Holy Sh9t - This is VERY Scary.

hey everyone me Kevin here I've got to

come clean I'm pretty dang nervous right

now and in this video I'm going to give

some of my suspicions of what could be

going on and what could happen in the

meantime yes I am still trading options

I know a lot of people are wondering

Kevin what are your latest positions so

I'll show you a couple of the latest

positions uh this on screen right here

was after our live trading session in

the course member live stream this

morning where I entered Tesla at 8:05

a.m. my actual trade went through at

about 11:02 uh eastern time so that's

about 8:02 California uh time and if you

take a look at what and where Tesla was

at that time you could see Tesla was

substantially higher right between these

two 5-minute candles here than where it

ended up the day and of course that was

a short I didn't go into the day with

any positions I created my day trades

now there was a another trade that I

also made that people wanted to know

about mostly because I think the

Euphoria just got a little out of hand

and that had to do with dwac which is

now trading under djt I actually wrote

this is really stupid and I entered this

trade at about uh

1247 1247 is when I entered the trade

and then I doubled down on the trade at

about

204 so let's go ahead and look at that

uh because I started getting kind of

smoked when I first went into it which I

purposely I tell tell everybody in my

course member streams that like when you

set your first position be prepared to

double down because you're not always

going to get that Perfect Price going in

so I go short here this candle I double

down at 20 what is it

247 was my Double Down Point double down

right between these two candles over

here and look at what this sucker does

shortly after really really really

incredible uh now that's not to say that

we can always H it out of the park with

trades and it's also hard to close with

maximum profit and not take some gains

early but gains are gains and we're

green on the day but what does this have

to do with my longer term feeling well

it actually has a lot to do with it one

of the reasons I'm trading more and I'm

sending more signals to my stocks in

pych group is because I'm more heavily

exposed to cash now earlier I got made

fun of for having a lot of exposure to

this ticker FG XXX which sounds like

it's a naughty ticker symbol but what it

really is is just a money market fund

that you can kind of trade into and out

of and it gives you like a 5.09% yield

minus some fees I think it's like 14

bips obviously like this video is not

advice for you to go into that ticker or

whatever like do your own research on

what those things are but the point is I

I I'm trimming because I'm building up

cash and there are few reasons for this

number one I want to be crystal clear I

long-term really believe in in train

America and I actually really believe in

the long-term moves of artificial

intelligence robotics Tesla you name it

I'm just exceptionally nervous right now

about the short term and who knows I

know people like to say ah you know

Kevin's just being emotional or whatever

fine this I have not been this level of

cash since January of 2022 and everybody

said the same thing then the same

comments everybody was making making fun

of me back then everybody's like you're

an idiot you're going to miss out stalks

only go up people are literally writing

that right now like look at this first

of all uh I see this post by uh Market

ear which I have right here uh NASDAQ

Now versus 1995 has played out rather

well so far uh and somebody right here

replies stons only always go up and I'm

like no no no no no no uh imagine we go

into overdrive is what the markete ear

is saying okay there's a problem with

this and see they have this little

orange line that's kind of trending up

with this there's a problem with this

comparing us to 1995 is a huge problem

what is the huge problem we sold off in

20 uh and 22 about three times as fast

as the dot bubble in other words we went

from high on the Q so let's just look at

it really quick okay so let's jump on

over here we went from let's go to the

week chart right here here this is

Weeble by the way I do all my trading on

here uh we're going to raise the prices

on Easter again for the uh course so if

you want all those Buy sell alerts make

sure you join that course stocks and

psychology money it's at meetkevin.com a

lot of people bundling that with uh the

real estate zero to millionaire course

or getting an event ticket if you want a

bundle email us at staff ATM kevin.com

but uh look at this we dropped from a

high in November of 2021 to a low uh in

about January uh end of December 2022 so

we had about a 13mon top to bottom

realistically the bottom was probably

over here in October so you're probably

looking more like um a 10mon span 10 to

13 month 11 to 13 month sell-off span

right now go back to the early 2000s I

actually don't even know if we're going

to be able to get that chart here oh we

are okay great so I want you to see the

selloff in the 2000s we did not bottom

out in the 2000s until

2003 which is crazy so I want you to

mark this bottom right here for a moment

this is you've got October of 2002 over

here and then you've got about March of

2003 you had a little bit of a double

dip I think the Spy bottomed in in March

and the NASDAQ uh bottomed in in October

but the point is it was it was around

this area here let's just give the

benefit of the doubt to the argument and

say the bottom was October of 22 okay

October of 22 go to the the high October

of 22 from what do we got here that is

March of 2000 so that's 9 months in 2000

all 12 months in

2001 and then you didn't botom until

October of 2002 so another 10 months

that is a 31 Monon downtrend what did I

just say about the downtrend we had in

the NASDAQ in

2022 10 to 11 maybe 13 month

so in other words we had crashed in the

era three times as slowly as we crashed

in 2022 in other words 2022 crashed

three times as fast okay so to compare

us today and say oh we're just getting

started on the rally makes me really

nervous because I think we may have

priced in gains three times as quickly

on the upshot with the Nike Swoosh

recovery don't get me wrong I still

believe in the long-term Nike recovery

so if you're a really long-term investor

does this really matter no but there are

some opportunities I think you can trade

short term uh in ways you can hedge your

portfolio so I'm going to talk about

those in just a moment but the point is

I'm I'm nervous I'm nervous about people

forgetting the speed at which we

recovered compared to the speed at which

we fell compared to the greed and fear

index we are at 67 on Greed on Market

momentum we're at extreme greed uh and

and I mean like Mega extreme greed we

are at Mega extreme greed on stock bre

price strength on breath we at EXT at

greed put call options were at greed

Market volatility is neutral sure

because like we're only going up so

volatility isn't really changing but

once we start going down that volatility

will Spike right back up this is

interesting the safe haven demand uh

this is a little bit more of a

complicated one junk bonds as well you

could of read into those yourself but

these are more of your stock based

indicators and they're all on the side

of greed uh and so are junk bonds again

Safe Haven demand you could look into

that as fear but then again I think that

one's a little skewed because yields are

so high on safe havens right now anyway

okay

so how do you protect yourself okay I

want to be very clear first of all I did

this on purpose because I know that

there're going to be a ton of people who

are just going to like watch the first

like minute of the video and look at

this guy's hair this guy's stressing I'm

actually not stressing at all I'm

sitting pretty in some cashola and

making some Moola on short-term trades

so I'm actually having fun and I'm

feeling pretty good as well as the fact

that house Haack is killing it my

fintech is killing it we're killing it

on all angles like the team is killing

it this is actually like a great time

this is fantastic but I'm also

correlating Des is a great time with I

feel like the Market's gotten a little

ahead of itself and we have to keep in

mind big catalysts it's going to be a

while before we get more earnings again

we're looking at the end of April and

really like May 22nd for NVIDIA earnings

again so we've still got one to two

months and I think there's room for a

technical sell-off between now and then

okay so what do you do do you short

Nvidia no and obviously what I'm about

to say is not Financial advice but

here's my opinion my opinion is it makes

sense when you can to start probably

loading up on cash in areas where you

don't mind trimming a little bit in

other words if the stock runs great but

you start putting a little bit of money

on the side fantastic remember I went to

cash in January of 2022 everybody made

fun of me for that everybody made fun of

me for that okay ended up being the

right thing to do did I play it

perfectly no I moved into what I thought

would be recession style stocks and I

got smoked by being exposed to interest

rate sensitive stocks oopsy dupsies so

I'm not saying I'm perfect

but when I was shorting Arc was a good

signal and I'm having those feelings

again now and so again I don't want it

to happen but I think raising a little

bit of cash is not a bad idea so you can

average in cheaper when we start getting

to panic again I think we're due for

like a three-month Panic frankly I I

don't know if it's going to happen but

I'm setting up for it what do I think is

really cheap right now well I sent an

alert and I'm not going to say exactly

what the ticker is but I sent an alert

on uh some put contracts where you can

go out about 90 days right now and I

think the insurance is pretty cheap

right now you're talking 90-day contract

is costing you compared to the

underlying price costing you maybe like

one 1.1% something like that compared to

the underlying for for eh 90 days 87

days something like that very very cheap

protection and a lot of these names are

Mega low volatility now I'm going to be

clear I'm not going short Nvidia though

I think you could probably pull off a

short on Nvidia as well I I I I I just

think Nvidia is a great way to get

smoked really fast I think there are

other companies with uh fundamentals and

technicals that are more desirable short

but I will say Nvidia really low

volatility right now really low

volatility so low volatility sets up for

a nice buy option time higher volatility

sets up for a good sell option time like

I know a lot of people picking up sold

calls on Tesla right now because

volatility is up on Tesla especially

after the uh FSD excitement that's

circulating FSD excitement especially

with a one Monon free trial guess what

folks one month from March 26th is a

after q1 earnings which come out uh what

like the early 20s for for um uh Tesla

so let me see here Tesla q1 earnings uh

actually I could be I just type him into

here uh point is you're not going to

know yet what the FSD adoption

potentially is for them to give us

enthusiasm during the earnings call on

how much money they're going to make

because they're all going to be in the

freaking 30-day trial

so you literally the the the lack of

catalyst is astounding for Tesla between

now and then that are bullish they're

very bearish going forward I think Max

Payne is still head uh and keep in mind

I didn't go into today's 6% rally with a

Tesla short I closed my Tesla short a

couple weeks ago at this point what's

glorious instead is we actually went

short on Tesla this morning you saw it

it was like 11:02 a.m. uh eastern time

which was nearly at the top it was like

up 6% and I'm like yes short in fact if

you join the stocks and psychology of

money group you can literally see me in

the course member live stream this

morning talking about how we got

rejected twice at this line and if we

fail a breakout here we's going

down it's my opinion it's not Financial

advice it just it it was right just like

the dwac short was right today okay I'm

not always right just saying that was

good that was good so uh get all those

alerts on the stocks and psychology

money course uh price goes up on Easter

Sunday so you've got some time between

now and then just email us at staff at

me kevin.com if you have questions

Okay so what

now do I want to show it see the other

thing is people are going to be uh

people are going to

be they're not going to believe me and

they're going to think that I'm just

being the bear or whatever but I showed

this in the course member live stream

this morning as well and I'm like guys

frankly I do not want to be bearish on

Tesla I love Tesla I really do like

longterm it is a big winner the short

term does scare me a little bit so

basically I shared this clip of I got

the update I got FSD

1231 and I put the sucker in drive I put

it in an address which I still don't

have connectivity I think Elon turned

off my connectivity my subscription is

paid but my service just died and no

matter how many times I force reset this

car I'm going to have to take it into

service because I I literally can't get

the conc working I don't know what the

hell's wrong but it's okay it's okay

maybe that's just like the treatment the

Bears get I I don't know and again I

don't want to be long run bearish I

still fly a Tesla flag on my house

okay but this morning or sorry it was

last night I get the update I'm like

this is so exciting and I know the car

does really well on highways it's done

really well on highways since 2017 so

when people post all these videos oh I

did 100 miles intervention free yeah I

know it's really good on really common

roads but we're training a neural net

here and if we want to get to FSD like

literal full self-driving we got to

start making some of these edge cases

actually work and you saw my video the

other day where this sucker pulls out on

the left that makes my butt

pucker uh I don't know what it is but

today or rather I keep saying today but

it was actually yesterday uh yesterday I

get the update and I'm I'm just going to

play it so I'll put on my little this is

a this is an alley it's it's not that

hard this is really not not that hard in

fact if you look at the bottom right

corner you could literally see the the

road is mapped okay so it's supposed to

go either right left or U-turn it's not

that hard it it like it is literally

mapped it's it knows what's there and

what's to come and yet this is what the

car decides to do when I start driving

so let's go ahead and hit play should be

really easy

now please turn left or right

what are you

doing no no no no no no no no

no so I obviously had to hit the brakes

and engage here and stop because for

some reason it thinks going into the

parking spot is going to be how to get

out of this situation and no it wasn't

stopping to uturn it was accelerating

into that and for those of you who are

doubtful that the car would do something

so stupid stupid on

1231 uh and I I want to be clear I have

no short positions on Tesla right now

okay so I want to be clear it's not like

I'm trying to like pum a stock or you

know down or something like that I'm

just I'm just saying like I think people

are being very selective with their

sharing here which is very common and I

don't mind like you know we need some

good news it's a pisser when you're long

Tesla it's just bad bad bad news we've

had enough of this crap but this is

reality okay this was the first clip

well actually this was the second clip

that I'm about to show cuz I didn't film

The the first time it happened happened

where drove into the park spot this was

its second attempt ready watch

this this is a

12.31 come on man

Dar good what are you doing

no this is the first impression at 12.31

it's stuck in an alley come on

bro

okay

what okay okay we're GNA try again

[Laughter]

whatever whatever I'm I'm just a bear

he's just a bear it's all clickbait

no no it's

not reality and clickbait are two

different things this is just a sad

reality oh I don't want it I want to be

long I want everybody to like me but

everybody's mad at me see that's also

one of the things that's hard is like

when you're like I I don't know man I'm

I'm I'm jaded I think we have a

correction

coming everybody just gets mad at you

you know it's it's crazy

so uh you know it's it's like what I'm

like hey Q3 Q4 it's time to go buy real

estate guess what happens that was the

whole that was the time to buy single

family real estate we picked up a bunch

of properties with house hack made a

bunch of extra equity for house Haack

money value for house Haack we proved it

that we can do it at scale you know now

now what am I I'm saying I'm saying

don't buy single family right now people

were like oh why are you flip fling you

said buy single family changed bro

guess what you buy now

multifam they're freaking out the

money's coming due I'm hearing from

other big syndications not to mention

any names I'm hearing other syndications

are starting to cut on on uh uh um

property expenses their elevators aren't

work game people are getting stuck in

the elevators they're cutting on

building expenses cuz the money's common

do you want to hear another one this is

scary too okay another one brookfield's

defaulted LA office tower now that's

office okay the example I just gave is

multif family I think there are big

opportunities to buy the dip over there

a Los Angeles office building that

Brookfield Asset Management limited

defaulted on is being sold for about 50%

less than the outstanding debt on the

tower it's being sold for $145 million

it's at 777 South Figaroa Street and

they have about $289 million of debt on

the building so usually the first thing

in real estate that gets burned is the

equity and then the debtors are

insulated well now the debtors are

getting a 50%

haircut I don't know I don't know I I

don't have all the piece of the puzzle

yet I do not have all the piece of the

puzzle yet and that's just what I do I I

am transparent I I wear my heart on my

sleeve I'm transparent about my opinion

uh I I think the market is wrong to say

inflation doesn't matter anymore I think

the beginning of this year is

concerning uh and we should pay

attention to it I think that the market

is wrong to assume the Federal Reserve

is going to give us three Great Cuts and

there's this other knucklehead just to

give another example here and this is

the this is just the kind of stuff that

I'm seeing I'm just like oh my God no no

no no no they don't understand they

don't understand they don't understand

uh so just as an example Le and and I

really I mean no like hate or disregard

here but like this is the kind of stuff

we're getting regularly okay so what's

weird uh okay whatever it's just trying

to make fun of me so the FED is about to

stop the runoff of their balance sheet

fairly soon and they trying to imply

that like the Market's going to go to

the Moon

okay they're not stopping the runoff

they are slowing the runoff maybe and

they said they're going to slow the

runoffs slowly like slower than than

previously assumed so they might go from

like you know uh uh 80 billion of of

runoff to like 75 and then 70 like

nobody's going to

notice

so again I'm sorry I'm sorry I'm sorry

I'm sorry all I could do is when I make

a trade I'm going to send an alert to

everybody in the stocks psychology and

money group whether I'm right or wrong

I'm going to send the alert when I have

feelings about the market I'm going to

talk about them when I see opportunities

I'm going to talk about them not every

one of my trades is going to be a winner

and my goal is to give you signals so

when I see something going on with the

lines and I'm like you know losing

support here's a potential trade maybe

you can make some money that's my only

hope is maybe together we could all make

some money that's that's my only hope uh

and and lose less money you know uh

Warren Buffett's two most important

rules of investing are number one don't

lose money number two don't forget rule

number one and see I think people

idolize Warren Buffett as like the

greatest stock picker in the world when

the reality is I think Warren Buffett is

actually the greatest business builder

in the

world like getting into early

Partnerships of great businesses whether

we're talking Ben and Jerry's Geico uh

you know getting

into um netjets fully owning netjets

high quality company I mean uh uh Fruit

of the Loom I think is another one they

own I mean the brands that they own are

so core American and so great he and if

you read his books you'll understand

he's a big fan of finding great

businesses being in a power position to

make sure the correct management is in

play and then let those managers operate

it's what he did with Bank of America in

2011 you know preferred stocks he's

insulated first to get paid out if the

company goes bankrupt it wasn't randomly

picking stocks it's getting a good

partnership agreements smart man really

smart the more you think about that the

more it's kind of

like that's interesting growing

businesses interesting like investing in

house hack well that's what I'm doing

investing a lot of time in house hack

we've got uh we've got some really

really cool deals to look at within the

next uh few days here on the calendar so

I'm so excited about that obviously I'm

going to do my hair first before I go

meet some Realtors

thanks folks we'll see you in the next

one advertise these things that you told

us here I feel like nobody else knows

about this we'll we'll try a little

advertising and see go congratulations

man you have done so much people love

you people look up to you Kevin PA there

financial analyst and YouTuber meet

Kevin always great to get your

take even though I'm a licensed

financial adviser licensed real estate

broker and becoming a stock broker this

video is not personalized advice for you

it is not tax legal or otherwise

personalized advice tailor to you this

video provides generalized perspective

information and commentary anything

third party content I show shall not be

deemed endorsed by me this video is not

and shall never be deemed reasonably

sufficient information for the purposes

of evaluating a security or investment

decision any links or promoted products

are either paid affiliations or products

or Services we may benefit from I also

personally operate an actively managed

ETF I may personally hold or otherwise

hold long or short positions in various

Securities potentially including those

mentioned in this video however I have

no relationship to any issuer other than

house act nor am I presently acting as a

market maker make sure if you're

considering investing in house Haack to

always read the PPM at house hack.com