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Stocks to Crash Again

15m 25s2,572 words400 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

folks i kid you not this is the stock

0:03

market that will take

0:06

absolutely any bit of good news and say

0:08

that's it all that is bad is over we are

0:12

going back to the moon

0:15

now this is of course a good thing if

0:17

you own stocks it's not the greatest

0:19

thing if you are wanting to buy stocks

0:22

or you are wanting at cheaper prices

0:24

this is why folks we have been saying

0:27

pretty consistently with the exception

0:29

of a few

0:30

times pretty because i would say about

0:32

80 percent of the time i say never

0:34

squander a red opportunity and the

0:37

reason for that is since march of 2020

0:41

the general rule of thumb has been via

0:44

the dip

0:45

seems to work and the reason it works is

0:47

because this market looks for any bit of

0:50

potential news to rally today we got the

0:53

big merck u-turn

0:55

so this morning i kind of got ambushed

0:58

by that news because when i started my

1:00

live stream i didn't even know about

1:01

that news yet uh so here's the thing

1:04

this uh cova treatment is actually a

1:08

pretty big deal so far uh at least in

1:10

terms of what we can see reducing

1:12

hospitalizations uh by 50 potentially

1:14

completely eliminating deaths on the

1:16

basis of a study of about uh 700 people

1:20

14 hospitalizations uh half the uh

1:23

you know control group uh and and no

1:26

deaths it's pretty pretty incredible

1:29

the uh the question is is how similar is

1:33

this merc treatment uh a pill that you

1:36

would take now after uh you or contract

1:39

covid how similar is this to something

1:42

like a rem deserver right a rem deserver

1:45

is an antibody remember the the

1:47

monoclonal antibody cocktail that donald

1:50

trump got even though most people didn't

1:52

have access to it of course donald trump

1:54

got injected with multiple different

1:56

monoclonal anti-body cocktails which

1:59

helped him go from a pretty dire state

2:02

to

2:03

fine

2:04

and

2:05

you know parading around outside walter

2:07

we read with the secret service which we

2:08

covered all this live right

2:10

so

2:11

um the stock market is loving this pill

2:14

like this this pill in my opinion is

2:17

more than a

2:19

pill for covid it is

2:22

a it's an anxiety relief pill it is an

2:25

antidepressant

2:27

it is a

2:28

please take this red pill

2:32

and let stocks go to the moon for once

2:36

and that's essentially what's happening

2:38

today and again the reason

2:41

this is happening

2:42

is because we are removing anxiety from

2:45

the marketplace and anytime we remove

2:47

anxiety from the marketplace first thing

2:49

that happens is people take their cash

2:51

and plow it into the market volatility

2:52

index down almost ten percent dow jones

2:54

industrial up one point six one percent

2:56

the s p is up one point two five percent

2:58

the nasdaq is a point eight five percent

3:00

and it is all because of the little red

3:03

a pill

3:05

and we are even seeing a part rotation

3:08

in the market which is interesting to

3:10

pay attention to a rotation a specific

3:14

rotation that we used to only see back

3:17

in 2020 that rotation has heavily been

3:20

broken apart in 2021 where we haven't

3:24

really seen cohesiveness amongst

3:26

recovery stocks versus other stocks

3:29

but today we actually do see a

3:31

cohesiveness amongst recovery stocks

3:33

dave and buster's up nine point one two

3:35

percent you've got united airlines up

3:38

seven point four percent toast

3:40

the payment processor for restaurants of

3:43

six point seven one percent dutch pros

3:45

six point three six three percent delta

3:47

of six point five to five percent

3:50

southwest five point nine marriott five

3:52

seven five american airlines norwegian

3:54

cruise lines cheesecake you get the idea

3:57

here yet let's keep going just in case

4:00

you don't uber 5 disney 4.27 carnival

4:04

american express gap mgm

4:08

cinemark

4:09

do you see where i'm going yet all of

4:11

these stocks are well over three percent

4:14

today booking holdings does it ring a

4:16

bell yet airbnb

4:18

win simon property group the one of the

4:20

largest mall operators in the world

4:23

anything yet

4:25

its recovery stocks are rallying on this

4:28

news because it's not just about the

4:32

covet delta variant in cases that we

4:34

have now it's about

4:37

extinguishing

4:38

fear this pill is kind of like taking

4:43

a uh a plane like a boeing 737 that puts

4:46

out fires and it's loaded with foam or

4:50

like that red powder or whatever they

4:52

they

4:53

drop

4:54

into fire areas and they're putting this

4:56

down as like a preventative fire

4:58

retardant that's what this red pill is

5:01

why because you still have recovery

5:03

stocks freaking out over the potential

5:09

that delta

5:11

is going to absolutely destroy christmas

5:14

and nobody wants christmas to be

5:15

destroyed first of all people don't want

5:17

to die okay second of all people who

5:20

don't want the vaccine are like

5:23

wait a minute you is telling me

5:26

if i get coven

5:28

then i can take something that's going

5:29

to prevent me from dying hell yeah sign

5:32

me up i don't need to get the facts

5:33

anymore that's in my opinion literally

5:36

what this pill will do for the anti-vaxx

5:38

crowd

5:39

which good at least they have an option

5:41

right

5:43

but it will also help the broader market

5:45

go wait a minute

5:46

this

5:47

this right here

5:49

is going to be the solution for making

5:52

sure delta is not

5:54

santa claus this year or the grinch i

5:57

should say that's better the grinch okay

5:59

we don't want to grinch this year

6:02

so uh this is uh this is actually very

6:04

good news obviously we need fda approval

6:07

for this thing things in phase 3 trials

6:09

i would imagine fda approvals would be

6:11

expedited and they'll probably be many

6:13

cases of compassionate use as well which

6:15

compassionate use is essentially the

6:17

opportunity to

6:18

provide folks medication when they are

6:21

essentially very likely to die from

6:24

covid and they can take something that's

6:27

not technically approved yet because

6:29

they would probably die otherwise so

6:31

this is good the other thing

6:33

and you cannot you can't i don't want to

6:35

say this uh you can't overstate how

6:38

important this is

6:39

uh

6:42

the pill is only necessary for people

6:44

who actually got sick

6:46

that's even better you don't have to

6:48

vaccinate everyone you don't have to

6:51

give the red pill to everyone red pill

6:53

is not a vaccine you don't have to give

6:54

it to everyone

6:56

it's just hey whoever gets sick we get a

6:59

little red pill for you

7:01

in case you're wondering why the 10-year

7:03

treasuries are falling yields are

7:06

falling in case you're wondering why

7:07

recovery stocks are going up uh and

7:10

what's crazy is you've even got some

7:12

some uh other things going up here as

7:14

well uh like crypto crypto is loving

7:17

this news absolutely loving this news so

7:20

you got the miners going up you got

7:23

um up work up which is totally a

7:25

stay-at-home stock what what this pill

7:27

is doing is more than just pumping up

7:29

recovery stocks

7:30

it is saying to the market folks fear

7:33

not we are going to get through this

7:36

we're in 2021 and we can defeat the

7:39

challenges we face evergrand is not

7:42

going to be a big deal

7:45

that's that's what the market's trying

7:47

to starting to think right now okay now

7:49

i'm not making that guarantee i think

7:51

evergreen is something we absolutely

7:52

have to pay attention to but i have said

7:54

in many many videos on this channel i

7:56

don't think that ever grant is going to

7:58

be a big deal i think the fear of ever

8:00

grant is going to be

8:02

more bad

8:03

uh and the fear of evergreen has led to

8:06

this crypto disaster that we've seen uh

8:09

and and i suppose by crypto disaster you

8:11

know when you zoom out it's not that big

8:12

of a deal but uh but we know that that's

8:15

how crypto works but anyway we went from

8:17

you know this beautiful rally of like 53

8:19

000 to uh to essentially down to almost

8:22

to our support line here at just under

8:24

forty two thousand dollars uh and and

8:27

broad-based sell-off in cryptocurrencies

8:29

i actually sold my crypto just to rebuy

8:32

it lower because i'm like yo this

8:34

evergreen stuff's gonna be a disaster

8:37

duh

8:38

it kind of was the fear of it was but

8:40

that was the point

8:42

this is why as soon as the fear of that

8:45

hit an inflection point where it's like

8:47

okay this fear is going away the last

8:49

three days not today i've been buying

8:52

the dip like crazy and i've been buying

8:54

the dip like crazy because i realized

8:57

that fear is mostly overblown that our

9:00

fears might be level 100 when reality is

9:03

like level 10 bad that's usually how it

9:06

is

9:06

now uh

9:08

even folks that was even true

9:11

in the great recession in the great

9:13

recession fear was so mega freaking high

9:17

people are like this was one of the

9:19

first places i learned

9:21

what not to do is like at the bottom of

9:23

the market my dad's like oh my

9:26

401ks god the hell that's it sell

9:29

everything

9:31

it's like that

9:33

you just paper handed your retirement

9:38

oh man

9:39

um

9:41

anyway so

9:42

uh look sometimes you you look at what

9:45

not to do right but anyway this is a

9:49

beautiful beautiful thing for markets

9:52

it's a beautiful thing uh for for uh

9:55

people it's a beautiful thing for

9:56

humanity it restores a lot of faith uh

10:00

in in medicine that i think all of us

10:02

should have because i think a lot of

10:04

faith has been lost you know uh uh you

10:07

know what do they call it mr the fouchy

10:09

jab you know people don't want to get

10:11

the fouchy vaccine or whatever you know

10:12

like there's been so much

10:14

it's so nice that now it's like hey okay

10:17

you guys fight about the vax in the

10:19

meantime let's prevent people from dying

10:20

over here with this pill that's

10:22

wonderful now i still encourage

10:23

vaccinations but i also believe in

10:26

individuals

10:27

uh right to choose uh and uh hey look

10:30

this this pill is such a wonderful

10:32

wonderful as long as it ends up getting

10:34

approved a wonderful wonderful uh backup

10:37

choice uh and i love it i really love it

10:40

and i believe that uh this moment today

10:45

uh over and starting well continuing

10:48

over the next two weeks

10:49

uh let me rephrase that continuing over

10:51

the next two weeks we still have

10:53

uncertainties left in the market okay

10:56

let's make this extremely crystal f and

10:58

clear okay you still have a debt ceiling

11:01

crisis coming up on uh october 18th now

11:05

between you and me it's a bunch of bull

11:07

crap like

11:08

the u.s government ain't gonna default

11:10

like i think the odds of that are like

11:11

one percent okay i think it's not going

11:13

to happen so don't worry about it in my

11:16

opinion okay my opinion it's not a big

11:19

freaking deal it's going to get handled

11:21

uh okay so then you've got the

11:24

infrastructure package we're going to

11:26

get something very likely between one

11:28

and a half probably closer to like two

11:30

and a half uh to three trillion dollars

11:33

my guess

11:34

uh and and i expect that all to be done

11:37

by october 15th but guess what else i

11:39

expect to be done by october 15th i

11:41

expect inflation numbers to come in

11:45

inflecting to the downside finally

11:48

now a little bit it's not going to be

11:50

like a a huge drop but we're going to

11:52

see that curve is my expectation that

11:55

curve is going to be in my opinion well

11:57

received by the market

11:59

i'm hopeful that the jobs data comes in

12:02

moderately strong we don't want it to be

12:04

super weak although super weak could

12:06

lead to more tapering but then you also

12:07

get a sell-off because then people

12:08

wonder is the economy fundamentally

12:10

weakening too much i don't really buy

12:13

the argument that the economy is

12:14

fundamentally weakening i think the

12:16

economy is slapped in the face and

12:18

anchored uh by it's kind of like this

12:20

anchor that you're dragging around and

12:21

it reaches around and slaps you in the

12:23

face

12:24

it's like supply chains

12:26

freight

12:28

i just want to mess with china you know

12:30

like like it's it's stupid the fears

12:33

that we have in this market right now if

12:34

you think about it are utterly stupid so

12:37

china pulled the rug on property

12:39

developers and u-turned on the amount of

12:42

debt that they want companies to have

12:44

just like that because they felt like it

12:46

despite the fact that they were

12:47

encouraging people to take and companies

12:49

to take on so much debt to build housing

12:51

because they needed housing now they

12:52

realize wow we have too much housing and

12:54

too much debt well let's make the greedy

12:56

corporations pay for our stupid

12:57

encouragements

12:59

you know like these these in my opinion

13:02

are are not uh like crisis mode

13:05

scenarios that we face here i'm not

13:08

devastated by uh the outlook that we

13:10

face the stagflation arguments that i've

13:13

seen are absolute stupid absolutely

13:15

stupid uh almost all the fear-mongering

13:18

youtube channels that i see end up

13:20

spewing i shouldn't say almost all

13:22

because i don't want to make that

13:23

implication because i don't watch almost

13:24

all of them i rarely watch the other

13:26

channels uh but uh for example somebody

13:28

sent me a video the other day and

13:30

they're like kevin kevin this evergrand

13:31

crisis oh my gosh blackrock and fidelity

13:33

they're gonna collapse they have a

13:35

quarter of all their assets exposed to

13:37

chinese real estate and and oh my gosh

13:39

they're those are like four and nine

13:41

trillion dollar funds we're screwed and

13:43

i'm like bro dog

13:46

the person who made the video was

13:48

referring to an article that referred to

13:50

a specific bond within these four to

13:53

nine trillion dollar funds those funds

13:55

themselves are only like two to four

13:57

billion dollar assets which compared to

13:59

the fund is is a fraction of a tenth of

14:02

one percent uh and of that junk bond

14:05

fund to 25 is exposed to chinese real

14:07

estate why because interest rates are

14:09

higher there because it's a risk and

14:10

it's garbage there's a reason why junk

14:13

bonds are called junk bonds it's because

14:15

when people invest in high-yield stuff

14:17

and they get burned the the

14:19

institutional investors or the investors

14:21

who who invest in like quality companies

14:23

and aaa rated debt are like uh yeah

14:26

that's why i don't go there

14:29

you know so

14:30

look

14:32

me i'm happy uh i i don't love buying a

14:36

run-up so i haven't bought anything on

14:38

this run-up i've been buying the dip

14:39

i've been saying it day after day after

14:40

day after day i'm very very happy about

14:42

that uh now

14:44

let's go ahead and hop back on over to

14:47

what the heck is going on uh on a

14:49

minute-by-minute chart right after i

14:51

mentioned that uh if you like this

14:53

presentation so far make sure to hit

14:55

that subscribe button tell me like that

14:57

that's your best way to tell me and

14:59

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