sh*t let's just be real. f*ck it elon.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey in this video You're going to hear a
lot about my thoughts about Tesla and
robotaxi just remember that we're going
to change the price on the courses on
building your wealth and the stock trade
alerts as soon as I wake up tomorrow so
you better hop to it email us at staff
mein.com if you have questions and we'll
honor the pricing so we can make sure we
get back to your pricing questions so
email us if you have questions at staff
atme kevin.com wow today was an
absolutely crazy day first of all Tesla
went
absolutely AP and then ham like
what we were down
6% after being only down 33 basis points
so we went from 33 basis points to down
6% to down 3% to up 4% in the after
hours what yeah part of that has to do
with Elon Musk suggesting that now on
August 8th we are going to introduce
robotaxi so we need to digest all of
this piece by piece but the first thing
that we need to do is we need to share
this tweet so I sent a tweet and I
mentioned this I said I started on
social media fulltime 7 years ago two
things have always been true number one
I've always loved Lauren more and more
every single day and number two no
matter what I will always tell you how I
feel even if that's not the popular
opinion and I'll never stop see when AMC
was ripping I had a problem with the AP
shares and I was really honest with my
opinion and a lot of people were very
upset about my
opinion and they just chose to not
follow me anymore because they thought I
was anti
their movement when the reality was I
was reading through the and
trying to be honest when during covid I
was honest about my concerns about
certain programs versus others people
thought that I was trying to hurt them
but the reality was I was trying to help
and the same has been true of stocks
that we've talked about on the channel
I've been optimistic about pelaton but
then I said when pelaton was
$113 oh my God they're having to drop
prices it's time to sell boy that sounds
eily similar or oh my gosh shift might
go bankrupt it's time to sell at
$9 oh my gosh FTX is about to go
bankrupt we all need to go get out and
people are like no no no everything's
fine sand bankman freed said
everything's fine and I'm like dude
get
out it is um it's very difficult to be
on social media because you have two
choices you could be a transitory social
media agent and that's somebody who
comes
on and usually the way that works is
they
regurgitate uh whatever is popular so
you go on sort of social media go oh
that's the sentiment oh that's what
people are replying with oh that's what
people are going to think okay and then
they take the most popular likes or most
liked posts or most liked videos and
they regurgitate the top five most
popular arguments oh yeah well buid went
down 40% so Tesla's
fine it's nothing to do with the
problems Tesla is facing and it's
embarrassing when you compare it to
Hyundai Nissan Toyota GM Ford but oh my
gosh that would require data analysis
which maybe we've posted all of that
already on ec.com but
whatever so The Challenge on social
media is if you want to just do what's
popular that's easy you could just read
what's popular regurgitate that and then
congratulations everybody likes you
one of the things I found uh that's very
hard about social media
is expressing what you believe when
you're
early like when I was early on
discussing Co stimulus or when I was
early on warning about FTX or when I was
early about warning about pelaton or
shift or when I was early about warning
about tattoo Chef or when I was early
about warning about spaxs and when I was
early about saying you should get into
Cash above and all above anything else
and when I was early about saying stay
away from bonds because they're about to
tank or stocks cuz they're about to
tank nobody wants to hear that you're
just a
flip-flopper but the reality is we
should not be in a position where we're
so worried about what's wrong or right
we should be worried about what's the
best thing to do now going forward see
that's very different wrong or right is
hindsight analysis what to do now is
going forward
and so that's where we have to talk
about
Tesla all uh well also at the same time
we should just briefly mention that you
know there were some comments today
where people are like oh you should talk
about your losses as well as your gains
yeah I had a $17,000 gain on a trade
today that was great but I did also have
uh some other gains and losses I had
$1,000 gain a $17,000 gain and a $1,400
loss so technically I'm only up
166 now I did mention that but I
mentioned that in the last video at the
end of the last video and I should have
mentioned it up front sorry for that we
do have a coupon code expiring tonight
and I'm going to go to bed after making
this video I'm pretty dang worn out and
I'm pretty dang tired because it's been
a roller coaster day and I had a lot of
deadlines today and
so we're going to talk Robo taxi but I
don't think I'm going to get back to all
these bundle emails so you still got a
few hours before we raise the price on
the uh courses on building your wealth
by the way I will say shout out to the
people joining there are a lot of people
joining the courses on building your
wealth most people right now are either
buying the stocks and psychology of
money group or they're buying the stocks
and psychology of money group and the
real estate bundle I'll give you an
example uh we got Jesus who just bought
stocks and psych Zachary just bought
actually do-it-yourself property
management and Rental renovations
bundle up from some of the other courses
we've had that one's great because we've
got a lot of other people in that one
stocks and psych we got Daniel uh
Ricardo Constantine Fernando Christian
Pat ralo Steven ashgar Mandy
William
Marcelo um many others here but anyway
thank you thank you so much for joining
and do note that I just posted a message
in the Discord and said that if anybody
has lecture suggestions please mention
them because I am going to go through
another recording session of new
lectures so if you watch our lectures
and you think something's missing I will
add the new lectures completely for free
so that's going to come within the next
uh week and a half here so stay tuned
for
that but in this video we we we really
need to talk about Tesla robotaxi so
I think we should just be honest and we
should be honest and
transparent first of all I love
Lauren but second of all I had uh
multiple
debates with a group of uh Tesla balls
hyper balls I'll call them this is crazy
I'm sorry but you You' have been too
long in Ross's and and Gary's school I'm
sorry of all I'm happy to hear what
you're saying but wait wait wait wait
wait I'm happy to hear what you're
saying but that's that's a popular thing
to say because people like to say these
populist slams or whatever but that's
disrespectful first of all uh and second
of all I they're not my dad I I I I
listen to everybody equally I'm here I'm
not talking to Ross and Gary I haven't
talked to them at all today I'm here
listening and talking to y'all so we
don't have to start with that the issue
with that is that short-term noise does
potentially affect hiring Recruitment
and talent compared to other AI
organizations so that is something to
keep in mind we do want to attract AI
talent to Tesla you want the best AI
Talent there there so that leaves us
stuck with q1 Q2 which right now aren't
looking too great and then I know you
want to buy and you need 10 days but
stop talking down the stock that's all
you're trying to do it's all good that's
that's that's not that's not true at all
well well hold on again it's it's
completely disrespectful to my argument
well hold on hold on I I I I gave you
all a chance to talk I made a very
respectful argument I said I agreed with
you with the licensing I said there's a
political risk you didn't mention
regarding attracting talent to Tesla and
I also made a respectful argument and
said I actually made a prediction and I
said I think we're going to start with a
small scale Robo taxi launch where they
compete with the zukes and the likes of
weo and that they can expand a hundred
times faster than the others these are
actually extremely bullish statements I
just think they're realistic statements
they don't help us q1 Q2 duh so then I
was going to say what does this do for
26 27 28 but then you did cut me off I
think for 26 27 28 that's probably when
Tesla really starts pricing in the
explosive growth because that's when
wall Street's going to be able to start
realizing aha Tesla's doing what the
wh's doing but look at how they can
scale a 100 times faster look at I mean
Tesla AI just posted Tesla hit 1 billion
miles of FSD so this is great like Tesla
has so many wonderful things going for
it but I just want to be clear I like
it's it it is rude for me to be here and
then you make that accusation and this
is the second time now I'm asking you to
please be respectful I'm being very
respectful I I I will be respectful
Kevin and I appreciate you hyper bols I
can see no wrong and that's okay I still
respect
them I uh I'm I'm not as optimistic as
they are I uh I do not think that full
self-driving Vehicles as Robo taxis are
worth $1 per
mile I'm sorry Brett I think that's
wrong from Arc I respect you I like you
I'm sorry Tasha from Arc I'm
sorry everybody else who thinks you're
going to make a dollar per mile
submitting your car to a robo taxi Fleet
I think that is
delusional I think it is straight up
delusional to think that you were going
to have bought a Tesla and you are going
to somehow turn your Tesla into
$100,000 of passive income annually that
is what I heard people talk about today
and I think it is straight up
delusional now I understand the hopium
the hopium is that we'll be able to take
out our phones and go well we all have
uh self-driving Vehicles should be easy
just submit them to the
fleet no no because when and if that
happens trust me in every single local
you'll have 100 Teslas looking for about
one person willing to
ride the demand for robo taxis compared
to the demand for Uber and Lyft will not
be one to one the demand for robo taxis
will only rise when the price
collapses and then Uber and Lyft will
collapse and go bankrupt and then the
demand for robo taxis will exist at
probably cents per
mile now I'm not saying if you drive 5
miles you're only going to pay 5 cents
there'll be some base fee some minimum
fee but you also have to offset the
charging depreciation vehicle investment
so the ROI for the investor in the
vehicle and unfortunately I don't think
that's going to be the vehicle that you
own I think the model uh 2 Robo taxi is
actually going to be a very Niche
product that only works for
robotaxi so ironically I think that
Reuters was right see Reuters suggested
that they spoke with insiders multiple
insiders and found that the $25,000
vehicle was
dead and you know this led a lot of
people say that reuter is a fraud and
they're a lie well Reuters alleged that
one source said that elon's directive
was to go all in on robotaxis and to
cancel the $25,000 vehicle and see this
is very interesting because if you look
at Elon musk's history all you have to
do is look at his
book I have it right here see I'm
wearing my little Tesla sweater
here got some jeans on whatever
it's right
here it's right
here I have it it's in my
studio and I'm going to read you a
section I clipped from
it for years they had talked about what
should be Tesla's Next Generation
offering a small
inexpensive Mass market car selling for
around
$25,000 Sorry by the way if I sound a
little lispy I had
carrots I we buy raw carrots and I'm
actually highly allergic to Raw carrots
so my throat gets itchy and my voice
sounds different and my lips kind of
swell
up I eat them anyway though I don't
think I'm anaphylactic having my my
throat close up all the way at least but
anyway musk himself has teased the
possibility in
2020 but then he put a hold on those
plans and over the next 2 years he
repeatedly vetoed the idea saying that
the robo taxi would
make the other car unnecessary the robo
taxi would make the 25k car unnecessary
hm interesting nevertheless others had
quietly kept it alive as a shadow
project hm interesting so maybe the
$25,000 car we were told was coming with
$110,000 of I'm sorry 10,000 volume
units of production per year I'm sorry
no that's per week I believe I believe
that was 10,000 units per week uh per
week starting at the end of 2025 was
frankly just clickbait because they
never actually thought about making a
$25,000 vehicle that you could buy they
thought about making a $25,000 vehicle
that Tesla could license as a robo
taxi well that's a little different
now why is that different
well let's say you don't think Robo taxi
is going to be a reality until 2030 well
I could sell you a Tesla $25,000 car in
2025 or 2026 but I can't sell you a
roboox until probably 2030 which means
I'm going to have to delay my earnings
per sh share estimates for Tesla which
means this is actually a net negative to
Tesla in the near term near to medium
term
yeah now a lot of people get mad about
that they say well you should be a
long-term investor what do you mean you
care about 2026 EPS estimates oh my gosh
all right
fine so let's assume the robo taxi Fleet
is here and Tesla's the only one who's
going to produce it my prediction by the
way is that Tesla is going to release a
localized
robotaxi option that's going to be very
similar to zuk's and it's going to
operate in areas like San Francisco and
Vegas and it's going to end up looking
like zuk's which is amazon-owned and
it'll be a localized Robo taxi it'll
work and the odds are it'll be able to
expand to new cities substantially
faster than other vehicles but it's
still going to be a niche product for
quite a while here's
zuk's it exists it exists today it's
allowed to go on Prototype drives of up
to 35 mil hour but does it drive on
highways does it get off Highway off
ramps does it change change lanes on
highways no no it doesn't so
unfortunately I think there's
a regulatory hurdle that comes with this
as
well because elon's FSD is not perfect
every FSD driver knows that there is not
a single FSD driver who says the vehicle
is perfect for full self driving level
five autonomy now I understand people
say well Kevin don't let perfect be the
enemy of the good that's fine I agree
FSD is much safer than a human driver
110%
agree but even though you're safer than
a human
driver doesn't mean you're going to get
Robo taxi approval on a broad-based
level to where every
operator can be
you the first operators for robo taxis
will always be the corporations it will
always be the Amazon the Google the GM
and the Tesla it's not going to be you
the next operators will be those who are
willing to pay for extremely expensive
licenses and oversight procedures that
require a very strict maintenance of
their vehicle Fleet which the vast
majority of individual owners will not
be willing to partake in just look up
for
example flight
operators
okay there's something called a part 135
operator verse a a part 91
operator if you know you know let's just
say if you're a 91 operator you don't
want to be a
135 and if you're a 135 you paid enough
money to The Regulators to your to where
you're like please let me fly other
people in my jet for
money good luck paying those
fees in other words bottom line I think
that the Tesla Robo taxi is
unfortunately a
downgrade this is painful to say this
very painful to
say because a lot of people are really
optimistic about this they think that
Reuters is uh wrong because Elon said
they lied so obviously uh that means
they lied about everything
wrong I actually think Reuters and Elon
are
right now how is that
possible it's actually quite
simple it's actually very
simple Elon
Musk will not produce a $25,000
vehicle retail will never buy a $25,000
Tesla unless it's some used Tesla or uh
massively subsidized government
Tesla no instead we're robot taxis will
be operated by Tesla so it is a lie that
the $25,000 car is dead because Tesla is
going to use the $225,000 car but for
you the retail audience it's true it's a
lie Reuters lie to you everyone please
Reuters is a scam because Reuters lie to
you Reuters told you that the $25,000
Tesla is cancelled and you know what
they're wrong the $25,000 Tesla is
cancelled but not for
Tesla of course this a Tesla shareholder
you're like oh that's okay they'll make
the money on the robot
taxi
right right yes that's what we'll
underwrite we'll underwrite that every
single Tesla will make $100,000 per year
in passive
income delusional no
no if every Tesla owner could submit
their car to the robo taxi Network I
will guarantee you there's no way you
will make $100,000 a year on one vehicle
there's no way the price per mile will
plummet because most of what you
compensate a driver for today in Uber or
Lyft is a labor not the
car price will
collapse H yeah
so um this is where I call
and just like this old card
that I have on my desk do you know what
this card is it's how I started my
career look at
that the no pressure agent realtor Kevin
paffrath you know what's on the other
side don't
oh
don't
get
biffed don't get
biffed you're being lied to if you think
you're going to turn your car into a
robo taxi on August
8th you're full of poopy doopy you're
being lied to I think on August 8th we
are going to get a
generic demonstration of none other than
a product that already exists
aukes that'll be Tes level five okay we
can do certain cities Great yes we'll be
able to scale faster than anybody else
because we use Vision versus the map
liar I know I
agree but will you own that vehicle no
Tesla will actually use their fantastic
new unboxed assembly line they'll make
100 cars for themselves
elves and you'll have 100 Tesla Robo
taxis so it'll be true they'll be Tesla
Robo
taxis just like there are
Whos but do I think you're going to turn
your Tesla into a robotaxi on August
8th you'd be delusional to think
that so am I short Tesla today no am I
trying to talk to stock down
no
disrespectful people think that it's
okay let them think whatever they
want just trying to be
realistic Elon Musk is uh in a
corner he had to come out with an
announcement today so by saying that
Reuters lied about the $25,000 car he's
right there won't be a $25,000 car but
there will be a $25,000 car for
Tesla it's all in the
Nuance doesn't actually make me that
bullish unfortunately but I do want to
be bullish longterm because I do think
long-term Chevy Ford and all the
competitors will die in America and
Tesla will stand Supreme and Tesla will
win in a long
run but not in the short term especially
with Ray Cuts coming later than we why
not advertise these things that you told
us here I feel like nobody else knows
about this we'll we'll try a little
advertising and see how it goes
congratulations man you have done so
much people love you people look up to
you Kevin PA there financial analyst and
YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get
your
take even though I'm a licensed
financial adviser licensed real estate
broker and becoming a stock broker this
video is not personalized advice for you
it is not tax legal or otherwise
personalized advice tailored to you this
video provides generalized perspective
information and commentary any third
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endorsed by me this video is not and
shall never be deemed reasonably
sufficient information for the purposes
of evaluating a security or investment
decision any links or promoted products
are either paid affiliations or products
or Services we may benefit from I also
personally operate an actively managed
ETF I may personally hold or otherwise
hold long or short positions in various
Securities potentially including those
mentioned in this video however I have
no relationship to any issuer other than
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always read the PPM at house.com
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