Holy $H*T Stocks!

boy oh boy am i glad i bought the dip

heavy thursday morning whoa

that was a buying hello let's go and

that rhymes that's awesome hey folks uh

welcome back to another video we got to

talk in this video about what's

happening in the market why is a certain

sector of the stock market and

cryptocurrencies why are they rallying

together what do we need to know about

russia and ukraine what's going on with

these peace talks and nuclear talks at

the same time what are some leftover

catalysts and what's going on with

shorts out there because today's the

kind of day the shorts are starting to

get a little bit hammered okay now keep

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in just a moment okay folks here's

exactly what's going on first of all we

got peace talks yesterday futures were

down somewhere around two and a half to

three percent that was between the spy

small cap russell 2000 and the uh qq or

nasdaq so what's going on while the

sudden uh did we go from this negative

two and a half percent to now uh s p and

q q q positive and tech stocks are

rallying like a sofi and matterport

killing it up eight to ten percent right

now you've got tesla up

point seven percent coin base up seven

point eight percent solana is up eleven

percent up starts up thirteen percent a

firm is up ten point five percent neo is

up ten what's happening even and phases

up another eight point four percent boy

am i glad i bought that thing at 1 20 on

thursday morning but anyway what's going

on so here's what's happening first of

all peace talks the first round of peace

talks concluded solenski i doesn't

appear and this is a good thing did not

go to them this is good the last thing

we want is zielinski to get captured or

potentially

if he dies i think there would be a

morale collapse in ukraine it would be

one of the worst case scenarios he is

keeping ukraine together he is killing

it he's doing a very very great job so

he's got to stay safe the first rounds

of talks have come completed between uh

ukrainian delegate uh delegated members

and russian and delegated members now

the there are more talks expected to

come and this is good these are the

first talks that we've had since this

escalation well since negotiations broke

down before the incursion before the

invasion right

and since then the russian stock market

has been absolutely getting destroyed

we've seen the rupal now trade for over

a hundred and six dollars uh that is 106

rupals per a dollar it's absolutely been

getting crushed in terms of its

valuation it's an example of what the

vanic vectors russia etf is doing which

just gives you a little bit of a taste

of what's happening in russia itself i

mean people are losing their wealth

they're losing their money and they're

losing faith in their currency and this

is why not only we have protests in

russia but we're also seeing the

potential of a bank run so much so that

the central bank has just come out to

say you know what we are going to raise

interest rates in russia to 20

and that's from nine and a half percent

that's more than a

double to try to control essentially the

rapid devaluation or rapid inflation of

their currency they're like that's it

jack up rates to fight inflation we know

how that works over here except they're

doing it to the extreme because freaking

putin screwed up again

but anyway

at the same time we're seeing oil stocks

uh well oil uh per barrel rally with

exception of bp bp is not doing too well

because they're dumping a 20 stake at a

loss in russia but we're seeing oil

obviously spike rent over a hundred

dollars a barrel again and this is

starting to push tech and ev up because

how do you get out of high oil prices by

innovating by investing in tech and by

investing in electric vehicle companies

and because a lot of these have sold off

over the last quite frankly 10 weeks now

there's a quite a quite a build up of

short interest and i would not be

surprised if we end up seeing

a potential even short squeeze or at

least some degree of short covering

heads up this just in as i'm recording

this russia says ukraine has agreed to a

second round of talks so both sides now

have agreed to a second round of talks

this is positive this is a lot better

than where we were yesterday when it was

when it essentially felt like

the belarusian army was getting ready to

invade uh ukraine and kiev together

with

uh with russia that's that's where we

were yesterday talking about nuclear

saber rattling again here we are today

market's going green on peace talks

market's very happy with what's going on

now i want to talk about the short

interest data here and i want to show

you some inflection points but first

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at this one by one here so first of all

here's a lemonade still at a high in

terms of short interest i'm going to go

ahead and hide myself for a moment look

at this inflection point to the upside

here on short interest this does not

include today yet it just tells us where

did we go starting the week we went in

here on lemonade with a high tattooed

chef 32 next highest that we're tracking

here kind of started rotating down a

tiny little bit corsair gaming also

started having a little refl inflection

point down here a little bit of sign of

some covering happening especially since

this is 24.2 short arc has been flat in

terms of shorts sitting at about 20.8

you've got amc also roughly flat at

about 20 percent so far sitting at about

19.8 actually increasing in shorts so

you could definitely be seeing and some

of these we're seeing the inflection

point up as far as friday was concerned

and now you're seeing some of these run

you could definitely be seeing some

short covering now be careful sometimes

the short covering ends up turning into

reloading shorts when a new catalyst

comes up and we're going to talk about

new catalysts in just a moment but let's

quickly look at some of these other

shorts shorts before earnings here are

starting to pick up on lucid sitting at

about 18.8 percent short you've got

matterport here also sitting a little

elevated seventeen point four percent

short the s p you're starting to see

some shorts come down still about

16.8 percent short teledoc 15 percent

robin hood a little increase here a firm

relatively flat only about 10 percent

and tesla relatively flat about 2.91 of

course we cannot forget though game stop

let's throw in gamestop at 18.96

relatively flat here recently

so what are the next catalyst that we

have to be careful of well here's what

we got to know and then we got to talk

about the fed so what we've got in terms

of the next catalyst

are quite a bit first the potential

breakdown of talks that's the big

catalyst number one you should write

these down next catalyst on wednesday

that's in two days we're gonna get our

first private jobs report the adp jobs

report that's the estimate of what jobs

are going to come in at and then on

friday we get the actual jobs report and

what we're looking for here are how much

did those wages go up month over month

are we going to see a wage price spiral

this is going to be a very big catalyst

and it's quite possible there could be a

lot of fear going into the report and

once we get the certainty of the report

we could see some of that fear evaporate

we've got cpi coming out next week on

march 10th that is another big catalyst

and then of course the week thereafter

we have the federal reserve we're going

to see hey are they going to rug pull us

with a 50 basis point hike or are we

just going 25 my expectation is we're

basically guaranteed to get a 25. i'm

not really worried about any of these

reports

as much as i had been in the past

because i believe the fed is going to

take a very patient approach especially

because of these geopolitical concerns

some folks are like kevin you're

flip-flopping uh yeah because the data

changed when the data changes and the

facts change i sold my gold and i bought

stocks i did that thursday morning look

at what they've done since then tesla

and face gold the gold that i sold gold

went down and face tesla they went

straight up they've been absolutely

killing it so we've lowered our cost

basis and we've even got some extra cash

around to keep buying on some of these

fear catalysts because there will be

more i'm still believing that patience

is important 2022 no matter what is

going to be a rough year very very

volatile so i'm not one to want to chase

the short squeezes up because i don't

think the short squeezes are going to

last before these reports because all

it's going to take is a little bit of

bad news on peace talks the shorts

doubling back down on their shorts

pushing these stocks right back down

creating a new buying opportunity for us

now regarding the nuclear threat in my

opinion this is really a non-issue this

is saber rattling i don't want to come

across as saying worrying about noopsies

and not nukes is a non-issue because i

mean let's be real those are quite scary

but i do really personally believe that

uh this is just more saber rattling from

putin uh it is it is quite expected it

is quite normal this this is not new now

in terms of individual stocks one thing

that i am noticing is travel reopening

banks and safety plays like apple and

google are not doing the best that's in

my opinion because people are now

selling out of travel and reopening

stocks because they worry people are

going to spend less money on these

because of the geopolitical concerns

especially all the cancellations that we

see in europe they're moving out of

banks and safety like apple and google

and they're moving into those tech and

depressed trades that could be

cryptocurrencies uh that could be uh

microvision upstart neo i mean quite

frankly some of these oh i've had myself

doubled up there anyway some of these

have been quite depressed i mean just

here

look away for a moment at the percent

change just sort these by name sometimes

this is really important to just ignore

the percent change for a moment and look

at some of these prices that we have

adobe 464 come on this is 200 cheaper

than where it has been you've got amazon

at 3 000 it's been there for more than a

year you've got blizzard at 81. amd 124

is okay 153 okay airbnb look at this a

firm 42 freaking dollars backed this

thing momentum moved like crazy is that

six dollars

now be careful though some of these do

have the potential tendency to rotate

right back down under the weight of

newly reloaded shorts so you do want to

be somewhat careful but a lot of the

solar companies doing very very well

speculation that we might get some sort

of new ev tax credits to potentially

boost ev sales or solar sales to help

reduce our dependence on on oil and

foreign oil in general uh here again you

see delta airlines coming down a little

bit emboy air part of your your travel

sector here under 14 it's actually not

bad end phase doing quite well 166

definitely down from where it had been

but certainly up from some of its lows

and phase 166 honestly it's still not a

bad deal still pretty decent for the

high growth margins this company has

high quality products this company has

really really incredible uh let's just

quickly grab a few others of course

we've got some small the fintech the

ensure tech space i think those are

still uh going to have the the unclear

rotation up catalyst the sofi the robin

hoods a coinbase obviously going to be

doing well off of

of crypto as well as square doing uh

better off of some of its crypto

integration but otherwise uh where

you're really seeing the move is in that

ev style tech uh certainly tesla neo

even lucid turning uh green today and

ellucid's got earnings coming up and i

have to say i know a lot of folks are

waiting for updates on what's happening

with the

lucid of mine that got towed they're

providing really optimistic updates and

so we're really excited about uh getting

the car back and then getting an update

video for you so we'll see what happens

but uh ooh look even wafer is coming

back a little bit as uh

wafer oh my gosh look at wafer i mean

it's half of what it used to be look at

that 369 it's more than half under what

it used to be just wild so there are

definitely some deals out there

so

you have to ask yourself how much do you

believe that the fed's going to rug pull

us do you believe that tran inflation

could be transitory we do expect that

there will be more inflation because of

commodities and energy costs but

remember what did i talk about in my

video yesterday you got to parse out the

inflation

that comes from

these war-related aspects and think

about the inflation of consumer goods

and other aspects that might be less

affected by these war aspects wouldn't

be surprised if some of that aggregate

demand for those comes down we actually

start seeing some inflation drive down

and a more dovish fed because of the

crisis in ukraine and uh and of course

with russia as the antagonist so we'll

see what happens a lot of international

pressure right now and we know the

russian economy is absolutely suffering

under the threat of a potential

depression which will hopefully

hopefully motivate positive peace talks

so we could finally end the death and

destruction and get back to normal then

again we will be looking forward to jobs

cpi fed

and because of what's happened i'm

actually more optimistic on those than

ever before so we'll see thank you so

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we'll see the next one goodbye