i just invested $1,000,000 into these 3 stocks
FULL TRANSCRIPT
everyone me kevin here all right we've
got three stocks that we have to talk
about y'all know that i've been really
big on rcc
for the past oh maybe two months-ish
here i've been selling off some call
options i've been selling puts but i
haven't actively been buying heavily
until well this week uh and the reason
for that is i see three interesting
opportunities in the market and we're
going to talk about all three of those
in this video as usual this is not
financial advice i can be totally wrong
and if you lose money don't sue me bro
these are just ideas
all right but i am going to thoroughly
explain my ideas now if you are part of
the stocks in psychology of money course
you already know about these three
and if you're interested in joining that
you're always welcome to check out the
40 off coupon code link down below does
expire august 31st to get 40 off
lifetime access also comes with private
live streams where we do a lot of this
kind of analysis in fact
at least two of these we did detailed
private live streams on before we made
any kind of decision we kind of went
through the fundamental analysis
together the ta together the social our
you know trend checks everything was
great so if you like that kind of stuff
you want to go more into detail feel
free to check that out by the link down
below okay folks for now though let's go
ahead and check out number one
number one on the list is affirm
a firm is a stock that at the time of me
recording this is up like 30 plus
percent in the after hours and that's
because a massive shift of a catalyst
just occurred so you might know that a
firm is the buy now pay later platform
it is a stock that has been absolutely
battered since it went public it uh it
went public it briefly skyrocketed up to
146
somewhat uh
you know missing a path to profitability
and over the past well since starting in
february the stock has just been on this
massive slide and trend down now it's
slowly started moving up since the may
12th bottom this is the last time i did
massive buying in the market was over
here in may may 12th before that i did
some buying uh of of the dip as we were
sliding down in other stocks big buys
over here may 12th as usual every time i
buy or sell i post alerts in that stocks
and psychology money group but anyway uh
i i now am interested in a firm i've
been tracking a firm and watching the
pain of a firm for quite a while
and why would i buy it now after it
jumped you know
i bought it less than the jump where it
is now but why would i buy it now
all of a sudden on what will end up
being a green day
well
massive announcement a firm has
announced that rather than just being
the partner of peloton or walmart or
miscellaneous other companies that you
could use through the affirm app which
is a little bit more
uh
there's some more steps involved to use
the affirm app and then buy something in
a store it's much easier to be able to
buy something on a website and check out
with a firm right well firm just made a
massive announcement and i want to talk
about the implications of this but first
let me show you why a firm is so
powerful when people want to buy
something like let's go into a peloton
bike here we're going to go to the
peloton bike plus here
somebody wants to buy a peloton bike but
they don't have the 2500 or now these
prices are going down so maybe the 1800
or whatever it is for something no
worries you can now get yourself an
interest-free loan with a firm take a
look at this
bike plus family two thousand nine
hundred forty-five dollars why pay two
thousand nine hundred forty nine dollar
or forty five dollars when you could get
it for as low as sixty nine dollars for
43 months and all you have to do is
click the little pre-qualify now button
and you could start making payments with
no extra fees
at zero interest as long as you pay it
off by this end term now if you need
more than 43 months 24 months or 12
months or whatever you choose you'll end
up paying interest which interest makes
up about 45 percent of a firm's revenue
another about 45 percent comes from the
transaction fee
which is actually really brilliant
because if you check out through a firm
you're not checking out through a credit
card which means now a firm can charge
that 2.9 or 3ish percent fee and make
money off
processing your transaction
and then they're hoping that a certain
percentage of people are going to start
paying interest as they want to extend
their payments over time but they're
really transparent about this
if you pay this bike off with these
monthly installments by the end of this
time frame you will pay zero interest
and if you if you multiply 43
times what is this 68.5
you'll see it comes out to 2945 dollars
which is
the cost of the bike plus family
so it's not like they're they're
building the payments into this price
they're taking the payment processing so
this is kind of like investing in visa
but then they're also getting the
interest so it's very much like
investing in a credit card company
rebranded as a buy now pay later service
okay cool well peloton i have almost
completely sold out of and i almost
completely sold out of them before
earnings i sold out of like 95 percent
of my position before earnings i have it
i sold out another it was down four
percent this morning when it opened and
i sent out an alert that i sold another
about two or three percent of my
position and so now i've got maybe like
one percent or two percent of my
original position left in peloton and
i'ma dump that uh probably next week
particularly because i'm not very happy
with their earnings
because they're bike sales and we saw
this coming we talked about this in
stocks and psychology and money i'm like
uh oh search trends are going down bike
availability is getting a lot shorter
like you can get your bike a lot sooner
this is not good all the catalysts that
we were looking at for piton were
evaporating and i'm like dump it glad i
did because obviously it's been having a
rough time and they're making it a lot
harder now and i'm going to talk about a
firm again in a second but just a quick
note on peloton they're making it a lot
harder now to figure out where
or how much bike sales actually declined
it took us about 20 minutes to figure
out where they hit it but they hid their
quarter over quarter data and in our
course group we found out together that
uh they hid the fact and it's available
but it's just not on their sec report
which is crazy because that's where i
always go uh they're quarterly a quarter
of a quarter bike sales are down like 35
percent now maybe that's just because
it's the summer quarter maybe peloton is
going to come back i don't know i'll
look for the catalyst but for right now
not very happy about piton anyway okay
so
peloton the reason this matters is
because last quarter peloton sold about
a billion dollars worth of bikes
which is a whole lot of money so uh oh
i'm sorry uh that was actually i wrote
this down here yeah no that's correct
it's about a billion dollars worth of
bikes last quarter it's down 35 percent
this quarter well a firm was like
the big provider for peloton and so
people are like oh man well peloton's
doing poorly maybe that's why a firm is
going to get pushed down in fact we
talked about that on the public live
stream this morning
well walmart also offers a firm and we
haven't even gotten to the catalyst here
yet okay anyway walmart also offers a
firm the thing about walmart is that
walmart doesn't actually here let's go
into something here walmart doesn't make
a firm as convenient as piton they do
show it here you could see it you could
go the little checkout thing but and i'm
going to hide this for a second here uh
you can continue without account blah
blah blah but basically they end up
giving you the option to use checkout
with paypal or check out with all of
these other options and a firm is one of
them
what i found because people always ask
like what about the competition yeah
there is competition for buy now pay
later you got paypal you got after pay
you got apple uh partnering with goldman
sachs to come up with a buy now pay
later uh apple though is i heard i
haven't confirmed this apparently
partnering with a firm in europe which
is pretty cool so good for a firm but
anyway what we found when we were
looking at the walmart checkout page is
that paypal's buy now pay later only
lets you pay over uh i think it's four
payments
and you have to pay every two weeks a
firm lets you stretch it out over 12
months 24 months 43 months whatever it's
insane how far you can pay it out so now
maybe it's different for different
products so i don't really want to bag
fully on paypal but i think paypal
doesn't have the growth that the firm is
going to have i certainly don't think
walmart's going to have the growth that
a firm's going to have and something
else that i think is really crazy
is
amazon
i think already has a lot of growth
priced into it
but here's the fun part
amazon just announced
that they're going to incorporate a firm
to create a buy now pay later option on
amazon's website
this is huge and i'm going to tell you
exactly why it's so huge but first of
all right now if you want to buy now pay
later it would just be using the chase
partnership credit card they have people
don't like the idea of credit cards
because credit cards it's like sure buy
now but then pay like 18 interest right
unless you open a new card and get like
zero percent no interest or whatever
that's clunky it's complicated it's hard
don't love that okay but
get this and this is why this is so
mind-blowing and just so you know i
loaded up about
493 000 of this stock
so uh yeah like
um putting my money where my mouth is
okay being transparent here but anyway
here's why i think this partnership is
so crazy peloton and walmart are big
users of a firm
but the max total
gross merchandise revenue that peloton
and walmart have for online sales to
combine together is only like 13 to 15
billion dollars that's because per
quarter that's because even though
walmart has like 137 billion dollars in
sales only about
six to eight to nine percent or actually
online sales i just use 10 percent for
giggles and that's how i get to about 15
combining peloton and walmart so even if
they had gross potential sales of 15
billion of products which a firm isn't
gonna get all of that that's 15 billion
dollars compare that now to amazon's
online sales not web services product
sales amazon's product services are
58 billion dollars that's roughly 4x so
just looking at peloton and walmart
amazon four x's that potential now i
know you could use a firm on other
things like dyson and mattresses and all
this other stuff
but
wow this is big
okay like another 58 billion dollars of
potential revenue now in fairness amazon
will only allow a firm for things that
are 50 or more which of course we're not
gonna we're not going to capture all of
this but it's that potential pool that's
what matters it's the same math we did
with walmart and piton right like not
everybody who buys the peloton is going
to uh use a firm
so anyway this is like huge in my
opinion
this affirm play is a way of buying
amazon's or buying into amazon's growth
without buying sideways trading amazon
don't get me wrong i love amazon i own a
lot of amazon
probably right about seven figures of
amazon
love it not selling my amazon
but this affirm play
i like it
so these are my thoughts on a firm now
i'm going to talk about two more plays
here uh but uh yeah look there's there's
more research to this i'm not going to
go into absolutely everything here i
wanted to give this sort of synthesis of
what we did we like search trends we
like social trends for a firm we like
that it's been beat down
i honestly think this amazon partnership
is huge
now it's possible that we see retail
spending go down although we haven't
seen retail trade spending go down we've
seen
travel spending go down because of delta
which means potentially this shopping
season in my opinion could be huge this
uh and i really think amazon's gonna
want to get this a firm integrated no
later than
like the middle of october october 15th
because that's when the winter season
begins and oh my gosh this could be a
record setting winter season for amazon
and a farm
especially if people can now buy now pay
later it's crazy
uh so okay uh that's a farm
now i'm gonna do a quick yolo and then
i'm gonna get into one that i'm a little
bit more interested in all right so the
quick yolo we actually talked about this
one uh this morning in uh my live
streams
uh i uh a fur i'm sorry owlette is
getting destroyed with uh spack
redemptions and so a lot of shares are
being issued right now it's it's a
little it's a little kooky right now
owlette you you don't you probably won't
know what the heck outlet is unless you
have a child
outlet is basically a company that
manufactures and sells pregnancy
products the reviews for them are
absolutely amazing search trends going
up everything about owlette i love i
associate with it gives that parental
peace of mind think about it this way
okay if you have a little child a little
baby
that's just born okay literally newborn
couple weeks old uh everybody drills
into your mind that there's this thing
called sids sudden infant death syndrome
and so parents are like mentally
so paranoid because like babies and
children are absolutely precious like um
like i get tears in my eyes just
thinking about it okay
so you can
wrap their little baby feet with an
owlette smart sock and i know that
sounds insane like oh my gosh smart
shock it's actually really good it
measures and monitors the child's
like blood oxygen and heart rate and i
don't know what else it does lauren
handles all this stuff but anyway uh it
gives a parent a piece of mind and if
there's any kind of drop in vitals it
sends off like this siren in your room
because you have like the beacon in your
room and the sock on their feet so
you're probably just like radiating them
with a bunch of bluetooth but i guess at
least they're not dying from sids
okay that's bad sorry i shouldn't have
said that sorry owlette don't sue me
unsubstantiated opinion
total a joke
okay
now
their stock has just been dumped into
the toilet and uh personally i'm usually
very much a bottom feeder
this stock could fall more and so i only
put a 20 okay only i'm sorry i know it's
unrelatable i put a twenty thousand
dollar yolo in on this okay uh i put a
twenty thousand dollar yolo on this like
a minute before the stock market closed
like over here
uh and i put an option yolo on this for
september 17th it's a call option i
think i did the 7.50
for september 17th because the stock was
down a bunch today and that option was
in the toilet yeah that option was down
26 today
and uh owlette itself i don't know what
it was down it was like six or eight
percent or something like that i don't
really care i just saw a toilet and it
could continue to go in the toilet i'm
fully aware of that for me this is
literally there it was down 7.6 it was a
russian roulette like i'm feeling black
y'all okay so
uh if we do really well
please thank me if we don't
go to a different table
find a different stock
like in the casinos when you do well the
dealers are like you're gonna tip me
and when you suck they're just like
okay uh next one so uh this is one that
i probably i can't remember exactly what
i put in it was either it was like four
hundred thousand dollars maybe it was
closer to five hundred thousand dollars
somewhere between four hundred to five
hundred thousand dollars into
lemonade uh yes i put this money into
lemonade i put this money into lemonade
at an average cost of about
72 dollars
i already own a lot of lemonade
i like lemonade i do not think lemonade
is worth like i'm not gonna buy lemonade
over 75 to 80 dollars it's too much for
me it's not 76 right now so like 80s
usually my cut off when it runs into
like this 180 range this was after the
motley fool pump this was insane like
this right here is just pure momentum uh
but sometimes it runs up into that 115
120 range that's a good time to sell
covered calls or sell your call options
on it if you have i personally think
with this market going into this like
risk on movement i think there's a
potential for lemonade to have some
juice
uh and uh let's go and i'm just gonna do
trends real quick uh the reason i think
lemonade is also very interesting oh i
forgot earlier this week we also bought
an october call option on lemonade and
that thing printed two attendees like so
fast i bought like an 80 70 000 option
it was up like 25 000
with the very next day uh i i said in
our course member live stream i'm like
dump it just dump it don't be like me
and i remember saying that like you
could go back and look at this evidence
too i'm like don't be like me don't be
greedy dump it dump and dump it i was
greedy it ended up going to like twelve
thousand dollars up it was still twelve
thousand dollars i'm like okay okay okay
okay i'm gonna settle i'm gonna take my
attendees
uh but yeah sometimes like when you're
looking at like 45 day options like if
you get a big pump like dump them okay
don't be greedy on those it's fine you
know i made 11k on 70k in 24 hours like
i'm i'm not gonna be sad about that do i
look back and like i should have just
sold when i told everybody else to sell
duh but uh you know
lessons to learn
but anyway so why why lemonade okay
they put something up that's really
insane
look at this
car insurance coming now we knew that
car insurance was getting ready to come
but get this okay this is what's crazy
here and insurance is a lower margin
business but lemonade is a very very
smart company okay watch this so root
insurance they do car insurance
and their search trends over if you go
to the past five years their search
trends doing pretty well you've got a
nice uptrend here but it's not perfect
okay not perfect but if you type in
lemonade insurance right now they're
getting popular off pet insurance i kid
you not pet insurance and renters
insurance uh they are they're right here
just below route insurance they're
growing at a faster rate in the google
trends and they don't even have the car
insurance yet which is crazy uh what
they're really popular right now going
popular for the pet insurance it's a
lower margin lemonade insurance for me
is a very long play
i've done i see pet insurance breakout
homeowner's insurance breakout right uh
very long term play for me i like i look
at their website analytics too not just
the social trends i love it they're not
profitable yet they're expected to be
low margin profitable i'm really buying
this as more of a like a firm i could
buy a long run fundamental
uh
owlette russian roulette
that rhymes and uh and lemonade
insurance is
if it runs to like 150 180 i'm gonna
dump it or sell covered calls
if it trades sideways i don't really
care
i was happy with the call that i placed
i do not i don't think i own any calls
right now i might still own some calls
but if anything they would be leaps but
i got rid of my short term call so yeah
hey those are my three trades right now
uh one of them is a yolo one of them is
a long fondy and one of them's
you know if it runs i'mma dump it so
hopefully that is insightful to you and
you like this uh this means i've put
somewhere around
uh close to about a million dollars into
the market because if i add up the 20
the 70 we talked about and then the over
like the 493 and then the other that's
the lemonade that's about a male so i'm
just gonna go with a million
million dollars worth of place all right
and it's true
uh anyway if you want to see these plays
before i announce them publicly or you
want to hear more details or ask me
questions about my mentality your
thought process or whatever i'm not
always right i think i do very very well
though check out my programs linked down
below on anything from real estate
investing stock investing to making
youtube videos real estate agent sales
property management you name it this
course coupon code it does expire august
31st the price just goes up every time
you know sometimes people leave those
cynical comments like the coupon code is
always here yeah but every time the
price goes up so it's like 30 30 30 or
whatever it goes up
net goes up okay folks thank you so much
for being here we'll see you in the next
one bye
[Music]
you
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