This is no joke: the SBC hobby is dying
FULL TRANSCRIPT
It's no joke. Even though Raspberry Pi
posted this on April 1st, there's a new
3 GB Raspberry Pi 4 that cost $83.75.
And uh they've also increased the price
of other pies. Like this 16 GB Pi 5 is
now $299.99.
That is an increase of 150% over its
already pretty high price when it was
launched. And the problem is that all
the RAM, all the DRAM that goes into
these things has been skyrocketing in
price. Eban Upton in his blog post said
there's been a seven-fold increase in
DRM pricing and everybody is wanting
this LPDDR4 DRM and uh you know whatever
the problems are that are causing this
shortage whether it's AI uh obligations
that aren't actually materializing uh
people lying about the amount of uh DRM
that they need and reserve from
foundaries whether it's uh collusion or
whatever uh from the the DRM companies
that supply these things I don't know
the one thing that I do know is that all
these things kind of are conspiring
together to I think kind of kill off a
lot of things that people used to love
to do like buying SBC's and doing fun
projects with them. If the company that
you buy your SBC from is uh not already
affected, they will be and I guarantee
they are already, but some people have
passed on the price increases already.
Other ones have yet to and have some old
stock that they're still trying to move
out. Uh, but in talking with other
companies that make SBC's besides
Raspberry Pi, there have been SBC
projects that have been completely
cancelled because they can't get memory.
Like this 16 gig Pi5, there's not many
people that are going to pay 300 bucks
for one of these. I only have one and
that's because it was already a dubious
value at 120 bucks when I bought it. At
300 bucks, there's no reason to buy this
unless you have like a product that has
to have just this and you're selling it
for a profit. And even your profit would
get uh cut into quite deeply by having a
a a price go up 150% of a component in
it. But it's just crazy. I I put
together a few charts here. So this
first chart is showing showing the price
increase since launch of the Pi 5 2 gig
and 4 gig and 16 gig. And now they have
a 1 gig and of course that 3 GB. And
you're you're wondering like why 3 GB?
That's a weird memory amount. Well,
they're using two 1.5 gig chips. That
saves cost because the 1.5 gig chips can
be had in greater supply than the 1 gig,
2 gig, 4 gig, those kind of things. Uh
for various reasons, but that's why
Raspberry Pi is doing it. They actually
redesigned the PCB of the Pi 4 to allow
for two chips instead of one, which is
crazy. Like they haven't done that on
any Pi yet, and now they're doing it on
the Pi 4 because of this unprecedented
rise in prices. Anyway, that's uh kind
of depressing on its own. But then if
you look at SBC's overall uh right now
there are some like uh there are some
that are a very good value if you can
pick them up. The Rad Dragon Q6A, which
I haven't done a full video on. I've
done a full set of testing on it and I I
like the thing and I want to recommend
it, but I just haven't had time to make
a full video on it. Uh that is probably
the best value SPC you can get right
now. It uses a Qualcomm chip on it. Uh,
the Rock 5C is also a good value, but
I've seen it going out of stock a lot.
Um, other than that, I've I've tested
the Orange Pi 5 and Pi 5 Pro. Those are
both very good boards. Uh, but those are
going up in price even more than the Pi.
So, it's like those were great values,
but now it's 2026 and that's just not a
thing. If I look at the 8 gig RAM
models, again, the Q6A right now, if you
can get it, that is the best value SPC
you can get right now. It's again, it's
a Qualcomm chip, so things there's some
caveats there, but Radza currently has
enough stock, I guess, of their memory
that they're able to put these things
out at prices that aren't sky-high, but
they're going up and they're going to
continue rising. The other thing in all
of these uh slides that you'll notice is
that the mini PCs, which used to be a
great value, are now just a good value.
They're still a better value. Like, if
you buy one of these mini PCs, it comes
with an SSD, it comes with a case, all
that kind of stuff. you don't have to
buy anything extra. Uh, but it used to
be like a scorchingly good value
compared to most SBC's, but now they're
just on par basically. But again, like
the 16 gig Pi5 that is just I don't I
don't know who will buy one of these
things. It's it's a crazy amount of of
money to pay for an SBC with the
performance that it has and the features
that it has. And, you know, there's been
backlash against Raspberry Pi for this
stuff. And it's like, yeah, they are a
public company now, so they're trying to
turn a profit. And um I I think the
biggest takeaway from this is for the
hobbyist, for people who are doing these
things for fun or open source or little
hardware projects, move to the Pi 3,
move to the the 02W. Those are the two
models that are still a great value. And
apparently Raspberry Pi has tons of
supply of LPDDR2 RAM, the older, slower
RAM that's used in those boards. So the
prices on those probably won't go up so
much. Um, the other thing I've noticed
is like for myself included, I've been
starting to do more projects with
microcontrollers, which you can still
get without paying a bazillion dollars.
And uh, it's kind of fun and and
interesting to get into something
entirely new there. And uh, some of them
are powerful enough to do things that
are that I would formally do on uh, SPC.
So, timing projects and uh certain
control projects where I used to need a
full Linux install, now you can do it in
micro Python almost just as easy or uh
building smart home things with ESP
home. It's great. And uh the the sad
thing is that there is still a lot of
great things that you can do when you
have full Linux running on an SBC with,
you know, low-end desktop class
performance that we're just not going to
be able to do. And uh you know even if
we're talking about buying used hardware
that the prices on that stuff is going
up especially if it has a lot of RAM. So
certain hobbies are just kind of
impacted and and dying off right now.
And I don't see a rosy future for it
unless we can find a way to uh get these
prices back down at some point because
my my income from YouTube hasn't gone
up. In fact, it's gone down a little bit
the past year and a half because
YouTube's viewership for long- form
videos like these has gone down. And uh
yeah, it's it's not not a great
situation that we're in for this. But uh
maybe maybe I'll just become a retro
YouTuber and do all my fun Mac projects
uh until we get back to having
reasonable pricing for these things.
Anyway, uh until next time, I'm Jeff
Kurling.
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