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Tesla Stock is about to Explode.

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0:00

today is a very special day want to know

0:03

how special it is Mikey I'm so happy we

0:06

are back there a great tendies day I

0:08

took some tendies I want to know how

0:10

special it is it's so special it is CPI

0:13

day fed Day coupon expiration day the

0:15

eve of the Tesla shareholder vote and

0:20

the very special day we open what's in

0:22

this box which part of me really wants

0:24

to start with this and then we can talk

0:27

about Donald Trump the roaring Kitty my

0:31

Tesla thesis we'll throw that in here as

0:34

well the hell's going on with Russia and

0:36

Cuba what is this Cuban Missile Crisis

0:38

2.0 holy smokes we got to talk a little

0:41

bit about this short BTC thing so we got

0:44

a lot to cover along with whatever else

0:46

comes up in the meantime but I think it

0:48

needs to happen after that box what do

0:50

you think let's open it let's do

0:53

[Music]

0:54

it the eve of the Tesla shareholder vote

0:58

as I stated on x people get mad when I

1:00

say Twitter the vote should pass even if

1:04

it doesn't I'm optimistic that uh

1:06

there's a backup plan or backup

1:07

contingency in place where you know Elon

1:10

and Bor won't want the stock to plummet

1:11

so they'll say don't worry we'll come up

1:13

with a new plan for proposal or whatever

1:15

and eventually they'll figure it out but

1:18

look at this that's this is These are

1:19

nice this is like a porcelain or or I

1:22

don't know some kind

1:24

of goodlooking ceramic I like that

1:28

that's nice that's pretty beefy I saw

1:30

they came out with another like Silk

1:32

rack tequila the other day and

1:33

somebody's like Kevin you should buy

1:34

this I go what makes you think I

1:39

drink I've never seen you drink usually

1:41

my vision's pretty

1:44

blurry I like how on it it says haha

1:47

cheers there's like a little oh yeah the

1:49

the Hedgehog the Hedgehog meme guy all

1:51

right so uh here we go oh yeah oh no I

1:57

need a bottle opener quick save me uh

2:02

yeah it's not it's not twistable okay

2:04

anyway while we uh stand by for a bottle

2:07

opener we did have a market that sold

2:09

off into a close ooh Fireball uh office

2:14

Fireball uh we did have a market that

2:16

sold off into the close thought maybe

2:17

there'd be a little bit of a bounce what

2:19

seems to be happening right now is u a

2:21

lot of profit taking that happened

2:23

during the actual uh sort of fed meeting

2:25

and towards the end of the FED meeting

2:27

that's my guess mostly because we're all

2:30

after broadcom's results which were

2:32

positive it was up like 9% after we're

2:34

already seeing a comeback in markets I

2:38

think that was an absolutely overdone

2:40

sell-off into the close so uh even

2:43

though I took some big tendies today I

2:44

did carry some new options that I open

2:47

over to tomorrow because I believe that

2:50

selloff is overdone so uh we'll see what

2:54

happens but I I think you also bought

2:55

some options into the cloth what what

2:57

did you buy going into the cloth so

2:58

going into the cloth I re-bought a lot

3:00

of the like the Tesla calls that I had

3:01

today cuz I sold those for you took some

3:03

tens Hefty

3:05

tendies uh I sold Tesla and I sold my

3:08

apple and then I re-bought Tesla apple

3:09

and GameStop just absolutely took a nose

3:12

dive so I was like I am in on that too

3:14

you know it's funny I have the chart for

3:16

those $20 call options uh for roaring

3:20

kitties got 120,000 120 or 125,000

3:23

contracts of those um uh outstanding for

3:27

June 20th I think next Friday what ever

3:29

it is 21st and uh I have the chart up

3:33

and I remember I saw them today I'm like

3:35

oh they're like you know $11 $12 they're

3:38

up from their lows of like seven uh

3:41

after the market closed I got back I

3:43

went to my computer and I'm like what

3:45

they're down to like six bucks again so

3:47

I'm not really sure what happened there

3:50

but uh yeah those had a little bit of a

3:51

tank into the so you bought the the

3:53

GameStop dip there I did what's the

3:56

current thesis on uh what's happening

3:59

with with GameStop are people thinking

4:01

they're going to buy steam is it just

4:03

enthusiasm that because they have so

4:05

much cash and no debt now that they're

4:06

going to be able to do whatever the hell

4:07

they want what what are people betting

4:09

on we just like the stock

4:11

man yes yes uh yeah this reminds me I

4:16

won't mention names but uh somebody yeah

4:18

$6.40 is where those calls ended uh

4:21

somebody cheers dude cheers bro

4:24

cheers uh somebody asked me they're like

4:26

hey man do you want to go uh do a live

4:28

stream about GameStop

4:31

H it's not bad yeah I thought it was

4:33

going to be gross it's actually pretty

4:35

good uh do you want to do a live stream

4:37

about GameStop and we could like

4:38

fundamentally analyze GameStop and I'm

4:40

like well a I've already done that many

4:41

times on the channel uh B are you trying

4:43

to poooo on the financials and they're

4:45

like yes I said absolutely not like no

4:48

nobody we we don't need to go there like

4:50

this we like the stock it's it there's

4:54

momentum in it uh and quite frankly now

4:57

the financials are actually really

4:59

robust because they don't burn that much

5:01

cash compared to what they just raised I

5:03

think they probably I mean now I got to

5:04

look at their cash flow and just look at

5:06

it really quickly but before they raised

5:08

money yeah they were losing a little bit

5:10

of money but it wasn't like horrible uh

5:13

but now they have lots of money to do

5:16

whatever they want with it so it's

5:17

actually very interesting I'll look at

5:19

it uh Christian do we have mine plugged

5:21

in if we do I can uh I could probably

5:24

show the um the uh dock here so these

5:28

are going to be the quarterly results

5:30

will grab the earnings release and let's

5:33

just look at their cash flow statement

5:36

here it is cash flow from operating

5:38

activities negative $17 million but

5:41

that's and that's for the quarter end so

5:44

they lose about $400 million a year but

5:47

consider that they just basically raised

5:49

what three and. half to4 billion so they

5:52

just raised about 10

5:56

years of operating l es I don't think

6:01

people realize how much cash they have

6:04

now it's actually really crazy what's

6:06

the thing Worth gme Stock it's uh it has

6:09

a market cap of nine and they just

6:12

basically raised half their company in

6:14

cash so it's kind of like just paying

6:16

almost two times booked for the company

6:18

and you got huge brand value massive

6:20

Nostalgia you ever go to a midnight

6:22

release a GameStop I never did I so I

6:25

didn't really grow up with any consoles

6:27

like I didn't have like the PlayStation

6:28

or anything you were deprived I was I

6:30

was so jealous every time I'd see it

6:33

Halo games or whatever what was coming

6:34

out at the time yeah i' I'd go to uh

6:36

Splinter Cell and World of Warcraft

6:38

midnight releases and I think I went to

6:40

the Halo 3 but yeah you go to the mall

6:43

and it was weird cuz nobody's at the

6:45

mall like all the doors are locked

6:46

except one like weird side Mall entrance

6:50

door and then there's just a bunch of

6:52

Gamers with hoodies hey hey so you a

6:55

rogue or are you a druid you you kind of

6:58

look like a rogue people like trying to

7:00

speculate what you are that's cool and

7:02

our generation has the Nostalgia of

7:04

still buying games at GameStop and now

7:06

you have a company that quite frankly

7:08

has 10 years with a lot of retail

7:11

locations to figure it out mhm so no I I

7:15

don't want to hold a live stream pooping

7:16

on it uh cuz quite frankly they're

7:19

honestly just in a good spot right now

7:20

so good for them we like the stock yeah

7:22

there you go all right uh so uh what do

7:25

you got you were going to you brought

7:26

something up on Roaring Kitty what do we

7:27

got there oh yeah I was just going to go

7:29

over his call also he has uh like you

7:30

mentioned 120,000 calls the strike price

7:32

of $20 expiring on the 21st he had a

7:36

live stream what was that Friday this

7:38

last Friday and uh you know I don't it's

7:41

an interesting position he's in because

7:43

he's sitting on a lot of money if he can

7:45

liquidate it and I don't think it'll

7:47

look good if he liquidates it in advance

7:49

plus everyone will be able to see that

7:50

happening because he's got a lot of

7:52

shares or a lot of options so I guess

7:55

hold it till close but that means that

7:56

he it's in his best interest to make

7:58

sure this rally keeps going well 100%

8:00

because if this if GameStop closes for

8:03

less than

8:05

$20 next Friday and he's still and it's

8:09

at $25 now and he's still holding those

8:11

contracts that those are $200 million of

8:13

contracts that literally go to zero to

8:15

zero and he spent like 60 mil on them I

8:17

think yeah yeah fair fair so but still

8:19

even 60 like even your basis going to

8:21

zero it's like oh holding contracts to

8:24

expiration I don't I don't know that

8:26

I've ever like on some of these calls

8:28

especially if you did out of the money

8:29

which I think he started out of the

8:30

money he was buying them in early May or

8:32

something like that uh or miday ah man

8:36

that's a that's tough proposition but I

8:38

mean good for him Christian we can pull

8:39

up the chart right here this is actually

8:41

a chart of the um call options pricing

8:45

itself uh charted out over a period of

8:49

an hour and so you could see here in

8:51

early may this is when we got the lean

8:53

forward emoji on GameStop and you could

8:56

see that this option pricing at one

8:58

point went as high as

9:00

$46 per

9:02

contract uh and then uh this was I

9:05

believe leading up to his live stream

9:07

right here we leading up to his live

9:09

stream they were worth somewhere around

9:11

$26 now a contract's worth six so the

9:15

volatility of this is insane like he's

9:19

got to look at his portfolio every day

9:21

and when it's red he he's going to need

9:23

a little more than a

9:25

hinin to say the least goodness gracious

9:29

but all we'll see what happens I mean uh

9:32

last time he Diamond handed yep do you

9:34

think he's going to Diamond hand again

9:37

yep mostly mostly because now he's he's

9:40

got like eyes on him right he's getting

9:42

scrutinized so he could get at this

9:44

point like people know who he is they

9:46

know what he's doing he can get in

9:47

trouble for Market

9:48

manipulation uh not to mention like as

9:51

long as you stay relevant in that Meme

9:53

space especially with like the Wall

9:54

Street bets crowd yeah it's a lot of

9:56

power like you could always come back

9:57

and make more money in the future but

9:58

once you burn that bridge years exactly

10:01

so he's actually incentivized to hold to

10:04

expiration say he post held to

10:06

expiration and then in two years from

10:08

now cuz he's made he's up plenty of

10:10

money in two years from now have another

10:12

Lean Forward chair with some new calls

10:14

he positioned and just do it again just

10:17

like he disappeared for three years and

10:19

came back so I mean you're right keeping

10:22

that reputation going there is is

10:24

important and I personally don't think

10:26

he's a market manipulator but I do think

10:29

a lot of pissed off suits are going to

10:31

allege it and I wouldn't be

10:34

surprised if some Regulators try to open

10:38

some kind of Investigation uh I don't

10:40

know that anything will come of it but

10:41

it wouldn't surprise me I'm not saying

10:43

it's right but I will say it's something

10:45

I'm paying attention to because in that

10:47

just in social media even in general or

10:49

even just us like as as as regular

10:52

people you know if you post your trades

10:54

on on X let's say and it does really

10:56

well are you now a market manipulator I

10:57

mean if he is then are you or is every

10:59

short seller we should start with

11:01

Congress Nancy Pelosi Pelosi she's a

11:03

very good Trader somehow I don't know

11:05

how she's so good somehow she just

11:07

always seems to strike what do the

11:09

shorts look like on GameStop right now

11:11

oo short interest on GameStop I'll I'll

11:14

boot it up and we'll find out but uh

11:16

last I checked it was somewhere around

11:18

26% I know there are a lot of uh short

11:21

sellers who are like oh we're ready to

11:22

short it again so I think what happens

11:25

is when you start getting these

11:26

downtrends uh it's it's the short seller

11:29

jumping on the bandwagon and they're

11:30

helping kind of contribute to its fall

11:33

which is interesting I don't think I saw

11:34

any stock exchange halts today on gme uh

11:38

do a quick peek of that so if I just do

11:40

NYC trading halts you can Google that

11:44

you get all their trading halt data and

11:47

as it fell today how interesting not a

11:50

single

11:51

halt at all today on GameStop oh

11:56

interesting oh well

11:59

it's oddd oh right yeah yeah yeah I got

12:01

they pulled up uh while I pull that up

12:03

um what else I think that's um I mean he

12:06

he posts memes like every single day uh

12:10

and his I remember he commented on

12:15

people liking his meme or being thank

12:17

thankful that people liked his memes

12:18

because when he was 30 minutes late I'm

12:20

like here I'll just do a presentation of

12:21

what he's going to say and we're like oh

12:23

guys thanks for the memes thanks for

12:24

coming oh wow almost half a mill of you

12:26

or whatever it was almost like verba

12:28

remember we did a little short on

12:30

YouTube with it and it's like this is

12:32

crazy it's it's it was it was flattering

12:35

how accurate it was but also kind of

12:38

funny it's like yeah guys Thanks for

12:41

liking he's like how could you look at

12:43

him and be like oh yeah that's a that's

12:44

a market manipulator he's just a dude

12:47

but that was also part you know a lot of

12:49

people alleged like well that was part

12:50

of his act that's part of the show he

12:52

he's so smart he knows he has to look

12:55

like just the dude so it's harder to

12:57

convict him in front of a jury I

12:59

actually agree with that I think he's

13:01

kind of playing a role a little bit

13:02

because he's licensed right he's got a

13:03

bunch of licenses like I think he's got

13:06

like the series 24 General principal

13:08

license which is a hard one to get he's

13:10

got a bunch of Securities licenses and

13:12

he used to work for a broker dealer they

13:14

got fined uh for not monitoring his

13:16

social media posts in the past it was

13:19

like $4 million fine or whatever so um

13:22

was this during the first Rally or pre

13:24

first rally yeah yeah after after the

13:25

first rally I think it was finra that

13:28

fined him for not monitoring his social

13:30

media but that's because they had a

13:32

policy that said they would monitor his

13:35

short his his uh social media okay so

13:38

the latest data that I have at this

13:41

moment is if pulling it up right now

13:43

live uh recording his life the latest

13:46

that I have right now is that we're only

13:47

at 14% I think that's going to Skyrocket

13:49

I think that's that's pretty low that

13:51

that'll Skyrocket pretty quickly so but

13:54

that's also a little dated we're

13:55

actually going to get the next set of

13:57

short interest out of probably in couple

13:59

days because the exchang is only

14:01

reported every two weeks and other firms

14:05

third party for firms they try to come

14:07

in and estimate what they think the

14:09

trends are going to be based on Flow

14:10

data that they're seeing I see yeah and

14:12

they try to estimate those changes over

14:14

time gotcha yeah so give it two days so

14:16

Friday check it out but see Friday's

14:18

after coupon expiration day so remember

14:20

me kevin.com link down below okay what

14:22

else all right let's talk about Donald

14:24

Trump oh Donnie T Donnie t a few things

14:27

to cover he had some comments on Taylor

14:30

Swift that are kind of trending right

14:32

now and I thought they were kind of

14:33

funny so this is a an for an interview

14:37

and he uh well I'll just get right into

14:39

it here's what he had to say about

14:39

Taylor

14:40

Swift do you want to do it you do it I'm

14:43

not going to do the Trump impression but

14:45

he said I think she's beautiful very

14:47

beautiful I find her very beautiful I

14:49

think she's a liberal she probably

14:51

doesn't like Trump which is kind of

14:53

funny that he refer to himself in the

14:54

third person I hear she's very talented

14:57

I think she's very beautiful actually

14:59

actually unusually beautiful and then

15:01

later in the interview he says she's a

15:04

liberal or is that just an act she's

15:06

legitimately liberal it's not an act it

15:09

surprises me that a country star can be

15:10

successful being liberal I think he

15:13

doesn't pay attention to her basically

15:14

at all yeah because just calling her a

15:17

country star does minimize what she's

15:20

become she's a great entrepreneur she's

15:23

a

15:23

showstopper uh obviously has moved into

15:26

pop uh and other themes uh her her

15:29

albums are almost all like different

15:31

themes they're really incredible like

15:32

reputation is so different from from you

15:35

know some of the others we've seen so um

15:38

or 1989 whatever just examples so uh and

15:41

how she's doing all the eras which are

15:43

like all these different personalities

15:45

this is way more than just a country

15:46

singer so Trump referring to her as a

15:49

country singer kind of implies that I

15:51

feel like he's kind of doing what Trump

15:52

does best which is like trying to say

15:54

something that everybody can agree with

15:56

and who disagrees that she's a pretty

15:59

girl uh I don't think there are many

16:01

people that are like oh she's ugly okay

16:02

maybe there are some but it's it's

16:05

certainly going to be 70 to 80% popular

16:08

and I think that's a little bit of what

16:10

Trump likes to go for like people start

16:12

oh oh you're against cbdc Central Bank

16:15

digital currencies oh oh okay what does

16:17

that evolve into I'm going to be the

16:19

crypto president of the world everybody

16:21

freaks out screaming roaring now he says

16:23

it every single rally I'm going to be

16:26

the crypto

16:27

president no Nobody seen a crypto

16:30

president before crooked Biden or is it

16:33

crooked Hillary it's crooked Hillary

16:35

Hillary crooked Hillary sleepy Joe yeah

16:38

sleepy Joe probably doesn't even know

16:40

what crypto is probably doesn't even

16:42

know what money is cuz he lost it all to

16:45

hun her by it's also funny that he's

16:47

asking is she a liberal and mentioned

16:49

she probably doesn't like Trump she's

16:51

like tweeted against him like a couple

16:53

of years ago right yes oh she is like

16:56

very vocally anti like she there's a

16:59

famous video I wonder if I could find it

17:01

uh not that we have to play it but there

17:03

is a video of Taylor Swift almost in

17:05

tears uh encouraging people not uh to

17:09

vote for Donald Trump and suggest like

17:12

oh man I I I want to find it but she's

17:14

on a couch with her whole family there

17:16

is a clip of her sitting with her family

17:18

on the couch talking about how she

17:20

morally feels like she has to speak out

17:22

and defend against Donald Trump uh uh

17:27

and she doesn't care about the potential

17:29

political backlash so yeah she doesn't

17:32

like

17:33

Trump trump apparently doesn't know that

17:35

he doesn't know that it

17:37

seems all right so what else we got

17:40

what's else going with Donald Trump I

17:41

heard he had a gun and now he's not

17:42

allowed to have a gun or something like

17:43

that crazy well he's a he's a convicted

17:44

felon so he's not allowed to have a gun

17:47

but is that every St is that wait

17:49

Florida though Florida the gun is in

17:52

Florida but it's registered in New York

17:55

oh see I think Florida even can that

17:59

would be interesting Canen felons in

18:02

Florida have a gun pretty sure anything

18:04

goes in Florida pretty much Florida man

18:07

uh they um they went to constitutional

18:09

carry with

18:10

DeSantis and uh it does look like at

18:13

least presently they're generally

18:15

prohibited uh but then there are

18:18

exceptions like legal Pathways for

18:20

restoring your right usually after

18:22

waiting periods so yeah he probably

18:25

would have to

18:26

that's I personally think and and I know

18:29

people get mad at me for this but people

18:31

get mad at me about everything this is

18:32

why do I wear a vest that says don't

18:34

don't sue me bro and just like in case

18:36

that is

18:37

invisible you know I got my I got my

18:41

double fist in it yeah uh

18:44

so Donald Trump should be pardoned and

18:48

I'm going to say by the Democratic party

18:51

to make that clear because Biden can

18:53

pardon him federally and then obviously

18:55

the other leaders in the Democratic

18:57

party in state positions of power can

18:59

pardon him on state levels okay we don't

19:01

need to get into the Nuance of this

19:02

because as soon as you say well he can't

19:04

be part A State Crime okay listen

19:07

blanket pardon everything in

19:09

coordination the Democratic party is

19:11

very coordinated uh I found that out

19:13

running for governor they are extremely

19:16

coordinated there's no competition in

19:17

the Democratic Party The Party makes a

19:19

decision the entire party goes in that

19:21

direction and everyone working in the

19:23

democ Democratic party is either with

19:25

that party decision or against it

19:28

there's no decent in there it's it's

19:30

kind of weird uh probably good for party

19:33

Dynamics but probably badet net for

19:35

America because you can't have Choice

19:37

amongst Democrats but what happens is if

19:41

you pardon Trump you actually give Biden

19:45

some big coonis because it would show

19:49

like that Biden is so confident that he

19:51

could beat Trump even without him being

19:53

a criminal it makes it seem like Biden

19:56

doesn't have to rely on the Crux of the

19:58

legal system to beat Trump whereas if

20:02

Trump loses now it's like well you had

20:04

to put your whole da wherever uh to get

20:09

Trump you couldn't win a fair fight so

20:11

it's like even if Biden wins there's an

20:13

asterisk there'd be no asteris if he had

20:16

the balls to Pardon him that's an

20:17

interesting point do you think do you

20:19

think it would increase uh Trump's

20:21

chances of winning if he got pardoned I

20:23

don't think it would make a difference

20:24

if he got uh pardoned uh uh because what

20:30

I well what I do think is I think the

20:32

conviction substantially helped Trump

20:34

because I think it sent a huge signal

20:37

that we've never had this happen before

20:40

where uh you know what what is it like

20:42

an 8-year-old case is brought up and the

20:45

statutes of limitations are extended

20:47

through whatever various loopholes or

20:49

whatever and campaign Finance laws to

20:51

bring a case over something like this uh

20:56

to you know which sounded like it was a

20:59

consensual relationship whether there

21:01

was sex or wasn't sex and it was really

21:04

just about a mutual payment MH it it

21:08

just feels reachy I'm not saying that

21:11

Trump doesn't do Shyer things I think

21:13

Elon does Shyer things too and I like

21:16

Elon uh and and so really here this is

21:21

where I don't think you want to be the

21:23

president I don't think you want to be

21:25

Biden where you win because you

21:27

weaponize the J jce system I just think

21:29

that's like that's a weak win MH you

21:32

know win win right you know win on uh

21:36

you know clean up your messaging on how

21:38

you're winning on inflation on jobs uh

21:42

you know the economy because even though

21:44

the economy feels like poop right now

21:46

because prices are so high at least the

21:49

data that we're getting is probably a

21:51

lot of it just like government spending

21:53

in AI but a lot of the data we're

21:55

getting right now is like at least right

21:57

now it seems like things are doing well

22:01

that's the message that Biden should go

22:02

with I'm not saying that's how

22:04

everybody's going to feel because there

22:05

are a lot of people who think no

22:06

everything's crap right now business is

22:08

slow small businesses are suffering it's

22:10

hard uh it's hard to hire people at a

22:12

reasonable wage car loans are expenses

22:14

student loans are expensive and that's

22:15

the argument Trump should go with but

22:18

that's my point is Biden should say

22:19

economy is good people can decide if

22:21

they believe that vote for Biden if you

22:22

don't believe it vote for Trump but it

22:24

shouldn't be vote for me because he's a

22:27

felon that's that's

22:29

I think an as risk of a win I'm I when

22:32

you said 8-year case and I had to think

22:34

about it's like no no that was just as

22:35

yep eight years and that's kind of

22:37

mind-blowing time is really flying yeah

22:40

2016 was when the whole hush money uh

22:44

contract was made it was like October of

22:47

26 or sorry 2016 right before the

22:50

election that's when the payment was

22:51

made not when the alleged Affair

22:53

occurred that was like way before that I

22:56

think that was wasn't that in the early

22:57

2000s

22:58

when did she allege that mid 2000s yeah

23:03

yeah that was even another 10 years

23:04

before that so how is she supposed to uh

23:08

him or her supposed to remember all this

23:10

stuff it's crazy uh anyway do you

23:13

remember where you were during the

23:15

election results

23:17

2016 I actually remember exactly where I

23:19

was uh uh 2006 by the way an aair 2006

23:23

nice good call yeah uh I was on the way

23:26

to drop off our mail in b in California

23:30

uh cuz you know we fill them out at home

23:33

and then I take him to the Dropbox we

23:34

could drop them off by like 9:00 p.m. or

23:36

whatever so the election was already

23:38

called uh but I had to show it was a cop

23:42

I had to show a cop a rental property so

23:44

I unlocked the door for the cop showed

23:46

him the rental property uh which was

23:48

like at 8:00 and then as I left that

23:51

rental property I'm driving over and I'm

23:53

looking at there all like this is gonna

23:55

be crazy because nobody thought he was

23:57

gonna win so I remember looking at like

23:59

oh the next four years are about to be

24:01

really fun you know and so a lot of

24:03

people like Lauren's mom she couldn't

24:06

she couldn't sleep for the next 3 or 4

24:08

days she's just like what the the

24:11

country's going to go to hell we're

24:12

going to World War III like the

24:14

extremeness of opinion out there I'm

24:16

just like dude every pollster is a

24:19

that's all I was thinking I'm like this

24:21

is crazy everybody said there was not a

24:23

fat chance that he would win I was

24:25

working in San Francisco at the time and

24:27

I was home I lived in Oakland and uh the

24:30

guy who I lived with was having a party

24:31

like a viewing party for the election

24:33

results so there was like maybe 20 or 30

24:35

very very liberal people gathered around

24:37

the TV watching the night ended in tears

24:40

it was so awk CU it started with like

24:41

drinking and good times it's a political

24:43

party yay and it got so somber so

24:46

quickly and by the end of the night

24:47

people were crying like it was it was it

24:50

was something man I think it's pretty

24:52

remarkable just uh most of us uh it

24:56

seems like when it comes to like the it

24:58

feels put a lot of weight on the

25:00

election people are like I'm not going

25:02

to make a business decision until the

25:04

election I'm not going to buy a house

25:05

until the election I'm not going to buy

25:06

stocks until the election I'm not going

25:08

to do whatever until the

25:11

election I've always had this mindset

25:13

since quite frankly watching Bush versus

25:16

Gore as a child I'm like in the grand

25:20

scheme of things things will change on

25:22

the margins do I really think my

25:24

personal life is going to change

25:28

massively and

25:30

dramatically not really I I I can there

25:33

be like 20% swings yeah probably but I

25:35

generally just don't put that much

25:37

weight on like I'm my point is maybe

25:41

that's my coping mechanism of like

25:43

whoever wins or loses is whatever just

25:46

tell me what the rules are and I'll play

25:47

the game like I know I don't have the

25:49

power to change the election so why am I

25:51

going to feel happy or sad about it I'm

25:53

just going to just okay they won great

25:56

what stocks am I going to buy okay that

25:58

person one fine what are we going to do

26:01

make the plan around that gotcha yeah

26:03

all right and then earlier you mentioned

26:04

cbdc uh Trump actually had a post or a

26:07

truth on Truth social uh yesterday June

26:10

11th so he says vote for Trump Bitcoin

26:13

mining may be our last line of defense

26:16

against a

26:17

cbdc Biden's hatred of Bitcoin only

26:20

helps China Russia and the radical

26:22

Communists left we want all the

26:25

remaining Bitcoin to be made in the US a

26:29

it will help us be energy dominant wow

26:33

wow um made in the USA Bitcoin you know

26:35

that's something that Kevin oi actually

26:37

called for clean Bitcoin versus like

26:40

dirty Bitcoin well I guess that's a

26:42

little different from us it would be

26:43

more like this Bitcoin was mined with

26:45

Renewables versus that I don't think any

26:47

of that's going to happen it's

26:49

interesting I think it's a populous post

26:51

you know I don't think the whole point

26:53

of of crypto is that well specifically

26:55

Bitcoin is that it's it's decentralized

26:58

and that you can't like you're you're

27:00

competing against other miners in in

27:02

various different locations but what is

27:04

interesting is I actually this was like

27:07

many years ago probably six or seven

27:09

years ago when I first started hearing

27:11

about a central bank digital currency I

27:14

actually thought the whole purpose was

27:15

just to make uh payments faster like

27:18

settlements faster uh you know instead

27:21

of an a taking a day or a wire taking 3

27:24

hours we can have instantaneous

27:26

transfers and I know JP was working with

27:29

the Federal Reserve on some kind of

27:30

blockchain

27:31

Technology uh but I like I never thought

27:35

of it as like evil or really bad but

27:38

then I've realized what other people's

27:39

arguments are and they're not

27:40

necessarily wrong other people have this

27:42

concern that if we move to cbdcs we're

27:45

going to move into a cashless Society so

27:47

we're going to be removed from the

27:49

ability to spend money without

27:50

government supervision and so now the

27:54

government theoretically could turn on

27:56

or off your access to your money which

27:58

is really bad because like let's say you

28:00

got sued by the government and they

28:02

freeze your bank accounts you can't even

28:04

afford to pay for an attorney and in a

28:07

situation where the judicial system is

28:10

starting to feel a little politicized

28:12

that's scary uh and I think uh so I

28:15

think some of these concerns are valid

28:18

uh and so I've slowly warmed up to the

28:19

idea of yeah maybe maybe I see where

28:22

people are coming from that like you you

28:24

don't want to lose untrackable currency

28:28

and and the privacy and and to some

28:30

extent that's what crypto offers you is

28:32

is privacy now obviously if the IRS

28:35

starts making you put your crypto wallet

28:36

addresses on your tax returns it's

28:38

probably less private ironically because

28:40

once you know somebody's wallet address

28:43

you could see everything they're doing

28:44

and if you have a database of

28:46

everybody's crypto wallet addresses then

28:48

you know who the other party is right so

28:52

um uh but yeah uh it's it is fascinating

28:55

to see Donald Trump pick up on it so

28:57

much and I see what he's saying with

28:59

Russia and the others because they as

29:01

well as terrorist networks and otherwise

29:03

like Iran can can Finance Hamas or hezb

29:07

or whatever using crypto very easily so

29:09

I I get that as so I see all the sort of

29:11

sides of it I don't know it's really

29:14

interesting what what do you think what

29:15

am I missing here on on Central Bank

29:17

digital currencies you nailed it I mean

29:18

I would like to see the the Swift

29:19

payment system replaced it's a little

29:21

bit archaic it's a little bit slow

29:22

there's a lot of money just park not

29:23

doing anything um but I also worry about

29:27

the thought of not having physical money

29:29

or some sort of untraceable money yeah

29:31

just the thought that like even now the

29:33

IRS is like trying to see every like

29:36

venmo you're trying to send over 600

29:37

bucks it's like oh my gosh it just it

29:41

see that's and that unfortunately is a

29:43

problem for I think Biden because you

29:45

know one of the first things Biden did

29:47

is oh we're going to increase spending

29:48

but then we're going to hire 80,000 tax

29:51

like IRS agents to increase audits well

29:53

now let's say every

29:55

single of those 880,000 IRS agents does

29:58

10 audits that's nearly a million

30:01

Americans who previously haven't been

30:03

audited now getting audits well those

30:06

people going be pissed you think they're

30:07

going to vote for

30:08

Biden it basically has thanks for voting

30:11

me here's your audit written on the

30:12

letter that's crazy yeah oh I can't

30:15

imagine like just doing a garage sale

30:16

and then having everything already

30:17

report I know you should be paying your

30:19

tax anyway but it's also like it's a

30:21

garage some of it's di Minimus it's just

30:23

like it's is minor like this is

30:25

ridiculous you know and I don't know but

30:27

what ever like I I I see the sides but I

30:30

also see where Donald Trump is coming

30:31

from because he's funneling the the

30:33

overbearing of government and I'm a big

30:36

fan of smaller government not bigger

30:39

government but that's that's mostly I

30:41

think because we look at it from a sort

30:42

of a finance point of view and

30:44

capitalist point of view of let the free

30:47

market work so okay well we can move on

30:50

from Trump but we're not moving away

30:51

from Bitcoin yet cuz I have a little bit

30:52

of a bone to pick with you why are you

30:55

short Bitcoin all right so as of the

30:58

moment of this recording on the

30:59

afternoon of Wednesday the 12th I'm not

31:01

okay uh but I was so what happened was

31:04

um at the Friday of last week I went

31:07

short

31:08

coinbase uh by the way this video is

31:11

brought to you by coinbase link down

31:14

below you can get up to $200 for signing

31:16

up for an account with coinbase go to

31:19

metkevin.com coinbase get up to $200

31:21

that's a paid promotion Crypt brokerage

31:24

uh yeah check them out I do like

31:26

coinbase as a company but if you want a

31:31

proxy that moves at a at a bigger

31:33

fluctuation than Bitcoin for shorting

31:35

Bitcoin coinbase usually moves more so

31:38

like when Bitcoin goes down 3% coinbase

31:41

is down like five or 6% so it gives you

31:44

a little bit of almost leverage on if

31:46

you're directionally short Bitcoin now

31:48

why would you be directionally short

31:50

Bitcoin well because Bitcoin doesn't

31:52

have

31:53

earnings it is immune to the noise of

31:56

like the earning cycle

31:58

it's something where like you know what

32:01

the pisser is is like you go long

32:03

GameStop and then they do an offering

32:06

the next day it's like you could be

32:07

right on your thesis but the Stock's now

32:09

down 30% the next day because they're

32:11

doing an offering right this just an

32:13

example uh you don't have that with

32:15

Bitcoin like there's no news I need to

32:18

be worried about with Bitcoin so now I

32:21

think of it as it's a it's a market

32:24

tool and uh that doesn't have earnings

32:27

so if the entire Market goes down

32:30

everything in the market goes down like

32:32

CPI comes in hot today and the entire

32:34

Market goes down all risk assets are

32:36

going to go down including

32:38

Bitcoin however if I say well I'm going

32:40

to pick Nvidia to short because that's

32:42

going to be part of the market that's

32:43

going to go down if inflation comes in

32:44

hot so Nvidia goes down 3% and then they

32:47

go by the way we just signed a contract

32:50

with NASA for 100,000 h100 boom it goes

32:52

up 10% whatever right then it's like my

32:55

macro hedge actually got screwed

32:58

by company data I don't want that so A

33:01

pure Market hedge that doesn't have the

33:03

noise of company announcements is

33:05

Bitcoin so I went into CPI with the with

33:10

a hedge on bitcoin which was basically I

33:13

invested into I think it's pro shares

33:15

it's B I think it's bi it's just a

33:17

negative one uh Bitcoin ETF and I was

33:21

also short

33:23

coin uh and uh I closed my short coin uh

33:27

actually before CPI so I didn't even

33:29

keep that for a CPI hedge I the reason I

33:31

closed the short on coin was it took all

33:33

my freaking buying power uhhuh because

33:36

like usually I do options in my trading

33:38

account and I'm like ah $500,000 short

33:42

coin and I had some other trades going

33:44

as well that I wanted to build out as

33:45

well I'm like taking all my buying power

33:47

here man so I so I rebot all the coin to

33:49

cover the short I made like 27k or

33:51

whatever shorting uh a coin over those

33:53

few days so I'm glad I closed it cuz

33:55

this morning coin went right back up

33:57

because CPI came posi but that's the

33:59

point of a hedge it's like if the market

34:00

goes bad you have something that helps

34:02

you if the market goes good fine you're

34:04

going to lose money on the Hedge but

34:05

everything else is going to do well

34:07

that's it so it's nothing like

34:09

fundamentally against Bitcoin in fact we

34:10

were touching on this right before

34:12

filming this I think that Bitcoin will

34:14

probably go to uh if inflation continues

34:17

to come down in this direction I think

34:19

it's likely that Bitcoin goes uh up

34:21

rather to uh I think we said

34:23

$889,000 all I did was take the previous

34:27

hod which I think is about 69k and add

34:30

30% to it for inflation so I'm just

34:32

inflation adjusting the high of Bitcoin

34:34

and inflation adjusted high of Bitcoin

34:37

is going to put you uh in that sort of

34:38

uh $889,000 range now I don't have a fib

34:41

there until

34:42

102 so we could inflation adjust to 89

34:46

and then push to that 102 level wow but

34:49

there's going to be massive selling

34:50

pressure at 100 the question is how much

34:52

sure yeah it was just like apple

34:54

yesterday Apple yesterday in my Market

34:58

open live stream which if you don't

34:59

follow me there yet just go to meet

35:00

Kevin Market live and you'll see it but

35:03

in the market open live stream yesterday

35:05

I said hey we're watching Apple starting

35:07

to break out uh and here's what's

35:10

probably going to happen like from a

35:11

psychological point of view once we hit

35:14

200 we're going to have selling pressure

35:17

you can actually see that pressure right

35:19

here that's because people put sells in

35:21

at round numbers usually so I'm like we

35:23

need to eat through that order book so

35:25

I'm sitting here as this is happening

35:27

watching the red candlesticks form these

35:29

are on the 5 minutes so there were more

35:30

on the one minute I'm watching those red

35:32

candlesticks form and I'm live saying I

35:35

think there's a lot of selling pressure

35:36

at 200 just because it's a round number

35:38

this is normal and once we get through

35:42

that order book and we clean out all of

35:44

the selling order book at 200 there it

35:46

is uh then we rally and so we clean this

35:51

this process took we hit 200 first right

35:53

here the process took from 10:04 to

35:56

about 1027 it took about 23 minutes

35:57

minutes to clean up the order book at

35:59

200 the same thing will happen at

36:00

Bitcoin 100 and look at it after that

36:02

the rest of the day up to like 2:5 today

36:05

it's at 213 so it's straight up from

36:07

there once we broke the 200 the same

36:08

thing will happen BTC 100

36:11

mhm not personalized Financial advice

36:13

not a guarantee remember folks if you

36:17

follow the trade alerts I send in the

36:18

course member Liv stream you could lose

36:20

money I don't recommend people follow me

36:22

I don't recommend people copy me my the

36:24

whole point of this channel is the same

36:25

thing that's been since 200 17 when I

36:28

started this channel is I'm not

36:30

guaranteeing I'm right I'm just going to

36:31

give you my perspective and if you can

36:34

listen to this and be more right than

36:36

you would have been had you not listened

36:38

that makes me very very happy but I

36:41

can't guarantee it don't sue me bro the

36:43

whole office we we had you playing on

36:45

the TV today while we were working and

36:48

uh everybody was in on these these

36:50

options today and it was an absolute

36:52

blast uh usually like I'll do my own DD

36:55

even after you come with like hey I have

36:56

this idea like what do you think about

36:57

this like okay let me do my own research

36:59

um and you know that was the case with

37:01

like my Tesla calls are buying GameStop

37:02

today but as you were leaving today at

37:04

one point I heard you mention your like

37:07

or actually no I didn't hear you mention

37:08

it I saw you post it on Discord while

37:10

you were sitting on your on your go-kart

37:12

getting ready to leave and I was like

37:14

I'm just blindly copying this one so

37:17

thanks for paying for my lunch for like

37:19

the rest of the

37:20

[Laughter]

37:23

year um yeah like like I say uh past

37:27

perform perance not a guarantee of

37:28

future results you could do that same

37:30

and lose your lunch money for the rest

37:32

of the year which is why I won't do it

37:33

again but but it worked out really well

37:36

for me today so thank you um okay okay

37:40

well that settles the Bitcoin short I'm

37:41

glad you're not not short anymore dude I

37:44

I like so I'm I'm not a uh a check

37:47

sentiment first kind of guy like I talk

37:49

first and then I see a reaction which is

37:51

probably bad because a lot of creators

37:53

on social media it's like you check

37:54

sentiment and then you act I'm the

37:56

opposite I'm kind of like a do this so

37:58

I'm like macro hedge short Bitcoin then

38:01

I'm just like people are just like

38:03

messaging and emailing and how how could

38:06

you possibly be short the future of

38:07

currency what's wrong with you and I'm

38:09

like bro it's a hedge for CPI man bro

38:13

please

38:15

bro oh all right let's talk about a name

38:19

that hasn't come up in a while

38:21

Martinelli

38:24

scell scy scy Martin scy uh also known

38:28

as Pharma bro he's the guy who bought

38:30

the rights to some insulin product like

38:32

years ago and jacked up prices like 100x

38:35

got away with a lot of money and he

38:37

ended up uh getting in a lot of trouble

38:40

getting sued not not because what he did

38:42

was wrong but because he defrauded

38:44

investors somehow and I don't remember

38:45

the specifics but Pharma bro is back so

38:49

this is kind of a fun

38:51

story wuen Clan right you know nothing

38:55

nothing e Co some coin Dow this is a

38:58

wuen clan is a musical artist see I

39:00

don't know any of this stuff yeah okay

39:02

so they're they're nothing f with as

39:06

they say um so okay group they come up

39:09

with an album It's a one-off album like

39:12

there's not copies of it you have one

39:13

physical album and that's it so like a a

39:16

disc or whatever with like like a like a

39:18

mixtape like like I'm just going to

39:19

throw this in my old Windows 98 and burn

39:21

you a copy kind of thing basically but

39:23

you shouldn't be burning a copy of it I

39:25

mean uh burning the original of it uh so

39:28

what happened is he purchased this album

39:30

I think it was like $2 million that he

39:31

paid for it this was for the rights to

39:32

all the songs or what yeah and I mean

39:34

it's it's his album he's the only one

39:35

who gets to listen to the music

39:36

basically okay and well he got arrested

39:39

years ago and then as a part of that he

39:41

lost a lot of his net worth they came

39:43

and liquidate I think like $7 million of

39:44

his stuff so uh cuz he was a fraud cuz

39:46

he was a fraud uh this is this is a

39:49

federal court in Brooklyn and so $7

39:51

million they got back and part of that

39:52

was the album This Album valued at $2

39:55

million which he purchased for $2

39:56

million in 2015 MH so that's when the

40:00

same year that he was arrested convicted

40:02

all that uh for his Securities fraud

40:04

stuff anyway uh like I said he had to

40:07

Forfeit over $7 million in assets and

40:09

part of that was this album he was

40:10

released from prison in 2022 but during

40:13

the time that he was in prison another

40:16

entity actually purchased that album And

40:19

The Entity is called was iter daer Da

40:23

yeah they paid 4 million for it oh so

40:25

they they doubled him while he was in

40:27

prison while he was in prison um okay so

40:32

what did he do is he decided recently

40:35

and uh this is per a lawsuit that's

40:38

against him right now that he played the

40:41

album on Spaces live for everyone to

40:44

hear which immediately devalued

40:47

obviously the actual album that this

40:49

entity had purchased because everybody

40:50

could just download the recording of it

40:52

now what a dumbass so according to this

40:55

lawsuit it says and I quote that he

40:57

should be quote taking all reasonable

40:59

steps and bear all costs necessary to

41:01

ensure that the substitute assets are

41:04

preserved and maintained in good and

41:06

marketable condition and are not damaged

41:08

diluted or diminished in value as a

41:09

result of any actions taken or not taken

41:11

by the defendant and his

41:13

Representatives uh and he very much did

41:16

it he didn't even deny doing it because

41:18

the day before the lawsuit he posted on

41:20

X well pleaser Dow blocked me from their

41:24

accounts so I think I will play the

41:25

album on Spaces now what a

41:30

dumbass well since they blocked me on X

41:33

let me just violate my contract and get

41:35

sued yeah we're we're mad at each other

41:38

so let me uh yeah don't don't sue me mug

41:40

I put some tequila in there for him

41:43

we're we're in a fight so let me go

41:45

ahead and escalate things dumb man dumb

41:48

you know I think sometimes like people

41:50

were just like fraudulent to the Bone

41:52

they just never learn and just like

41:54

always fraudulent and I get it like the

41:56

internet everybody's like oh everybody's

41:57

a scam everybody's a fraud uh I I I

42:01

think it's actually generally pretty

42:04

rare for people to be just egregious

42:06

frauds like so stupid regularly people

42:09

I'm sure regularly make mistakes or

42:11

don't do things perfectly but I think

42:13

99% of people don't don't actually want

42:16

to scam or hurt people this guy just

42:18

didn't give a flame nope nope and he was

42:22

a Pharma bro that's scary that's Pharma

42:23

bro well he's the guy who bought the

42:24

rights to it was some sort of insulin

42:27

medication and basically jacked up the

42:28

prices cuz he was the owner of it made a

42:30

lot of money scammer see that's like the

42:32

worst too because now you're dealing

42:33

with people who are typically already

42:35

like tighter on money I mean every a lot

42:37

of people need insulin but I'm just

42:39

saying like it affects a lot of people

42:41

who are also tight on

42:42

money uh that's rough it's like the

42:45

opposite of the Mark Cuban move where he

42:46

opened up that pharmaceutical website

42:49

you know oh for insulin no for

42:51

everything oh no I don't know about this

42:52

tell me about this Mark Cuban has let me

42:54

uh Cuban Pharmacy uh what's it called

42:57

Cost Plus drugs oh and it's got a lot of

43:01

medication over there and their whole

43:02

thing is no middlemen just directly by

43:05

from them and it's cheap like I'm

43:07

talking sometimes you can get like a

43:08

like 99% off the cost of some of these

43:10

medications if you buy it from our

43:11

Cuban's website wow that's a good ad not

43:14

sponsored not sponsored but uh you I

43:16

like him I think he's straight up you

43:18

know he uh he kind of speaks his mind

43:20

and says it how it is uh but uh he does

43:24

get a lot of flack too on X I see he

43:26

does gets he gets himself into these

43:29

like weird altercations I don't know if

43:31

they're necessary like he gets into more

43:33

negative Flack on X than Bill Amman does

43:37

Bill Amman actually gets really like a

43:39

lot of positive engagement it seems like

43:40

on X uh even though I also think that

43:43

guy's a Shyer like I wouldn't I don't I

43:45

don't I wouldn't call Bill akman a fraud

43:47

I don't think that uh he's definitely a

43:49

Shyer though but hey maybe that's just

43:51

the like the capitalism you know if

43:53

elon's a Shyer and Trump's a Shyer and

43:55

Bill amman's a shyer is that just what

43:57

it takes to make it I don't know then I

43:59

guess it depends on the definition of

44:00

shying that seems to be like the popular

44:03

opinion that like you can't become a

44:04

billionaire unless you've like screwed

44:06

people over done wrong and I don't like

44:08

I don't want that to be true I don't

44:09

think it's true I mean sure there's a

44:11

pattern like yes if someone's taking

44:12

advantage of other people they probably

44:14

will succeed financially but I don't

44:15

think that's a prerequisite to to making

44:17

it yeah that it just might be more calm

44:20

and interesting okay yeah good point my

44:21

take on it all right all right you know

44:22

Mark cubin almost ran over one of your

44:24

employees one

44:25

time kind of

44:27

oh at the airport yeah we were at the

44:29

foo we were getting onto the onto the

44:32

Jet and then a car comes by he wasn't

44:34

that close I mean he's a few feet away

44:35

from Tristan and he was like that was

44:38

Mark cubin drove by in a well it's

44:40

probably rental cars I say it was it was

44:41

like a little Hyundai or key or

44:42

something he drove by and I was like

44:44

haha he's like no no seriously that was

44:45

like Mark cubin and I'm just thinking

44:47

like I I really doubt that dude I

44:49

watched the car pull up Mark cubin walks

44:51

out hops on his Jets like you were right

44:53

dude that was Mark Cuban close I've

44:55

gotten to him anyway speaking of tell me

44:57

about Russia oh Russia yeah that's right

45:00

they're in Cuba yeah yeah that's uh uh

45:03

you know it's um the Cuba's always very

45:07

been very close to Florida every time I

45:09

rent a wave runner in Florida I ask them

45:11

if they mind if I make a round trip to

45:12

Cuba it's just so close like nobody

45:15

usually asks to go that direction we've

45:17

never been asked that before exactly

45:19

yeah yeah yeah uh so yeah that's that's

45:22

pretty wild so I want to hear this about

45:24

Russia and um go yeah it was also very

45:28

common when I was a child I don't know

45:30

if it still is today but for instead of

45:32

like a border crisis we had a Cuban

45:34

crisis where people would and there were

45:38

a whole host of like racist jokes and

45:40

stuff that people would make which are

45:41

horrible uh but it all every everyone

45:44

always talked about

45:46

rafts so and it's because you would have

45:49

migrants Unfortunately they would risk

45:51

their entire lives to make that 70 to 90

45:53

mile track to get to Florida because

45:55

Florida had something known as a foot

45:57

dry foot policy and that was that if

45:59

they can capture your raft before uh you

46:03

get to land you get sent back if you get

46:07

off the raft and run to land you get to

46:10

stay interesting yeah so it's like this

46:12

giant game and you'd like see it on the

46:14

news of like another you know like the

46:16

Coast Guard you know whatever that's

46:18

very interesting I didn't know about

46:20

that um and you called this when I

46:21

mentioned when you saw the news you kind

46:23

of called this the Cuban Missile Crisis

46:25

too 2.0 2.0 that's kind kind of exactly

46:27

what it is cuz that was this Russia

46:30

thing the Russia thing the Cuban Missile

46:32

Crisis was considered because this

46:33

happened during the Cold War I don't

46:34

know what year but during the Cold War

46:36

so post World War II considered the

46:38

closest we got to like actually

46:39

deploying nukes against Russia like that

46:41

that was the peak of escalation and uh

46:44

that's what made the YouTu spy plane so

46:45

famous we flew over Cuba we saw the

46:48

Russian base and were're like holy crap

46:49

they got bases here oh so that wasn't

46:51

satellite did we even have satellites

46:52

back then I don't know that was a you we

46:54

would have had we would have had

46:55

satellites but it was the YouTu that did

46:56

it interesting because with satellites

46:58

you know exactly when they're coming

46:59

everything's like preset you could track

47:01

them with the U you're flying at 70,000

47:04

F feet this is like technology way ahead

47:06

of it time go you're wearing like a

47:08

space suit when you're in that thing cuz

47:10

the plane can't pressurize that much

47:12

that's crazy we took photos over Cuba so

47:15

anyway this is all to say that Russia's

47:17

back and they're on Cuban soil they

47:18

brought like a fleet of Warships we're

47:21

not going to war probably

47:24

uh not military advice but I don't think

47:27

we're going to war because this is a

47:28

planned military exercise they've done

47:30

it a couple of times before okay but

47:32

what's a little sus is this is like not

47:34

even 2 weeks after Biden gave Ukraine

47:36

the okay to use Us weapons against

47:38

Russia and Russia had mentioned that we

47:41

might use asymmetric Force elsewhere ah

47:45

and then they showed up with a

47:46

battleship and a nuclear powerered

47:49

submarine and a few other ships

47:52

too yeah it a lot of this is it's just

47:55

like the classic saber rattling that you

47:57

get in

47:59

geopolitics it you know I I I don't

48:02

think it would happen but let's say

48:05

there's like a 5% chance one of these

48:07

things just happens to accidentally sink

48:09

like there oh wow some some technical

48:12

failure some really bizarre oh why why

48:14

all of a sudden did that Rudder fall off

48:16

and the whole thing I don't know

48:17

whatever right kind of honestly what I

48:21

think would H or did happen with the

48:23

president of Iran now this is like full

48:25

speculation and somewhat conspiratorial

48:28

but I think the CIA was involved and

48:31

because you know okay older helicopter

48:33

outfitted likely with IFR you know

48:36

instrument flight rating kits probably

48:39

had some EMP kill all their instruments

48:41

in the heavy fog and what evidence are

48:44

you going to get after that thing Falls

48:45

and explodes out of the sky that there

48:47

was an electromagnetic pulse that

48:48

basically knocked that thing out of the

48:50

sky you're not going to see it there's

48:51

not going to be a you know evidence of a

48:55

of a bomb an attack another I don't know

48:57

what Dr I don't even know what would

48:59

launch it but um uh yeah so anyway I

49:03

wouldn't like I put like a 5% chance of

49:05

something like that happening to a

49:06

Russian ship because it's so close to us

49:09

problem with that is the fear of what

49:10

happens after that the escalation like I

49:13

don't think Russia is going to pull up

49:15

to Cuba with parades and flags of their

49:18

warships and then open their missile

49:20

Baye and point them at America like

49:22

they're going to get nuked out of the

49:24

ocean and Cuba won't exist anymore as an

49:26

is but uh so I think this is just quite

49:29

frankly noise saber rattling it's

49:32

designed by Putin to get the American

49:36

people talking about Russia the more

49:38

people fear Russia because they're on

49:40

our doorstep the more pressure there is

49:43

on politicians to stop funding the war

49:45

in

49:46

Ukraine the greater chance Russia has of

49:48

winning in Ukraine I mean almost

49:50

guaranteed it stop as soon as the

49:51

funding stops 100% no no no Ukraine's

49:53

screwed without funding or weapons right

49:56

uh and and and and I know there's this

49:57

whole argument oh well you know the

49:59

military industrial complex benefits our

50:01

economy and this that or whatever the

50:02

reality is like if a hurricane comes and

50:04

destroys 10,000 sliding glass doors in a

50:07

city just because you're replacing

50:09

10,000 sliding glass doors and just

50:12

because that's good for the economy

50:13

doesn't mean that was the best use of

50:15

resources I would have rather maintained

50:17

the 10,000 sliding glass doors and spent

50:19

that on something productive like I

50:21

don't know solving homelessness in

50:22

California apparently our governor can't

50:25

figure that out who's now in a giant

50:27

deficit cuz he's a dumbass he's working

50:28

on the the highp speed train thing

50:30

that's true yeah the yeah right that

50:32

should be coming out uh like 20 years

50:37

ago oh my gosh what a knucklehead but

50:40

yeah I think this is this is a

50:42

manipulation on people because you know

50:45

I I go live on my market open stream and

50:47

I'm getting all these comments like oh

50:49

my God there's a submarine and a and a

50:51

warship in Cuba from Russia and it's

50:53

like those are the things that they're

50:55

they're manipulating Putin is literally

50:57

manipulating fear into American people

51:00

uh By

51:01

Design as a war strategy kind of crazy

51:04

so like you are the pawn in his

51:08

negotiation that's interesting yeah

51:10

that's all my theory I could could be

51:12

wrong did you ever like Loosely related

51:13

to this did you ever hear about the

51:14

Russian guy who quote unquote saved the

51:16

world during the Cold War uh-uh uh so

51:19

this is really interesting again Pete

51:20

Cold War and it's a military base in

51:22

Russia that's responsible for checking

51:24

radar and seeing of any us attacks B

51:26

basically this is the the group that if

51:28

the US was to attack Russia they would

51:30

be the first to find out and Signal a

51:31

counter offense right and so this guy

51:34

stanislav Petrov uh he he's like the

51:38

last in command and he sees five I think

51:42

five missiles coming at Russia possibly

51:45

nukes they believe nukes his job his

51:48

responsibility would be to report that

51:51

to his higher up who would immediately

51:52

launch a Counterattack he decided

51:55

because they're using new software he

51:57

doesn't entirely trust it and it seemed

52:00

very unlikely that the United States

52:02

would start a nuclear war by launching

52:04

only five missiles he's like if the US

52:07

is actually attacking us they would go

52:08

full send right right so he took the

52:11

risk and assumed it was uh a false

52:15

positive and we're obviously very lucky

52:18

he made that decision because Russia

52:19

would have absolutely attacked with with

52:21

nuclear what was it glitch in the system

52:24

that's it oh it was a glitch it was

52:25

absolutely a glitch in the system no way

52:27

sovia technology was not amazing not

52:29

very reliable

52:31

wow that's crazy I want to name like STL

52:35

Stanis Petro I want to name one of my

52:38

kids that like we got to have more

52:39

children first I'm out of names right

52:41

now or children to put names on but that

52:44

like just like it just sounds like

52:47

badass you know I don't know like I hate

52:49

to say it but like Kevin kind of sounds

52:51

too close to Karen but I never thought

52:53

about that I know but Stanis slof what's

52:57

your name Stanis slof like I don't want

53:00

to F with you like are you gonna sue

53:02

someone named Stanis slof no cuz you're

53:05

gonna get

53:06

killed I don't know maybe maybe he goes

53:09

by Stan and

53:11

that's it's a lot L is also kind of cool

53:14

and he can do

53:16

porn stun thank you for joining us on

53:19

today's

53:20

episode wow long peee okay all right on

53:23

that note next what else we got it's

53:27

pretty much it unless you want to talk

53:28

teruna oh Tesla no we got we got to do a

53:30

lot of Tesla yeah let's do Tesla and

53:32

then teral Luna okay so so here's the

53:34

Scoop boys and

53:36

girls uh I'm going to pull this this

53:38

chart up so this is this is a big deal

53:41

and uh this has to do with uh a trade

53:45

for Tesla we first talked about this

53:48

pretty heavily in the course member live

53:50

stream

53:51

yesterday uh and we went pretty indepth

53:55

on this I'm just going to do a little

53:57

bottom line here but uh Christian maybe

54:00

we could show this with no picture and

54:01

picture for a sec just because it's it's

54:03

a little tough to see uh just just the

54:05

chart itself I don't know if you can do

54:07

that if not no problem but uh yeah there

54:09

we go look at that so the white line

54:11

This is Tesla over four years we back

54:13

tested this all the way back to 2014 as

54:15

well but you should not rely on us use

54:17

your own data uh something that that we

54:20

found is that the 10day historic

54:23

volatility for Tesla uh

54:26

has only been this low about four times

54:30

previously like getting the historic

54:33

volatility for Tesla under 20 is very

54:36

very very very rare uh and every time uh

54:41

no guarantees go check the data yourself

54:43

but every time it's hit these numbers

54:46

like in June of

54:48

23 or uh what was this I think September

54:52

of 21 and there was another time over

54:54

here in 2020 I'm going to try to get the

54:56

actual numbers we can pull off that for

54:58

a moment uh yeah here are the actual

55:00

dates May 27th

55:02

2020 uh stock up uh in the next two

55:06

months so the next 60 days the stock was

55:08

up

55:10

98% uh October 11th 21 the stock was up

55:13

58% in 2 and a half weeks September 7th

55:17

2022 the stock was up 16% in 2 days June

55:21

88th 2023 the stock was up

55:24

23% in 13 days and uh these are just

55:30

some other dates that I have in here uh

55:32

I think we had another volatility Spike

55:34

like that oh yeah and then now the re

55:36

most recent one here so what we found

55:39

was that Tesla stock when it comes from

55:42

a level of extremely low volatility back

55:46

to normal or heightened volatility it's

55:50

skyrockets very very quickly now Tesla

55:53

stock has already started performing

55:56

that way yesterday for example Tesla

55:58

stock was red and calls and puts were

56:01

green because volatility came up see you

56:04

want to buy options when volatility is

56:06

low you want to sell them when

56:08

volatility is high and so Tesla today

56:10

was up 3.88% now it's up another 30 bips

56:13

in the after hours I think this is just

56:15

the potential start and I think this

56:17

could be an early signal that once the

56:20

catalist of this vote goes through which

56:21

I think should go through I'm not

56:23

convinced that it will go through if it

56:24

doesn't go through I think there will be

56:26

a backup plan announced within probably

56:29

two or three business days they don't

56:31

want the stock to fall that much I think

56:33

258 is in play on Tesla be between

56:37

tomorrow and uh the robotx the unveil of

56:41

88 which I think the robo taxi unveil of

56:43

88 will be by the rumors H the news the

56:45

stock will go down after the robo taxi

56:46

event but between all Catalyst cleared

56:50

and we get the amazing interest rate

56:52

promotion advertised uh you know in may

56:56

now now advertised on the Y as 1 point

56:58

or on the model 3 is 1.99% I think we're

57:01

going to see dramatically better

57:03

deliveries Than People

57:04

expected and uh we we could be running

57:07

to 250 very very quickly as an AI play

57:10

much like I expect Apple to run probably

57:12

to 250 as an AI play so we'll see uh

57:17

that's uh that's sort of my thesis again

57:19

this is something that we did in our

57:20

course member live stream if you want

57:22

lifetime access to those sort of

57:24

insights as I'm looking at them and

57:25

talking about them and theorizing about

57:27

them make sure to join any of the

57:28

courses linked Down Below on building

57:30

your wealth and you get access to the

57:32

course member live stream so that could

57:33

be the gold course on entrepreneurship

57:36

it's not like gold the metal it's just

57:37

like we call it the gold level uh uh do-

57:41

it-yourself Property Management rental

57:42

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57:45

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57:49

courses in there so check them out and

57:51

uh yeah coupon expires tonight email us

57:53

at safm kevin.com if you have any

57:55

questions

57:56

do you got what what's what do you got

57:58

here about the superchargers oh this is

58:00

just the the we we posted an eack about

58:02

this actually the supercharger team is

58:05

back part of it or all of it a

58:07

significant portion interesting have

58:09

been rehired interesting so and actually

58:11

stalked one of the guys on LinkedIn who

58:13

was originally fired and he made a post

58:15

about getting fired and then made a post

58:16

about getting rehired also what' he say

58:19

okay so let me quote him here LinkedIn

58:23

I'm was going to open up LinkedIn okay

58:25

okay so this guy initials are TJC on

58:28

LinkedIn uh TJ Connelly anyway when he

58:32

first left he made a sad post about like

58:34

I'm going to miss the team shout out to

58:36

this person that person I made a bunch

58:37

of great experiences all that but a week

58:40

ago he he makes this post he goes two

58:42

weeks ago I was asked to return to the

58:43

Tesla charging team in reflecting on my

58:46

first days at the Fremont Factory of in

58:47

April of 2018 during orientation

58:50

leadership asked why Tesla and he's it's

58:53

it was another one of those like kind of

58:54

drinking the cool post he's very happy

58:56

to be back this guy's a huge Tesla fan

58:58

but he says please forgive any delays in

59:00

my responses I assure you that the EV

59:02

charging industry is okay Tesla will

59:05

continue to lead and Inspire while

59:07

providing the best customer experience

59:08

with their best in-class products and

59:10

support he actually got promoted so when

59:14

this

59:15

guy first joined Tesla he was uh let me

59:20

see Business Development no this was

59:22

this was later on he started some other

59:23

role but he worked his way up to

59:25

Business Development lead for wall

59:26

connector at Tesla oh God lost his job

59:29

mhm now he's back as the Tesla charging

59:32

program manager and Business Development

59:35

lead for North America oh he got a big

59:37

promo he got a pretty big promotion so

59:40

he said two weeks ago go viral on X I

59:43

did not see this go viral on X okay

59:45

interesting because if like I'd be so

59:47

curious to see if like a viral post

59:49

could have gotten him oh yeah I see what

59:52

you're saying I didn't see this this go

59:55

that's interesting but anyway yeah well

59:56

good for him so that is interesting yeah

59:59

I think there's the the bearish news is

60:03

in the bag like that's already priced in

60:06

at this point the bare bull crap is

60:07

priced in what do you think about this

60:09

rumor going around about Elon and he you

60:12

know he comments about it like ah we

60:13

don't really want to but we do have our

60:15

own software stack and stuff people are

60:17

like oh Tesla should make a

60:19

phone so the rumor is coming back now

60:21

that he's got beef with apple right cuz

60:23

of the GPT integration yes and so

60:26

there's talks about him Banning iPhones

60:28

or whatever from Tesla I don't know what

60:31

um oh his company's got it yeah yes yeah

60:33

onside you can't have iPhones or

60:35

whatever um there's been rumors about a

60:39

Tesla phone for years and years he uses

60:41

an

60:42

[Laughter]

60:44

iPhone like he's he's the Shyer who was

60:48

on stage with Andrew rush Ross sorin

60:51

from CNBC and sorin's like hey uh I want

60:56

to see the screen time on your phone and

60:59

then elon's like

61:01

ha and he's like no no no like seriously

61:03

like show me the screen time on your

61:04

phone in on stage in front of a bunch of

61:06

people and it's like oh okay all right

61:09

all right all right you want to see my

61:10

screen time all right you want to see my

61:11

screen time and and he's kind of like

61:13

bsing or whatever and scrolling around

61:14

on his thing or whatever uh and he's

61:16

like oh uh it doesn't show cuz it's a

61:18

new phone and then Andrew's like oh okay

61:21

okay okay no problem like oh you let him

61:22

go no full of

61:26

hours yeah let me see what you've been

61:28

doing since you got this new phone

61:29

perfect yeah exactly let me see let me

61:31

see yeah wow yeah no he let I mean I get

61:34

it as a journalist like you don't want

61:36

to like bury him on stage but he kind of

61:38

buried himself there yeah yeah but

61:40

that's an irony he's a and and we've

61:43

seen transcripts of his like bubbles

61:44

they're blue bubbles mhm so that's very

61:47

interesting uh so anyway all right yeah

61:49

I'm not too optimistic about the idea of

61:51

a Tesla phone I think it's kind of a

61:52

weird idea I don't want Elon to Pivot

61:54

into yet another thing it's a

61:55

distraction almost yeah yeah yeah yeah I

61:57

agree um and then good luck competing

61:59

with I mean I know there's people who

62:00

are going to buy it just because it's

62:01

Elon yes yes oh a lot of people buy it I

62:04

mean I would buy it too just to try it

62:05

but then I got I buy a lot of things

62:07

three phones I'd like to also talk about

62:09

it on YouTube and stuff something that I

62:11

did see who is the guy uh Brent Brent

62:15

Whitten whon I love this guy from um AR

62:18

uh Brett Brett Brett Brett not whatever

62:21

um so I'm thinking of like Brent crude

62:23

like crude oil if my head's all over

62:26

from from Market live streams but he

62:28

actually

62:29

replied a smartwatch that serves as a

62:32

Tesla key cyber cab Beacon restricted to

62:36

Fitness traffic uh tracking messaging

62:38

calling music podcast grock and read

62:40

only X would be great if it could more

62:43

seamlessly and losslessly audio

62:45

interface with vehicles also starlink

62:47

emergency

62:48

connectivity Arc is really into Tesla

62:51

mhm I think they also just published

62:53

their like new price targets I think

62:55

their barricade is like $1,800 or

62:57

something like that $182,000 2600 or

62:59

something like that I can't remember

63:00

exactly where it was but there there's a

63:02

lot of Arc posting on

63:06

this anyway can't you already do that

63:08

with a watch or does like you just need

63:10

Bluetooth I mean maybe it's only phones

63:11

for Teslas to like remotely lock and

63:14

unlock uh can to with what can you do

63:17

like with a smartwatch to unlock your

63:19

phone Tesla on the watch or yeah can you

63:23

with if you didn't have your phone if

63:24

you just had a watch could you no don't

63:25

think so cuz you pair the phone probably

63:28

that that uh uh device ID what are those

63:31

things called Christian you know this

63:32

what's the ID that every device on a

63:34

wireless access point

63:37

gets the what the it's like the ID I I

63:41

don't ID Mac ID no is it's a macor MAC

63:44

address it's a MAC address everything on

63:46

a network it's a MAC address I and

63:48

devices have a unique Mac address I'm

63:50

sure there's some kind of link to that I

63:51

don't think that functionality exists on

63:53

the watch I do know that the watch like

63:55

when I wear my Apple watch will will

63:56

unlock my phone and my computer for me

64:00

which is actually really interesting

64:01

because like theoretically if I leave my

64:03

computer here and I go to the bathroom

64:06

uh if I'm wearing my watch over there

64:08

somebody could probably unlock my

64:09

computer because my watch is within

64:11

Bluetooth range without me knowing about

64:13

not that it really matters but I thought

64:15

that that is sort of like an interesting

64:16

feature you know we got to follow up on

64:18

Brett because we we went and visited him

64:21

early in this year we drove out over

64:22

there and he was very excited for his

64:25

new toy that he had purchased the rabbit

64:26

R1 oh God and I have not heard the best

64:29

things in the world about that product

64:31

since then and I would love to hear his

64:33

thoughts on it yeah I I I think he's a

64:36

brilliant guy I would love to hear his

64:37

thoughts I want to see if he actually

64:38

got one I do have to give him a shout

64:40

out though this was a pretty crazy post

64:43

he posted this five-year chart of

64:46

Interest over time of the Apple Vision

64:48

Pro versus the

64:49

iPod and the iPod right now is

64:52

outperforming the Vision Pro

64:57

ouch they cuz they stopped making them

64:59

right yes

65:01

wow I wonder if it's like a typo for

65:04

iPad yeah yes yes probably uh odd still

65:08

bad still bad yes uh it could also be

65:12

just like who types in perfectly Apple

65:14

Vision Pro but I don't know I think he

65:17

did the category for it yes yeah like if

65:19

you did like apple VR headset you know I

65:22

wonder if that would be different but

65:23

whatever maybe people are looking up

65:24

iPads I mean there's a lot to talk about

65:25

there too I heard this is crazy

65:28

calculator app now yeah mind

65:31

revolutionary I will say what they

65:33

showed in the demonstration was cool

65:35

with the notes and like how you can

65:36

alter um graphs and the math you do yeah

65:39

we're going to do that in presentations

65:41

on the screen that we have over there

65:42

beats the Whiteboard and me like it's

65:48

true anyway so what's terala teruna

65:51

taluna so this was uh you've probably

65:54

talked about it on your channel before

65:56

yeah teruna the stable coin blockchain

65:58

uh so they have to basically shut down

66:02

and pay 4.5 billion

66:06

doll uh their CEO or founder duquan

66:10

dquan I don't know how to pronounce the

66:12

name anyway he was the guy who got

66:13

arrested with a bunch of stuff up his

66:15

butt yes the guy who got arrested you

66:18

lost me on the second half yeah he was

66:20

like hiding stuff uh like his his his

66:22

crypto wallet or whatever his Hardware

66:25

wallet

66:26

it was like quite

66:28

hard his butt I'm pretty sure that was

66:31

him I'm not sure he was arrested at some

66:32

airport I think it was like is in

66:33

Montenegro Ah that's what it was yeah

66:36

yeah uh yeah so appears to have been

66:41

arrested in Montenegro May Tera breaking

66:45

terara founder Duke Juan caught with

66:47

Millions up his

66:49

ass oh that's good yeah I did not know

66:53

of that part of the story that's very

66:55

interesting

66:56

but why

67:00

not okay so he personally is responsible

67:04

to pay $24 million of that it's going to

67:07

be

67:11

stinky Court still needs to approve the

67:13

deal and uh the thing is terraform Labs

67:17

which you know made and owns teruna

67:18

they're still in bankruptcy proceedings

67:20

and they have not only do they have

67:22

obviously more liabilities than assets

67:24

which is why they're filing for

67:24

bankruptcy but they don't even have half

67:27

a billion in assets like disregarding

67:30

their their liabilities they have 450

67:32

million in liabilities 430 million in

67:34

assets so even if they find the money

67:37

they still stand behind creditors and

67:39

there's no way the SEC is going to be

67:41

getting even a fraction of of what

67:42

they're out of that 4.5 billion but he

67:45

is still in detention in Montenegro I

67:47

wonder if the SEC can get money before

67:50

some of the other liabilities like if

67:52

you have 430 in assets where does the

67:54

SEC come in like can the SEC jump in

67:57

front of the other people who are owed

68:01

money I feel like this would have been

68:03

on one of our license exams and we

68:05

should know this I because like in real

68:08

estate uh the number one debt on

68:10

property is always property taxes so you

68:14

could default on your mortgage but if

68:17

you default on your property taxes as

68:18

well the government will take the

68:20

property at with first right before

68:22

before your lender can interesting y

68:24

they're always the first Le Uncle Sam

68:26

wants his share oh yeah so uh I don't

68:29

know if the SEC has that sort of

68:31

jurisdiction uh but um all I could say

68:35

is that whole Tera Luna situation was

68:37

quite

68:40

shitty so with that I think we're ready

68:42

for the outro check out the coupon link

68:45

down below at me Kevin AR we'll see you

68:47

even though I'm a licensed financial

68:49

adviser licensed real estate broker and

68:50

becoming a stock broker this video is

68:52

neither personalized Financial nor real

68:54

estate advice for you it is not tax

68:57

legal or otherwise personalized advice

68:59

tailored to you this video provides

69:00

generalized perspective information and

69:02

commentary any third-party content I

69:04

show should not be deemed endorsed by me

69:06

this video is not and shall never be

69:08

deemed reasonably sufficient information

69:09

for the purposes of evaluating a

69:11

security or investment decision any

69:12

links or promoted products or either

69:14

paid affiliations or products or

69:15

Services we may benefit from I also

69:17

personally operate and actively managed

69:19

ETF and hold long positions in various

69:22

Securities mentioned including potential

69:25

short positions however I have no

69:28

relationship to any issuers nor am I

69:31

presently acting as a market maker woo

69:34

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