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Massive September Stimulus Package: Full Breakdown

15m 13s2,759 words430 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

hey everyone me kevin here here is a

0:01

comprehensive update on the next rounds

0:04

of stimulus for actually in this case

0:06

both

0:07

poor folks and richer folks which seems

0:10

odd but yes i kid you not presently

0:13

there are discussions to reintroduce the

0:16

elimination

0:18

of the salt tax deduction limit

0:22

that is state and local tax deduction

0:24

limits currently in place within the

0:26

social infrastructure bill

0:29

so we've got a lot to talk about i'm

0:30

going to go through exactly the status

0:32

of in the both infrastructure packages

0:34

time frames expectations where is

0:36

congress what the he double hockey

0:38

sticks is going on and everything else

0:40

and if there's anything in this video

0:41

that stresses you out you all know you

0:42

can go to lemonade by going to

0:45

medkevin.com lemonade and sign up for

0:47

life insurance you can sign up for home

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insurance you can sign up for renters

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insurance and pet insurance and soon

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they'll be coming out with car insurance

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to compete with geico that's

0:56

metkevin.com lemonade all right let's

0:58

get started so first

1:00

yes it is true there is talk about

1:03

potentially bringing the assault tax

1:06

deduction limit removal back

1:09

to the discussion table some democrats

1:11

have vowed not to support any

1:13

infrastructure package if the salt a cap

1:16

is not nixed now for those of you who

1:19

are wondering what the heck this salt

1:21

deduction is it stands again for state

1:22

and local tax deductions and it

1:24

basically says that if you are somebody

1:27

who pays a lot of state income taxes or

1:30

you own a lot of real estate leading you

1:32

to pay a lot of real estate taxes

1:34

especially in high income tax states

1:36

specifically like california or new york

1:38

you have a present limit of ten thousand

1:42

dollars worth of deductions that means

1:44

you can only deduct ten thousand dollars

1:46

of state local tax dollars some people

1:48

spend a million dollars in california

1:51

just on income taxes but are limited in

1:54

how much they can actually write off on

1:56

their tax returns which is pretty rough

1:59

this would be a massive windfall for

2:02

wealthier individuals if it's included

2:05

and some democrats are vowing again not

2:08

to support the infrastructure package if

2:10

this cap is not included the removal of

2:13

this cap is not included in the bill

2:15

getting rid of this cap would cost about

2:16

400 billion dollars the potential

2:19

solution to offset this sort of rich

2:22

person stimulus is capping itemized

2:25

deductions at 28

2:27

and then moving the 401k deduction to a

2:30

tax credit so that way people could

2:31

still have tax deductions now that's the

2:34

rich person stimulus but what is the

2:36

status of that negotiation and how does

2:38

that affect everyone else especially

2:40

people who are not rich and the other

2:42

stimulus aspects of this bill well let's

2:44

be very clear we've got two bills that

2:47

we've got to deal with and right now

2:49

congress is nowhere to be seen that's

2:51

because congress is off through labor

2:53

day until september 13th when they come

2:57

back for just three lousy days the 13th

2:59

14th and 15th and then they take off

3:02

again until the 20th and then between

3:04

the 20th

3:06

and the 30th of september which keep in

3:08

mind there's a weekend in there as well

3:12

congress our house of representatives

3:14

and senate will have to somehow

3:17

pass not only the one trillion dollar

3:20

infrastructure package that's the hard

3:21

infrastructure package i'll break that

3:23

down again in just a moment but they'll

3:24

also have to pass the social

3:26

infrastructure bill which they'll likely

3:29

try to get done with budget

3:30

reconciliation which means they would

3:32

only need 50 democrats in the senate

3:34

which is all of them with kamala harris

3:36

as a tiebreaker and almost all of the

3:38

democrats in the house of

3:40

representatives so this means they're

3:42

walking a very very very fine line with

3:44

that social infrastructure package and

3:46

they're going to have to address the

3:48

federal budget and potentially raising

3:50

the debt ceiling because the united

3:52

states treasury has already told us in

3:54

fact it's on their website

3:56

that if the debt ceiling isn't raised

3:58

the united states may no longer be able

4:00

to make their payments as soon as the

4:02

middle of october or early november and

4:05

i'm not sure what's more concerning that

4:07

they don't know when they're going to

4:08

run out of money or the fact that

4:11

they're going to run out of money

4:13

solid disaster

4:14

but anyway the stakes are very very high

4:17

for these infrastructure packages we

4:19

already know the one trillion dollar

4:22

package has passed the senate and now

4:25

we're talking about this social

4:27

infrastructure bill and quite frankly i

4:29

think the easiest way to try to outline

4:32

exactly where we stand in all of this

4:34

mess is just to draw a quick little

4:36

picture because let's be real between

4:38

you and i and anyone else listening it's

4:41

a little complicated

4:42

let's take a quick little look over here

4:44

at the ipad okay here's how it's going

4:45

to work

4:46

so right now we've got a 1 trillion

4:49

dollar bill this has already passed the

4:53

senate you actually had

4:55

enough senators to pass this bill over

4:57

it was around 68 69 senators who passed

5:00

this bill to where budget reconciliation

5:03

which the democrats only have one more

5:04

opportunity to use was not necessary for

5:07

the one trillion dollar infrastructure

5:09

package so the one trillion dollar hard

5:11

infrastructure package that includes uh

5:14

money for a whole lot of things that's

5:16

already been passed by the senate just

5:17

to give you a quick preview that's 66

5:20

billion for railroads there's also a

5:22

line in there that the bill encourages

5:25

more food and beverage services on

5:27

amtrak routes

5:28

even if

5:29

amtrak loses money doing that yeah

5:32

that's written into law or in this bill

5:35

so soon to be written into law power

5:37

grid gets 65 billion broadband gets 65

5:40

billion water and pipes 55 billion cyber

5:42

resilience 47 billion 39 billion for

5:45

public transit airport's 25 billion

5:47

remediation for capping oil wells clean

5:49

up cleaning up mine so on 21 million

5:51

port 17 billion safety 11 billion

5:54

western water infrastructure now we need

5:56

that out here in california eight

5:58

billion dollars ev charging station 7.5

6:00

billion dollars electric school buses

6:01

7.5 billion dollars

6:04

it's a lot of hard infrastructure here

6:06

but let's go ahead and head back to uh

6:08

to our uh outline here of where we stand

6:11

with these actual bills so we got the

6:13

one trillion dollar package passed in

6:16

the senate this is the hard package

6:18

right

6:19

now we've got to go on over to the house

6:22

of representatives and this has not

6:24

passed the house of representatives yet

6:26

so we've still got some work to do

6:28

now we are expecting a vote to be held

6:33

on the 27th

6:35

of september for specifically this hard

6:38

infrastructure bill in the house of

6:40

representatives

6:41

but nancy pelosi has been pretty

6:43

motivated with especially with her

6:45

progressive democrats to kind of sit on

6:48

this hard infrastructure build until the

6:51

soft infrastructure bill is negotiated

6:53

this is the 3.5 trillion dollar

6:56

infrastructure plan it's a soft

6:58

infrastructure plan we'll talk about

7:00

what's in it in just a moment the salt

7:02

tax deductions by the way are being

7:03

negotiated in this soft infrastructure

7:06

bill i'll share more of what's in this

7:08

in a moment but this bill has not yet

7:11

passed the senate we actually have kind

7:13

of like a half or like maybe more like a

7:16

like this part of a check mark see like

7:18

if this is a check mark we kind of have

7:19

like that passed in the house because

7:21

they just passed an outline of roughly

7:24

what they want in the soft

7:26

infrastructure package and because this

7:29

is an appropriations measure and a

7:31

budget measure it's got a start in the

7:33

house so really they just kicked it over

7:35

to the senate now the senate is likely

7:38

to negotiate the three and a half or uh

7:40

yeah three and a half trillion dollar

7:41

package then if the senate checks it off

7:43

they can send it over to a to the house

7:46

for a vote but remember folks right now

7:48

we do not have a 3.5 trillion dollar

7:51

infrastructure package we have an idea

7:54

of a 3.5 trillion infrastructure package

7:56

and some rough suggestions as to what

7:59

may be included in it which again i'll

8:00

go through in a moment but i have no

8:02

idea how between now september 1st

8:05

and

8:06

september 20th

8:08

they're going to come up with a plan to

8:09

somehow negotiate and actually get this

8:11

bill done by the end of the month i just

8:13

don't see that happening i've been

8:14

around the block too many times with

8:16

these negotiations and everything ends

8:18

up taking longer especially since

8:20

congress is off

8:21

until the 13th

8:23

only to come back for three days the

8:24

senate comes back to work for three days

8:26

i doubt they're going to get this bill

8:27

done in three days

8:30

and then uh to come back to negotiate it

8:32

on the 20th

8:33

which is crazy but anyway

8:35

the goal is or nancy pelosi's hope is

8:38

that the senate passes and i'm going to

8:40

make this orange since we don't have

8:42

this done yet passes the bill in the

8:43

senate kicks it over to the house they

8:46

can pass

8:47

the three and a half trillion dollar

8:49

soft infrastructure package along party

8:51

lines likely i'm sorry it'll get past

8:54

the long party lines in the senate

8:55

likely with 50 votes over here but they

8:58

can only lose oops sorry that's aoc's

9:00

financial disclosure from a different

9:01

video

9:02

over here they can only lose a few seats

9:05

so they got to get i'm going to say

9:06

almost all

9:08

democrats on board uh over here can only

9:11

lose a handful here two or three and

9:12

then we're starting to get uh in trouble

9:14

in terms of actually seeing this happen

9:16

so i almost got to get all the democrats

9:18

on board here

9:19

then the house is if they get what they

9:21

want over here then nancy pelosi and the

9:22

house expect to pass the hard

9:24

infrastructure package and then we'll

9:25

have both really big packages

9:29

available

9:31

all right but we are nowhere near that

9:33

right now again so let's go ahead and

9:34

back up so this is where we stand right

9:36

now and you kind of see where we have to

9:38

get now what what is being talked about

9:40

in this

9:41

social infrastructure bill we keep

9:43

talking about infrastructure but it's

9:45

been so complicated to keep these two

9:47

things separate so what's in three and a

9:49

half trillion dollar bill well probably

9:51

inflation but i think that's for a

9:53

different video uh the this particular

9:55

plan has uh 300 billion dollars of

9:58

expansion to medicare medicare

10:00

potentially to cover dental vision

10:02

hearing under the spending plan

10:04

eligibility age currently at 65 for

10:06

medicare might even be lower uh biden

10:08

has previously suggested 60 but the

10:10

exact age is not known potentially

10:12

universal preschool paid family leave

10:14

federal support for child care and elder

10:16

care two years of free community college

10:18

pushing utilities to generate at least

10:20

80 percent of the nation's electricity

10:21

from clean sources by the end of the

10:23

decade and potentially a longer or

10:26

extension to that child tax credit where

10:29

you're receiving 250 dollars if you're

10:31

within income thresholds well you're

10:32

receiving 250 dollars per child under 18

10:36

years old or 300 a per child under six

10:39

years old per month

10:41

now keep in mind these are ideas right

10:44

now but guess what congress is doing

10:47

while they're

10:48

not in office or on vacation as we

10:51

sometimes like to say well they are

10:54

presently

10:55

very likely dining and whining with

10:57

lobbyists who are helping write the bill

11:00

for them

11:01

yes that's actually what happens you

11:03

oftentimes have lobbyists offer to write

11:05

these massive infrastructure bills and

11:07

write different parts of them and

11:09

basically it's kind of like somebody

11:11

comes up with hey i want these 20 pages

11:13

in hey i want these 60 pages in hey i

11:15

want these five pages in and a bill

11:17

comes together as really just a giant

11:19

bundle of all of these different pages

11:21

so that's why we end up getting these

11:22

like 2 000 page bills people are like

11:24

man who sits there and writes 2000 pages

11:26

nobody you have a bunch of different

11:28

lobbyists who offer to write 20 pages at

11:31

a time each and these are all

11:32

corporations that try to sneak in

11:34

loopholes and get their representatives

11:35

and go this is good right this good

11:37

that's what you want right they slide in

11:39

it's all a really messy and kind of

11:41

disgusting business

11:42

i have learned a lot since may about how

11:46

bizarre the whole process is because

11:48

well you probably know i'm running for

11:50

governor in california and it's been

11:51

some

11:52

it's been enlightening

11:54

but anyway hey but hey we're doing well

11:56

another poll came out today we're

11:57

showing that 22 percent for recall votes

11:59

let's go that's why you know 22 percent

12:02

we could win with that out in california

12:04

that's great if new zealand gets

12:05

recalled but anyway

12:07

so uh yeah basically lobbyists are going

12:09

to be pushing to water down these tax

12:11

increases i'm sure there are going to be

12:12

other lobbyists who are trying to you

12:14

know get other provisions in we're going

12:16

to see this potential rich person

12:17

stimulus the salt tax deduction i'm

12:19

going to be very transparent here i

12:21

would love that

12:23

i'm being entirely transparent because i

12:25

own a lot of real estate this benefits a

12:27

lot of people in real estate i also pay

12:29

a lot of money to california in income

12:31

taxes and i would love to pay less

12:34

so

12:35

obviously we'll see what happens but i'm

12:38

more interested not in myself so much

12:40

that doesn't matter so much to me uh

12:41

financially it's just a number i'm more

12:43

interested to see if we're going to get

12:45

some more of these social infrastructure

12:46

bills for other folks especially those

12:48

in need because i'm all for supporting

12:50

folks in need i've personally not seen

12:52

anything about student debt in here or

12:54

trying to facilitate uh rental uh

12:57

payments uh like rent relief payments

12:59

that has just been a complete cluster

13:01

they've only gotten about 10 out which

13:03

is just disgraceful and disgusting but

13:05

anyway the infrastructure package will

13:07

be partially paid for by tightening

13:09

enforcement on uh cryptocurrencies and

13:11

basically taxing cryptocurrency gains

13:14

they're going to be some complications

13:15

here for miners and companies to be

13:18

determined i'm sure there'll be some

13:19

amendments over here

13:21

then uh it's also worth noting that

13:22

there's talk about spending 125 million

13:25

dollars to quote test the feasibility of

13:28

a road usage fee

13:30

kind of like a per mile tax they're

13:32

gonna spend 125 million dollars to

13:34

think about

13:35

if they want that tax

13:38

yeah okay uh possibly also raising the

13:40

marginal tax rate for wealthier people

13:42

to 39.6 percent so it's kind of like a

13:44

give and take there for rich people i

13:46

suppose uh increasing capital gains

13:48

taxes uh well there you go again

13:50

if your income's over a million dollars

13:52

you may have a little bit more of a

13:53

little bump there on uh

13:55

capital gains especially long-term

13:57

capital gains bumping that to 39.6

13:59

plus the obamacare surcharge on top of

14:01

that of 3.8 which means you would be

14:03

paying a federal rate on long-term

14:05

capital gains over a million dollars of

14:07

43.4

14:09

which is almost half of it there's also

14:10

talk about potentially getting rid of

14:12

the 1031 tax deferred exchange removing

14:14

the stepped-up tax basis for estates

14:16

when folks die and pass to their heirs

14:20

appreciated property at a new stepped-up

14:21

tax basis which basically means that air

14:24

gets to save a butt load of money in

14:25

taxes and democrats are also eyeing

14:27

compliance to raise revenue from

14:29

households uh basically earning more

14:31

than a 400 a thousand dollars per year

14:33

by calling for more

14:35

reporting to the irs and more

14:38

fraudulent inspections of tax returns or

14:41

inspections for fraud potentially more

14:43

audits there's also talk about

14:45

potentially even raising the corporate

14:47

tax rate which you can expect lobbyists

14:49

will be very busy at dealing with so

14:51

there you go folks if you found any of

14:53

this stressful well like i said go to

14:55

medkevin.com lemonade thank you so very

14:57

much for watching it was a blast and

14:58

folks it's good to be back we'll see in

15:00

the next one

15:04

[Music]

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