TRANSCRIPTEnglish

Macro Disaster & Recession, Inflation, and Entrepreneurship | Mile High Podcast 1

42m 9s8,845 words1,226 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

what you're about to watch is an

0:01

experiment of a podcast while flying to

0:05

a destination what I would love for you

0:07

to do is leave me a comment down below

0:09

if you liked what you saw should we do

0:12

it again and if you want to join me and

0:15

potentially be on the jet when we go

0:17

travel to look for real estate check out

0:19

the first link in the description down

0:21

below as well right next to that

0:23

expiring coupon code for the programs

0:24

I'm building your wealth let's get

0:26

started welcome to the first ever Mile

0:28

High podcast we have absolutely no

0:31

expectations for this whatsoever but we

0:33

are so excited to share

0:36

real estate and macro with you today so

0:39

take care to kick us off I am going to

0:43

ask a question and then we'll get

0:46

insights so the first question is a

0:49

question that I get in the comments

0:50

every single day which is Kevin

0:54

why don't you just zoom for Real Estate

0:57

why are you traveling for it since y'all

0:59

have been with me for the last few days

1:01

I'd like your insights before I give any

1:03

of my insights how about we start with

1:06

you okay uh well it's one thing to see

1:09

the specs of a house but it's definitely

1:11

way different to see the whole

1:12

neighborhood in person and especially

1:14

with some of the older neighborhoods

1:15

that we saw how much it can change from

1:16

just one street to the next and to your

1:19

point like until you've been somewhere

1:20

three four five times in the exact same

1:22

neighborhood you don't know what you're

1:23

really signing up for

1:25

so I think just being in person is

1:27

invaluable

1:28

are you your turn yeah so I mean adding

1:31

on to that in-person experience

1:34

um talking with the local community talk

1:36

I mean the other day we were in Salt

1:38

Lake and we talked to that uh Barista

1:40

super nice guy he told us the lowdown

1:43

about every single little Community

1:45

every single facet of that of that

1:47

community and

1:49

um I mean we were in that sandwich shop

1:51

too I mean you you were talking with the

1:53

um the owner uh you know stopped the guy

1:56

who was buying a sandwich asking about

1:58

you know he told me there's some fault

2:00

line which she would have never you know

2:01

learned about it I mean it's probably

2:02

not you know a big deal or whatever but

2:04

you know you get like these these little

2:06

facets these little understandings that

2:08

you could not get online because you

2:09

wouldn't even know what to search for so

2:11

yeah uh yeah how about you guys back

2:14

here you haven't gone with us yet

2:15

welcome aboard by the way we'll have to

2:18

ask you after today go ahead

2:21

yeah building on what Tristan said it is

2:23

really cool how we can uh meet the

2:25

community like when we were in Gilbert

2:26

Arizona we were able to like meet with

2:28

uh McKay's family who's lived there for

2:31

a while and uh really just talked with

2:34

the father and understand the real

2:36

estate he was telling us about the

2:37

Airbnb rentals which was really

2:39

insightful so when you have

2:42

that over the course of like multiple

2:44

visits you can get a much better idea of

2:46

an area whether it's investable or not

2:49

um like Spring Valley glad we visited

2:52

because now we know that that's not

2:54

something new yeah that's it's a really

2:57

good point when we visit an area it's

2:59

easy to look at specs online and I think

3:01

that's what a lot of Institutions do is

3:04

oh let's do the macro survey let's get

3:06

the atom real estate data let's get the

3:08

median incomes and the median rents and

3:11

see where can we get the highest uh cash

3:13

on cash return but when you're actually

3:14

there we're like wait we want to be on

3:16

this street because that street might

3:17

appreciate more or might attract longer

3:20

tenants longer more longevity for our

3:22

tenants which that helps us operate more

3:24

efficiently one of the things I always

3:26

look for is how can we get a higher

3:28

quality tenant so that way one property

3:30

manager can manage 300 rentals instead

3:33

of maybe the average of 50 rentals at a

3:36

BlackRock or Invitation Homes baby so if

3:38

we can get that operational leverage

3:39

because we're buying higher quality and

3:41

we know what the locals desire that's a

3:44

lot easier to do in person because

3:45

you're seeing it you're understanding

3:47

why so when deals come up you can act

3:49

faster I see a lot of out of area folks

3:52

they study everything they can online

3:54

and then when it comes time to finally

3:56

pull the trigger they also don't have

3:57

the confidence so they miss on deals

3:59

after deal after deal and they're always

4:01

frustrated why didn't I get a deal why

4:02

can't I buy a deal in real estate well

4:04

you're not there you don't know the

4:06

market and the people don't know you see

4:08

when you're there all the time the

4:09

listing agents know you the buyer's

4:11

agents know you they're like that guy's

4:13

always here they know this is a good

4:15

deal and when they know

4:17

that you know it's a good deal you get

4:20

ripped off no I'm just kidding

4:21

no no I mean in competitive environments

4:24

on good deals you want to have

4:25

everything going for you that they're

4:27

confident in your ability to close the

4:29

deal what do you think back here are you

4:30

working on something else you want to be

4:32

part of the mile high podcast

4:34

you want to keep working he doesn't want

4:35

to be part of the mile high podcast okay

4:37

works out fine fine then back in the

4:40

toilet for you

4:41

so uh okay so

4:45

what about uh so that's that's for

4:48

exploring real estate uh what are y'all

4:51

what are some of your initial

4:53

perceptions of uh the real estate market

4:56

so I I know some of us have been

4:59

studying it but I'm curious uh even even

5:01

I'd like to start with you sort of your

5:02

thoughts you just bought uh when did you

5:05

just buy real estate maybe you could

5:06

tell us when you just bought real estate

5:08

uh the airbnbs you're doing tell us tell

5:10

us a little bit about uh your situation

5:12

kind of what you think about the real

5:13

estate market and your long-term plans

5:16

uh you don't want to ask me I bought at

5:18

the peak I'm just kidding yeah we I just

5:21

bought a property back in October and uh

5:24

that property now we worked on and we

5:26

just got it up and running in December

5:27

so very uh little data at this point but

5:30

so far it's been pretty good and I mean

5:32

we bought in Las Vegas it's uh

5:35

definitely high traffic area everybody's

5:37

coming to Vegas still I don't think

5:38

that's gonna stop anytime soon people

5:40

like to gamble people like to party so

5:42

uh yeah that's definitely going well we

5:44

also bought impossible Springs that's

5:45

another place that you know we we really

5:47

like the desert area

5:49

um you know it's cold everywhere so

5:51

people are definitely wanting to go

5:52

somewhere where it's a lot nicer in

5:53

weather so that's primarily what I've

5:55

been looking at it's just places that

5:56

people will always want to go to no

5:58

matter what time of year and you know

6:00

that's just kind of how we're focusing

6:01

right now but yeah I mean I'm happy to

6:04

join you guys I didn't even consider

6:06

Washington prior to this so

6:08

um this is going to be a cool experience

6:10

what uh what kind of uh returns were you

6:14

expecting when you went into the

6:15

properties that you bought is it

6:17

something where you saw okay we're going

6:19

to pay X dollars for the property and uh

6:22

X down what kind of rents are you

6:24

thinking you're looking at if let's say

6:25

you have that 50 vacancy factor for

6:28

Airbnb or what are some of those numbers

6:29

that you're at least projecting and

6:31

thinking about outside of what actual

6:33

prices do for for macro

6:36

um okay so I guess that's where it's

6:37

like you know like more of like a

6:39

personal thing like everybody kind of

6:41

decides what's the best fit for them

6:42

yeah

6:43

um and since I've been watching you know

6:45

Kevin and I definitely follow along I

6:48

kind of wanted to use the whole wedge

6:49

deal as like kind of like a like a basis

6:51

point if you get a wedge deal and you

6:54

have a good deal on the property and

6:55

your mortgage isn't something too

6:56

outrageous especially right now with

6:58

interest rates

6:59

um you have a little bit of room there

7:00

so like you said you have room for that

7:01

50 vacancy potentially you just never

7:04

know and so you can kind of protect

7:06

yourself a little bit have a little bit

7:07

of insulation and that's kind of what we

7:10

did with ours it's like for me I I'm

7:12

okay as long as the place is producing

7:14

enough to take care of itself I'm not

7:15

coming out of pocket and then you know

7:17

when things pick up again you know

7:18

hopefully that'll that'll help out

7:20

that's awesome yeah I think one of the

7:22

the big things that I always Advocate

7:24

wedge deals for is this this idea that

7:26

you have insulation so even if the

7:28

market doesn't almost really matter that

7:30

you try to time the market at the top or

7:32

the bottom or what what just matters is

7:35

that whenever you are buying on that

7:36

cycle you're buying maybe 10 20 below

7:40

whatever that line is that's your

7:42

insulation so if you've got fluctuations

7:44

big deal the the odds of you going

7:46

upside down especially with a down

7:48

payment very very little in that case

7:50

we'd have to see something catastrophic

7:52

and in that case uh we'll probably have

7:54

bigger problems that's what I always say

7:55

people always come to me they're like oh

7:57

Kevin yeah you know well what if what if

8:00

the world ends then I'm like that I

8:01

don't care about my real estate anyway

8:02

you know what if we go it's world war

8:04

three and we got nuclear war I got

8:06

bigger problems I'm worrying about my

8:07

real estate values at that point so uh

8:09

earlier we were talking about macro tell

8:11

me a little bit about your thoughts on

8:13

the macro cycle so for the macro stuff

8:16

relating to real estate I mean I think

8:18

it's it's without a shadow of a doubt

8:20

that there's been a change in the

8:21

secular Trend up to more of a trend down

8:23

I mean essentially yes a trend down um

8:26

you know all throughout the country talk

8:28

to I mean already a bunch of agents that

8:30

we visited and stuff

8:31

um uh you know from Little Rock to uh uh

8:35

Salt Lake you know here to here in

8:36

California prices are yeah yeah all

8:39

saying the same thing prices are going

8:40

down we'll probably continue to go down

8:43

the question is how much the magnitude

8:45

at which they go down in the specific

8:46

area and I mean that's why we're you

8:48

know flying everywhere to really trying

8:50

to find the the good sustainable markets

8:52

that we see growth and you know

8:54

potential in and we see value like a a

8:56

wedge deal with it of a city itself you

8:59

know essentially so

9:01

um but I mean the derivative of all of

9:03

this secular change is I mean macro the

9:05

meme or whatever right um but it comes

9:07

down to interest rates uh I mean

9:09

whatever Powell has said he has done

9:12

since fall of 21 he said he was going to

9:14

raise it you know there's a lot of fed

9:15

speak but you know eventually he

9:18

actually did it people we're saying he's

9:19

gonna pivot but uh he kept on sticking

9:21

with it uh you know it becomes a Hot

9:25

Topic and I guess the big debate over

9:26

the like the big big macro like we were

9:28

talking about earlier is you know will

9:31

he actually pivot and if he does what'll

9:33

happen with raids do they go negative

9:35

like we see in Europe and Germany like

9:36

you mentioned I mean what would you say

9:38

the other or what you say about Germany

9:39

recently yeah

9:40

yeah well before the covet pandemic

9:41

Germany went to negative rates on

9:43

savings and we we were talking about wow

9:47

there is the possibility that the world

9:49

goes negative again with it certainly

9:51

within our lifetimes I think honestly

9:53

within the next decade uh which is wild

9:55

but uh yeah earlier before we started

9:58

the mile high podcast to catch everyone

10:00

up we had this uh this this thesis that

10:03

the bond Market's already pricing in

10:05

based on the depth of the inverted yield

10:06

curve is already pricing in 500 basis

10:09

points of cuts uh through this cutting

10:11

cycle we're we might not even get to

10:14

five percent right now the the yield

10:17

curve uh the the projected

10:20

rate Peak is sitting at 4.82 from from

10:25

what uh at least the terminal showed

10:27

this morning 500 off of that we're

10:29

already negative just based off what the

10:30

bond Mark is showing and I mean that

10:32

could fluctuate Bond Market's not

10:33

perfect but boy I would rather watch the

10:36

bond market than the stock market over

10:37

the last year yeah if I could add on to

10:39

that I mean essentially the bond market

10:41

is that's where the money is that's the

10:43

most money I mean uh factors times

10:46

bigger than the equity markets and these

10:48

are the guys who are managing pensions

10:49

you know all that money all the money

10:51

that you know that you know 401K is

10:52

going to and everything well it's

10:54

managed it all gets funneled eventually

10:55

into the bond market and the guys

10:58

there's a small number of guy not small

11:00

but I mean proportionally small number

11:02

of people uh who really you know trade

11:04

the markets manage the bond markets and

11:07

these are smart people you have someone

11:09

like you know Jeffrey gunlock uh

11:11

billionaire uh a bond market uh fun guy

11:13

I mean if if you're interested in

11:14

learning about the bond market that's

11:16

the that that he posted stuff on YouTube

11:18

like his thoughts straight up um but um

11:21

yeah you have people like that really

11:23

saying you know inflation is going to

11:26

come down dramatically and he's not only

11:28

talking to talk he's walking the walk by

11:31

you know the way he's managing the money

11:33

and bond like the bond market itself

11:35

shows what the consensus Bond managers

11:38

believe and what they are pricing in

11:40

right now is you know that invert that's

11:42

a definition of an inverted yield curve

11:44

they think it's going to eventually

11:45

pivot so what do you think the the

11:47

long-term effects on more like Society

11:49

political things would be if you know

11:52

rates do go negative and how do you like

11:54

first the problems Kevin that you think

11:56

would arise from that and also some

11:58

solutions to those problems you know I

12:00

think the first thing that we

12:02

immediately think is oh that's it the

12:03

fed's gonna collapse the dollar is going

12:05

to collapse it's over U.S dominance is

12:08

over U.S dominance isn't going anywhere

12:10

it's we're twice the size of China China

12:12

is probably in a depression uh dollar

12:14

strength might weaken and ebb and flow

12:17

over time but but for at least the next

12:20

20 years I think the United States is a

12:22

dominant economy to invest in it's so

12:25

what I do think

12:27

is a risk is that we face more of a

12:30

Japan problem eventually maybe yeah

12:33

maybe not not soon but maybe our 30s are

12:37

like their 90s right so I I do believe

12:40

after this recession

12:42

we will return to growth and substantial

12:44

growth but there is that possibility

12:46

that in the 30s we move into that that

12:48

Japan 90s and what that really was was

12:51

uh such low growth and negative growth

12:55

that you had a Fed at the bank of Japan

12:58

lowering rates uh to to negative levels

13:03

and not causing inflation and I think

13:06

that's why our Fed so much so thought

13:08

wow inflation rates have been coming

13:09

down for 40 years

13:11

a little bit of money printing won't

13:13

hurt no clearly we learned that in the

13:15

short term we could definitely print our

13:17

way to inflation so I actually think

13:20

that's good news the reason I think

13:22

that's good news which sounds crazy

13:24

right now is it delays when we would

13:27

ever face the Japan problem see Japan

13:29

has printed money for decades and has

13:32

not created inflation that's the problem

13:35

they they have it's almost like they've

13:37

lost their sex drive to relate it to

13:39

that you pump them up with more and more

13:41

Viagra just doesn't work if they can't

13:45

get the pp up you know the pricing power

13:47

doesn't go up it just stays small and

13:51

that's a sad life when there's no growth

13:53

so the fact that we were able to pump it

13:56

a little bit and we got a big explosion

13:58

of of inflation it was actually a good

14:00

sign that we're still healthy and human

14:02

so like we still have that's why I think

14:04

we've got another big boom cycle ahead

14:07

of us for the next decade you know then

14:08

we wonder okay is there a risk where now

14:11

we slowly start are trending back to

14:12

that great moderation uh now we go

14:15

negative which we never quite were right

14:17

I mean mortgage yields fell to a low on

14:19

the 30 year of 2.7 Germany at the time

14:21

had gotten to I think 0.9 or 1.2

14:24

somewhere around there really incredible

14:26

I always try I was calling my family in

14:27

Europe and Germany asking them can can

14:29

you borrow and I borrow from you and we

14:31

Arbitrage this this is this is too good

14:33

to be true you know

14:35

then covert hit at that point yeah yeah

14:38

and it was Game Over You know it's like

14:40

do we even want to buy you know I

14:41

remember the Panic for that but uh yeah

14:44

it was just remarkable how I mean they

14:46

were starting to charge I was going to

14:47

say earlier charge for deposits uh on uh

14:50

on on Savings in Germany and so I

14:53

actually think this is great uh in in as

14:55

terrible as it is there is a silver

14:58

lining to it I shouldn't say it's great

14:59

it's it's more of a silver lining that

15:01

we did have this inflation because it

15:03

gets us away from that Japan for a

15:04

little longer it keeps that dominance

15:06

that U.S growth for uh quite a while

15:08

longer so uh I think the the stories of

15:11

the fed's gonna collapse the dollar is

15:13

going to collapse way down the line and

15:15

therefore the problems are really way

15:17

down the line I think for now let's let

15:20

inflation cycle down which a lot of

15:23

folks don't recognize how that works

15:24

that's another thing we were talking

15:25

about earlier is this idea that

15:28

look inflation's at six and a half

15:29

percent now and you have people all over

15:32

social media saying well my food's not

15:34

getting cheaper right well that's and

15:36

they're like my food's not getting

15:37

cheaper how is inflation gonna go to two

15:38

percent well that's actually the point

15:40

if your food stays the same price

15:43

inflation is zero it's you just need

15:46

that year-over-year roll-off and and so

15:48

I there is a very large fundamental

15:50

misunderstanding of what inflation is

15:52

from retail and from investors and the

15:55

problem with that is when people

15:56

fundamentally misunderstand inflation

15:58

their pension fund managers and their

16:00

hedge funds and their financial advisors

16:01

position for their clients desires so

16:05

you actually have this weird effect

16:06

where people of course are tactically

16:08

moving out of growth and Innovation

16:10

because that's what their clients are

16:11

demanding because of course inflation is

16:13

never going to go away but the reality

16:14

is it's a herd yeah it's like the retail

16:17

gets spooked now all the institution

16:19

institutions freak out which freaks out

16:21

the retail more which freaks out the

16:23

institution it's all self-fulfilling so

16:26

you got to get that cycle happening in

16:27

reverse and that it's it's not going to

16:30

be like the covered pandemic it's gonna

16:31

be slower

16:33

between like the downturn with you know

16:36

Japan you know not having enough just a

16:38

true real economy they didn't like the

16:40

growth there and you're saying that the

16:42

babies being born yes so so do you think

16:43

it's that that's what I was going to go

16:45

into like you know is that because of

16:47

population Trends what what do you I

16:49

mean I know the population in the U.S I

16:51

mean everywhere has been declining but

16:52

we still have relatively you know higher

16:55

population uh levels and I mean growth

16:58

we're still I want to be clear we're

17:01

growing but not as much as we used to so

17:04

I want to make that clear the rate of

17:06

growth is decreasing yes so it's

17:07

inflating yes exactly so are what other

17:11

factors do you think there are other

17:13

than uh population and also going into

17:15

population is that just societal is that

17:17

like you know values what like I mean

17:19

this is like you know big big macro

17:21

stuff or whatever right but um yeah what

17:23

do you think yeah so well eventually I

17:25

think what will happen is you'll you'll

17:28

actually have less of a fear of

17:30

immigration uh see one of the big things

17:32

uh now is yes we have a declining birth

17:34

rate but people are so worried about

17:36

overpopulation oh they're more cars

17:39

there's more traffic but at the same

17:41

time as we get more Innovation around

17:42

travel like self-driving taxis less

17:44

parking lots we actually catch up with

17:47

constructing enough Apartments over the

17:49

next decade to two decades we build

17:50

enough supply of homes and we have

17:53

faster Transportation or we have jobs

17:54

that can capitalize on being remote more

17:57

we're going to be less worried about

17:58

overcrowding and we're going to be more

18:00

worried about

18:01

we have a labor shortage and and which

18:04

we've already experienced now but that's

18:06

going to get worse

18:07

right now right yeah yeah exactly you

18:10

you can catch up on that it's just uh

18:12

but uh I think then you'll finally get

18:15

and I ran for governor on this idea that

18:17

we need more legal immigration the idea

18:19

is just too early right the idea of more

18:22

legal immigration is too soon I'm a big

18:24

fan of we should have future schools

18:25

where we actually invite people to come

18:28

to America we will educate them and put

18:30

them in our Workforce so they could be

18:31

trades people plumbers Carpenters

18:33

contractors programmers whatever now we

18:35

actually provide much more economic

18:38

growth right every every person getting

18:41

a hundred thousand dollar salary is not

18:43

just a hundred thousand dollars first of

18:44

all it's probably somewhere around 150

18:46

000 because of workers comp and taxes

18:49

and all that well that tax money goes

18:50

somewhere to more schools or whatever

18:52

property taxes goes to that but to more

18:54

government services the workers comp

18:56

goes to insurance companies which then

18:57

gets invested into guess what real

18:59

estate which builds more housing it's

19:01

the velocity of money at work right just

19:03

more payrolls is literally the velocity

19:05

of money uh so uh I I'm a big fan of

19:09

government policy doing whatever it

19:12

needs to do to build growth uh and to

19:15

drive economic growth because that's

19:16

politically positive one of the things

19:18

that you don't have in Japan that in my

19:21

opinion that the United States has is

19:23

that this is America and people want to

19:25

live here from around the world not

19:27

saying people don't want to live in

19:28

Japan but ask people in Japan a lot of

19:31

people would love the opportunity to

19:34

pack everything and go to the United

19:35

States that's true around the world and

19:38

I'm not saying that's true for everybody

19:39

but I believe that in the vast majority

19:42

of cases you go to Germany you go to

19:44

France you go to Italy you go to Japan

19:45

China I don't really care what country

19:47

it is people want to be in America

19:49

there's a reason we're the number one

19:50

economy now again I'm not saying

19:52

everyone but if if we opened up the

19:54

doors tomorrow and said anybody's

19:56

allowed to come I guarantee you though

19:59

we will we will double our population

20:00

almost overnight because so many people

20:02

would love to be here anyway go ahead

20:04

with the blue collars oh no I just

20:06

wanted to no I mean exactly exactly what

20:08

you're saying uh you know there's

20:09

shortage of Labor we're already starting

20:11

to see that I mean you get into Ubi and

20:13

that type of thing but um with

20:15

immigration I I totally agree if you are

20:17

able like there's nothing inherently

20:19

wrong with immigration I mean America

20:21

was founded on immigration and that's

20:23

why I mean arguably you were saying

20:25

there are problems with immigration

20:27

policy Yes except the way that yes yeah

20:29

the the the fundamental nature of

20:32

immigration there's nothing wrong with

20:33

that it's it's the way in which it's

20:35

being handled in the way uh that you

20:38

know it's the stigma some stigma behind

20:40

it the way yeah that's being managed

20:41

essentially you know I mean if you can

20:43

kind of think of the us as I mean any

20:45

country it's kind of like a company

20:47

essentially right and you need good

20:49

management right you need you need to

20:50

have that you know fundamental

20:52

I I mean ideals and values to not have

20:55

biases but I I anyway sorry

20:58

um with the blue color thing I didn't

20:59

have to go everywhere but with the blue

21:00

color thing uh and the trade schools

21:03

essentially as you're saying you know

21:05

you know wages will increase over time

21:07

but as we were talking about earlier I

21:09

mean money is it doesn't matter what the

21:12

currency is what matters is the goods

21:14

and the services that you know GDP we're

21:16

growing exactly I mean 200 years ago you

21:19

know standards living has have gone up

21:20

for everybody and that's because of

21:22

capitalism that's because of yesterday

21:24

yes we did and I mean if you are able to

21:27

bring in more blue color or bring in

21:29

anybody and be able to train them to you

21:31

know be white color or blue color and

21:33

you you create value and it everybody

21:35

grows and I I mean yeah so I totally

21:39

agree with that uh what do you think no

21:41

no ask your question

21:44

so yeah I mean I I wanted to touch on

21:47

that because they interjected that

21:48

yesterday we talked about that idea

21:49

about how in the 1940s regarding the

21:52

standard of living you were talking

21:53

about in the 1940s you're lucky if you

21:55

had one TV in one car you were lucky and

21:57

that's because we saw so many

21:58

neighborhoods built in the 40s it's all

22:00

one car garages or no garage and uh you

22:03

know now even people in poverty they've

22:06

all got iPhones everybody's got a TV uh

22:08

Everybody's Got a Car it could be an old

22:10

car

22:11

it's a lot safer than it was in the 50s

22:13

uh a lot safer than it was even in the

22:15

70s people always tell me in real estate

22:17

they're like oh but Kevin they don't

22:19

build homes like they used to you know

22:21

and that's often because they they think

22:22

like oh back in the 50s we used Redwood

22:24

to build homes which was like termite

22:26

resistant out in California that's true

22:28

that's great they'll tell you the way we

22:30

build homes today to code not shoddy

22:33

Builder work because there are shoddy

22:35

Builders but too code a hundred times

22:37

better than the crap we built in the 50s

22:39

and that's because when you tear these

22:42

uh down or or you you renovate these

22:44

properties you see what's behind the

22:46

walls you look behind the walls of a 50s

22:48

home which I've owned plenty of open it

22:50

up there's no insulation you're looking

22:52

right at the stucco the other side of

22:53

the stucco you have almost no structural

22:56

Hardware hammered in Nails that's it you

22:59

look at a home now you have insulation

23:01

you have foam sealant you have sheathing

23:04

and then stucco you have a structural

23:07

hardware for earthquakes these are

23:09

things that you just didn't have 50

23:11

years ago and of course over degrees

23:12

over time you've seen these slowly come

23:14

in but they make homes so insulatively

23:17

tight today I was talking I think to you

23:18

the other day about how we actually have

23:21

to bring in fresh air to new

23:22

construction homes right I mean you have

23:25

a hole in a new construction property

23:27

usually next to the return on the second

23:29

story but goes through the attic and it

23:31

just brings in fresh air from the

23:32

outside because the homes are built so

23:34

insulatively tight which is so much more

23:36

high quality than the Leaky homes that

23:38

you used to have in really up to the

23:40

2000s where they started getting a

23:42

little bit more airtight so uh all of

23:44

that by the way contributing not just to

23:46

the standard of living but also to uh in

23:49

the longer term disinflationary

23:50

pressures that technology is reducing I

23:53

mean we can have a more comfortable home

23:55

enabling us to do more productive work

23:58

and be more productive at home while

24:00

spending less money

24:01

because you're spending Less on air

24:02

conditioning because you're keeping more

24:04

of it inside so you're spending us on

24:05

energy now you have more to spend on

24:06

something else maybe that's an

24:08

investment into your business or an

24:09

employee and now you grow the economy

24:11

even more so the standard living thing a

24:13

lot of people today say oh everything's

24:16

worse today than it was that so much

24:18

better so much better yeah please yeah

24:23

I mean

24:26

so we agree Stan and I mean the essence

24:29

of what you just said is the standards

24:30

living have gone up and that's a great

24:31

thing and I think we all agree with that

24:34

um

24:35

exactly and that's what I wanted to get

24:38

into and the the that value is I mean

24:40

Envy essentially right because I I mean

24:43

and this is what I how I wanted to kind

24:45

of relate like out of all the successful

24:47

people you've met

24:49

like you think that it's that of Envy or

24:51

that of something else because out of

24:53

everybody I've never seen the like

24:56

the people who I admire most don't

24:59

really bag on others they they at least

25:01

look at the good side and they see what

25:02

they can value from so I mean I kind of

25:05

look at like the whole capitalist and I

25:07

don't want to get to whatever political

25:08

or whatever but like essentially

25:11

if you don't the things stopping from

25:14

continued standards of living is going

25:16

up I mean even like I mean communism you

25:18

know during the the 20th century

25:20

um was I mean do you think that

25:22

fundamental factor that value is is Envy

25:25

well I mean what is is that the

25:27

difference because people yes or or like

25:31

is it the fact that

25:32

simply even if our standards have gone

25:34

up

25:35

people some people just don't like the

25:37

fact that you know there's a difference

25:39

instant in standards among individuals

25:41

in the entire Society I mean what do you

25:43

and do you want to go Kevin or no yeah

25:46

uh yeah so there are two things here

25:52

one is oh actually there are three

25:53

things one is just straight up inflation

25:55

well you know we look at the cost of

25:57

milk now compared to what it was in the

25:59

70s obviously everything's much more

26:01

expensive but of course incomes are

26:03

higher and and that does drive a higher

26:06

standard of living now that doesn't mean

26:07

there's not poverty today that doesn't

26:09

mean there's not uh there aren't people

26:11

who are struggling today uh and there

26:14

are probably more opportunities today

26:16

than there ever have been the fact that

26:17

you can download uh University lectures

26:20

from as we were talking about the other

26:21

day MIT Harvard Stanford what do you

26:24

want to learn programming you want to

26:25

learn neural Nets and artificial

26:26

intelligence free online uh I mean these

26:31

are incredible opportunities to learn

26:32

and really build your resume or build

26:34

your ability to succeed I one of the

26:36

things I tell folks is

26:38

you want to be a productive worker you

26:39

want to get paid more money figure out

26:41

how to provide more value and then I see

26:43

them typing on a keyboard and and

26:45

they're like this and I'm thinking to

26:47

myself

26:48

you're typing 20 words a minute

26:50

is somebody next to you typing 100 words

26:52

per minute 5x is your output

26:56

this is something where I think we get

26:59

to the second problem of encouraging

27:01

folks to realize the best way to build

27:04

wealth and make more money is providing

27:06

more value and the more you teach

27:08

yourself about being able to provide

27:10

more value the more efficient you become

27:12

yourself the more you get so it always

27:14

starts with what do you give and then

27:16

you get more and in America

27:19

unfortunately we have the opposite

27:20

mentality the mentality is what can you

27:23

give me and then I will work harder for

27:25

you that's the wrong way and that I

27:27

think is why most folks get trapped into

27:29

the idea or or the the problem of

27:31

paycheck to paycheckism so to speak

27:33

because it's always

27:36

what can I take and then I'll think

27:37

about working harder but then you really

27:39

don't and you always have that

27:41

misaligned jaded element and that's

27:43

where the Envy comes in sort of the

27:44

third part of oh well they're the rich

27:46

capitalist they they should they owe me

27:49

more a lot of people have that oh me

27:51

attitude and so I think when somebody

27:53

who probably is watching this video who

27:54

wants to get ahead is able to look and

27:56

say Yes things are more expensive now

27:58

than they used to be inflation has a lot

28:00

to do with that yes the dollar has lost

28:01

purchasing power this is why we don't

28:03

sit around holding cash all the time we

28:05

hold assets over the long term we buy

28:06

real estate we buy stocks so that we we

28:09

preserve our purchasing power but then

28:11

when we also switch our mindset from one

28:13

of envy and switch it to well let me

28:15

give now all of a sudden Envy starts

28:17

going away what can I give a value and

28:19

then oh my gosh the more I give the

28:21

luckier I get and the harder I work the

28:22

luckier I get all of a sudden the world

28:25

changes for people so they're always

28:26

going to be folks upset with the idea of

28:28

capitalism because

28:29

of course it's easier to just say hey

28:32

here's 400 a week on unemployment and

28:35

what a surprise people got 400 a week of

28:38

unemployment nobody wanted to work

28:41

of course not it was it was like the

28:44

best Ubi experience experiment ever

28:46

don't get me wrong I think there are for

28:48

certain demos there is a case for Ubi uh

28:52

mentally ill age uh you know like look a

28:56

a 14 year old who has no parents needs

28:58

to be supported an 80 year old who can't

29:00

work needs to be supported this is why

29:01

we have social safety net somebody who's

29:03

uh you know fallen off uh uh uh like

29:07

somebody we met the paraplegic uh and

29:09

he's an inspiration from from yesterday

29:11

but uh uh working as a lineman falls off

29:14

uh and uh becomes a paraplegic for 10

29:16

years wheelchair for 10 years paraplegic

29:18

I think for two of those either way

29:19

those people need to be supported but uh

29:22

but for anyone capable there's so many

29:24

opportunities today the opportunities

29:26

are so much better than ever before do

29:27

y'all want do you want to add anything

29:28

yeah go ahead

29:30

so you were talking about how adding

29:32

value can it's it's like a a give and

29:36

then take relationship right and that's

29:38

how it's supposed to be that also

29:39

benefits like the actual individual

29:41

who's who's giving like if you're if

29:42

you're working harder for somebody else

29:45

you're going to learn a skill that

29:46

inadvertently ends up helping you in the

29:49

long term and probably makes that person

29:51

be like hey this person's going out of

29:53

his way going above and beyond for me so

29:55

I should give him more so it's it's like

29:57

a a double-edged sword in that regard

30:00

yeah yeah yeah uh that is in a good way

30:03

if you if you do the work if you don't

30:05

yeah but McKay why don't you chime in on

30:07

this I think you'd have an interesting

30:09

perspective so the idea of

30:12

what what experiences have you gained in

30:14

the how many weeks have you been working

30:16

here counting today is your last

30:18

[Laughter]

30:24

I think over the last few months

30:26

interacting with people and more than

30:28

anything Kevin has really emphasized

30:30

that we underestimate how much we can do

30:33

personally so if you don't know how to

30:34

do something don't pay someone to do it

30:36

learn it yourself like you can create so

30:39

much value with what you can give that

30:41

don't go pay some attorney to do some

30:44

small paper that and pay them like what

30:47

did we pay like 200 an hour when you can

30:49

write that document yourself with Tate

30:51

watch a couple YouTube videos and figure

30:52

it out and you just did it and you

30:54

created that much more value for the

30:55

company that you're in so instead of

30:57

like going to your boss and like hey can

30:58

you help me with this or like hey can

30:59

you do this for me find a way to do it

31:01

and create that value within yourself

31:03

and then Kevin frequently says the first

31:05

time doing something is always the most

31:06

difficult so the next time your boss

31:08

says hey I need this paperwork again you

31:10

already know how to do it you know how

31:11

to fill out a DocuSign you know how to

31:12

do everything so instead of deferring to

31:14

someone else or giving to somebody

31:15

else's responsibility you want the

31:17

responsibility Kevin Austin says you get

31:19

to pay the more you the more difficult

31:21

problems you solve the more you get paid

31:22

I like that's just how business is the

31:24

more if you can figure out how to make

31:26

a bad house into a good house you're

31:28

going to be rewarded for that you're

31:29

going to have to put hard work in your

31:30

first time is gonna be the most

31:31

difficult but then more houses you do

31:33

after that the more value you create and

31:35

it gets easier and easier every time you

31:36

do it and you learn more and more so

31:38

like these trips it's a learning

31:40

experience all along the way yesterday

31:41

we had a great learning experience we

31:42

learned a lot about a lot about areas

31:45

that we didn't know about and we learned

31:47

exactly what how stock is looking for

31:48

some things that house like wants to

31:49

stay away from but we're also learning a

31:50

lot about the people that we're going to

31:52

work with so it's really important to

31:54

Kevin frequently says real estate's all

31:56

about the people and so he talked about

31:58

no we're not doing Zoom calls is because

32:00

when we want to be like if Joe from

32:02

Arkansas calls us like hey I just found

32:04

this great property we found a very

32:06

similar property when he came down to

32:07

visit us we know Joe We Trust Joe we

32:09

know he wants the best interest for

32:11

house hack that's why we can't get that

32:12

over Zoom right this is business

32:14

handshake eye to eye and so those two

32:17

things is really one how much value can

32:19

you create meaning how many problems can

32:21

you solve on your own and two the

32:24

relationships you can create with people

32:26

you will be go Miles and Miles Ahead of

32:29

the competition that are just doing Zoom

32:30

meetings oh are you free now and they're

32:32

like we're gonna fly we're gonna come

32:33

see you we're gonna take you out to

32:34

dinner that chemistry is invaluable you

32:36

cannot pay for chemistry so those two

32:38

things is creating chemistry with other

32:40

people and just finding how much value

32:41

you can create those are like some of

32:42

the two biggest things that I've learned

32:46

there are two things that you said that

32:48

were kind of really inspiring and

32:49

motivating

32:51

um but one of them have to do with you

32:52

said you know you solve harder problems

32:53

you're going to get paid more like

32:54

there's it's the hardest the first time

32:56

the truth is like growth and discomfort

32:58

it's the same thing it's the it's the

33:00

literal exact same feeling so anytime

33:02

you feel like this is scary this is new

33:04

I don't know if I could do it that's the

33:06

thing that you should be pursuing

33:07

because that's the only way you're

33:08

you're basically going to grow the other

33:11

thing is I know a lot of people they

33:13

feel like luck is a huge element and

33:15

luck is an element like there's no

33:17

denying that you could be the hardest

33:18

worker in the world and just be in the

33:19

wrong place at the wrong time and vice

33:21

versa you get shot and you get shot you

33:24

get shot

33:25

knock on wood knock on wood

33:28

I don't think it's a coincidence that

33:32

the hardest workers tend to be the

33:33

luckiest people I just I don't think

33:35

that's a coincidence I think it's the

33:37

people that put themselves out there try

33:38

to provide value for other people uh

33:41

just the people who are go-getters they

33:43

inherently put themselves in more

33:44

opportunity they get more of those

33:45

opportunities so yes luck is an element

33:48

and you know it's kind of a wild card

33:50

but again I don't think it's a

33:51

coincidence that some of the hardest

33:52

workers end up being some of the

33:53

luckiest people

33:55

I think what Mikey said is 100 correct

33:58

and one of the reasons that Kevin is as

34:01

successful as he is it's not because

34:03

every project he does is a home run it's

34:05

because when he knows something doesn't

34:07

work he cuts it and moves on he calls it

34:09

flip-flopping but in reality that's his

34:11

greatest superpowers because he may be

34:13

like all right Market open market close

34:14

Okay that's not helping the business I

34:16

can be more valuable doing something

34:18

else for the business okay hey I miss

34:20

Market open Marcos he changes things

34:22

quickly and if it doesn't work he

34:24

doesn't do it he finds things that work

34:26

so if it's not creating

34:28

more value for the company she's not

34:30

going to do it so again flip-flopping is

34:32

Kevin's greatest superpower and he he

34:35

makes fun of himself for it but in

34:36

reality it's when he flip-flops it's

34:39

usually for the better it's usually

34:40

something better comes out of it than

34:42

his original idea so don't be afraid to

34:44

flip-flop don't think that's like you

34:45

told your families you can do this and

34:47

this but something better came over

34:48

don't go like yes your words important

34:51

but ideas and opportunities arise and

34:53

like Mikey said the harder you work the

34:54

luckier you get it's those things go

34:56

hand in hand for sure

34:58

yeah so this morning I was really

35:00

inspired actually listening to your

35:01

story you told me that you started a

35:04

business at age 19 uh I you know I was

35:07

just wondering if you could share that

35:08

in how you developed relationships over

35:10

time I know

35:11

um you had a relationship with Peloton

35:13

uh so I mean this guy like I like if you

35:17

could give some advice because I mean

35:18

you are a business owner you are an

35:19

entrepreneur

35:21

um and just over your all you know your

35:22

thoughts on what you've you know heard

35:24

yeah well I mean

35:29

every angle get my good side at least

35:32

um so yeah I mean honestly the the whole

35:36

you know idea of being in the right

35:38

place at the right time hardworking

35:40

people tend to get you know luckier

35:42

um I was just happened to be really

35:44

young when an opportunity presented

35:45

itself it wasn't like I was actively

35:47

looking for it I was offered a job by a

35:50

relative I went to go work and it just

35:52

so happened they were firing everybody

35:54

as I was starting and so they were

35:56

restructuring and uh they told everybody

35:59

hey look so we're going to be letting

36:00

everybody go however we're going to be

36:03

hiring contractors so if you're

36:05

interested in starting a business we'd

36:07

be happy to hire some of you back on

36:09

however you would be your own contractor

36:11

and that was an opportunity I was pretty

36:14

young I but even I knew it was like Hey

36:16

I mean this is better than not having a

36:18

job so you know I asked a couple

36:21

questions they pointed me in the right

36:22

direction told me how to start a company

36:24

I didn't know anything about starting

36:26

your

36:26

but they gave me the right info I

36:29

started it up and it was extremely

36:31

difficult uh just you know going little

36:33

by little and that kind of just led me

36:36

from one place to another you know going

36:37

into the business and and uh and

36:39

eventually I was able to hire people on

36:41

to help me and and grow it from there

36:42

and uh yeah so that initially we started

36:45

with a small furniture company and we

36:47

were away from there and I'm sure Kevin

36:49

would enjoy this we did over the

36:51

pandemic work with Peloton we were the

36:52

ones doing all their deliveries and

36:54

everything so that was fun

36:56

um so you do the assembly that not that

36:58

as much as heavily but you did that too

36:59

yeah so we did all their white glove

37:01

service

37:02

um that was something that we were able

37:03

to work on with them which was really

37:05

fun

37:05

um and yeah I mean we were able to grow

37:07

our business and do everything from

37:08

there and and I really think that like

37:09

you said it's it's just kind of learning

37:11

how to how to provide value and that's

37:13

just kind of how you you can grow a

37:15

business or you can grow yourself

37:16

personally

37:17

um there's a lot of resources online

37:18

like you said nowadays you could just go

37:20

on YouTube find out a lot of information

37:22

I never would have gone into real estate

37:24

I think if had I not seen a me Kevin

37:25

video to be honest so it's just

37:27

Gathering that information seeing what's

37:30

valuable and applying it you know and

37:32

it's not always going to work right away

37:33

people get so hung up on like okay I'm

37:36

gonna try it it fails and it might not

37:37

work right away but you just gotta kind

37:39

of try again Brewster view do it again

37:40

but there's just so many resources

37:42

nowadays that you can tap into like just

37:44

the other day I was on a Twitter and I

37:46

heard about something called I don't

37:47

know it's chat GPT I think

37:50

man

37:52

I I downloaded it onto my computer and I

37:55

typed a few things in and the responses

37:56

I was getting were like so crazy and the

37:58

information I got from that was so crazy

38:00

so I mean I see people on Twitter now

38:02

like doing whole threads on like you

38:04

know hey I can help you make money with

38:06

this new tool you know so it's just it's

38:08

just really what you know what you look

38:09

into and the value you get from things

38:11

you know that's awesome yeah yeah thank

38:13

you for that yeah and I've got to add a

38:15

little bit of clarity to McKay's line

38:18

there about the lawyer I really like

38:19

that I just want to clarify McKay is not

38:22

doing all of our contracts

38:26

uh but what what McKay's referring to is

38:29

actually a really good point so what I

38:30

like doing is we we have a lot of

38:32

creative things that go on so for

38:34

example when we started the shadowing

38:36

experience uh we thought okay well we

38:39

should make sure we should hire a retain

38:41

an attorney well I could hire a retain

38:43

and retain an attorney to to draft the

38:45

whole shadowing experience document

38:48

but they're six weeks out because

38:50

they're starting from scratch and

38:52

they're gonna charge me a lot of money

38:53

to do that so what did we do we wrote it

38:56

and then said all right now that we've

38:58

written the outline can you go through

39:00

and now read it so we gave them probably

39:03

five hours of a head start that saves

39:06

money but it also gets your own wheels

39:08

turning of how do attorneys think and

39:11

then when you get that revision back you

39:13

go oh that was a good ad from the

39:15

attorney now the next time you go do the

39:17

prep you're doing more and so every time

39:19

we go through back and forth with

39:21

negotiations with attorneys the more we

39:23

can contribute the more we actually

39:24

reduce costs and we increase operating

39:27

leverage so it's a great example uh and

39:29

and it also it comes down to real estate

39:32

contracts as well a lot of real estate

39:34

contracts need legalese that in in

39:37

non-attorney States you just don't have

39:39

an attorney for immediately so us as

39:42

real estate brokers we need to be able

39:44

to to write contracts very very quickly

39:46

and efficiency and efficiently but the

39:47

more I work with attorneys the better I

39:49

get the more I do it the better I get

39:50

and the better I get the more value I

39:52

can provide at any job I ever have in

39:54

the future so it's kind of incredible

39:55

and and the chemistry thing what I

39:57

thought was neat is

39:59

when when I was buying this plane when I

40:02

was first buying it the seller was super

40:05

skeptical like there's no there's no 30

40:07

year old that's coming to buy my 13

40:08

million dollar plan no that it did not

40:11

want to do the deal because of fear that

40:13

this person's not going to perform and

40:15

then I'm going to lose an end of the

40:16

year sale and uh when I met him in

40:20

person

40:21

and I told him I wanted to buy his plane

40:24

definitely yeah definitely not happening

40:26

now yeah uh and we had negotiated on the

40:29

price uh uh beforehand

40:31

but I shook his hand and said

40:34

I look forward to closing the deal with

40:36

you and after he shook my hand he looked

40:39

at me said you know I'm not gonna fly

40:40

the plane now anymore I'm not gonna put

40:42

any more hours on it I'm gonna keep it

40:45

safe for you here we're gonna fill it up

40:46

I'm gonna pay for a whole and he's

40:48

adding these things on that he was it

40:50

didn't originally agree to add on uh and

40:52

he's just throw showering me with this

40:54

uh and I think it was the difference of

40:56

being in person kind of like we were

40:58

talking about with that Zoom uh uh

41:00

situation for Real Estate I've seen that

41:02

a lot in real estate deals where sellers

41:05

initially all these buyers all these

41:07

greedy buyers buyers are liars right

41:10

then they meet the buyers they meet the

41:12

couple they meet the person in person

41:13

they're like no I I would love to do the

41:16

deal with them in fact I'll take less

41:17

money if I could do the deal with those

41:19

people because I trust them I believe

41:21

them I shook their hand real estate's an

41:23

in-person game so well does anybody else

41:26

want to add anything given that now we

41:28

are descending

41:29

it is time to wrap up the mile high

41:32

podcast does anybody else have any final

41:34

comments

41:37

do do our Pilots have any comments

41:41

so

41:42

they're adding value

41:45

just throw it on autopilot yeah

41:48

press the Auto Land button

41:51

we are about to go into the cause yeah

41:53

well with that said thank you so much

41:55

for watching the first episode of the

41:57

mile high podcast if you'd like to see

41:59

more of this make sure to leave some

42:01

support down below because if you don't

42:03

we won't

42:05

thanks so much bye

UNLOCK MORE

Sign up free to access premium features

INTERACTIVE VIEWER

Watch the video with synced subtitles, adjustable overlay, and full playback control.

SIGN UP FREE TO UNLOCK

AI SUMMARY

Get an instant AI-generated summary of the video content, key points, and takeaways.

SIGN UP FREE TO UNLOCK

TRANSLATE

Translate the transcript to 100+ languages with one click. Download in any format.

SIGN UP FREE TO UNLOCK

MIND MAP

Visualize the transcript as an interactive mind map. Understand structure at a glance.

SIGN UP FREE TO UNLOCK

CHAT WITH TRANSCRIPT

Ask questions about the video content. Get answers powered by AI directly from the transcript.

SIGN UP FREE TO UNLOCK

GET MORE FROM YOUR TRANSCRIPTS

Sign up for free and unlock interactive viewer, AI summaries, translations, mind maps, and more. No credit card required.