Modelling pension decumulation strategies 2025
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Hello. In this video, I'm going to take
you through some of the features that
you may find helpful when modeling
deumulation strategies for your clients.
In the first part of the video, I'm
going to discuss the good practice
guidance on cash flow modeling, which
came out of the FCA's thematic review of
retirement income advice, and show you
how you can incorporate some of those
good practices. I'll explain the
software's default approach to
fulfilling expenditure using liquidation
order and I'll then go on to build a
planned de accumulation strategy whatif
scenario where we use planned
withdrawals to override the default
liquidation order. I'm starting on the
timeline in my base plan which I've
called current position April 2025
and this represents where the clients
are today having just retired age 60.
So this is their retirement event. Their
plans start. The timeline enables us to
show the clients what they're planning
for and when. And the FCA guidance
suggested that when discussing
deumulation with clients, you should
stress test for longevity. And I'm doing
that by modeling potentially to
mortality at age 100. However, we know
of course that the clients may well not
live as long as that. So, I went to the
ONS website and used their life
expectancy calculator to obtain the one
in4 life expectancy ages for the two
clients. And for James, that came out at
age 92. And for Sarah, that came out at
age 95. And I've just added events on my
timeline really as a visual talking
point.
The SCA also suggested that you should
consider how the pattern of expenditure
need in retirement might change over
time. And to help demonstrate this, I
have built in two stages of retirement
spending so the clients can visualize
when their high spending stage and their
lower spending stage might be. My first
stage I've called early retirement and
my second stage starting at age 80 I've
called later life. I used 80 because
recent research showed that that's
typically the point at which
discretionary expenditure starts to
reduce. Of course, if later on the
clients need long-term care, expenditure
will rise significantly, I could then
add an event called long-term care and
create an additional stage.
When looking at expenditure, the FCA
suggested that you should consider
different types of expenditure and
categorize them into effectively
essential spending, more discretionary
spending, and then a sort of luxury
spend as well. And so that's what I've
done by modeling three retirement goals
here. And a goal is an expense that we
can visually track.
They also said you should prioritize
these goals and factor in the effects of
inflation. And so if we have a look at
how I've modeled these, my first
essential spending, which is intended to
cover food, utilities, council tax, etc.
I've given it a name. It's jointly
owned, £3,000 per month. Remember to
change the frequency if appropriate. And
I've left this as a top priority. This
is one of the first things that we're
going to pay for each year.
Again, the FCA said you should be
factoring in the impact of inflation. So
to maintain the spending power of this
goal, I've factored in inflation at 2.5%
peranom, which is my default inflation
rate. I've set the timing to happen all
the way from the plan start until
mortality, which is the default timing
for a retirement goal.
Moving on to our discretionary
expenditure. So for the nicer things in
life such as eating out, again I've
added a separate goal, but this time
I've prioritized it a little bit further
down the priorities list in the leisure
category so that we'll pay for this
after funding the basic expenses in each
year.
I've set the timing overall to start at
retirement running through to mortality.
But this is the type of spending that
tends to decrease over time. So I've
added in a step and used my slowdown
event to reduce that particular item to
50% of the original starting value. But
again factoring in inflation all the way
through. And my third goal is the
holidays in early retirement. We've
allowed 18,000 a year for this. The
clients appreciate this is a real
luxury. This is an area that could
easily be cut back on if needed. And so
I've modeled it further along the
prioritization list. The timing for this
I've set to end at around age 80 because
it's probably unlikely that they will
continue to travel as much as they get
older. So, if that's what we're planning
for and when in terms of expenditure,
let's go back to the dashboard and see
what our starting point is. And the
assets by type pie chart on the right
hand side is a good place to help the
clients visualize where their wealth is.
750,000 is tied up in their property.
It's a non-lquid asset, so it won't be
easily accessible to fund expenditure
during retirement. The software won't
touch this. So to release equity, you'd
have to model a downsize or an equity
release. The pink in the pie chart shows
their cash values. 50,000 which is set
aside in a savings account and which
I've ring fenced using withdrawal limits
so that the software does not touch this
money and I'm just rolling up the
interest.
They've got some money in investments
and then almost half of their wealth is
in their pension funds.
Let's expand the dashboard sections and
look at this in a bit more detail.
Savings and investments. You can see the
cash, a couple of ISERS, an unwrapped
investment which is being used as an ISA
feeder, and Sarah has a bond. And then
we've got their pensions. They've both
got uncristallized money purchase
pensions. I've bottled those as money
purchase and the software has
automatically created linked draw down
accounts which may be used once I start
to crystallize the pension funds. In
addition, the clients both are entitled
to full state pensions and they won't
get these until age 67. So, I've
factored that guaranteed income in in
the future. And the FCA recommended that
when considering retirement income
advice, you should think about the tax
implications of where money is drawn
from.
Now, before we go on, let's just look at
our plan settings. Again, FCA guidance
was that these should be reasonable and
credible, and you can set your own plan
settings, your long-term assumptions.
And these are mine. And in particular, I
would draw your attention to my
inflation rate and my CPI value, 2 and a
half%. My cash savings growth rate and
my investment growth rate. I'm using a
gross return of five, but reducing that
by 1% peranom in fees, but it's entirely
up to you what you choose to use in
these plan settings. And you can set
them here at individual client level or
on your open client record screen at
overall subscription level. Once we
start using the software using its
defaults, we will be looking at
liquidation order
and this affects the order in which
invested assets are drawn upon. The
software's basic approach to de
accumulation is to look at the total
expenses in any given year. Try to fund
them from regular income. If there's not
enough regular income or none at all, it
will look to see if there happens to be
a one-off inflow in a year. Again, if
there are no one-off inflows, it will
then look for available liquid cash in
the plan. In this case, there's no
liquid cash because I've set a
withdrawal limit on my cash account. So,
it will then start to look at invested
assets. And this is the software's
default liquidation order to draw money
from taxable investments, your unwrapped
investments first, then the tax deferred
class, which includes pensions and
bonds, and finally the tax-free ISAs.
And it's important to remember that this
is not intended to be an advice
strategy. This is just the software's
default approach. And once clients get
to the deumulation stage, you may well
want to override this using planned
withdrawals. And I'm going to
demonstrate how to do that in a minute
in a whatif scenario.
Let's come out of that and look at what
the future may hold for these clients by
going to the let's see screen. single
chart starting on cash flow. Every bar
in the chart is a year in their plan and
the bars are blue in this case which is
good news. It means we have positive
cash flow i.e. sufficient income or
available liquid assets that we can draw
upon to fund their total expenditure
need which is shown by the black need
line. I'm also showing the basic
expenditure need line in blue. Basic
expenditure includes taxes and anything
that I've modeled as a basic goal or
expense. The gap between the blue and
the black need lines is my discretionary
spending. And we can see that that drops
significantly at age 80.
Overall expenses are rising in line with
inflation over the lifetime of the plan.
If we put on the details, we can see the
software's default approach to
deumulation.
Let's click hide all. Turn the chart red
to focus on the expenditure and then we
can introduce the different sources of
funding for that expenditure.
Let's look at guaranteed income first.
These clients don't have any DB income,
but they will have state pensions in the
future starting when they're 67. And
I've just put an event marker on the
timeline at that particular point in
time. If I put on the basic need, we can
see that the state pension will not even
cover their projected basic needs over
their lifetime. So this just means that
the clients will be heavily dependent
upon their invested assets to supplement
that state pension. And that may come in
the form of savings and investments. In
this case, we're spending the unwrapped
first, then we've got money purchased
pensions, and then the bond and the
ISIS.
It's important to remember that when the
software draws money from the pensions
shown in orange in this case to indicate
that they're coming from uncristallized
funds, it will use a recurring of plus
approach by default and it will draw
upon the first named person in the
plan's pension first. When that's
exhausted, move on to the second named
person and 25% of each of those
withdrawals will be treated as tax-free.
the remainder would be treated as
taxable.
This strategy may not necessarily give
you the most efficient approach to
deumulation, and that's why you're
likely to want to override it once
you're looking closely at deumulation.
Let's see what's underpinning the cash
flow. I'm going to turn off details and
switch to the assets chart.
I'm going to hide the property from this
chart and focus on what's happening to
their liquid assets over their
retirement span. You can see that we are
de accumulating over time. The pink at
the bottom is that emergency fund that
I've ring fenced and I'm just rolling up
the interest. The green is the pensions
and the blue is their investments.
If we put the property back into the
equation, although that's not available
to spend to help meet retirement income
needs, and hover over any bar in the
chart, you will be able to see the
projected asset values. The FCA guidance
said you should talk about the impact of
inflation with clients. And it's
important to remember that the default
charts in voyant are in nominal terms.
But if you want to convert them to real
money, so factoring in the impact of
inflation, you can do that by switching
on the real money mode. So let's have a
look at the final year in the plan. We
can see the client's total assets worth
about 2.5 million.
Switch to real money mode by clicking at
top right.
And the clue that you're in real money
mode is this information symbol. And
this is telling us that we're stripping
out inflation using our default uh
inflation rate whatever you have set for
CPI. So in my plan because property is
growing at 2.5% peranom the value of the
property is staying level over their
lifetime. Have a look at the cash in
pink. We started off with 50,000 in cash
that's been ringing fenced and I'm
rolling up the interest. But this has
lost value in real terms because my
interest rate at 1.5% is below my
inflation rate at 2 and 1/2. My invested
assets are growing at 4% perom net of
charges. So that's a 1 and a half% real
return. Let's switch off real money mode
again now and let's look at expenses.
This is a good chart for very quickly
showing the client where their money is
going. They are paying some tax in their
retirement, mainly when they draw on
their pensions. The blue is their basic
expenditure. The pink the discretionary
and the dark green are those luxury
holidays finishing at age 80. Finally, I
want to look at the taxes chart and have
a think about the pattern of the tax
payments in this plan. And you can see
this is heavily frontloaded
during the time on which the software
has been drawing down on their pensions.
But I suspect we could come up with a
more taxefficient advice strategy for
these clients. And that's what we're
going to do by modeling in a whatif
scenario.
So to create a whatif scenario, we're
going to click what if at the top center
of the screen and name our what if. And
I'm going to call this a planned
deumulation
strategy.
And by creating a whatif, I can make
changes without affecting my base plan.
And then I'll be able to compare my base
plan with my planned deumulation
strategy to see whether we may have
improved the position of the client.
I'll click create this plan
and I'm now working in my what if. I've
got the plan deumulation strategy name
at the top. I'm going to turn back on my
dashboard chart so that I can see at a
glance as a sense check whether I'm
modeling what I think I'm modeling. So,
I'm going to switch on show dashboard
chart and goal progress.
And now what I want to do is override
the software's default approach to
deumulation by thinking about the
different tax wrappers and how much I
want to draw from each of those. I'm
going to put the cash flow detailed
chart on and switch on the key for you
by clicking the three gray dots and
clicking legend so that you can see as
we go along what I'm doing.
So, I'm going to start putting in
planned withdrawals so that I can
control how much and when we take from
different investments instead of just
using the software's as needed approach
using the liquidation order. So, to
create a planned withdrawal, click the
plus button at bottom right and look for
plan actions planned withdrawals. And
let's look at chart James's pension
first. And I'm going to call this
James's half plus to use personal
allowance because until he gets his
state pension now that he's retired, he
doesn't have any other taxable income.
And so we could use his personal
allowance to create some effectively
tax-free income from his pension.
I'm going to specify the amount that I
want to take and the figure I'm going to
use is 16760
because if I use a recurring of plus
with that amount 25% will be tax-free
until he reaches his lump sum allowance
and the remainder will be equivalent to
the current personal allowance of 12570.
I want it to recur. And now I need to
choose the account. And this is going to
come from his uncristallized funds. So
his money purchase pension. Once I've
clicked on that to select it, I need to
look at my pension strategy. And if
you're not sure what we mean by pension
strategy, and you see dots underlining
the field, it implies that inline help
is available. So you can hover and click
on the dots, read what the choices are,
or watch a video.
And in this case, because I want to do a
recurring off plus, I'm going to change
the strategy to off plus. Now, I need to
tell the software when and we're going
to start this immediately.
And initially, I'm going to set it up to
run for as long as his fund lasts. So,
I'm going to set that to run until
mortality. We may later on choose to
step this down along the way. Click done
and we'll have a look at what the chart
is showing us. If we're taking
withdrawals from uncristallized
pensions, we should see some orange. And
here it is in year 1. When you set up a
planned withdrawal, the software treats
that as regular income and will spend
that first. And by introducing some
regular income, it just means that the
software will then make up the
difference between my planned withdrawal
and my total need by adjusting its as
needed withdrawals using its liquidation
order. The summary box is showing me
I've got 16,760
coming out of a money purchase pension.
Let's look behind the scenes at year
view. Either by clicking year view at
top right or double clicking on the year
I want to look at. We can see the
money's coming out of James' SIP. Go to
the pensions tab and double check what's
going on. Click on this line. Scroll
down and you'll be able to see the
details of that crystallization.
Total of 16760.
Just over 4,000 is taxfree and the
remainder equivalent to his personal
allowance. So he won't be paying any tax
on that.
If I come out of year view, we can now
think about what we want to do with
Sarah's pension.
She also doesn't have any income in
retirement until she gets her state
pension. I'm going to show you a
slightly different way of taking
withdrawals for her. Starting off by
choosing planned withdrawals. And first
of all, I'm going to use her taxfree
cash by phasing that in over time. And
I'm going to call this Sarah's tax-free
cash income. Again,
for today, I'm going to use a specified
amount. So, I'm just going to set that
amount here. 15,000 a year recurring.
It's taxfree cash, so it needs to come
out of her uncristallized pension. And
this time, I'm going to leave the
strategy as flexi. And the software's
interpretation of that is this is the
figure you want as taxfree cash to
realize that it will crystallize four
times that amount. Set the timing
starting now. And for as long as her
uncristallized pension lasts, I've set
it up to mortality, but once that fund
is crystallized, that planned withdrawal
will automatically stop because there'll
be no more taxfree cash. Quick sense
check. There should be a little bit more
orange in the chart in year one. Now
double click, come to the pensions tab
and have a look at Sarah's SIP. You can
see we've crystallized 60,000.
We've paid out 15 as taxfree cash, but
the software has moved the remaining 45
into that draw down account.
If you do have crystallized funds in the
plan, you can set up a planned
withdrawal from those two. And this is
what I'm going to do here by setting up
a planned withdrawal. And I'm going to
call this Sarah's draw down. And by draw
down, I mean from crystallized funds to
use her personal allowance.
So I'm just going to specify 12570
on a recurring basis, but this time
choose the draw down fund. Set the
timing
starting at retirement,
running through for as long as her fund
lasts. And let's check the chart. If
money is coming out of crystallized
funds, you should expect to see some
pink in the chart. And if we hover,
there's that 12570
being used in the early years of the
plan. So we're using both of their
personal allowances early on.
The software has reduced the as needed
withdrawals from the unwrapped
investment which is the first in our
list of liquidation order assets.
However,
we could use some of their other
investments to also set up a planned
withdrawal. And this is where you as an
adviser can help the clients think about
how they might use the different assets
and tax rappers available to them. Left
to their own devices, many clients would
think in retirement I spend my pension
because that's what I saved for whilst I
was working. But you know that they
probably need to control how and when
they take money from the pension to make
best use of their tax allowances. On the
flip side of that, a lot of clients have
quite large ISA portfolios now and they
tend to think of ISIS as a good thing
because they know they're taxfree, but
they tend to forget that they could be
used to generate some tax-free income.
So that's what we're going to
demonstrate here to the clients. Let's
start taking some withdrawals from their
ISAs. So, we're going to do the same
thing. Click the plus button,
planned withdrawals,
and I'm going to call these ISA
withdrawals.
Now, again, we need to specify the type
of withdrawal. We can specify an amount,
an amount with inflation. If we were
wanting to strip out the growth, maybe
we'd target a set percentage from the
ISA. Or if they were in funds that had
the potential to generate dividend
yield, we could switch on the dividend
income. For today, I'm going to keep it
nice and simple and we'll target a
specific amount. And let's say we'll do
15,000
on a recurring basis. We need to select
the ISIS. And here because we're wanting
to spend them down equally, I'm
selecting both ISAs.
And when you select more than one
account here, the distribution type
comes into play. The default is each. So
we will take 15,000 from each of those
accounts each year.
Let's set up the timing again from the
start potentially until the funds are
exhausted or until mortality.
If we've set up planned withdrawals from
an invested asset rather than a pension,
you should be looking for yellow in your
chart. And that's what's showing up
here. Again, the summary box shows us
the 30,000. If we double click, we can
see the cash flow where the money's
coming from. We haven't given them quite
enough regular income to fully meet
their total needs. So, the software is
still taking those as needed withdrawals
in accordance with its liquidation order
to top up. But we've got a bond in this
plan and we could also set up some
planned withdrawals from the bond. Sarah
hasn't taken any withdrawals from her
bond to date. Um, but we could add
a planned withdrawal,
call it bond withdrawals.
And again, we can specify either an
amount, a percentage, or we could for a
bond take the maximum without penalty,
which would allow us to roll up those
unused tax deferred 5% peranom
withdrawals. But in this case, I want to
keep it to an amount that's within that
tax deferred amount. And so I'm going to
specify a certain amount which relates
to 5% of the principle. Let's say yes
that we want it to recur and choose the
bond
and again set the timing
theoretically throughout her lifetime.
And again, if we hover over year one and
doubleclick, we'll be able to see where
that money is coming from. Now, I've
just used nice round numbers for today's
purposes. I haven't totally covered off
their total need, and so the software
has just sort of put in a little ad hoc
withdrawal from those savings and
investments.
Let's go and look at the larger chart on
our Let's See screen.
And there's something to be aware of
once you start setting up planned
withdrawals.
Very often you will find that once the
state pensions kick in because they're
regular income coming in from outside of
the plan and they're spent first, once
they're added into the plan, your
planned withdrawals may be giving you
more income than is needed. And that's
what's happening in this year. Here you
can see the colored bars are going over
and above the black need line. And when
you hover over that year, you'll see
some surplus income. Now, the default
for the software is to assume that
surplus regular income is treated as if
it were spent. So, it disappears out of
the plan. In reality, we wouldn't take
more than we need from investments um
because we'd want to leave it
compounding up within the investment
wrapper. So, it may well be that
although you try to match their overall
need early on in the plan, uh you may
need to adjust the withdrawals as time
goes on. And if we wanted to do that, we
could just come back to the dashboard
and step down some of our planned
withdrawals.
And the ones that I'm going to step down
are the taxable withdrawals from the
pension. So, for example, Sarah's draw
down, we started off at 12,000 a year.
Um, but I could then say, well, once she
gets her state pension, that will use
her personal allowance. So any further
taxable withdrawals from her pension
will probably incur a little bit of
basic rate tax. I think they're going to
have to accept they will pay some basic
rate tax in this plan because so much of
their wealth is tied up in pensions. But
let's reduce that. Again, I'm just using
nice round numbers for illustrative
purposes to £6,000 a year once we get to
state pension age.
So I've added in the step. It's
summarized here. We'll click done.
Let's have a look in that year. We've
still got a little bit of surplus
income. So again, I might think about
reducing James's pension withdrawals.
Come into the planned withdrawal and set
a step.
And let's say we'll reduce this to
10,000 a year as a nice round number.
Set the timing.
Click done. Just watch what you've done.
So 45% of this will be taxfree. The
remainder will be taxable.
And let's just sense check that year
again. Have we got any surplus income?
know by the look of it now we've managed
to get rid of that. So we've set up a
structured withdrawal. Now I'm not going
to worry about getting it too exact. You
can see in the first couple of years we
are topping up or allowing the software
to top up. This would be something you
would review on an annual basis with
your clients.
Let's have a look to see what the
implications of using a planned
withdrawal strategy as opposed to the
software's default approach might be.
And to do that, we'll go to let's see
compare plans chart view.
So at the bottom I have the software's
approach. At the top I've got my planned
deumulation strategy. In both cases,
there's no shortfall in the cash flow,
but we're just altering the order in
which we take money from the different
assets.
Let's switch on the assets chart and
let's have a look at what's happening
over their lifetime with regards to
their assets. And if I hover over any
year, we can see in the boxes the
projected asset values. And I've picked
a random year at age 90. And we've got
considerably more money left in the plan
at that stage. Why might that be? Well,
what I've tried to do is defer or
minimize tax. And if we come to the
taxes
chart, we can have a look at what's
happening. Now, just a note here, when
you're comparing taxes charts in
particular, you may find that there are
different scales on the left hand side.
So, to equalize those scales, click the
three gray dots and just click zoom. And
then we've got a true visual comparison.
And you can see what I've tried to do is
keep the tax take low early on in the
plan. And over time
the tax does start to rise particularly
once the state pension comes into pay.
But if we look at the boxes and the
cumulative tax figure in the bottom of
each box we can see that the top chart
where we've planned to reduce our tax
early on is showing a much lower
cumulative tax take certainly in the
early years. As time goes on, that will
shift and we'll start to see more tax as
we continue to use pensions. Whereas in
the software strategy, it had moved on
to using the ISAs last. But overall,
throughout their lifetime, we have
reduced the tax burden. And so what
we're doing there is leaving more money
invested because less is being spent on
tax. More money invested means we've got
more compound growth building up. So
potentially we might be helping the
clients meet their goals for longer
or leave more money to pass on to future
generations and hopefully on a
yearby-year basis reducing their tax
take. All of which is adding value to
the clients during their de accumulation
period of their lives and something that
they probably couldn't achieve without
advice from a qualified advisor. So I
hope you found that useful. But as
always, if you have any questions about
how to model anything, click the client
name at top right and click request
support. Type a message in the box and
put your phone number there. And that
will send an email from you to our
support team and we can then come back
and answer any questions you may have.
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