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i just invested $1,000,000 into these 3 stocks

21m 33s3,962 words590 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

everyone me kevin here all right we've

0:01

got three stocks that we have to talk

0:03

about y'all know that i've been really

0:05

big on rcc

0:07

for the past oh maybe two months-ish

0:10

here i've been selling off some call

0:13

options i've been selling puts but i

0:16

haven't actively been buying heavily

0:18

until well this week uh and the reason

0:21

for that is i see three interesting

0:24

opportunities in the market and we're

0:25

going to talk about all three of those

0:27

in this video as usual this is not

0:29

financial advice i can be totally wrong

0:31

and if you lose money don't sue me bro

0:33

these are just ideas

0:35

all right but i am going to thoroughly

0:37

explain my ideas now if you are part of

0:39

the stocks in psychology of money course

0:41

you already know about these three

0:44

and if you're interested in joining that

0:46

you're always welcome to check out the

0:48

40 off coupon code link down below does

0:50

expire august 31st to get 40 off

0:52

lifetime access also comes with private

0:54

live streams where we do a lot of this

0:56

kind of analysis in fact

0:58

at least two of these we did detailed

1:01

private live streams on before we made

1:03

any kind of decision we kind of went

1:04

through the fundamental analysis

1:06

together the ta together the social our

1:09

you know trend checks everything was

1:10

great so if you like that kind of stuff

1:12

you want to go more into detail feel

1:14

free to check that out by the link down

1:15

below okay folks for now though let's go

1:18

ahead and check out number one

1:21

number one on the list is affirm

1:24

a firm is a stock that at the time of me

1:27

recording this is up like 30 plus

1:29

percent in the after hours and that's

1:31

because a massive shift of a catalyst

1:33

just occurred so you might know that a

1:35

firm is the buy now pay later platform

1:39

it is a stock that has been absolutely

1:42

battered since it went public it uh it

1:45

went public it briefly skyrocketed up to

1:48

146

1:50

somewhat uh

1:51

you know missing a path to profitability

1:54

and over the past well since starting in

1:56

february the stock has just been on this

1:59

massive slide and trend down now it's

2:02

slowly started moving up since the may

2:04

12th bottom this is the last time i did

2:06

massive buying in the market was over

2:08

here in may may 12th before that i did

2:10

some buying uh of of the dip as we were

2:13

sliding down in other stocks big buys

2:15

over here may 12th as usual every time i

2:17

buy or sell i post alerts in that stocks

2:19

and psychology money group but anyway uh

2:22

i i now am interested in a firm i've

2:25

been tracking a firm and watching the

2:27

pain of a firm for quite a while

2:30

and why would i buy it now after it

2:32

jumped you know

2:34

i bought it less than the jump where it

2:36

is now but why would i buy it now

2:38

all of a sudden on what will end up

2:40

being a green day

2:42

well

2:43

massive announcement a firm has

2:45

announced that rather than just being

2:47

the partner of peloton or walmart or

2:51

miscellaneous other companies that you

2:53

could use through the affirm app which

2:56

is a little bit more

2:58

uh

2:59

there's some more steps involved to use

3:00

the affirm app and then buy something in

3:02

a store it's much easier to be able to

3:04

buy something on a website and check out

3:05

with a firm right well firm just made a

3:08

massive announcement and i want to talk

3:09

about the implications of this but first

3:11

let me show you why a firm is so

3:13

powerful when people want to buy

3:15

something like let's go into a peloton

3:17

bike here we're going to go to the

3:18

peloton bike plus here

3:20

somebody wants to buy a peloton bike but

3:22

they don't have the 2500 or now these

3:26

prices are going down so maybe the 1800

3:29

or whatever it is for something no

3:31

worries you can now get yourself an

3:33

interest-free loan with a firm take a

3:36

look at this

3:37

bike plus family two thousand nine

3:39

hundred forty-five dollars why pay two

3:42

thousand nine hundred forty nine dollar

3:44

or forty five dollars when you could get

3:46

it for as low as sixty nine dollars for

3:48

43 months and all you have to do is

3:50

click the little pre-qualify now button

3:52

and you could start making payments with

3:54

no extra fees

3:56

at zero interest as long as you pay it

3:58

off by this end term now if you need

4:01

more than 43 months 24 months or 12

4:04

months or whatever you choose you'll end

4:06

up paying interest which interest makes

4:08

up about 45 percent of a firm's revenue

4:11

another about 45 percent comes from the

4:14

transaction fee

4:16

which is actually really brilliant

4:18

because if you check out through a firm

4:21

you're not checking out through a credit

4:23

card which means now a firm can charge

4:26

that 2.9 or 3ish percent fee and make

4:29

money off

4:30

processing your transaction

4:32

and then they're hoping that a certain

4:34

percentage of people are going to start

4:36

paying interest as they want to extend

4:37

their payments over time but they're

4:40

really transparent about this

4:42

if you pay this bike off with these

4:44

monthly installments by the end of this

4:46

time frame you will pay zero interest

4:50

and if you if you multiply 43

4:53

times what is this 68.5

4:56

you'll see it comes out to 2945 dollars

5:00

which is

5:01

the cost of the bike plus family

5:04

so it's not like they're they're

5:05

building the payments into this price

5:08

they're taking the payment processing so

5:10

this is kind of like investing in visa

5:13

but then they're also getting the

5:15

interest so it's very much like

5:17

investing in a credit card company

5:19

rebranded as a buy now pay later service

5:23

okay cool well peloton i have almost

5:27

completely sold out of and i almost

5:29

completely sold out of them before

5:30

earnings i sold out of like 95 percent

5:33

of my position before earnings i have it

5:36

i sold out another it was down four

5:37

percent this morning when it opened and

5:39

i sent out an alert that i sold another

5:42

about two or three percent of my

5:43

position and so now i've got maybe like

5:45

one percent or two percent of my

5:46

original position left in peloton and

5:49

i'ma dump that uh probably next week

5:51

particularly because i'm not very happy

5:53

with their earnings

5:55

because they're bike sales and we saw

5:57

this coming we talked about this in

5:59

stocks and psychology and money i'm like

6:01

uh oh search trends are going down bike

6:04

availability is getting a lot shorter

6:06

like you can get your bike a lot sooner

6:08

this is not good all the catalysts that

6:11

we were looking at for piton were

6:12

evaporating and i'm like dump it glad i

6:15

did because obviously it's been having a

6:16

rough time and they're making it a lot

6:19

harder now and i'm going to talk about a

6:20

firm again in a second but just a quick

6:22

note on peloton they're making it a lot

6:23

harder now to figure out where

6:26

or how much bike sales actually declined

6:29

it took us about 20 minutes to figure

6:30

out where they hit it but they hid their

6:33

quarter over quarter data and in our

6:35

course group we found out together that

6:37

uh they hid the fact and it's available

6:40

but it's just not on their sec report

6:42

which is crazy because that's where i

6:43

always go uh they're quarterly a quarter

6:45

of a quarter bike sales are down like 35

6:47

percent now maybe that's just because

6:49

it's the summer quarter maybe peloton is

6:51

going to come back i don't know i'll

6:53

look for the catalyst but for right now

6:56

not very happy about piton anyway okay

6:58

so

6:59

peloton the reason this matters is

7:01

because last quarter peloton sold about

7:04

a billion dollars worth of bikes

7:07

which is a whole lot of money so uh oh

7:10

i'm sorry uh that was actually i wrote

7:12

this down here yeah no that's correct

7:14

it's about a billion dollars worth of

7:15

bikes last quarter it's down 35 percent

7:19

this quarter well a firm was like

7:22

the big provider for peloton and so

7:25

people are like oh man well peloton's

7:26

doing poorly maybe that's why a firm is

7:28

going to get pushed down in fact we

7:30

talked about that on the public live

7:31

stream this morning

7:32

well walmart also offers a firm and we

7:36

haven't even gotten to the catalyst here

7:37

yet okay anyway walmart also offers a

7:41

firm the thing about walmart is that

7:44

walmart doesn't actually here let's go

7:46

into something here walmart doesn't make

7:49

a firm as convenient as piton they do

7:52

show it here you could see it you could

7:54

go the little checkout thing but and i'm

7:57

going to hide this for a second here uh

7:59

you can continue without account blah

8:00

blah blah but basically they end up

8:02

giving you the option to use checkout

8:04

with paypal or check out with all of

8:06

these other options and a firm is one of

8:09

them

8:10

what i found because people always ask

8:12

like what about the competition yeah

8:14

there is competition for buy now pay

8:16

later you got paypal you got after pay

8:19

you got apple uh partnering with goldman

8:21

sachs to come up with a buy now pay

8:22

later uh apple though is i heard i

8:26

haven't confirmed this apparently

8:27

partnering with a firm in europe which

8:29

is pretty cool so good for a firm but

8:30

anyway what we found when we were

8:32

looking at the walmart checkout page is

8:34

that paypal's buy now pay later only

8:37

lets you pay over uh i think it's four

8:39

payments

8:40

and you have to pay every two weeks a

8:42

firm lets you stretch it out over 12

8:44

months 24 months 43 months whatever it's

8:47

insane how far you can pay it out so now

8:50

maybe it's different for different

8:51

products so i don't really want to bag

8:53

fully on paypal but i think paypal

8:55

doesn't have the growth that the firm is

8:57

going to have i certainly don't think

8:58

walmart's going to have the growth that

9:00

a firm's going to have and something

9:02

else that i think is really crazy

9:05

is

9:07

amazon

9:08

i think already has a lot of growth

9:10

priced into it

9:12

but here's the fun part

9:14

amazon just announced

9:16

that they're going to incorporate a firm

9:19

to create a buy now pay later option on

9:21

amazon's website

9:23

this is huge and i'm going to tell you

9:24

exactly why it's so huge but first of

9:27

all right now if you want to buy now pay

9:28

later it would just be using the chase

9:30

partnership credit card they have people

9:32

don't like the idea of credit cards

9:33

because credit cards it's like sure buy

9:35

now but then pay like 18 interest right

9:37

unless you open a new card and get like

9:39

zero percent no interest or whatever

9:40

that's clunky it's complicated it's hard

9:42

don't love that okay but

9:44

get this and this is why this is so

9:46

mind-blowing and just so you know i

9:48

loaded up about

9:50

493 000 of this stock

9:54

so uh yeah like

9:56

um putting my money where my mouth is

9:58

okay being transparent here but anyway

10:01

here's why i think this partnership is

10:02

so crazy peloton and walmart are big

10:05

users of a firm

10:06

but the max total

10:09

gross merchandise revenue that peloton

10:11

and walmart have for online sales to

10:15

combine together is only like 13 to 15

10:18

billion dollars that's because per

10:20

quarter that's because even though

10:22

walmart has like 137 billion dollars in

10:24

sales only about

10:26

six to eight to nine percent or actually

10:28

online sales i just use 10 percent for

10:30

giggles and that's how i get to about 15

10:33

combining peloton and walmart so even if

10:36

they had gross potential sales of 15

10:39

billion of products which a firm isn't

10:41

gonna get all of that that's 15 billion

10:43

dollars compare that now to amazon's

10:46

online sales not web services product

10:49

sales amazon's product services are

10:52

58 billion dollars that's roughly 4x so

10:57

just looking at peloton and walmart

10:59

amazon four x's that potential now i

11:03

know you could use a firm on other

11:04

things like dyson and mattresses and all

11:06

this other stuff

11:08

but

11:09

wow this is big

11:11

okay like another 58 billion dollars of

11:14

potential revenue now in fairness amazon

11:16

will only allow a firm for things that

11:18

are 50 or more which of course we're not

11:20

gonna we're not going to capture all of

11:22

this but it's that potential pool that's

11:25

what matters it's the same math we did

11:26

with walmart and piton right like not

11:28

everybody who buys the peloton is going

11:30

to uh use a firm

11:32

so anyway this is like huge in my

11:36

opinion

11:37

this affirm play is a way of buying

11:40

amazon's or buying into amazon's growth

11:44

without buying sideways trading amazon

11:47

don't get me wrong i love amazon i own a

11:49

lot of amazon

11:51

probably right about seven figures of

11:52

amazon

11:54

love it not selling my amazon

11:56

but this affirm play

11:58

i like it

12:00

so these are my thoughts on a firm now

12:03

i'm going to talk about two more plays

12:04

here uh but uh yeah look there's there's

12:08

more research to this i'm not going to

12:10

go into absolutely everything here i

12:11

wanted to give this sort of synthesis of

12:14

what we did we like search trends we

12:16

like social trends for a firm we like

12:18

that it's been beat down

12:20

i honestly think this amazon partnership

12:22

is huge

12:24

now it's possible that we see retail

12:26

spending go down although we haven't

12:28

seen retail trade spending go down we've

12:30

seen

12:31

travel spending go down because of delta

12:33

which means potentially this shopping

12:35

season in my opinion could be huge this

12:37

uh and i really think amazon's gonna

12:39

want to get this a firm integrated no

12:42

later than

12:43

like the middle of october october 15th

12:45

because that's when the winter season

12:46

begins and oh my gosh this could be a

12:49

record setting winter season for amazon

12:53

and a farm

12:54

especially if people can now buy now pay

12:56

later it's crazy

12:58

uh so okay uh that's a farm

13:01

now i'm gonna do a quick yolo and then

13:03

i'm gonna get into one that i'm a little

13:05

bit more interested in all right so the

13:06

quick yolo we actually talked about this

13:08

one uh this morning in uh my live

13:11

streams

13:12

uh i uh a fur i'm sorry owlette is

13:15

getting destroyed with uh spack

13:17

redemptions and so a lot of shares are

13:20

being issued right now it's it's a

13:22

little it's a little kooky right now

13:24

owlette you you don't you probably won't

13:27

know what the heck outlet is unless you

13:28

have a child

13:30

outlet is basically a company that

13:31

manufactures and sells pregnancy

13:34

products the reviews for them are

13:36

absolutely amazing search trends going

13:39

up everything about owlette i love i

13:42

associate with it gives that parental

13:44

peace of mind think about it this way

13:46

okay if you have a little child a little

13:48

baby

13:49

that's just born okay literally newborn

13:51

couple weeks old uh everybody drills

13:54

into your mind that there's this thing

13:55

called sids sudden infant death syndrome

13:59

and so parents are like mentally

14:01

so paranoid because like babies and

14:03

children are absolutely precious like um

14:06

like i get tears in my eyes just

14:08

thinking about it okay

14:09

so you can

14:11

wrap their little baby feet with an

14:13

owlette smart sock and i know that

14:15

sounds insane like oh my gosh smart

14:17

shock it's actually really good it

14:19

measures and monitors the child's

14:21

like blood oxygen and heart rate and i

14:24

don't know what else it does lauren

14:26

handles all this stuff but anyway uh it

14:28

gives a parent a piece of mind and if

14:30

there's any kind of drop in vitals it

14:32

sends off like this siren in your room

14:34

because you have like the beacon in your

14:35

room and the sock on their feet so

14:37

you're probably just like radiating them

14:39

with a bunch of bluetooth but i guess at

14:40

least they're not dying from sids

14:43

okay that's bad sorry i shouldn't have

14:45

said that sorry owlette don't sue me

14:50

unsubstantiated opinion

14:52

total a joke

14:54

okay

14:55

now

14:55

their stock has just been dumped into

14:58

the toilet and uh personally i'm usually

15:02

very much a bottom feeder

15:04

this stock could fall more and so i only

15:07

put a 20 okay only i'm sorry i know it's

15:10

unrelatable i put a twenty thousand

15:12

dollar yolo in on this okay uh i put a

15:14

twenty thousand dollar yolo on this like

15:17

a minute before the stock market closed

15:19

like over here

15:20

uh and i put an option yolo on this for

15:23

september 17th it's a call option i

15:27

think i did the 7.50

15:30

for september 17th because the stock was

15:34

down a bunch today and that option was

15:36

in the toilet yeah that option was down

15:38

26 today

15:40

and uh owlette itself i don't know what

15:43

it was down it was like six or eight

15:44

percent or something like that i don't

15:46

really care i just saw a toilet and it

15:48

could continue to go in the toilet i'm

15:50

fully aware of that for me this is

15:52

literally there it was down 7.6 it was a

15:54

russian roulette like i'm feeling black

15:56

y'all okay so

15:58

uh if we do really well

16:01

please thank me if we don't

16:03

go to a different table

16:05

find a different stock

16:07

like in the casinos when you do well the

16:09

dealers are like you're gonna tip me

16:12

and when you suck they're just like

16:17

okay uh next one so uh this is one that

16:20

i probably i can't remember exactly what

16:22

i put in it was either it was like four

16:24

hundred thousand dollars maybe it was

16:25

closer to five hundred thousand dollars

16:27

somewhere between four hundred to five

16:28

hundred thousand dollars into

16:32

lemonade uh yes i put this money into

16:35

lemonade i put this money into lemonade

16:37

at an average cost of about

16:40

72 dollars

16:42

i already own a lot of lemonade

16:45

i like lemonade i do not think lemonade

16:47

is worth like i'm not gonna buy lemonade

16:49

over 75 to 80 dollars it's too much for

16:52

me it's not 76 right now so like 80s

16:54

usually my cut off when it runs into

16:56

like this 180 range this was after the

16:58

motley fool pump this was insane like

17:00

this right here is just pure momentum uh

17:03

but sometimes it runs up into that 115

17:05

120 range that's a good time to sell

17:07

covered calls or sell your call options

17:09

on it if you have i personally think

17:11

with this market going into this like

17:13

risk on movement i think there's a

17:15

potential for lemonade to have some

17:17

juice

17:18

uh and uh let's go and i'm just gonna do

17:20

trends real quick uh the reason i think

17:23

lemonade is also very interesting oh i

17:25

forgot earlier this week we also bought

17:28

an october call option on lemonade and

17:31

that thing printed two attendees like so

17:33

fast i bought like an 80 70 000 option

17:36

it was up like 25 000

17:39

with the very next day uh i i said in

17:41

our course member live stream i'm like

17:43

dump it just dump it don't be like me

17:45

and i remember saying that like you

17:46

could go back and look at this evidence

17:47

too i'm like don't be like me don't be

17:48

greedy dump it dump and dump it i was

17:50

greedy it ended up going to like twelve

17:52

thousand dollars up it was still twelve

17:54

thousand dollars i'm like okay okay okay

17:56

okay i'm gonna settle i'm gonna take my

17:57

attendees

17:58

uh but yeah sometimes like when you're

18:00

looking at like 45 day options like if

18:02

you get a big pump like dump them okay

18:05

don't be greedy on those it's fine you

18:07

know i made 11k on 70k in 24 hours like

18:11

i'm i'm not gonna be sad about that do i

18:13

look back and like i should have just

18:14

sold when i told everybody else to sell

18:16

duh but uh you know

18:19

lessons to learn

18:21

but anyway so why why lemonade okay

18:25

they put something up that's really

18:27

insane

18:28

look at this

18:29

car insurance coming now we knew that

18:32

car insurance was getting ready to come

18:34

but get this okay this is what's crazy

18:37

here and insurance is a lower margin

18:38

business but lemonade is a very very

18:41

smart company okay watch this so root

18:44

insurance they do car insurance

18:47

and their search trends over if you go

18:49

to the past five years their search

18:51

trends doing pretty well you've got a

18:53

nice uptrend here but it's not perfect

18:55

okay not perfect but if you type in

18:57

lemonade insurance right now they're

18:58

getting popular off pet insurance i kid

19:00

you not pet insurance and renters

19:02

insurance uh they are they're right here

19:05

just below route insurance they're

19:07

growing at a faster rate in the google

19:09

trends and they don't even have the car

19:11

insurance yet which is crazy uh what

19:14

they're really popular right now going

19:15

popular for the pet insurance it's a

19:17

lower margin lemonade insurance for me

19:19

is a very long play

19:21

i've done i see pet insurance breakout

19:23

homeowner's insurance breakout right uh

19:26

very long term play for me i like i look

19:28

at their website analytics too not just

19:29

the social trends i love it they're not

19:32

profitable yet they're expected to be

19:34

low margin profitable i'm really buying

19:36

this as more of a like a firm i could

19:39

buy a long run fundamental

19:41

uh

19:42

owlette russian roulette

19:44

that rhymes and uh and lemonade

19:47

insurance is

19:49

if it runs to like 150 180 i'm gonna

19:52

dump it or sell covered calls

19:55

if it trades sideways i don't really

19:57

care

19:58

i was happy with the call that i placed

20:00

i do not i don't think i own any calls

20:02

right now i might still own some calls

20:03

but if anything they would be leaps but

20:06

i got rid of my short term call so yeah

20:08

hey those are my three trades right now

20:11

uh one of them is a yolo one of them is

20:13

a long fondy and one of them's

20:16

you know if it runs i'mma dump it so

20:19

hopefully that is insightful to you and

20:21

you like this uh this means i've put

20:24

somewhere around

20:25

uh close to about a million dollars into

20:27

the market because if i add up the 20

20:30

the 70 we talked about and then the over

20:32

like the 493 and then the other that's

20:34

the lemonade that's about a male so i'm

20:36

just gonna go with a million

20:37

million dollars worth of place all right

20:39

and it's true

20:40

uh anyway if you want to see these plays

20:43

before i announce them publicly or you

20:44

want to hear more details or ask me

20:46

questions about my mentality your

20:48

thought process or whatever i'm not

20:50

always right i think i do very very well

20:52

though check out my programs linked down

20:54

below on anything from real estate

20:55

investing stock investing to making

20:58

youtube videos real estate agent sales

21:00

property management you name it this

21:01

course coupon code it does expire august

21:04

31st the price just goes up every time

21:06

you know sometimes people leave those

21:07

cynical comments like the coupon code is

21:09

always here yeah but every time the

21:11

price goes up so it's like 30 30 30 or

21:14

whatever it goes up

21:15

net goes up okay folks thank you so much

21:18

for being here we'll see you in the next

21:19

one bye

21:22

[Music]

21:30

you

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