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You are not prepared for what is coming…

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farmers plant in the spring. Right now,

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we are shutting down the critical

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ingredients to most European factories

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who make fertilizer.

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>> Right. Okay. And so, by the time that

0:14

gets through, whenever it gets through,

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it's going to be too late

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to make the fertilizer. You're going to

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miss the whole spring season. So, I I

0:24

don't know. I just saw a headline.

0:25

Goldman Sachs uh leading member of the

0:28

New York Fed says that uh it's going to

0:32

be shut down for 21 days, right?

0:34

>> Yeah.

0:36

>> Missed the planning season. Okay. So, so

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if if you look at the material coming

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through that's critical to chip

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production, the material coming through

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the straits that's critical to

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fertilizer and food, and the material

0:48

coming through that's that's critical to

0:50

energy, you're talking about massive

0:53

dislocation of the global economy and if

0:56

it goes on for long enough, I mean, we

0:58

have Peru, Thailand, other people

1:00

talking about doing CO kind of shutdowns

1:02

to save gas and fuel. No,

1:04

>> in case you missed it, there is a war

1:07

going on in the Middle East.

1:10

After Iran received strikes on their

1:12

military leaders from the US and Israel,

1:15

they decided to essentially blockade the

1:18

straight of Hormuz where 20% of the

1:20

world's oil and gas flows through as

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well as fertilizer. Right now, this is

1:26

creating what the International Energy

1:28

Agency is calling the worst energy

1:30

crisis in modern history. The

1:33

Philippines declared a national

1:34

emergency.

1:36

Several countries in Asia are already

1:38

rationing fuel in Europe might be next.

1:41

Gas prices in the US are on their way to

1:44

all-time highs. And airlines are

1:46

cancelling thousands of flights. So

1:49

about 3 weeks into this whole conflict,

1:52

Trump gave Iran an ultimatum. Open the

1:55

straight or have your power plants

1:57

bombed. This would be a humanitarian

2:00

disaster that could leave tens of

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millions of people without power and

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according to experts would very likely

2:06

constitute a war crime as this would be

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an attack on civilian infrastructure. At

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first he gave Iran 48 hours and then

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before that time elapsed he said that

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the US and Iran were in talks. So he

2:20

extended the deadline for 10 days and

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now that time is coming up. and he

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posted a 48-hour reminder for the 10

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days. And then he also posted this on

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Easter Sunday. He said, quote, "Tuesday

2:38

will be power plant day and bridge day

2:40

all wrapped up in one in Iran. There

2:43

will be nothing like it. Open the effing

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straight, you crazy, or you'll be living

2:50

in hell. Just watch. Praise be to Allah.

2:55

Donald J. Trump. End quote.

2:58

He later put out a post giving the exact

3:00

deadline of Tuesday, 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

3:04

Uh, which is a little bit later than

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that original 48 hour reminder that he

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gave on Saturday. And so, everyone is

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wondering if Trump is actually going to

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follow through this time or if he's

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going to push the deadline back again.

3:18

Now, I personally have no idea what is

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going to happen next, but what I can say

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with confidence is that the way that

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this is moving is looking like we're

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definitely pushing into the direction of

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having a complete and utter global

3:32

economic catastrophe. At this point,

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even if the straight of Hormuz is

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opened, we have energy infrastructure

3:42

around the world that's been destroyed.

3:44

A liqufied natural gas refiner in Qatar

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has said that they will need up to 5

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years to get back up to their normal

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production capacity. Ukraine has been

3:55

damaging energy infrastructure in

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Russia.

3:59

The US had some random explosion at a

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refinery in Texas. And it just feels

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like the world's energy infrastructure

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is under attack. Now, if the war

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continues to escalate,

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then the damage that's being done is

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something that's going to last for

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years. It will take them a 100red years

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to rebuild. Right now, if we left today,

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it would take them 20 years to rebuild

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their country, and it would never be as

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good as it was. And the only way they're

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going to be able to rebuild their

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country is to utilize the genius of the

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United States of America. And the

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problems that come from this might not

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just be higher gas prices.

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>> So this is CO 2.0.

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>> Yeah.

4:44

>> Because Yeah. It's this is how you shut

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down. This is a new excuse to shut down

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um to preserve energy and food. I think

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the big problem here is famine. So you

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have seen the new administration in the

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United States systematically cut the

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domestic funds that are available to

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support food for poor people in

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emergencies as well as the USID and

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state department aid to protect

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countries that have emergencies you know

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like food. So, so you have I don't know

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25

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maybe billion dollars traditionally that

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the US had available to to stop famines.

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That money is all cut and now you have

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something that's creating the conditions

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of famine.

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>> The thing that I'm most concerned with

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is the fact that people really aren't

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paying attention to this yet and we're

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pretty deep into the issue. The problems

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that are going to come from this haven't

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made it to the west yet because there's

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still shipments that are making their

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way to their destinations.

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I watched a video the other day from a

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guy named Max Fiser. Shout out to you,

5:57

Max. And he described how the oil

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tankers that are floating across the

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ocean are moving at the rate of a

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bicycle.

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And therefore it can take around a month

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for the shipments to get from the

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straight of Hormuz to where they would

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typically go. So a lot of the world

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hasn't necessarily seen the last of the

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shipments that have made their way out

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of the straight of Hormuz. But once the

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final shipments make it to their

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destinations,

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things are going to get a little bit

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different. A lot of analysts, including

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JP Morgan, essentially said that it

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would be around midappril that all of

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the effects from this would start to hit

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the western world. Once those final

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shipments make it to their destinations,

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the way that things are starting to work

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is that

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essentially these oil tankers and

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whatnot are getting redirected based

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upon where people are bidding the

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highest for the delivery of these goods.

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And so because of that, right, you're

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going to see massive increases in the

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prices of things because you're just

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going to have an all-out bidding war for

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getting the goods that you need. Now,

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that's what's happening on the global

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trade level, and I don't expect things

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to get like that uh down to the local

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level, but just something to keep in

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mind. The biggest problem that could

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come with an escalation of the war is

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the closing of the Bob Elmand Debstrait

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over in the Red Sea, which the Houthi

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rebels from Yemen have already

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threatened to go ahead and try to close.

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That right there would make this problem

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even worse. The biggest concern that I

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have is that all of this that's

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happening in the world could easily be

7:42

pushing us into a place that looks a lot

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like what we saw in 2020

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where people had to rely on government

7:50

services just to get by. We saw a member

7:55

of Congress in the United States

7:58

actually released legislation that did

8:01

not get passed, but it was floated that

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had language about digital dollar

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wallets and Fed accounts when at that

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time nobody had heard anything about

8:13

anything like that besides people like

8:16

you who are watching videos like this.

8:19

We just saw the White House release

8:21

their little news app, right? And that

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could easily turn into something else.

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My concern is that if we get some sort

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    You are not prepared f… - Full Transcript | YouTubeTranscript.dev