i'm pissed
FULL TRANSCRIPT
okay I don't know about you but I'm very
appealed and I'm going to explain why in
this video but first we gotta talk about
what's going on in the market today
because Tucker Carlson says aliens are
real we've got news on not only a Tesla
actually big news and Tesla but we've
got commentary on what's going on with
crypto we've got some data releases that
come out we got some spending numbers
that came out and we just gotta talk
about what the heck is going on in this
economy because I'll tell you there are
a lot of people that are just straight
up fearful and I think they're gonna end
up being misallocated now I'm not Mr
permeable here I gloriously flip-flopped
in January of 2022 and I made it clear
to everybody exactly why flip-flop yet I
still ended up getting haters for it
just because I said we are going to be
going through a very tough next year and
here's when stocks go back up and the
argument of when stocks go back up just
to catch you up to speed is basically
when the Federal Reserve u-turns the
stock market will likely go up but this
time that U-turn may actually come early
you're in stocks and we might end up
seeing a Nike Swoosh into the fed's
U-turn because the Federal Reserve has
changed the way it communicates to the
public they're a lot more clear with
their intentionality and as long as
inflation doesn't lead to this
unanchoring of expectations to where we
would get a Paul volcker the Federal
Reserve does not need to destroy the
economy now according to a CNBC survey
wealthy individuals with over one
million dollars of investable assets for
those folks but anyway those folks think
there's no way inflation's going to go
back down to two percent and that may be
the common belief of many in fact you
might be thinking to yourself right now
yeah I mean I agree I don't think it's
going back to two percent anytime soon
and guess what that is quite okay I
think that is one of the things we have
to remember is it doesn't actually
matter if inflation goes to two percent
this year or next year or the year after
as long as inflation does not Skyrocket
away and as long as inflation
expectations don't balloon we can take
our time we can relax and we can enjoy
the benefits of the stock market still
having sales in some corners of it
potentially not Nvidia stock although
Nvidia is very exciting and basically
every single analyst expectation flew
out the window after people realized oh
man invidia's revenues could be
explosive thanks to artificial
intelligence growth the problem is now
markets are pricing in the following a
52 percent year-over-year growth in
revenue for 2024 21 for 25 and 15 for
2026. however if these are the analyst
expectations then that's already built
in we gotta beat all of these numbers to
really see growth in Nvidia stock and
this has a lot of folks saying in order
to really see growth in Nvidia stock
you've got to see an average of about a
35
Plus compound annual rate of growth for
NVIDIA and that could be a little scary
because competition as well as other
potential changes in the way artificial
intelligence uses chipsets that is
potentially going from a learning method
of AI or a Training Method of AI to a
use case of AI which could shift chip
usage possible that Nvidia might be a
little rich and this is what's leading a
lot of people to say well we'll just
invest in Tesla then because after all
they are another real world AI
application that's actually expected to
make a lot of money off their artificial
intelligence look I just released all of
my artificial intelligence lectures and
productivity lectures in the course how
to make more money in it get sh9t done
faster it's an incredible program we
just released all of them last night but
I'll tell you one of the things is that
Tesla is actually looking at generating
Revenue but not just looking to they
actually are generating revenue from
artificial intelligence whereas most of
the software companies that provide us
artificial intelligence apis
they're either trying to maintain their
moat like Adobe or maybe an Autodesk
or they're providing a chat GPT API and
the profitability of doing so is
questionable we know a lot of money will
come from artificial intelligence but
we're just not clear who is going to
make that money and with Tesla moving
the way it is today I believe that the
market might be scratching their head
going well maybe the surest bed of
artificial intelligence is after all
Tesla now Tesla could also be moving at
least the way it's moving now in part
due to another reason that's because
well two things and number one they
finally beat their Solar City lawsuit
where Elon Musk was accused of
potentially overpaying for Solar City I
actually broke down the entire SolarCity
evaluation on this channel previously
and thought this was actually a perfect
acquisition for Tesla because it
instantly got them into solar sales and
made them an energy a green energy
partner from top to bottom they also
replaced their inverter manufacturer
solar Edge and now they're in housing
the manufacturing of that inverter
they're doing everything they can to
essentially squeeze margins not only
that doing everything they can to make
sure you are getting as much money
possible to buy a Tesla from the
government in fact now if you go to the
website
clean vehicle rebate.org and you live in
California and you make less than 135
000 as a single individual or less than
two hundred thousand dollars as a joint
individual you could literally buy a
model 3 for 25
000 that's because the starting price of
a model three now is about forty
thousand dollars but the federal
government will give you seven thousand
five hundred dollars and the state
government will give you another seven
thousand five hundred dollars in
California to buy a model three that
makes a model three
twenty five thousand dollars which is
about one thousand dollars less than the
cost of a Toyota Camry and that doesn't
even include the lifetime value of how
little electric vehicles cost and
maintenance compared to gas vehicles or
your longer term electricity savings or
fuel expense savings which are
incredible at Tesla but forget about
Tesla for a moment and justifying its
stock price rise let's also consider
what's actually happening with retail
sales well one of the things that I like
to do is I like like to look at what
city analyzes and its credit card
spending data and one of the things that
we're starting to see is that credit
card spending data is starting to take
up relative to what we had seen in Prior
years now this is good because it's a
sign that even though over the last six
months of 2022 and some part of the
beginning of this year we had some dicey
numbers and things were declining we're
actually starting to see a rebound Again
part of this is likely because the
consumer savings rate has actually
started Rising again now a lot of people
think that's remarkable how is that
supposed to happen we're supposed to be
going into a recession how is it
possible that the consumer savings rate
is actually Rising well it's probably
just as possible as Tucker Carlson
telling us that aliens exist with that
actually happened yesterday but it's
actually because yes even though prices
for things have gone up we are making
more money in real terms our incomes are
finally positive it's because we're
still growing our incomes wages are
still Rising by the rate of about five
to six percent at least if you look at
the ADP survey for year-over-year
numbers and if you look at month over
months we're still seeing wages rise
between three to four percent now you
might ask yourself but Kevin even
earlier you said there's no way
inflation is going to go back to two
percent especially if wages are rising
like that that's bad right no actually
not necessarily in fact because
consumption makes up about 70 percent of
the economy you actually don't need a
hundred percent of wages to match two
percent inflation you actually can have
wages Rise by around three percent
slightly more slightly less it's an
uncertain number it's a theory but you
can have wages rise somewhere around
three percent and still be consistent
with two percent inflation that's
incredible now that's still not going to
twist people's arms and convince them
that inflation will end up proving to be
transitory that will end having taken
many years it wasn't as transitory as
we'd hoped so when we hear that we think
oh that's a stupid claim because that's
what the Federal Reserve used to explain
why they're still printing money in
March of 2022. that was stupid that was
really dumb inflation wasn't transitory
that quickly but it will end up proving
to be transitory and this is why it's
worth considering that whether or not we
go into a recession honestly might not
matter all I have to ask you to do is
search Google for the Dax it's the
German Stock Exchange well it's not the
German Stock Exchange it's the largest
40 Blue Chip companies in Germany an
economy that's actually technically in a
recession forecast to stay in a
recession throughout the next quarter
that is like the Dow Jones Industrial
Average in America and the Dax is
sitting 1.8 percent off of its all-time
highs in fact it's doing extremely well
year to date and it's doing extremely
well compared to all-time highs which is
really remarkable because you think wait
a minute
we should be doing worse if we're going
into a recession right
not necessarily because I also want to
remind you what a recession actually is
on paper a recession on paper is simply
negative growth compared to the year
earlier there are actually many
different kinds of recessions you can
have a revenue recession an earnings
recession uh an emotional recession okay
I made the last one I made the last one
up oh but the point is think about this
if you had a lemonade stand and all of a
sudden you sold you know fifty dollars
uh every single day and then somebody
printed a bunch of money and all of a
sudden you went to selling a hundred
dollars per day and now
after all that stimulation which was
really exciting and fun big growth yay
that was fun now I'm sorry to say you're
only selling 98 a day of lemonade and
yeah inflation has hurt your margins a
little bit but guess what your bottom
line is still way bigger than it used to
be and even though
98 is bigger than 50. you are
technically in a recession thanks to
this decline expand this to the global
economy or even the United States
economy and all you have to have is a
tiny little negative for two quarters in
a row and you're technically in a
recession we technically also already
had that in q1 and Q2 of 2022 so maybe
the recession is indeed already behind
us but whether or not it's behind us or
in front of us doesn't really matter the
economy seems to have well I should say
the stock market seems to have crashed
in 2022 primarily because of the fear
that inflation was never going to be
able to be quote-unquote put back in the
bottle the fear monkers who like to
appear on CNBC to promote their products
whether it's gold or Bear products or
bear options
want you to know that once inflation
comes out there's no way it's going back
yet the reality is quite different
inflation is as Milton Friedman said a
monetary phenomenon and when you print
money too rapidly you get inflation when
you print money at a regular Pace you
get very little inflation mostly because
Innovation is a massive anchor that
creates more deflation than it creates
inflation and if you don't print money
at all or you print negative money which
is what's happening now you should start
expecting deflation which is actually
exactly what we're starting to see with
companies like Costco talking about
reducing prices because they make money
off volumes Costco doesn't make in fact
most of their money off of selling you
stuff they make money off the membership
so they're willing to tussle and start a
price War to make sure people to go to
Costco and not anywhere else and you're
seeing every retailer start making
adjustments and reducing prices and
realize saying that they have to start
pitching not only value to their
customers but they actually can't raise
prices anymore you look at the
forward-looking price increases of what
companies are doing whether it's Staples
like Procter Gamble Kimberly Clark Pepsi
Coca-Cola McDonald's look at any of
these companies and the forward-looking
projections for price increases that is
not what they've done in January not
what they did January compared to last
January but looking forward what are we
looking at
more massive price increases in fact
we're more likely to be expecting price
decreases and I encourage you to when
you hear about price increase data just
ask yourself is this price increase data
comparing to 2022 which we know the
prices have gone up or is this hey we're
going to continue raising prices those
are going to be very very different
analyzes so consider that if you're
worried about inflation and never forget
that the Federal Reserve does not need
two percent inflation they need an
average of two percent inflation
if you've ever played with averages you
know that can be easily manipulated to
be two percent and as long as the
five-year break-even rate which is the
Market's expectation of inflation is the
way it is now at 2.19 and trending down
we're looking good that's why the market
is pricing in a near 75 percent chance
of the Federal Reserve pausing
at their meeting in two weeks actually
it's in one week in fact it's one week
from today today's already June 7th
yesterday I released all the lectures by
the way in the AI course uh which is the
how to make more money and get sh90 done
faster they are phenomenal honestly I
was really mind blown by some of the
likes actually quite frankly a lot of
the lectures but I look at the content
we put out there yesterday I'm like oh
wow like a lot of this stuff like this
is here to make all of us as employees
at all of our various different
companies a whole lot more productive so
we're really excited about the content
uh and so hopefully you are as well and
you get a massive productivity boost so
check that out link down below it comes
with all the course member live streams
but of course I'm pissed because
I don't know what it is but today my
entire network is basically bogged uh we
got rug pulled and I need to rebuild the
entire network uh where this studio is I
could go to my other Studio but
unfortunately I need to get to Texas
because I'm conducting an interview and
then I gotta get back from Texas all
today and that'll probably stay up all
night fixing this but I will get it
fixed but I am pissed about that I
wanted to take a massive Hammer I had
the feeling I wanted to take a massive
hammer and and show it who's boss but
then I would probably had to have waited
three days for new products so I
tempered my uh frustrations and uh and I
didn't go for the bfh
never heard of a bfh have you it's a big
[ __ ] hammer that solves a lot of
problems anyway that aside I'm very
optimistic about uh Tesla the 7 500 tax
credit for California and the News
That's going to create is great for
Tesla Dave and Buster's beat on the
bottom line but missed on the top line
Dave and Busters and Retail stocks might
be something to pay attention to for
about the last week in course member
live streams I've been talking about how
retail might be the most underpriced
sector in the economy right now and with
retail spending taking up and savings
rates taking up maybe pay attention to
retail etsy's done really well the last
three days and Dave and Buster's been
doing well as well China I wouldn't bet
on China remember when yesterday the
Bears were like bet on China because
China's you know gonna have a surge in
productivity especially when they
stimulate again meanwhile then we get
data coming out that Chinese exports
fell way more than expected down about
eight uh seven to eight percent this is
a problem mostly for China this is why
copper has been falling iron has been
falling you want to be careful betting
on Commodities anyway everybody always
like oh but the EV Revolution Kevin why
don't you bet on lithium
what just happened there are now
companies that are like hmm the stuff
that we extract like the liquid that
comes out when we conduct oil fracking
actually appears to be really rich in
lithium maybe instead of throwing that
stuff away we can extract lithium from
that seems like any time a commodity is
needed in high demand we find new ways
to extract it and that eventually ends
up lowering the cost of those so I'm
cautious of Commodities just like
obviously at this point I'd be somewhat
cautious of crypto I do think at some
point there will be a by the dip
opportunity but Regulators in Congress
and courts need to Duke out what we're
going to end up doing with crypto before
I think it's a clear as day investment
and something that deserves portfolio
allocation and sure while I'm a licensed
financial advisor I'm not advising that
you do or don't have crypto in your
portfolio I'll just be very careful if I
had money on binance I probably would
get it out and I'm not trying to cause
fud here but let's put it this way the
SEC is very powerful they have a lot of
control even influence of other
jurisdictions and so I wouldn't just be
worried about binance us and also be
worried about binance itself because as
the jurisdictions come surrounding
binance
acids might end up getting Frozen
just want to put the warning out there I
know that might seem fetish so let's
move on from that I would just be
cautious right now always remember now
your keys now your crypto treasury
yields relatively flat markets and bears
were telling us we're gonna have this
massive liquidity drain and the reverse
rainbow facility wasn't going to be
enough to protect us so as usual more
negative noise that probably won't end
up being true the reality is things are
actually going pretty dang good right
now I know it might not feel that way
personally it's kind of like during
covid where the stock market was going
up and everybody felt like crap where
because we're on lockdown so I want to
parse that yes in our personal lives
things have gotten more expensive we're
still dealing with supply chain
shortages in Aerospace and in vehicles
to some extent and there's still
frustrations coming out of the coveted
economy but is that a justification for
saying I never I don't want to touch any
stocks or I just want to be completely
uninvested or I'm too bearish or I'm
going to just wait for the next div
opportunity probably not is it a
justification for going all on Nvidia
also probably not you probably have to
be slightly careful here mostly just
because generally when we start pricing
in things like oh they're gonna grow at
50 year over year those high
expectations tend to get met with a lot
of competition and unfortunately missed
expectations maybe that's why insiders
seem to continue selling in Nvidia
if you just look up Insider sales on
Google for NVIDIA let's just say after
earnings there have been a lot of
Insider sales so maybe the Insiders
happen to know something but then again
that only assumes people like Nancy
Pelosi know how to trade Stacks because
uh oh wait she also seems to have a lot
of inside information anyway I want to
wrap up by just commenting that there
are now some circulations uh being or
comments being made about the Apple
headset that it might be too tedious to
wear all day long because it's a metal a
glass frame that's actually quite heavy
and starts causing back of head strain
as well as just honestly pressure uh
there's some people talk about it being
queasy when you are becoming queasy when
you wear too long I want to be very
clear because I don't think I've been
clear enough on this I actually think in
10 years 10 to 15 years we'll probably
have a Ready Player one style world
where we can pretty much do everything
with from our headset I also think to
some extent that's very sad because I
remember being a child and I'll never
forget taking pictures of events with my
father and always feeling like I was
enjoying those events through the lens
of a camera
there's a massive difference between
being present and actually experiencing
an event and seeing an event and I'm not
sure that artificial intelligence
augmented reality virtual reality are
ever going to give us the feeling of
impersoneness that's not to say they're
not going to unlock really cool other
experiences let's just be real here it's
probably going to be really good for the
porn industry but aside from that uh
there will be other cool experiences
that that come from these headsets and I
do think that at some point in the
future businesses will probably
incorporate providing these headsets as
productivity boosters for their
employees in fact something that I do
for every employee that joins my
companies is I purposefully give them a
this isn't even an example of one
because it's a smaller one but I give
them an iPad Pro a stylus the uh
keyboard the magnetic keyboard that
comes with this I give them the noise
canceling headphones all of this not
like just because well sure it may come
across the Gen us but the point is their
productivity tools and if I can invest
in their productivity just like you can
invest in artificial intelligence
productivity make sure you don't get
left behind as an employee or
entrepreneur check out the course if we
can make ourselves more productive or a
team more productive we all end up
winning we get more done with less time
and then we have more time to spend on
things we want to do engaging and
collaborating with team members and
humans a lot of which I think it's
really important is done in person so
I'm a big fan of that
um anyway look I'm very upset that I
wasn't able to be live today for episode
101 we'll have to try again tomorrow I'm
going to fix all of that I also want to
just remind you that even though it is a
default and foregone conclusion that
most of us will tend to be more negative
than we are positive that things just
can't get better going forward I I want
to hopefully just give you a little
inspiration that
things can get better and I actually
have faith that things are going to be
relatively
better over this next decade and I
wouldn't I would really plant the seeds
of Investments now start that business
take that licensing test get educated
listen everyone in my office is by the
end of the year we're doing multiple
challenges we're gonna have a fitness
challenge we're gonna use AI we're gonna
finish challenge for this we're going to
have uh we're all going to be series 65
license we're all going to be Series 7
license you can do that as well
nothing's stopping you right uh we're
expanding multiple businesses we're
creating a whole multiple new businesses
that we didn't think we're gonna start
we've got our reg a which hopefully will
be qualified by the SEC
probably mid-june to the end of August
for house hacks so if you're waiting for
that that's probably what we're looking
at uh and in the meantime I'm very very
cautiously optimistic I don't want to
sound like a permeable and remember a
lot of people got pissed off at me in
January of 2022 for finally putting the
pieces of the puzzle together and going
oh my God the next year might actually
be really really bad which ended up
being correct
and I was transparent about that I made
a video you could go back search on
YouTube meet Kevin 20 million dollar
market bat it's actually a good video to
watch
two homework pieces number one meet
Kevin 20 million dollar market bed
around 33 minutes into the 35 minute
video I reveal that I sold 99.6 of my
portfolio and went five percent short
the market
something worth looking at
something like that maybe it was 99
anyway basically sold everything uh and
then also another lesson to study is
look at worst fed report ever meet Kevin
it should be January 5 of 2022 and you
can see one of the things that inspired
the massive U-turn we really realized oh
my gosh poopy has hit the fan and it's
what we saw then is quite frankly the
opposite now so even though I'm really
pissed my freaking internet
I'm optimistic I think the Bears right
now are are missing uh a lot of this
reality that this this fed fight to two
percent isn't what it appears anyway
thank you so much for watching this I
really appreciate you please consider
checking out my programs on building
your wealth link down below because
really I think the value you get in them
is actually worth 10x what you pay I
really believe that and if for some
reason you don't think so send me an
email with feedback and we'll make sure
to add the value that you think is
missing thank you so much for watching
send an email if you need to to staff
and meet kevin.com or if you have
questions for bundle coupons appreciate
y'all sorry I'm gonna go work on my
level 99 Fire making now sorry I
couldn't be live and we'll see y'all
soon good luck have a great day bye
now I want you to know this when it
comes to AI time is what's going to make
you money and if you can prove that
value to an employer you'll always be
able to be employed so this is another
way of making sure that you don't get
replaced but
foreign
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