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It's Over: England's ENTIRE Economy Is About To Collapse

15m 38s2,895 words422 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

could Great Britain collapse after all

0:02

some are saying the country has been

0:03

margin called and there are now literal

0:05

calls to overthrow the government

0:08

replace Parliament because the

0:09

government has quote lost control and

0:12

that Great Britain is now sinking I kid

0:15

you not sinking that's because companies

0:18

like The Economist are now putting the

0:21

new prime minister Liz truss who's

0:23

replacing of Boris Johnson and her

0:25

essentially treasury secretary known as

0:27

the chancellor of the exchange

0:30

on a sinking little dingy boat yes that

0:35

is labeled Great Britain which is

0:38

sinking and they're not even trying to

0:39

bail it out they're making it worse

0:42

folks why does this first of all matter

0:45

to you and then could this country

0:48

collapse and why is this happening well

0:51

these are all things we're going to talk

0:52

about in this video let's first

0:54

understand why this matters to you

0:56

because you might be wondering like hey

0:58

look I'm I'm American like I don't

1:00

really care about this like Great

1:02

Britain is the fifth largest economy in

1:06

the world it's followed by Germany which

1:08

is the fourth largest economy in the

1:09

world which is having its own issues

1:11

this video isn't about Germany but it's

1:12

worth noting that Germany was expecting

1:14

inflation to come in at 10.2 percent

1:16

this morning it actually came in at 10.9

1:19

that's right almost 11 inflation and

1:23

that doesn't bode well for the entire

1:24

continent of Europe especially because

1:26

of the madness that's happening in the

1:28

United Kingdom who's not exactly helping

1:30

with inflation if anything by some

1:32

accounts they're making inflation worse

1:35

frequent commenter Muhammad alerian who

1:39

was also a former IMF deputy director

1:41

suggests that the United Kingdom is

1:42

incredibly incompetent and the BBC goes

1:46

as far as saying many Pension funds in

1:48

the United Kingdom were at risk of

1:50

collapse and that there were serious

1:53

urgent actions required due to quote

1:55

material risks to the UK's Financial

1:58

stability folks these are crazy and

2:01

scary words back in 2008 there were

2:04

rumors that we were just hours away from

2:05

shutting down the credit card networks

2:07

in America and if we shut down credit

2:10

card networks in America our economy

2:12

would just collapse we'd start buying

2:15

wheelbarrows because our currency would

2:16

be absolutely worthless so what's

2:20

happening in the United Kingdom and why

2:22

does it matter to us first of all As

2:24

Americans well the first thing you need

2:27

to know is very very simple when people

2:30

lose faith in their country and they

2:32

lose trust in the their country in their

2:35

Institution ends one of the first things

2:37

that happens is the value of their

2:38

currency plummets y'all remember the

2:41

days that one dollar would only buy like

2:45

50 cents of a British pound yeah well

2:48

those days are long gone we're almost at

2:50

a one to one ratio it used to be that if

2:54

you took a like one British pound you

2:56

would get two dollars now you take one

2:59

British pound you get a dollar and seven

3:00

cents that went almost to parity which

3:03

is one to one at a dollar and three

3:05

cents just Monday and the reason

3:08

currencies collapse when people lose

3:10

trust in their government is because

3:12

payable and institutions mostly move

3:16

their Investments to other currencies

3:18

they believe have more trust because

3:21

they don't want to be caught on a

3:22

sinking ship like the Weimar Republic or

3:24

Zimbabwe where you have countries that

3:26

don't control inflation and the money

3:28

goes to crap now you might be thinking

3:31

that well the United States has a Fiat

3:33

money system like this is all just paper

3:35

money backed by nothing and we don't

3:37

trust our currency either well maybe you

3:39

think that maybe because you're into

3:41

crypto or whatever but the reality is

3:43

when you put together all of the

3:46

countries in the world and you say which

3:49

country if you had to pick one has the

3:51

strongest currency there is no stronger

3:53

currency than the United States dollar

3:55

there just isn't especially when you can

3:57

get risk-free Returns on your dollar

3:59

right now by buying treasury bonds

4:02

at four percent okay like the dollar is

4:05

really really strong but this is a

4:07

problem because as the British pound

4:09

plummets and more people move over to

4:11

strengthen the United States dollar we

4:14

actually make it more difficult for

4:16

multinational companies within America

4:18

to keep their earnings up this is called

4:22

a massive foreign exchange risk because

4:25

the products we're selling like Teslas

4:27

were selling in China or or Europe give

4:30

us currencies that are worth a lot less

4:32

and they hurt our earnings per share at

4:34

American corporations that sell products

4:36

around the world so if you're in the

4:38

stock market you care about this like

4:40

this matters

4:42

so now we know this matters and we know

4:45

there's a disaster happening is the

4:47

United Kingdom at risk of collapsing

4:50

because right now it doesn't look too

4:54

good in terms of the disasters that are

4:56

going on and the headlines that are

4:57

going on and would be nice to kind of

5:00

know what's going on so let's answer

5:02

this so first it's really useful to

5:05

start with a baseline of what's going on

5:07

almost every country in the world

5:09

central banks and fiscal regimes regimes

5:13

are tightening that means they're

5:15

slowing stimulus they've turned the

5:17

money printers off they opened up a

5:19

drawer they put their money printers

5:20

away and their goal is to spend less

5:23

money to bring inflation down let's

5:26

reduce the amount of money in

5:28

circulation like the M2 money supply

5:30

right let's reduce that and bring that

5:32

down

5:33

see central banks are like the FED

5:35

fiscal regimes are like Congress almost

5:38

every country around the world is in

5:39

unison with the exception of China

5:41

because well they're screwed uh but

5:42

that's for a different video spend less

5:45

raise rates tighten conditions bring

5:47

inflation down

5:49

then here Mary's in the fifth largest

5:51

economy of the United Kingdom

5:53

oh no the economy is going into

5:56

recession well what does the 2020

5:58

Playbook say oh let's spend more now and

6:02

we'll hurt less people overall okay yes

6:04

it's a very good idea let's go do that

6:09

boom now a modern economy like the

6:12

United Kingdom is going in the opposite

6:13

direction of everyone else because they

6:16

all of a sudden think they're unique in

6:18

going through a recession and they want

6:19

to make sure they prop up their GDP

6:21

because after all well a country of

6:23

entrepreneurs that's literally what they

6:25

say and and so therefore forget

6:27

everybody else having inflation problems

6:29

so just forget about inflation let's

6:31

just print our way out of a recession

6:34

and the bank of England's monetary

6:36

regime is like uh what are you doing we

6:39

are tightening it at the same time the

6:41

bank's financial crisis team is like no

6:43

let's loosen let's print more money so

6:46

even within the central bank of England

6:48

you literally have like one side saying

6:51

Titan one side saying Lucid it doesn't

6:54

make sense and it creates a very

6:55

dangerous precedent of telling the

6:58

market okay hey if y'all get March and

7:00

Cult Don't worry we'll just

7:03

take the printer back out no problem

7:05

Margin Call we can solve it

7:08

it's just two weeks of printing don't

7:10

worry we'll put it back away after two

7:12

weeks it's literally like Jeffrey Dahmer

7:15

come on just one more heart baby just

7:17

one more just one more

7:20

we call it the blinking first error and

7:23

the United Kingdom is blinking first

7:24

it's so bad now that markets are so

7:28

angry at the bank of England that they

7:29

are starting to price in potential

7:31

emergency action from the monetary

7:33

regime of the bank of England that'll

7:35

come out with 150 basis point hike of

7:38

interest rates following their last baby

7:39

50 basis point hike to try to offset all

7:42

of this Insanity that's happening at the

7:45

other end of not only the bank of

7:46

England but also the government which is

7:48

bringing out the money printer we're

7:49

like okay well you're gonna bring out

7:51

the money burner we're gonna have to

7:51

raise hikes rates for this is literally

7:54

like imagine this imagine Janet Yellen

7:57

and Joe Biden going oh yeah baby let's

8:00

print it and Jerome Power Band all right

8:02

guess we gotta raise rates even more

8:04

it's just insane what's happening and

8:08

this is why you've got organizations

8:09

like Goldman Sachs and Credit Suisse

8:11

saying this is a disaster housing prices

8:12

will probably fall by over 15 and we're

8:14

gonna have a crisis in the United

8:16

Kingdom

8:17

but like what was the foundation for

8:19

this what was the real reason for all of

8:21

this mess so well I'm gonna explain that

8:23

I just want to mention this Friday I'm

8:25

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and stocks the psychology of money you

9:00

name it and even though we're going

9:01

through a tough economic time I think

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9:15

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programs out linked down below and use

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the coupon code expiring Friday okay so

9:40

what is like physically happening uh in

9:44

the United Kingdom and and why is why is

9:47

all of this disaster uh what like what

9:49

started all of this well here's what

9:51

started all of this first Pension funds

9:54

saw the value of their bonds lose as

9:56

much as 50 in just a few days the plunge

9:59

was so sharp the Pension funds started

10:01

getting margin calls but a lot of their

10:03

Equity like their net worth was tied up

10:05

in things like real estate and private

10:07

Equity both really illiquid when you get

10:09

into private Equity you don't expect to

10:11

be able to sell it at any point in the

10:12

future until there's a liquidity event

10:14

like an IPO or something in the future

10:16

that's what private Equity is and real

10:19

estate takes time to sell consider me I

10:22

sold most of my properties about 85 of

10:25

my real estate uh about 22 properties in

10:27

Southern California in the first half of

10:29

the year it took me five months to sell

10:31

all of them and I consider myself like a

10:33

serious and sophisticated real estate

10:34

professional so imagine if you're not

10:36

that like you're just a normal person

10:37

it's not that easy to break the piggy

10:40

bank of real estate it takes time

10:42

right so this takes longer term planning

10:44

now unlike the United Kingdom and these

10:46

Pension funds I didn't get margin called

10:48

I sold to create my startup house hack

10:50

which you could learn more about by

10:51

going to househack.com but the United

10:53

Kingdom's Pension funds saw this plummet

10:55

in bond value portfolios in part because

10:58

of actions that were announced on Friday

11:00

by the government and the chancellor of

11:03

the exchange they announced the biggest

11:05

tax cut in 50 years since 1972. their

11:08

equivalent of the treasury secretary

11:09

quasi-cartang believes that England

11:11

should reward work and people should

11:13

keep more of the money they make this is

11:15

a very traditional conservative

11:17

principle tax people less essentially

11:20

let people keep more of their own money

11:21

this is where he calls the United

11:23

Kingdom a country of entrepreneurs and

11:26

he also suggests that because we have a

11:27

worker shortage if we lower taxes we

11:30

might encourage more people to work and

11:32

we'll also lower subsidies for those

11:34

people who are not working reducing the

11:37

social safety net to hopefully Force

11:39

these people to go to work they've also

11:42

announced things like the following

11:43

number one stimulus for households and

11:45

businesses via energy subsidies that's

11:47

more spending a lower corporate tax rate

11:49

instead of hiking the corporate tax rate

11:51

to 25 they'll keep it at 19 a lower

11:53

personal high-end High tier income tax

11:56

bracket for higher net worth or higher

11:58

income individuals no more 45 bracket

12:01

going down to 40 percent number four

12:03

other incentives for developing real

12:05

estate or even buying your first home

12:06

and changes to the stamp duties lowering

12:08

taxes again a lot of more spending and a

12:11

lot less tax revenue however they're not

12:13

actually releasing the full budget until

12:15

uh well we get more details on Friday

12:17

and then more details again on November

12:19

23rd and the reality is this spooked

12:21

markets markets freaked out here and

12:23

thought Oh no our country is going mad

12:26

the Liz trust government doesn't know

12:28

what the he double hockey sticks is

12:30

doing let's sell the pound because we've

12:33

lost faith in it selling the pound has

12:36

also been leading to a lot of selling of

12:38

bonds which leads leads to this

12:41

in valuations at Pension funds so people

12:44

are like get me out of the pound let's

12:46

dump the bonds we have and let's go buy

12:48

something else like some American Bots

12:49

right but the problem with this is the

12:51

more money you spend the more inflation

12:53

you end up creating and ultimately when

12:56

the pound weakens you create what's

12:58

known as higher imported inflation

13:01

leading to more eroded incomes that's at

13:04

least according to the economist

13:06

and you've got Liz truss who came out in

13:09

reaction to all this who just took over

13:11

from Boris Johnson oh Mr partygate came

13:14

out and said hey you know what um the

13:16

government's doing the right thing we

13:17

had to take urgent action so don't worry

13:19

we will do what we need to do to get out

13:21

of this recession well that also hasn't

13:23

led to any confidence that the

13:24

government actually knows what the heck

13:26

it's doing in fact if anything it's

13:28

leading to more moral hazard and this

13:30

moral hazard is probably the biggest

13:32

danger here The Economist goes as far as

13:35

saying the Liz trust government has

13:36

created more economic and political

13:38

damage in the past week than Boris

13:40

Johnson did in his entire Administration

13:42

or at least that's what they're implying

13:44

so

13:45

you create really big issues here solely

13:49

because a people are losing faith in the

13:52

United Kingdom but also B you have a

13:55

policy system that truly doesn't make

13:57

sense you're creating inflation and

13:59

importing inflation both at home you're

14:01

creating inflation with more spending

14:02

and less taxation but then you're also

14:04

reducing the value of the pound so

14:06

you're importing inflation this is a

14:07

disaster so two forms of inflation and

14:09

you're leading to uncertainty but you're

14:11

also creating moral hazard you're

14:13

creating this this idea that oh why if

14:15

we get margin called as an institution

14:17

in the United Kingdom don't worry

14:21

and you also potentially encourage other

14:23

countries around the world to go yeah

14:26

well if the United Kingdom's doing it

14:28

will take you out our money printer too

14:29

did you imagine if the United States

14:31

brought out the money printer again I

14:33

mean this is a disaster and we don't

14:35

exactly know where the Fallout of all of

14:37

this is going to be yet but look this is

14:40

bad and somewhere things are going to

14:43

break valves are going to burst and

14:46

somewhere this is going to hurt really

14:49

badly do we know where exactly it is yet

14:52

no is it likely that the United Kingdom

14:54

is going to collapse no but does it mean

14:58

that inflation is likely to stay a lot

15:00

higher for a lot longer probably that's

15:03

kind of devastating and we've really got

15:05

to pay attention to it because it's

15:07

probably going to continue to drive bond

15:08

yields up throughout the world and the

15:11

more you have countries bringing out the

15:13

money printer the more countries like

15:14

America end up having to hike

15:16

I know that sounds ironic but America is

15:20

tired of high inflation and if other

15:21

countries are creating prices going up

15:24

the United States is going to hike more

15:25

to offset their increases in prices and

15:28

their crazy inflation by making sure we

15:30

almost get squeezed into deflation it's

15:33

scary thanks so much for watching folks

15:35

we'll see in the next one goodbye

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