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The Coming Banking & Economic Collapse: Confronting Ross Gerber.

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0:00

welcome back to another episode of the

0:01

meet Kevin show today we have the honor

0:03

for the first time ever out of like 10

0:06

shows we've done of having Ross Gerber

0:08

in person in studio in the flesh we even

0:12

split a okay we may we don't go into

0:14

that just yet talk about our lunch you

0:16

know so at lunch you mentioned that you

0:20

want to step on Elon what is going on

0:23

with you and Elon oh you're gonna start

0:25

with that yeah you're such a YouTuber

0:27

you know I come in here you know it's

0:29

like I want to want to do an in-person

0:31

show you know it's like in the old days

0:32

you'd go into Studios like NBC or

0:34

whatever and do shows and now because of

0:36

Zoom virtual yeah it's all virtual so

0:38

and then you got the lag right and then

0:40

you're always like staring at a camera

0:42

basically um so I was thank you for

0:44

inviting me I did want to actually see

0:46

you in person today and I actually think

0:48

shows are better when they're in person

0:50

personally um no you know I you know I

0:53

think a lot of people misinterpret like

0:56

my love for Tesla and my dis love of

0:59

what elon's doing right now the whole

1:02

reason I'm upset with Elon is because of

1:05

what he's doing to Tesla because I love

1:07

Tesla see I don't love Elon it's not

1:10

like like I invest in companies and

1:12

Tesla's been one of the best investments

1:14

of my career I love the products and

1:16

services I love the people who work at

1:17

Tesla and I just don't think it's fair

1:19

what he's doing to the people who work

1:21

at Tesla and the brand and I I

1:25

understand that he's obsessed with

1:26

Twitter and that's his passion and he

1:28

thinks his uh approach to the world's

1:31

problems of somehow making the world

1:33

better but it's certainly not making it

1:35

better for Tesla so that's really where

1:37

I'm coming from I'm coming from a Tesla

1:38

shareholder perspective that I want the

1:40

CEO of the company to go out there and

1:42

sell cars every day and I just don't

1:43

think he's doing that so you think it's

1:45

more just that he's almost insulting

1:48

maybe the Tesla investor who's believed

1:50

in him and the company and sort of

1:51

helped him build up Tesla because he's

1:53

distracted yeah I think he's almost like

1:56

shoving the dirt in our face like it's

1:58

it's like not fair to us and that's what

2:00

makes me so angry it's like like we've

2:03

like I've supported Elon for a decade I

2:07

can't even tell you how many interviews

2:09

I've done against people who simply

2:12

wanted Tesla to fail forget Elon they

2:15

wanted Tesla to fail for various reasons

2:18

and Tesla succeeded and and it's done a

2:21

a remarkable job making wonderful

2:23

vehicles and I think that the CEO and

2:25

the founder of the company should spend

2:27

all of his time promoting

2:30

this wonderful brand and Company but he

2:32

is working at Twitter and that is his

2:34

focus and with that comes a lot of I

2:39

would say unnecessary noise distraction

2:42

and unfortunately it's hurt Tesla sales

2:45

and I just don't think there's any doubt

2:46

about it and and because of that it's

2:48

hurt Tesla shareholders and we haven't

2:50

made money in three years and and it

2:52

kind of sucks in a bull market when

2:54

everything's taking off and Tesla's

2:56

actually an AI company it actually

2:59

pretty much invented a modern AI driving

3:01

system and like we're seeing none of the

3:04

benefit of this and and I just think at

3:07

some point that's what leadership is is

3:09

taking responsibility for what's

3:11

happening and Elon needs to take

3:13

responsibility for what's happening I'm

3:14

sorry that's that's where I'm out fting

3:16

you can not like me because of it that's

3:18

fine that's my opinion you can have

3:19

yours it's it's almost like the other

3:21

software companies that have bolted on

3:23

the AI features that are nominal they're

3:26

all doubling or taking off like Sound

3:28

Hound you know like oh I got a double in

3:31

SoundHound I got service now I got this

3:34

I got that everything's up except

3:36

Tesla it was based on AI from the from

3:39

the GetGo do you think elon's time at

3:42

Twitter is has contributed to his losing

3:46

of this pay package in Delaware and

3:48

should he have left Delaware I don't

3:49

think that has anything to do with it

3:51

okay what I think is that corporate

3:54

governance and the way companies run um

3:57

anywhere from HR to

4:00

uh you know compensation in in

4:02

particular compensation at public

4:04

companies is a really you know quite a

4:07

complex and painful process for most

4:09

companies because CEOs are highly paid

4:12

and there's a process that companies go

4:14

through when they create pay packages um

4:17

that's quite intensive and and so what

4:20

happens in Delaware was Tesla only has

4:23

eight people on the board which is very

4:24

uncommon for such a large company

4:26

usually companies have at least 10 12

4:28

you know 13 director at the size but

4:30

then on top of it all of the directors

4:33

have some close relationship with Elon

4:35

and that's not per se as problematic is

4:38

the fact that those directors are

4:40

presenting themselves as independent

4:42

this is what Delaware said and this is

4:44

what I think a lot of people in the

4:46

Tesla Community don't understand it's

4:47

not about what he deserves I actually

4:49

think he deserved it too and I was fine

4:52

with the V package and I voted for it

4:54

what I think is that that

4:56

elon's um how would I say

5:00

this was elon's mistake knowing that if

5:03

he succeeded he would have to defend the

5:05

pay package he should have taken the

5:07

steps from the beginning to have this be

5:10

an independent process but instead he

5:12

brought a pay package to the board and

5:14

the board said that sounds gry you hit

5:16

these numbers no problem but there was

5:18

never any push back or debate ever

5:20

documented and that's just required by

5:22

law so even though the shareholders

5:24

voted for it they didn't go as far as

5:27

they could have in terms of making it

5:28

Ironclad this was negotiated and debated

5:31

Delware saying that the shareholders

5:33

voted on a proxy that was misleading

5:35

because we were voted under the

5:37

assumption that this pay package was

5:38

actually debated upon and approved by

5:41

the board like there was some give and

5:42

take that's how they're arguing that

5:44

voting almost didn't matter because what

5:47

people were voting on was potentially

5:49

misleading 100% that's what they're

5:50

saying is the vote didn't matter because

5:52

you actually didn't have all the

5:54

information Delaware is trying to

5:56

protect the shareholders who would be

5:58

paying Elon $50 billion now why this

6:02

should matter to Tesla shareholders is

6:04

that if the pay package was legit and it

6:09

was completed Elon would owe $25 billion

6:13

in taxes okay and the only place he

6:16

could get that money would be to be

6:18

selling $25 billion worth of Tesla stock

6:21

okay and so people have to understand

6:23

that this is massive delusion to Tesla

6:27

this pay package whether he deserves it

6:28

or not sure so the idea that it didn't

6:31

go through an independent process before

6:33

shareholders voted on it that's the

6:35

issue that's what Delaware is saying so

6:38

it's very simple if Tesla wants to do a

6:40

pay package they need to get board

6:42

members who are truly independent so

6:44

that there's a compensation committee

6:46

that could have pushed back for example

6:48

if they would have said something like

6:49

well Elon the upside on this is 50

6:51

billion that's extreme maybe we should

6:54

change it so the upside to this is 10

6:56

billion mhm and then they negotiate and

6:59

they decide the upside to this is 20

7:00

billion some settle negotiated sett

7:03

right at least they could have gone back

7:05

and said there was a process but they

7:08

can't even do that now here's one of the

7:11

wealthiest supposedly smartest people in

7:12

the world and he doesn't know basic

7:14

corporate governance wow so there's

7:16

nobody to blame for this other than Elon

7:17

building almost the Optics of it so uh

7:20

what about uh the the idea of a new pay

7:23

package now going forward a lot of

7:24

people say maybe he doesn't deserve what

7:26

he had uh because of the performance of

7:29

the stock over the last 3 years what's

7:30

your take of that other people say no

7:32

give him everything he had and give him

7:34

even more at levels where Tesla is now

7:37

where do it go from here

7:39

well Tesla could do two things I think

7:43

to give Elon a massive pay package when

7:45

he basically works at Twitter doesn't

7:47

make any sense for for Tesla

7:50

shareholders what he wants is another

7:53

12% of the company and what I would

7:55

offer him is exactly that I'd say I'll

7:58

pay you 12 % of the company over the

8:00

next 12 years but you must sell Twitter

8:03

oh wow okay you must work at Tesla as

8:06

CEO full-time wow okay and you can have

8:11

1% of the company each year for the next

8:13

12 years until you're 65 years old and

8:16

you retire wow okay you don't even have

8:19

to do anything it'll just vest over 12

8:21

years just sell the damn Twitter just

8:24

sell it so that's been so bad and if he

8:26

never tweets again I would give him

8:28

another three % of the company okay 15%

8:31

just to shut your mouth yeah 100% but

8:33

that's censorship Ross it's not

8:34

censorship it's called capitalism tell

8:36

me about that if you want to give me 3%

8:37

of Tesla I'll never tweet again because

8:40

a lot of people will say well Elon

8:42

should be free to say whatever he wants

8:44

but you take issue isn't he of course

8:46

but you take issue with with him being

8:48

well saying whatever he wants right I'm

8:50

also free to say whatever I want and I

8:52

run a company with lots of my friends

8:54

who work there why do I want them all

8:57

mad at me every day okay you don't want

8:59

to hear everything that I think trust me

9:03

okay and so there is a very deep filter

9:06

system that I that I have actually and

9:08

it's amazing after 10 years of being on

9:10

television I have not screwed this up

9:13

too badly I've made a few mistakes

9:15

everybody makes mistakes it's okay oh no

9:17

I made them oh boy and boy but I learned

9:21

my lessons and but my goal is to build

9:24

my company you know Gerber Kawasaki is

9:25

the most important thing to me and my

9:27

co-workers are the most important thing

9:28

to me I do care about building my

9:31

business and so if I'm doing things that

9:33

are detrimental to the business and my

9:36

friends and co-workers are bringing that

9:37

up to me and I'm trying to be a

9:40

cognizant leader you know I have to take

9:42

this into account it's not about freedom

9:44

of speech it's about capitalism it's

9:46

what's best for my business and some of

9:48

my opinions are not palatable to

9:49

everybody and so it just doesn't need to

9:52

be public well it's almost like what we

9:54

say is what do we not talk about at the

9:56

dinner table politics and religion

9:57

because you can't pleas it's impossible

9:59

to please all sides well I used to they

10:01

used to say that like you never want to

10:03

talk about these things on dates so I

10:04

would always start off with politics

10:06

religions and sex like right off the bat

10:08

you know and you know like let's just

10:10

get this done so we can not waste one

10:12

more minute dating you know oh because

10:14

if you weren't comp compatible you

10:16

wanted to end that right away why waste

10:17

any more

10:18

time so let's just dive into the worst

10:21

things now that's actually funny do you

10:24

think that there's a problem with the

10:26

Jud judicial system and that is it

10:28

possible that elon's pay package was

10:30

taken away by a democratic judge uh same

10:33

thing with Trump losing his $450 million

10:38

uh uh fine appeal by a democratic judge

10:41

is is how impartial can the judicial

10:44

system be if they do have labels as well

10:47

well you can look at it this way you

10:48

know America was founded off you know

10:50

our system and our system has a Judicial

10:52

System that's separate from the

10:53

legislative and the executive and

10:54

there's a reason for that the separation

10:56

of powers allows the judicial system to

10:58

operate fre

10:59

from politics okay so when you're a

11:01

judge whether you're a Democrat or

11:03

Republican it doesn't matter okay you

11:05

you are a you're you have one of the

11:07

three corners of power in the United

11:10

States Supreme Court being the top

11:12

judicial body so they don't give a crap

11:15

about politics judges are trying to

11:17

apply the law as best as possible as

11:20

they see fit okay so to imply like like

11:24

the Trump verdict I mean Trump lying on

11:26

financial documents to get better loan

11:28

rates is a competive Advantage because I

11:31

was let's say bidding on the same

11:32

building As Trump was bidding on but my

11:34

rate was 3% higher okay so it's a worse

11:38

deal for me but if Trump's just lying on

11:41

financials then it's just

11:42

anti-competitive Behavior it's illegal

11:44

you're not allowed to do it and he made

11:46

money because of this some people say

11:48

though that's on the bank to verify what

11:49

you put on your financial statements how

11:51

many loans have you gotten in your life

11:53

Lots how many have you lied on none okay

11:57

that should answer the question okay

11:58

okay you don't lie on financial

12:00

documents for banks or for anybody and

12:03

it's just a simple thing like your net

12:05

worth is a variable number oh yeah okay

12:07

so I could say this house is worth 2

12:09

million this house is worth 1 million I

12:10

mean it's a variable number but there's

12:12

a way to do things as I said where you

12:14

can say well this is why I got this

12:16

number and this is how um like here are

12:19

three other homes in the neighborhood

12:20

that all sold for 9501 and 150 so we

12:23

took the average it's a mill like at

12:25

least there's a way to explain it that's

12:27

what you're arguing yeah 100% And it's

12:29

like valuing things so wildly off you

12:33

know just for profit you know which

12:36

Trump did is anti-competitive illegal in

12:39

New York now I think in Trump's case he

12:42

almost does everything possible to make

12:44

things worse for himself oh wow you know

12:46

it just seems like you know half the

12:49

stuff is because his own lawyers and his

12:51

own people are turning in the evidence

12:52

to the government oh interesting there

12:54

like Michael Cohen all these people you

12:56

know we wouldn't have any of these cases

12:58

it weren't for his people wow you know

13:00

wow so so sort of the idea like uh the

13:03

upper level of Trump Tower was 10,000

13:05

sare ft but reported on Trump financials

13:08

as being 30,000 yeah and that's a

13:09

massive difference at 2,000 a foot in

13:11

New York or 5,000 a foot in New York you

13:13

know you're talking massive difference

13:15

in valuations but you know once again if

13:18

I need a loan right now and I put I have

13:20

assets of 300 million when I really have

13:22

assets of five you know it's completely

13:26

different profile for the bank you know

13:28

right somebody might actually do a deal

13:29

with you versus not right and just the

13:31

same I'm competing to buy a building

13:33

worth you know let's say 200 million

13:36

it's a big building New York this is a

13:38

big competitive Advantage if I'm

13:40

borrowing at two and a half% and the

13:41

other guys are getting five what do you

13:43

think about people who say again it's

13:45

it's the bank's problem to underwrite

13:47

and verify that nobody was harmed in

13:49

this that Deutsche Bank was paid off

13:51

love I love harmless crimes nobody's

13:53

harmed with prostitution nobody's harmed

13:55

with drug use you know it's like no

13:58

people are hared arms and it's the other

14:00

people who wanted to buy the building

14:02

okay cuz they got

14:04

screwed so if we live in America where

14:07

it's supposed to be like capitalism and

14:08

it's fair playing field and one guy lies

14:10

on all the documents and beats you to

14:12

the deal is that capitalism is that fair

14:14

interesting so it's sort of like they

14:16

were robbed of their reasonable

14:18

opportunity because maybe their their

14:20

forms were perfect as right remember the

14:22

college Scandal that happened where all

14:24

those rich people were like buying their

14:26

kids into us from Full House

14:29

to jail for this she literally went to

14:31

jail for buying her kid into USC right

14:35

and you could argue who was harmed who

14:37

was harmed right right who was harmed

14:39

that's a good comparison well it was the

14:40

kid who applied to USC who didn't get in

14:43

and it's bull crap it's bull capap

14:45

because that kid was smarter and sharper

14:47

and worked his butt off and didn't have

14:49

his mom on some horrible show okay and

14:53

and Dad no and and dad makes like crappy

14:57

you know like crappy surf clothing you

14:59

know and they live at a belir country

15:02

club this is like their life you know

15:04

and they're buying off everybody to get

15:06

their kids into school well my kid's

15:07

working really hard and I'm not buying

15:09

anybody off you see what I'm saying so

15:11

somebody is harmed and it's a sort of

15:13

like oh it's esoteric it's like who who

15:15

was that person but it was somebody and

15:18

we know that lloy Laughlin's kid didn't

15:20

deserve to be there wow wow uh so how do

15:23

you think this then relates to Elon when

15:25

it comes to I mean should should he just

15:28

shut his mouth or should he just leave

15:30

Tesla what what's the solution for him

15:32

like where is he going to be happy and

15:33

what changed or has he always been like

15:35

this well I don't think he's ever been

15:37

happy and I think if you read his book

15:39

it's pretty clear that he's you know I

15:42

think everybody should read the book If

15:43

you really want to understand Elon I

15:45

think it's pretty clear he's an

15:46

extremely difficult childhood you know

15:48

extremely difficult one that I can't

15:50

relate to in any way yeah like in any

15:52

way I don't even want to get into his

15:54

father I mean it's it couldn't be worse

15:58

so I do have sympathy for him I mean in

16:00

the sense of like he grew up in a really

16:04

really bad place you know but I think as

16:10

a result of that I think he has some

16:12

blocking in his emotional connections

16:15

you know with people and because of that

16:18

I think oh he's callous to like feeling

16:20

empathy maybe yeah I don't think he

16:22

feels empathy for people at all and I

16:24

[Music]

16:25

think engineers in general tend to be a

16:28

little bit different breed too um much

16:30

more analytical than emotional um but he

16:33

doesn't seem very in touch with his

16:35

emotion so I think the real question is

16:37

what does Elon want to do you know

16:39

because the idea that he's actually

16:41

running seven companies isn't real he's

16:43

one person the idea that he's not a

16:45

human isn't real okay I know he lives in

16:49

pain he has back problems and such you

16:51

know so the question is what does he

16:53

want he I think really the best thing

16:55

Elon could do for himself is actually

16:58

take time off oh wow okay he has never

17:01

stopped working ever and when you see

17:04

his schedule it's not sustainable long

17:06

term and that's my biggest concern being

17:08

an apple investor and watching Steve do

17:10

Jobs die and watching that whole process

17:13

is my biggest concern is for his health

17:14

I mean if you really care about Elon you

17:16

should be telling him not to work

17:17

anywhere geez wow wow he should take

17:19

three months off he should really try

17:22

this like it would be it would change

17:25

his life if he could just go

17:28

to Kawaii where I go with Mark Zuck no

17:33

cuz I Don't Go Near Zuck cuz he doesn't

17:34

actually leave his compound he he

17:36

doesn't hang out with ha waiian you know

17:39

um hey quick note mark your calendar for

17:40

June 21st to 23rd we are doing a 3-day

17:44

make money wealth become a millionaire

17:47

Symposium we haven't figured out the

17:48

name yet by the time you watch this

17:50

video we will have go to meet kevin.com

17:53

Ross Gerber will be there we're going to

17:55

have an event with a lot of speakers

17:57

it's going to be great we're we're going

17:58

to learn real estate we're going to

17:59

learn Finance stocks investing taxes you

18:03

name it so mark your calendar in person

18:05

none of the zoom stuff in person meet

18:08

the people ask the questions learn the

18:10

stuff finally get on the right path so

18:13

go to meet kevin.com to learn how to

18:15

sign up and the sooner you sign up the

18:17

better deal you get on the tickets and

18:19

you'll be there and it's in Vegas and

18:21

it's in Vegas and Ross will be there

18:24

let's go no but you go to these places

18:27

and you spend time with yourself and you

18:30

just try to decompress you know the

18:33

stress you deal with your life you know

18:35

and it's just an important part of

18:36

living and I think he needs that really

18:38

badly why do you think uh Tesla stop

18:41

providing guidance on delivery system

18:43

because I have no idea they have no idea

18:45

yeah I don't think is Zack left the only

18:47

person with an idea no I think losing

18:49

Zach sucked um I I was a big Zach fan

18:53

yeah

18:55

um I think it's because

18:59

forecasting demand is a really tough

19:01

thing with changing rates different

19:03

economies and things like that globally

19:05

he deals with three markets globally

19:07

China being probably one of the biggest

19:09

markets in the world that's in real

19:11

trouble right now and it's a big market

19:14

for Tesla so I think it's really hard to

19:15

forecast on three continents with

19:17

multiple economies you know you've got

19:19

Supply coming on on in three continents

19:22

you got demand in three continents you

19:24

got to line that up so Tesla has a

19:26

challenge and I think it is hard to

19:27

forecast but I think the issue is what's

19:30

the capacity of production and I think

19:32

that's probably closer to 2 and a half

19:34

million cars now and can they actually

19:37

sell two and a half million cars without

19:38

lowering prices and that's the bigger

19:40

issue do you think China presents a buy

19:43

the Dipa opportunity you g to pull a

19:44

Michael bur and go all in on Alibaba no

19:48

no I I fundamentally think

19:51

China a doesn't care about capitalism

19:54

they're Communists so shareholders in

19:56

China already started on the wrong foot

19:58

cuz you actually don't own equity in

20:00

those Securities most people don't

20:02

understand that like you don't own the

20:04

equity in a Chinese company you just

20:07

have like a shadow share or something

20:09

you know and then like the whole Chinese

20:11

economy is built on like match sticks

20:13

and it's completely falling apart wow

20:15

and we've actually supported the Chinese

20:18

for the last 20 years through exports

20:21

and so their best customer they decided

20:23

to attack and piss off and so I think

20:26

the Chinese are finally realizing Maybe

20:28

the West is important to us and Russia

20:30

isn't going to buy all our Goods oh wow

20:32

you know and so now China's in trouble

20:34

she's put himself into a corner and that

20:36

hurts Tesla though because Tesla's

20:38

biggest Market is in China and now the

20:40

econom is going to heck and there's

20:42

plenty of competition in EVS in China

20:44

you know why do you think that is why is

20:46

there so much competition for electric

20:47

vehicles in China uh where it feels like

20:50

there really isn't in America you know

20:51

Ford scaling back Mercedes I know that's

20:53

European obviously GM scaling back uh

20:56

rivan and lucid are becom less

20:59

profitable right and you're not growing

21:01

you're becoming less profitable on top

21:02

of that whereas if we look at China it's

21:04

it's just the support of the government

21:06

there I mean you've got uh Neo I mean

21:09

they're certainly doing better than the

21:11

American versions of of the companies

21:13

you've got byd you got a lot of you've

21:15

got a lot of them out there well part of

21:17

it is the government supports it so the

21:19

government's saying we want EVS we don't

21:21

want to be relying on oil well China

21:23

doesn't produce oil really they they

21:26

they import most of their oil so they

21:27

want away from EV especially maybe I'm

21:31

sorry from from gas so they so right so

21:34

they got to get gas from from us the

21:36

Arabs are the Russians right so and so

21:38

like Russia's been providing them a lot

21:40

of gas cheap right now and and she sort

21:42

of saw that as an opportunity but what

21:43

he didn't assess was the damage it would

21:45

do to the other side of his business

21:47

which is selling Goods to people and so

21:50

China has no incentive to want gas and

21:54

and also I think China does want to be

21:56

green for not just for economic reasons

21:58

but because the pollution is so bad in

22:00

the cities you can't even walk around

22:02

Beijing many times so I don't know if

22:04

you remember it was about I think it was

22:06

like four years ago five years ago where

22:07

the pollution was so bad in Beijing they

22:09

had to shut everything down and so what

22:11

happened was they had to shut down all

22:12

the factories around Beijing because it

22:14

was just like you couldn't go outside

22:16

let it clear up a little bit so it's not

22:18

like oh climate change we just care

22:20

about Earth for everybody it was like

22:21

it's so bad here we can't breathe so so

22:25

they I mean you know oh you can't

22:26

breathe you got to do something

22:28

right um and then so they've just gone

22:31

all in so unlike the United States China

22:34

supports all these companies and

22:36

partially owns all these companies so

22:38

when they decide we're going to be an EV

22:40

country that's what it's going to be and

22:42

that's what China's going to be and it's

22:44

super smart that you know it's smart for

22:46

them um in America being a capitalistic

22:49

country we don't support we do support

22:51

the EV industry so I'll take that back

22:53

um we created supports under Biden for

22:55

the EV industry there's wonderful

22:56

incentives to buy EVS today there's more

22:59

wonderful EVS in America today but I

23:01

think that Americans don't understand

23:04

the value of an EV because the Chinese

23:06

government spent a lot of time educating

23:08

people on why they want an EV and the US

23:10

government spends all its time not

23:12

educating people about energy okay does

23:16

how much does the government really

23:17

educate out here remember when I ran

23:19

against Nome should we run again if he

23:21

gets recalled again I can't do it I

23:25

can't do it again but that was one of

23:26

the big things is we need schools out

23:28

here future schools you remember that I

23:29

think you should start a local

23:30

government I think you I'm not doing

23:32

that I'm not do I like I think you can

23:33

win a bunch of stuff and work your way

23:35

up thanks man but boy I was confused

23:38

when you got into

23:39

politics thank you well thanks for for

23:41

uh for being there for me during that

23:43

time anyway you know I supported and

23:45

voted for you and and you know I thought

23:47

it was a good lesson for you too about

23:49

how how the world works you know it's a

23:51

little bit weird what about Bitcoin so

23:53

you guys still hold Bitcoin oh yeah you

23:55

know so these are good days for us being

23:58

long-term Bitcoin owners and and we have

24:00

a crypto program at my firm and and we

24:02

didn't bail out you know when things get

24:04

bad with Bitcoin because you know we're

24:06

just going to own it forever um you know

24:09

we stopped growing our Bitcoin program

24:12

because Gemini ran into problems and

24:13

they basically like kind of cut us off

24:15

because they were like teetering and

24:18

then we were like holy crap they're

24:19

teetering and it looks like they're

24:21

going to get over the hump but we've

24:24

basically been on hold with building our

24:26

program because basically the whole

24:27

crypto Industries and shambles right so

24:30

what's happened with Bitcoin which I

24:32

knew was going to happen and and it just

24:36

like all kind of just happened after the

24:38

SEC lost that case I think it was with

24:40

grac Dale or somebody which was

24:43

essentially when we started our ETF when

24:45

we were at the New York Stock Exchange

24:46

in 21 I was asking the guys there like

24:49

why isn't there a Bitcoin ETF a lot of

24:50

it was the custodians weren't playing in

24:52

it so there was no way to accumulate you

24:55

know Bitcoin every time there were

24:56

inflows and then there was a valuation

24:59

system that was broken because most

25:00

people didn't understand the way Bitcoin

25:02

was valued was taking the average of

25:04

several exchanges okay so that didn't

25:06

work for the New York Stock Exchange so

25:08

what they were telling me is it just

25:10

depends how long it takes till this

25:11

industry grows up you know and so what

25:14

happened was Fidelity was really the

25:16

leader in the traditional Finance

25:18

industry in Bitcoin building a Bitcoin

25:20

mining operation and an Institutional

25:22

Bitcoin practice early um and they kind

25:24

of went all in where Vanguard is like Fu

25:27

f still like I mean now you've got even

25:29

Morgan Stanley Bank of America hey we

25:31

want this on our platform you know

25:33

totally and and so um we originally felt

25:38

the best way to deal with Bitcoin would

25:39

be to open up you know wallets for each

25:42

client so they could actually use their

25:44

Bitcoin but what ended up happening

25:46

which it's still an issue is nobody can

25:48

trust these exchanges and so the idea of

25:51

a Bitcoin ETF was stupid to me because I

25:53

was like well I can't use my Bitcoin why

25:55

would I buy this it's like just sits

25:57

there and brokerage account but then

25:59

things kind of change because if you

26:00

can't trust any of the custodians maybe

26:03

an ETF is the best way to do this

26:05

especially yeah especially because most

26:07

people don't actually use their Bitcoin

26:09

right right right it's a an investment

26:11

or for speculative purposes in crypto or

26:13

whatever it might be or maybe you want

26:15

to own crypto but you just don't know

26:16

where I can do this safely right and

26:18

have insurance on it right and so you

26:20

know Bitcoin ETFs come out you know me

26:24

knowing the numbers I knew inflows would

26:26

be quite good and most people don't

26:28

understand that most Bitcoin ETFs are

26:30

not for sale at most broker dealers

26:32

today because most ETFs have to be at

26:34

least a year old before they're added to

26:36

platforms you should know that right and

26:39

so right now at my firm you cannot buy

26:42

ibit at LPL because it hasn't been

26:45

approved yet oh my gosh and this is

26:47

Black Rock we're talking about right so

26:48

what I did was I went out and bought it

26:50

in my ETF so my ETF actually owns about

26:53

1% in Bitcoin oh wow yeah I'm the only

26:55

ETF in the world that actually has

26:58

AI cannabis and Bitcoin in the same

27:00

place it's pretty cool I think but but

27:02

that said and that's ticker GK GK and so

27:06

um so our Bitcoin were up on like right

27:08

away and I and and and I immediately you

27:11

know wrote to the advisor show guys like

27:13

what do I have to do to add this to my

27:14

ETF and and they're like we just have to

27:16

file the SEC a couple forms and and you

27:18

know do it and you know so my my clients

27:21

are getting a benefit to this Bitcoin

27:23

now without having to do this so the ETF

27:25

all of a sudden serves a purpose if we

27:27

can

27:28

trust custodians right so in the next

27:30

year these Bitcoin ETFs will be added to

27:32

all the platforms wow and then it's just

27:35

a matter of time till some goof at like

27:38

Merl Lynch says we should have a 1%

27:41

allocation to bitcoin oh then everybody

27:43

does it and then it's like the trillion

27:45

dollar firms start buying 10 billion

27:47

each wow and then it's all done and then

27:49

Bitcoin goes to I don't know doubles you

27:52

know oh and by the way it's the having

27:54

right now oh right and on top of that I

27:57

to use the half number uh I want to say

28:00

about half of Bitcoin hasn't been traded

28:02

in the last 2 years at least some

28:04

Bitcoin hasn't been traded in 5 10 years

28:07

yeah I think a lot of Bitcoin will never

28:08

be traded quite Poss be I sell myit I've

28:12

never sold a Bitcoin I think there's

28:13

probably a good chunk that's also just

28:15

lost originally created I would think

28:17

that a lot of it is lost just gone you

28:19

know it's just like in some computer

28:21

somewhere yeah yeah so the supply is

28:22

probably lower than it actually uh well

28:25

and then there's the Shoshi coins or

28:27

ever that is whoever owns that you know

28:30

I like that part of Bitcoin that was

28:31

always the part I was like everything

28:33

was good in the story till you got to

28:35

Satoshi and that's when you lost me you

28:38

know I was like what this and I think

28:39

that's what people love about not

28:41

knowing really who the true identity is

28:44

of the person who created bitcoin

28:45

because of this yeah because if you knew

28:48

it' be like well that person's a scam

28:50

yeah and that person never taking the

28:52

money out ex untouched coins but I think

28:55

for people in general

28:57

and they're like why do I need to own

28:59

Bitcoin and I say look at the US

29:01

government okay it literally printed

29:04

trillions of dollars on a dime then

29:07

jacks up all this rates to suck it all

29:09

back in right it's like how much money

29:12

now you look at the Chinese government

29:14

just falling apart there's one solution

29:15

for China you know what it is printing

29:17

more money okay it is true and they're

29:19

not their stimulus soomal they didn't

29:22

study the Great Depression in the United

29:23

States wow they didn't study it because

29:25

in the Great Depression the United

29:26

States they did what China was doing

29:28

which is not stimulus when things are

29:30

bad austerity right and that we need to

29:32

actually not go into deficits and we

29:33

need to not print money because we want

29:35

to be like financially solvent but what

29:37

I'm doing is putting everybody out of

29:39

business right okay America we never had

29:41

any problem printing money okay we've

29:42

been printing money like crazy people

29:44

since I was born so so the idea that you

29:48

could have a Global Currency that isn't

29:49

printed all the time is actually pretty

29:51

you know nice and then my dad who's you

29:53

know in his 80s is like why why does

29:55

anybody need Bitcoin and I I was like

29:57

well Dad you know let he likes to go to

29:59

Germany I go let's say you go to Germany

30:01

you know and and you need money you like

30:03

how do you get money you know how do you

30:05

pay for things it's like you know you

30:06

got to get euros and or use a credit

30:09

card or something like that pay fees but

30:11

Bitcoin works the same way it's just on

30:12

your phone and you could pay anybody in

30:14

Europe or anybody in Africa or anybody

30:16

in Asia with Bitcoin anywhere you go and

30:18

I go to a lot of places you go with a

30:19

$100 bill in the United States you can't

30:21

even use it yeah okay so imagine if

30:23

you're stuck I don't know you're on a

30:25

vacation and you're in some random place

30:27

in Latin America and they're not taking

30:30

$100 bills they'll take Bitcoin a lot of

30:32

places take Bitcoin and and I think a

30:34

lot of people don't understand that that

30:36

it does work actually really well when

30:38

you're outside the United States what

30:40

about uh Javier Malay is a slashing of

30:43

government spending apparently now he's

30:44

balanced the budget qualifying for IMF

30:47

loans again is this is this like uh you

30:49

know are they cooking the books they

30:51

actually able to turn this around

30:52

because people seem to love what mle is

30:53

doing well I mean he also got cloned

30:55

dogs do you see the Clone dogs uh-uh oh

30:57

you didn't see this he loved his dog so

31:00

much he cloned it three times he's got

31:02

four he's like you except with kids he's

31:05

got he's got four dogs okay so being a

31:09

capitalist and understanding the pain

31:12

that countries like Argentina have to go

31:13

through to fix their finances I really

31:16

like what he's doing wow I think it's

31:17

it's really good for the Argentine

31:19

people you know Argentina's a phenomenal

31:21

country that's literally for as long as

31:24

I've been alive been mismanaged by the

31:26

government all they ask that's stolen by

31:27

the government the the poor people of

31:29

Argentina have had to deal with this

31:31

forever or they come to America and this

31:33

is the same problem everybody goes well

31:34

we have a border crisis well it's

31:35

because in Latin America all these

31:37

countries suck if you were down there

31:39

You' want to go to 100% 100% I would

31:43

yeah cross the I'll take my chances in

31:45

the real Grande right and and so like

31:48

Argentina is a perfect example of this

31:50

this beautiful wonderful country with

31:51

all the potential in the world just

31:53

completely mismanaged since the Avita

31:55

days right and so um so there's an

31:58

opportunity here but what happens is

32:01

that and this is what happened like in

32:02

the United States in like 1982 83 with

32:05

hyperinflation is you have to go through

32:07

a period of time that's extremely

32:08

difficult because you have to get the

32:10

government spending under control so so

32:12

you go through a a deep recession that's

32:14

very painful with the understanding that

32:16

when we come out the other side the

32:18

country's finances will be balanced and

32:21

the next 10 years will be amazing but

32:23

the next two years might be extremely

32:25

difficult for people in Argentina so

32:27

when you jack up rates and you get on

32:28

inflation under control and you stop

32:30

printing money you know the people live

32:33

off this printed money that's the

32:34

problem but also the price of goods is

32:36

going up just as fast right so it's

32:39

going to be a tough time in Argentina on

32:41

the short term but if they stick with it

32:43

I think he'll be wildly successful

32:44

better for the long term okay that's

32:46

good what about in America where's our

32:48

recession we're supposed to be in

32:49

recession by now

32:52

um I think we're learning about human

32:54

behavior a lot you know I was talking to

32:56

our economists at uscl about the the

32:58

human psychological things that most the

33:00

economists got wrong over the last year

33:02

which is that people want to go out and

33:03

spend money yep okay and so like there's

33:06

a A vibe that didn't exist during the

33:10

Obama years post financial crisis where

33:12

people were just it was kind of like the

33:13

Great Depression kind of like holding

33:15

back a little bit paying off their debts

33:18

not really aggressively spending because

33:20

people went through such a hard time

33:21

during recession right and then when

33:24

Trump came into office he cut tax and he

33:27

was like spend spend spend America's

33:29

great go out and spend money and people

33:31

started doing that and by cutting taxes

33:33

it created more money in the economy and

33:35

and that kind of worked and then and

33:37

then um you just said something that

33:39

Trump did worked yeah cutting taxes

33:41

works if you cut taxes the economy does

33:43

better because some people say you won't

33:45

say anything well the other problem is

33:46

we have bigger deficits because of this

33:49

but yeah that was sort of the talk this

33:51

morning was like well we're going to

33:53

have to raise taxes more and I was like

33:55

yeah that that'll slow down the economy

33:56

I mean you know because Trump's tax cuts

33:59

spurred the economy but it also created

34:02

a bigger deficit so so that said Biden

34:05

comes into office and could have taken

34:06

steps but instead he printed even more

34:08

money and gave it to people right in the

34:10

recession Act of 2021 or whatever they

34:13

called this and and that's really what

34:15

caused the

34:17

inflation um so now that we've kind of

34:19

sucked it all back what's left is that

34:22

people still want to spend and people

34:23

still have jobs and because we've on

34:25

shorted so much uh manufacturing and

34:28

this is also because of Biden and Trump

34:30

um there's a lot of good paying jobs now

34:34

you know for uh what I would we used to

34:37

call lower income workers you know now

34:40

in McDonald's here in Los Angeles you

34:41

make $20 an hour you know uh and then it

34:44

just goes up from there so so we've seen

34:46

strong wage growth and and with people

34:49

wanting to spend it's kept the economy

34:52

much stronger despite real estate being

34:54

dead you know like the traditional

34:56

Believers of the economy are are not

34:59

good and so it's kind of a weird economy

35:02

and and you can see it where the prices

35:04

of services keep going up but the prices

35:06

of goods are now starting to go down

35:08

yeah negative you're deflation yeah so

35:10

in one area you have deflation the other

35:11

area you still have inflation like in

35:14

hiring um but that's starting to

35:15

moderate too so I think what we get out

35:17

of this is a really good economy and the

35:20

FED starts flowing rates middle of this

35:22

year they do it slowly you've got kind

35:24

of the best of all worlds that's why

35:25

we're really bullish ring think we're

35:27

going to stick us off Landing no no I

35:29

don't think there's any Landing we've

35:31

never landed we're still at 3% growth

35:34

you see what I'm saying it's like there

35:35

was never a landing why bother we're

35:38

having a good time here what it was was

35:40

the we just rechanged the Paradigm of

35:43

rates okay from zero to let's say four

35:45

to per. for now yeah for now but the

35:48

idea being for 25 years we all expect to

35:51

get money for free we all lived in a

35:52

free money world it was great your real

35:54

estate is great buy whatever you want

35:57

prices go higher okay well now who's

35:59

suffering real estate right why well

36:02

they took all that free money well now

36:04

it's not free anymore and the loans come

36:06

due yep okay uh good opportunities yeah

36:09

like Trump's hotel in DC I don't know if

36:11

you saw this deal so Trump sold his

36:13

hotel in DC in 21 cuz he was kind of

36:16

forced to and he made good money on this

36:18

hotel and the guy who bought it took a

36:20

$286 million loan to buy the hotel from

36:23

Trump one of Trump's buddies actually

36:25

from Florida and so the guy has a loan

36:28

loan matures or whatever or needs to be

36:31

refi and he can't afford it it's now in

36:34

default and the Trump Hotel in DC is now

36:37

in default wow okay so people who

36:40

borrowed at two the math doesn't make

36:43

sense at seven no of course not you know

36:44

it just doesn't and so this is going to

36:47

be a very hard period of time for a long

36:49

period of time as every company's debts

36:51

and every person's debts come due and

36:54

have to be refinanced at higher rates

36:55

and that's like a forever slowing on the

36:58

economy that will exist that can be

37:01

offset by letting the economy run you

37:03

know so let the economy grow to offset

37:06

the fact that rates are higher do you

37:07

think we're going back to zero no I

37:09

don't want to go back to zero oh wow I

37:10

don't want to go back to zero that means

37:12

we're in trouble it means that the

37:14

government has to print money for us to

37:16

get growth and what we really want is

37:18

interest rates at like 3 4% where it

37:21

costs money mean remember I'm a guy with

37:23

capital I lend money I want to make

37:25

money on my money m I don't want to have

37:27

to buy equities to make money and that's

37:29

what happened for so long so Equity

37:31

valuations you know we had the S&P with

37:34

2324 PES in in 2021 you know today it's

37:38

it's getting back up there again you

37:39

know um but we have growth but we have

37:42

growth where I can loan money to

37:44

somebody and make money on the loan too

37:46

so it's a great time to buy bonds and

37:47

it's a great time to buy stocks but now

37:50

the earnings in stocks is real but where

37:52

this is painful or companies like AMC

37:54

let's say aha high debt high debt grow

37:58

well they got to refy debts and they got

38:01

to get capital and you know and and all

38:03

of a sudden it's like well a company

38:05

like AMC isn't going to borrow for

38:06

anything less than 15% or Cruise Lines

38:09

you're seeing that as well with them 15%

38:11

is a pretty normal rate for a high-risk

38:13

B today wow you know and uh you can see

38:16

that in the BDC Business Development

38:18

loans um you know it's if you're bad

38:22

credit right now it's hard to get money

38:24

so how does that relate to the consumer

38:26

who might be using like Flex like buy

38:28

now pay later to pay your rent these

38:30

days and that's probably the worst idea

38:31

I've ever heard yeah yeah it's really

38:33

popular now it's like a top 200 app on

38:35

the App Store like I'm blown away every

38:37

time I mention it I just it it seems

38:38

like it's higher and higher every time I

38:40

look at it I mean whoever buying that

38:43

debt is really dumb like are they

38:46

because what if what if they what if

38:47

they're lending at 20% and they're like

38:49

we're going to assume 25% of these

38:51

default they're still left with a 15%

38:53

yield yeah I I know what you're saying

38:55

so here's my thing and we talked about

38:57

this before where rent is your biggest

38:59

cost right okay so if you can't afford

39:02

rent it's a problem it's a massive

39:04

problem it's 30% 25% of your income yeah

39:07

is is your rent sure so like if you're

39:10

buying out pay later in your rent like

39:13

where are you going to get the money

39:15

later where's the later part where's the

39:18

later do every month if 100% of the

39:21

debts bad how does it get how does the

39:23

debt get paid off that's a good point

39:25

because yeah if you have a uh you know

39:27

you buy a pelaton bike like one time or

39:29

whatever and you buy now pay later you

39:30

could stop buying pelaton bikes you're

39:32

not buying a pelaton every month but

39:33

with rent you are literally and you owe

39:36

it every month so if you buy the pelaton

39:37

once and you buy now pay later even if

39:40

it's a 10year loan eventually you'll pay

39:42

it off yeah there isn't an ongoing

39:44

expense right it's once but that's the

39:47

idea of buying a product this way you

39:49

pay it off over time you don't need that

39:51

many code hangers but rent you pay every

39:52

month yeah so it's basically saying you

39:55

can't pay your rent this month somehow

39:57

you're going to have twice the rent next

39:58

month plus interest it's problematic so

40:01

I think 100% of it goes bad okay so so

40:04

you would stay away from that sort of

40:05

debt so stay away I mean I would rather

40:07

get hit by a club in the head than than

40:11

take your bad rent debt oh wow so the

40:14

does that create risk for uh you know

40:16

even maybe personal lending companies

40:18

like a Sofi for example a lot of people

40:20

love Sofi stock very very big on

40:21

personal loans 15 18 a lot are bad a lot

40:25

of them are bad you know so s is

40:27

actually a good company and they serve a

40:29

good Market your friend Kathy Wood loves

40:31

them um I I like Sofi too I you know I I

40:35

don't have issues with sofa I think they

40:37

they do a good job the issue is is the

40:38

way they book The loans on their books

40:41

so we started doing this research

40:42

because one of the things I learned was

40:44

that the way Banks book loans on their

40:46

books is all a lie okay so we started

40:50

this study when rates went up because

40:51

what we wanted to figure out was if I'm

40:53

a bank like Bank of America and I own

40:55

all these loans at 2 3% like what

40:59

happens now that these loans are at 6%

41:01

yeah the loan value is plummeted so it's

41:03

40% down or 50% down so then you go look

41:06

at Bank of America's books right now and

41:08

it's the none of them are marked down

41:10

and you go well why not and they go oh

41:12

well these are loans to maturity so

41:14

loans that you hold to maturity you

41:16

don't have to mark down in the meantime

41:17

right I go you know what I wish I could

41:19

do that with all my my bad Investments

41:21

none of these stocks are down because

41:24

they go up again yeah because they're

41:25

held so we won't right so we won't count

41:28

the losses this year because it's

41:31

because I'm I'm never going to sell my

41:33

Tesla I'm never going to sell it so

41:35

there's no l it's Tim maturity there's

41:36

no loss that's funny that's it's not

41:38

funny it's a trillion dollars de this

41:41

way it's true but what's what's funny

41:44

about it is that as you're saying it

41:46

literally just as we're recording this

41:48

New York Community Bank which just had a

41:50

write down on their real estate like a

41:53

half billion dollars started another

41:54

banking crisis fear New York Community

41:57

Bank just what 15 minutes to an hour ago

41:59

delays their annual filing citing

42:02

material weakness in internal controls

42:05

right that's probably exactly what

42:06

you're talking about the debt the

42:07

internal controls on the valuation

42:09

remember they bought the signature bank

42:10

loans oh yeah there they they got

42:13

aggressive bought signature bank loans

42:15

which were garbage and then the FDIC

42:18

makes you buy them very quickly there's

42:20

no way you analyze all you can't do DD

42:22

on cuz real estate is it's time

42:24

consuming you know and so like oh we're

42:27

big now we got all these loans and

42:29

they're like ah material weakness and

42:31

blah blah blah it means we have no idea

42:33

what this crap is wor okay so they're

42:35

going down it's a $4 stock and it's a

42:38

hundred billion doll Banking and it's

42:39

got big enough so it's systemically

42:41

important okay so now the FED got

42:45

themselves into a little bit of a pickle

42:46

with this dog well because they're

42:47

closing the bank term funding program

42:49

too where you can take your fed bail out

42:52

so so think about it this way in the

42:53

sense of right now there's a trillion

42:55

dollar of losses that the banks have

42:57

that they have not reported is it down

42:59

after it's down 18% and after hours well

43:01

down to four 479 391 stock it's zero I

43:04

mean you know I'm saying it's like if

43:06

you're a $ four bank with with bad

43:09

financials it's zero yeah that is the

43:11

lowest so this is going to be the thing

43:13

that causes the correction Banks yeah

43:16

that issue is still going are you

43:17

serious yeah it's it never ended for

43:20

bailed it out no the only way he can

43:22

bail these Banks out is by lowering

43:24

rates oh well that would make the loan

43:26

values go up again hello oh so he has to

43:29

lower rates he has to lower rates the

43:31

purpose of the FED is what well maximum

43:34

uh employment and price stability yeah

43:36

but why was the FED created though oh to

43:38

print money and make us feel like it was

43:40

okay no no no that's not why they were

43:42

created they were created to Monitor and

43:45

control the banking system right that's

43:46

why you're a member of the FED Banks

43:48

different fed Banks their goal is

43:51

stability of the banking system because

43:53

they're a byproduct of the Great

43:54

Depression oh so you're saying the real

43:56

mandate is the banking system and then

43:59

after that you have the Mandate of

44:01

stable prices and stable employment

44:03

correct but banking first that's right

44:04

and that's why did you realize last

44:07

month the same day that they did their

44:10

fomc presser it was like j31 or whatever

44:13

New York Community Bank like plummet it

44:16

was like down substantially that day and

44:18

they remove from their statement uh the

44:21

banking system is sounding resilient

44:22

that's right but then they didn't say a

44:23

word about it and not a single of the

44:26

folks in the media asks about it 100%

44:28

what is going on I'm telling you what's

44:30

going on okay so this is what we looked

44:33

at so how do you value a loan on your

44:35

books okay so I I asked my kids this if

44:39

I loan you a million dollars what's the

44:40

value of the loan well I'll play million

44:42

doll right but they thought it was like

44:43

a trick question you know what I mean

44:45

and I like no I loan you a million

44:46

dollars what's the value of the loan a

44:48

million doll right okay so how does a

44:51

bank book this loan right well it

44:53

depends the way Sofi books their loans

44:55

and I'm not sure if this is actually

44:57

100% right because it's super esoteric

45:00

but supposedly when they book their

45:01

loans on on the books they're booking

45:04

the Val the future value of that loan's

45:06

gains oh with all of what they expect to

45:08

collect yeah so they'll say the loan

45:11

that's a billion loan is really $1.1

45:13

billion loan on the book because they're

45:14

going to collect another hundred million

45:16

over because it's an asset that

45:17

generates income over time so so there's

45:20

some esoteric way they're counting their

45:22

loans it's not payback value it's

45:25

payback Plus some discounted version of

45:27

what they expect to earn right something

45:29

like that and so like so like I'm like

45:32

okay I'm going to do analysis of a

45:34

company like Sofi so the only way to do

45:36

that is you got to look at what loans

45:37

they have on the books which it's really

45:39

hard to find this information you know

45:41

you got to like dig deep into the

45:43

proxies and and the 10 q's and all this

45:45

kind of stuff and it's like so it's like

45:48

in their loan books and each bank is

45:50

different depending on how risky or

45:51

conservative they risks they took and

45:54

how much commercial real estate they own

45:56

but somewhere there's a trillion dollars

45:58

in losses from interest rate and

45:59

somewhere there's a trillion dollars in

46:01

losses from commercial real estate wow

46:03

and so these losses exist they're real

46:07

but they're hidden they're not realized

46:09

and they're all right so if you

46:12

liquidated like every Bank in America

46:14

today there would be a negative nav

46:17

that's what I think wow that's what you

46:20

think the banking system's upside down

46:21

no I know it's upside down the whole

46:23

thing yeah but Jamie Diamond is bailed

46:25

out by a drum well he just sold 150

46:27

million of stock

46:28

too now why would Jamie Diamond sell JP

46:32

Morgan's

46:34

stock why would he do that for

46:36

philanthropic purposes yeah I'm sure

46:38

he's known for that right um no what I

46:42

think is it's a very bad time to own

46:44

financials wow and I think that the only

46:47

solution is the Fed to lower rates and

46:49

every day that they wait it puts the

46:51

banking system more at

46:53

risk Capital gets tighter right right

46:56

and like all these loans start maturing

47:00

and people are going to go bankrupt oh

47:02

wow and you're going to see more

47:03

bankruptcies coming when when is the big

47:05

crash the big big painful banking crisis

47:08

is over the bank term funding could be

47:10

this it could be New York Community

47:11

bankor right1 billion B and that

47:13

facility closes in a couple weeks here

47:15

on on like the what the 12th I think it

47:17

is or the 11th the FED term funding

47:18

program ads so they can't borrow from

47:20

them they'd have to go to the discount

47:21

window or borrow at a different bank but

47:22

who's going to lend to them there's

47:24

nobody to lend so once go under that's

47:26

great news because that'll Force the

47:28

fed's hand to lower rates so that so the

47:31

banks also have what we call negative

47:32

interest margin so right now bank has on

47:35

their books two and a half 3% loans but

47:37

that you go into the bank and they're

47:38

giving you four and a half% on your

47:40

money right okay well how does that work

47:42

so you're actually losing every day

47:44

you're in existence banks are not

47:46

supposed to have negative interest

47:47

margins in fact I can guarantee you a

47:49

bank will go bankrupt if it has a

47:51

negative interest R Ling long enough wow

47:54

so think about this you have negative

47:56

interest rate margins a trillion dollars

47:57

of bad real estate okay and a trillion

48:00

dollars of loans that should be worth

48:02

40% less just because of rates wow so

48:04

how does this affect a normal person do

48:06

you just just stay away from the

48:07

financials or could this be broader term

48:09

systemic or just could it could end up

48:11

being broader term systemic If the Fed

48:13

doesn't get moving you know um I think

48:16

for the average person where it hurts is

48:17

when you're trying to get along yeah

48:19

okay because what's happening is Banks

48:21

make credit harder and rates are already

48:23

super high equity lines are 10%

48:25

mortgages are 6 and a half% and then

48:27

you're going in to get the loan and

48:28

they're running you through the ringer

48:30

because it's like the the credit has to

48:32

be good so it's very hard for homeowners

48:34

to buy homes and we're seeing that in

48:35

the numbers just this morning there was

48:37

this piece put out here autol loan

48:39

access declines the ability of consumers

48:41

to get car financing is at the lowest

48:44

level since during the pandemic yeah

48:46

it's crazy so so you're actually seeing

48:48

credit tightening right but eventually

48:50

that just that going to kill the economy

48:52

that's what it does right and so

48:55

fortunately we haven't had too much of a

48:57

negative impact on the economy unless

48:59

you're trying to buy a home or car right

49:01

so you're looking at Car Sales like a

49:03

Tesla down um if you're a real estate

49:05

broker you haven't sold a house all year

49:07

you know home sales are here I have that

49:09

it's funny have that chart right here

49:10

we'll have to throw these up on screen

49:12

uh Christian but this right here total

49:14

existing home sales the blue line on the

49:17

right side shows you where we are and we

49:18

Trace that back back to 2010 and 11

49:21

that's bad this yeah the bottom

49:23

basically after the financial crisis

49:25

that's how bad it is with volume of

49:27

sales right now you know what the

49:28

craziest part about it is in post

49:30

financial crisis there were no banks

49:32

like you know like it was a nightmare

49:35

and it took like a year or two for

49:36

credit to really come back right now

49:39

there's plenty of Banks and whatever and

49:40

yet we're seeing the same result wow

49:43

okay but but they were talking about

49:44

like why there's such a Negative opinion

49:47

in the economy even though everybody has

49:49

good jobs and it was like well until you

49:51

try to buy a house but when you're

49:53

paying 6 and a half on a mortgage and a

49:54

house at all alltime high price and

49:56

you've had no price decline because of

49:58

higher rates you know actually you're

50:00

pretty unhappy because you can't afford

50:01

the house and then house hack comes in

50:03

and buys the house for cash but then

50:05

people get mad and then they got to rent

50:06

it from you we what do you say to people

50:09

who who say you know because we like to

50:12

look at what we do at house Haack is

50:13

buying you know which we're fundraising

50:14

by the way go to house hack.com 2024 but

50:17

we like to buy you know house that's in

50:19

like forclosure somebody can't

50:20

functionally live in so we help the

50:22

seller and then we remodel it and create

50:24

a house that somebody can functionally

50:26

live in but there seems to be this anti-

50:28

likee you know people or landlords

50:31

buying homes thing don't people remember

50:33

we have to rent homes somewhere this is

50:35

a tough one because and I always say to

50:37

Real Estate Investors you can't look at

50:39

real estate investing like the stock

50:40

market because people live there yeah

50:42

okay so when people live in the home

50:44

there's humans involved and families and

50:45

children and it's not like you just I

50:47

mean a lot of landlords don't care they

50:48

just kick people out on the street but

50:50

they're still people you know but the

50:51

idea oh we should ban companies from

50:53

buying single family homes that's not

50:55

fair no it's really simple we need to

50:57

build way more homes build more homes

50:59

hey you know there's a lot of land in

51:01

Texas you know did you know somebody ran

51:03

for governor in California and suggested

51:05

just build more damn homes and I voted

51:07

for that person and he lost and I don't

51:09

know why okay no but like why aren't we

51:13

building more homes well California

51:14

politics duh that's why it's worse than

51:17

politics right but do you know where the

51:18

best place to buy a home is California

51:21

because they won't build more homes

51:24

that's why our prices don't

51:26

it's the greatest hedge you know we were

51:28

we were looking at uh this happened we

51:30

were in um it was Austin Texas this was

51:33

in uh October I want to say it was we

51:36

were in escro on a property great deal

51:38

all the sold comps were like 550 six and

51:42

we're in this sucker for like four we're

51:44

like okay 50k in nobody can live in it

51:47

you know the plumbing shot whatever it's

51:48

going to take money and somebody with

51:50

experience to fix it up but we'd be in

51:51

at five maybe and it's you know we're

51:53

we're up 50 to 100K on it okay great

51:55

easy for us to do uh and we get there

51:59

during our inspection period uh I'm

52:01

going oh so how's the business going the

52:03

agent looks at me goes it's yeah

52:05

and and I'm

52:06

like haha good joke so so how's it

52:08

really go no it's it's horrible yeah and

52:11

so then we started looking at not just

52:13

the sold comps but the active comps you

52:15

have to always do this so as we're there

52:17

we're looking at the Active comps

52:19

everybody's Plum slashing their prices

52:21

because what's happening is there's so

52:24

much building that's possible in an area

52:25

like Texas because so easy to build

52:27

relative to like California you get a

52:29

permit there in 3 to 6 months here it's

52:31

2 to 3 years that's right so there's so

52:33

much new construction so much of a flood

52:35

of new construction that why would

52:37

people buy even a remodeled 1970s home

52:39

when you could just go get new

52:40

construction at a cheaper price right so

52:42

prices have just been plummeting in

52:44

certain Pockets C Market yeah and it's

52:46

it's Sun Bel where everybody though it's

52:48

where you're stabilizing the market is

52:50

what you're saying and and and I would

52:52

even make a further argument I've had

52:55

some horrible landlords I've rented a

52:57

lot of houses in my life yeah because I

52:59

like renting actually um my ownership

53:02

experience has been very painful so far

53:04

because I've been in construction since

53:05

the day I bought my house for no this

53:08

was your fault okay I'm doing a big

53:10

house act but I'm very happy with my

53:12

house it's almost done but it's been a

53:14

year and a half construction your your

53:15

wedge deal no but I I had bad landlords

53:18

and I had good landlords and one of the

53:19

things when we when you start a house

53:21

hack and I and I'm involved you know I

53:24

said you know we have the opportunity to

53:26

be a great landlord yep and there's so

53:28

much to that and so that's my argument

53:31

against the haters who are saying oh

53:32

you're just taking houses away from

53:34

people I don't agree I think those

53:36

people wouldn't have gotten this house I

53:37

agree with you 100% the houses we're

53:39

buying are crappy and we're fixing them

53:40

up and we're making them nice but we're

53:42

going to be good landlords and that's so

53:45

important and that's really what I would

53:48

say is like it's you can't judge

53:51

Everybody by the same you know brush or

53:53

whatever they paint everybody with the

53:55

same brush I think what you're trying to

53:57

do is capitalistic but you've opened

53:59

that investment opportunity up to

54:01

everybody it's not some exclusive

54:02

investment but it's also about improving

54:05

properties and renting them and being a

54:06

great landlord and giving people the

54:08

opportunity to even buy these properties

54:09

down the line and I think um I think

54:12

that's a different business model than a

54:14

lot of these companies and and that's

54:15

what I would say yeah that's a good

54:17

point I mean if let's say you you give

54:18

people an opportunity to own a share as

54:21

a tenant of of the property that

54:22

somebody else is managing you know you

54:24

actually make real estate more like they

54:25

could actually buy house hack stock and

54:28

they're paying their landlord and they

54:30

have an investment right which you

54:31

really can't do with most landlords if

54:33

you think about it um there's a few

54:34

publicly traded landlords but mive get a

54:37

free slice of the stock of the home you

54:39

live in and I think it's also about

54:41

dealing with people who want to do

54:43

what's best for tenants and and build

54:46

cre a win-win relationship then too with

54:47

your tenants if they no you guys have

54:49

done such a nice job with the houses

54:50

that you fixed up already and and I can

54:51

tell you as as a person who rented

54:53

houses the the difference between a good

54:55

landlord and a bad landlord I'm sure

54:56

everybody listening to this will agree

54:58

is like day and night in your life and

55:00

experience and I had a bad one this last

55:02

one I had before I bought my house and

55:04

it sucked sucked that's how I ended up

55:06

buying my house he wouldn't fix anything

55:08

and we were just after him every day and

55:09

finally I was like sell the US the damn

55:11

house like if you're not going to do it

55:13

you know and then finally cuz rates went

55:15

up and he kind of got nervous he sold us

55:16

the house and I'm like thank God and I

55:18

thought there would be way more

55:20

inventory now and there's

55:23

less you know not to jump you off track

55:25

but I really wanted to talk about this

55:26

today um is taxes oh yeah okay I wanted

55:30

to bring up taxes cuz it's it's time to

55:31

start doing your taxes and you got a ton

55:33

of viewers and one of the things that I

55:35

wanted to bring up are ways that people

55:36

could save money like right now through

55:39

making smart tax moves and a lot of

55:42

these are in real estate for example so

55:44

like you know real estate is a really

55:45

great tax investment in general and you

55:48

get these tax advantages but it only

55:50

counts if you own your home right but

55:52

what happens if you rent your home okay

55:54

well you know that most people work from

55:56

home now right so there's like part of

55:59

your rent is actually like going to an

56:01

office it's office expense but you can't

56:03

really write that off so it's like how

56:05

do you create a situation where you can

56:07

write off these expenses so most people

56:09

don't understand the value of an LLC aha

56:12

so you're the master of llc's aren't you

56:14

there are a few llc's around I bet well

56:18

this is something that somebody should

56:19

spend some time thinking about

56:21

especially if you're renting and you're

56:22

working from home it's starting an LLC

56:25

because then you can start taking

56:26

deductions for your expenses from

56:28

working from home now most people don't

56:30

even understand this at all well you

56:33

actually have a cost that's yours for

56:36

work but if you work as an employee you

56:39

can't deduct those costs interesting but

56:41

if you have an LLC and you have income

56:43

going through it you can okay now this

56:45

is complicated what should I do you

56:47

should talk to a tax person well the

56:49

best news is gerba Kawasaki has a GK tax

56:52

and accounting division now and if you

56:54

contact if you go to Gerber kawasaki.com

56:56

will help you figure out ways to save

56:59

money on taxes now the second greatest

57:01

thing ever is the 401K or the IRA plan I

57:05

wanted to talk about that because most

57:06

people don't take advantage of their IRA

57:08

and one of the best trades I ever did

57:10

for a client one of the best investments

57:12

ever was I bought them their shares of

57:14

Tesla in their Roth IRA nice okay this

57:17

was lucky too because he had multiple

57:20

accounts with me and I was buying stocks

57:21

for them in different accounts and I

57:23

just happened to put the Tesla in Ira

57:25

okay and they had something like $10,000

57:29

that they put in Tesla 10 years ago wow

57:31

what do you think that's worth today

57:33

300K yeah something like that right so

57:36

that's amazing so now okay in real life

57:40

if you just did in a regular account

57:42

what's your tax consequence on the 300K

57:44

well long term if you're in California

57:46

30% at least 100K is gone you know right

57:49

so 100K is gone but what happens if it's

57:51

in your Roth IRA zero zero taxes now

57:56

most people have no idea how awesome the

57:58

Roth IRA is the Roth IRA has zero taxes

58:02

okay ever and the best part about it is

58:06

when you die your kids inherit it

58:08

taxfree and it's taxfree for them

58:11

forever you literally take money it can

58:14

never be taxed again that's all it's

58:17

it's really a wonderful plan it's it's

58:19

it's just like if you're a young

58:21

investor and you don't have a ro8 you

58:23

need to call us right away see if if you

58:24

qualify now you can do this in your 401k

58:27

or they have Roth 401ks as well M but

58:29

the 401K is another incredible vehicle

58:32

for saving for the long term and

58:34

building up money tax defer okay why

58:36

aren't people doing this because we talk

58:38

about investment stuff all the time but

58:40

we're not talking about that you can

58:41

actually increase your returns

58:42

dramatically by not paying taxes how

58:45

much well it's typically for average

58:47

person 2 to 3% of their returns are lost

58:50

because of taxes huh so just by using

58:53

tax make clear that's two or three% % of

58:55

the the yield so like if you had a 7%

58:57

return you're saying 2 or 3% is lost

58:59

well yields a little different but yes

59:01

okay but let's say you just have a

59:03

traditional mutual fund or ETF and you

59:04

make 10% a year and you realize some of

59:07

these profits you have 100K and you make

59:09

$110,000 right A lot of people you're

59:11

saying are are spending 3,000 in taxes

59:14

taxes CU yeah and and so just a good

59:17

chunk it well think about it if you can

59:20

increase your returns by 1 or 2% over

59:22

the next 20 or 30 years the amount of

59:24

money you have in that account doubles I

59:26

like what you that's crazy I like what

59:28

you said earlier you said something

59:29

about it most people uh it's not that

59:31

they uh they make bad Investments it's

59:33

that they make bad choices around their

59:35

Investments or something like that we

59:36

were talking about behavioral Finance

59:38

yeah well we were talking about the fact

59:39

that the market has gone straight up for

59:41

the last 50 years so you know if you

59:43

invested in the S&P or the NASDAQ NASDAQ

59:46

was actually created when I was born and

59:48

if you just did that for the long term

59:51

you know you you're rich as hell okay so

59:54

why isn't everybody rich as hell in

59:56

America right well it's behavioral right

59:58

so you know if you buy the S&P you can't

60:00

really lose over time if you hold it for

60:02

10 years so why isn't everybody doing

60:04

that and the problem is behavioral right

60:06

because it's like when markets are high

60:08

what do people want to do I want buy

60:09

more buy more and when markets are low

60:11

what do they want to do they want to

60:12

sell and this is just behavioral like

60:16

Finance 101 and and there's no way for

60:19

people to avoid those emotions and so

60:22

that's why financial advisers play such

60:23

an important role a lot of people think

60:25

oh it's about picking stocks and stuff

60:26

no a lot of times it's just saying no

60:28

just fighting yourself yeah and so they

60:30

call us up oh the markets are down I

60:33

don't know you know it's like in 22 you

60:36

know oh Nvidia was down 50% yep yeah it

60:40

was down like 120 bucks or something

60:41

there Nvidia was down 50%

60:44

2022 oh why do I own this dog yeah right

60:49

that's crazy it went from like I

60:50

remember now it went from like people

60:51

were buying it in like 320 and then it

60:54

went all the way down to like 120 and it

60:56

was like this is the worst stock ever

60:58

what an idiot what a loser to buy Nvidia

61:02

you know that's right that's right and

61:05

and so it's like buying low and selling

61:08

high is extremely difficult because

61:10

you're actually fighting all your

61:11

emotions like now so now we've got all

61:14

this Nvidia and do I sell some it's

61:17

really hard some so you just got to sell

61:20

a little just Tri just a little trim and

61:25

you know it's funny because then people

61:27

give you a hard time because it goes

61:28

higher and you're like I still own so

61:29

much in video well the social aspect of

61:32

it almost amplifies the emotion 100% so

61:34

the more public you are about what

61:36

you're doing with your portfolio the

61:37

more Amplified what you're doing is

61:39

because if you make the wrong move

61:40

everybody makes fun of you well you know

61:43

this whole idea of posting all this

61:45

stuff definitely doesn't help your

61:47

returns you know one of the things that

61:49

most people don't want to accept that

61:50

good investing is actually quite boring

61:53

you know like if you just buy good stock

61:55

like apple and you just hold it there's

61:56

nothing to do where's the daily trade

61:58

right right and I think most people are

62:00

looking for like the dopamine you know

62:02

like you go on a coinbase and all the

62:04

all the numbers are moving and it's like

62:06

very slot machiney you know and Robin

62:10

Hood's like a big slot machine and

62:11

that's actually the worst way to invest

62:13

the best way to invest is like in your

62:14

401k where you put money in monthly and

62:16

it's a system called dollar cost

62:18

averaging most people don't even know

62:20

what this is and it's super powerful

62:23

it's one of the simplest like investment

62:25

philosophies ever and it's been around

62:27

forever and it's just investing money on

62:28

a systematic basis monthly and that's

62:30

what you do in your 401k it turns out

62:33

that's the best way to invest money

62:34

where you take any emotion out of buying

62:37

so let's say you like a stock like

62:39

Nvidia and you want to buy it but it's

62:41

800 bucks so what do I do well you just

62:44

buy a little at a time for the next year

62:46

because it's going to move all around

62:49

and if you think you're going to time it

62:50

right you're wrong so what do you think

62:52

about the AI is the the AI

62:55

the AI is it is it all going to come

62:56

crashing down no oh no it's the

63:01

opposite it's not a bubble right now in

63:05

the last week or two I have physically

63:09

used three of the most incredible

63:12

technology inventions I have ever seen

63:15

in my life the first being AI there's

63:18

very little I do that I don't run

63:20

through chat now oo very little okay

63:23

okay is great for a lot of things okay

63:26

you should try it but when you start

63:28

extrapolating out all the different

63:30

Services we use from Airbnb to Uber to

63:34

Apple to Netflix and what knowledge can

63:39

do to all the data that they've

63:41

collected on us this is very powerful

63:44

very very uh huge opportunity to

63:46

increase productivity especially among

63:49

you know educated workers um you know

63:52

things like Microsoft co-pilot uh

63:54

already uh being integrated into our

63:56

business we've already integrated uh

63:58

Zoom notes into all of our Zoom so how

64:01

are you doing that like give me some

64:01

real example so like you're in a zoom

64:03

meeting and it just transcribes it for

64:05

you or summarizes it for it doesn't it

64:07

does it's not a transcription it's a

64:09

it's a summary oh it's like minutes it's

64:11

minutes so we used to have a person's

64:14

job like so we're doing a meeting with

64:15

you and one person's taking notes my

64:18

whatever but it's also like you know

64:21

action steps what we didn't need to do

64:22

with each client things like that taking

64:24

in information and then we're doing the

64:26

appointment with them and so on and so

64:28

forth now since the pandemic most of our

64:31

appointments are done on zoom and so

64:33

what happened when Zoom AI came out we

64:35

signed up for it immediately and what it

64:38

does is it summarizes your meetings now

64:40

each meeting with a client um actually

64:43

legally speaking we need to document and

64:45

so on and so forth so it sends me these

64:47

notes now and they're just so well done

64:49

it's really well done so it breaks down

64:52

each topic and paragraph and then

64:53

summarize is everything that you've

64:55

talked about with those clients and now

64:56

we're cutting and pacing that into our

64:58

Salesforce wow okay now I've been saying

65:01

this all week Salesforce should buy Zoom

65:04

for sure okay okay for sure so it has a

65:06

video platform I set my appointments

65:08

through Salesforce and then my video

65:10

just pops up just like what teams is

65:11

doing with Microsoft um so we'll take

65:14

that we'll cut and paste into our

65:17

Salesforce so that we have our notes so

65:19

now Zoom AI is taking notes now where

65:22

that also helps us is in management

65:23

because now I can oversee all the

65:25

appointments all of my teams are doing

65:27

we can see exactly what they're doing in

65:29

their appointments and then help those

65:30

advisers get better at what they do for

65:32

training purposes 100% And also

65:34

compliance when they say this call will

65:36

be monitored for training purposes or

65:37

whatever like you guys can actually

65:39

check now it's not just something that

65:40

people say because I always wonder like

65:42

are they is anybody actually going to

65:44

listen to this phone call but you have

65:45

ai that can help you well that and also

65:48

in the phone call thing they're just

65:49

Taping that so if you get in trouble

65:51

they can go back you know they don't

65:53

actually check it in real time but it's

65:55

Mo it's mostly documentation for us part

65:58

of it is compliance but we don't have

66:00

issues with that it's mostly the idea

66:02

that if you have younger advisers or

66:04

they're working with certain cases you

66:06

can see what they're talking about in

66:08

the order of their conversations and

66:10

where things could have been improved

66:12

improve sales or whatever totally so so

66:15

we're using that extensively now the

66:17

other place we're using it is in

66:18

research so now when I want to look up a

66:20

stock or an industry or whatever I start

66:22

with chat oh so I'll say tell me

66:24

everything about this industry um like

66:27

for example uh heat pumps air and heat

66:29

pumps we invested a company called train

66:30

technology it's done phenomenal for us I

66:32

put some heat pups in my house they're

66:34

amazing I don't use natural gas anymore

66:36

my natural gas bill went to zero um it's

66:40

really cool uh great for the environment

66:42

and such but I knew nothing about heat

66:44

pumps you know it's like nothing so it's

66:47

like I go in a chat tell me everything

66:48

about heat pumps how do they work

66:49

explain to me this process and it's just

66:52

like here you go

66:54

and then you can ask it questions you

66:56

know and now it's also for my writing I

66:58

like writing and one of the things I

67:00

hate about writing is having people

67:02

proofread it because everybody who

67:03

proofs reads does it a little bit

67:05

differently and then they mark up what

67:07

you're writing and some people are

67:08

really good at it but most people are

67:09

not so you you're having your assistant

67:11

proofread something then I repr

67:12

proofread it again because I don't like

67:13

all the changes and then I'll submit

67:15

something and I'm always never 100%

67:17

happy with it because it just takes so

67:19

long to really write something good okay

67:22

so now

67:24

10 minutes okay I write same thing I'm

67:27

going to write whatever cut and paste in

67:28

the chat make this better it rewrites it

67:31

for me just like the proofreader it's

67:33

still my article it's literally the same

67:35

exact thing but when I read it I go this

67:37

is perfect this is perfect I've never

67:39

written so good in my life and they're

67:40

like is it you yes I'm still writing it

67:43

I'm putting all the content in but it's

67:45

rewriting it just subtly but with much

67:48

better grammar wow and it's just I mean

67:52

it's just really good so how at what

67:54

point do we start seeing real profits

67:57

from this is it the open AI charging you

68:00

the 20 bucks a month 20 bucks a month

68:01

yeah it's just everybody in Mass paying

68:04

that basically yeah so the idea is like

68:06

we spend a lot of money on Salesforce

68:08

every year it's a very expensive program

68:10

but it's very very efficient for my firm

68:12

and and we've worked very hard with it

68:14

and it has no AI in it right now it

68:16

doesn't suggest anything so it gives you

68:19

list it gives you data like you need to

68:20

do this and checklists and stuff but it

68:22

doesn't do any mind you can't teach it

68:25

anything so Salesforce is a company that

68:27

could just dramatically improve through

68:29

using AI so would we pay an extra $20 a

68:32

user for that 100% oh wow okay so if I

68:35

could get the AI add-on I'll pay more

68:37

per seat you're already paying so much

68:39

per seat it's like why would I not do

68:41

this it's just like Microsoft paying $20

68:43

more for the co-pilot when you're

68:44

already paying Microsoft 365 it's like

68:47

why wouldn't I do that you know so

68:49

that's sort of what's going to happen

68:51

you're going to see these 10 and $20 a

68:52

month or they're just going to Ric the

68:54

packages that you see in Tech packages

68:56

to sign up for stuff you know like Adobe

68:59

or whatever entrance costs go up yeah

69:01

it'll be like Adobe basic Adobe basic AI

69:03

you know and and so essentially

69:05

everybody will just charge more for the

69:07

same programs but you'll say well why

69:08

would I pay more but if they're three

69:09

times more efficient yeah for sure

69:11

you're going to pay now you mentioned

69:13

that there's one worker group that would

69:16

be most at risk of being replaced by AI

69:19

was while we were driving back from

69:21

lunch by the Farms what what can explain

69:24

that a little bit and and is this a

69:25

warning to people which worker group is

69:28

most likely to get replaced by yeah you

69:30

know you love these topics don't you

69:34

fascinating well we were talking about

69:36

the demand for labor yeah and so like if

69:38

you're talking about redoing your roof

69:40

or gardening or building something or

69:43

any labor the the you know house

69:46

cleaners at the hotels what the demand

69:48

is off the charts and the pay is going

69:50

up okay but there's a lot of people

69:52

especially college educated people who

69:53

don't want to do those jobs right okay

69:55

they went to college they don't want to

69:56

work you know mowing lawns or whatever

69:59

so those people go to work most of the

70:02

time at bigger companies now so you have

70:04

all these big companies people work at

70:06

and in a lot of cases they're in the

70:07

cities and they're got these work from

70:09

home things going now and they make

70:11

pretty good incomes and a lot of their

70:13

jobs are sort of like not easily defined

70:17

I guess you know you're in marketing and

70:19

you kind of do this and you kind of do

70:20

that and I think what we're going to see

70:22

as company

70:24

drive to increase profits is where can

70:26

we create efficiencies and where AI

70:28

creates a lot of efficiency is where

70:31

there's inefficiency and one of the most

70:33

inefficient things I think that exists

70:35

today is work from home and the sort of

70:37

like oh so you don't like that work from

70:39

home um no not really I think

70:41

flexibility is great and I'm all for

70:44

that actually but I don't think you're

70:45

going to be a better employee make more

70:47

money collaborate better like where's

70:50

the upside other than to you MH Okay so

70:53

like from if you're trying to build your

70:55

career and you're working from home

70:57

you're not going to build much of a

70:58

career because you need to be around the

71:00

people who are actually building the

71:01

company passed up how do you learn

71:04

anything at home wow like at my company

71:08

it's a constant learning process you

71:09

start off you're 25 you're 30 years old

71:11

you want to move up you got to learn

71:13

stuff so if you're home what are you

71:15

learning but you come into our office

71:17

you got 50 people working you got

71:19

accountants you got insurance people we

71:21

got advisors we got all these people

71:22

working so you got question about this

71:24

you got to do that oh I want to talk

71:26

about these stocks or you know there

71:27

there's always something going on it's

71:29

fun actually you know and I'm all for

71:33

flexibility and work from home as an

71:35

option but what we've got our companies

71:38

now where people just work from home and

71:40

it's an

71:41

entitlement and as the economy gets

71:44

tougher as the rates bite as companies

71:47

get leaner and now companies have to

71:49

show more profits we're now seeing the

71:51

layoffs at every single tech company

71:54

interesting every single five 10% you

71:56

think the AI is going to contribute to

71:57

that absolutely so you're thinking I

71:59

think 10% of the current like Tech

72:03

entertainment Workforce will be laid off

72:05

because of AI and then it might be hard

72:07

why do you think they're having these

72:08

strikes in the unions because they know

72:10

and so you think that could be

72:12

accelerated by AI but then also it's

72:14

harder for you to actually get a job

72:16

because maybe you don't have experience

72:17

in actually the manual work or uh

72:20

whatever it might take to get to start

72:22

like fix cars even though it's very

72:25

lucrative because you just don't have

72:27

that skill set or desire you know so you

72:29

were working in marketing at Amazon you

72:32

know actually we just had a client

72:33

unfortunately get laid off from Amazon

72:35

very very high paid job in the

72:36

entertainment industry really yeah and

72:38

you're sort of like well where does she

72:39

go from here you know Amazon's laying

72:41

off yeah well it's MGM yeah okay um the

72:44

entertainment business is laying off

72:46

that's what happens when you have

72:47

strikes so I I said this every time

72:49

strikes are the worst thing for

72:51

Industries because what happens is the

72:53

people get what they want eventually

72:54

somewhere or another and then the

72:55

companies need to make money so they

72:56

fire people so you you gain here and you

72:59

lose there sure you know and then you're

73:00

on strike for five months you didn't get

73:02

paid the industry now has nothing coming

73:04

out you know it's

73:06

just so people are losing their jobs

73:09

thanks to the strike yeah wow yeah and

73:11

so what happens is if those people don't

73:14

really have great Tech skills or really

73:16

employable skills there's not going to

73:18

be new jobs created what do you do right

73:22

you have to so then you either e have to

73:24

rely on social services or what you've

73:26

earned so far or a combination of those

73:29

or you have to change your skill set

73:30

which is hard change your skill set or

73:31

work for less money wow um so I think

73:35

that

73:36

there's this Reckoning coming from so I

73:40

was telling the story when I graduated

73:42

from college how desperate people were

73:44

to get a job yeah okay this younger

73:47

generation has never experienced this

73:49

but this was how it always was hard to

73:52

get a job yeah so when I graduated from

73:54

college people would apply to like eight

73:57

Financial firms like Goldman and JP and

74:00

this and that and they would all get

74:02

rejected you know and that was like the

74:04

thing at pen was you'd like put all your

74:05

rejection letters on your on your door I

74:07

never did that because I never applied

74:09

to those firms I actually worked at

74:10

Disney briefly and so you know I got

74:12

hired out a out of college to work for

74:14

Mike Eisner at Disney and and I I lasted

74:17

there for about 3 months because like

74:20

they didn't actually have the job so

74:21

they had me like doing nothing and I was

74:23

like what the hell is this it's just

74:25

some big company I'm like stuck doing

74:26

nothing until the supposed job I'm

74:29

supposed to have actually happens and so

74:30

I ended up leaving Disney um and went to

74:33

a couple other record that's a whole

74:34

another story but I think the idea was

74:37

it was really hard to get a job you

74:38

would do like 10 interviews you would

74:40

dress up you would do anything to get a

74:42

job okay and I remember hiring when I

74:44

was an advisor a young adviser we were

74:46

hiring for our company and we would have

74:48

like literally like hundreds of people

74:50

apply every week oh wow yeah yeah this

74:53

was

74:54

1995

74:55

today you can put a hat out in the paper

74:58

I'm hiring I'm paying 85 Grand and get

75:00

nobody even

75:01

applying you see what I'm saying and so

75:05

the demand for labor has been so strong

75:07

that everybody's gotten complacent and

75:09

everybody's gotten comfortable and they

75:10

think that they deserve this and they

75:12

should get this benefit and that and

75:14

that's completely thrown the entire work

75:17

uh employee relationship upside down and

75:21

work from home is the most extreme

75:23

example of that okay nobody's working

75:26

from home at Blackstone they're 5 days a

75:28

week in the office okay we were just out

75:30

there talking to them and you know what

75:32

they go we make a lot of money here okay

75:36

you want to make money you come into the

75:37

office wow you don't want to come in the

75:39

office you don't work at

75:41

Blackstone okay so the people working at

75:44

Blackstone want to make money and I

75:45

think that's what the younger generation

75:47

is going to have to come to terms with

75:49

in the next 5 years wow is that the the

75:51

labor thing is going to come back in

75:52

balance and jobs won't be as plentiful

75:55

just making 180 Grand kind of doing

75:57

whatever isn't going to be there anymore

76:00

as companies need to show Growing

76:01

profits so you better get some skills

76:04

wow now on the other hand if you have

76:06

skills they're going to get paid you're

76:08

going to get paid more than ever because

76:09

that's what we were talking even more

76:10

opportun that's right so the halves and

76:13

the Have Nots are going to get way

76:14

bigger so what do you think I told my

76:16

kids this week I go we're sitting down

76:18

on the AI and you're learning AI we're

76:20

you're going to learn this stuff and

76:21

they go well the teachers aren't going

76:22

to let us it and I laughed and they go

76:25

why are you laughing and I go because

76:26

I'm going to teach you how to use it and

76:27

they'll never even know you're using it

76:29

I go you think the teachers are going to

76:30

be the the on the Forefront of

76:33

AI I go listen you're going to write the

76:36

paper and I'm going to show you how to

76:37

use AI because this is what's going to

76:39

shape your world whether you like it or

76:41

teachers like it this is the world of

76:43

the future and I'm preparing my kids for

76:45

the future so the best thing you can do

76:47

is start teaching your kids chat and

76:49

teaching your kids how to use these

76:50

tools because they'll be behind

76:53

if they don't know these things but if

76:55

they do the opportunities could be

76:58

Limitless that's incredible what about

77:02

um what about uh all the work from home

77:04

over at Twitter is that going to lead

77:06

them to

77:09

bankruptcy I don't know what they're GNA

77:10

do at

77:12

Twitter I don't know I I I money's got

77:15

to go into this business some from

77:17

somewhere I I don't I think they need

77:18

money so it's where elon's going to get

77:20

the money test stock unfortunately yeah

77:23

unfor you think that's coming it's

77:25

liquid yeah he said that he sold some

77:27

SpaceX recently but did that was that

77:29

last offering oh interesting um he owns

77:31

a lot of SpaceX oh yeah but it's not as

77:33

liquid he's got to do the offering thing

77:35

but he promised me that he wouldn't sell

77:38

Tesla for a year remember that was like

77:40

last December that was 2023 all of 2023

77:43

he said one to two years I think he said

77:45

maybe not 2024 but he so it's he sort of

77:48

left that open well I think there's the

77:49

B biggest risk for Tesla stock is him

77:51

selling yeah yeah for sure sure yeah

77:53

yeah I I think that's a risk and and

77:55

it's reality and that's the upside of

77:57

the pay package was him losing the pay

77:59

package prevented him from selling a lot

78:01

of Tesla stock oh interesting for taxes

78:04

I mean I was surprised the stock didn't

78:06

go up yeah well it's anti-dilutive right

78:09

actually shareholders made $50 billion

78:12

doar that day yeah I mean I mean it was

78:14

actually Bas people like Elon deserves

78:16

it nobody's debating that but Tesla

78:19

shareholders got back 55 billion whether

78:21

they realized it or not you know but the

78:24

stock went down you know that's

78:25

incredible yeah so you know I think the

78:29

reason is Tesla has a very dysfunctional

78:31

board as as I learned when I thought

78:34

about running for the board which I

78:35

learned very quickly how dysfunctional

78:37

that was and decided not to do that was

78:39

just so much pressure or what happened

78:41

well I started doing research into the

78:43

board and like what really caught me was

78:45

the comp thing uh which now they all

78:47

have to give back you know they got sued

78:49

for the comp thing there's never been a

78:51

board paid 200 million each to be be on

78:53

a board oh wow so that alone is a

78:55

conflict of interest because if you pay

78:57

somebody so much money to be on a board

79:00

then they're biased the whole purpose of

79:02

being on a board is you're independent

79:03

you get paid at Disney or wherever three

79:05

400 Grand now these are rich people so

79:07

it's not a ton of money but it takes a

79:09

lot of time being on a board of Disney

79:11

you know so you get 300 Grand you get

79:13

30,000 in options that's being on a

79:14

board that's always been being on a

79:16

board so how do you go on a board of

79:18

Tesla and you make 200 mil wow you know

79:20

so I started looking into that stuff and

79:22

I go oh God this is going to be a

79:23

nightmare and then sure enough that

79:25

lawsuit was going on and then they lost

79:27

so the board of Tesla has to give back

79:29

750 million okay actually Tesla

79:32

shareholders have done pretty good

79:33

things to the courts actually huh see

79:36

that's kind of the odd thing about this

79:37

whole thing is they've actually done the

79:39

courts have actually helped Tesla

79:40

shareholders a lot whe you know whether

79:43

anybody likes it or not is not the issue

79:45

but you know trying to like taking Elon

79:47

out as chairman of the board you know

79:50

having somebody supposed to be Twitter

79:51

sitting him these were all steps for

79:53

shareholders you know but I don't think

79:54

he does that no he doesn't nobody's

79:56

Twitter sitting him he doesn't even want

79:58

to show up at the SEC hearings which

80:00

he's being forced to go to yeah well

80:02

according to our laws here in the United

80:04

States is when you're subpoena you kind

80:05

of have to go yeah yeah why do those not

80:08

apply to Elon they do actually and so he

80:10

doesn't think so well he's an immigrant

80:12

it turns out maybe even an illegal

80:14

immigrant it turns out and I maybe he

80:17

never learned that in our Judicial

80:18

System you have to actually go oh

80:23

wow I'm sure he knows that he has a very

80:25

good lawyer are you going to buy a cyber

80:26

truck I just did O tell me about it I'll

80:30

tell you it was it was kind of a

80:31

conflicted decision I actually posted it

80:33

on Twitter you like should I buy it or

80:35

not and 65% said yes um I'm surprised

80:38

only 65% said yes well I said I have the

80:40

Plaid so I replace it with the Cyber

80:42

truck and so there's a certain amount of

80:44

people who were like no you know

80:47

um because I don't think the truck

80:49

serves a lot of purposes other than fun

80:52

okay which is why I bought it okay

80:54

because I was like you know truthfully I

80:56

don't need this and I'm kind of bored of

80:59

my plat I've had it for a few years so I

81:01

was like but I don't even know if I can

81:02

trade in my plaid and get back money so

81:04

I'm like that sucks thanks Elon and so

81:07

um keep both yeah that's what people say

81:10

you know and they go why don't you keep

81:11

both and I go well it's kind of not in

81:14

my nature to just waste money you know

81:16

like it's just not who I am even though

81:19

I can afford it people you can afford it

81:21

but you got to have the Cyber truck less

81:23

100K no it's not that I I got to have it

81:26

um Twitter said so no Twitter helped

81:29

push me over there I think what it was

81:33

was there's technology in the cybertruck

81:37

that's incredibly cool and it's new and

81:41

I've always had the newest vehicle of

81:44

Tesla to test these

81:46

Technologies and I don't think that I'll

81:50

know as much about Tesla if I'm not

81:52

driving a cybertruck okay because the

81:54

cybertruck needs a lot of work still

81:56

like software we were talking about full

81:57

self-driving doesn't work and things

81:59

like that so I think we're going to see

82:00

a lot of the Innovations from cyber trck

82:03

then like move on to the other vehicles

82:05

so I actually feel it's kind of my duty

82:08

to do this because I'm an investor in

82:10

Tesla I still have you know 60 plus

82:12

million in Tesla for our clients and and

82:14

I still love the company and I want to

82:16

see it be successful and so I just feel

82:19

my Edge as an investor is knowing more

82:21

than other people and if I'm not driving

82:23

the vehicle I won't know more than other

82:24

people are you an apple investor 100%

82:27

did you get the yeah I I have how was it

82:30

how was it how is it oh okay all right I

82:33

mean so you weren't one of the so I'm

82:35

saying I I I saw three of the greatest

82:36

invention ever so cybertruck is one AI

82:39

is two and apple Vision Pro is three

82:41

really yeah 100% so I'm having this

82:44

really weird experience with the Vision

82:46

Pro because it's everything I ever

82:48

wanted out of a VR headset but more and

82:54

Oculus was constantly disappointing I

82:56

would spend so much time getting it to

82:58

work and the hardware and the software

83:00

and the games and this and it was just

83:02

so clunky and heavy and junky and and I

83:05

hated it and every Oculus went in the

83:07

trash oh wow yeah it's just I I heard

83:09

the new Oculus is great but I I gave up

83:11

on Oculus okay but I always felt there

83:13

was not a good ecosystem so I get apple

83:16

Vision Pro I put this thing on

83:19

irrelevant of the hardware side it

83:20

immediately opens right into your Apple

83:23

ecosystem so that alone just makes the

83:25

whole process way better way easier my

83:28

photos are there all the apps are the

83:30

same and it's kind of like here are the

83:32

apps that we've made for this now you

83:35

know download these which aren't many

83:37

actually

83:39

and that alone the setup being so easy

83:42

which is one of Apple's you know

83:43

Specialties made it

83:46

nice so then there's the hardware so I

83:48

put on this thing and I I got it fit at

83:52

Apple so it fits right it has to be fit

83:55

it has to be what do you mean it has to

83:56

be custom fit well because it's it's a

84:00

headset so your face is different shape

84:02

than mine so what Apple did was this has

84:05

they want it to stick right so there's

84:07

not light okay but if you're if it's not

84:09

one size F at all so there's different

84:11

sizes so they just have like two

84:13

different sizes it's not two they have

84:14

many different sizes oh they have many

84:16

yeah and you can just snap it in to the

84:18

oh they give you a different one yeah CU

84:20

see I just ordered it online and and I'm

84:22

constantly like trying to adjust the

84:24

damn thing right so you got to go into

84:25

the store and then they'll fit you for

84:27

it and they'll say you're a 21 W or 22 W

84:30

and then you get it um and and then they

84:33

also have custom inserts for

84:34

prescriptions which I got those yeah but

84:37

mine are still messed up I got to get

84:38

this to work still but my eyes aren't so

84:41

bad so it's fine oh sorry um

84:46

so so I put on the hardware and I find

84:50

it to be completely immersive and

84:51

amazing right like right right off the

84:52

bat

84:54

um so the the one criticism I have of it

84:58

is it's so wonderful and enjoyable but

85:01

it's a little bit

85:02

heavy and just enough so that it's like

85:06

it's pushing on your your face like this

85:09

and then what happens is when you take

85:10

it off you look like a crumpled person

85:13

like my wife was like what the hell

85:15

happened to you you know then like you

85:17

just smash your face into a wall like 12

85:19

times I looked really weird you know

85:21

like eyes were puffy and this and

85:24

that because I was trying to watch a

85:26

movie and you can't so basically you can

85:29

wear for 30 to 45 minutes comfortably

85:31

and then it's heavy okay

85:34

um when this thing gets lighter game

85:37

over really game over so the experience

85:40

I've been having with it which has been

85:43

most interesting to me was when I

85:46

started playing my own videos and and

85:49

and uh pictures from my childhood I me

85:52

my kid childhood um I was they didn't

85:54

have that then um you know how Apple

85:56

does these memories and they put the

85:58

music to it and and I was saying this in

86:00

an interview this morning um last night

86:03

I I I it was like Coachella through the

86:05

years and it was with my wife because we

86:07

used to go every year until recently and

86:09

it got bad and so like it starts showing

86:12

me these videos and and and pictures

86:14

with the music but it's like massive

86:17

like better than an IMAX theater and and

86:19

and you start to get emotional it's it's

86:22

really weird you're almost reliving the

86:25

moments like and I did I almost cried

86:29

cuz like they were such good memories

86:31

like when my wife and I were going to

86:33

Coachella 2014 15 16 17 18 19 20 you

86:36

know until Co it it was so great and and

86:42

then I was like I got to shoot these

86:43

spatial videos with my children before

86:46

they get older because and you'll be

86:49

able to relive these experiences in a

86:52

way that I've never had so it's it's

86:56

really cool it's really cool cuz I think

87:00

now that I'm

87:01

older these memories are so important to

87:03

me and you have them in your head and

87:05

that's great but the way this is so

87:07

imersive it's almost like you're opening

87:10

up your memory up into a whole new level

87:12

wow so so that's just photos I haven't

87:15

got talk into gaming I was watching

87:17

Avatar way of the water it's insane it's

87:20

insane on this thing and I'm not even

87:23

talking Sports yet and not to mention

87:25

the illicit things you can do on this so

87:28

like Microsoft Word yeah yeah

87:33

so Apple Vision

87:35

bro okay so would you buy more Apple

87:38

stock after that um if it wasn't so

87:40

expensive yes oh you think apple is

87:41

expensive or the headset is expensive no

87:43

uh both both um I don't think this

87:46

headset this version is the version that

87:48

they sell 10 million a year Masset

87:50

although I they're selling a lot of them

87:52

it's very expensive um what I think is

87:54

version two I I'm really thinking two

87:57

years from now so two years from now

87:59

Tech gets twice as good it's a little

88:01

bit lighter you know it's a less of a

88:03

form factor this is a GameChanger

88:05

product they sell 10 20 50 million of so

88:09

I think for long-term investors is the

88:10

best thing that could happened for apple

88:12

apple trades at a a pretty high multiple

88:13

for Apple right now in the mid 20s

88:16

applea traditionally used to trade

88:17

around 20 times earnings you know so

88:19

Apple's trading a little bit of a

88:20

premium they don't have a lot of stuff

88:22

right here that looks so exciting but I

88:24

think as a long-term Apple shareholder

88:27

you should be very excited because not

88:28

only is a new hardware ecosystem it's a

88:30

new software ecosystem wow wow what am I

88:33

missing Ross I mean is is drone Powell

88:36

GNA come save us or or save us from what

88:38

yeah from himself from from The Landing

88:41

yeah you know I've been very critical of

88:44

Po because he's so reactive and he's

88:46

continuing to be reactive would you take

88:47

him to dinner do you like him I would

88:49

love to take him to dinner I you know

88:51

like a date yeah like I I'm always

88:53

fascinated like by people like them and

88:55

trying to understand their viewpoints

88:57

and and his perspective but I I've hung

88:59

out with plenty of academics like him

89:00

and I get their Viewpoint and you know

89:03

they just don't have enough real world

89:05

understanding um so they look at data

89:07

points and data is always in hindsight

89:09

like the CPI yeah any data you look at

89:11

is old right because it's data so if I

89:14

wrote it down it's something that

89:15

already happened so my job is not to

89:18

analyze what already happened what my

89:21

job is to try analyze what's going to

89:23

happen and the FED doesn't do that okay

89:25

the fed's saying here's my data points

89:27

and this is what should happen the

89:28

problem is the 3 months behind they've

89:30

been three months behind for two years

89:32

so now they need to be lowering rates

89:33

and they're still you know Jammer about

89:36

you know blah blah blah you know and I'm

89:38

like they should be very clear what's

89:40

going on here okay the banking system

89:43

has some cracks rates we've had to keep

89:47

a little bit higher to make sure

89:48

inflation's dead but they're still

89:49

talking like it could reemerge and this

89:52

this is nonsense the risk is the other

89:55

way too much deflation yes we have an

89:59

aging Society I mean there's so much

90:02

long-term data points if they need data

90:04

to show the disinflationary effects of

90:07

Technology of EVS of mortgages for 20

90:10

years at 2 and a half% that nobody's got

90:12

nobody has shelter

90:14

inflation you know I don't have shelter

90:17

inflation do you 30e mortgage no so

90:21

what's this freaking number shelter

90:24

inflation lagging rent increases yeah

90:26

lagging owner equivalent rent increases

90:29

like nobody has a mortgage like your

90:32

rent for your house goes up every month

90:34

no it's just nonsense so pce comes in

90:37

today at 28 that's what inflation is

90:40

inflation is the PC because it doesn't

90:42

include shelter gotcha as much yeah know

90:46

it's not in there it's personal

90:47

consumption you know and expenditure so

90:49

there's no shelter so that's why it's

90:51

2.8 you know it's like oh well we throw

90:54

shelter and we get to 3.1 you see but

90:56

real inflation is between 2 and 3% right

90:58

now that's exactly where we need to be

91:00

I'd rather have closer to 3% inflation

91:02

with 3% growth that's how you get a

91:05

roaring stock market you know that's how

91:07

you have a great economy you know if

91:09

you're really going to push uh inflation

91:11

out at 2% and it involves us going to 0%

91:14

growth then we have the risk of

91:15

recession and all these things the stock

91:17

market doesn't like so all Jerome has to

91:19

do is just lower rates to four and a

91:22

half four and go away and boy things

91:25

will be good real good for this country

91:28

like really good is Michelle Obama gonna

91:30

win I mean she definitely won already oh

91:33

yeah you know isn't she

91:34

[Laughter]

91:37

president um okay so um so so somebody

91:42

else running the sh today Republicans

91:43

mad

91:45

huh okay um what would Elon do with a

91:48

African-American woman president you

91:49

know that would be interesting what do

91:51

you do you think deep down inside he's

91:53

anti-semitic or racist actually no

91:55

that's the worst part about it that is

91:57

the absolute worst part of the situation

92:00

yeah I don't actually think he is I

92:03

think he's just

92:04

such a bad communicator and I think the

92:08

way he sees the world comes off

92:14

wrong so it's creating issues he's

92:17

misunderstood right the other side of it

92:20

I do think that he has a lack of

92:22

emotions towards humans and this lack of

92:26

understanding of the emotion puts you

92:29

know Tesla and him at risk of doing

92:31

things that offend people you know and

92:33

that's part of it too you know I don't

92:35

think he fully gets how offensive the

92:37

things he does are I just don't think he

92:40

does and then like I'm sure Tusa is

92:42

telling him you know his sister's great

92:44

you know she's real smart great woman I

92:47

they're liberal you know like I don't

92:49

know what the dinner at the bu house is

92:52

like can you imagine a dinner with

92:54

Kimble the the chef and Tusa the

92:57

intellectual liberal and then Elon and

92:59

they're like uh Elon um you know this

93:02

isn't going well you know and they're

93:04

like leave me alone you know I can't

93:05

even imagine wow yeah my gosh all right

93:08

Ross anything else wrap up did I miss

93:10

hey I wish Elon the best you know I I am

93:13

appreciative of what his contribution

93:16

has been but I'm also a big believer

93:18

that leaders need to lead by example and

93:20

be an example of of what's good in

93:23

society and I'd love to see Elon get

93:25

back to that um and so as I said if he

93:27

sold Twitter and just focus on Tesla

93:29

that would be the best thing ever and I

93:31

would be thrilled and Tesla would go

93:32

back up to 300 and everybody would be

93:35

happy again um I just don't know if

93:37

that's what he wants to do and that's

93:39

what makes me sad kind of because I

93:40

think Tesla's a beautiful thing and and

93:42

I'm you know support Tesla and I'm not

93:44

selling all my stock you know it's I

93:46

like Tesla and I think they're going to

93:47

do great things in the future and and

93:49

this is hopefully just a soier Jour for

93:52

hopefully not too long that they'll get

93:54

back on track you know not too much

93:56

longer yeah thanks for having me yeah

93:58

thank you so how do people get in touch

93:59

with you yeah Gerber kawasaki.com we

94:01

talked a lot you know about taxes and

94:04

and saving money and stuff like that as

94:05

well as investing today and you know

94:07

that's what we do at ger Kawasaki is we

94:08

help you build your financial plan we've

94:10

got a great tax and accounting division

94:12

that really it's a great time to look at

94:14

opportunities to save money and make

94:16

money through uh tax plans and investing

94:19

I'm very bullish on the future so you're

94:21

IRA and these things we were talking

94:23

about now is such a good time to do

94:25

these things so we'll set this all up

94:27

for you see I think this whole

94:28

do-it-yourself thing it sounds great

94:30

until you try to do it and then you get

94:32

scared or then you're not sure if you

94:33

filled out the application right or

94:35

you're not sure if this accounts right

94:36

for you or how much money you can put

94:38

into it and that's what financial

94:39

advisers do and we're one of the only

94:41

firms in the entire country that work

94:43

with people of all ages and all wealth

94:45

levels and that's one of the things I

94:47

really have to stress to people is that

94:49

my firm it doesn't matter how much money

94:50

you have to work with us and that's why

94:52

we have so many clients and we've grown

94:54

so so big because what we care about are

94:55

the people we're working with not the

94:57

amount of assets they come in with so so

94:59

please reach out Gerber kawasaki.com

95:01

happy to help you um great time to be an

95:04

investor and also as well house hack um

95:08

I'm involved with house hack and full

95:09

disclosure um on the board of directors

95:11

of house hack and um I'm a big fan of

95:13

real estate and what Kevin's doing with

95:15

house hack so that's also I think an

95:17

opportunity for investors that should do

95:19

their own work and and go to the house

95:20

hack website and make sure it's

95:22

appropriate for you or work with an

95:23

advisor like at our firm so that we can

95:25

help build a plan that includes

95:26

investing in in the stock market real

95:28

estate and other areas so so that's

95:30

Gerber kawasaki.com go check it out

95:33

awesome thanks so much for coming yeah

95:34

thanks for having me it's great to come

95:36

to ventur County I know it's not so bad

95:39

when there's no traffic full

95:40

self-driving Ross I wanted to ask you

95:43

you talked about AI uh the Cyber truck

95:45

is there any other industries that

95:47

you've been seeing and you've been doing

95:49

your boots on the ground research other

95:51

Industries or Innovations Industries

95:53

Innovations anything well yeah you know

95:56

I think it's about extrapolating

95:58

technology into other Industries so one

96:01

area for example is biotech you know

96:03

we're seeing this in healthcare U and

96:05

all the opportunities that technology is

96:07

bringing to health care and what the

96:08

potential is for that you know so and

96:11

like one area we're looking is

96:12

construction for example how companies

96:15

like you know you were showing me the

96:16

matter ports um and we're looking at a

96:18

company called procore which does

96:20

construction uh software which is now a

96:22

public company what are you going to buy

96:23

oh you're going to buy procore I'm

96:24

looking at it oh W I'm looking at we

96:26

have clients there as well and they've

96:27

got great reviews in the App Store it's

96:29

a great company and it's and it's really

96:31

the software that all these construction

96:32

people use and so they're updating this

96:35

so that it's got this client interface

96:37

and and so you can really like in real

96:39

time track your own construction

96:40

projects with your clients it's you know

96:42

so I think it's really about there are

96:44

many other Industries where technology

96:46

is having this massive impact in a

96:49

positive way that you know it's one of

96:52

the reasons why I own MGM hotels for

96:53

example online gambling there's an

96:55

online commitment to the business but

96:57

also the way that technology has made

96:59

especially during covid hotels and

97:01

casinos way more efficient way more you

97:03

know keyless entry into your room and

97:06

and checking and checkout and all this

97:08

kind of stuff it's all based around

97:09

technology so I think we have these core

97:13

technologies that sort of are these like

97:15

massive things but then it's like how

97:17

does that affect everybody else as they

97:20

implement it whether it's a financial

97:21

company like mine or or a real estate

97:24

company like Kevin's um It's that or or

97:27

really you know biotech and Healthcare

97:29

there's these wonderful massive

97:31

opportunities for the companies that

97:33

integrate Technologies uh rapidly and

97:36

successfully and that's kind of what

97:37

we've done at my firm since the

97:39

beginning is like new tech Implement

97:41

rapidly use it increase efficiency you

97:44

know and that's one of the reasons we've

97:45

been successful we've asked this

97:47

question to a ton of people we've

97:48

interviewed do you have any thoughts

97:50

about Taylor Swift I've seen some I have

97:52

a lot of thoughts about Taylor Swift

97:53

being in the music industry and I I'm

97:56

not a fan of her music per se and I

97:58

don't think it's bad music it's pop

98:00

music um but I think she is a phenomenal

98:04

Entertainer I think that she is an

98:07

example of what if you're going to build

98:10

a music business and you're an artist

98:11

like what you should do is what Taylor's

98:13

done now she's a she's not young you

98:15

know she's been doing this a long time

98:17

but I also give her tremendous respect

98:19

you know she not only k

98:21

Kanye's butt she kicked Scooter Braun's

98:24

butt she literally redid every album in

98:27

song okay so that people she didn't like

98:30

wouldn't make a lot of money off of her

98:33

okay her show not one person after all

98:37

the costs and and hassle getting tickets

98:40

not one person complained every single

98:43

person felt it was a great show and I

98:46

got to give her credit for that very few

98:48

artists do three-hour shows that

98:51

everybody's happy with after paying who

98:53

knows how much money you know people

98:55

stood in line you know people did crazy

98:58

stuff and not one person left saying

99:01

this was a little disappointing so you

99:03

got to give her just tremendous credit

99:06

her work ethic just the professionalism

99:09

and yet she hasn't done any of the

99:11

gimmicks that so many artists do for

99:13

views like nudity for example or extreme

99:17

language and behavior or whatever she's

99:20

just t and she's quite boring and she's

99:24

quite normal but it totally works so I

99:27

just got to give her a lot of credit I

99:29

I'm a huge fan from the entertainment

99:32

business perspective I you know I think

99:35

she's done a great job and as a musician

99:37

you know I think people should look at

99:40

her and say what can we learn you know

99:43

and there's a lot to learn and you have

99:44

some thoughts about Tik Tok and

99:46

Universal Music yeah well you know

99:48

because I'm a supporter of artists and

99:50

being an artist myself you know

99:52

musicians have been screwed by the

99:54

digital Industries starting with Spotify

99:56

and apple and moving on to Tik Tok and

99:59

social media companies so so there's

100:00

this concept which infuriates me that

100:04

you know a piece of digital music being

100:06

a small file is somehow worth very

100:08

little okay and especially the idea that

100:14

how many views we have per song is how

100:17

compensation should be so Taylor Swift

100:20

takes 50% of the streaming Revenue in

100:21

the industry and then the rest is split

100:23

between 7 million people and what it is

100:26

is that Spotify and apple wouldn't be

100:28

successful if they didn't have the

100:29

breath of music that they have right so

100:32

I listen to one thing one day on another

100:34

thing and it's all available even though

100:36

a lot of people listen to Taylor Swift

100:38

over and over and over again we sign up

100:40

and pay for these Services because we

100:41

have optionality so if you want to

100:43

listen to Hawaiian music you can find it

100:46

okay I literally punched up it had like

100:48

35 different Grateful Dead albums the

100:50

other day and I was like this is

100:51

incredible this is so amazing for $10 a

100:54

month okay now Netflix is charging me

100:57

$22 a month okay and you start thinking

101:01

about how cables charging how is music

101:04

so

101:04

cheap it's because apple and Spotify and

101:08

the companies like this is a plan not to

101:11

compensate artists so they can sell

101:13

devices okay so a few artists make tons

101:17

of money and everybody else is a second

101:19

job now that's what

101:21

okay so and I was saying this the other

101:23

day if you're playing bars as an artist

101:24

hoping to then sell streams to make a

101:27

living you are done because they've made

101:31

that obsolete okay so Tik Tok literally

101:36

almost every Tik Tok post has music in

101:38

it Tik Tok would be nothing if it

101:40

weren't for music so they bought a

101:43

company years ago that had a very

101:45

advantageous streaming deal because it

101:47

was a small company and that deal has

101:49

expired so un IV says you got to start

101:51

paying us what you should be paying us

101:54

and they say no so Universal pulls all

101:56

the music there's a lot of great artists

101:58

now this hurts the artist on the short

102:00

term because all the kids are watching

102:02

Tik Tok for music okay but you got to

102:05

pay these artists so taking 30 seconds

102:07

of a song or 60 seconds of the song in

102:09

my mind you should have to pay the whole

102:11

royalty and they're saying oh no we're

102:13

not listening to the whole song you see

102:15

what I'm saying so it's crazy to me that

102:19

a service that takes in I $ 20 billion

102:21

doar a year in ad rev that's based off

102:23

the backs of so many artists that

102:25

nobody's even heard of that they don't

102:27

want to pay people royalties it's just

102:29

insane it's insane how musicians and a

102:33

lot of artists have gotten screwed in

102:34

the digital era and it's because of

102:36

digital distribution

102:39

and I I don't know the solution because

102:43

all artists are now social media

102:45

influencers because that's what's

102:46

happened and that's what's happened and

102:48

that's why Rihanna doesn't make out

102:50

albums she makes lingerie okay that's

102:53

why Beyonce doesn't make albums you know

102:57

she makes clothes or whatever you know

102:59

it's like they make money on all the

103:01

products that's where they make money

103:04

that's music so that's why I'm angry at

103:06

Tik Tok Spotify I think Spotify should

103:09

cost twice as much and the artist should

103:11

get that money and it's ridiculous that

103:14

I can listen to every artist who's ever

103:16

lived I can go listen to Harry bellante

103:18

and I'm sure a lot of people don't

103:19

listen to Harry bellante but his music's

103:21

phenomenal and it's actually the root of

103:23

so much other music on here and but he

103:25

doesn't make really make any money but

103:27

the optionality of me being able to see

103:29

Harry but but listen to his music is is

103:31

is awesome and I think there should be a

103:33

minimum royalty to all artists on The

103:35

platforms like just all artists should

103:38

get a minimum amount of money and if

103:40

they don't like it then they shouldn't

103:41

have 17 million artists on there that

103:43

suck you know so they've commoditized

103:47

art and they've killed the artists and

103:49

in societies throughout history you know

103:52

mostly Kings and the wealthy used to

103:53

support artists so that there would be

103:55

art but that doesn't really happen that

103:56

much anymore AI music now oh yeah that's

103:59

garbage you don't like

104:01

it you know what I like I like artists

104:04

yeah you go see artists because of who

104:06

they are I don't need a computer just

104:08

spit back notes that sound like lead

104:09

Zeppelin you ever see Robert Plant

104:14

Live eagles live yeah they're good too

104:17

and they're playing the sphere I think

104:19

now you got to go see live shows and

104:21

real artists like I just saw Neil Young

104:23

and AI isn't going to replace Neil Young

104:25

you know it's like it is what it is so

104:27

that's the future is music or movies

104:29

without AI I think it's about uh humans

104:32

do beautiful things that computers can't

104:35

do hum computerss Can't Make Love Not

104:38

Yet

104:41

never thanks Ross all right

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