Biden & Fed DESTROYED by Home Depot Founder | Massive CRASH Coming.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
to the co-founder of Home Depot
slamming and calling out Joe Biden and
the Federal Reserve let's go ahead and
play this because it's pretty in-depth
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right let's now get into this piece here
we go Democrat Senator Elizabeth Warren
went at it yesterday clashing on Capitol
Hill Warren is slamming the fed's
inflation strategy claiming that it will
get people fired watch
I would explain to people more broadly
that that inflation is extremely high
and it's hurting the working people of
this country badly and we are taking the
only measures we have to bring inflation
down and
two million people out of work is just
it's just part of the cost and
working people be better off if if we
just walk away from our jobs and and
inflation remains
do you want to be right yeah it's worth
noting before we get to the response of
the Home Depot co-founder that that is
actually exactly what drum Powell's
argument is that yes there will be pain
going through this tightening process
and you should prepare for it but some
job loss is better than a lot of job
loss it's basically the argument Jerome
Powell is making now Elizabeth Warren
they didn't show it all here she made a
fantastic historical comparison
suggesting that when the unemployment
rate Rises one percent
It generally goes on to raise another
one percent so in other words we're at
about 3.4 3.5 unemployment right now the
FED is projecting that's going to rise
to 4.5 percent which actually means
they're telegraphing it's probably going
to go up two percent
to five and a half percent which means
potentially as many as 3 million job
losses
yikes let's listen to the response
though from the co-founder of Home Depot
because he has some Choice things to say
let's go now to look at the economy the
macro story is the co-founder of Home
Depot Ken langone is here Ken it's great
to see you welcome back to the show
hi Maria how are you thanks for having
me I'm doing well and I hope you are too
I want to get your take on the current
business environment under the Biden
Administration Ken you've got
investments in a whole host of
Industries and have a great vantage
point to tell us what you're seeing on
the macro Story how do you assess
well first of all Maria I would classify
the FED as a gang that can't shoot
straight this goes back more than 18
months when they were saying that
inflation was transitory and smarter
people than them namely Stan drucken
Miller and people like Stan were all
saying the exact opposites so they got a
lot they got started late on the fight
against inflation
and now frankly they act like the gang
that can't shoot straight because we
should keep raising rates until we break
it now it's going to be some pain
Senator Warren she talks out of both
sides of her mouth what she doesn't
realize is the people who pay the most
for inflation
are the lower income people inflation is
the most regressive of all taxes ever
we don't like paying higher prices but
we can afford to pay higher prices
nothing changes in our life
but a family of four living from
paycheck to paycheck has to start asking
the questions do I go with meat or do I
go with a substitute and on and on and
on because these people are really being
impacted there's no simple way to snap
the back of inflation
the FED needs to be more aggressive and
needs to be determined to make it happen
wow my problem with
the FED overall there's too many
academics in the mix I think if you had
more business people involved or people
with business backgrounds I think you
might see a different dialogue and
different decisions yeah for sure yeah
for sure Maria yeah we will raise rates
a lot sooner a lot higher to get a
control of inflation it's not a lot of
control yeah and I think frankly I don't
know how you avert a serious financial
crisis where we are right now I don't
have any idea how you do it well and now
it's more a more distinct possibility
well there's also this issue around
wages and this tight employment market
right I mean what are you seeing in
terms of jobs because Jay Powell
yesterday called the labor market quote
extremely tight can this morning we get
news that President Biden is proposing a
5.2 percent raise for federal employees
in his budget so the budget's going to
be out tomorrow and you know going into
it they're linking this story that he's
going to propose a raise for federal
employees the largest salary boost can
in 43 years so if you're raising wages
right now what does that do for the
tight Market that we're already
suffering under I mean don't get me
wrong it's good that employees have seen
their rate their wages go up but it's a
problem for businesses look at Home
Depot just recently saying they have to
spend a billion dollars because of this
tight labor market yeah and keep in mind
the people getting wage increases right
now uh and by the way let me know if
this audio is any better uh or worse
the people getting wage increases right
now are generally the people working
under about twenty dollars an hour which
actually lowers your average wage since
the average wage in America is about 32
dollars uh but yeah wages have gone
across up across the board I mean just
yesterday uh the Wall Street Journal was
reporting on how much wages have gone up
at uh at construction jobs uh wages
Rising substantially at construction
jobs across the industry massive demand
for for construction uh specifically
you're seeing uh uh the the individuals
uh individual workers seeing massive
wage increases from in some cases
specialized contractors seeing their
wages go from 35 an hour to potentially
as high as as a 45 or 50 an hour so
massive wage increases uh now
fortunately there's been a massive
increase in available labor Supply
that's helped that's been evidenced by
what we've seen at companies like uber
Lyft McDonald's chipotle but the
construction industry for example is
looking to hire an additional half
million workers just to get back to
normal Pace in 2023 so there's still
massive demand for workers and so you
are still seeing some inflationary
pressures and that is going to keep some
of these Services inflation somewhat
sticky now the Home Depot co-founder
here is suggesting hey we need to
increase uh how much we we tighten the
news basically on the market to contain
this inflation because average working
people can't afford this stuff anymore
hourly wages for General construction
workers are up 42 from 2019 to today
that's incredible absolutely incredible
all right let's keep going here
well we want to make sure our people are
taking care of Maria
to me the first obligation you have in
business is taking care of your people
and make sure they're treated fairly and
make sure they're living in a way that
they're comfortable we made that
decision I wish I was there to be part
of it but I'm retired but thank God the
company under under Ted Decker's
leadership made the decision we have to
do something for all people so we've we
by the way we did it all at once yeah we
did it at the end of January it's one
billion dollars it's a lot of money but
all people need it and with with Biden
let me say this to you about Joe Biden
in my opinion and I'm going to be very
very direct
he thinks he's the smartest guy in the
room
if that's the case we're really in
trouble
because the American people are a lot
smarter than that and they see it yeah
and I'm afraid Maria the American people
need to understand there's no pain no
gain
maybe we're going to put two million
people out of work but I don't know any
way around dealing with a problem of
inflation and the and the tragedy of
what comes with inflation as they say
the poor people the little people the
people living for paycheck to paycheck
they're the ones that get hurt the most
yeah which you want to think about them
which is like umpteen times you've said
in the past I don't need Social Security
I need these checks do something about
it try to make sure Social Security is
solvent it's about to go insolvent in 10
years and yet there's no plan to fix it
we're waiting on the president's budget
tomorrow and we're also waiting for this
debt Showdown to take place right the
debt ceiling has to go up at this point
we have to pay our bills but will they
come up with any boundaries to spending
Ken
no what they'll do is they're already
talking about raising rates look Maria
I've said since the day I got a social
security check this is outrageous
I did so well in this system I did so
well under capitalism it would be a
travesty for Elaine and me to take any
money from the government any at all
and very frankly what we do is we give
those checks to charity every month nice
why because if you're trying to give it
back to the government forget it and if
you gave it back to them they'd only
burn it more but I think politicians
this is why we need term limits Maria
because until we have term limits and
people understand their goals
people are not going to touch the
so-called third rail of politics which
are like entitlements
my my social security check last month
mine alone not a Lanes was 3 500 this is
crazy yeah that was three quarters of
what my starting pay was when I went to
work uh 65 years ago but look what you
and Elena are doing giving it all away
you're giving it to NYU langone Medical
Center you're giving it to the Arts
you're giving it to cancer research
you're giving it to to to you know
animal hospitals you're giving your
money away you don't see that all the
time but you're doing it and I'm glad
you brought up term limits Ken we've
spoken about this in the past how is it
possible that a politician goes into
washing Goes to Washington and ends up
spending 40 50 years they forget who
they're working for and I want you to
know that I spoke with West Virginia
senator Joe manchin on the phone the
other day he came on the shower before
he came on I talked to him on the phone
and he said to me a very good friend of
mine Maria and he said to me people are
not going to like what I'm going to say
but you know what I'm for term limits
and I said wow Ken langone told me the
same thing he wants term limits you even
have a sitting Senator Joe manchin
calling for term limits but the people
who are going to do decide this are the
very people who are going to get
impacted so I don't see it happening Ken
what about you
well I don't see it happening Maria
unless the American people get so fed up
I mean we need turn by the way Marie
with all due respect thank you for your
kind words about what Elaine and I are
doing with our Good Fortune but I'd be
less than honest though I didn't say
we're also keeping enough to live well
thank God but but uh really we need term
limits I had an argument pushed at me
last week
two people two elected officials in
Washington together
said well you know if if you go to term
limits the staffs are going to run the
government I said what the hell are you
guys talking about the staffs are on the
government now right these guys haven't
got the slightest idea what the hell
they're doing yeah
and Maria I'm serious
if and when the big crash comes
it is not going to be pretty it's not
going to be pretty and if we worry about
China we have to worry about China
vis-a-vis a weakened American economy a
very weakened American economy that's
right that's where you really run the
risk so Ken real quick we just talked to
Larry McDonald he said there's going to
be a stock market crash within 60 days
he's talked to his institutional
contacts to come up with that but I want
to get your take on market performance
and what's priced in here you're a big
investor if you expect we're going to
see a recession if you expect things are
going to slow down quite a bit this year
does the stock market fall off or is it
priced it
Maria let me say this I'm impervious to
that argument for one reason I'm a very
long-term investor my average holding
that's a weighted average of all my
positions is 41 years wow I've owned my
Lily now it'll be 45 years this November
Home Depot of course we founded it in 79
yum brands 25 years uh Parker Hannaford
one of the new editions
13 14 years okay
bad times come and bad times go my
advice to people is own great companies
Great managements strong balance sheets
a history of periodically raising
dividends and go fishing yeah I like to
go fishing I put money with strand
Ruckus by the way put money with Stan
brockenmiller if you can you've never
had a losing a year wow and uh about the
Good Fortune to be an investor is since
he had less than a million dollars in
assets that's pretty impressive but but
Maria I'm not smart enough these pundits
are the same we're going to have a
creation 60 or not they may be right but
they also may be wrong all right not
that against America yeah
bet on America we're the greatest
country on Earth we always will be we're
going through a rough patch we will get
it right not without a lot of pain but
we'll get it right
it's great to see you thanks so much God
bless you thank you jono please and have
a great day I will thank you
all right so let's add some commentary
on that wow well first of all super
admirable uh the guy's donating his
social security check uh that's awesome
it's also really cool I mean I'm sure he
donates more than that he's got plenty
of wealth you know there's really no no
need not to donate more than that at
that point uh so so but good for him
that's not to try to minimize what he's
doing but he makes two really good
arguments uh that number one he he
amplifies amplifies how important it is
to handle inflation because if we don't
handle inflation then
as he said the little person gets
screwed especially the people who work
at Living paycheck to paycheck and
that's why as an investor I hate to say
it but I'm purposefully trying to avoid
investing where regular people are
buying things right now the the Nike the
McDonald's the Costco the Staples the
target the Walmart the the restaurants
I'm trying to stay away from all of that
let me put it this way when you go to
Cheesecake Factory or Red Robin gourmet
burgers right now you're eating at a
charity because they lose money they
lose money you sit down and eat you make
them lose more money
that's how bad costs have gotten at
restaurants I really want to be exposed
to Staples even like Home Depot or
Lowe's that that are that are you know
raising uh all of their their employee
wages which is fantastic for them but
their costs have exploded so much I
don't think they can make any money here
in the in the near term now I love his
argument about investor the long term
investing companies with great balance
sheets but my answer to that right now
is pricing power stocks that appeal to
the higher income business or consumer
think about business businesses need
servers they need data centers they need
artificial intelligence invest in my
opinion in those sorts of options look
my license financial advisor I can't
give you personalized Financial advice
or run an active ETF you can learn more
about it at meet kevin.com I've got
courses on building your wealth you can
now use buy now later platforms to pay
for it I don't recommend you do but if
you want to you can people have been
asking for it uh you know and yeah we
extended the coupon code to today
because you can you can check out using
that by now later platform if you want
but the point is
I think you want pricing power stocks
and the way what you want to look for in
the balance sheet is you want to look
for companies with massive free cash
flow that is the opposite of what you're
seeing at companies like a coinbase
right now or a Roku these are cash
burning businesses let me give you an
example just by showing you Roku and we
do stuff like this in the course member
live streams on almost a daily basis
where we go through cash flow statements
uh balance sheets you name it let me
show you Roku okay so here's Roku this
is the balance sheet for Roku what do we
see on the balance sheet for Roku well
right now we see that they have negative
free cash flow of
172 actually I did that math slightly
wrong uh it was actually 11 if they have
a negative cash flow about 150 million
dollars that's because they have a
slight positive on operating activities
but they're only able to get this slight
positive of almost 12 million dollars
here thanks to their purchases of plant
property and equipment so you've got a
negative cash flowing business over here
and unfortunately you've got a business
that does have a net run of about uh you
know they've got about 1.1 billion
dollars in free cash available after
their current liabilities but when you
consider that they're burning about 150
mil here or you know per quarter and
they're barely making money on the
business you go okay well at some point
they might have to raise money now Roku
a little bit more insulated than other
businesses for example if we divide that
they've got about a six year run rate
that's not bad maybe Roku could end up
going profitable but then you have to
ask yourself do they actually have
pricing power on uh on their business
well they have a business that went from
profitable in 2021 to income losing in
2022 they went from making 21 million
dollars to losing 250 million dollars
that's because they're SG a they're
sales General and administrative
expenses basically doubled their r d
nearly doubled at the same time their
revenue barely went up you went from
about 700 million dollars in 2021 up
about four percent to 731 million
dollars their devices revenue is barely
uh their devices Revenue actually shrunk
now their devices are lost leaders
anyway because they want more
subscription Revenue but the point is on
top of that they're also seeing their
costs explode their costs exploded 500
basis points so their their revenue is
growing four percent their operating
costs are doubling their margins are
shrinking
and yeah they've got a six-year run rate
because they made a lot of money during
the boom Market selling their stock and
that's fantastic but is it actually a
profitable business well I don't know
it's not something I want to be exposed
to now look when the fed's money
printers turned back on everything's
gonna go back to the moon so maybe it
doesn't matter you know maybe it's
unfair to bag on one company but
personally I want to be looking at
companies that have massive free cash
flow
very very very massive amount of free
cash flow that's what I care about big
free cash flow big PP is what I call it
pricing power stocks so uh look that's
just my opinion right now again I want
to be very clear if you think that big
recession is coming like we just heard
uh akan the co-founder of Home Depot
talk about then you just don't want to
be in stocks
but if you want to invest like can then
you look for high quality companies that
you think could be here uh for 40 years
like he mentioned his average hold is 40
years that's that's admirable
now there are possibilities you could
walk into value traps for example I
think one that potentially is is a value
play right now is Intel but Intel could
be bankrupt in five years if they're
their investment into new Fabs fails you
know they're they're exposing themselves
to both uh the risk architecture arm and
x86 which is fantastic they're being
very smart they're basically becoming
chip agnostic we don't care what chip
you want we'll just make it for you
which is fantastic very very smart uh
and with all the subsidies from the
government for the chip sacks I I can't
see that going wrong uh but that might
be more risky than potentially investing
and well I should say just like uh
Taiwan semiconductors could be risky in
the event there is some drama between
China and Taiwan that that extends I
think that's highly unlikely I think
it's very unlikely that China ends up
invading Iran I think that's Taiwan I
think that's their last case scenario
worst case scenario but uh what American
companies are probably here to stay at
least for now for the long term probably
your Teslas your Apple your end phase
your your Nvidia your AMD these are
fantastic American companies that appeal
to a higher net worth business or
individual and that I think is where you
want to be positioned that's just my
take uh and so I'm a big fan of pricing
power style stocks like that uh learn
more about uh you know my courses and
and uh some of the other services that
we do like even the ETF by going to meet
kevin.com okay well something anyway
basically here's a Wall Street Journal
article I'll give you this sort of as a
little bonus here so I went through this
Wall Street Journal article I it wasn't
as great as I thought but there were
some fantastic arguments within it
Renovations now take 79 days on average
longer than they did in 2019. uh or
sorry they take an average of 79 days up
259 from 2019.
uh a lot of people are frustrated about
how things were going over budget how
hard it is to find workers people are
becoming a do-it-yourselfers out of
necessity yeah it was interesting I mean
I like reading a lot so I sometimes I
read stuff that isn't great it's not
worth you know its own little video but
I thought I'd make a mention on it
so anyway
um yeah some thoughts here I gotta go
now I gotta go to the course member live
stream and get another cup of coffee
from right behind me and then I'll go to
the course member live stream so I'll
see in the next one thank you all so
much for being here it was a blast a
little tougher with the mobile Studio
but uh I think we still did our best
appreciate you all for being here we'll
see you soon bye
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