Twitter DELISTED Friday | Important Message to Investors.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Twitter is being de-listed from the New
York Stock Exchange effective October
28th Friday that's likely because Elon
Musk wants everyone to let his new
ownership sink in well he's expected to
take ownership of Twitter at 5 pm and
says the rumors of him dismissing 75
percent of the staff are false well even
though he is expected to cut a lot of
expenses at Twitter he's got an uphill
battle to work in the valuation for
Twitter and in this video I'd like to
talk about what you're buckling up for
if you're deciding to ride or die with
Elon Musk when this company goes private
and the shares are delisted Friday I'm
not entirely sure if that's Friday
morning or Friday at the closing bell
either way before or after Friday
Twitter will be delisted and it will be
a private company so we know that Elon
Musk is paying about 44 billion dollars
for this company the largest idea that
he has is growing the user base of
Twitter from it's current about 200
million users let's not even get into
the discussion of how many of those are
actually bought two one billion users
that's about a 5x growth in users and
then hopefully 10xing the monetize I
monetizability of Twitter in order to
essentially produce real cash flows and
uh the idea of Elon Musk purchasing
Twitter for 5420 has been the reason
that Twitter has actually traded
relatively close to 5420 because quite
frankly Twitter would probably be
selling for close to 15 to 20 dollars
today since advertising companies are
absolutely getting reamed uh during this
uh this recession and it's really what's
a beginning of recession which stocks
tend to price in the worst of of course
now we're getting actual EPS misses from
companies like Google Microsoft and
Facebook and so what do we get big
downshifts all at all companies except
for Twitter of course because elon's
paid 54-20 for it now look it's all new
he knows he's overpaying he was paying
at the time like 70 times 2022 earnings
that should have compressed by at least
half it's old news to say he's paying
double what it's worth we got that
what's he going to do with the company
well again double well 5x Revenue sorry
5x the user base and 10x the revenue and
how does he plan to do that well
according to sort of internal rumors
that we're hearing Elon Musk is also
hinting about this on Twitter that we
might see Twitter turn into a Twitter
space that can also include monetizable
videos including subscription based live
streams where you could essentially sign
up for a one-time paid live stream or a
paid Style live stream think about
Twitter spaces but either for exclusive
members or through some sort of paid
subscription model kind of like maybe
when I used to do Market open and close
live streams publicly a paid version of
that and then hosted on Twitter and one
of the things that I'd like to add in
terms of commentary is in order for this
to be successful we should potentially
look at the number one competitor in the
space of a long form video and now we're
not talking about short form video which
would be Facebook reels YouTube shorts
or tick tocks we're talking about long
form generally deemed to be eight
minutes plus but really anything over
about three minutes and that is a
horizontal video video would be a
competitor like twitch Vimeo Facebook
video or YouTube and clearly the
elephant of the room is YouTube YouTube
has the number one Nielsen rating for
most watched streaming service as of
September of 2020 which is actually an
impressive feat but when we look at the
numbers of the earnings provided by
YouTube for Google we can see that
YouTube advertising is down about 1.85
percent uh year over year and if we look
at the percentage of Revenue that comes
from YouTube compared to the total
revenue for Google we can see that
YouTube makes up less
then the Google network of income it
does make up nearly twice as much as
Google Cloud but makes up a fraction of
the ads that are spent on search in
total YouTube ads make up only about
10.2 percent of of Google's entire
revenue and that's actually declined as
a share of Revenue YouTube used to
represent 11 in income this was back in
uh 2021 and now represents just 10.2
percent so not only is it experiencing a
downshift in sort of the trend of growth
but it's also becoming a less important
part of Google's revenue which one of
the reasons people have been very
enthusiastic about Google over the last
few years has been because of YouTube
but that is actually becoming less
notable at Google and so for Elon Musk
to suggest hey let's just turn Twitter
into a potentially to suggest let's turn
Twitter into a platform for long form
monetizability I have a few suggestions
for Elon Musk and a warning so the first
in terms of suggestions
monetization is everything YouTube and
Google have announced that they're
planning to incorporate product
placement buttons that pop up within
videos while the videos are playing so
maybe kind of like the little cards that
pop up for another video you could
actually purchase merchandise directly
kind of like some channels have the
merchandise shelf below videos this
would actually pop up in videos when
certain products are mentioned so if I
say hey you know I've had a really good
experience with my Google pixel phone
click the link down below you could
potentially do that directly through uh
through a link that actually pops up on
screen one that hopefully is also
tapable on your iPhone and that would be
my recommendation to Elon Musk make sure
that if you would launch some sort of
long-form video content you immediately
launch with features that are
potentially not only more advanced than
what YouTube's going to come out with
but are at least as good as what YouTube
has it really wouldn't be that difficult
to have the option to implement some
form of iPhone because we know that or
even smartphone in general we know about
50 percent of viewers are watching on
their phones if not as many as 60 of
people that while you're watching a
video vertically you can actually click
a button shop for a product while the
video is maybe still playing in sort of
the miniaturized player that I think
would be Priceless and now YouTube is
working in that direction so you've got
work to do here obviously the most
important thing is advertising revenue
for creators now look there is a lot of
entertaining content on Tick Tock and
with shorts but my personal opinion is
that if you want real education and real
perspective you frequently need to
resort to longer form video to get that
and that's because you're going to
attract a better Talent when you can
actually pay creators through a
monetizable video for example on YouTube
when a video is more than eight minutes
long we can monetize that video so if I
knew you that every single video I made
made 500 bucks for example I might think
to myself well damn I'll just make 10
videos a day almost five grand a day you
know just as an example right so whereas
if somebody told you every video you
made made five dollars like shorts
frequently do and you spent the same
amount of time making that kind of
content uh you know making that content
viral or viralask and attractive on a
short form content where it really
incentivizes more editing than
potentially a valuable perspective well
or just straight up content theft which
is rampant in shorts people just
basically regurgitating the the same
almost verbatim content that you get of
other people's shorts have gone viral
right like this is not this is not
actually perpetuating Society in a
better Direction so personally I haven't
been extremely interested in shorts
although I've posted some shorts that I
think have been very very educational
and have done well but personally I
think in order to really attract High
Caliber creators monetization needs to
be a number one priority benefit to the
user who gets better quality content and
it's a benefit to the Creator who is
incentivized to continue to make their
content better and better not having
monetization for Content I think is is a
really bad Doom Loop of uh really
chasing not so educational Trends now
there are a lot of things that are just
meant to pass time and that's fine but
if the goal is to educate and actually
help people build wealth and I don't
know that necessarily shorts are that
option so that is a big priority number
one monetization and if there's a way to
include or incorporate more clearly or
transparently product placements or
advertisements to wear maybe a little
Creator banners come up in an integrated
way that's controlled by the Creator I
think that's a real opportunity to
expand revenue and you've really got a
lot of work to do because here's the
thing remember YouTube is just about
10.2 percent of the revenue of Google
that's about a 1.2 billion dollar market
cap company that's worth about 120
million dollars alone just for YouTube
buying Twitter for for about 44 bills
suggest that that might be a 3X if you
can just compare to being par with
YouTube but to be par with YouTube
you've got to be able to drive the
revenue so if you're going to drive
Revenue with video you've got to learn
what YouTube has done well and
personally that's videos over eight
minutes with one or two ads in between
and supporting creators ability to build
revenue so they continue to bring
content to the platform now a danger
that you're going to face is people just
posting the same video on YouTube and on
Twitter so somehow creating an organic
incentive for people to post video
videos on Twitter
to be a little bit challenging and this
is where I do have a word of caution
because you do have an audience on
Twitter that's very attuned to short
form text in fact generally even threads
uh you know the second tweet in a thread
gets maybe 10 percent of the engagement
of the initial tweet it's usually just
initial tweets that do well and go viral
and so it makes me wonder how many
people are really going on Twitter to
spend eight minutes on a video versus
you know 30 seconds of scrolling between
bus stops uh to see what the latest
tweets are or news notifications
I actually have uh right here just Out
Of Reach of this camera right ding I
touched it uh an iPad and I have a
scroll list here of uh all my Twitter
notifications so I actually have
notifications on for uh just a limited
subset of individuals or companies and
so I have a scrolling feed that's
basically a free news service almost of
of notifications it's just an always-on
iPad that just sits here so to me it
would be relatively useless in this sort
of purpose to have a bunch of videos pop
up here because I use Twitter for
different purposes so I do have a
concern for that and I think that's a
red flag for the rider Dyers going in on
Twitter betting that this is going to be
so easy to monetize I don't know why
individuals would really be incentivized
to to create for Twitter rather than
YouTube or to leave YouTube to go onto
Twitter uh that would potentially be a
very expensive Endeavor to convert
people like Joe Rogan uh or it would be
a very difficult grind to prove that
someone how the Twitter service is
better and the eyeballs are actually
there and I don't know that the user
base on Twitter is looking for video
content again when I think of video hey
how to change an outlet I'm not going to
Twitter for how to change an outlet I'm
going to the number one video search
engine and that's uh you know hey
YouTube yeah it just is what it is you
also have the competition of Google if I
type in to search how to do something
usually Google videos come up so you do
have a sort of a little bit of a
roadblock there although there are
arguments that that's anti-monopoly and
maybe videos or that sort of encouraging
Monopoly right that's anti-free
Enterprise and uh and competitive and
therefore there should be Twitter videos
that show up there but now do
individuals need to purchase potentially
a Toyota premium membership so that that
way they don't have to constantly see
ads uh which is something else to
consider I'm sure that'd be an option
and then would it be site-wide or
individual wide I think there are a lot
of challenges I do think that there are
a lot of opportunities for removing some
of the filtering and being more
transparent about content moderation
that does happen at Twitter I think that
would be phenomenal I do think that
Center censorship should exist to the
extent that laws are violated but not
beyond that for example when I announced
my campaign for governor against uh you
know a a camp an existing campaign who's
heavily funded by big Tech in California
uh you know I had my post deleted and
censored and and that's really not okay
right that's that sort of censorship is
unacceptable I mean we almost had to sue
CNN we had to send them a cease and
desist letter for for censoring the
existence of our campaign blatantly and
it was disgusting so uh censorship is is
absolutely terrible and should never
exist everything should should exist out
in in the open I'm a big proponent of
that and it's one of the reasons why I'm
very transparent about uh failures that
I have or mistakes that I make uh or or
problems that I face because I I don't
think transparent currency is just let
me just show you all the good it's let
me show you some of the downsides as
well so I do think transparent content
moderation is great but we also risk
potentially uh turning into a one-sided
political Echo chamber and that's sort
of a danger that I believe that certain
platforms like rumble or even parlor
have fallen victim too because
unfortunately uh these particular
platforms can cater specifically to one
demographic one political party and then
it's it's almost like you have an even
worse situation because you're just
adding fuel to the fire of of anger and
hate for for another side in an echo
chamber rather than promoting uh
discourse so uh that's difficult I do
think that video is a way of providing
more perspective but uh I I really have
trouble seeing how Twitter is going to
pull that off I am hopeful though
because I think that if anyone is doing
it uh or can do it rather I should say
Elon can do it I I'm very bullish about
that so I'm very excited for Elon but I
think there are
a lot of challenges in becoming a new
YouTube It's personally not something
that I would invest in I own one share
of Twitter it's not an investment that I
would make I think I'm down 50 day one
uh on my ownership of Twitter at 5420 uh
yeah I do think that there are a lot of
uh costs that need to be cut and uh I am
not exactly sure how tweets are as
monetizable as videos ever which it
makes sense why then Elon might be
considering moving into the direction of
a of a video style platform but I think
you have a lot of competition there so
the really remaining option here is okay
what if you just lay off so much staff
that you take the company down to a
skeleton crew rather than having 7 000
employees or 7 500 employees roughly
which you do now uh you go down to I
mean this sounds ridiculously extreme
but I'm going to purposely go extreme
you go down to 500 and and almost
everything is just handled
algorithmically or through Bots and any
kind of moderation is is publicly shown
and intervention is extremely limited
really what you need now is is a sales
team that's almost all you need I mean
you need a small engineering team and
and a sales team and the sales team's
job is to bring in marketers and brand
partners for your creators because your
creators are the backbone of the
platform they are what bring viewers
back and without the creators there are
no viewers so you you build it and they
will come and people will continue to
come back as long as the perspective
that you share or the Creator share is
is valuable and so I think that's the
the goal of everyone as a creators
provide value but the goal of the
platform is to incentivize providing
value because again if there's no money
to be made then what's the point of
bringing quality value uh to to that
platform it just makes sense to say on
YouTube in that case so speaking as a
Creator I'm personally very skeptical
I'm very excited because I'd love to see
what happens
but I can't say that I'm optimistic
although I will always wish Elon the
best that this is not you know by no
means do I ever consider myself a you
know a hater I think of myself as uh as
as just a a reasonable entrepreneur who
has hope but also has a check of realism
so I wish everyone the best who's an
investor in Twitter this video is not
Financial advice if you want more not
Financial advice check out my programs
on building your wealth linked down
below especially our fundamental live
streams that we do every single morning
the market is open thanks for watching
we'll see in the next one
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