Why the Fed is URGENTLY Turning the Money Printer ON
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Well, it's official. The Federal Reserve
is bailing out the artificial
intelligence market. Yeah. Okay. Yeah, I
I know. Big claim, but you're going to
see exactly how what the Federal Reserve
just announced is a complete bailout of
the last leg holding up this economy
from collapsing. And the market is
already snuffing it out. Take a look at
this. Gold up again 1.5% to almost
4,300.
Silver up 4.6%.
Copper up 23. Now, why would copper, an
industrial metal, and these safe havens
against inflation such as gold and
silver be rising? While at the same
time, we're seeing a rise in the spread
between the 2 and 10-year Treasury,
making us more shockprone than nearly
any other time over not just the last
year, but frankly since 2021.
Well,
it might be because the market is
sussing out that the Fed is running the
money printer to bail out artificial
intelligence to keep this market propped
up. And that creates some really
interesting investment ideas, but also
risks for us. See, what a lot of folks
aren't talking about is that the Federal
Reserve said the quiet part out loud
yesterday, and I was surprised that we
didn't actually get a lot of people
talking about this. See JP Morgan, Bravo
Bank, and I've got over here Goldman
Sachs. All of them released their notes
along with Bloomberg, Wall Street
Journal, the Financial Times. All of
them released their notes. And all of
them said, "Hey, you know, the Federal
Reserve is going to be buying $40
billion per month through either Tommo
or POMO, depending on, you know, the
length of the bills that they're buying.
We'll talk about that in just a moment."
which is interesting because then it
makes you wonder, oh, okay, you know,
that's that's just to create reserve
liquidity. But why are they doing that?
And that's the key that nobody is
talking about. Now, let me first explain
a clarification on what we discussed
yesterday regarding FOMO, SOMO, Tommo,
and POMO. So, we know that the Fed
yesterday announced they are going to
start printing $40 billion per month to
initiate their quote reserve management
purchases. This turns the money printer
on. Now, FOMO is fear of missing out.
SOMO is sadness of having missed out.
Tommo stands for temporary open market
operations, which are more overnight
operations or really short-term treasury
bill purchases. Pomo is considered
permanent open market operations. And
it's possible the Fed might actually
prefer POMO over Tomo. And we're going
to explain exactly why in just a moment.
But first, all of the headlines are
talking about $40 billion.
But Goldman actually did this right.
Goldman points out, folks, it's actually
$60 billion because they're already
reinvesting $20 billion a month of
mortgage back securities rollover into
treasuries. In English, cuz those are a
lot of acronyms and fancy words. In
English, the Fed is secretly increasing
their balance sheet to the tune of $60
billion a month. Now, if they're doing
that with four-week Treasury bills, it's
basically temporary. it doesn't really
matter. But if they're doing it with 52-
week bills, which they could, they could
actually be injecting permanent
liquidity for the next year into the
economy to the tune of $60 billion per
month. Now, why would the Federal
Reserve do this? How does this have
anything to do with bailing out AI? And
how does this have anything to do with
private credit and people like scam
altman? ah it has everything to do with
those. So let's understand first the
guys or the the Fed is feeding
us. Okay the Fed is saying hey uh hey
guys so uh between now and April people
have to pay their taxes which means
they're going to send money from their
bank accounts to the Treasury General
account which in English means banks are
going to have less cash.
What do banks do with your cash?
They lend it out. But if they don't have
anymore, they can't lend it. And think
about it, folks. Who wants to borrow
that damn money? It's all part of the
Ponzi. And this is not being like a
doomser. The dollar's going to be around
for a while. Eventually, currencies will
collapse and eventually the dollar
collapse. This is why I like real assets
like real estate or stocks or whatever.
But in the near term,
the Fed, and it took me a while, you
know, I sat down for probably six hours
yesterday just studying, studying
history, studying the more of the nuance
from the Fed Reserve meeting, and I'm
like, "Oh my gosh, they could be
misleading us with this bills purchase
because they could be buying 52- week
bills." And you're going to see why this
matters. Okay, what crisis have we had
over the last 90 days? In the last 90
days, we've had massive private credit
hell. Understand that tririccolor was a
multi-billion dollar collapse on
September 10th. That was just 90 days
ago. Well, 91 days ago, right? Then what
do you have? Well, you have the first
brand's collapse, the Renovo Homes
private equity home renovation rollup
that collapsed. You have a Portaotti
company that goes bankrupt. You got SER
Homes that goes bankrupt. You've got
that's the Marriott related brand. They
went bankrupt. All of a sudden, evicted
people out of their hotel rooms. You've
got a Ritz Carlson developer in Arizona
that goes bankrupt. All of that within
the last 90 days. Now, we literally have
warnings coming from the largest pension
fund in Canada literally yesterday
saying beware of rushing into private
credit. This is a buyer beware market.
Not only do you have this, but you have
a French insurer exercising quote
greater caution on artificial
intelligence buildout when it comes to
financing for the sector, which all
comes on top of credit default swaps
skyrocketing for Oracle. And that is
based on yesterday's pricing. We don't
even know yet what pricing is going to
look like when we jump into a negative
14% decline on the day for Oracle. Okay,
so private credit has been a disaster.
Oracle specifically because remember
companies are using private credit to
finance these data center buildouts.
Remember Meta, Facebook, they are
borrowing $27 billion through Blue Owl
Capital, a private credit firm that also
recently had a crisis because their
publicly traded vehicle is selling for a
massive discount to their privately
traded vehicle. And then they tried to
fix it, but the Financial Times exposed
their bull crap and then they had to
cancel and call off their rollup. You
could look into that. The private credit
Blue Owl disaster. Blue Owl is the same
company taking the entire bag of $27
billion for Meta on financing the Meta
data center expansion. This is why
people are getting a little skittish
about debt, including the Federal
Reserve. And this is where it all ties
back to the Fed. And I'm telling you,
this took me a while to put together
yesterday. But I want you to think about
this. Last 90 days, private credit hell.
Where does private credit money come
from? Big banks. Okay. JP Morgan, Bank
of America, Wells Fargo, and City. Okay,
these are the big four. The big four
funnel money into companies like Jeff.
Jeff then lends uh uh lends to scams
like first brands financing receivables
which just all of a sudden evaporate.
Why do they do that? Because they shove
retired people's money into these funds
that have a high yield to give them
certain yield cuz it can't go wrong. and
Jeff takes a big ass fee and then JP
Morgan and Bank of America and Wells
Fargo and City get a slice of that big
ass fee because they can't do the loans
themselves because of the DoddFrank
regulation that says we don't want you
guys doing the scammy financing. So
instead of them doing the scammy
financing, they give it to Jeff to do
the scammy financing and they still get
a slice of the pie. This is why it's all
related to big banks and it's a giant
giant banking crisis waiting to happen.
People are like, "Kevin, I don't care if
private credit goes bankrupt. It's
different from the big banks." No, it's
not different at all. And it all gets
scary when you have the regulators start
coming in. But the regulators aren't
coming in. I mean, Trump's president,
right? I mean, regulators don't have a
job, right? Oh, shya. SEC probes Jeffre
over their lending to first brands.
Well, damn it.
The regulators are still at their jobs.
They're still at their desk. What the
hell is going on? So, how does this
relate to a direct bailout from the
Federal Reserve that has just started?
Well, we're going to talk about that.
But something to know, and I want to
just shout this out
in the Me Kevin Alpha report this
morning. Nobody's going to believe it
unless you watch this me Kevin Alpha
report this morning. I said I'm buying
the dip on a 617 bounce and I just want
you to see it. These were the cues this
morning and your boy Kevin probably
spent about what did I buy? Like $50,000
bucks worth of stuff. I think I bought
somewhere around $50,000 maybe even
$60,000 worth of stons uh of my top 10
stocks to buy list. Yeah, I bought
11,000$10,000
11,000 10,000 and an option for five.
Okay, so it's like 46ish,000. 46,000
bucks of of buy the dip by alert 617
line. Look at where it is on the chart.
Just saying if you want lifetime access
to that, make sure you join over at
meekke.com. Can't always guarantee that
our calls are, you know, perfect, but I
think we do a really good job every day
before the market opens up. I want you
to be a part of it. Pay once, you get
lifetime access. Some even say you stop
hearing the pitch once you join. It's
like a built-in ad block. Okay, go back
to this for a moment. Understand this.
So, we know private credit is in bed
with the big banks. We know this. This
is obvious. We know they're lending to
bull crap private credit scams. Okay.
Now, where does the Fed come in? The Fed
is pumping liquidity. The Fed is arguing
that bank balances are about to get
drawn down by about $400 billion
because taxes are going to go to the
Treasury General account. So, think
about this. Like look, I got like
multiple, you know, seven figures
sitting in cash right now because I got
a big tax bill to pay. Okay, which is,
you know, it's a good thing. It means
you made made money, right? Fine. So, I
got a big tax bill to pay. When that
money goes from cash at the banks to the
Treasury Department because I paid my
tax bill, the banks have less money to
lend. So, the Fed is saying, "Hey, uh,
well, what if we quietly print $60
billion per month to prop banks up
again?" Okay. Well, how long would it
take for you to prop up $400 billion of
money until April tax refunds start, you
know, dropping into people's banks so
banks can lend again? How long is that
going to take to offset $40 billion of a
banking hole or $400 billion worth of
banking hole if you're printing $60
billion a month? Well, 400 divided by 60
is 6.67
months. So basically sometime between 6
to 7 months of money printing that the
Federal Reserve has to do. How long is
Powell still in office?
Six months.
Howell on his way out is trying to print
his way out so he isn't left holding the
bag.
Call me jaded, call me skeptical, but
it's too damn convenient. And so this is
where we get back to Pomo versus Somo.
Okay, so Homo Somo, I initially thought
this was just going to be overnight
liquidity. I actually think I was wrong
yesterday. I actually think they're
going to use rigable homo because think
about it. If you're trying to plug a
$400 billion hole, why are you going to
buy one week or four week treasury
bills? You won't. You're probably going
to buy 26- week and 52- week Treasury
bills, which basically means the money
printer is back on for the next 6 to 12
months. Now, why is the money printer
back on? Why are they doing this?
They're doing it because they said the
quiet part out loud yesterday. You
remember what they said yesterday? It
was nasty. They were so blunt about it,
but nobody's paying attention to what
they said yesterday.
>> Go buy the meet Kevin courses.
20,000 negative jobs per month on
average. And don't trust the data. Okay,
look at this. Number one, average job
gains
40k
uh last, you know, 4 months. Powell
says, "Don't trust the data." He
literally is saying the quiet part out
loud. Powell's saying, "Don't trust the
data." And he's telling us actual jobs
are probably - 20k per month, which is
less than break even, which is bad.
Okay, but here's the problem. Okay,
watch this.
Fed prints 60 bill. Where does that
money go? The money goes to banks, which
goes to private credit, which props up
AI and Oracle. They haven't started
printing yet. They turn the printer on
tomorrow. Okay. Uh the 40 bill, well,
they started printing some of it. The 40
bill starts 1212 and 20 bill is already
happening, you know, per month, mind
you. This is per month. Okay? This is
not like a little onetime top off. It's
per month for the foreseeable future. So
now I want you to think about this for a
moment. The Fed prints $60 billion. It
goes to banks, which goes to private
credit, which goes to AI and Oracle. You
think it goes to you? No. It's going to
AI, Oracle, and big companies. Why?
Because the only leg holding up labor at
all isn't the consumer, it's AI. If it
weren't for cap, like Goldman Sachs says
this, we know this. If it weren't for
AI, we would be in recession without AI.
And so the Fed knows this. And so
they're secretly saying the quiet part
out loud and people aren't paying
attention. Imagine if the Fed said this.
Imagine the Fed says labor is SH9T
and we're going into a recession. The
stock market would tank and guarantee a
recession. So instead, hey guys, the
Treasury General account is getting
filled up. Uh you know, banks need
liquidity.
Private credit is seizing up. Uh we're
just going to we're going to fix the
plumbing. Uh, this isn't QE. Uh, no.
This is this is this is just a just a
plumbing patch. That's all this is. It's
a plumbing patch, guys. Everything's
fine. Everything is fine. This is like
Spongebob with fire. Everything is fine.
It's insane.
So, everything is not fine. The Federal
Reserve is literally now printing $60
billion a month to directly bail out
artificial intelligence to try to stick
the soft landing before Jerome Powell
leaves. The timing of the purchases
align with Powell leaving. Maybe it's a
coincidence, but Powell said his dream
is to make sure that he leaves the Fed
with the economy on good footing and not
in a recession. This is Powell and the
Federal Reserve puking. The Federal
Reserve realizes the labor market is a
massive issue. Now, how the hell can you
increase GDP and say that the labor
market is weakening?
AI. That's it. Jerome Powell also warned
about that. This is the first industrial
revolution that might actually be net
job destructive and it's terrible for
America in the long term. It's in the
very long term will be good. So, I
should say maybe it's terrible in like
the medium longest term and then the
very long term it's better. Eventually,
it'll be better, but it could take a
decade because when we had the boom of
radios or we had the boom of the
automotive industrial revolution, yeah,
people who drove, you know, horses or
horsedrawn carriages, they lost their
jobs to autos or, you know, some
newspapers lost their jobs to radio or
TV, you know, TV killed some radio,
right? There's always going to be some
turnover. But AI is this really unique
innovation where you could fire a 100
customer service agents and hire two
electricians for your data center and
actually net have GDP go up. So you
could literally have GDP going up with a
net 98 person loss in that example,
which is insane. And it's the big
winners are big corporations. The hope
is that the big corporations turn around
and start hiring people again because
they're the only ones who have the
capacity to hire. If you look at the
last ADP reports, which businesses are
suffering?
Big businesses? No.
>> No.
>> Small businesses. Small businesses can't
hire. So, no. The Fed is not trying to
bail out Main Street. They're not trying
to bail out the small businesses.
They're not trying to bail out you or
your mom or your sister. They're trying
to bail out the stock market. They're
trying to bail out rich people because
historically, rich people create jobs.
However,
maybe
that's going to take a whole lot longer
than it has historically. And that's the
scary part. And that's why secretly the
Federal Reserve is printing $60 billion
a month. And I think they are using POMO
instead of tommo. not only to try to get
through this technical tax patch, but
also
because they are saying the quiet part
out loud and they are telling us, don't
trust the data. The jobs market is
actually worse than Donald Trump is
telling you. Powell, I've never seen him
do this before. I've never in my career
seen Powell say, "Don't trust the data."
And conveniently, after Donald Trump
makes the jobs data disappear for
October, and then the November jobs data
is going to be based on a month that
half of the government was shut down
for, we're going to conveniently and
magically have numbers come out, you
know, next week that aren't going to be
rigged at all. Just happens to align
with the same exact moment that Jerome
Pal says, "Don't trust the data."
saying something. That's why the Federal
Reserve is puking. And now, if you go
look at the Wall Street Journal
editorial board, they're one of the few
actually pointing this out. The central
bank is predicting faster growth in
2026, but still eases again. Why?
Because of the labor market. Now, they
don't tell us about the negative 20K,
which I think everybody's missing. But
the editorial board of the Wall Street
Journal tells us something different.
They tell us something that good old
Nick T is not telling us. They tell us
the FOMC has introduced what you might
call QE eternity, which is a new way of
saying QE infinity. But this is
basically like I I honestly I honestly I
I believe their for a moment. I
I I'm like, "Okay, I get it. They're
going to use tommo. They're going to buy
really short-term T- bills." Understand
T- Bill maturities. T- billill
maturities. I think it's it's useful to
see the options which is gives you so
much cover. So just type in T- billill
maturities. Okay. And you could buy as
low as one week because you just buy the
four-week maturities that expire within
a week or within a few days. Right? But
these are the available new issue T-
billill maturities. 4 weeks, 6 weeks, 8
weeks,
one quarter, 17 weeks, 6 months, and and
a year. Those are your T- billill
maturities.
I thought they were going to use tommo
and they were going to go for very
short-term you know one day overnight
one week tea bills but the more I got to
thinking about it the more I realized if
they buy 4 week and they buy 60 billion
of four week this month well then next
month they're net doing zero but that's
not what they're trying to do they're
trying to fill the treasury g they're
trying to fill the hole of the bank
money going to the treasury general
account. So, they can't do 4-week. It
doesn't make sense to do four-week
because you're literally pushing against
a string. Then you're doing nothing. You
have to get to at least April, which
means you're going to go for 6 months.
And if you're going to go for 6 months,
you're probably going to be buying
between 26 and 25 weeks. That is not
temporary liquidity. That is basically
permanent liquidity. That's why we call
it homo. So, I have to say I was wrong
and that my initial reaction was was
taking at face value what they said that
this is just to patch the plumbing. And
it wasn't until I sat there for hours
yesterday going something seems off
about this. Gold is rising. Okay, that
was that was a tell, by the way. Okay,
gold is rising. Silver is rising and the
102 spread is rising. The market is
telling me something. What is the market
telling me? And it wasn't until I took
that hint and I sat down for many hours
and I'm like, "What? This is weird. What
is going on?" And then I realized
nobody's talking about that, the - 20K.
And when you align the negative 20K with
the private credit banking disaster, it
all makes sense. This is a secretive
banking bailout of $60 billion of
printing. And so what does that mean for
well stons? Well, usually it's a good
thing for stons. Just saying. I bought
the dip a little bit. Okay, I might buy
some more of the dip, too. But it's
actually usually bullish for stock
short-term. The problem is what if the
Fed truly is too late? And this is why I
maintain I'm at a teeter totter. Okay,
if you go to meet Kevin.com/data,
you could see the barebull scale. So
meet.com/data.
I really got to update the web page a
little bit, but the the bare bull scale
is updated as of two days ago. Honestly,
this probably puts me at like a 5.8
because you just got the Fed put. The
Fed put is back.
Now, notice I'm not a 10 out of 10.
That's because the Fed might be too
late. We might already be screwed. In
which case, that sucks.
But this is why I say no debt, okay? no
margin, no personal debt, no bank debt
at my startup. I am having serious
conversations, by the way, uh now with
my team and uh soon with my board. I'm
meeting my board in 5 days about ending
the fund raise for House Hack. And I'm
going to tell you why. The Federal
Reserve, well, first of all, we're
releasing our AI product and we're like,
we don't need to pay a yield to
investors. Uh if we have an AI product
out, we still are for the people
investing now. You know, read the
offering circular. This is not a
solicitation. So you click the invest
button, you could learn about, you know,
the 5% yield or all the upside,
whatever. No fees to invest, blah blah
blah. Not a solicitation. Read the
offering circular. There's risk with
every investment. But I'm seriously
thinking about going to the board and
saying the Federal Reserve is now at 3
and a half%. The we are dropping our AI
product this month.
Why are we paying a yield when the Fed's
at 3 and a half%, we're paying five, and
they're literally about to turn the
money printer on. We do not need to pay
a yield. They're turning the money
printer on tomorrow. We don't need to
pay a yield.
So, um I don't know. We We'll see. Stay
tuned. I I might I I don't like just
making a decision myself. You know, it's
going to be between uh uh the board uh
and and everyone's collective input, but
I I will uh I'm tempted to make the case
to say we need to end it. So, we'll see.
Um anyway, that's my take. The Fed money
printer is back and it's insane. Why not
advertise [music] these things that you
told us here? I feel like nobody else
knows about this.
>> We'll we'll try a little advertising and
see how it goes.
>> Congratulations, man. You have done so
much. People love you. People look up to
you.
>> Kevin Praath there, financial analyst
and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always great
to get your take.
UNLOCK MORE
Sign up free to access premium features
INTERACTIVE VIEWER
Watch the video with synced subtitles, adjustable overlay, and full playback control.
AI SUMMARY
Get an instant AI-generated summary of the video content, key points, and takeaways.
TRANSLATE
Translate the transcript to 100+ languages with one click. Download in any format.
MIND MAP
Visualize the transcript as an interactive mind map. Understand structure at a glance.
CHAT WITH TRANSCRIPT
Ask questions about the video content. Get answers powered by AI directly from the transcript.
GET MORE FROM YOUR TRANSCRIPTS
Sign up for free and unlock interactive viewer, AI summaries, translations, mind maps, and more. No credit card required.