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The Housing Market is Flipping my Startup!

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FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

Nothing like a great article from the

0:02

Wall Street Journal to talk about the

0:04

real estate market and provide a house

0:06

hack a Q2 update. Uh EBIT Profitel still

0:10

doing great cutting costs, cutting GNA

0:12

expenses, but now investing more into

0:14

R&D. Why? Because we expect in Q4 or Q1

0:19

we are going to release uh a beta of our

0:22

software as a service real estate AI

0:25

app. We actually think it'll be the uh

0:27

first ever uh that uh provides AI to

0:31

both investors and real estate agents.

0:33

And really, it's just product that we

0:36

use internally anyway. And we figure,

0:38

hey, the real estate market is a, you

0:40

know, 4 to5 trillion market. Why not

0:44

license this product that we use to

0:46

other buyers or agents across the

0:49

country when, you know, we can't go shop

0:52

in every single market. In fact, that's

0:55

really what this Wall Street Journal

0:56

article refers to is this article talks

0:59

about this breakdown of people who are

1:02

buying single family rental properties

1:05

and how much money there is to be made

1:07

in buying, renting out and hodling

1:10

essentially these single family homes.

1:12

And what you find is it's not private

1:14

equity with, you know, thousands of

1:16

properties and billions of dollars. uh

1:19

it's actually more investors with three

1:21

to nine properties that dominate the

1:23

market. You know, house hack would be

1:25

more in this sort of blue territory over

1:27

here, but nowhere near this sort of like

1:30

private equity level. But this idea of

1:32

investors buying homes, total investor

1:35

purchases of single family homes now

1:36

around 30% nationwide, some of it is

1:39

being driven by big discounts from home

1:42

builders like Lenar and Dr. Horton who

1:45

are really trying to clear inventory. Uh

1:48

in fact, you're finding that now is this

1:50

fantastic time for smaller investors to

1:52

buy homes. And so that's what this Wall

1:54

Street Journal article is about. Small

1:56

investors who own fewer than 100 homes

1:58

are securing more discounts and

2:00

financial incentives from sellers eager

2:02

to close deals quickly as inventory

2:05

piles up as traditional home buyers sit

2:07

on the sidelines. This is a huge

2:10

advantage to a house hack and it's

2:13

exactly in line with our strategy. Uh

2:16

small investors are more active because

2:17

they see a solid business and buying,

2:19

fixing up and renting out single

2:20

families. There's no shortage of uh of

2:24

deals out there. We find uh smaller

2:26

firms uh in in you know they're talking

2:28

about the Strand in South Carolina uh

2:31

taking on more risk. We personally don't

2:33

think we take on a lot of risk at all.

2:35

and we'll talk about our uh AI and R&D

2:37

spend at the moment, but uh you're

2:39

seeing a lot of deals in Texas and

2:40

Florida because of the over supply, the

2:43

overbuilding. We've been warning about

2:44

that since 2022. We saw that happen. So,

2:47

not a surprise at all. Here are the

2:49

discounts uh from inventory from LAR and

2:52

Dr. Horton. So, certain parts of the

2:54

country certainly overs supplied whereas

2:57

other parts of the country, you still

2:58

look at California for example, very

3:00

under supplied still and underbuilt. Uh

3:03

but uh in line with this uh article, we

3:06

may as well give sort of a quick road

3:08

mapap of what our uh our intentions and

3:11

game plan uh game plans are and how

3:13

they're evolving for house hack. Uh so

3:17

uh remember that when we started uh

3:19

house hack, which remember you can

3:21

invest in house hack, it's uh open to

3:23

nonacredited investors. Uh you could go

3:26

to househack.com and uh read the

3:28

paperwork there, read the disclosures,

3:30

the ppm, the offering circular, right?

3:32

Every investment has risk. Uh but we we

3:34

still have our 5% bond round open. Uh

3:38

but this is convertible uh into stock uh

3:42

at a buck 40 a share uh as uh as as soon

3:46

as as soon as 2027 or later. The goal is

3:51

to IPO 2028 to 20, you know, 30

3:55

depending obviously if we're like in a

3:56

big recession during this time. We'll

3:58

we'll delay it a bit, but that's when

3:59

our goal IPO is. That's still on track.

4:01

This is the round. The reason we're

4:03

structuring, by the way, the current

4:04

offering as a bond, a convertible bond,

4:07

is because you basically you get

4:09

preference on the company. Bond holders

4:11

always get preference over equity

4:13

holders. You get a 5% yield paid to you

4:16

monthly, right? So, it's an annual yield

4:18

paid monthly. Uh, and it converts into

4:21

stock with no premium. So, like we

4:23

actually think this valuation is pretty

4:25

low. We will probably close this. Uh my

4:29

my goal is to close this round uh once

4:33

the Fed starts dropping rates because 5%

4:36

is just going to be too high at that

4:37

point. So probably September 17th. Uh so

4:43

I I'll say maybe, right? Cuz it's it's

4:45

not just up to me. It's up to the board

4:47

of directors, obviously. But the board

4:50

of directors did just approve

4:53

uh we just approved our uh AI spending

4:56

uh and investment plans uh for our SAS

4:59

biz uh just last week. We did uh and our

5:03

plan is uh in Q4 to have uh our limited

5:08

beta and wider release uh into 2026

5:13

uh for agents uh and investors. And we

5:15

actually really want to target exactly

5:19

this market right here. And so we're

5:21

really excited about it because, you

5:23

know, we look at, for example, just the

5:25

numbers that we have in the community

5:27

here. Uh, you know, we like the Meet

5:30

Kevin community. Uh, we know we have uh

5:34

over, you know, 4,000 I think it's

5:36

actually like 3,700 something like that.

5:39

Uh, real estate investor uh course

5:42

members, you know, something. I can't

5:44

remember exactly what it is, but it's uh

5:47

plus uh over, you know, um I can't I

5:50

think it's like 1,800 agents, maybe even

5:53

more, right? So, like we look at this

5:55

community as as people who would be so

5:59

perfect to be as, you know, part of our

6:01

beta testers and then obviously

6:02

eventually we'll expand this into uh

6:05

software biz. But what what we don't

6:07

want to do is is no Elon. Uh you know so

6:11

this is actually really critical and

6:14

this is something the board uh and I

6:16

spoke about in depth. So something that

6:18

we want to provide to investors when it

6:20

comes to house hack is is we just want

6:22

to give people the confidence that you

6:25

know no politics no politics uh not

6:29

anytime soon. you know, obviously can't

6:31

make a guarantee like forever, but

6:34

now is not the time to integrate

6:36

politics and mess with politics or like

6:38

run for governor or something stupid.

6:40

Like now is the time to focus. And so

6:42

the focus for house hack right now uh

6:45

needs to be really really clear and

6:47

simple. and that is September uh to

6:51

December uh we'll probably buy, you

6:55

know, $10 million of real estate uh

6:57

holding about $4 million uh of real

7:00

estate for builds or reserve. That's the

7:04

tentative plan. So, we'll be buying

7:06

wedge deals. You know, we think what we

7:09

do is when we buy deals, we think we

7:11

once we fix them up, we're up 20% on

7:13

them is usually what we think. Uh so uh

7:16

we could see a $2 million, you know,

7:19

plus or minus boost from those wedges

7:22

this year, which is great.

7:25

Uh this is on top of the, you know, uh

7:27

the assets that we already have. Uh all

7:30

of our tenants are paying, you know, uh

7:32

all tenants current uh and paying

7:35

timely.

7:37

Uh and we're fully occupied, which is

7:40

great. Uh there's there's really you

7:43

know there are no issues here. The uh

7:45

gross margin

7:47

uh is about for a property is about 32%

7:51

expense. So gross margin I guess would

7:54

be 68%.

7:57

Which is roughly in line. Usually you

7:58

see about 65% gross margin. Uh which is

8:02

great. Uh this is fantastic. We're

8:03

reducing our GNA as well. Uh which is

8:06

great. reducing GNA uh by decreasing uh

8:11

some uh internal costs and open to uh

8:14

open to interns. Again, uh if you're

8:17

interested, I did put out a post on X

8:20

and uh one of them is for our

8:23

contracting AI team and the others would

8:27

be in-house, but uh some of them could

8:29

also just be for meet Kevin, so it's

8:30

separate, but uh you know, hiring AI

8:33

talent. We've got a good contracting

8:36

team already for our AI talent. Uh,

8:38

which is great because it gives us a lot

8:40

of flexibility and we're doing some

8:41

great things. Uh, legal, uh, if you get

8:44

a bar license, California, Texas,

8:46

Florida, you could be a new graduate,

8:48

uh, or you could have experience.

8:49

Doesn't matter. Just follow the

8:50

instructions, send us your application.

8:52

We're always hardworking, non-entitled

8:55

badass, as I always like to say. But,

8:58

uh, we think we're very, very efficient

8:59

with our expenses. And uh that's that's

9:01

a big deal for us because you know

9:03

recession or not we always like to say

9:05

hey you want to be prepared and be in

9:07

the best case pol uh best best position

9:10

with the company right so no politics uh

9:13

now when I say no Elon strategy as well

9:15

I want uh investors in house hack to

9:18

know that about 5% like I'll I'll put it

9:21

this way uh maybe five to 10%

9:26

uh dedication towards uh or or I should

9:29

say spend not dedication because

9:31

dedication would be more spend on AI. Uh

9:35

I uh you know we the board and I board

9:39

and Kevin do not want to pull an Elon

9:43

where you know one year Elon says we're

9:47

going to manufacture 20 million

9:49

vehicles. Uh then a few years later, JK,

9:55

we're going all in on robo taxis and

9:59

Optimus robots and we need a whole new

10:01

plan. Like that to me is is a bad

10:06

strategy.

10:08

You know, other people might disagree

10:09

and say, "No, this is great. This is

10:10

what Elon should be doing. He's

10:12

pivoting." I I don't think like

10:15

Houseack will not make that kind of

10:18

pivot. Let's put it that way, right? So

10:21

that's why we think if we put we can put

10:23

a lot of our efforts in but we don't

10:25

want to spend more than like 5 to 10% of

10:27

our capital on artificial intelligence

10:29

uh because we got to prove our model

10:31

first right so we're going to we're

10:34

going to show the AI SAS that we have

10:37

we'll we'll do our limited beta in Q4

10:40

probably you know course members and uh

10:42

you know anybody who signed up at

10:43

mekevin.com you guys will hear about it

10:45

first and then we'll like beta test with

10:47

you all and and the goal is to get to a

10:49

wider release in 2026 or so. The cool

10:52

thing about this is uh it'll really

10:55

allow us to be sort of data dependent.

10:57

Uh and and we'll see because if you know

11:01

let's say we you know we can uh license

11:05

our product for $199 a month and you

11:10

know through through YouTube um

11:14

we get to 5,000 subscribers, right?

11:18

Let's just say if this product is so

11:20

amazing or whatever, right? I mean, if

11:22

you think about it, that works out to

11:23

like $2,400 a year, which if you get one

11:27

wedge deal with this this sort of

11:29

product that makes you $100,000, $2,400

11:33

is cheap. It's like a discount. This

11:35

might honestly be too low. But if you go

11:38

199* 5,000* 12 uh you know that works

11:43

out to

11:46

uh about 11. Oh well I could I guess I

11:50

could have just hit equal.

11:52

That's awesome. AI.

11:55

It's really just a calculator built into

11:57

the notepad, I guess. But uh yeah, I

12:00

mean that's that would be $11 million of

12:03

annual recurring revenue. You have to

12:06

understand that is like that would like

12:10

uh you know 5x the gross you know our

12:14

our income now

12:16

uh which is like insane.

12:19

So like what SAS could do for house hack

12:22

is insane. uh you know that on a

12:25

valuation basis

12:27

uh you know people say companies will

12:30

trade uh for 20x ARR you know 20x ARR

12:36

is what is that $238 million

12:40

uh it's insane so like there's this

12:43

really big opportunity we think with

12:45

house hack right now and and so this is

12:47

why we we're going to end the fund raise

12:49

you know probably before uh this is why

12:52

we want to probably end the fund raise

12:55

before

12:57

uh we really go wide with our uh AI

13:00

product. We we we don't know if it'll

13:03

catch on, but we think the potential is

13:05

really high with with what we've built

13:08

because we've been building our, you

13:09

know, sort of we called it big data

13:11

before it was AI. We've been building

13:13

this out since 2018, since before

13:15

Houseachack even existed. Uh and so it's

13:18

it's going to be really really exciting.

13:21

uh and and we think we can, you know,

13:23

easily uh grow this, you know, just

13:26

through through, you know, the smart

13:27

investor people who watch the channel.

13:30

So, we're really excited about that. And

13:31

we think that like we think the downside

13:34

is really limited because again, we're

13:36

not going to pull like this Elon all-in

13:38

strategy and pivot. So you the way you

13:40

got to look at house hack is look at

13:43

house hack as you know $75 million in

13:46

assets and uh right now

13:50

maybe we'll spend 500k on AI you know m

13:55

maybe you know plus or minus so honestly

13:58

5 to 10 is is is wrong it's probably

14:02

more like you know 1% on AI spend for

14:06

now until we prove it right so 5 to 10%

14:09

% would be more like if we really

14:11

started rolling right so if the AI takes

14:16

off if the AI really takes off and this

14:18

would be like annual right uh as we

14:21

prove it if the AI really takes off sure

14:24

5 to 10% is reasonable to blow it up but

14:29

what we plan to do is any profit from AI

14:34

which the margins uh we think will be

14:38

insanely good.

14:40

Uh, we'll just dump into buying more

14:43

real estate. So, basically, think about

14:45

it like this. You know, se Howac is

14:48

basically a $75 million asset company.

14:52

Uh, and you know, obviously we've got

14:55

some bond debt in there, but we have no

14:56

bank debt, right? No bank debt. We take

14:59

this, we we take our IP

15:03

and launch uh, you know, an AI SAS biz

15:06

for real estate.

15:08

and uh any profits from this back into

15:12

real estate mostly, you know, I I call

15:15

it like 90% back into real estate. So,

15:19

we get to take like take this high cash

15:21

flow uh high margin AI SAS and throw it

15:26

into a high capital intense real estate

15:31

investment. But that also then creates

15:33

tax benefits, right? which also

15:35

generates uh sick tax benefits. Uh both

15:39

R&D expensing for AI and uh real estate

15:45

accelerated depreciation which is huge

15:49

for real estate uh you know for well

15:52

frankly for investors in house.

15:55

So you know if we pull this off

16:00

obviously the buck 40 per share uh that

16:04

house hack was uh valued off uh valued

16:08

as you know basically just as a real

16:11

estate holding company in aug 2024 will

16:15

look and that was the low end

16:18

uh which was uh towards the lower end uh

16:22

of the range of 1.4 four to 2x book

16:27

uh is going to look tiny,

16:32

but this is a risk, right? Like, but we

16:35

don't know if we can pull it off. So,

16:37

we're going to try, but that's like for

16:39

us, this is a pretty incredible Q2

16:42

update because it really it it shows

16:45

that we've got some really amazing

16:47

things going on here. Uh, you know,

16:49

again, we're like EBA profitable. We're

16:52

cutting even more GNA expenses. Now,

16:55

we're putting more into R&D, though. So,

16:57

we are putting some more expense uh into

17:00

R&D, which is reasonable. Uh we think

17:02

this Q4 limited beta, you know, people

17:05

will tell us right away if if they like

17:07

this. Like, you'll tell us. So, if

17:09

you're, you know, course member, you'll

17:10

be like, "Oh, yeah, this is awesome."

17:12

You know, or not. And and if it's not,

17:14

we'll try to make it better and we think

17:17

it's awesome. And uh and then if we can

17:20

make it better and it works, great. we

17:21

think there's huge potential profit in

17:23

and we'll just throw all the money back

17:24

into real estate. Well, 90% of it. Uh

17:26

that's the goal, right? I maybe

17:27

shouldn't use percentages because

17:29

obviously these numbers can change. This

17:30

is just sort of like a live like non

17:34

there's no like script here. I'm just

17:36

like verbally trying to share

17:38

information uh with with investors. Uh

17:42

we also um we we had a really expensive

17:47

uh like

17:49

I think the easiest way to just put this

17:51

is is we had someone in house uh that

17:54

did legal work that was very expensive.

17:57

We don't need them. We we just don't

17:59

have the need for them. So we are saving

18:02

a crapload of money um by not having

18:06

that. Uh, so and and we'll be

18:08

contracting or or working, you know,

18:10

with with interns because we we just

18:12

always want to value sort of like the

18:14

value we're getting for what we're

18:15

paying. And I think we were paying way

18:18

too much. Uh, so this is good. Like this

18:20

is always where Yeah. As the CEO, my job

18:23

is to go through and make sure like

18:25

we're not wasting money and we're

18:27

cutting expenses everywhere we can. Like

18:29

this sounds crazy, but I'm like, "All

18:31

right, House Hack is not getting enough

18:33

benefits from this MX Platinum. we are

18:36

going to be downgrading this before our

18:38

renewal. These fees are too much. And so

18:40

like but I think that's really important

18:41

for a business to stay in business is

18:43

you look at all of the little expenses.

18:46

But then I mean this Wall Street Journal

18:47

article is is like right on. It's

18:50

basically this idea that there's there's

18:53

money to be made on real estate and this

18:54

is what house does but there's no

18:56

shortage of money to be made and that's

18:58

why we think this this AI is really

19:01

exciting. So, uh, you know, somebody in

19:05

the chat's here saying, "Any update on

19:07

how Sahil funding?" So, you know, as far

19:10

as as far as lending, all right, this is

19:13

this is kind of like way down down the

19:15

road kind of stuff in my opinion. Uh, so

19:20

I'd say Q4 buy homes and beta AI, Q1

19:26

wide release AI.

19:29

um 2026

19:31

maybe we'll look into

19:34

uh some you know broker dealer and uh

19:39

MLO heliloc lending ideas but uh these

19:46

will be delayed until AI uh proves

19:50

itself because if AI takes off I'm not

19:54

touching uh these ideas because like why

19:58

would I like we're just going to throw

20:00

more money at AI rather than do that,

20:02

right? Like this is this is like down

20:05

the road kind of stuff. Doesn't matter

20:08

right now. It's like buy homes and beta

20:11

the AI. Okay, a very very simple

20:13

business. Okay, we buy homes with our

20:16

AI. We have bought homes with our AI. We

20:18

think other people will benefit from it.

20:19

So, we want to potentially license it.

20:21

We'll see how it goes. Uh and again, you

20:25

know, potentially

20:28

uh TBD,

20:30

uh September 17th close, uh fund raise,

20:33

TBD, TBD, TBD, maybe, I don't know. Uh

20:37

again, if you, you know, want to invest

20:39

or you want to increase your investment

20:41

into Houseack, a lot of people have been

20:43

emailing us for that. Remember, you

20:44

could just go to house hack.com and you

20:46

could click invest.

20:48

Uh and then if you're an accredited

20:50

investor, great. Just hit yes. If you

20:52

have questions, you can email us at

20:54

irir@houseockack.com.

20:55

If you're not accredited, hit no and

20:58

then you can invest. Uh you could read

20:59

the offering circular, you know,

21:01

whatever. You could read about what we

21:03

do. These are actual properties, by the

21:05

way. Like these are actual house hack

21:07

renovations. That is an actual building

21:09

house hack owns. Like the the thing

21:11

that's unique about us is we're like in

21:14

my opinion of course like like I don't

21:17

see us as some like flash in the pan

21:19

like AI startup or some you know BS or

21:22

whatever that's here today gone

21:23

tomorrow. Like we actually have about

21:26

$75 million in assets and and very

21:29

little bond debt with no bank debt. Like

21:31

this is great. So like we have such

21:33

solid foundations in my opinion. Like

21:36

you'd really have to try to screw it up,

21:39

you know? So, uh, yeah. What's how house

21:43

extra cash doing right now? Money

21:45

markets right now, baby. Or short-term

21:47

treasuries like 3 to six months, right?

21:49

But that's because we're just we're

21:51

getting ready to go shopping in Q4. I

21:53

don't like buying in Q1 and Q2. I I

21:56

don't want to be part of the spring

21:57

rush. So, I I don't do that, right? Uh

22:00

so

22:02

uh Kevin I think you said this but

22:04

starting the testing of the software

22:06

with course members, real estate

22:07

investors and agents to get early

22:08

feedback to build from it. That pool can

22:10

give valuable feedback. That's exactly

22:11

what we're going to do. Totally right.

22:14

Uh

22:16

so yeah, we've already spent a lot like

22:18

building out our AI. So that's why like

22:21

some people are like, "Oh, is is that

22:22

enough that you're spending on AI?" We

22:24

don't need to spend more than this. We

22:26

don't need to spend more than this. It's

22:27

like we already have a really good AI

22:29

product. We don't because we're not

22:30

building something off the ground. Uh so

22:33

it's it's actually pretty impressive I

22:35

think what we're what we're able to do.

22:37

Uh do you only do single family? Oh, I

22:39

mean I I just showed you we had this is

22:40

a this is an apartment beautiful

22:42

apartment building. We've got a few

22:43

beautiful apartment buildings but uh

22:45

this winter we will only be buying

22:47

single families. Yeah. Uh somebody says

22:51

jet fuel expenses. Nope. Houseach has

22:53

paid $0 for any aircraft expenses and

22:57

that remains to be true and will remain

22:59

to be true for as long as I can tell. Uh

23:03

so let's see here. Okay, so I answered

23:06

that. I like your plans, Kev. So glad to

23:08

be a first round investor. Oh, thank you

23:09

for saying that. Is this the house hack

23:11

master plan? Well, I mean like this is

23:13

the same plan that we've had from day

23:15

one, right? Like if you go back to 2022,

23:18

it was buy houses and by the way, we've

23:20

got some cool AI. Maybe one day we'll

23:22

license it in the future. Like we've

23:25

literally done everything we said we

23:27

would do

23:29

I is is what we have done. Like in 22 we

23:32

promised we're going to go buy homes in

23:34

Q3, Q4 of 2023. It's exactly what we

23:37

did. We said we had in-house AI. Maybe

23:39

we'll license the future. It's exactly

23:41

what we're doing right now. Uh, you

23:42

know, last year we're like, hey, we'll

23:44

go buy again Q3, Q4 of 2025. That's

23:47

exactly what we're doing. Uh, we said we

23:50

would buy a bunch of homes, stabilize

23:52

them, and that's exactly what we've

23:54

done. The tenants are current. Uh,

23:55

tenants are timely. Like, we have a

23:57

stable portfolio. Uh, we're I think

24:00

we're in an awesome spot. Like, we don't

24:02

need to blow uh money, and that's not

24:05

what we're going to do. Would Houseach

24:07

use Robin Hood's token feature before

24:09

going public?

24:11

No. Uh, I mean I I don't have

24:13

anticipations of that right now. Uh, it

24:15

I Yeah, I I I don't I mean I don't know.

24:18

I like how am I supposed to answer that

24:20

right now? We're we're not in a place to

24:21

even think about that. Uh, so

24:26

section 8's great, you know, as long as

24:29

the tenant the underlying tenant uh uh

24:31

is is is properly qualified. Does

24:34

Houseack invest in commercial real

24:35

estate? Well, I I want to say no, but

24:38

technically we do rent to one restaurant

24:41

uh because it's built into our apartment

24:43

building. Uh but beyond that, no. So,

24:47

yeah. Yeah, good question though. Good

24:50

question. So,

24:54

yeah, there you go. So, I I appreciate

24:57

you listening in on uh on a little house

24:59

hack update here. Again, if you ever

25:01

have questions, I think the one of the

25:03

best ways to ask questions, frankly, is

25:06

just come to these live streams that we

25:07

do uh on sort of a daily basis, you

25:10

know, pretty much live almost every

25:12

single day. You're always welcome to ask

25:14

questions. It's not like you have to pay

25:15

to ask a question, right? So, just ask

25:17

questions. Usually, I love answering the

25:19

house questions. Uh so

25:23

um

25:25

you know then um if you want to

25:30

email us you could also do that. It's IR

25:33

like investor relations at houseack.com.

25:36

So we think it's pretty straightforward.

25:38

Uh as always though you know like you

25:40

have to say it but it's obvious every

25:42

investment has risk. You know read the

25:44

offering circular or the ppm depending

25:45

on if you're accredited or nonacredited.

25:47

And uh there you go. There you have Why

25:50

not advertise these things that you told

25:52

us here? I feel like nobody else knows

25:53

about this.

25:54

>> We'll we'll try a little advertising and

25:55

see how it goes.

25:56

>> Congratulations, man. You have done so

25:58

much. People love you. People look up to

25:59

you.

26:00

>> Kevin Praath there, financial analyst

26:01

and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always great

26:03

to get your take.

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