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News Today & Trump News: The Meet Kevin Report [02/14/25]

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FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

well Jamie Diamond lashes out one crypto

0:02

firm says Bitcoin is going to 700,000

0:06

another says sell it now pick it up

0:08

again at 75k we'll talk about why and

0:11

what they say about Donald Trump with

0:15

his Trump token and what milania just

0:18

got paid nearly $30 million for we'll

0:24

talk about that also we'll have a little

0:27

bit of macro notes uh from gold sacks

0:30

and we'll look a little bit into micro

0:33

RFK got confirmed and well we got things

0:37

to cover first let's listen to Jamie

0:40

Diamond's lash out because honestly it's

0:43

Priceless and it should be motivating

0:45

for anybody leading teams at companies

0:47

or really any individual employee take a

0:51

listen to this this is priceless here we

0:55

go a lot of you were on the

0:58

zoom and you were doing the following

1:00

okay you know look at your mail sending

1:03

text to each other about what an

1:04

the other person is okay not paying

1:07

attention not reading your stuff you

1:09

know and if you don't think that slows

1:11

down efficiency creativity creates

1:13

rudeness and stuff it does okay and when

1:16

I found out that people are doing that

1:18

you don't do that my goddamn meetings

1:20

you go to meeting with me you got my

1:21

attention you got my focus I don't bring

1:23

my goddamn just a heads up this is like

1:26

the unfiltered behind the scenes Jamie

1:28

Diamond you know we're used to is sort

1:30

of like the interview Jamie Diamond but

1:32

this guy he's a Workhorse like i' I've

1:35

talked to people inside of JP Morgan

1:37

they're like when he shows up he's just

1:39

like a salt of the earth kind of guy but

1:41

he'll also he's not afraid to tell it

1:43

like it is and it's great this is like

1:47

inspiring to listen to not saying you

1:49

need to be aggressive but he's kind of

1:51

right like if you're in a zoom meeting

1:53

and you're off doing other things it's

1:55

probably not great for the corporation's

1:58

efficiency or productivity I think this

2:00

is why a lot of companies are going sort

2:02

of back to office and they're

2:04

purposefully trying to fire people uh in

2:06

doing so which I I don't think bodess

2:08

well for the future of uh Labor

2:10

unemployment but uh let's keep looking

2:12

hereone I'm not sending text to people

2:15

okay it's simply doesn't work and it

2:17

doesn't work for creativity it slows

2:19

down decision- making and don't give me

2:21

the to work from home Friday works

2:23

I I call a lot of people on Friday

2:25

they're not a goddamn person you get a

2:27

hold of but here are the problems okay

2:29

and they are are substantial okay which

2:32

is the Young Generation is being damaged

2:35

by this that may they may or may not be

2:37

in your particular step but they are

2:38

being left behind they're being left

2:40

behind socially ideas meeting people in

2:43

fact my guess is most you live in

2:45

communities a hell of a lot less diverse

2:47

than this room every area should be

2:50

looking to be 10% more efficient if I

2:52

was ready to Depart of 100 people I

2:54

guarantee you if I wanted to I can run

2:56

it with 90 and be more efficient I

2:58

guarantee you I could do it just I could

3:00

do it in my sleep and the notion these

3:03

bureaucracies I need more people I can't

3:05

get it done no because you you're

3:07

filling out requests that don't need to

3:09

be done your people going to meetings

3:11

they don't need to go to I by the way

3:13

this is something I see so common is

3:15

people feel like in order to prove that

3:17

they're being productive they have to go

3:19

to meetings meetings are the worst like

3:22

send me a freaking email like I I could

3:25

I could look back at the the countless

3:26

zooms that I've been on over the last

3:28

two years and almost all of them could

3:31

have been replaced by a text message or

3:33

an email and honestly I'd rather just go

3:36

meet you in person anyway uh but oh

3:39

meetings suck someone told me to approve

3:41

some of his wealth management that they

3:43

had to go to 14 committees I am dying to

3:46

get the name of the 14 committees and I

3:48

feel like firing 14 chairman of

3:50

committees I can't stand it anymore now

3:53

you have a choice you don't have to work

3:55

at JP Morgan so the people of you who

3:57

don't want to work at the company that's

3:59

fine with me I'm not I'm not mad at you

4:02

don't be mad at me it's a free country

4:04

you can walk at your feet you know but

4:06

this company is going to set our own

4:08

standards and do it our own way and and

4:10

I've had it with this kind of stuff and

4:12

you know I I come in you know I've been

4:14

working seven days of goddamn week since

4:16

covid and I come in and I where's

4:18

everybody else whe they here and there

4:20

and the zooms and the zooms don't show

4:22

up and people say they didn't get stuff

4:24

so that's not how you run a great

4:25

company we didn't build this great

4:27

company by doing that by doing the same

4:30

semi disease that everybody else

4:32

does yeah that was good I love rants

4:37

like that and I I just feel like it's so

4:39

so real uh and and it exhibits so many

4:42

frustrations that I feel like so many of

4:43

us can agree with uh but anyway Happy

4:45

Valentine's Day everyone let's get into

4:47

the me Kevin report for today February

4:49

14th uh so uh BCA research argues that

4:52

the top is in they say that we're going

4:54

to be getting less fiscal policy uh and

4:57

therefore we shouldn't be expecting uh

4:59

Bitcoin to move more positively

5:02

especially in an environment of

5:04

moderating growth they say they also see

5:06

that overall yes while there are bumps

5:09

on the way uh they expect that uh

5:11

inflation is indeed moderating uh and as

5:14

a result it's time to take profits on

5:16

bitcoin and wait to buy closer to 75,000

5:19

now you might think that they are the

5:21

Bayers of the room uh but at least

5:23

according to themselves uh they have

5:25

been Bulls uh longer than anybody else

5:28

has been a bull and talk about how

5:30

they've been uh Bulls on crypto since

5:32

early

5:33

2023 uh and that bottom line they're

5:36

cashing out of Bitcoin for now and

5:38

they'll be back buyers around

5:40

75,000 uh they also uh go break down a

5:43

little bit about some of the wealth that

5:45

has been created by the trumps they talk

5:48

about how basically the Trump token

5:52

which issued a share of uh just

5:56

20% a float available for people to buy

5:59

with 80% % held by insiders created more

6:03

wealth for Donald Trump in a matter of

6:06

hours via a meme coin then his lifetime

6:10

of

6:11

Investments that didn't last long though

6:14

then you started seeing kind of the the

6:15

sort of uh petering out of uh the Trump

6:19

token price the launch of Melania token

6:22

didn't do so

6:23

well uh they also go on then to say that

6:27

is it possible that crime is now maybe

6:30

legal did the first family just perform

6:34

a rug pole a term used in the

6:38

cryptocurrency world for a scam the

6:42

podus launched his coin with a textbook

6:46

set of red

6:48

flags keeping a lid on liquidity uh uh

6:51

while at the same time issuing other

6:54

tokens so basically doing the opposite

6:56

so it's like you're saying you're

6:57

keeping a lid on liquidity but you're

6:59

actually not because you're just

7:00

creating more tokens other people and

7:02

celebrities do this as well HW Tua she

7:06

did it and now she's getting sued and

7:08

sent over to the SEC uh of course people

7:11

think that Trump uh who has immunity can

7:14

basically do whatever he wants and given

7:16

that he's directed the SEC to uh reduce

7:18

the enforcement of cryptocurrencies

7:20

maybe uh maybe nothing ends up happening

7:22

anyway but BCA argues that all of this

7:26

together may end up being a sign of the

7:28

top they don't say that you should care

7:30

about Trump one way or the other they

7:33

say the fact is that right now when

7:35

you've got people like Larry think of

7:37

Black Rock suggesting uh that active

7:40

wealth managers should be allocating 2

7:42

to 5% of their portfolio to bitcoin and

7:44

that the price is going to 700,000 for

7:46

Bitcoin that you should look at that as

7:48

a top signal not only that but the

7:51

launch of ETFs with record inflows for

7:53

Bitcoin have really indicated a surge of

7:56

optimism and they say that this raging

7:59

optim ism is a sign of the top the share

8:01

of supply of Bitcoin right now in profit

8:04

is over 90% which historically marks the

8:08

top also eight out of the 10 most

8:11

downloaded financial apps right now are

8:14

crypto trading apps with uh the number

8:17

one app apparently called

8:21

moonshot we also see some macro Trends

8:23

over the next 6 months that could

8:25

potentially weigh on crypto prices such

8:28

as uh deficit spending for the

8:29

government disappointing well yeah cuz

8:31

they're firing everyone okay well not

8:32

everyone but you know they're they're

8:34

doing over there yeah there's moonshot

8:37

hey it's only got like a 3.8 star review

8:40

it's got a lot of reviews though uh but

8:42

anyway uh you know they do argue that

8:45

long term Bitcoin they don't see it as a

8:48

scam they don't see it as like a tool

8:51

that's mostly used for Crime which

8:52

people allege about crypto in fact they

8:55

argue that only a small percentage of

8:57

crypto is used for Crime so yes it

8:59

happens but you know greater percentage

9:01

of crime occurs with dollar Hollow uh

9:04

but

9:05

anyway it's it is quite fascinating that

9:08

that they're taking this point of view

9:09

that we're at Peak uh risk basically for

9:14

downside movement in Bitcoin uh and that

9:18

uh when when you get to the point of the

9:21

president issuing meme coins and

9:23

potentially

9:24

rugging you have no greater sign of

9:26

being at a top now Bitcoin when when you

9:28

look at sort of the technicals of it it

9:31

has been range bound really since the

9:33

election there's no real indication yet

9:36

that we are setting up for a trend to

9:38

actually explode up to 155 uh people are

9:41

instead more actively looking at this

9:43

potential to return to the 71k Line This

9:45

is where they say they would be buyers

9:47

again under 75,000 quite interesting

9:50

don't uh don't disagree with some of

9:51

that analysis uh but what's also very

9:54

interesting is that was BCA research but

9:56

it led me to look at the front page of

9:57

the Wall Street Journal actually I think

9:59

I have right here was it right here oh

10:01

yeah there it is I already threw it away

10:03

because I I wrote down what I wanted to

10:04

from it but I figured I'd show you cuz

10:06

yeah I still read the paper it's cuz I'm

10:09

old now I just had a

10:15

birthday Trump family reaps Bonanza

10:18

making millions since

10:20

election they basically talk about how

10:22

Melania Trump has been working to sell

10:24

the rights for a movie or documentary

10:27

about her return to the White House as a

10:29

first lady after dinner with Trump uh

10:32

Bezos and

10:33

Melania Amazon 2 weeks later decided to

10:36

announce a 40 million licensing

10:38

agreement for milania's documentary next

10:41

highest offer was from Disney at million

10:44

so makes you wonder why was the Delta

10:47

$26

10:49

million with Amazon that is why was

10:52

Amazon willing to pay $26 million more

10:55

get a special favors that we get from

10:56

Trump over here huh

11:00

you know I was looking there there um

11:02

somebody uh somebody sent this on on

11:04

Twitter I've been very little active on

11:07

Twitter but I saw uh I guess searches

11:09

for Swiss bank accounts uh and like uh

11:13

you know ISBN wire numbers are

11:15

skyrocketing specifically in Washington

11:19

DC which is uh which is quite

11:22

interesting Swiss bank accounts for US

11:25

citizens skyrocketing now some people

11:28

were saying DC uh I'm looking right now

11:31

and I see more California Swiss bank

11:34

accounts for US

11:36

citizens some kind of giant Skyrocket

11:39

there right at the end of the year too

11:41

but it is possible that somebody

11:43

releases a letter and says you should

11:44

have a s's bank account and that leads

11:46

to these bumps so I don't know that it

11:47

necessarily means anything but it is

11:49

interesting because if you look at sort

11:50

of the money that the Trump family has

11:52

been making you know I

11:54

mean Donald Trump got a $25 million

11:57

settlement for meta milania Trump just

11:59

got basically a $28 million deal because

12:01

he gets about 70% of that $40 million

12:03

licensing fee plus they're trying to

12:05

sell more sponsors for it uh e you know

12:08

uh X just paid Trump $10 million to

12:10

settle lawsuit Don Jr Jo joins The

12:13

Advisory board for unusual machines a

12:15

drone manufacturer it skyrockets like

12:17

249 the two days thereafter and they pay

12:20

him shares uh CNN wanted to interview

12:22

Melania Trump and she's like um yeah in

12:25

order to take your interview uh we're

12:28

going to charge $250 ,000 to go on your

12:31

show so in other words Melania Trump in

12:33

order to share her opinion on CNN wanted

12:36

$250,000 which

12:39

uh Trump fans say did they think she was

12:42

going to do it for free or you know

12:46

$250,000 probably have been a good

12:48

investment for uh CNN's uh

12:51

viewership and then of course people on

12:53

the other side are like bro they should

12:55

be doing this for free they they're

12:57

they're they're serving us but then you

12:58

know people respond to that and go

13:01

technically is the first lady a civil

13:04

servant or is she the wife of a civil

13:08

servant anyway uh the Wall Street

13:10

Journal also had an editorial piece that

13:12

media's got its thing going today I

13:14

guess but Wall Street Journal had an

13:15

editorial piece about how dumb tariffs

13:16

are honestly as as just like an economic

13:19

101 POV yeah tariffs are stupid they

13:22

create dead weight loss but anyway they

13:24

have this interesting analogy they're

13:25

like look just because somebody else has

13:27

dumb ideas and they tff us doesn't mean

13:29

you should copy those dumb ideas because

13:31

you just end up creating more dead

13:32

weight loss so like then you also have

13:35

to wonder if China's going to tariff

13:37

Rare Earth minerals are we going to copy

13:38

that and make it even harder for us to

13:40

buy those critical minerals like we

13:42

don't sell rare earth minerals to China

13:44

but if they have them and we need them

13:45

why are we going to make it harder kind

13:47

of an interesting point Goldman Sachs

13:49

has an argument that maybe gold could

13:51

end up retracing its recent gains on a

13:54

resolution between Russia and Ukraine

13:57

Steve disagrees uh dank bank I I think

14:00

that's such an interesting name Dan

14:02

Den it sounds like dank dank bank anyway

14:07

says that the labor market remains solid

14:09

and layoffs remain historically low with

14:10

no acute signs of weakness uh but they

14:13

argue that there could be a reduction

14:15

and productivity uh and that's going to

14:17

be something to pay attention to though

14:20

when you look at capex

14:22

spending some people are like hey you

14:24

know Microsoft meta and all these

14:26

companies so far haven't reduced their

14:27

capex spending for artificial

14:28

intelligence

14:30

but meta actually might be

14:33

shifting uh exactly what they spend it

14:36

on a lot of people think that cap

14:37

spending is all going to go to Nvidia

14:39

but apparently per Bloomberg meta's big

14:42

next bet is going to be humanoid

14:44

robotics to compete with Tesla uh you

14:47

know Alibaba has been up since like 55%

14:50

since the Deep seek moment and partly

14:52

because of you know Chinese exposure to

14:54

artificial intelligence but also their

14:56

partnership with apple uh uh but but

14:58

other

14:59

see the next phase of AI spending that

15:02

capex spending not necessarily is going

15:04

away but getting reallocated to things

15:06

like humanoid I actually do agree that

15:09

humanoid Robotics are going to be the

15:11

next Frontier of Investments it's why my

15:13

Venture Capital company invested in in

15:17

humanoids uh that and space exploration

15:20

so more more on that soon uh but what's

15:23

fascinating here to really think

15:26

about is these Mega cap companies the

15:31

mag sevs specifically uh the Amazon meta

15:35

Google Microsoft I think they there's a

15:38

chance they could all throw their money

15:40

into humanoid robotic development I

15:43

honestly think they'll probably just end

15:44

up buying up some of the smaller

15:46

humanoid robotic companies and if they

15:48

do

15:50

that then you have a lot of humanoid

15:53

companies competing with Tesla the

15:54

question then becomes manufacturing and

15:56

some people actually see an upside for

15:58

Tesla there and that maybe they can

15:59

contract manufacturer with Tesla but the

16:01

downside there is then you're

16:03

associating again with elon's politics

16:05

and so that might not be the best

16:06

contract manufacturer uh so you might

16:10

just end up having new manufacturing

16:11

plants coming up from like the Microsoft

16:14

robotic space or the Google uh deepmind

16:18

robotic space kind of interesting

16:21

something that I don't know uh if if a

16:23

lot of folks have really considered when

16:25

it comes to uh you know what Optimus is

16:28

over at at Tesla and presently the what

16:31

appears to be the lack of competition

16:34

anyway uh speaking of competition

16:37

there's so much competition in Celsius

16:40

that last year we did three analyses on

16:44

Celsius stock and each time I said I

16:46

would not buy this stock their PP is

16:49

shrinking they are struggling to sell

16:52

their product because of increased

16:54

competition and sometimes the best

16:57

investment is the investment you didn't

17:00

make and so if you look at Celsius stock

17:03

over the last year it's down

17:06

63% one of my first analyses into this

17:09

company uh was uh back in January of

17:12

2024 I didn't like him then then again

17:15

in

17:16

June excuse me uh uh it was end end of

17:19

May beginning of June somewhere right

17:20

around here was like right around the

17:21

top we're like this is crazy this is

17:23

like pure Euphoria and sure enough what

17:25

happens since that Peak it sound like

17:27

75% so you'd be careful I I'm a

17:30

fundamentalist at heart and you want to

17:31

be very very careful with stuff like

17:33

this uh next thing to consider is uh

17:38

California I found this very interesting

17:40

for the California fires you have you

17:42

ever heard about how the utilities

17:45

potentially want to have the power

17:47

turned off so a fire doesn't get caused

17:50

through utilities well apparently soal

17:53

Edison did because everybody was begging

17:54

them to and now there's a potential that

17:56

because they turned off the power they

17:58

overload some of their other

17:59

transmission lines ended up causing the

18:01

fire in the first place for the eaten

18:03

fire that's what's being in investigated

18:06

now

18:07

crazy RFK ended up getting approved as

18:10

the Department of Health and Human

18:13

Services so uh I think vaccine makers

18:16

are probably rattling in their boots

18:18

right now that be kind of entertaining

18:20

uh anyway so we'll see how this all

18:22

plays out but uh that's what we got

18:25

today for the meet Kevin report so if

18:27

you want to uh be a part of the deep

18:29

fundamental analysis we do every single

18:30

morning make sure you join us we'll be

18:32

live this weekend as well at uh in the

18:36

morning and you could watch it back on

18:37

2x if you want course member live

18:39

streams get lifetime access to them

18:41

trumponomics will also be getting some

18:42

new lectures uh with a price increase uh

18:46

at the end of the month uh as we prepare

18:48

to release some amazing new lectures uh

18:51

so check those out as well as the course

18:54

member live streams that you get access

18:55

to real estate analysis you name it

18:57

check it out over at me Kevin

18:59

thanks so much for watching and folks

19:00

we'll see you in the next one goodbye

19:01

and good luck why not advertise these

19:03

things that you told us here I feel like

19:04

nobody else knows about this we'll we'll

19:06

try out little advertising in seeo

19:08

congratulations man you have done so

19:09

much people love you people look up to

19:11

you Kevin PA there financial analyst and

19:14

YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get

19:16

your take

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