What Trump JUST Said (Tariffs and Executive Orders)
FULL TRANSCRIPT
So, Donald Trump just broke down in a
Q&A session where his head is in regards
to tariffs when it comes to other
countries, including China. We didn't
hear what was reported by the Financial
Times, which is that Trump is expected
to exempt car parts from China from
fentanyl tariffs, which means car parts
would be exempt from some tariffs, but
not all of them. Trump might exempt
steel and aluminum from tariffs, as well
as some other car makers like GM could
benefit from some other exemptions. We
didn't actually hear anything about
that, but we did hear a lot around
Donald Trump's mentality when it comes
to tariffs and then of course the
education executive orders, which I'll
go through all of that in a moment. So
Donald Trump of course as usual talks
about China ripping us off. This is very
typical. And then when he's asked about,
well, are we talking to China? Donald
Trump says of course we talk every
single day. But I kind of think what
he's being asked from reporters is, "Do
you talk to China about tariff
negotiations every day?" But
unfortunately, the reporters don't think
to ask that. So I think when Trump says,
"Yeah, of course we talk to China every
day." Every country is talking to pretty
much every country every single day. We
have embassies in the other countries.
So yeah, you could without lying say we
talk to China every single day, but that
doesn't necessarily mean we're talking
about tariffs every single day. Now,
Donald Trump uh and Lutnik say, "We've
spoken to 90 countries so far. They all
want to make deals," says Trump. He
says, "You know, we were losing three to
five billion dollars a day." Kind of
implying that we're making that now, but
remember the Customs and Border
Protection report that we got about a
week ago indicated that in about a
12-day span, we only really received
about $500 million in collections. And
obviously, the economy is likely to have
lost substantially more than that. We'll
see. I mean, we've seen the turmoil of
markets. Uh but Donald Trump gives us a
little bit of a road map for if we don't
end up making deals with countries, he's
just going to assign deals. Now, I
thought this was really interesting
because it's not something that we've
really heard before. So he says over the
next two to three weeks, if we don't
make a deal with a certain country, we
will just assign a tariff rate and then
they can decide whether or not to do
business with us. This is of course
where Donald Trump kind of goes down the
rabbit hole again of like, you know, we
used to be an all tariff nation and we
gave away the Panama Canal. And I mean,
you should know obviously when we used
to be an, you know, an all tariff
nation, we had a 40x smaller military.
We had no social security, no Medicare,
no federal funding for education or
roads or hospitals. Uh when we gave away
the Panama Canal, it was actually a
treaty that the country of Panama would
take over the defense for it. So we
didn't have to spend our military money
defending the Panama Canal, you know.
So, like obviously context is useful,
but we don't have to go down all that
rabbit hole. What is more interesting is
talking about the new stuff. And Donald
Trump seems very convinced in in in in
sort of like wanting tariffs. I actually
after today's meeting, I don't know that
tariffs are ever going to go away in
full under the Trump administration.
Now, I am confident that in 2029 under a
new
administration, all the tariffs are
going to go away. Like, it's going to be
the first thing that gets torn up. But
Donald Trump literally ended his press
conference. And there's a lot to talk
about here, what they what they talked
about. So, I'm kind of jumping around a
little bit just to keep a logical flow
here. But what Donald Trump ended with
is this idea of, you know, if we charge
25% of tariffs, we have a certain amount
of factories that come here. But if we
charge 50, we get more factories. If we
charge 75, we get more factories. If we
charge 100%, we get more factories. He
really actually seems convinced that by
having tariff destroying taxes or you
know, sorry, economy destroying tariffs
uh you know on our trading partners
which are integrating our trading
partners amongst each other and against
us. He really believes that companies
are going to want to build in America.
And while some people will say they're
going to build in America and look in
fairness, you know, NFACE for example,
NFA solar, they have contract
manufacturers that manufacture in
America. But there's a reason for that,
and I'll tell you that reason in a
moment. But he really believes that
tariffs are the reason why we'll
manufacture in America. And that
companies are willing to make that
investment even though we're probably
just going to return right back to free
trade either when Donald Trump
flip-flops or when a new administration
comes in, which means it doesn't really
make sense to invest in American
manufacturing, right? But then you have
to think like, okay, but wait a minute,
Kevin, you just said NPhase makes micro
inverters in the United States. Yes.
First of all, Nphase does not
manufacture. They hire companies. In
fact, during the live stream uh that I
was doing, the power has finally come
back on, but I actually didn't have any
power. Uh and I was running off my uh
solar panels with Nphase micro inverters
and the battery. Not an ad. I wish it
was, but it's not an ad. Uh and uh it
was kind of cool, but you know what? I'm
a big fan of it. But one of the reasons
Nphase manufacturers now in the United
States when they used to manufacture in
Romania was actually because of the
inflation reduction act which don't get
me wrong the inflation reduction act was
definitely something that causes
inflation okay it's nonsense like over
time maybe in a decade it lower
inflation but when you stimulate the way
the Biden administration was you
definitely contribute to inflation okay
in the near term you cause inflation
it's it's an economic fact so uh Nphase
moved their microinverter manufacturing
from Romania to the United states
through contract manufacturing because
the inflation reduction act was paying
them like 20 or 30% credit for every
micro inverter they manufactured. They
sell a micro inverter for 90 bucks they
or or even 180 bucks depending on the
size or whatever. You know they were
getting like $30 credits towards some of
these micro inverters through the
inflation reduction act. So it was
actually if you want manufacturing in
America you have to stimulate in
addition to maybe tariffs, right? But
just punishing is is a hard move to do.
You usually have to stimulate to offset.
That's why Taiwan Semi is manufacturing
through the chips act in Phoenix. Now,
Donald Trump takes credit for it, but
and and trust me, I'm not trying to give
credit to Biden because we know Biden
wasn't really in the country, but it was
the stimulus of the chips act free
money, the free $4.6 billion that got
TSMC here. So, I'm not convinced that
the threat of tariffs will actually
bring manufacturing here, especially
since tariffs are not likely to be
permanent. But I'm concerned because I
hear Donald Trump like in his
conversations very clearly like, "Well,
the more we have tariffs, the more we're
going to have manufacturing here." And I
think it's delusional. Okay, that's my
opinion. So, I'm trying to I I just want
you to have that perspective. You might
have a different opinion, right? So,
some other things that we heard uh
during the press conference, Germany's
Bundespunk said that Germany might
suffer a quote slight recession this
year. Mind you, every economist always
says it's going to be a slight recession
and that ends up being really bad.
Uh, look at any recession and the
history of any recession that's ever
happened. It always starts as a slight
recession. It's crazy. Donald Trump was
asked about the millionaire tax and he
kind of shuts it down. He's like, "Well,
if we tax millionaires, they might
leave. You know, people used to leave
states, now they leave countries." Okay.
I mean, it's probably a good point. Uh,
he's kind of making the reference to
high taxes in California and
millionaires leave some of them to
leave, right? Anyway, uh then you get uh
Donald Trump was asked about JD Vance
potentially announcing a monster trade
deal with with India. This was really
interesting because the first thing that
Trump says is you know India charges us
more than any other country and you know
we do very little business with India
anyway. Oh okay. So, I guess the monster
trade deal maybe doesn't matter that
much. I I thought that was interesting
because it like that was an opportunity
I feel like for him to kind of like talk
up the trade negotiations that they were
having with India. Uh and then he
actually kind of talked down those
negotiations that uh JD Vance is
potentially involved. Who who knows at
this point, right? Uh it it'd be nice to
actually have an announced trade deal
because I do think once we get one of
the first trade deals, it'll start
laying the framework for future trade
deals. And this is good. And I think
after this meeting, there's a reason why
we started seeing uh futures come down a
little bit just because it just wasn't
as you know deal announcing as people
hoped. Now there was a lot of talk about
education executive orders and we'll
talk about that in just a moment. But we
do also have to talk about tariffs with
Canada and Mexico which came up. Uh that
said, I want to show you something
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people really seem to like that so far.
It's still in a beta though, so we're
open to your feedback. Anyway, back to
tariffs here. This talk about 25%
tariffs on cars on Canada. Donald Trump
suggested that at some point that could
go up, which is weird because now he did
say it's not being considered at the
moment, but he he triples down on this
idea of like, you know, we really we
really don't want Canada to make cars
for us. Okay, we make great cars. Mexico
took a lot of our car business, too. We
don't like it. We don't want their cars.
We want our own cars. We can make our
own cars. Our cars are great. We don't
need them. Little does, you know, he
seemed to recall that like the whole
point of the USMCA was to integrate uh
manufacturing between Mexico, the United
States, and Canada. Uh you know, these
these really complicated supply chains
were really built between the three
countries here, thinking that we would
have free trade. So, a little
complicated here. This comes, by the
way, at the same time as there's now
Amazon and Walmart seller hoarding of
goods, mostly thirdparty seller goods,
which you know, third party sellers make
up like 60% of sales on Amazon. A lot of
them are shipping stuff in from China to
Canada and they're just waiting for the
tariffs to go away. But it doesn't
actually sound like there's any kind of
real progress on Chinese negotiations.
Uh you know, Flexport argued last week
they saw 50% increase in imports to
China or sorry to Canada from China, you
know, because people were warehousing it
up in Canada waiting to bring it in
here. But you know, USMCA tracks country
of origin. So you can't really bypass as
easily as you might think. And keep in
mind, you know, we lost a lot of our
manufacturing progress, you know, not
just in the 70s through Nixon's price
controls, but also through Reaganism and
and kind of in part the failure of
unions to work with businesses. It could
have been the failure of business
leaders, too. But, you know, unions are
pushing for higher wages, which of
course could make America less
competitive. And then it's really on
business owners to have a productivity
roadmap with the unions to keep America
competitive and these businesses
competitive. But that didn't happen. And
this is how Japan really took over autos
in the 80s. Uh and and how unions and
business owners today are just making
American manufacturing less competitive.
It's how we've lost our trade skills to
some extent. Uh you know, and and now we
look at the UAW and they're doubling
down on Yeah, Trump, you're doing great
with protectionist tariffs. That helps
union members today, but it actually
hurts them long term. you know, what we
really should be looking at is how can
we work together with stimulating trade
school uh and and new trade education,
providing incentives for that uh and and
and then we can grow our manufacturing
here. Now, speaking of education, Donald
Trump did sign an executive order today.
Honestly, I don't think he knew what any
of the executive orders were because he
he gets a summary on them and then he
just signs them. And one of the points
where we realized he doesn't know what
any of these executive orders are, I
mean, maybe that's just how he does
business. He trusts his team. he picks
his team. So maybe that's just the way
it is. But there was one executive order
that came across where, you know, the uh
the the staff are saying, "Hey, we're
we're going to focus on uh university
acredation forcing uh outcomes at at
schools. Basically like in other words,
you would you are only going to be
eligible for acredation if your students
are actually succeeding." This is great,
by the way. I'm a big fan of that. like,
you know, we should be evaluating
schools for acredation based on the
success of the students. That's a good
thing. But then Donald Trump gets into
talking about how high schools aren't
teaching math and people are getting
into college without math and like, hey,
is this executive order going to solve
that? And they're like, well, it's going
to, you know, require some merit
evaluation for accreditation for
schools. And Trump's like, "Oh, okay.
So, this covers this, right?" And
they're like, "It's going to do great
things." And he's like, "All right." And
then signs it. It's kind of like, "All
right, you didn't read any of these
executive orders. Fine, whatever." like
he picked his team, right? But let's be
real, he didn't read any of these
executive orders. So, it's just it
wasn't a very wise display in my
opinion. But they're requiring, which
has always been required, but they're
recclarifying that foreign donations to
colleges like university like like
Harvard University have to be disclosed.
Uh they're opening it up uh opening up
and easing how challenging it is to get
to become an accredititor for a
university. So, in other words, there
could be more competition for university
accredititors. Uh, and this is called
Trump's secret weapon. So, that way, uh,
you know, university accrediting
agencies or companies or whatever could,
uh, you know, potentially, I don't know,
have different standards than other
accredititors mostly because some
accreditation companies have been
forcing DEI on schools and that's one of
the ways that Trump wants to sort of
dilute those companies that are trying
to force DEI. So, there's an executive
order for that. an executive order on
historically black colleges. Uh we've
got an executive order on workforce
development and apprenticeships. Some we
were just talking about. Lutnik, of
course, slides in here and is like,
"This is going to help us get jobs in
with all your wonderful and great tariff
policy, Mr. Trump." It's like, "All
right, okay, Mr. Slutnik, just tell
Trump what he wants to hear." But it's
not realistic, but it's okay. Uh and uh
and and then we get a little bit more
on, hey, China's ripping us off and the
tariffs are going to solve everything.
All right. So, that's really on tariffs
and education. We got a little bit on
Putin. Uh Donald Trump's like, "Look, I
don't care on the side here. You know, I
just want them to make a deal." I
covered Ukraine a lot more this morning
on what's being required of Ukraine and
how Zilinski is pushing back and Trump
is pissed off that Zalinski is pushing
back. We didn't really hear anything new
here other than that Trump wants to meet
Putin at some point, but not soon. So,
it doesn't look like he's going to end
up meeting Putin in Saudi Arabia uh at
uh as as some were expecting that he
might. So, uh a lot of color there today
on this. Also, if you were looking at
the uh Beige book at all, the Beige book
that came out from the Fed, honestly, I
like I read it. I was am I going to make
a video on this? No. There's it as
generic as you could expect. Basically,
like, hey, uncertainty's up. Consumer
spending still seems to be good. I guess
we'll wait and see. That's kind of the
situation with the Fed. Uh Donald Trump
did also chime in on the Fed suggesting
oh well you know JPOW should cut rates
uh but uh but then again remember you
know the real impacts of this inflation
are yet to be seen. So uh yeah that's
that. Uh so with that go check out the
Meet Kevin app on the Meet Kevin app
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househack.com. Appreciate y'all being
here and uh yeah, that's all we got. So
we'll see what happens tomorrow with
markets and we'll keep tracking all this
uh tariff news. Uh feel free to watch me
update the news in the Meet Kevin app as
well. I think that can be a nice way to
sort of send uh little news updates to
you as well. And you can customize the
notifications the way you want them. And
if you're Android, stay tuned. That's
coming. It's totally free, too. All
right, folks. We'll see you soon. Bye.
Why not advertise these things that you
told us here? I feel like nobody else
knows about this. We'll we'll try a
little advertising and see how it goes.
Congratulations, man. You have done so
much. People love you. People look up to
you. Kevin Praath there, financial
analyst and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always
great to get your take.
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