The Housing Market is Flipping my Startup!
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Nothing like a great article from the
Wall Street Journal to talk about the
real estate market and provide a house
hack a Q2 update. Uh EBIT Profitel still
doing great cutting costs, cutting GNA
expenses, but now investing more into
R&D. Why? Because we expect in Q4 or Q1
we are going to release uh a beta of our
software as a service real estate AI
app. We actually think it'll be the uh
first ever uh that uh provides AI to
both investors and real estate agents.
And really, it's just product that we
use internally anyway. And we figure,
hey, the real estate market is a, you
know, 4 to5 trillion market. Why not
license this product that we use to
other buyers or agents across the
country when, you know, we can't go shop
in every single market. In fact, that's
really what this Wall Street Journal
article refers to is this article talks
about this breakdown of people who are
buying single family rental properties
and how much money there is to be made
in buying, renting out and hodling
essentially these single family homes.
And what you find is it's not private
equity with, you know, thousands of
properties and billions of dollars. uh
it's actually more investors with three
to nine properties that dominate the
market. You know, house hack would be
more in this sort of blue territory over
here, but nowhere near this sort of like
private equity level. But this idea of
investors buying homes, total investor
purchases of single family homes now
around 30% nationwide, some of it is
being driven by big discounts from home
builders like Lenar and Dr. Horton who
are really trying to clear inventory. Uh
in fact, you're finding that now is this
fantastic time for smaller investors to
buy homes. And so that's what this Wall
Street Journal article is about. Small
investors who own fewer than 100 homes
are securing more discounts and
financial incentives from sellers eager
to close deals quickly as inventory
piles up as traditional home buyers sit
on the sidelines. This is a huge
advantage to a house hack and it's
exactly in line with our strategy. Uh
small investors are more active because
they see a solid business and buying,
fixing up and renting out single
families. There's no shortage of uh of
deals out there. We find uh smaller
firms uh in in you know they're talking
about the Strand in South Carolina uh
taking on more risk. We personally don't
think we take on a lot of risk at all.
and we'll talk about our uh AI and R&D
spend at the moment, but uh you're
seeing a lot of deals in Texas and
Florida because of the over supply, the
overbuilding. We've been warning about
that since 2022. We saw that happen. So,
not a surprise at all. Here are the
discounts uh from inventory from LAR and
Dr. Horton. So, certain parts of the
country certainly overs supplied whereas
other parts of the country, you still
look at California for example, very
under supplied still and underbuilt. Uh
but uh in line with this uh article, we
may as well give sort of a quick road
mapap of what our uh our intentions and
game plan uh game plans are and how
they're evolving for house hack. Uh so
uh remember that when we started uh
house hack, which remember you can
invest in house hack, it's uh open to
nonacredited investors. Uh you could go
to househack.com and uh read the
paperwork there, read the disclosures,
the ppm, the offering circular, right?
Every investment has risk. Uh but we we
still have our 5% bond round open. Uh
but this is convertible uh into stock uh
at a buck 40 a share uh as uh as as soon
as as soon as 2027 or later. The goal is
to IPO 2028 to 20, you know, 30
depending obviously if we're like in a
big recession during this time. We'll
we'll delay it a bit, but that's when
our goal IPO is. That's still on track.
This is the round. The reason we're
structuring, by the way, the current
offering as a bond, a convertible bond,
is because you basically you get
preference on the company. Bond holders
always get preference over equity
holders. You get a 5% yield paid to you
monthly, right? So, it's an annual yield
paid monthly. Uh, and it converts into
stock with no premium. So, like we
actually think this valuation is pretty
low. We will probably close this. Uh my
my goal is to close this round uh once
the Fed starts dropping rates because 5%
is just going to be too high at that
point. So probably September 17th. Uh so
I I'll say maybe, right? Cuz it's it's
not just up to me. It's up to the board
of directors, obviously. But the board
of directors did just approve
uh we just approved our uh AI spending
uh and investment plans uh for our SAS
biz uh just last week. We did uh and our
plan is uh in Q4 to have uh our limited
beta and wider release uh into 2026
uh for agents uh and investors. And we
actually really want to target exactly
this market right here. And so we're
really excited about it because, you
know, we look at, for example, just the
numbers that we have in the community
here. Uh, you know, we like the Meet
Kevin community. Uh, we know we have uh
over, you know, 4,000 I think it's
actually like 3,700 something like that.
Uh, real estate investor uh course
members, you know, something. I can't
remember exactly what it is, but it's uh
plus uh over, you know, um I can't I
think it's like 1,800 agents, maybe even
more, right? So, like we look at this
community as as people who would be so
perfect to be as, you know, part of our
beta testers and then obviously
eventually we'll expand this into uh
software biz. But what what we don't
want to do is is no Elon. Uh you know so
this is actually really critical and
this is something the board uh and I
spoke about in depth. So something that
we want to provide to investors when it
comes to house hack is is we just want
to give people the confidence that you
know no politics no politics uh not
anytime soon. you know, obviously can't
make a guarantee like forever, but
now is not the time to integrate
politics and mess with politics or like
run for governor or something stupid.
Like now is the time to focus. And so
the focus for house hack right now uh
needs to be really really clear and
simple. and that is September uh to
December uh we'll probably buy, you
know, $10 million of real estate uh
holding about $4 million uh of real
estate for builds or reserve. That's the
tentative plan. So, we'll be buying
wedge deals. You know, we think what we
do is when we buy deals, we think we
once we fix them up, we're up 20% on
them is usually what we think. Uh so uh
we could see a $2 million, you know,
plus or minus boost from those wedges
this year, which is great.
Uh this is on top of the, you know, uh
the assets that we already have. Uh all
of our tenants are paying, you know, uh
all tenants current uh and paying
timely.
Uh and we're fully occupied, which is
great. Uh there's there's really you
know there are no issues here. The uh
gross margin
uh is about for a property is about 32%
expense. So gross margin I guess would
be 68%.
Which is roughly in line. Usually you
see about 65% gross margin. Uh which is
great. Uh this is fantastic. We're
reducing our GNA as well. Uh which is
great. reducing GNA uh by decreasing uh
some uh internal costs and open to uh
open to interns. Again, uh if you're
interested, I did put out a post on X
and uh one of them is for our
contracting AI team and the others would
be in-house, but uh some of them could
also just be for meet Kevin, so it's
separate, but uh you know, hiring AI
talent. We've got a good contracting
team already for our AI talent. Uh,
which is great because it gives us a lot
of flexibility and we're doing some
great things. Uh, legal, uh, if you get
a bar license, California, Texas,
Florida, you could be a new graduate,
uh, or you could have experience.
Doesn't matter. Just follow the
instructions, send us your application.
We're always hardworking, non-entitled
badass, as I always like to say. But,
uh, we think we're very, very efficient
with our expenses. And uh that's that's
a big deal for us because you know
recession or not we always like to say
hey you want to be prepared and be in
the best case pol uh best best position
with the company right so no politics uh
now when I say no Elon strategy as well
I want uh investors in house hack to
know that about 5% like I'll I'll put it
this way uh maybe five to 10%
uh dedication towards uh or or I should
say spend not dedication because
dedication would be more spend on AI. Uh
I uh you know we the board and I board
and Kevin do not want to pull an Elon
where you know one year Elon says we're
going to manufacture 20 million
vehicles. Uh then a few years later, JK,
we're going all in on robo taxis and
Optimus robots and we need a whole new
plan. Like that to me is is a bad
strategy.
You know, other people might disagree
and say, "No, this is great. This is
what Elon should be doing. He's
pivoting." I I don't think like
Houseack will not make that kind of
pivot. Let's put it that way, right? So
that's why we think if we put we can put
a lot of our efforts in but we don't
want to spend more than like 5 to 10% of
our capital on artificial intelligence
uh because we got to prove our model
first right so we're going to we're
going to show the AI SAS that we have
we'll we'll do our limited beta in Q4
probably you know course members and uh
you know anybody who signed up at
mekevin.com you guys will hear about it
first and then we'll like beta test with
you all and and the goal is to get to a
wider release in 2026 or so. The cool
thing about this is uh it'll really
allow us to be sort of data dependent.
Uh and and we'll see because if you know
let's say we you know we can uh license
our product for $199 a month and you
know through through YouTube um
we get to 5,000 subscribers, right?
Let's just say if this product is so
amazing or whatever, right? I mean, if
you think about it, that works out to
like $2,400 a year, which if you get one
wedge deal with this this sort of
product that makes you $100,000, $2,400
is cheap. It's like a discount. This
might honestly be too low. But if you go
199* 5,000* 12 uh you know that works
out to
uh about 11. Oh well I could I guess I
could have just hit equal.
That's awesome. AI.
It's really just a calculator built into
the notepad, I guess. But uh yeah, I
mean that's that would be $11 million of
annual recurring revenue. You have to
understand that is like that would like
uh you know 5x the gross you know our
our income now
uh which is like insane.
So like what SAS could do for house hack
is insane. uh you know that on a
valuation basis
uh you know people say companies will
trade uh for 20x ARR you know 20x ARR
is what is that $238 million
uh it's insane so like there's this
really big opportunity we think with
house hack right now and and so this is
why we we're going to end the fund raise
you know probably before uh this is why
we want to probably end the fund raise
before
uh we really go wide with our uh AI
product. We we we don't know if it'll
catch on, but we think the potential is
really high with with what we've built
because we've been building our, you
know, sort of we called it big data
before it was AI. We've been building
this out since 2018, since before
Houseachack even existed. Uh and so it's
it's going to be really really exciting.
uh and and we think we can, you know,
easily uh grow this, you know, just
through through, you know, the smart
investor people who watch the channel.
So, we're really excited about that. And
we think that like we think the downside
is really limited because again, we're
not going to pull like this Elon all-in
strategy and pivot. So you the way you
got to look at house hack is look at
house hack as you know $75 million in
assets and uh right now
maybe we'll spend 500k on AI you know m
maybe you know plus or minus so honestly
5 to 10 is is is wrong it's probably
more like you know 1% on AI spend for
now until we prove it right so 5 to 10%
% would be more like if we really
started rolling right so if the AI takes
off if the AI really takes off and this
would be like annual right uh as we
prove it if the AI really takes off sure
5 to 10% is reasonable to blow it up but
what we plan to do is any profit from AI
which the margins uh we think will be
insanely good.
Uh, we'll just dump into buying more
real estate. So, basically, think about
it like this. You know, se Howac is
basically a $75 million asset company.
Uh, and you know, obviously we've got
some bond debt in there, but we have no
bank debt, right? No bank debt. We take
this, we we take our IP
and launch uh, you know, an AI SAS biz
for real estate.
and uh any profits from this back into
real estate mostly, you know, I I call
it like 90% back into real estate. So,
we get to take like take this high cash
flow uh high margin AI SAS and throw it
into a high capital intense real estate
investment. But that also then creates
tax benefits, right? which also
generates uh sick tax benefits. Uh both
R&D expensing for AI and uh real estate
accelerated depreciation which is huge
for real estate uh you know for well
frankly for investors in house.
So you know if we pull this off
obviously the buck 40 per share uh that
house hack was uh valued off uh valued
as you know basically just as a real
estate holding company in aug 2024 will
look and that was the low end
uh which was uh towards the lower end uh
of the range of 1.4 four to 2x book
uh is going to look tiny,
but this is a risk, right? Like, but we
don't know if we can pull it off. So,
we're going to try, but that's like for
us, this is a pretty incredible Q2
update because it really it it shows
that we've got some really amazing
things going on here. Uh, you know,
again, we're like EBA profitable. We're
cutting even more GNA expenses. Now,
we're putting more into R&D, though. So,
we are putting some more expense uh into
R&D, which is reasonable. Uh we think
this Q4 limited beta, you know, people
will tell us right away if if they like
this. Like, you'll tell us. So, if
you're, you know, course member, you'll
be like, "Oh, yeah, this is awesome."
You know, or not. And and if it's not,
we'll try to make it better and we think
it's awesome. And uh and then if we can
make it better and it works, great. we
think there's huge potential profit in
and we'll just throw all the money back
into real estate. Well, 90% of it. Uh
that's the goal, right? I maybe
shouldn't use percentages because
obviously these numbers can change. This
is just sort of like a live like non
there's no like script here. I'm just
like verbally trying to share
information uh with with investors. Uh
we also um we we had a really expensive
uh like
I think the easiest way to just put this
is is we had someone in house uh that
did legal work that was very expensive.
We don't need them. We we just don't
have the need for them. So we are saving
a crapload of money um by not having
that. Uh, so and and we'll be
contracting or or working, you know,
with with interns because we we just
always want to value sort of like the
value we're getting for what we're
paying. And I think we were paying way
too much. Uh, so this is good. Like this
is always where Yeah. As the CEO, my job
is to go through and make sure like
we're not wasting money and we're
cutting expenses everywhere we can. Like
this sounds crazy, but I'm like, "All
right, House Hack is not getting enough
benefits from this MX Platinum. we are
going to be downgrading this before our
renewal. These fees are too much. And so
like but I think that's really important
for a business to stay in business is
you look at all of the little expenses.
But then I mean this Wall Street Journal
article is is like right on. It's
basically this idea that there's there's
money to be made on real estate and this
is what house does but there's no
shortage of money to be made and that's
why we think this this AI is really
exciting. So, uh, you know, somebody in
the chat's here saying, "Any update on
how Sahil funding?" So, you know, as far
as as far as lending, all right, this is
this is kind of like way down down the
road kind of stuff in my opinion. Uh, so
I'd say Q4 buy homes and beta AI, Q1
wide release AI.
um 2026
maybe we'll look into
uh some you know broker dealer and uh
MLO heliloc lending ideas but uh these
will be delayed until AI uh proves
itself because if AI takes off I'm not
touching uh these ideas because like why
would I like we're just going to throw
more money at AI rather than do that,
right? Like this is this is like down
the road kind of stuff. Doesn't matter
right now. It's like buy homes and beta
the AI. Okay, a very very simple
business. Okay, we buy homes with our
AI. We have bought homes with our AI. We
think other people will benefit from it.
So, we want to potentially license it.
We'll see how it goes. Uh and again, you
know, potentially
uh TBD,
uh September 17th close, uh fund raise,
TBD, TBD, TBD, maybe, I don't know. Uh
again, if you, you know, want to invest
or you want to increase your investment
into Houseack, a lot of people have been
emailing us for that. Remember, you
could just go to house hack.com and you
could click invest.
Uh and then if you're an accredited
investor, great. Just hit yes. If you
have questions, you can email us at
irir@houseockack.com.
If you're not accredited, hit no and
then you can invest. Uh you could read
the offering circular, you know,
whatever. You could read about what we
do. These are actual properties, by the
way. Like these are actual house hack
renovations. That is an actual building
house hack owns. Like the the thing
that's unique about us is we're like in
my opinion of course like like I don't
see us as some like flash in the pan
like AI startup or some you know BS or
whatever that's here today gone
tomorrow. Like we actually have about
$75 million in assets and and very
little bond debt with no bank debt. Like
this is great. So like we have such
solid foundations in my opinion. Like
you'd really have to try to screw it up,
you know? So, uh, yeah. What's how house
extra cash doing right now? Money
markets right now, baby. Or short-term
treasuries like 3 to six months, right?
But that's because we're just we're
getting ready to go shopping in Q4. I
don't like buying in Q1 and Q2. I I
don't want to be part of the spring
rush. So, I I don't do that, right? Uh
so
uh Kevin I think you said this but
starting the testing of the software
with course members, real estate
investors and agents to get early
feedback to build from it. That pool can
give valuable feedback. That's exactly
what we're going to do. Totally right.
Uh
so yeah, we've already spent a lot like
building out our AI. So that's why like
some people are like, "Oh, is is that
enough that you're spending on AI?" We
don't need to spend more than this. We
don't need to spend more than this. It's
like we already have a really good AI
product. We don't because we're not
building something off the ground. Uh so
it's it's actually pretty impressive I
think what we're what we're able to do.
Uh do you only do single family? Oh, I
mean I I just showed you we had this is
a this is an apartment beautiful
apartment building. We've got a few
beautiful apartment buildings but uh
this winter we will only be buying
single families. Yeah. Uh somebody says
jet fuel expenses. Nope. Houseach has
paid $0 for any aircraft expenses and
that remains to be true and will remain
to be true for as long as I can tell. Uh
so let's see here. Okay, so I answered
that. I like your plans, Kev. So glad to
be a first round investor. Oh, thank you
for saying that. Is this the house hack
master plan? Well, I mean like this is
the same plan that we've had from day
one, right? Like if you go back to 2022,
it was buy houses and by the way, we've
got some cool AI. Maybe one day we'll
license it in the future. Like we've
literally done everything we said we
would do
I is is what we have done. Like in 22 we
promised we're going to go buy homes in
Q3, Q4 of 2023. It's exactly what we
did. We said we had in-house AI. Maybe
we'll license the future. It's exactly
what we're doing right now. Uh, you
know, last year we're like, hey, we'll
go buy again Q3, Q4 of 2025. That's
exactly what we're doing. Uh, we said we
would buy a bunch of homes, stabilize
them, and that's exactly what we've
done. The tenants are current. Uh,
tenants are timely. Like, we have a
stable portfolio. Uh, we're I think
we're in an awesome spot. Like, we don't
need to blow uh money, and that's not
what we're going to do. Would Houseach
use Robin Hood's token feature before
going public?
No. Uh, I mean I I don't have
anticipations of that right now. Uh, it
I Yeah, I I I don't I mean I don't know.
I like how am I supposed to answer that
right now? We're we're not in a place to
even think about that. Uh, so
section 8's great, you know, as long as
the tenant the underlying tenant uh uh
is is is properly qualified. Does
Houseack invest in commercial real
estate? Well, I I want to say no, but
technically we do rent to one restaurant
uh because it's built into our apartment
building. Uh but beyond that, no. So,
yeah. Yeah, good question though. Good
question. So,
yeah, there you go. So, I I appreciate
you listening in on uh on a little house
hack update here. Again, if you ever
have questions, I think the one of the
best ways to ask questions, frankly, is
just come to these live streams that we
do uh on sort of a daily basis, you
know, pretty much live almost every
single day. You're always welcome to ask
questions. It's not like you have to pay
to ask a question, right? So, just ask
questions. Usually, I love answering the
house questions. Uh so
um
you know then um if you want to
email us you could also do that. It's IR
like investor relations at houseack.com.
So we think it's pretty straightforward.
Uh as always though you know like you
have to say it but it's obvious every
investment has risk. You know read the
offering circular or the ppm depending
on if you're accredited or nonacredited.
And uh there you go. There you have Why
not advertise these things that you told
us here? I feel like nobody else knows
about this.
>> We'll we'll try a little advertising and
see how it goes.
>> Congratulations, man. You have done so
much. People love you. People look up to
you.
>> Kevin Praath there, financial analyst
and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always great
to get your take.
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