Stocks to Crash Again
FULL TRANSCRIPT
folks i kid you not this is the stock
market that will take
absolutely any bit of good news and say
that's it all that is bad is over we are
going back to the moon
now this is of course a good thing if
you own stocks it's not the greatest
thing if you are wanting to buy stocks
or you are wanting at cheaper prices
this is why folks we have been saying
pretty consistently with the exception
of a few
times pretty because i would say about
80 percent of the time i say never
squander a red opportunity and the
reason for that is since march of 2020
the general rule of thumb has been via
the dip
seems to work and the reason it works is
because this market looks for any bit of
potential news to rally today we got the
big merck u-turn
so this morning i kind of got ambushed
by that news because when i started my
live stream i didn't even know about
that news yet uh so here's the thing
this uh cova treatment is actually a
pretty big deal so far uh at least in
terms of what we can see reducing
hospitalizations uh by 50 potentially
completely eliminating deaths on the
basis of a study of about uh 700 people
14 hospitalizations uh half the uh
you know control group uh and and no
deaths it's pretty pretty incredible
the uh the question is is how similar is
this merc treatment uh a pill that you
would take now after uh you or contract
covid how similar is this to something
like a rem deserver right a rem deserver
is an antibody remember the the
monoclonal antibody cocktail that donald
trump got even though most people didn't
have access to it of course donald trump
got injected with multiple different
monoclonal anti-body cocktails which
helped him go from a pretty dire state
to
fine
and
you know parading around outside walter
we read with the secret service which we
covered all this live right
so
um the stock market is loving this pill
like this this pill in my opinion is
more than a
pill for covid it is
a it's an anxiety relief pill it is an
antidepressant
it is a
please take this red pill
and let stocks go to the moon for once
and that's essentially what's happening
today and again the reason
this is happening
is because we are removing anxiety from
the marketplace and anytime we remove
anxiety from the marketplace first thing
that happens is people take their cash
and plow it into the market volatility
index down almost ten percent dow jones
industrial up one point six one percent
the s p is up one point two five percent
the nasdaq is a point eight five percent
and it is all because of the little red
a pill
and we are even seeing a part rotation
in the market which is interesting to
pay attention to a rotation a specific
rotation that we used to only see back
in 2020 that rotation has heavily been
broken apart in 2021 where we haven't
really seen cohesiveness amongst
recovery stocks versus other stocks
but today we actually do see a
cohesiveness amongst recovery stocks
dave and buster's up nine point one two
percent you've got united airlines up
seven point four percent toast
the payment processor for restaurants of
six point seven one percent dutch pros
six point three six three percent delta
of six point five to five percent
southwest five point nine marriott five
seven five american airlines norwegian
cruise lines cheesecake you get the idea
here yet let's keep going just in case
you don't uber 5 disney 4.27 carnival
american express gap mgm
cinemark
do you see where i'm going yet all of
these stocks are well over three percent
today booking holdings does it ring a
bell yet airbnb
win simon property group the one of the
largest mall operators in the world
anything yet
its recovery stocks are rallying on this
news because it's not just about the
covet delta variant in cases that we
have now it's about
extinguishing
fear this pill is kind of like taking
a uh a plane like a boeing 737 that puts
out fires and it's loaded with foam or
like that red powder or whatever they
they
drop
into fire areas and they're putting this
down as like a preventative fire
retardant that's what this red pill is
why because you still have recovery
stocks freaking out over the potential
that delta
is going to absolutely destroy christmas
and nobody wants christmas to be
destroyed first of all people don't want
to die okay second of all people who
don't want the vaccine are like
wait a minute you is telling me
if i get coven
then i can take something that's going
to prevent me from dying hell yeah sign
me up i don't need to get the facts
anymore that's in my opinion literally
what this pill will do for the anti-vaxx
crowd
which good at least they have an option
right
but it will also help the broader market
go wait a minute
this
this right here
is going to be the solution for making
sure delta is not
santa claus this year or the grinch i
should say that's better the grinch okay
we don't want to grinch this year
so uh this is uh this is actually very
good news obviously we need fda approval
for this thing things in phase 3 trials
i would imagine fda approvals would be
expedited and they'll probably be many
cases of compassionate use as well which
compassionate use is essentially the
opportunity to
provide folks medication when they are
essentially very likely to die from
covid and they can take something that's
not technically approved yet because
they would probably die otherwise so
this is good the other thing
and you cannot you can't i don't want to
say this uh you can't overstate how
important this is
uh
the pill is only necessary for people
who actually got sick
that's even better you don't have to
vaccinate everyone you don't have to
give the red pill to everyone red pill
is not a vaccine you don't have to give
it to everyone
it's just hey whoever gets sick we get a
little red pill for you
in case you're wondering why the 10-year
treasuries are falling yields are
falling in case you're wondering why
recovery stocks are going up uh and
what's crazy is you've even got some
some uh other things going up here as
well uh like crypto crypto is loving
this news absolutely loving this news so
you got the miners going up you got
um up work up which is totally a
stay-at-home stock what what this pill
is doing is more than just pumping up
recovery stocks
it is saying to the market folks fear
not we are going to get through this
we're in 2021 and we can defeat the
challenges we face evergrand is not
going to be a big deal
that's that's what the market's trying
to starting to think right now okay now
i'm not making that guarantee i think
evergreen is something we absolutely
have to pay attention to but i have said
in many many videos on this channel i
don't think that ever grant is going to
be a big deal i think the fear of ever
grant is going to be
more bad
uh and the fear of evergreen has led to
this crypto disaster that we've seen uh
and and i suppose by crypto disaster you
know when you zoom out it's not that big
of a deal but uh but we know that that's
how crypto works but anyway we went from
you know this beautiful rally of like 53
000 to uh to essentially down to almost
to our support line here at just under
forty two thousand dollars uh and and
broad-based sell-off in cryptocurrencies
i actually sold my crypto just to rebuy
it lower because i'm like yo this
evergreen stuff's gonna be a disaster
duh
it kind of was the fear of it was but
that was the point
this is why as soon as the fear of that
hit an inflection point where it's like
okay this fear is going away the last
three days not today i've been buying
the dip like crazy and i've been buying
the dip like crazy because i realized
that fear is mostly overblown that our
fears might be level 100 when reality is
like level 10 bad that's usually how it
is
now uh
even folks that was even true
in the great recession in the great
recession fear was so mega freaking high
people are like this was one of the
first places i learned
what not to do is like at the bottom of
the market my dad's like oh my
401ks god the hell that's it sell
everything
it's like that
you just paper handed your retirement
oh man
um
anyway so
uh look sometimes you you look at what
not to do right but anyway this is a
beautiful beautiful thing for markets
it's a beautiful thing uh for for uh
people it's a beautiful thing for
humanity it restores a lot of faith uh
in in medicine that i think all of us
should have because i think a lot of
faith has been lost you know uh uh you
know what do they call it mr the fouchy
jab you know people don't want to get
the fouchy vaccine or whatever you know
like there's been so much
it's so nice that now it's like hey okay
you guys fight about the vax in the
meantime let's prevent people from dying
over here with this pill that's
wonderful now i still encourage
vaccinations but i also believe in
individuals
uh right to choose uh and uh hey look
this this pill is such a wonderful
wonderful as long as it ends up getting
approved a wonderful wonderful uh backup
choice uh and i love it i really love it
and i believe that uh this moment today
uh over and starting well continuing
over the next two weeks
uh let me rephrase that continuing over
the next two weeks we still have
uncertainties left in the market okay
let's make this extremely crystal f and
clear okay you still have a debt ceiling
crisis coming up on uh october 18th now
between you and me it's a bunch of bull
crap like
the u.s government ain't gonna default
like i think the odds of that are like
one percent okay i think it's not going
to happen so don't worry about it in my
opinion okay my opinion it's not a big
freaking deal it's going to get handled
uh okay so then you've got the
infrastructure package we're going to
get something very likely between one
and a half probably closer to like two
and a half uh to three trillion dollars
my guess
uh and and i expect that all to be done
by october 15th but guess what else i
expect to be done by october 15th i
expect inflation numbers to come in
inflecting to the downside finally
now a little bit it's not going to be
like a a huge drop but we're going to
see that curve is my expectation that
curve is going to be in my opinion well
received by the market
i'm hopeful that the jobs data comes in
moderately strong we don't want it to be
super weak although super weak could
lead to more tapering but then you also
get a sell-off because then people
wonder is the economy fundamentally
weakening too much i don't really buy
the argument that the economy is
fundamentally weakening i think the
economy is slapped in the face and
anchored uh by it's kind of like this
anchor that you're dragging around and
it reaches around and slaps you in the
face
it's like supply chains
freight
i just want to mess with china you know
like like it's it's stupid the fears
that we have in this market right now if
you think about it are utterly stupid so
china pulled the rug on property
developers and u-turned on the amount of
debt that they want companies to have
just like that because they felt like it
despite the fact that they were
encouraging people to take and companies
to take on so much debt to build housing
because they needed housing now they
realize wow we have too much housing and
too much debt well let's make the greedy
corporations pay for our stupid
encouragements
you know like these these in my opinion
are are not uh like crisis mode
scenarios that we face here i'm not
devastated by uh the outlook that we
face the stagflation arguments that i've
seen are absolute stupid absolutely
stupid uh almost all the fear-mongering
youtube channels that i see end up
spewing i shouldn't say almost all
because i don't want to make that
implication because i don't watch almost
all of them i rarely watch the other
channels uh but uh for example somebody
sent me a video the other day and
they're like kevin kevin this evergrand
crisis oh my gosh blackrock and fidelity
they're gonna collapse they have a
quarter of all their assets exposed to
chinese real estate and and oh my gosh
they're those are like four and nine
trillion dollar funds we're screwed and
i'm like bro dog
the person who made the video was
referring to an article that referred to
a specific bond within these four to
nine trillion dollar funds those funds
themselves are only like two to four
billion dollar assets which compared to
the fund is is a fraction of a tenth of
one percent uh and of that junk bond
fund to 25 is exposed to chinese real
estate why because interest rates are
higher there because it's a risk and
it's garbage there's a reason why junk
bonds are called junk bonds it's because
when people invest in high-yield stuff
and they get burned the the
institutional investors or the investors
who who invest in like quality companies
and aaa rated debt are like uh yeah
that's why i don't go there
you know so
look
me i'm happy uh i i don't love buying a
run-up so i haven't bought anything on
this run-up i've been buying the dip
i've been saying it day after day after
day after day i'm very very happy about
that uh now
let's go ahead and hop back on over to
what the heck is going on uh on a
minute-by-minute chart right after i
mentioned that uh if you like this
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[Music]
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