It's Over: England's ENTIRE Economy Is About To Collapse
FULL TRANSCRIPT
could Great Britain collapse after all
some are saying the country has been
margin called and there are now literal
calls to overthrow the government
replace Parliament because the
government has quote lost control and
that Great Britain is now sinking I kid
you not sinking that's because companies
like The Economist are now putting the
new prime minister Liz truss who's
replacing of Boris Johnson and her
essentially treasury secretary known as
the chancellor of the exchange
on a sinking little dingy boat yes that
is labeled Great Britain which is
sinking and they're not even trying to
bail it out they're making it worse
folks why does this first of all matter
to you and then could this country
collapse and why is this happening well
these are all things we're going to talk
about in this video let's first
understand why this matters to you
because you might be wondering like hey
look I'm I'm American like I don't
really care about this like Great
Britain is the fifth largest economy in
the world it's followed by Germany which
is the fourth largest economy in the
world which is having its own issues
this video isn't about Germany but it's
worth noting that Germany was expecting
inflation to come in at 10.2 percent
this morning it actually came in at 10.9
that's right almost 11 inflation and
that doesn't bode well for the entire
continent of Europe especially because
of the madness that's happening in the
United Kingdom who's not exactly helping
with inflation if anything by some
accounts they're making inflation worse
frequent commenter Muhammad alerian who
was also a former IMF deputy director
suggests that the United Kingdom is
incredibly incompetent and the BBC goes
as far as saying many Pension funds in
the United Kingdom were at risk of
collapse and that there were serious
urgent actions required due to quote
material risks to the UK's Financial
stability folks these are crazy and
scary words back in 2008 there were
rumors that we were just hours away from
shutting down the credit card networks
in America and if we shut down credit
card networks in America our economy
would just collapse we'd start buying
wheelbarrows because our currency would
be absolutely worthless so what's
happening in the United Kingdom and why
does it matter to us first of all As
Americans well the first thing you need
to know is very very simple when people
lose faith in their country and they
lose trust in the their country in their
Institution ends one of the first things
that happens is the value of their
currency plummets y'all remember the
days that one dollar would only buy like
50 cents of a British pound yeah well
those days are long gone we're almost at
a one to one ratio it used to be that if
you took a like one British pound you
would get two dollars now you take one
British pound you get a dollar and seven
cents that went almost to parity which
is one to one at a dollar and three
cents just Monday and the reason
currencies collapse when people lose
trust in their government is because
payable and institutions mostly move
their Investments to other currencies
they believe have more trust because
they don't want to be caught on a
sinking ship like the Weimar Republic or
Zimbabwe where you have countries that
don't control inflation and the money
goes to crap now you might be thinking
that well the United States has a Fiat
money system like this is all just paper
money backed by nothing and we don't
trust our currency either well maybe you
think that maybe because you're into
crypto or whatever but the reality is
when you put together all of the
countries in the world and you say which
country if you had to pick one has the
strongest currency there is no stronger
currency than the United States dollar
there just isn't especially when you can
get risk-free Returns on your dollar
right now by buying treasury bonds
at four percent okay like the dollar is
really really strong but this is a
problem because as the British pound
plummets and more people move over to
strengthen the United States dollar we
actually make it more difficult for
multinational companies within America
to keep their earnings up this is called
a massive foreign exchange risk because
the products we're selling like Teslas
were selling in China or or Europe give
us currencies that are worth a lot less
and they hurt our earnings per share at
American corporations that sell products
around the world so if you're in the
stock market you care about this like
this matters
so now we know this matters and we know
there's a disaster happening is the
United Kingdom at risk of collapsing
because right now it doesn't look too
good in terms of the disasters that are
going on and the headlines that are
going on and would be nice to kind of
know what's going on so let's answer
this so first it's really useful to
start with a baseline of what's going on
almost every country in the world
central banks and fiscal regimes regimes
are tightening that means they're
slowing stimulus they've turned the
money printers off they opened up a
drawer they put their money printers
away and their goal is to spend less
money to bring inflation down let's
reduce the amount of money in
circulation like the M2 money supply
right let's reduce that and bring that
down
see central banks are like the FED
fiscal regimes are like Congress almost
every country around the world is in
unison with the exception of China
because well they're screwed uh but
that's for a different video spend less
raise rates tighten conditions bring
inflation down
then here Mary's in the fifth largest
economy of the United Kingdom
oh no the economy is going into
recession well what does the 2020
Playbook say oh let's spend more now and
we'll hurt less people overall okay yes
it's a very good idea let's go do that
boom now a modern economy like the
United Kingdom is going in the opposite
direction of everyone else because they
all of a sudden think they're unique in
going through a recession and they want
to make sure they prop up their GDP
because after all well a country of
entrepreneurs that's literally what they
say and and so therefore forget
everybody else having inflation problems
so just forget about inflation let's
just print our way out of a recession
and the bank of England's monetary
regime is like uh what are you doing we
are tightening it at the same time the
bank's financial crisis team is like no
let's loosen let's print more money so
even within the central bank of England
you literally have like one side saying
Titan one side saying Lucid it doesn't
make sense and it creates a very
dangerous precedent of telling the
market okay hey if y'all get March and
Cult Don't worry we'll just
take the printer back out no problem
Margin Call we can solve it
it's just two weeks of printing don't
worry we'll put it back away after two
weeks it's literally like Jeffrey Dahmer
come on just one more heart baby just
one more just one more
we call it the blinking first error and
the United Kingdom is blinking first
it's so bad now that markets are so
angry at the bank of England that they
are starting to price in potential
emergency action from the monetary
regime of the bank of England that'll
come out with 150 basis point hike of
interest rates following their last baby
50 basis point hike to try to offset all
of this Insanity that's happening at the
other end of not only the bank of
England but also the government which is
bringing out the money printer we're
like okay well you're gonna bring out
the money burner we're gonna have to
raise hikes rates for this is literally
like imagine this imagine Janet Yellen
and Joe Biden going oh yeah baby let's
print it and Jerome Power Band all right
guess we gotta raise rates even more
it's just insane what's happening and
this is why you've got organizations
like Goldman Sachs and Credit Suisse
saying this is a disaster housing prices
will probably fall by over 15 and we're
gonna have a crisis in the United
Kingdom
but like what was the foundation for
this what was the real reason for all of
this mess so well I'm gonna explain that
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the coupon code expiring Friday okay so
what is like physically happening uh in
the United Kingdom and and why is why is
all of this disaster uh what like what
started all of this well here's what
started all of this first Pension funds
saw the value of their bonds lose as
much as 50 in just a few days the plunge
was so sharp the Pension funds started
getting margin calls but a lot of their
Equity like their net worth was tied up
in things like real estate and private
Equity both really illiquid when you get
into private Equity you don't expect to
be able to sell it at any point in the
future until there's a liquidity event
like an IPO or something in the future
that's what private Equity is and real
estate takes time to sell consider me I
sold most of my properties about 85 of
my real estate uh about 22 properties in
Southern California in the first half of
the year it took me five months to sell
all of them and I consider myself like a
serious and sophisticated real estate
professional so imagine if you're not
that like you're just a normal person
it's not that easy to break the piggy
bank of real estate it takes time
right so this takes longer term planning
now unlike the United Kingdom and these
Pension funds I didn't get margin called
I sold to create my startup house hack
which you could learn more about by
going to househack.com but the United
Kingdom's Pension funds saw this plummet
in bond value portfolios in part because
of actions that were announced on Friday
by the government and the chancellor of
the exchange they announced the biggest
tax cut in 50 years since 1972. their
equivalent of the treasury secretary
quasi-cartang believes that England
should reward work and people should
keep more of the money they make this is
a very traditional conservative
principle tax people less essentially
let people keep more of their own money
this is where he calls the United
Kingdom a country of entrepreneurs and
he also suggests that because we have a
worker shortage if we lower taxes we
might encourage more people to work and
we'll also lower subsidies for those
people who are not working reducing the
social safety net to hopefully Force
these people to go to work they've also
announced things like the following
number one stimulus for households and
businesses via energy subsidies that's
more spending a lower corporate tax rate
instead of hiking the corporate tax rate
to 25 they'll keep it at 19 a lower
personal high-end High tier income tax
bracket for higher net worth or higher
income individuals no more 45 bracket
going down to 40 percent number four
other incentives for developing real
estate or even buying your first home
and changes to the stamp duties lowering
taxes again a lot of more spending and a
lot less tax revenue however they're not
actually releasing the full budget until
uh well we get more details on Friday
and then more details again on November
23rd and the reality is this spooked
markets markets freaked out here and
thought Oh no our country is going mad
the Liz trust government doesn't know
what the he double hockey sticks is
doing let's sell the pound because we've
lost faith in it selling the pound has
also been leading to a lot of selling of
bonds which leads leads to this
in valuations at Pension funds so people
are like get me out of the pound let's
dump the bonds we have and let's go buy
something else like some American Bots
right but the problem with this is the
more money you spend the more inflation
you end up creating and ultimately when
the pound weakens you create what's
known as higher imported inflation
leading to more eroded incomes that's at
least according to the economist
and you've got Liz truss who came out in
reaction to all this who just took over
from Boris Johnson oh Mr partygate came
out and said hey you know what um the
government's doing the right thing we
had to take urgent action so don't worry
we will do what we need to do to get out
of this recession well that also hasn't
led to any confidence that the
government actually knows what the heck
it's doing in fact if anything it's
leading to more moral hazard and this
moral hazard is probably the biggest
danger here The Economist goes as far as
saying the Liz trust government has
created more economic and political
damage in the past week than Boris
Johnson did in his entire Administration
or at least that's what they're implying
so
you create really big issues here solely
because a people are losing faith in the
United Kingdom but also B you have a
policy system that truly doesn't make
sense you're creating inflation and
importing inflation both at home you're
creating inflation with more spending
and less taxation but then you're also
reducing the value of the pound so
you're importing inflation this is a
disaster so two forms of inflation and
you're leading to uncertainty but you're
also creating moral hazard you're
creating this this idea that oh why if
we get margin called as an institution
in the United Kingdom don't worry
and you also potentially encourage other
countries around the world to go yeah
well if the United Kingdom's doing it
will take you out our money printer too
did you imagine if the United States
brought out the money printer again I
mean this is a disaster and we don't
exactly know where the Fallout of all of
this is going to be yet but look this is
bad and somewhere things are going to
break valves are going to burst and
somewhere this is going to hurt really
badly do we know where exactly it is yet
no is it likely that the United Kingdom
is going to collapse no but does it mean
that inflation is likely to stay a lot
higher for a lot longer probably that's
kind of devastating and we've really got
to pay attention to it because it's
probably going to continue to drive bond
yields up throughout the world and the
more you have countries bringing out the
money printer the more countries like
America end up having to hike
I know that sounds ironic but America is
tired of high inflation and if other
countries are creating prices going up
the United States is going to hike more
to offset their increases in prices and
their crazy inflation by making sure we
almost get squeezed into deflation it's
scary thanks so much for watching folks
we'll see in the next one goodbye
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