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Biden & Fed DESTROYED by Home Depot Founder | Massive CRASH Coming.

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FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

to the co-founder of Home Depot

0:03

slamming and calling out Joe Biden and

0:06

the Federal Reserve let's go ahead and

0:08

play this because it's pretty in-depth

0:11

before I do quick reminder that you can

0:13

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0:21

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0:24

and stocks and psychology and money all

0:27

right let's now get into this piece here

0:30

we go Democrat Senator Elizabeth Warren

0:33

went at it yesterday clashing on Capitol

0:35

Hill Warren is slamming the fed's

0:37

inflation strategy claiming that it will

0:39

get people fired watch

0:41

I would explain to people more broadly

0:44

that that inflation is extremely high

0:47

and it's hurting the working people of

0:49

this country badly and we are taking the

0:52

only measures we have to bring inflation

0:54

down and

0:56

two million people out of work is just

0:58

it's just part of the cost and

1:00

working people be better off if if we

1:02

just walk away from our jobs and and

1:04

inflation remains

1:07

do you want to be right yeah it's worth

1:09

noting before we get to the response of

1:11

the Home Depot co-founder that that is

1:14

actually exactly what drum Powell's

1:16

argument is that yes there will be pain

1:19

going through this tightening process

1:20

and you should prepare for it but some

1:23

job loss is better than a lot of job

1:25

loss it's basically the argument Jerome

1:27

Powell is making now Elizabeth Warren

1:28

they didn't show it all here she made a

1:30

fantastic historical comparison

1:32

suggesting that when the unemployment

1:35

rate Rises one percent

1:37

It generally goes on to raise another

1:39

one percent so in other words we're at

1:42

about 3.4 3.5 unemployment right now the

1:45

FED is projecting that's going to rise

1:46

to 4.5 percent which actually means

1:49

they're telegraphing it's probably going

1:51

to go up two percent

1:53

to five and a half percent which means

1:55

potentially as many as 3 million job

1:58

losses

2:00

yikes let's listen to the response

2:03

though from the co-founder of Home Depot

2:05

because he has some Choice things to say

2:07

let's go now to look at the economy the

2:09

macro story is the co-founder of Home

2:11

Depot Ken langone is here Ken it's great

2:14

to see you welcome back to the show

2:16

hi Maria how are you thanks for having

2:18

me I'm doing well and I hope you are too

2:21

I want to get your take on the current

2:22

business environment under the Biden

2:24

Administration Ken you've got

2:26

investments in a whole host of

2:28

Industries and have a great vantage

2:30

point to tell us what you're seeing on

2:32

the macro Story how do you assess

2:35

well first of all Maria I would classify

2:38

the FED as a gang that can't shoot

2:40

straight this goes back more than 18

2:42

months when they were saying that

2:44

inflation was transitory and smarter

2:47

people than them namely Stan drucken

2:48

Miller and people like Stan were all

2:50

saying the exact opposites so they got a

2:53

lot they got started late on the fight

2:55

against inflation

2:56

and now frankly they act like the gang

3:00

that can't shoot straight because we

3:02

should keep raising rates until we break

3:05

it now it's going to be some pain

3:07

Senator Warren she talks out of both

3:09

sides of her mouth what she doesn't

3:11

realize is the people who pay the most

3:13

for inflation

3:15

are the lower income people inflation is

3:18

the most regressive of all taxes ever

3:23

we don't like paying higher prices but

3:25

we can afford to pay higher prices

3:26

nothing changes in our life

3:28

but a family of four living from

3:30

paycheck to paycheck has to start asking

3:33

the questions do I go with meat or do I

3:36

go with a substitute and on and on and

3:39

on because these people are really being

3:40

impacted there's no simple way to snap

3:44

the back of inflation

3:46

the FED needs to be more aggressive and

3:49

needs to be determined to make it happen

3:50

wow my problem with

3:53

the FED overall there's too many

3:55

academics in the mix I think if you had

3:58

more business people involved or people

4:00

with business backgrounds I think you

4:02

might see a different dialogue and

4:03

different decisions yeah for sure yeah

4:06

for sure Maria yeah we will raise rates

4:09

a lot sooner a lot higher to get a

4:12

control of inflation it's not a lot of

4:14

control yeah and I think frankly I don't

4:17

know how you avert a serious financial

4:20

crisis where we are right now I don't

4:22

have any idea how you do it well and now

4:25

it's more a more distinct possibility

4:26

well there's also this issue around

4:28

wages and this tight employment market

4:30

right I mean what are you seeing in

4:32

terms of jobs because Jay Powell

4:33

yesterday called the labor market quote

4:36

extremely tight can this morning we get

4:39

news that President Biden is proposing a

4:42

5.2 percent raise for federal employees

4:45

in his budget so the budget's going to

4:47

be out tomorrow and you know going into

4:50

it they're linking this story that he's

4:52

going to propose a raise for federal

4:54

employees the largest salary boost can

4:57

in 43 years so if you're raising wages

5:00

right now what does that do for the

5:01

tight Market that we're already

5:03

suffering under I mean don't get me

5:05

wrong it's good that employees have seen

5:07

their rate their wages go up but it's a

5:10

problem for businesses look at Home

5:12

Depot just recently saying they have to

5:14

spend a billion dollars because of this

5:16

tight labor market yeah and keep in mind

5:18

the people getting wage increases right

5:21

now uh and by the way let me know if

5:23

this audio is any better uh or worse

5:25

the people getting wage increases right

5:27

now are generally the people working

5:29

under about twenty dollars an hour which

5:31

actually lowers your average wage since

5:34

the average wage in America is about 32

5:35

dollars uh but yeah wages have gone

5:37

across up across the board I mean just

5:39

yesterday uh the Wall Street Journal was

5:41

reporting on how much wages have gone up

5:43

at uh at construction jobs uh wages

5:47

Rising substantially at construction

5:48

jobs across the industry massive demand

5:51

for for construction uh specifically

5:54

you're seeing uh uh the the individuals

5:57

uh individual workers seeing massive

6:00

wage increases from in some cases

6:02

specialized contractors seeing their

6:03

wages go from 35 an hour to potentially

6:06

as high as as a 45 or 50 an hour so

6:10

massive wage increases uh now

6:12

fortunately there's been a massive

6:14

increase in available labor Supply

6:16

that's helped that's been evidenced by

6:18

what we've seen at companies like uber

6:20

Lyft McDonald's chipotle but the

6:23

construction industry for example is

6:24

looking to hire an additional half

6:26

million workers just to get back to

6:28

normal Pace in 2023 so there's still

6:30

massive demand for workers and so you

6:32

are still seeing some inflationary

6:34

pressures and that is going to keep some

6:37

of these Services inflation somewhat

6:38

sticky now the Home Depot co-founder

6:40

here is suggesting hey we need to

6:42

increase uh how much we we tighten the

6:46

news basically on the market to contain

6:48

this inflation because average working

6:50

people can't afford this stuff anymore

6:52

hourly wages for General construction

6:54

workers are up 42 from 2019 to today

6:59

that's incredible absolutely incredible

7:01

all right let's keep going here

7:05

well we want to make sure our people are

7:07

taking care of Maria

7:09

to me the first obligation you have in

7:11

business is taking care of your people

7:13

and make sure they're treated fairly and

7:16

make sure they're living in a way that

7:18

they're comfortable we made that

7:20

decision I wish I was there to be part

7:22

of it but I'm retired but thank God the

7:25

company under under Ted Decker's

7:27

leadership made the decision we have to

7:30

do something for all people so we've we

7:32

by the way we did it all at once yeah we

7:34

did it at the end of January it's one

7:36

billion dollars it's a lot of money but

7:39

all people need it and with with Biden

7:41

let me say this to you about Joe Biden

7:43

in my opinion and I'm going to be very

7:45

very direct

7:46

he thinks he's the smartest guy in the

7:48

room

7:50

if that's the case we're really in

7:52

trouble

7:52

because the American people are a lot

7:54

smarter than that and they see it yeah

7:57

and I'm afraid Maria the American people

7:59

need to understand there's no pain no

8:02

gain

8:04

maybe we're going to put two million

8:06

people out of work but I don't know any

8:08

way around dealing with a problem of

8:11

inflation and the and the tragedy of

8:13

what comes with inflation as they say

8:16

the poor people the little people the

8:17

people living for paycheck to paycheck

8:19

they're the ones that get hurt the most

8:21

yeah which you want to think about them

8:23

which is like umpteen times you've said

8:25

in the past I don't need Social Security

8:27

I need these checks do something about

8:31

it try to make sure Social Security is

8:34

solvent it's about to go insolvent in 10

8:36

years and yet there's no plan to fix it

8:39

we're waiting on the president's budget

8:41

tomorrow and we're also waiting for this

8:44

debt Showdown to take place right the

8:47

debt ceiling has to go up at this point

8:48

we have to pay our bills but will they

8:51

come up with any boundaries to spending

8:52

Ken

8:55

no what they'll do is they're already

8:57

talking about raising rates look Maria

8:59

I've said since the day I got a social

9:01

security check this is outrageous

9:04

I did so well in this system I did so

9:07

well under capitalism it would be a

9:09

travesty for Elaine and me to take any

9:11

money from the government any at all

9:13

and very frankly what we do is we give

9:16

those checks to charity every month nice

9:18

why because if you're trying to give it

9:21

back to the government forget it and if

9:23

you gave it back to them they'd only

9:24

burn it more but I think politicians

9:27

this is why we need term limits Maria

9:29

because until we have term limits and

9:32

people understand their goals

9:34

people are not going to touch the

9:36

so-called third rail of politics which

9:38

are like entitlements

9:41

my my social security check last month

9:45

mine alone not a Lanes was 3 500 this is

9:49

crazy yeah that was three quarters of

9:52

what my starting pay was when I went to

9:54

work uh 65 years ago but look what you

9:57

and Elena are doing giving it all away

9:59

you're giving it to NYU langone Medical

10:02

Center you're giving it to the Arts

10:03

you're giving it to cancer research

10:05

you're giving it to to to you know

10:08

animal hospitals you're giving your

10:09

money away you don't see that all the

10:12

time but you're doing it and I'm glad

10:14

you brought up term limits Ken we've

10:15

spoken about this in the past how is it

10:18

possible that a politician goes into

10:20

washing Goes to Washington and ends up

10:22

spending 40 50 years they forget who

10:25

they're working for and I want you to

10:27

know that I spoke with West Virginia

10:28

senator Joe manchin on the phone the

10:30

other day he came on the shower before

10:32

he came on I talked to him on the phone

10:34

and he said to me a very good friend of

10:35

mine Maria and he said to me people are

10:38

not going to like what I'm going to say

10:39

but you know what I'm for term limits

10:41

and I said wow Ken langone told me the

10:43

same thing he wants term limits you even

10:46

have a sitting Senator Joe manchin

10:48

calling for term limits but the people

10:50

who are going to do decide this are the

10:52

very people who are going to get

10:53

impacted so I don't see it happening Ken

10:54

what about you

10:56

well I don't see it happening Maria

10:58

unless the American people get so fed up

11:01

I mean we need turn by the way Marie

11:04

with all due respect thank you for your

11:06

kind words about what Elaine and I are

11:08

doing with our Good Fortune but I'd be

11:10

less than honest though I didn't say

11:11

we're also keeping enough to live well

11:14

thank God but but uh really we need term

11:19

limits I had an argument pushed at me

11:21

last week

11:23

two people two elected officials in

11:25

Washington together

11:26

said well you know if if you go to term

11:28

limits the staffs are going to run the

11:30

government I said what the hell are you

11:32

guys talking about the staffs are on the

11:34

government now right these guys haven't

11:36

got the slightest idea what the hell

11:38

they're doing yeah

11:39

and Maria I'm serious

11:42

if and when the big crash comes

11:45

it is not going to be pretty it's not

11:48

going to be pretty and if we worry about

11:50

China we have to worry about China

11:52

vis-a-vis a weakened American economy a

11:56

very weakened American economy that's

11:57

right that's where you really run the

11:59

risk so Ken real quick we just talked to

12:02

Larry McDonald he said there's going to

12:04

be a stock market crash within 60 days

12:06

he's talked to his institutional

12:07

contacts to come up with that but I want

12:10

to get your take on market performance

12:12

and what's priced in here you're a big

12:14

investor if you expect we're going to

12:17

see a recession if you expect things are

12:19

going to slow down quite a bit this year

12:21

does the stock market fall off or is it

12:25

priced it

12:27

Maria let me say this I'm impervious to

12:30

that argument for one reason I'm a very

12:33

long-term investor my average holding

12:36

that's a weighted average of all my

12:38

positions is 41 years wow I've owned my

12:41

Lily now it'll be 45 years this November

12:44

Home Depot of course we founded it in 79

12:47

yum brands 25 years uh Parker Hannaford

12:52

one of the new editions

12:54

13 14 years okay

12:56

bad times come and bad times go my

12:59

advice to people is own great companies

13:02

Great managements strong balance sheets

13:05

a history of periodically raising

13:07

dividends and go fishing yeah I like to

13:11

go fishing I put money with strand

13:12

Ruckus by the way put money with Stan

13:14

brockenmiller if you can you've never

13:16

had a losing a year wow and uh about the

13:19

Good Fortune to be an investor is since

13:21

he had less than a million dollars in

13:22

assets that's pretty impressive but but

13:24

Maria I'm not smart enough these pundits

13:27

are the same we're going to have a

13:28

creation 60 or not they may be right but

13:30

they also may be wrong all right not

13:33

that against America yeah

13:36

bet on America we're the greatest

13:38

country on Earth we always will be we're

13:40

going through a rough patch we will get

13:42

it right not without a lot of pain but

13:44

we'll get it right

13:47

it's great to see you thanks so much God

13:49

bless you thank you jono please and have

13:52

a great day I will thank you

13:54

all right so let's add some commentary

13:56

on that wow well first of all super

13:59

admirable uh the guy's donating his

14:01

social security check uh that's awesome

14:03

it's also really cool I mean I'm sure he

14:06

donates more than that he's got plenty

14:07

of wealth you know there's really no no

14:09

need not to donate more than that at

14:11

that point uh so so but good for him

14:14

that's not to try to minimize what he's

14:15

doing but he makes two really good

14:17

arguments uh that number one he he

14:20

amplifies amplifies how important it is

14:23

to handle inflation because if we don't

14:24

handle inflation then

14:26

as he said the little person gets

14:29

screwed especially the people who work

14:30

at Living paycheck to paycheck and

14:32

that's why as an investor I hate to say

14:34

it but I'm purposefully trying to avoid

14:36

investing where regular people are

14:38

buying things right now the the Nike the

14:41

McDonald's the Costco the Staples the

14:44

target the Walmart the the restaurants

14:47

I'm trying to stay away from all of that

14:48

let me put it this way when you go to

14:51

Cheesecake Factory or Red Robin gourmet

14:53

burgers right now you're eating at a

14:56

charity because they lose money they

14:59

lose money you sit down and eat you make

15:02

them lose more money

15:04

that's how bad costs have gotten at

15:07

restaurants I really want to be exposed

15:09

to Staples even like Home Depot or

15:11

Lowe's that that are that are you know

15:13

raising uh all of their their employee

15:16

wages which is fantastic for them but

15:18

their costs have exploded so much I

15:19

don't think they can make any money here

15:20

in the in the near term now I love his

15:22

argument about investor the long term

15:24

investing companies with great balance

15:25

sheets but my answer to that right now

15:28

is pricing power stocks that appeal to

15:31

the higher income business or consumer

15:33

think about business businesses need

15:36

servers they need data centers they need

15:39

artificial intelligence invest in my

15:41

opinion in those sorts of options look

15:43

my license financial advisor I can't

15:45

give you personalized Financial advice

15:47

or run an active ETF you can learn more

15:48

about it at meet kevin.com I've got

15:50

courses on building your wealth you can

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now use buy now later platforms to pay

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for it I don't recommend you do but if

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you want to you can people have been

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asking for it uh you know and yeah we

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extended the coupon code to today

16:00

because you can you can check out using

16:02

that by now later platform if you want

16:05

but the point is

16:06

I think you want pricing power stocks

16:08

and the way what you want to look for in

16:10

the balance sheet is you want to look

16:12

for companies with massive free cash

16:15

flow that is the opposite of what you're

16:17

seeing at companies like a coinbase

16:19

right now or a Roku these are cash

16:22

burning businesses let me give you an

16:25

example just by showing you Roku and we

16:27

do stuff like this in the course member

16:28

live streams on almost a daily basis

16:30

where we go through cash flow statements

16:32

uh balance sheets you name it let me

16:34

show you Roku okay so here's Roku this

16:37

is the balance sheet for Roku what do we

16:40

see on the balance sheet for Roku well

16:41

right now we see that they have negative

16:44

free cash flow of

16:47

172 actually I did that math slightly

16:50

wrong uh it was actually 11 if they have

16:52

a negative cash flow about 150 million

16:54

dollars that's because they have a

16:56

slight positive on operating activities

16:58

but they're only able to get this slight

17:00

positive of almost 12 million dollars

17:02

here thanks to their purchases of plant

17:03

property and equipment so you've got a

17:06

negative cash flowing business over here

17:07

and unfortunately you've got a business

17:10

that does have a net run of about uh you

17:14

know they've got about 1.1 billion

17:16

dollars in free cash available after

17:19

their current liabilities but when you

17:21

consider that they're burning about 150

17:24

mil here or you know per quarter and

17:26

they're barely making money on the

17:28

business you go okay well at some point

17:30

they might have to raise money now Roku

17:32

a little bit more insulated than other

17:33

businesses for example if we divide that

17:35

they've got about a six year run rate

17:37

that's not bad maybe Roku could end up

17:39

going profitable but then you have to

17:42

ask yourself do they actually have

17:43

pricing power on uh on their business

17:47

well they have a business that went from

17:49

profitable in 2021 to income losing in

17:54

2022 they went from making 21 million

17:57

dollars to losing 250 million dollars

17:59

that's because they're SG a they're

18:01

sales General and administrative

18:02

expenses basically doubled their r d

18:05

nearly doubled at the same time their

18:08

revenue barely went up you went from

18:10

about 700 million dollars in 2021 up

18:13

about four percent to 731 million

18:16

dollars their devices revenue is barely

18:19

uh their devices Revenue actually shrunk

18:21

now their devices are lost leaders

18:23

anyway because they want more

18:24

subscription Revenue but the point is on

18:26

top of that they're also seeing their

18:28

costs explode their costs exploded 500

18:31

basis points so their their revenue is

18:34

growing four percent their operating

18:37

costs are doubling their margins are

18:39

shrinking

18:41

and yeah they've got a six-year run rate

18:43

because they made a lot of money during

18:44

the boom Market selling their stock and

18:47

that's fantastic but is it actually a

18:49

profitable business well I don't know

18:50

it's not something I want to be exposed

18:52

to now look when the fed's money

18:53

printers turned back on everything's

18:55

gonna go back to the moon so maybe it

18:56

doesn't matter you know maybe it's

18:57

unfair to bag on one company but

18:59

personally I want to be looking at

19:01

companies that have massive free cash

19:02

flow

19:03

very very very massive amount of free

19:07

cash flow that's what I care about big

19:09

free cash flow big PP is what I call it

19:11

pricing power stocks so uh look that's

19:14

just my opinion right now again I want

19:16

to be very clear if you think that big

19:18

recession is coming like we just heard

19:21

uh akan the co-founder of Home Depot

19:23

talk about then you just don't want to

19:25

be in stocks

19:26

but if you want to invest like can then

19:30

you look for high quality companies that

19:32

you think could be here uh for 40 years

19:35

like he mentioned his average hold is 40

19:37

years that's that's admirable

19:40

now there are possibilities you could

19:42

walk into value traps for example I

19:44

think one that potentially is is a value

19:46

play right now is Intel but Intel could

19:49

be bankrupt in five years if they're

19:51

their investment into new Fabs fails you

19:55

know they're they're exposing themselves

19:56

to both uh the risk architecture arm and

19:58

x86 which is fantastic they're being

20:01

very smart they're basically becoming

20:03

chip agnostic we don't care what chip

20:05

you want we'll just make it for you

20:07

which is fantastic very very smart uh

20:09

and with all the subsidies from the

20:11

government for the chip sacks I I can't

20:13

see that going wrong uh but that might

20:16

be more risky than potentially investing

20:18

and well I should say just like uh

20:20

Taiwan semiconductors could be risky in

20:22

the event there is some drama between

20:24

China and Taiwan that that extends I

20:26

think that's highly unlikely I think

20:28

it's very unlikely that China ends up

20:29

invading Iran I think that's Taiwan I

20:31

think that's their last case scenario

20:33

worst case scenario but uh what American

20:36

companies are probably here to stay at

20:38

least for now for the long term probably

20:40

your Teslas your Apple your end phase

20:43

your your Nvidia your AMD these are

20:46

fantastic American companies that appeal

20:49

to a higher net worth business or

20:52

individual and that I think is where you

20:54

want to be positioned that's just my

20:55

take uh and so I'm a big fan of pricing

20:58

power style stocks like that uh learn

20:59

more about uh you know my courses and

21:02

and uh some of the other services that

21:04

we do like even the ETF by going to meet

21:06

kevin.com okay well something anyway

21:09

basically here's a Wall Street Journal

21:11

article I'll give you this sort of as a

21:12

little bonus here so I went through this

21:14

Wall Street Journal article I it wasn't

21:16

as great as I thought but there were

21:17

some fantastic arguments within it

21:19

Renovations now take 79 days on average

21:23

longer than they did in 2019. uh or

21:26

sorry they take an average of 79 days up

21:28

259 from 2019.

21:31

uh a lot of people are frustrated about

21:34

how things were going over budget how

21:35

hard it is to find workers people are

21:37

becoming a do-it-yourselfers out of

21:38

necessity yeah it was interesting I mean

21:41

I like reading a lot so I sometimes I

21:43

read stuff that isn't great it's not

21:44

worth you know its own little video but

21:46

I thought I'd make a mention on it

21:48

so anyway

21:50

um yeah some thoughts here I gotta go

21:54

now I gotta go to the course member live

21:56

stream and get another cup of coffee

21:57

from right behind me and then I'll go to

21:58

the course member live stream so I'll

21:59

see in the next one thank you all so

22:01

much for being here it was a blast a

22:03

little tougher with the mobile Studio

22:04

but uh I think we still did our best

22:06

appreciate you all for being here we'll

22:08

see you soon bye

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