JP Morgan Just Closed Its Silver Short — And This COMEX Document Explains the Violent Move
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Silver
just experienced
a forced repricing event and uh we are
going to be looking in a very
interesting document.
It is comx delivery data and it tells
you exactly who was on the wrong side of
this move and would just exited. And
this is how you know the real market
structure reveals itself
and you can see the key details at the
top. So this is the exchange
the contract February 26 5,000
5,000 ounces of silver futures
settlement price intent date and
delivery date. This is not paper
trading. This is a delivery intent.
So that means that the contracts
are either issued, someone is delivering
silver or stop, someone is taking
delivery or closing exposure.
This is where short positions either
stand or fold.
Each row that you're seeing
uh shows the institution
whether they're acting as a house or
customer, how many contract they stop
and one contract is 5,000 ounces of
silver. Now focus your attention here.
JP Morgan Securities.
You see that, right? It's circled in
red. JP Morgan securities 633
contracts.
Again, one contract is 5,000 ounces of
silver.
So, this is 3 something million ounces
of silver. And the key word here is
stopped. And this mean that the position
is no longer short. Uh exposure has been
closed and pressure has been released.
This is uh you know this is what they
did. So markets don't move because of
opinions. They move because positions
get unwound. I mean you know prices go
up and down because what people do if
you buy the price go up. If you sell the
price go down for years
JP Morgan has been associated with
structured silver shorts.
I've done a video on that in the past
and uh market market making dominance
and and being active on comics. So when
a player of this size closes a short, it
does two things simultaneously.
It removes downward. No, just to be
clear that the short you're basically
you're basically
speculating
that the price is going to go down and
you're going to make money when that
happens. Now, let's connect this to the
chart below. So, you could see what
happened and then [laughter]
this this is obviously silver and you
know what happened on silver on
Thursday. There was a strong upward
trend with silver as we know and higher
high and and then and then suddenly a
near vertical sell-off. Boom. Price
collapses into the $78 zone exactly
where the com settlement price is
printed. So this is not it's not random.
This is a force liquidation into
delivery settlement.
That's what happens when shorts exit
liquidity caps appear and price
overshoots.
I told my my uh my members uh today what
my thoughts were on gold and silver.
The market didn't change its mind. It
closed its books.
So here's the the counterintuitive truth
here. The more the most violent silver
selloff historically occurs near major
bottoms, not the tops. Why? Because
silver is thinly traded,
leverage sensitive and structurally
constrained.
So when large shorts as these, you know,
those negative trades such as these,
price often drops first then stabilizes.
So this is not a collapse. This is
basically we are resetting the market
structure. And and most people will say,
"Oh my god, silver broke support." uh uh
and the professional usually what we say
is who was forced to act.
The document answers that question. The
dominant short is gone. That changes
the entire forward curve.
The move right this the next move won't
be slow. Silver never is.
So if you're waiting for silver to film
calm, you're going to miss the move.
Real signals don't come from the price
alone. They come from who exits the
battlefield. And this document tells you
someone very large just did.
mean look at the chart.
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