well it's happened the

international criminal court the ICC has

issued an arrest warrant against a

Russian president of Vladimir Putin

along with other officials at the

Kremlin over war crimes in Ukraine quote

unquote alleged war crimes in Ukraine

the arrest warrants were issued based on

evidence presented it by the ICC

prosecutor which provided reasonable

grounds to believe that the suspects

Putin are responsible for war crimes and

crimes against humanity in the context

of the invasion of Ukraine an example of

this for what would be potentially uh

and intentionally maybe aiming

uh weapons and Inter or icbm's

intercontinental ballistic missiles at

apartment buildings

to essentially engage in total war total

war is very importantly different from

just regular War regular War think about

it kind of like a revolutionary Day

times like 1776 you know you're walking

up with your drums and you're lining up

in the battlefield and you're fighting

that's sort of like Battlefield Warfare

same thing happens uh and to some degree

in in uh parts of the Middle East

when when that expands to an attacker

attacking a city and then purposefully

killing civilians and attacking

apartment buildings or schools that is

considered total warfare that's

basically saying everybody on the other

side is against us we will attack

everyone that is being deemed a war

crime in a report by CBS they quote the

ICC saying the evidence collected so far

is Clear the Russian Federation is

responsible for the commission of

heinous crimes including murder torture

and attacks against civilians now uh

We've also got to cover what's going on

with Russia and China in terms of the

latest regarding Ukraine Jets China will

cover all of that but let's first just

cover the ICC and then move on from

there so uh the Associated Press has

also been looking into the use of

prohibited weapons in civilian areas

which which would would be another War

climb however it's also worth noting

that the issuance of these arrest

warrants really raises question about

the impacts of this some people are

suggesting that these ICC warrants are a

going to be entirely worthless and B

potentially put a new spin on Xi Jinping

visiting Russia because remember Xi

Jinping was going to go to China or

sorry was going to go from China to

Russia to try to potentially negotiate a

settlement between Russia and Ukraine

well now these ICC charges uh

potentially implicate Xi Jinping if he

goes to Russia to visit with Vladimir

Putin and uh and and Vladimir Putin's

facing charges and Xi Jinping goes over

there and visits them sort of ignoring

these potential charges and so there's a

wonder that is it possible that these

ICC charges could inflame negotiation

attempts that Xi Jinping is trying to

create between Russia and Ukraine

The Wall Street Journal is uh citing

that this is the first time a sitting

head of state has been subject to an

arrest warrant from the ICC on Twitter

there have been plenty responses asking

why George Bush for his uh operation

Iraqi Freedom hasn't faced ICC charges

but then again Twitter can tend to be

very

um jaded dare I say

there are also reports that the Russian

government uh has has of course

denounced these uh and the quote that is

being reported is absolutely absurd and

groundless

there's evidence from the BCC uh that uh

part of the motivation for these ICC

charges are simply the scale of Civilian

casualties and the destruction of

Civilian infrastructure such as uh

purposefully launching Rockets against

uh electricity grids nuclear power

generators to personal purposefully take

control over the power grid in Ukraine

writers is explaining the ICC relies on

the cooperation of member states to

enforce these unrest arrest warrants it

does not have its own police force so in

other words like a NATO or whatever

would have to arrest Vladimir Putin uh

which yeah that wouldn't knock on the

door of World War III at all

the warrants have been transmitted to

relevative estate authorities under the

Rome statute to locate arrest and

transfer the suspects to the ICC for

charges

so here's how this works a little bit of

background when the ICC issues an arrest

warrant it represents a formal request

to authorities throughout the world to

arrest the individual subject uh or

suspected of committing serious crimes

and bring them to the International

Community core or International the ICC

international criminal court to face

charges so in other words find him

arrest him and bring him to court

in such cases as the when the warrant

remains outstanding the ICC continues to

see cooperation from all the member

states to bring the person to Justice

and basically there's there's like a

six-part process for this identify the

Suspects

issue the warrant that's been done work

with member states to locate arrest and

transfer

execute the warrant actually arrest the

person before the trial confirm the

charges against the person determine if

redetermine do we still have sufficient

evidence has anything changed then

commit or basically conduct a trial so

once the charges are confirmed cases uh

the case would basically proceed in the

manner of a trial before a trial chamber

the ICC trial chamber the prosecution

would then uh present evidence call on

Witnesses and make their arguments much

like a regular Corp

uh this trial Chamber from the ICC could

then impose a sentence uh including

imprisonment or massive Financial

penalties now the ICC Criminal Court uh

I I feel like it would be a lot cooler

if it was one of those things out of

like a Marvel movie the ICC uh Criminal

Court doesn't actually look that fancy

uh it's it's basically a pretty generic

tribunal with a desk in some kind of

like generic uh wall uh we have a

picture of it here it it uh that's that

resolution is too small I'll pull up a

large resolution photo of this in just a

moment uh but really it's interesting

because

it's the first time as we've said that a

head of state who's actively a head of

state right now has been charged while

still being the leader of a country so

we'll see what happens but I do think

the implications uh for China here are

very interesting this is what the

tribunal looks like looks kind of cold

uh I feel like they need to have like

some kind of like crazy uh uh marble uh

staircase and massive marble Monument

back there to make it a little bit more

intimidating but anyway uh this is the

ICC and this is going to lead to a lot

of questions for what does this mean for

China's potential negotiations with uh

not only Vladimir Putin but also

zielinski it kind of makes me wonder I

put on a little bit of the jaded hat I

kind of Wonder and this is total

speculation okay but total speculation

okay

Joe Biden

aicc I hear Xi Jinping is coming over to

negotiate a resolution we don't want him

to negotiate a resolution uh file some

charges make it harder for Xi Jinping to

go over there all right thank you bye

and then it happened like

I hate to say I'm a little jaded on that

there's a whole lot more to cover

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this video we gotta talk about what just

happened between Russia and that fuel

dump on the Drone we have actual video

of it now actual video of the Russian

fighter jet dumping fuel on that

American drone that was downed over the

Black Sea a very strategically important

region uh for not only Russia in terms

of being able to have a buffer between

them and Ukraine and use it as a Supply

route but also massively important for

the exports of uh Commodities such as

grains like wheat

and also a region that the United States

surveills heavily for the benefit of

NATO and the NATO alliance it's also

going to be very important to analyze

relations between Russia and China Xi

Jinping potentially heading to visit

Vladimir Putin potentially to mediate a

negotiated settlement between Russia and

uh Ukraine but we've got a lot to talk

about regarding China and their arms

dealing so let's get caught up on

everything starting with the

entertainment of the day which is video

of the Russian fighter jet the Sukhoi

su-270 twin engine super maneuverable

aircraft that was first built in 1985 so

it's the old crop dumping fuel on the

U.S Reaper drone that costs about

62.5 million dollars per drone in

today's inflated dollars cost about half

as much before we got through all this

inflation cost around 32 million dollars

previously now costs somewhere around 62

million dollars The Reaper drone has

been in service with the US Air Force

since 2007 with substantially Advanced

capabilities and here is said video

shout out to this dude

o-s-i-n-t technical anyway official

footage released by the US Air Force of

the collision between the Sukhoi jet and

the MQ-9 drone ready for it here we go

uh by the way the smoking that you're

going to see coming out of the jet is

fuel jet fuel

here it comes and the Drone locks onto

motion with the video

and here comes the fuel dump activated

boom

and the propeller for the Drone stops

and unfortunately the video then stops

but this drone

goes bye-bye after that

now that's actually really interesting

because the Russians were arguing that

the Sukhoi actually escorted the MQ-9

Reaper drone before the Reaper drone

crashed that was the Russian argument so

again the Russians are arguing that this

is an escort in fact two State Awards

awards have been given to the pilots who

did this escorting of the American

Reaper drone that's some nice

escorting you got there uh yeah I got

crop dusted exactly

yeah so that's Russia for you that's

Russian propaganda for you showing you

that Russia is providing Awards

for escorting a drone that they actually

basically just downed I mean they may as

well have just shot a rocket at it but

uh this is sort of a I I suppose the

less flammatory inflammatory way of uh

crashing that drone

huh all right anyway uh questions are

now resulting over the operation that

could take weeks and potentially cost

tens of millions of dollars to actually

Salvage this drone which could be uh

down in the depths of the Black Sea as

low as the height of five Eiffel Towers

standing on top of each other basically

a kilometer down uh the Drone is

expected to be broken up into a lot of

pieces it's a very dangerous area to

actually be working in at the same time

uh Mr Putin uh is uh is is working with

China and apparently Zig paying is

trying to play a mediating role uh in uh

basically some form of settlement

between Russia and Ukraine we've talked

about that before and the Chinese

foreign minister is urging both sides to

quote exercise restraint and resume

peace talks this is somewhat old news

but this is escalating and the reason

these talks are escalating is because Xi

Jinping actually wants to visit Vladimir

at the same time though we have some

potential issues when it comes to

weapons this isn't Great China providing

military aid to Russia is something

that's creating a lot of fear because

even though China had previously been

sending uh military equipment such as

aircraft parts and uh reconnaissance

equipment to Russia sending lethal

equipment has actually been a red line

for China up until recently China just

sent companies Uh Russian entities 1

1000 assault rifles and other equipment

such as body armor and drone Parts

shipments took place apparently that

were just now finding out between June

and December

China's China China North Industries

group a huge state-owned defense

contractor apparently sent the rifles to

a Russian company which does business

with the Russian State military so

actually what's been happening is

there's been fear in the media about

China sending actual lethal weapons to

Russia turns out that's kind of what's

already been happening anyway except

it's been sort of B2B and then B to M

business to military apparently they're

sending cqa rifles which are similar to

The M4A1 rifles uh close replica they

call them they've been considered

civilian hunting rifles they do shoot

556 Nato rounds Russian entities also

receive 12 shipments of drone Parts by

Chinese companies in over 12 tons of

Chinese body armor and they sent this

stuff through turkey it's the same way

our sort of chipped sanctions against

Russia aren't working that the chips

just end up getting funneled through

Kazakhstan or other countries

Customs data doesn't actually show this

sort of information instead China

supplies this as unreported dual use

equipment so uh it's sort of some

loophole basically to hide from Customs

reports uh and uh and so the question

here now is is the United States going

to respond with more sanctions and would

those actually do anything

unlikely uh that is the problem because

after all remember we know that these

countries are really Adept at navigating

around our sanctions uh and uh export

and import controls

by using other countries who are not

subject to those sort of controls so I'm

not entirely sure this is uh this is

very surprising but I suppose what is

surprising is that while we thought it

would be new that China would send a

lethal weapons they've already been

doing exactly that at the same time NATO

is sending a Ukraine Jets or at least

ramping up to do so Poland will

apparently be the first country to do so

so they're going to send soviet-era

MiG-29 fighter jets four fully

operational Jets

uh this is coming after talk that uh

Poland and European nations would send

tanks but not Jets definitely not Jets

well now the migs are potentially

actually going to send uh be sent as

soon as a week from now to Ukraine these

mig-29s cost about 20 million dollars

each more Jets will be handed over but

are currently quote unquote under

maintenance Ukraine already has

experience using these mig-29s uh

obviously some Refreshers will probably

be useful there are Ukrainian fighter

pilots actually training in the United

Kingdom right now to get ready

potentially for

usf-16s those cost about 64 million

dollars each or about a little more than

three times as much as those makes

Poland once they get rid of their old

crap are going to buy new F-35

generation 5 jets the good new stuff

Raytheon Lockheed Martin each face

massive industrial backlogs 175 billion

dollars for Raytheon 150 billion dollars

of backlogs of manufacturing for

Lockheed Martin That's billion okay

remember uh a Gen 5 jet might cost 65

million dollars say round it for a

little bit easier math if you've got 150

billion dollar backlog gosh how many

planes could you manufacture with that

that would be somewhere around 2 300 wow

if I did the math right that's that's

incredible the the US has already sent

but but they're not just making Jets

right they're making a lot of equipment

previously Ukraine had asked for tanks

which was initially deemed ridiculous

because they might invade you Crimea

with it or try to take back Crimea

should I say uh now fighter jets could

be used to potentially attack Russian

air bases on Russian soil this is

actually something that even Elon Musk

is trying to avoid because Elon Musk

suggests that hey hey hey we're not

going to allow starlink near the border

of Ukraine because we're trying to avoid

a World War III now at the same time

Goldman Sachs is actually raising their

GDP forecasts for China to six percent

Goldman is uh is is predicting

uh that uh there will be essentially a

Plunge in oil levels that uh that could

create a recession over here but

potentially strengthen Chinese markets

Goldman is the first or was rather the

first bank to predict no more rate hikes

for the American market and by raising

their Chinese forecasts they actually

seem somewhat bullish on China over the

next year and sort of this reopening

they are trimming a little bit of their

2024 Outlook from a five percent guide

to 4.6 but they actually think the

reopening is going stronger in China

than expected personally I think that

could be actually interesting for a

company like Starbucks they've got so

many Chinese stores so many more than

they had in the past but uh anyway

they're boosting this because of rapidly

available and new Mobility data uh now I

think this is fascinating because really

if you look at China

they are at all angles trying to do

whatever they can to be as smart as

possible for their economy and now this

comes after being stupid and locking

everything down for three years but

they're doing everything they can to

promote Tesla they're doing everything

they can to promote uh uh investment

into China everything that they can to

increase GDP uh even to the extent of

providing lethal weapons to Russia if it

means more GDP for China

now uh the concern though is about

China's potential strengths becoming

more elevated in its relation between

not only uh Russia and uh and uh China

and other regions uh or or other

countries in the space but also Iran

remember Iran is actually producing a

suicide drone Factory in Russia and

China is willing to work with them let's

take a listen to this

here is a clip that we'll watch that's

useful Russia and Putin's hostility and

aggression against our country the

United States has now reached a

dangerous New Height now tonight the

question is this what will your

President Joe Biden do is he going to

offer maybe another waiver for the

Nordstrom 2 pipeline put more sanctions

in place Putin's not going to care

because he's selling his energy and

getting Filthy Rich he's selling it to

China the rest of the world and all of

this comes as a new Access of Evil is

emerging between these three top

geopolitical foes China's dictator Chi

is now scheduled to hold a very rare but

significant meeting with Putin in Moscow

so how much you want to bet it'll

probably be trading jokes about just how

pathetically weak America's president is

this is beyond embarrassing this is

danger danger to the Safety and Security

of the entire world America's enemies

are on the move they are aggressive they

are consolidating power they're creating

Partnerships and alliances that the

world better take note of while Joe

Biden your president I I just quickly

wanna the throw in and mention our

policies don't exactly help with that

when we sanction China and we pass a

chips act to prevent China from

accessing via the free market Advanced

chips under the guise of National

Security all we're doing is pissing off

the second largest world economy and

forcing them to either steal that

technology and then replicate it and

basically catch up just as they would

have anyway but it also encourages their

relationship building with other

countries that are not the United States

I'd much rather be personally partnering

uh with with a developing relationship

uh with China rather than all these

tariffs and artificial sanctions and

restrictions that just embolden China to

form relationships with other

world powers dare I say that Russia and

Iran would be world powers other

countries that don't like us how about

that

let's keep going we got like 10 seconds

left

there's a sleep at the wheel Russia and

Putin took out an American drone over

international waters and I ask again Joe

Biden what are you going to do

Russia and Putin's house

all right well the answer is nothing

but then again we don't want to start

world war three

okay so look

bottom line out of all of us yes the

United States will be weakened in its

ability to negotiate on a global scale

if the dollar is used less if it's less

of an energy purchaser and if it's more

of a sanction first

ask questions later or mentality I think

that's bad the protectionism tends to

fail it creates too much deadweight loss

that ultimately we pay for as as people

who have to pay larger costs for either

Supply chains being built in different

areas it creates more inflation

and It ultimately weakens our stance on

on the global stage so I'm not super

optimistic about that I think there are

better ways to to solve these issues but

then again I don't have all the details

the government does so who knows maybe

maybe you could be hopeful and say hey

maybe they're doing a good job hey but

one thing I will hold out hope for is

that maybe Xi Jinping could actually

negotiate something with a Vladimir

Putin and zelinski now we gotta talk

about Iran playing both sides for months

now arms trackers have noticed Ukrainian

forces using artillery shells rockets

and motors made in Iran this trend of

ukrainians potentially using Iranian

manufactured ammunition dates back to

the summer of 2022 Iran is definitely

not supplying Ukraine directly with

ammunition because Iran is trying to

help Russia after all they're going to

Russia potentially developing uh suicide

drones at a factory that they want to

build outside of Moscow so which third

party is contributing weapons well it's

possible Iran is selling weapons to

countries that are then donating them to

Ukraine so that way Iran is making money

on both sides it's unknown because you

can't really track exactly where all

these weapons are going through nobody

are nobody's putting Apple Air tags on

this stuff although I kind of think they

should Russia is pretty reliant on Iran

for weapons not only for those suicide

drones but also guided GPS guided drones

propeller driven cruise missiles and

more and it's just worth noting that

while at the same time Iran is a big

partner for Russia you literally have

Iran indirectly partnering with Ukraine

this is how World War III gets worse

when you literally have everybody trying

to profit on it why does it get worse

because

it keeps going if countries around the

world are profiting off of this the

American industrial complex is profiting

off of it Iran is profiting off of it

China's profiting off of it they're

already sending lethal weapons to to

Russia well what do you have you have a

situation where nobody is motivated to

end the war the odds of world war three

go up because everybody keeps getting

more and more insane Weaponry we went

from sending boots and helmets to

Ukraine to now sending tanks and now

fighter jets going to Ukraine

this is so bad because it just keeps

everything going on longer this is what

we want to end consider for example how

Iran does this as well in 1970 Iran

seized the bgm 71 tow missile and then

just created their own version of it and

they called it the tupan anti-tank

guided missile they did this in 2011 as

well with the Lockheed Martin RQ 170

Sentinel and created their own drone

from it Ukrainian military has been

reporting Pentagon losses of equipment

to minimize seizure of equipment I mean

look there's so much back and forth

going on uh between data nobody really

knows what's going on in this fog of War

but the reality is that's the people are

profiting off of it and there seems to

be a lot of motivation to keep this

going this is bad now it's also worth

remembering that citizens demand

transparency whereas all of our money

going remember we've thrown over

78 billion dollars and you Ukraine

straight up money financial support

human support Military Support weapon

support everything Council on Foreign

Relations shows we've donated over twice

as much as any other Collective

comparing to the European Union twice as

much as them and we're not even in

Europe but anyway

this is a problem and these are all

things that lead to the escalating pain