WHAT TRUMP *JUST* SAID | *Big Warning*, Putin, Tariffs, Crime
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Donald Trump just gave us a huge
breakdown on a lot of different things.
Russia, Ukraine, what's going on in DC,
and I'm going to give you a complete
breakdown of everything that you need to
know. Quick note, Tesla rallying really
nicely today. Up 4.75%
at the time of this recording, pretty
much straight up all day long. And I
have to say this was our call in the
alpha report this morning. This morning
we were trading in the low 330s and I
said to course members, folks, we're
going to 347 within the next 48 hours.
We skyrocketed at the open and we've
been up all day so far today. Couple
reasons for that. That's really a topic
for a different video. But if you want
those alpha reports, make sure you join
at meet.com.
Use coupon code JHole in honor of
Jackson Hole coming up. Okay. So, what
did Donald Trump just say? Russia,
Ukraine, DC, uh, as well as some
comments on marijuana, which could
potentially be a hit for marijuana
stocks. Not in the way, uh, you would
potentially think. Uh, well, let's go
through all of it. So, uh, first, Donald
Trump, uh, talks about rescuing the
nation's capital. Basically, liberation
day in DC. We already talked about the
deploying of the National Guard. His
reason for that is he says the DC murder
rate is higher than that of Bogota,
Colombia or Mexico City. Bogota has a
murder rate of about 14 per 100,000.
Mexico City only about eight per 100,000
of course when I say only obviously
eight is still a lot of dead people but
anyway DC in 2024 at 27.3 which is more
than three times as much as Mexico City
and nearly double Bogotaa's uh rate.
Now, Donald Trump cited 41 out of
100,000. I think what they're doing is
they're extrapolating the first half of
2025. Uh, and then doubling it. Uh, and
that's how they're getting to their 41
out of 100,000. Donald Trump says,
"We're doing emergency curfews. We're
getting rid of the slums. We are going
to get rid of the homeless situation. We
are declaring a public safety emergency.
And Pam Bondi is going to take over the
Metropolitan Police Department." Uh
Donald Trump says that America shouldn't
be dirty, graffitied, and people should
not get mugged and certainly not in the
nation's capital. He also says that we
should have fixed potholes, medians,
roads. We are going to do it and we're
going to do it right and we're going to
do it quickly. We're not going to let
permits get in the way. We are going to
do it. Now, this is very uh Trumpy and
there are a few things to know here.
One, uh consider countries like Japan,
for example. I just visited Japan for 10
days. I have to say for the lack of
trash cans that they have in public,
what a clean country. I mean, the ground
is clean. The railings are clean.
There's hand sanitizer filled
everywhere. Not like empty sanitizer
stations. Like, there's actually hand
sanitizer everywhere. It's very, very
clean. Every escalator staircase feels
very clean. Soon as we get back to Los
Angeles, I've got my seven and nine year
olds going, "Oh my gosh, these
escalators are gross." Going into LA,
uh, LAX, Los Angeles International
Airport, it's like, "Welcome to
America." It's all like 1970s yellow and
gross and and they don't really want to
touch it and hand sanitizer stations are
empty. But anyway, this is where Donald
Trump is saying, "Hey, we we want to
beautify America's capital. We don't
want dirty. We don't want graffiti. We
want uh actual clean and safe capital.
I'm actually a big fan of that. I'm a
big fan of investing into making our
country beautiful. It's the greatest
country in the world and should be. Now,
when it comes to this talk about
marijuana, I what was really interesting
here is Donald Trump in questioning was
asked about, hey, uh, you know, what's
your take on potential marijuana
restrictions on a federal basis? Because
remember there's been so much talk about
legal marijuana and also so much action
by states on legal marijuana. And Donald
Trump says, you know, I've heard great
things uh great things about medical,
other things not so much. This is
somewhat implying that there could be
some changes coming for uh marijuana in
terms of recreational use for marijuana.
that is potentially legalizing federally
marijuana for medical purposes but not
for recreational purposes and
potentially having more restrictions for
recreational p purposes which could have
some impacts for some of those marijuana
stocks. Something to pay attention to
and this is a clear signal from the
Trump administration here. Now something
else to know about Donald Trump when it
comes to permits. Uh in the Wall Street
Journal actually had a great uh article
on this uh on Donald Trump and state
capitalism. uh they said that Donald
Trump really runs uh the United States,
kind of much like China runs China. Uh
and as much as everybody kind of thought
over history that China would end up
trying to become like the United States
in the future, whereas China becomes
sort of a free market capitalistic
country. Instead, it looks like China is
well, the United States is more modeling
after China uh by, for example,
demanding the resignation of the Intel
CEO, demanding golden shares, uh such as
in the Nepon Steel takeover, uh
demanding that Donald Trump is able to
direct 1.5 trillion, quote unquote,
countries dispute how much of this is
actually going to get invested, but
Donald Trump demands the right to direct
where those investments are going to go.
And so they call this sort of this
hybrid between socialism and capitalism.
And really it it's a way of blowing past
sort of some of that regulation and
lawyerliness,
uh, says the Wall Street Journal, which
is exactly what you just saw Donald
Trump say. Donald Trump just said, "Hey,
like we're not going to, you know, worry
about some designer worried about
permits for fixing the medians. We're
just going to fix it. We're going to do
it right and we're just going to do it."
Uh and in in fairness like that is one
of the things that has become very
annoying in the United States. The
lawyerliness that slows or blocks down
building or housing construction or
actually advancing the country. It's one
of the reasons why China is able to
advance so quickly when it comes to
building. The problem with this is when
a state dictates building, you tend to
lessen growth. Uh, for example, uh, when
China directed real estate investments,
what happened? You ended up with a
massive real estate crash. When China
directed manufacturing investments, what
happened? You ended up with a massive
manufacturing crash because you
oversupplied and you did so poorly. Uh,
and you didn't let the free market guide
investments. Instead, you directed uh,
in an inefficient manner capital
allocation which led to slower growth or
a crash. If you look at other sort of
crony policy states, you could look at
uh countries like Brazil, Russia or
France, all of them experiencing
significantly slower growth over the
long term than the United States where
we generally let the free market dictate
uh investments. This is why government
directed initiatives like the Foxcon
facility or the Tesla Buffalo solar
facility uh have all sort of failed in
uh you know state directed investment uh
for actually growing or creating growth.
This is likely because the free market
is generally a much better allocator.
You know, look, for example, at if we
had a free market for cars, which we
don't because we've got auto unions and
manufacturers that really desire
protectionist policies like tariffs and
that, uh, we probably would all have
substantially more vehicle choice and
substantially cheaper vehicle choice,
which I personally sort of compare to
like the potential that we would all be
getting annual stimulus checks if it
weren't for car tariffs or car
restrictions. This is a complicated
argument. It's basically the argument
that cars would be so much cheaper if we
just allowed the free market to regulate
cars that it would be much like every
American family getting an extra $2,000
a year uh because they wouldn't be
spending all of this wasteful money on
expensive cars because we'd have a lot
more choice. That's when the free market
dictates, right? But unions and
protectionists policies which other
countries do as well like the EU or even
countries within the European Union or
otherwise uh we have more expensive
vehicles as a result. But anyway, Donald
Trump going back to sort of this uh this
idea of sort of bulldozing some of these
lawyerly policies. Uh again makes it
clear that Pam Bondi is going to take
control of the Metropolitan Police
Department. He says we will bring in the
military if needed. This is a pretty uh
blunt statement there. He also says
we're going to be removing homeless camp
encampments. We are going to make this
one of the safest places in the country
and we will do this to other cities as
well if we need to. Uh he directly
mentioned Chicago as one. Uh directly
mentioned obviously LA which has already
been done. Uh and we'll also be looking
at New York City, which is also uh a
direct sort of heads up and warning.
Though he does say this in a way of,
hey, hopefully these cities will start
regulating themselves and then we won't
need to. Now, regarding Russia and uh
his meeting with Putin, Donald Trump
says he's going to speak with the
European delegations as well as Zalinski
before going into the m meeting with
Putin, but that this will be a meeting
with Putin alone and not with Sinsky. So
that way Trump can go into the meeting
with everybody's information and then
determine whether or not a deal can be
made. Donald Trump does say that there's
going to be a lot of land swapping going
on, which will be good for Ukraine, but
also bad for Ukraine, but it'll also be
good for Russia and also bad for Russia.
Donald Trump wants to get Russia to be
focused on positive trade versus just a
wartime economy, and he thinks he can
negotiate with that uh sort of thesis at
least. Uh he says there will be land
swapping though and we're going to try
to get some prime property back or land
back for Ukraine given that Ukraine has
lost so much land. It seems like Donald
Trump is pretty convinced that uh
Ukraine has already lost land so they
may as well just kind of like negotiate
some of it back. Uh this is a current
map of where we stand. You could see
these eastern regions here. Uh this
Crimea had already been taken. Uh but uh
you could see this spread here towards
the nepro uh by Russia and uh Russia
pretty much wants all of this and of
course Zinsky wants to give up zero of
it. So finding that compromise is going
to be a challenge and Donald Trump says
that he's going to work on exactly that.
Europeans are somewhat freaking out that
Donald Trump is going to make a deal
without them. Uh and this is why they
are stressing meeting Donald Trump first
before that Friday meeting between Trump
and uh Putin on uh in Alaska. And uh
Europe also says that their red lines
include stressing that a ceasefire must
be the first step in the deal and that
any territorial exchanges must be
reciprocal based on current front lines
and a long-term security guarantee. So
in other words, uh even the Europeans
are recognizing that some form of
territory is probably going to be lost
from Ukraine, but we need security
guarantees to be a part of this. Those
have been a big issue for Russia. Russia
doesn't want security guarantees because
Russia doesn't want Ukraine to get
guarantees that basically imply
Ukraine is part of NATO, right? Because
if you give if NATO gives Ukraine a
security guarantee, you may as well just
say NATO is part or Ukraine is part of
NATO, which obviously is a red line for
Russia. So this creates a lot of
complexity here. Now, Donald Trump also
mentioned that uh regarding the China
trade deal, stay tuned. There will be uh
progress on the China trade deal soon.
Uh there is a self-imposed deadline by
Trump tonight to get a deal with China.
We don't know if that'll actually happen
tonight. Donald Trump did miss his
self-imposed secondary sanction deadline
with Russia in lie of obviously this
meeting now happening on Friday. As far
as chips, uh he says that there could
even be some form of 20 to 30% uh sort
of export licensing fees for Blackwell
or at least unenhanced versions of
Blackwell in the future, which is really
interesting because it's a way of saying
that maybe we will let uh companies like
Nvidia and AMD export their more
advanced chips, although still not the
most advanced chips, to countries like
China. Again, a lot of people see these
export fees like that 15% export fee
that AMD and Nvidia have currently
agreed to for the watered down older
generation chips like the H20s uh as an
extortion fee. And they kind of see this
as Donald Trump extorting American
companies. Uh that's a 15% tax on the
H20 from Nvidia to China and 15% tax on
the MI308 from AMD to China. Uh, you
kind of have to give Trump credit though
here. Trump will do anything to make a
buck for the country, which is great in
the near term. We don't know what the
longer term implications of that are
going to be. But for now, that seems to
be an opportunity for Nvidia and AMD to
increase their revenue and Trump to
increase his revenue. Uh, then again,
other people say this is just arming
China and China is our enemy and we
shouldn't be arming them. So, you kind
of have arguments on both sides of this.
But again, this is Donald Trump's uh not
free market lzair style, but rather
Donald Trump's sort of more crony style
directament of how things are going to
go and nobody knows what the
implications of that are going to be in
the longer term, but it is interesting.
So, uh we'll see. So, that gives you an
overview here of everything. Remember,
use coupon code jhole meet.com. get that
alpha report again. Tesla's killing it
today, which is a great call in the
alpha report. Literally called in the
pre-market that it was heading towards
this line within the next 48 hours. Look
at that. That was literally my number
one call. We had four calls this
morning. You can see call 2, three, and
four in the alpha report this morning.
Uh, one of them, by the way, I'll give
you a little hint here, was watch for
the cues to fall at open and then
bounce. And look at literally what's
happening right now. You had a little
fall at the open and bounce throughout
the rest of the day here. So, if you
want these calls, make sure you get
those in the alpha report every single
morning before the market uh opens. Use
coupon code jhole to get lifetime access
at meetke.com.
>> Why not advertise these things that you
told us here? I feel like nobody else
knows about this.
>> We'll we'll try a little advertising and
see how it goes.
>> Congratulations, man. You have done so
much. People love you. People look up to
you.
>> Kevin Praath there, financial analyst
and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always great
to get your take.
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