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TRANSCRIPTEnglish

Rates "Priced In"??!?!?! Big Market Shift!

8m 26s1,462 words252 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

hey everyone me kevin here it is very

0:01

early a monday morning april 5th

0:03

and i just got a notification that

0:06

goldman sachs is officially declaring

0:10

that higher interest rates are being

0:12

priced in

0:13

and because of this or have been priced

0:15

in that's the big news that higher

0:16

interest rates

0:17

have been priced in and because of that

0:20

goldman is calling it quits on dollar

0:22

shorts because when you short the dollar

0:23

you want the dollar to go down

0:25

but if they're saying that rates are

0:26

priced in and more people are flooding

0:28

into the dollar the dollar

0:30

strengthens and the price goes up so

0:31

it's kind of like okay we're done

0:33

shorting something

0:34

that's going up because that's a money

0:35

losing bet but the

0:37

rationale they're given they're giving

0:39

for that is we don't think rates are

0:41

going to rise anymore which

0:43

could potentially mean that people wait

0:45

before buying bonds

0:46

big long and short of that story is that

0:49

headline

0:50

from goldman saying essentially that

0:53

goldman

0:54

believes that higher interest rates are

0:56

priced in

0:57

is a big deal this is a very big deal

0:59

and we're gonna go ahead and look at

1:00

pre-market futures here right now

1:02

but uh yeah here it is daybreak fed rate

1:05

hike priced in

1:07

goldman closes dollar shorts

1:10

this is a very very very good uh we've

1:13

got uh

1:14

well let's see here just make sure we've

1:15

got us equity futures gain

1:18

i do want to jump into u.s stock futures

1:21

rise

1:22

treasury's calm so far this is very very

1:25

very good

1:26

start to the week this is a very good

1:28

start to april we do have fed minutes

1:30

coming out this week

1:31

we do have manufacturing and some trade

1:35

data coming in

1:36

this week as well but let's go ahead and

1:38

jump on over to the

1:40

futures or pre-market hours yeah just so

1:43

you know at uh 10 a.m eastern time so

1:45

about four hours from the time of

1:46

recording this we've got durable good

1:48

orders

1:49

uh that'll be reported and we had an

1:51

unexpected

1:53

fall in february and then at the same

1:56

time we'll also have the monthly

1:57

manufacturer's

1:59

shipments and inventories and orders

2:02

data that's been going up nine months in

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a row so we're expecting good news on

2:06

that nine months in a row

2:07

on durable good orders that's heavily

2:09

weighted by cars

2:11

or can be when there's a big decline in

2:13

car orders

2:14

that that might continue to sink but if

2:17

we get positive data there

2:19

and positive data on monthly

2:20

manufacturers shipments inventories and

2:23

orders

2:24

it could be another uh double whammy of

2:26

good news on top of already good news

2:28

here from

2:30

goldman and on the com treasuries

2:33

front now in addition to that right now

2:35

we've got tesla soaring tesla's up about

2:38

7.3 percent

2:39

on beating expectations for

2:42

uh obviously deliveries deliveries for

2:45

q1 which is a slow quarter short quarter

2:48

came in a way higher than expected at

2:50

700 i'm sorry i had

2:52

184 000 vehicles which was absolutely

2:55

incredible

2:56

uh wall street estimated 174 000

2:59

vehicles

3:00

tesla's numbers tend to be conservative

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on top of that

3:04

so very very good beat by tesla since

3:06

huge signals that tesla is

3:08

on the path to a very strong

3:11

uh well exponential growth curve and

3:13

well as you all know there's a reason

3:15

i'm 50

3:16

in on this stock as in like basically

3:19

almost all

3:19

in uh anywho uh i want to go ahead and

3:22

jump on over to what else is happening

3:23

in the pre-market here so let's go ahead

3:25

and pull that up

3:25

uh while i pull that up i just want to

3:27

mention that for those of you who are

3:28

interested

3:29

in joining me in my private live streams

3:32

learning about my insights how i do

3:34

fundamental analysis how i pick my

3:36

options we've got new options lectures

3:37

coming up

3:38

check out the amazing programs link down

3:40

below you won't regret it

3:41

you invest one time you get lifetime

3:43

access to the content in these programs

3:45

folks

3:45

take a look down below you will not

3:47

regret it i am up at 3am

3:50

because i live and breathe this stuff

3:52

you can see it on my computer at the top

3:54

right here

3:55

it's 3am anyway look at this folks

3:58

clover clover got a beat

4:00

down by jim cramer uh last uh

4:03

at the end of last week people calling

4:04

in and going yo what do you think about

4:06

clover

4:06

jim cramer no like clover well clover

4:09

going up seven percent jim

4:10

look at this w-shaped recovery though

4:12

that we've got on tesla here remember we

4:14

drew this w

4:15

we had the w side here up down and we

4:18

drew this w

4:20

look at that respect on that w line

4:24

and i didn't redraw that w anyway you

4:26

can fact check me by going to my twitter

4:28

that is the same line and look at those

4:30

touches

4:31

perfect touch perfect touch uh almost

4:34

almost perfect uh over here but these

4:36

two are

4:37

eerily perfect uh folks

4:40

uh buckle up lauren lauren's gonna be

4:43

looking to write offers on a new house

4:45

if tesla taps 750

4:47

by the end of april uh we made that deal

4:49

when tesla was like 6

4:50

30. so we're doing good on that path

4:53

right now

4:54

knock on wood obviously great news for

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tesla

4:57

chris crisper therapeutics up five

4:59

percent pace

5:00

four and a half percent blank four

5:02

percent roblox finally back over 70

5:05

for roblox let's go come on now finally

5:08

look at the evs coming up as well

5:10

akimoto neo xping canoe all three

5:14

uh almost four percent up nga finally

5:17

heading back

5:18

to 20. we've got tattooed chef almost at

5:21

20

5:22

and phase going back to 170. churchill

5:25

lagging the other ev recovery here uh

5:28

sitting at

5:29

24 a 40 in the pre-market beyond me

5:32

zillow a peloton up again uh we've got

5:36

zom is up a rocket is uh uh there was

5:39

talk

5:40

in bloomberg this weekend that there

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might be a rotation away from sort of

5:44

um excuse me it's too late

5:48

uh there might be a rotation away i'm

5:50

choking myself

5:51

might be a rotation away from momentum

5:53

stocks or uh

5:54

you know some some of the favorite

5:56

stocks but right now we're not seeing

5:57

that

5:58

oh wait no okay hold on zom is actually

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included in one of the momentum stocks

6:03

per bloomberg but take a look at this

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after this bloomberg article right here

6:07

in pre-market we've got gamestop down

6:08

8.7 percent

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amc is down 2.7 and this is pretty early

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in the pre-market here

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uh so we don't have reporting yet from

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all stocks

6:18

uh in terms of what kind of pre-market

6:19

action we're seeing etsy

6:21

pretty flat pen national gaming half

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percent

6:24

very very green though we are setting up

6:26

for an amazing start

6:28

to april here and i know that

6:29

technically april already started last

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week but

6:32

let's be real the first full week of

6:34

april here uh sundial is actually up

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almost a percent here which is very good

6:38

virgin galactic back over 31.

6:41

uh vuzek says that up one percent donkey

6:44

side phenomenal company

6:46

uh gosh i've been docusign customer for

6:48

like 12 years pinterest up 1.2

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this is this is looking very good i have

6:54

to say i i think

6:55

the broad message here is that the the

6:58

overall market

7:00

is really receptive to the idea of

7:03

okay maybe interest rates are priced in

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now

7:06

maybe we've done our damage maybe it's

7:08

time to

7:10

go back to normal but folks uh 10

7:13

down on gamestop and this appears to

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potentially be accelerating so

7:18

might not be a good morning for gamestop

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at least based on

7:21

this start here but it is a good day

7:24

or a good start for the rest of the

7:28

market almost everything else is green

7:29

and again we don't have data on

7:30

everything yet but a very good start

7:32

could be because that goldman call could

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be because of uh

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more you know positive data coming out

7:38

we've had a lot of negativity over the

7:40

last six weeks

7:41

and folks what did we say when we went

7:43

into the six week cycle

7:44

i said folks usually these cycles last

7:47

six weeks

7:48

knock on wood that they do when we went

7:50

through the first cycle i said look

7:52

we're technically only three weeks into

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this

7:55

maybe it'll end early but it could keep

7:57

going

7:59

obviously we saw a continued push

8:01

hopefully this is the end now though

8:03

uh so good news thank you so much for

8:05

watching this hourly video

8:07

folks check out the programs down below

8:09

you are not going to regret it

8:10

thank you so much for watching folks

8:11

we'll see you next

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