Trump CANCELS Job Report!!!
FULL TRANSCRIPT
This is obscene. The White House is
suggesting October jobs data and October
CPI data may be cancelled. I kid you
not. Carolyn Levit just said it. I'll
play it in a moment. But this pisses me
off because frankly, if I were, you
know, somebody who thought, hey, you
know what? Um, I run this country.
Anybody I don't like is fired. I would
probably do something like, oh, going to
report bad job numbers. Hm. Head of the
BLS, you're fired because obviously
you're being political by reporting bad
job numbers. H And then then you know
what else I'd do? I'd say, "Oh, oh, we
have a government funding bill to pass.
How about we just dig our heels in and
do jack S, not give a single inch in
negotiations, and oh, we'll just have
the longest government shutdown in
history, during which time we'll just
happen to send Mr. vote out to go grim
reaper and go fire a bunch of people in
government institutions.
Oh, and then when the government reopens
up because we say just kidding, we'll
hire all those people back, you know.
Yeah. Now the courts can't blame us for
firing people because we said as part of
the reopening that we'll we'll just let
all those people come back that we
wanted to fire. Oh, what? They don't
want to come back because they started
looking for work somewhere else. So,
they don't trust us anymore. Huh? Oh,
well,
then
we'll reopen. But oh,
did I ruin your ability to collect all
the data for October on jobs data that
would indicate that the economy is
actually falling out from the inside out
or falling apart from the inside out?
And did I actually happen to
accidentally ruin data that would
suggest potentially tariffs are
increasing inflation? What? Oh, I
destroyed that data. Oh, no. How could
I? How terrible.
That's literally exactly all what's
happening. And it's pissing me off
because it totally ruins.
And I'm not saying America had the best
reputation for accuracy with government
data, okay? It's always the CP lie in
the Bureau of Bull crap report, okay?
But at least it was something we could
look at. At least we could look and go,
"Ha, the pile of doodoo got a little bit
bigger this month or it got a little bit
smaller this month." It's still a pile
of doodoo. But now we're getting
straight up rugpulled here, ladies and
gentlemen. We are getting rugged and
it's a pisser.
>> Shut down, hurting consumer sentiment
and crushing the travel and hospitality
industries. According to a CBO estimate,
the Democrat shutdown could end up
decreasing fourth quarter economic
growth by two whole percentage points.
The Democrat shutdown made it
extraordinarily difficult for economic
uh economists, investors, and policy
makers at the Federal Reserve to receive
critical government data. The Democrats
may have permanently damaged the Federal
statistical system with October CPI and
jobs reports likely never being
released. And all of that economic data
released will be permanently impaired,
leaving our policy makers at the Fed
flying blind at a critical period.
>> Right? So blame the Democrats cuz it's
obviously just the Democrats fault
because they wanted funding for illegal
Americans, healthcare for illegal
immigrants, which is false anyway. The
federal government has a law against
providing healthcare for illegal
immigrants. This is all just being
funneled through certain governors like
Gavin Newsome, but California is a donor
state anyway. So when you piece it
together, the federal government, it was
never at question at the federal
government level that illegals would get
healthcare. That was not what was being
debated. We're talking about Obamacare
era subsidies to prevent lowerincome
individuals who rely on those subsidies
from seeing their insurance premiums
skyrocket 4x. But of course, Carolyn
Levit would never let the truth get in
the way of a good story bashing
Democrats. So here we are. Just like her
truth on, oh my gosh, we may have
destroyed GDP by 2%. First of all, the
Atlanta Fed now GDP estimates at 4%.
It's doing really well. Okay, the report
that she's referring to is this
Congressional Budget Office report from
October 29th. And it actually indicates
that although the decline in GDP will
recover, the loss will be present. So,
we will have a loss in the economy of
about 7 to 14 billion. Uh but that GDP
decline she's talking about will be
temporary. You might temporarily see the
annualized real GDP growth rate in the
quarter alone decline between 1.0 to 2
percentage points. So of course she
takes the worst one of that. She's also
not mentioning that that number is being
multiplied by four. So she's taking the
dip in the fourth quarter, multiplying
it by four and applying it to the whole
year. So she's overstating it not only
by 4x but also by the fact that she's
taking the worst case scenario here
which the worst case scenario assumed
that the government would reopen on
November 26th. But of course again
Carolyn Lev isn't going to let the truth
stand in the way of a good story. But
now the bottom line is Donald Trump
wanted to fire people in the government
and he wanted to unleash Mr. Project
2025
Mr. vote to go destroy people's jobs
inside the government and basically make
it impossible for the government to
operate. They're succeeding at that. At
the same time, they are actually
creating the very situation that the
Federal Reserve is trying to avoid,
flying blind. Trump is like, "Please cut
rates." And the Fed's like, "No, man. We
need more data." And Trump's like, "Hm,
well, tariffs are probably inflationary
and jobs are weakening. We're going to
destroy the data. Why aren't you cutting
rates?" Well, we have no data, sir. You
guys suck. You're fired.
It's like, dude, like, you can't reason.
Like, Trump doesn't function through
reason here. It's like lashing out is
what this is.
I think that's probably why Bostik is
all of a sudden retiring. Bostic is all
of a sudden not going to try to get a
new term and he's going to retire at the
beginning of 2026. How interesting.
Because Bostic is one of the people
who's actually worried about inflation.
You know, we've got true inflation going
back up. People are actually worried
that the only peg leg keeping this
economy up is AI spending. And if that
capex spending goes away because of the
canaries in the coal mine that we're
seeing there saying, "Oh, we got some
serious warnings here." You know, watch
my separate video on the canaries and
the coal mine. But anyway, this is crazy
because now we're even more blind on
government data and that 3-month moving
average that we're trying to get might
never come. We're supposed to get three
jobs reports between now and the first
week of December. We're supposed to get
October, September,
and November. I know I said that out of
order, but we're supposed to get three
months of jobs data because we haven't
gotten official jobs data since uh well,
frankly August. You know, we got the
August data in September. So, we really
only have August, June, July, and that
data was bad. That said that jobs were
at 29,000. ADP data says on the
three-month moving average zero. Well,
people justify that and say, "Oh, okay.
Well, we're still probably roughly in
that break even zone where we're plus or
minus. Economy neither expanding or
contracting. It should be okay, right?
Should be good." And all of a sudden,
it's like, "Well, we we'll know in the
next 3 months of data." And I wouldn't
be surprised if Trump looks at that. He
goes, "Oh, that's ugly." Um, let's just
not release it and blame Democrats.
Yeah. Oh, in the meantime, Epstein
files. Hey, did you know about this
$2,000 check we want to do? You know,
maybe maybe we don't have to talk about
uh the Epstein files for which I don't
think we're prepared.
>> You are not prepared.
>> Uh well, instead we could talk about
>> Nice to have you.
>> You want to talk about love making,
right?
>> Okay. Yeah, that's not appropriate.
>> Fetch me. Uh but anyway, you know,
instead, let's talk about these checks,
which now Besson is saying, yeah, the
economy might get hurt here, which makes
me wonder, did they just look at data?
And they're like, crap, we can't show
this to anyone. We need to keep the lie
going. We need to keep the stock market
going because if the stock market goes
down, the AI spending goes down. If that
happens, we go into recession. highest
level of consumer exposure to the stock
market right now. And it's happening in
a very very weird environment because
usually when consumer sentiment goes
down, stock allocation goes down. But
the opposite is happening right now.
Stock allocation is [music]
uh uh you know skyrocketing while at the
same time consumer sentiment is falling.
That's a very very weird divergence. You
don't usually see that. And so it's very
nerve-wracking to me because I look at
this and go shoot man.
This just could be bad. This is not
good. This is really like seriously not
good. And I'm not even pitching anything
like my alpha report in this video. I'm
just saying this is not good.
>> Why not advertise these things that you
told us here? I feel like nobody else
knows about this.
>> We'll we'll try a little advertising and
see how it goes.
>> Congratulations, man. You have done so
much. People love you. People look up to
you.
>> Kevin Praath there, financial analyst
[music] and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always
great to get your take.
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