Massive September Stimulus Package: Full Breakdown
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone me kevin here here is a
comprehensive update on the next rounds
of stimulus for actually in this case
both
poor folks and richer folks which seems
odd but yes i kid you not presently
there are discussions to reintroduce the
elimination
of the salt tax deduction limit
that is state and local tax deduction
limits currently in place within the
social infrastructure bill
so we've got a lot to talk about i'm
going to go through exactly the status
of in the both infrastructure packages
time frames expectations where is
congress what the he double hockey
sticks is going on and everything else
and if there's anything in this video
that stresses you out you all know you
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metkevin.com lemonade all right let's
get started so first
yes it is true there is talk about
potentially bringing the assault tax
deduction limit removal back
to the discussion table some democrats
have vowed not to support any
infrastructure package if the salt a cap
is not nixed now for those of you who
are wondering what the heck this salt
deduction is it stands again for state
and local tax deductions and it
basically says that if you are somebody
who pays a lot of state income taxes or
you own a lot of real estate leading you
to pay a lot of real estate taxes
especially in high income tax states
specifically like california or new york
you have a present limit of ten thousand
dollars worth of deductions that means
you can only deduct ten thousand dollars
of state local tax dollars some people
spend a million dollars in california
just on income taxes but are limited in
how much they can actually write off on
their tax returns which is pretty rough
this would be a massive windfall for
wealthier individuals if it's included
and some democrats are vowing again not
to support the infrastructure package if
this cap is not included the removal of
this cap is not included in the bill
getting rid of this cap would cost about
400 billion dollars the potential
solution to offset this sort of rich
person stimulus is capping itemized
deductions at 28
and then moving the 401k deduction to a
tax credit so that way people could
still have tax deductions now that's the
rich person stimulus but what is the
status of that negotiation and how does
that affect everyone else especially
people who are not rich and the other
stimulus aspects of this bill well let's
be very clear we've got two bills that
we've got to deal with and right now
congress is nowhere to be seen that's
because congress is off through labor
day until september 13th when they come
back for just three lousy days the 13th
14th and 15th and then they take off
again until the 20th and then between
the 20th
and the 30th of september which keep in
mind there's a weekend in there as well
congress our house of representatives
and senate will have to somehow
pass not only the one trillion dollar
infrastructure package that's the hard
infrastructure package i'll break that
down again in just a moment but they'll
also have to pass the social
infrastructure bill which they'll likely
try to get done with budget
reconciliation which means they would
only need 50 democrats in the senate
which is all of them with kamala harris
as a tiebreaker and almost all of the
democrats in the house of
representatives so this means they're
walking a very very very fine line with
that social infrastructure package and
they're going to have to address the
federal budget and potentially raising
the debt ceiling because the united
states treasury has already told us in
fact it's on their website
that if the debt ceiling isn't raised
the united states may no longer be able
to make their payments as soon as the
middle of october or early november and
i'm not sure what's more concerning that
they don't know when they're going to
run out of money or the fact that
they're going to run out of money
solid disaster
but anyway the stakes are very very high
for these infrastructure packages we
already know the one trillion dollar
package has passed the senate and now
we're talking about this social
infrastructure bill and quite frankly i
think the easiest way to try to outline
exactly where we stand in all of this
mess is just to draw a quick little
picture because let's be real between
you and i and anyone else listening it's
a little complicated
let's take a quick little look over here
at the ipad okay here's how it's going
to work
so right now we've got a 1 trillion
dollar bill this has already passed the
senate you actually had
enough senators to pass this bill over
it was around 68 69 senators who passed
this bill to where budget reconciliation
which the democrats only have one more
opportunity to use was not necessary for
the one trillion dollar infrastructure
package so the one trillion dollar hard
infrastructure package that includes uh
money for a whole lot of things that's
already been passed by the senate just
to give you a quick preview that's 66
billion for railroads there's also a
line in there that the bill encourages
more food and beverage services on
amtrak routes
even if
amtrak loses money doing that yeah
that's written into law or in this bill
so soon to be written into law power
grid gets 65 billion broadband gets 65
billion water and pipes 55 billion cyber
resilience 47 billion 39 billion for
public transit airport's 25 billion
remediation for capping oil wells clean
up cleaning up mine so on 21 million
port 17 billion safety 11 billion
western water infrastructure now we need
that out here in california eight
billion dollars ev charging station 7.5
billion dollars electric school buses
7.5 billion dollars
it's a lot of hard infrastructure here
but let's go ahead and head back to uh
to our uh outline here of where we stand
with these actual bills so we got the
one trillion dollar package passed in
the senate this is the hard package
right
now we've got to go on over to the house
of representatives and this has not
passed the house of representatives yet
so we've still got some work to do
now we are expecting a vote to be held
on the 27th
of september for specifically this hard
infrastructure bill in the house of
representatives
but nancy pelosi has been pretty
motivated with especially with her
progressive democrats to kind of sit on
this hard infrastructure build until the
soft infrastructure bill is negotiated
this is the 3.5 trillion dollar
infrastructure plan it's a soft
infrastructure plan we'll talk about
what's in it in just a moment the salt
tax deductions by the way are being
negotiated in this soft infrastructure
bill i'll share more of what's in this
in a moment but this bill has not yet
passed the senate we actually have kind
of like a half or like maybe more like a
like this part of a check mark see like
if this is a check mark we kind of have
like that passed in the house because
they just passed an outline of roughly
what they want in the soft
infrastructure package and because this
is an appropriations measure and a
budget measure it's got a start in the
house so really they just kicked it over
to the senate now the senate is likely
to negotiate the three and a half or uh
yeah three and a half trillion dollar
package then if the senate checks it off
they can send it over to a to the house
for a vote but remember folks right now
we do not have a 3.5 trillion dollar
infrastructure package we have an idea
of a 3.5 trillion infrastructure package
and some rough suggestions as to what
may be included in it which again i'll
go through in a moment but i have no
idea how between now september 1st
and
september 20th
they're going to come up with a plan to
somehow negotiate and actually get this
bill done by the end of the month i just
don't see that happening i've been
around the block too many times with
these negotiations and everything ends
up taking longer especially since
congress is off
until the 13th
only to come back for three days the
senate comes back to work for three days
i doubt they're going to get this bill
done in three days
and then uh to come back to negotiate it
on the 20th
which is crazy but anyway
the goal is or nancy pelosi's hope is
that the senate passes and i'm going to
make this orange since we don't have
this done yet passes the bill in the
senate kicks it over to the house they
can pass
the three and a half trillion dollar
soft infrastructure package along party
lines likely i'm sorry it'll get past
the long party lines in the senate
likely with 50 votes over here but they
can only lose oops sorry that's aoc's
financial disclosure from a different
video
over here they can only lose a few seats
so they got to get i'm going to say
almost all
democrats on board uh over here can only
lose a handful here two or three and
then we're starting to get uh in trouble
in terms of actually seeing this happen
so i almost got to get all the democrats
on board here
then the house is if they get what they
want over here then nancy pelosi and the
house expect to pass the hard
infrastructure package and then we'll
have both really big packages
available
all right but we are nowhere near that
right now again so let's go ahead and
back up so this is where we stand right
now and you kind of see where we have to
get now what what is being talked about
in this
social infrastructure bill we keep
talking about infrastructure but it's
been so complicated to keep these two
things separate so what's in three and a
half trillion dollar bill well probably
inflation but i think that's for a
different video uh the this particular
plan has uh 300 billion dollars of
expansion to medicare medicare
potentially to cover dental vision
hearing under the spending plan
eligibility age currently at 65 for
medicare might even be lower uh biden
has previously suggested 60 but the
exact age is not known potentially
universal preschool paid family leave
federal support for child care and elder
care two years of free community college
pushing utilities to generate at least
80 percent of the nation's electricity
from clean sources by the end of the
decade and potentially a longer or
extension to that child tax credit where
you're receiving 250 dollars if you're
within income thresholds well you're
receiving 250 dollars per child under 18
years old or 300 a per child under six
years old per month
now keep in mind these are ideas right
now but guess what congress is doing
while they're
not in office or on vacation as we
sometimes like to say well they are
presently
very likely dining and whining with
lobbyists who are helping write the bill
for them
yes that's actually what happens you
oftentimes have lobbyists offer to write
these massive infrastructure bills and
write different parts of them and
basically it's kind of like somebody
comes up with hey i want these 20 pages
in hey i want these 60 pages in hey i
want these five pages in and a bill
comes together as really just a giant
bundle of all of these different pages
so that's why we end up getting these
like 2 000 page bills people are like
man who sits there and writes 2000 pages
nobody you have a bunch of different
lobbyists who offer to write 20 pages at
a time each and these are all
corporations that try to sneak in
loopholes and get their representatives
and go this is good right this good
that's what you want right they slide in
it's all a really messy and kind of
disgusting business
i have learned a lot since may about how
bizarre the whole process is because
well you probably know i'm running for
governor in california and it's been
some
it's been enlightening
but anyway hey but hey we're doing well
another poll came out today we're
showing that 22 percent for recall votes
let's go that's why you know 22 percent
we could win with that out in california
that's great if new zealand gets
recalled but anyway
so uh yeah basically lobbyists are going
to be pushing to water down these tax
increases i'm sure there are going to be
other lobbyists who are trying to you
know get other provisions in we're going
to see this potential rich person
stimulus the salt tax deduction i'm
going to be very transparent here i
would love that
i'm being entirely transparent because i
own a lot of real estate this benefits a
lot of people in real estate i also pay
a lot of money to california in income
taxes and i would love to pay less
so
obviously we'll see what happens but i'm
more interested not in myself so much
that doesn't matter so much to me uh
financially it's just a number i'm more
interested to see if we're going to get
some more of these social infrastructure
bills for other folks especially those
in need because i'm all for supporting
folks in need i've personally not seen
anything about student debt in here or
trying to facilitate uh rental uh
payments uh like rent relief payments
that has just been a complete cluster
they've only gotten about 10 out which
is just disgraceful and disgusting but
anyway the infrastructure package will
be partially paid for by tightening
enforcement on uh cryptocurrencies and
basically taxing cryptocurrency gains
they're going to be some complications
here for miners and companies to be
determined i'm sure there'll be some
amendments over here
then uh it's also worth noting that
there's talk about spending 125 million
dollars to quote test the feasibility of
a road usage fee
kind of like a per mile tax they're
gonna spend 125 million dollars to
think about
if they want that tax
yeah okay uh possibly also raising the
marginal tax rate for wealthier people
to 39.6 percent so it's kind of like a
give and take there for rich people i
suppose uh increasing capital gains
taxes uh well there you go again
if your income's over a million dollars
you may have a little bit more of a
little bump there on uh
capital gains especially long-term
capital gains bumping that to 39.6
plus the obamacare surcharge on top of
that of 3.8 which means you would be
paying a federal rate on long-term
capital gains over a million dollars of
43.4
which is almost half of it there's also
talk about potentially getting rid of
the 1031 tax deferred exchange removing
the stepped-up tax basis for estates
when folks die and pass to their heirs
appreciated property at a new stepped-up
tax basis which basically means that air
gets to save a butt load of money in
taxes and democrats are also eyeing
compliance to raise revenue from
households uh basically earning more
than a 400 a thousand dollars per year
by calling for more
reporting to the irs and more
fraudulent inspections of tax returns or
inspections for fraud potentially more
audits there's also talk about
potentially even raising the corporate
tax rate which you can expect lobbyists
will be very busy at dealing with so
there you go folks if you found any of
this stressful well like i said go to
medkevin.com lemonade thank you so very
much for watching it was a blast and
folks it's good to be back we'll see in
the next one
[Music]
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