no, just no.

oh my gosh what is that is that a Roblox

call that's up a hundred and one percent

like the Dalmatians that I took some

teddies on this morning that I just

bought two days ago oh damn yes it is

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data alright folks let's get into the

video all right look now there's a lot

of murmuring going on that all of a

sudden the Federal Reserves is going to

go back to rug pull mode and they're

gonna go with that 50 basis point hike

why because we know that Bullard and

even Waller are talking about how we

need a 50 basis point hike and in my

opinion mainstream media is trying to

get us nervous about the potential for

this actually happening well folks let

me give you my opinion of whether or not

this this even remotely possible now

those of you in the course member live

streams you already know because we

talked about this this morning uh along

with a lot of other things but folks we

need to understand Jerome and his

leadership at the Federal Reserve like

him or not trust him or not you gotta

understand what's happening

and then you'll have a little bit of a

better understanding as to whether or

not we're going to get that 50 basis

point rug pull and honestly does it even

matter because where are we trading

right now and which we'll look at in a

moment as well and what is a likely

course for this Market especially over

the next day 10 days or so where we have

this weird relative quiet period yeah

we'll talk about that as well okay so

first we know based on the last SCP that

we got from the fed and Jerome Powell's

talk we know that our expectations for

rate hikes have uh changed a little bit

in fact our expectation is that we're

actually not going to see a larger move

in uh any of the uh uh feds anything

basically until we get another three

months of inflation data why because

Jerome Powell told us that we're going

to delay when they expected Peak

inflation to hit and so a lot of folks

are like oh but Kevin I'm worried about

you know the March CPI data coming out

in April or I'm worried the fed's gonna

rug pull us or whatever I I get it I'm I

would be worried about a Fed rug pull

too I just don't think it's realistic

why because we we saw this coming that

the peak should have been may but we had

the quote Game Changer of war and that

Peak was delayed to about Q3 2022 about

three to four months so that pushes us

back to getting inflation data in June

and July right okay so if we get

inflation data in June or July now and

that's going to be where the Federal

Reserve sees a peak then if the Federal

Reserve believes that the peak is going

to be either June or July then obviously

we would not expect to see a down in the

CPI data until actually the August CPI

or potentially even the September CPI

let's go with August though because this

uh August aligns more exactly with what

j-pow told us right so if we get an

inflection point down in inflation in

August then it doesn't really make sense

or if this is what the FED currently

believes it doesn't really make sense

for the FED to say that's it you know

what next meeting in May let's go for

the 50 basis point hike which is just

sort of the rumor mill that the

mainstream media is perpetuating right

now especially on Triple witching day

which generally tends out it tends to be

a nothing Burger it's no surprise to me

that yesterday futures for the NASDAQ

were down one percent and the NASDAQ

today is almost actually up one percent

it's honestly quite glorious Futures

suck anyway so the May 50 basis point

hike don't think it's gonna happen

because it's literally a contradiction

to what they believe which is that

inflation's going to Peak in June July

again you might not believe this you

might think we're going stockflation

this is going to go on forever that's

fine but this is all about what we

actually think they're going to do right

so this would mean that the first CPI

report where we should definitely have

an inflection down in CPI and it could

happen earlier which that would just be

good news that by the way write that

down as a good Catalyst if CPI actually

goes down in June or July that's a solid

Catalyst I'm talking all August CPI

though for being past the peak and

actually seeing a real decline across

the board like like Broad and sustained

kind of decline across the board you

know headline inflation if let's say by

June July we're at you know seven

percent headline going back to like five

or six percent month over month decline

like certainly negative we need to see

negative on the month over month that's

very important we start getting negative

negative and a negative Market's gonna

be very very very happy big boom time

Catalyst right okay so the August CPI

report doesn't come out until the

beginning of September in fact we could

just type in schedule of CPI releases

into Google you go to the BLS website

Bureau of Labor Statistics and make sure

you're looking at 2022 because sometimes

you get confused and you look at 2021 it

comes out September 13th okay great so

this comes out September 13th you know

what's really funny and convenient is

that the Federal Reserve has a meeting

on September 20th and 21st 21st is when

they'll do their press conference huh

how convenient so if they believe the

peak is going to be in the summer the

post Peak should be August CPI that

means the Federal Reserve meeting of

September in my opinion has the highest

likelihood of actually being the point

where the FED says okay we didn't get

our Peak it's still going up time for a

50 basis point hike this is in my

opinion when the risk comes and that

risk starts getting priced in in these

CPI reports not March like don't even

talk to me about March nobody cares

about March we know March is going to be

an sh-90 show okay it's old news now the

other cool thing that happened September

21st is we actually get a new summary of

economic projections which is also

something that reiterates why I believe

that the Federal Reserve would first

consider a 50 basis point hike September

21st why because when they give us a

summary of economic projections what do

they tell us well they tell us what they

believe inflation will do in 23 and 2024

right and so what a beautiful thing

thing to be able to tell the markets hey

let's just say uh that the peak didn't

happen right and August CPI goes up so

what a beautiful thing to be able to say

Hey you know uh the API what am I

writing the uh oh my gosh Kevin geez

should have another drink the August CPI

went up oh no this is bad right and we

got that new September 13th now

September 21 the FED comes out and says

sorry we have to do the 50 BP hike

because the August CPI actually went up

and we didn't end up getting past the

Peak at now inflation is getting more

entrenched this is a problem we have to

hike a little bit faster this would be

bad it'd be a negative U-turn right but

at the same time they'll be able to say

oh but don't worry again believe him or

not oh but don't worry you'll see in our

new summary of economic projections that

we actually believe the peak is gonna

come in q1 23. you know like that's

entirely a potential reality but it can

I don't actually believe any of this

fear actually gets priced into the

market until uh well probably the June

July cpis which those come out on July

13th and August 10th hey that's Lauren's

birthday and and then of course the

August CPI which we already said comes

out on the uh 13th of September so that

that's very very important okay so now

we need to talk about the market okay

obviously I mean tassels locking on the

door of 900 again this is just

ridiculous you know somebody we talked

about this a little bit as well earlier

in the course member livestream people

are like oh we should be selling calls

sell calls I'll call sell calls right

look I like selling calls when we have a

little bit of euphoria in the market

this is not Euphoria for Tesla like if

we ran YOLO level to like 1100 I don't

think we're gonna get to this all-time

high again that we saw in December not

anytime soon but if we went you know we

broke through this 100 day moving

average and and we start running again

and we get to like an 1100 resistance

level which I think could be realistic

for for Tesla that might be a place to

sell some calls because now it's like

okay now things are going a little crazy

maybe you know certainly if we went to

1200 it'd be like okay yeah maybe maybe

now I'll take a little bit of downside

protection but somebody asked me they're

like Hey Kevin I heard somebody sold

Tesla calls and another YouTuber at 7.75

and I'm like

what possessed you to do that like

look at how how little time we actually

spend in the 700s you know you're coming

right back out of the 700s that's why

when you see Tesla 7 you buy uh you know

I think I've got about six or seven

million dollars of purchases on in Tesla

in the 700s here just in the last three

weeks no they're not all of the 700 some

of them are in the 800s uh but they're

all positive now which is well because

it's almost 900 which is crazy but

anyway the point is uh take a look at

this this is a little bit easier to

understand go over here to like QQQ okay

so in my opinion it's gonna be very

difficult for our Market to get back

back to this this 100 level but I do

think it's very very easy for us to

potentially uh get to a 61.8 Fibonacci

here and we could potentially see this

move here 61.8 uh quite frankly over the

next two weeks and that's because we've

got this weird quiet period where we

don't get Labor Statistics until the

first week of actually uh April 1st this

time which is kind of wild you usually

when Friday falls on the first of the

month is it is that Friday that's our

anniversary by the way uh yeah it is a

Friday usually they delay the report to

the next Friday but they're actually

going to deliver it on time on probably

because they're 31 days in March they're

actually going to deliver it on time on

April 1. so we're not gonna have a jobs

report until April 1 which means really

next week the 21st to the 25th there's

not a lot of news that's going to come

out I mean maybe we'll get like you know

some miscellaneous updates to to nominal

reports the pmis the pces or whatever

who cares

uh these are all scheduled so these are

not really maybe so it's just yeah maybe

those will be things the market actually

cares about but otherwise I'm a little

bit quiet for about a week uh and I

think that's actually what the market

likes right now is the opportunity to

sort of digest what the Federal Reserve

has said digest some maybe new fed speak

that comes out about this fear about the

50 BP hike which I do not think is

realistic until September and uh and

really take an opportunity to look at at

the market and say hey where where's

some leftover value still and first of

all I mean if you look at certainly you

look at like Visa I mean 215 I think

there's some leftover value there you

know end phase start is starting to get

up there again a little bit a little bit

on the rich side you've got a lot of

movement in certainly the smaller caps

right now I'm a little nervous about

Mullen I think that momentum is going to

die a lot quicker than people think but

I mean you look at some of these like

the matterports the sofas the affirms

even Neo shift Neo you've got the China

risk obviously though but some of these

small caps even I hate to say it but

like tattoo Chef or or uh you know a

much better company palantir right like

these companies still so very highly

shorted and there's a likelihood not

necessarily for a short squeeze but over

the next week if we start getting this

this Fibonacci return we start I mean

look at this now now we're making full

closes we're back testing our support

lines over here right we're fully

closing above

some of these uh these lower support

lines now we're starting to potentially

get to where short sellers say hey you

know what we made a lot of money writing

these things down time to cover covering

is buying and I think you're going to

see a lot more buying pressure on some

of these Smalls than you are on

um uh on on some of the larger companies

that have already recovered

substantially so we'll see uh we'll see

I'm very optimistic about the next few

weeks and quite frankly I'm also

optimistic about negotiations with Putin

and Ukraine Putin's got a demand a six

demands uh zielinski softened his stance

Putin softened his stance they're still

both somewhat you know apart obviously

otherwise we'd have a deal but uh you

know zelenski has been open to the idea

of a face-to-face meeting with Putin and

so is Putin Putin has just I think

yesterday actually yesterday the day

before one of those expressed his

willingness to potentially meet zelinski

face to face

I don't know about you but personally I

believe that could Mark the end of the

war because they'll come up with a

negotiated settlement and uh that

negotiated settlement will only work if

because I you could picture this okay

Putin says look give me the Don boss

give me some separatist regions agree to

be neutral no no EU no NATO uh you can

be militarized in certain parts of your

country but I need you to recognize

Crimea I need you to recognize uh don

boss and these sections as as Russian uh

and we'll have uh we'll call these a

demilitarized zone or we'll create a

demilitarized zone or whatever but at

the same time I need you to go to the

International Community and I need

McDonald's back I need Coca-Cola back I

need Amazon web services back I need

some of these sanctions lifted and we'll

we'll agree to this and then zelensi is

going to turn around and say the

International Community look we've come

up with something that's fair it'll stop

the death uh International Community we

ask your help in making this negotiation

happen and very quickly everything

u-turns I I hope that happens very soon

I think with a high degree of certainty

I shouldn't say certainty I should say

confidence because it can't be certain I

can be confident but I could be wrong uh

that this will happen by May yeah I

think that'll be a boon for the market

so I think really the big negatives are

priced in uh and this is why I'm as

heavy in the market as I am uh you know

do be careful on on like calls

volatility is very high your Theta Decay

is very high so if we trade sideways and

you're buying calls you're gonna get

reamed very fast but you could also make

profit very very quickly like

look at the beginning of the video I

showed you the Roblox call that's

awesome

uh and and more of that can happen but

do it with smaller portions of your

portfolio uh so just just be careful

with with calls like that uh okay good

so these are my thoughts on the market

right now I'm I'm bullish I'm happy

follow me and every move that I make and

the course member uh groups linked down

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we'll see in the next one thanks bye