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What Trump JUST Said (Tariffs and Executive Orders)

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FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

So, Donald Trump just broke down in a

0:02

Q&A session where his head is in regards

0:05

to tariffs when it comes to other

0:06

countries, including China. We didn't

0:09

hear what was reported by the Financial

0:12

Times, which is that Trump is expected

0:14

to exempt car parts from China from

0:16

fentanyl tariffs, which means car parts

0:18

would be exempt from some tariffs, but

0:20

not all of them. Trump might exempt

0:22

steel and aluminum from tariffs, as well

0:24

as some other car makers like GM could

0:26

benefit from some other exemptions. We

0:28

didn't actually hear anything about

0:29

that, but we did hear a lot around

0:32

Donald Trump's mentality when it comes

0:34

to tariffs and then of course the

0:36

education executive orders, which I'll

0:38

go through all of that in a moment. So

0:39

Donald Trump of course as usual talks

0:41

about China ripping us off. This is very

0:43

typical. And then when he's asked about,

0:45

well, are we talking to China? Donald

0:47

Trump says of course we talk every

0:48

single day. But I kind of think what

0:52

he's being asked from reporters is, "Do

0:54

you talk to China about tariff

0:56

negotiations every day?" But

0:58

unfortunately, the reporters don't think

0:59

to ask that. So I think when Trump says,

1:02

"Yeah, of course we talk to China every

1:03

day." Every country is talking to pretty

1:06

much every country every single day. We

1:09

have embassies in the other countries.

1:10

So yeah, you could without lying say we

1:13

talk to China every single day, but that

1:15

doesn't necessarily mean we're talking

1:16

about tariffs every single day. Now,

1:18

Donald Trump uh and Lutnik say, "We've

1:20

spoken to 90 countries so far. They all

1:22

want to make deals," says Trump. He

1:24

says, "You know, we were losing three to

1:26

five billion dollars a day." Kind of

1:27

implying that we're making that now, but

1:29

remember the Customs and Border

1:31

Protection report that we got about a

1:32

week ago indicated that in about a

1:34

12-day span, we only really received

1:36

about $500 million in collections. And

1:39

obviously, the economy is likely to have

1:41

lost substantially more than that. We'll

1:43

see. I mean, we've seen the turmoil of

1:44

markets. Uh but Donald Trump gives us a

1:47

little bit of a road map for if we don't

1:48

end up making deals with countries, he's

1:51

just going to assign deals. Now, I

1:54

thought this was really interesting

1:55

because it's not something that we've

1:56

really heard before. So he says over the

1:59

next two to three weeks, if we don't

2:01

make a deal with a certain country, we

2:04

will just assign a tariff rate and then

2:06

they can decide whether or not to do

2:08

business with us. This is of course

2:09

where Donald Trump kind of goes down the

2:11

rabbit hole again of like, you know, we

2:12

used to be an all tariff nation and we

2:14

gave away the Panama Canal. And I mean,

2:16

you should know obviously when we used

2:18

to be an, you know, an all tariff

2:19

nation, we had a 40x smaller military.

2:22

We had no social security, no Medicare,

2:24

no federal funding for education or

2:25

roads or hospitals. Uh when we gave away

2:28

the Panama Canal, it was actually a

2:29

treaty that the country of Panama would

2:31

take over the defense for it. So we

2:33

didn't have to spend our military money

2:34

defending the Panama Canal, you know.

2:37

So, like obviously context is useful,

2:40

but we don't have to go down all that

2:41

rabbit hole. What is more interesting is

2:43

talking about the new stuff. And Donald

2:45

Trump seems very convinced in in in in

2:50

sort of like wanting tariffs. I actually

2:53

after today's meeting, I don't know that

2:55

tariffs are ever going to go away in

2:57

full under the Trump administration.

3:00

Now, I am confident that in 2029 under a

3:03

new

3:04

administration, all the tariffs are

3:06

going to go away. Like, it's going to be

3:07

the first thing that gets torn up. But

3:09

Donald Trump literally ended his press

3:11

conference. And there's a lot to talk

3:12

about here, what they what they talked

3:13

about. So, I'm kind of jumping around a

3:14

little bit just to keep a logical flow

3:16

here. But what Donald Trump ended with

3:20

is this idea of, you know, if we charge

3:23

25% of tariffs, we have a certain amount

3:25

of factories that come here. But if we

3:27

charge 50, we get more factories. If we

3:29

charge 75, we get more factories. If we

3:31

charge 100%, we get more factories. He

3:33

really actually seems convinced that by

3:37

having tariff destroying taxes or you

3:40

know, sorry, economy destroying tariffs

3:43

uh you know on our trading partners

3:46

which are integrating our trading

3:47

partners amongst each other and against

3:49

us. He really believes that companies

3:52

are going to want to build in America.

3:54

And while some people will say they're

3:55

going to build in America and look in

3:57

fairness, you know, NFACE for example,

3:59

NFA solar, they have contract

4:00

manufacturers that manufacture in

4:02

America. But there's a reason for that,

4:04

and I'll tell you that reason in a

4:05

moment. But he really believes that

4:06

tariffs are the reason why we'll

4:08

manufacture in America. And that

4:10

companies are willing to make that

4:11

investment even though we're probably

4:12

just going to return right back to free

4:14

trade either when Donald Trump

4:15

flip-flops or when a new administration

4:17

comes in, which means it doesn't really

4:19

make sense to invest in American

4:20

manufacturing, right? But then you have

4:22

to think like, okay, but wait a minute,

4:23

Kevin, you just said NPhase makes micro

4:25

inverters in the United States. Yes.

4:27

First of all, Nphase does not

4:29

manufacture. They hire companies. In

4:31

fact, during the live stream uh that I

4:33

was doing, the power has finally come

4:34

back on, but I actually didn't have any

4:36

power. Uh and I was running off my uh

4:38

solar panels with Nphase micro inverters

4:40

and the battery. Not an ad. I wish it

4:43

was, but it's not an ad. Uh and uh it

4:48

was kind of cool, but you know what? I'm

4:49

a big fan of it. But one of the reasons

4:51

Nphase manufacturers now in the United

4:53

States when they used to manufacture in

4:55

Romania was actually because of the

4:57

inflation reduction act which don't get

4:59

me wrong the inflation reduction act was

5:00

definitely something that causes

5:01

inflation okay it's nonsense like over

5:04

time maybe in a decade it lower

5:05

inflation but when you stimulate the way

5:08

the Biden administration was you

5:09

definitely contribute to inflation okay

5:10

in the near term you cause inflation

5:12

it's it's an economic fact so uh Nphase

5:16

moved their microinverter manufacturing

5:17

from Romania to the United states

5:20

through contract manufacturing because

5:21

the inflation reduction act was paying

5:23

them like 20 or 30% credit for every

5:26

micro inverter they manufactured. They

5:28

sell a micro inverter for 90 bucks they

5:30

or or even 180 bucks depending on the

5:32

size or whatever. You know they were

5:33

getting like $30 credits towards some of

5:35

these micro inverters through the

5:36

inflation reduction act. So it was

5:38

actually if you want manufacturing in

5:40

America you have to stimulate in

5:42

addition to maybe tariffs, right? But

5:44

just punishing is is a hard move to do.

5:46

You usually have to stimulate to offset.

5:49

That's why Taiwan Semi is manufacturing

5:51

through the chips act in Phoenix. Now,

5:54

Donald Trump takes credit for it, but

5:56

and and trust me, I'm not trying to give

5:57

credit to Biden because we know Biden

5:58

wasn't really in the country, but it was

6:00

the stimulus of the chips act free

6:03

money, the free $4.6 billion that got

6:05

TSMC here. So, I'm not convinced that

6:09

the threat of tariffs will actually

6:10

bring manufacturing here, especially

6:12

since tariffs are not likely to be

6:13

permanent. But I'm concerned because I

6:16

hear Donald Trump like in his

6:17

conversations very clearly like, "Well,

6:20

the more we have tariffs, the more we're

6:22

going to have manufacturing here." And I

6:24

think it's delusional. Okay, that's my

6:27

opinion. So, I'm trying to I I just want

6:28

you to have that perspective. You might

6:30

have a different opinion, right? So,

6:31

some other things that we heard uh

6:33

during the press conference, Germany's

6:34

Bundespunk said that Germany might

6:36

suffer a quote slight recession this

6:38

year. Mind you, every economist always

6:40

says it's going to be a slight recession

6:42

and that ends up being really bad.

6:44

Uh, look at any recession and the

6:46

history of any recession that's ever

6:47

happened. It always starts as a slight

6:49

recession. It's crazy. Donald Trump was

6:51

asked about the millionaire tax and he

6:53

kind of shuts it down. He's like, "Well,

6:54

if we tax millionaires, they might

6:56

leave. You know, people used to leave

6:57

states, now they leave countries." Okay.

6:59

I mean, it's probably a good point. Uh,

7:01

he's kind of making the reference to

7:02

high taxes in California and

7:04

millionaires leave some of them to

7:05

leave, right? Anyway, uh then you get uh

7:09

Donald Trump was asked about JD Vance

7:11

potentially announcing a monster trade

7:12

deal with with India. This was really

7:15

interesting because the first thing that

7:16

Trump says is you know India charges us

7:21

more than any other country and you know

7:22

we do very little business with India

7:24

anyway. Oh okay. So, I guess the monster

7:27

trade deal maybe doesn't matter that

7:29

much. I I thought that was interesting

7:31

because it like that was an opportunity

7:32

I feel like for him to kind of like talk

7:34

up the trade negotiations that they were

7:36

having with India. Uh and then he

7:38

actually kind of talked down those

7:39

negotiations that uh JD Vance is

7:42

potentially involved. Who who knows at

7:44

this point, right? Uh it it'd be nice to

7:47

actually have an announced trade deal

7:50

because I do think once we get one of

7:52

the first trade deals, it'll start

7:54

laying the framework for future trade

7:57

deals. And this is good. And I think

7:59

after this meeting, there's a reason why

8:00

we started seeing uh futures come down a

8:03

little bit just because it just wasn't

8:06

as you know deal announcing as people

8:09

hoped. Now there was a lot of talk about

8:10

education executive orders and we'll

8:12

talk about that in just a moment. But we

8:13

do also have to talk about tariffs with

8:15

Canada and Mexico which came up. Uh that

8:17

said, I want to show you something

8:18

really quick. It's cool and it's totally

8:20

free and we created it. Uh check this

8:22

out. It's the Meet Kevin app. Uh we're

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pending approval in the Android app

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store and we are in the Apple App Store.

8:30

But uh what we did is we actually built

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in a to-do list the way I like to-do

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lists. So, for example, if I want to go

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in here and dep prioritize my coffee

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because I'm still live, I can actually

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just swipe and depprioritize, and that

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goes to the bottom of my checklist,

8:46

which is kind of cool. Uh, and see if I

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want to like categorize things, I can

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8:51

categories if I want. Uh, for example,

8:53

here's a task I got to do. Pitch free

8:55

meet Kevin app. Hey, that's what we're

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8:58

that task, which I kind of think is

9:00

pretty cool. So, um, you could use that

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for free. that's in the uh meet Kevin

9:05

app as well. Uh you can decide what kind

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of notifications you want, whether you

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want video notifications or or what

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color theme you want, which is nice. Or

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you can kind of get some of the summary

9:15

news that I do. So, it's kind of cool.

9:17

It's in the Apple App Store. It's

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totally free. Go check it out. Uh there

9:20

are some things that are course member

9:22

only, like the alpha report, uh which

9:25

you know this morning, for example,

9:26

where I said, "Hey, you know, I think

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today's going to be a fade day." And

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sure enough, it was. It's kind of cool.

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So, we're building that into the app

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just to make it a little easier and uh

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nicer user experience for for folks. So,

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people really seem to like that so far.

9:38

It's still in a beta though, so we're

9:39

open to your feedback. Anyway, back to

9:41

tariffs here. This talk about 25%

9:44

tariffs on cars on Canada. Donald Trump

9:47

suggested that at some point that could

9:49

go up, which is weird because now he did

9:52

say it's not being considered at the

9:53

moment, but he he triples down on this

9:56

idea of like, you know, we really we

9:58

really don't want Canada to make cars

10:00

for us. Okay, we make great cars. Mexico

10:03

took a lot of our car business, too. We

10:05

don't like it. We don't want their cars.

10:07

We want our own cars. We can make our

10:08

own cars. Our cars are great. We don't

10:10

need them. Little does, you know, he

10:12

seemed to recall that like the whole

10:14

point of the USMCA was to integrate uh

10:17

manufacturing between Mexico, the United

10:19

States, and Canada. Uh you know, these

10:21

these really complicated supply chains

10:23

were really built between the three

10:25

countries here, thinking that we would

10:26

have free trade. So, a little

10:28

complicated here. This comes, by the

10:29

way, at the same time as there's now

10:31

Amazon and Walmart seller hoarding of

10:33

goods, mostly thirdparty seller goods,

10:35

which you know, third party sellers make

10:37

up like 60% of sales on Amazon. A lot of

10:39

them are shipping stuff in from China to

10:41

Canada and they're just waiting for the

10:43

tariffs to go away. But it doesn't

10:44

actually sound like there's any kind of

10:46

real progress on Chinese negotiations.

10:49

Uh you know, Flexport argued last week

10:51

they saw 50% increase in imports to

10:54

China or sorry to Canada from China, you

10:56

know, because people were warehousing it

10:57

up in Canada waiting to bring it in

10:59

here. But you know, USMCA tracks country

11:01

of origin. So you can't really bypass as

11:04

easily as you might think. And keep in

11:06

mind, you know, we lost a lot of our

11:08

manufacturing progress, you know, not

11:10

just in the 70s through Nixon's price

11:12

controls, but also through Reaganism and

11:14

and kind of in part the failure of

11:17

unions to work with businesses. It could

11:19

have been the failure of business

11:20

leaders, too. But, you know, unions are

11:22

pushing for higher wages, which of

11:24

course could make America less

11:26

competitive. And then it's really on

11:28

business owners to have a productivity

11:29

roadmap with the unions to keep America

11:32

competitive and these businesses

11:33

competitive. But that didn't happen. And

11:35

this is how Japan really took over autos

11:37

in the 80s. Uh and and how unions and

11:41

business owners today are just making

11:42

American manufacturing less competitive.

11:44

It's how we've lost our trade skills to

11:46

some extent. Uh you know, and and now we

11:49

look at the UAW and they're doubling

11:51

down on Yeah, Trump, you're doing great

11:53

with protectionist tariffs. That helps

11:55

union members today, but it actually

11:57

hurts them long term. you know, what we

11:59

really should be looking at is how can

12:00

we work together with stimulating trade

12:03

school uh and and new trade education,

12:06

providing incentives for that uh and and

12:09

and then we can grow our manufacturing

12:11

here. Now, speaking of education, Donald

12:13

Trump did sign an executive order today.

12:15

Honestly, I don't think he knew what any

12:16

of the executive orders were because he

12:18

he gets a summary on them and then he

12:21

just signs them. And one of the points

12:22

where we realized he doesn't know what

12:24

any of these executive orders are, I

12:25

mean, maybe that's just how he does

12:26

business. He trusts his team. he picks

12:28

his team. So maybe that's just the way

12:29

it is. But there was one executive order

12:32

that came across where, you know, the uh

12:35

the the staff are saying, "Hey, we're

12:37

we're going to focus on uh university

12:41

acredation forcing uh outcomes at at

12:44

schools. Basically like in other words,

12:45

you would you are only going to be

12:47

eligible for acredation if your students

12:49

are actually succeeding." This is great,

12:51

by the way. I'm a big fan of that. like,

12:53

you know, we should be evaluating

12:55

schools for acredation based on the

12:57

success of the students. That's a good

12:59

thing. But then Donald Trump gets into

13:01

talking about how high schools aren't

13:02

teaching math and people are getting

13:04

into college without math and like, hey,

13:06

is this executive order going to solve

13:07

that? And they're like, well, it's going

13:09

to, you know, require some merit

13:10

evaluation for accreditation for

13:12

schools. And Trump's like, "Oh, okay.

13:13

So, this covers this, right?" And

13:14

they're like, "It's going to do great

13:16

things." And he's like, "All right." And

13:17

then signs it. It's kind of like, "All

13:18

right, you didn't read any of these

13:20

executive orders. Fine, whatever." like

13:22

he picked his team, right? But let's be

13:24

real, he didn't read any of these

13:25

executive orders. So, it's just it

13:27

wasn't a very wise display in my

13:29

opinion. But they're requiring, which

13:32

has always been required, but they're

13:34

recclarifying that foreign donations to

13:36

colleges like university like like

13:38

Harvard University have to be disclosed.

13:41

Uh they're opening it up uh opening up

13:43

and easing how challenging it is to get

13:47

to become an accredititor for a

13:49

university. So, in other words, there

13:50

could be more competition for university

13:52

accredititors. Uh, and this is called

13:54

Trump's secret weapon. So, that way, uh,

13:57

you know, university accrediting

13:58

agencies or companies or whatever could,

14:01

uh, you know, potentially, I don't know,

14:04

have different standards than other

14:06

accredititors mostly because some

14:07

accreditation companies have been

14:09

forcing DEI on schools and that's one of

14:12

the ways that Trump wants to sort of

14:14

dilute those companies that are trying

14:16

to force DEI. So, there's an executive

14:18

order for that. an executive order on

14:20

historically black colleges. Uh we've

14:21

got an executive order on workforce

14:23

development and apprenticeships. Some we

14:25

were just talking about. Lutnik, of

14:27

course, slides in here and is like,

14:28

"This is going to help us get jobs in

14:30

with all your wonderful and great tariff

14:32

policy, Mr. Trump." It's like, "All

14:33

right, okay, Mr. Slutnik, just tell

14:36

Trump what he wants to hear." But it's

14:38

not realistic, but it's okay. Uh and uh

14:41

and and then we get a little bit more

14:42

on, hey, China's ripping us off and the

14:44

tariffs are going to solve everything.

14:46

All right. So, that's really on tariffs

14:49

and education. We got a little bit on

14:51

Putin. Uh Donald Trump's like, "Look, I

14:53

don't care on the side here. You know, I

14:55

just want them to make a deal." I

14:56

covered Ukraine a lot more this morning

14:59

on what's being required of Ukraine and

15:01

how Zilinski is pushing back and Trump

15:03

is pissed off that Zalinski is pushing

15:04

back. We didn't really hear anything new

15:06

here other than that Trump wants to meet

15:08

Putin at some point, but not soon. So,

15:12

it doesn't look like he's going to end

15:13

up meeting Putin in Saudi Arabia uh at

15:15

uh as as some were expecting that he

15:18

might. So, uh a lot of color there today

15:20

on this. Also, if you were looking at

15:22

the uh Beige book at all, the Beige book

15:25

that came out from the Fed, honestly, I

15:26

like I read it. I was am I going to make

15:29

a video on this? No. There's it as

15:32

generic as you could expect. Basically,

15:33

like, hey, uncertainty's up. Consumer

15:36

spending still seems to be good. I guess

15:38

we'll wait and see. That's kind of the

15:40

situation with the Fed. Uh Donald Trump

15:42

did also chime in on the Fed suggesting

15:44

oh well you know JPOW should cut rates

15:47

uh but uh but then again remember you

15:49

know the real impacts of this inflation

15:51

are yet to be seen. So uh yeah that's

15:53

that. Uh so with that go check out the

15:55

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store and uh remember to check out House

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learn more about that over at

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househack.com. Appreciate y'all being

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here and uh yeah, that's all we got. So

16:45

we'll see what happens tomorrow with

16:47

markets and we'll keep tracking all this

16:50

uh tariff news. Uh feel free to watch me

16:54

update the news in the Meet Kevin app as

16:56

well. I think that can be a nice way to

16:58

sort of send uh little news updates to

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you as well. And you can customize the

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notifications the way you want them. And

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if you're Android, stay tuned. That's

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coming. It's totally free, too. All

17:07

right, folks. We'll see you soon. Bye.

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little advertising and see how it goes.

17:15

Congratulations, man. You have done so

17:16

much. People love you. People look up to

17:18

you. Kevin Praath there, financial

17:20

analyst and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always

17:22

great to get your take.

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