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Twitter DELISTED Friday | Important Message to Investors.

16m 46s3,102 words444 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

Twitter is being de-listed from the New

0:02

York Stock Exchange effective October

0:05

28th Friday that's likely because Elon

0:08

Musk wants everyone to let his new

0:10

ownership sink in well he's expected to

0:14

take ownership of Twitter at 5 pm and

0:16

says the rumors of him dismissing 75

0:19

percent of the staff are false well even

0:23

though he is expected to cut a lot of

0:25

expenses at Twitter he's got an uphill

0:28

battle to work in the valuation for

0:29

Twitter and in this video I'd like to

0:32

talk about what you're buckling up for

0:34

if you're deciding to ride or die with

0:36

Elon Musk when this company goes private

0:38

and the shares are delisted Friday I'm

0:42

not entirely sure if that's Friday

0:43

morning or Friday at the closing bell

0:45

either way before or after Friday

0:47

Twitter will be delisted and it will be

0:50

a private company so we know that Elon

0:52

Musk is paying about 44 billion dollars

0:54

for this company the largest idea that

0:57

he has is growing the user base of

0:59

Twitter from it's current about 200

1:02

million users let's not even get into

1:04

the discussion of how many of those are

1:06

actually bought two one billion users

1:10

that's about a 5x growth in users and

1:13

then hopefully 10xing the monetize I

1:15

monetizability of Twitter in order to

1:19

essentially produce real cash flows and

1:22

uh the idea of Elon Musk purchasing

1:24

Twitter for 5420 has been the reason

1:27

that Twitter has actually traded

1:29

relatively close to 5420 because quite

1:32

frankly Twitter would probably be

1:33

selling for close to 15 to 20 dollars

1:35

today since advertising companies are

1:37

absolutely getting reamed uh during this

1:40

uh this recession and it's really what's

1:42

a beginning of recession which stocks

1:45

tend to price in the worst of of course

1:46

now we're getting actual EPS misses from

1:49

companies like Google Microsoft and

1:51

Facebook and so what do we get big

1:52

downshifts all at all companies except

1:55

for Twitter of course because elon's

1:57

paid 54-20 for it now look it's all new

2:00

he knows he's overpaying he was paying

2:02

at the time like 70 times 2022 earnings

2:04

that should have compressed by at least

2:06

half it's old news to say he's paying

2:08

double what it's worth we got that

2:10

what's he going to do with the company

2:12

well again double well 5x Revenue sorry

2:15

5x the user base and 10x the revenue and

2:19

how does he plan to do that well

2:20

according to sort of internal rumors

2:23

that we're hearing Elon Musk is also

2:25

hinting about this on Twitter that we

2:28

might see Twitter turn into a Twitter

2:30

space that can also include monetizable

2:33

videos including subscription based live

2:37

streams where you could essentially sign

2:39

up for a one-time paid live stream or a

2:43

paid Style live stream think about

2:45

Twitter spaces but either for exclusive

2:48

members or through some sort of paid

2:50

subscription model kind of like maybe

2:52

when I used to do Market open and close

2:54

live streams publicly a paid version of

2:56

that and then hosted on Twitter and one

2:59

of the things that I'd like to add in

3:01

terms of commentary is in order for this

3:03

to be successful we should potentially

3:05

look at the number one competitor in the

3:07

space of a long form video and now we're

3:09

not talking about short form video which

3:11

would be Facebook reels YouTube shorts

3:13

or tick tocks we're talking about long

3:15

form generally deemed to be eight

3:16

minutes plus but really anything over

3:18

about three minutes and that is a

3:20

horizontal video video would be a

3:22

competitor like twitch Vimeo Facebook

3:25

video or YouTube and clearly the

3:28

elephant of the room is YouTube YouTube

3:29

has the number one Nielsen rating for

3:32

most watched streaming service as of

3:35

September of 2020 which is actually an

3:37

impressive feat but when we look at the

3:39

numbers of the earnings provided by

3:42

YouTube for Google we can see that

3:44

YouTube advertising is down about 1.85

3:48

percent uh year over year and if we look

3:52

at the percentage of Revenue that comes

3:54

from YouTube compared to the total

3:56

revenue for Google we can see that

3:58

YouTube makes up less

4:00

then the Google network of income it

4:03

does make up nearly twice as much as

4:05

Google Cloud but makes up a fraction of

4:08

the ads that are spent on search in

4:12

total YouTube ads make up only about

4:14

10.2 percent of of Google's entire

4:17

revenue and that's actually declined as

4:20

a share of Revenue YouTube used to

4:22

represent 11 in income this was back in

4:26

uh 2021 and now represents just 10.2

4:30

percent so not only is it experiencing a

4:34

downshift in sort of the trend of growth

4:36

but it's also becoming a less important

4:38

part of Google's revenue which one of

4:41

the reasons people have been very

4:42

enthusiastic about Google over the last

4:44

few years has been because of YouTube

4:45

but that is actually becoming less

4:48

notable at Google and so for Elon Musk

4:51

to suggest hey let's just turn Twitter

4:53

into a potentially to suggest let's turn

4:55

Twitter into a platform for long form

4:58

monetizability I have a few suggestions

5:00

for Elon Musk and a warning so the first

5:04

in terms of suggestions

5:06

monetization is everything YouTube and

5:10

Google have announced that they're

5:11

planning to incorporate product

5:13

placement buttons that pop up within

5:16

videos while the videos are playing so

5:19

maybe kind of like the little cards that

5:20

pop up for another video you could

5:22

actually purchase merchandise directly

5:24

kind of like some channels have the

5:26

merchandise shelf below videos this

5:28

would actually pop up in videos when

5:30

certain products are mentioned so if I

5:32

say hey you know I've had a really good

5:34

experience with my Google pixel phone

5:37

click the link down below you could

5:38

potentially do that directly through uh

5:41

through a link that actually pops up on

5:43

screen one that hopefully is also

5:45

tapable on your iPhone and that would be

5:48

my recommendation to Elon Musk make sure

5:50

that if you would launch some sort of

5:52

long-form video content you immediately

5:54

launch with features that are

5:56

potentially not only more advanced than

5:58

what YouTube's going to come out with

5:59

but are at least as good as what YouTube

6:01

has it really wouldn't be that difficult

6:03

to have the option to implement some

6:06

form of iPhone because we know that or

6:08

even smartphone in general we know about

6:10

50 percent of viewers are watching on

6:11

their phones if not as many as 60 of

6:13

people that while you're watching a

6:15

video vertically you can actually click

6:16

a button shop for a product while the

6:19

video is maybe still playing in sort of

6:21

the miniaturized player that I think

6:23

would be Priceless and now YouTube is

6:25

working in that direction so you've got

6:27

work to do here obviously the most

6:29

important thing is advertising revenue

6:31

for creators now look there is a lot of

6:34

entertaining content on Tick Tock and

6:36

with shorts but my personal opinion is

6:39

that if you want real education and real

6:41

perspective you frequently need to

6:43

resort to longer form video to get that

6:46

and that's because you're going to

6:48

attract a better Talent when you can

6:50

actually pay creators through a

6:53

monetizable video for example on YouTube

6:55

when a video is more than eight minutes

6:56

long we can monetize that video so if I

6:59

knew you that every single video I made

7:02

made 500 bucks for example I might think

7:04

to myself well damn I'll just make 10

7:06

videos a day almost five grand a day you

7:08

know just as an example right so whereas

7:11

if somebody told you every video you

7:12

made made five dollars like shorts

7:15

frequently do and you spent the same

7:16

amount of time making that kind of

7:18

content uh you know making that content

7:20

viral or viralask and attractive on a

7:23

short form content where it really

7:25

incentivizes more editing than

7:27

potentially a valuable perspective well

7:30

or just straight up content theft which

7:32

is rampant in shorts people just

7:34

basically regurgitating the the same

7:37

almost verbatim content that you get of

7:39

other people's shorts have gone viral

7:40

right like this is not this is not

7:43

actually perpetuating Society in a

7:44

better Direction so personally I haven't

7:46

been extremely interested in shorts

7:48

although I've posted some shorts that I

7:49

think have been very very educational

7:50

and have done well but personally I

7:53

think in order to really attract High

7:56

Caliber creators monetization needs to

7:58

be a number one priority benefit to the

8:00

user who gets better quality content and

8:02

it's a benefit to the Creator who is

8:05

incentivized to continue to make their

8:06

content better and better not having

8:08

monetization for Content I think is is a

8:11

really bad Doom Loop of uh really

8:13

chasing not so educational Trends now

8:17

there are a lot of things that are just

8:18

meant to pass time and that's fine but

8:20

if the goal is to educate and actually

8:22

help people build wealth and I don't

8:24

know that necessarily shorts are that

8:25

option so that is a big priority number

8:28

one monetization and if there's a way to

8:31

include or incorporate more clearly or

8:33

transparently product placements or

8:36

advertisements to wear maybe a little

8:38

Creator banners come up in an integrated

8:41

way that's controlled by the Creator I

8:44

think that's a real opportunity to

8:45

expand revenue and you've really got a

8:47

lot of work to do because here's the

8:49

thing remember YouTube is just about

8:51

10.2 percent of the revenue of Google

8:53

that's about a 1.2 billion dollar market

8:55

cap company that's worth about 120

8:57

million dollars alone just for YouTube

8:58

buying Twitter for for about 44 bills

9:01

suggest that that might be a 3X if you

9:03

can just compare to being par with

9:05

YouTube but to be par with YouTube

9:07

you've got to be able to drive the

9:09

revenue so if you're going to drive

9:10

Revenue with video you've got to learn

9:13

what YouTube has done well and

9:15

personally that's videos over eight

9:17

minutes with one or two ads in between

9:19

and supporting creators ability to build

9:21

revenue so they continue to bring

9:22

content to the platform now a danger

9:24

that you're going to face is people just

9:27

posting the same video on YouTube and on

9:29

Twitter so somehow creating an organic

9:31

incentive for people to post video

9:33

videos on Twitter

9:35

to be a little bit challenging and this

9:37

is where I do have a word of caution

9:39

because you do have an audience on

9:41

Twitter that's very attuned to short

9:44

form text in fact generally even threads

9:48

uh you know the second tweet in a thread

9:50

gets maybe 10 percent of the engagement

9:51

of the initial tweet it's usually just

9:53

initial tweets that do well and go viral

9:55

and so it makes me wonder how many

9:58

people are really going on Twitter to

10:00

spend eight minutes on a video versus

10:02

you know 30 seconds of scrolling between

10:04

bus stops uh to see what the latest

10:06

tweets are or news notifications

10:08

I actually have uh right here just Out

10:11

Of Reach of this camera right ding I

10:14

touched it uh an iPad and I have a

10:16

scroll list here of uh all my Twitter

10:18

notifications so I actually have

10:20

notifications on for uh just a limited

10:22

subset of individuals or companies and

10:25

so I have a scrolling feed that's

10:27

basically a free news service almost of

10:29

of notifications it's just an always-on

10:31

iPad that just sits here so to me it

10:35

would be relatively useless in this sort

10:37

of purpose to have a bunch of videos pop

10:39

up here because I use Twitter for

10:42

different purposes so I do have a

10:43

concern for that and I think that's a

10:45

red flag for the rider Dyers going in on

10:48

Twitter betting that this is going to be

10:50

so easy to monetize I don't know why

10:52

individuals would really be incentivized

10:54

to to create for Twitter rather than

10:56

YouTube or to leave YouTube to go onto

10:58

Twitter uh that would potentially be a

11:01

very expensive Endeavor to convert

11:03

people like Joe Rogan uh or it would be

11:06

a very difficult grind to prove that

11:08

someone how the Twitter service is

11:10

better and the eyeballs are actually

11:11

there and I don't know that the user

11:13

base on Twitter is looking for video

11:14

content again when I think of video hey

11:17

how to change an outlet I'm not going to

11:19

Twitter for how to change an outlet I'm

11:20

going to the number one video search

11:22

engine and that's uh you know hey

11:24

YouTube yeah it just is what it is you

11:26

also have the competition of Google if I

11:28

type in to search how to do something

11:30

usually Google videos come up so you do

11:33

have a sort of a little bit of a

11:34

roadblock there although there are

11:36

arguments that that's anti-monopoly and

11:38

maybe videos or that sort of encouraging

11:40

Monopoly right that's anti-free

11:42

Enterprise and uh and competitive and

11:45

therefore there should be Twitter videos

11:46

that show up there but now do

11:49

individuals need to purchase potentially

11:51

a Toyota premium membership so that that

11:54

way they don't have to constantly see

11:55

ads uh which is something else to

11:58

consider I'm sure that'd be an option

11:59

and then would it be site-wide or

12:01

individual wide I think there are a lot

12:03

of challenges I do think that there are

12:06

a lot of opportunities for removing some

12:09

of the filtering and being more

12:12

transparent about content moderation

12:14

that does happen at Twitter I think that

12:15

would be phenomenal I do think that

12:18

Center censorship should exist to the

12:20

extent that laws are violated but not

12:24

beyond that for example when I announced

12:25

my campaign for governor against uh you

12:28

know a a camp an existing campaign who's

12:31

heavily funded by big Tech in California

12:34

uh you know I had my post deleted and

12:36

censored and and that's really not okay

12:38

right that's that sort of censorship is

12:41

unacceptable I mean we almost had to sue

12:42

CNN we had to send them a cease and

12:44

desist letter for for censoring the

12:46

existence of our campaign blatantly and

12:48

it was disgusting so uh censorship is is

12:52

absolutely terrible and should never

12:54

exist everything should should exist out

12:56

in in the open I'm a big proponent of

12:58

that and it's one of the reasons why I'm

13:00

very transparent about uh failures that

13:02

I have or mistakes that I make uh or or

13:05

problems that I face because I I don't

13:08

think transparent currency is just let

13:09

me just show you all the good it's let

13:11

me show you some of the downsides as

13:12

well so I do think transparent content

13:15

moderation is great but we also risk

13:19

potentially uh turning into a one-sided

13:22

political Echo chamber and that's sort

13:24

of a danger that I believe that certain

13:25

platforms like rumble or even parlor

13:28

have fallen victim too because

13:30

unfortunately uh these particular

13:32

platforms can cater specifically to one

13:35

demographic one political party and then

13:37

it's it's almost like you have an even

13:38

worse situation because you're just

13:40

adding fuel to the fire of of anger and

13:42

hate for for another side in an echo

13:45

chamber rather than promoting uh

13:47

discourse so uh that's difficult I do

13:51

think that video is a way of providing

13:53

more perspective but uh I I really have

13:57

trouble seeing how Twitter is going to

13:59

pull that off I am hopeful though

14:01

because I think that if anyone is doing

14:03

it uh or can do it rather I should say

14:05

Elon can do it I I'm very bullish about

14:08

that so I'm very excited for Elon but I

14:11

think there are

14:12

a lot of challenges in becoming a new

14:14

YouTube It's personally not something

14:16

that I would invest in I own one share

14:17

of Twitter it's not an investment that I

14:19

would make I think I'm down 50 day one

14:22

uh on my ownership of Twitter at 5420 uh

14:26

yeah I do think that there are a lot of

14:28

uh costs that need to be cut and uh I am

14:31

not exactly sure how tweets are as

14:34

monetizable as videos ever which it

14:37

makes sense why then Elon might be

14:40

considering moving into the direction of

14:42

a of a video style platform but I think

14:45

you have a lot of competition there so

14:46

the really remaining option here is okay

14:49

what if you just lay off so much staff

14:53

that you take the company down to a

14:55

skeleton crew rather than having 7 000

14:57

employees or 7 500 employees roughly

15:00

which you do now uh you go down to I

15:02

mean this sounds ridiculously extreme

15:04

but I'm going to purposely go extreme

15:06

you go down to 500 and and almost

15:09

everything is just handled

15:11

algorithmically or through Bots and any

15:15

kind of moderation is is publicly shown

15:17

and intervention is extremely limited

15:19

really what you need now is is a sales

15:21

team that's almost all you need I mean

15:23

you need a small engineering team and

15:26

and a sales team and the sales team's

15:28

job is to bring in marketers and brand

15:31

partners for your creators because your

15:33

creators are the backbone of the

15:35

platform they are what bring viewers

15:37

back and without the creators there are

15:40

no viewers so you you build it and they

15:42

will come and people will continue to

15:44

come back as long as the perspective

15:45

that you share or the Creator share is

15:47

is valuable and so I think that's the

15:49

the goal of everyone as a creators

15:51

provide value but the goal of the

15:53

platform is to incentivize providing

15:55

value because again if there's no money

15:56

to be made then what's the point of

15:58

bringing quality value uh to to that

16:02

platform it just makes sense to say on

16:04

YouTube in that case so speaking as a

16:05

Creator I'm personally very skeptical

16:07

I'm very excited because I'd love to see

16:10

what happens

16:12

but I can't say that I'm optimistic

16:14

although I will always wish Elon the

16:17

best that this is not you know by no

16:18

means do I ever consider myself a you

16:20

know a hater I think of myself as uh as

16:23

as just a a reasonable entrepreneur who

16:26

has hope but also has a check of realism

16:29

so I wish everyone the best who's an

16:31

investor in Twitter this video is not

16:34

Financial advice if you want more not

16:35

Financial advice check out my programs

16:37

on building your wealth linked down

16:38

below especially our fundamental live

16:40

streams that we do every single morning

16:41

the market is open thanks for watching

16:42

we'll see in the next one

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