TRANSCRIPTEnglish

sh*t let's just be real. f*ck it elon.

26m 30s3,840 words581 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

hey in this video You're going to hear a

0:02

lot about my thoughts about Tesla and

0:04

robotaxi just remember that we're going

0:06

to change the price on the courses on

0:08

building your wealth and the stock trade

0:11

alerts as soon as I wake up tomorrow so

0:15

you better hop to it email us at staff

0:18

mein.com if you have questions and we'll

0:21

honor the pricing so we can make sure we

0:23

get back to your pricing questions so

0:26

email us if you have questions at staff

0:28

atme kevin.com wow today was an

0:32

absolutely crazy day first of all Tesla

0:36

went

0:38

absolutely AP and then ham like

0:42

what we were down

0:45

6% after being only down 33 basis points

0:49

so we went from 33 basis points to down

0:51

6% to down 3% to up 4% in the after

0:57

hours what yeah part of that has to do

1:00

with Elon Musk suggesting that now on

1:03

August 8th we are going to introduce

1:06

robotaxi so we need to digest all of

1:10

this piece by piece but the first thing

1:12

that we need to do is we need to share

1:14

this tweet so I sent a tweet and I

1:17

mentioned this I said I started on

1:20

social media fulltime 7 years ago two

1:24

things have always been true number one

1:28

I've always loved Lauren more and more

1:30

every single day and number two no

1:33

matter what I will always tell you how I

1:35

feel even if that's not the popular

1:39

opinion and I'll never stop see when AMC

1:43

was ripping I had a problem with the AP

1:48

shares and I was really honest with my

1:51

opinion and a lot of people were very

1:52

upset about my

1:54

opinion and they just chose to not

1:57

follow me anymore because they thought I

1:58

was anti

2:01

their movement when the reality was I

2:03

was reading through the and

2:06

trying to be honest when during covid I

2:10

was honest about my concerns about

2:14

certain programs versus others people

2:17

thought that I was trying to hurt them

2:20

but the reality was I was trying to help

2:23

and the same has been true of stocks

2:25

that we've talked about on the channel

2:27

I've been optimistic about pelaton but

2:30

then I said when pelaton was

2:33

$113 oh my God they're having to drop

2:36

prices it's time to sell boy that sounds

2:39

eily similar or oh my gosh shift might

2:43

go bankrupt it's time to sell at

2:45

$9 oh my gosh FTX is about to go

2:49

bankrupt we all need to go get out and

2:52

people are like no no no everything's

2:54

fine sand bankman freed said

2:57

everything's fine and I'm like dude

3:00

get

3:04

out it is um it's very difficult to be

3:08

on social media because you have two

3:12

choices you could be a transitory social

3:16

media agent and that's somebody who

3:19

comes

3:20

on and usually the way that works is

3:23

they

3:24

regurgitate uh whatever is popular so

3:27

you go on sort of social media go oh

3:30

that's the sentiment oh that's what

3:33

people are replying with oh that's what

3:35

people are going to think okay and then

3:38

they take the most popular likes or most

3:42

liked posts or most liked videos and

3:44

they regurgitate the top five most

3:47

popular arguments oh yeah well buid went

3:51

down 40% so Tesla's

3:55

fine it's nothing to do with the

3:57

problems Tesla is facing and it's

3:59

embarrassing when you compare it to

4:01

Hyundai Nissan Toyota GM Ford but oh my

4:06

gosh that would require data analysis

4:08

which maybe we've posted all of that

4:11

already on ec.com but

4:14

whatever so The Challenge on social

4:16

media is if you want to just do what's

4:19

popular that's easy you could just read

4:22

what's popular regurgitate that and then

4:26

congratulations everybody likes you

4:30

one of the things I found uh that's very

4:32

hard about social media

4:34

is expressing what you believe when

4:37

you're

4:38

early like when I was early on

4:41

discussing Co stimulus or when I was

4:43

early on warning about FTX or when I was

4:46

early about warning about pelaton or

4:48

shift or when I was early about warning

4:50

about tattoo Chef or when I was early

4:53

about warning about spaxs and when I was

4:56

early about saying you should get into

4:58

Cash above and all above anything else

5:01

and when I was early about saying stay

5:02

away from bonds because they're about to

5:04

tank or stocks cuz they're about to

5:06

tank nobody wants to hear that you're

5:09

just a

5:10

flip-flopper but the reality is we

5:13

should not be in a position where we're

5:15

so worried about what's wrong or right

5:18

we should be worried about what's the

5:20

best thing to do now going forward see

5:23

that's very different wrong or right is

5:25

hindsight analysis what to do now is

5:28

going forward

5:31

and so that's where we have to talk

5:32

about

5:33

Tesla all uh well also at the same time

5:36

we should just briefly mention that you

5:39

know there were some comments today

5:40

where people are like oh you should talk

5:42

about your losses as well as your gains

5:44

yeah I had a $17,000 gain on a trade

5:47

today that was great but I did also have

5:49

uh some other gains and losses I had

5:51

$1,000 gain a $17,000 gain and a $1,400

5:56

loss so technically I'm only up

6:00

166 now I did mention that but I

6:03

mentioned that in the last video at the

6:04

end of the last video and I should have

6:06

mentioned it up front sorry for that we

6:09

do have a coupon code expiring tonight

6:11

and I'm going to go to bed after making

6:13

this video I'm pretty dang worn out and

6:15

I'm pretty dang tired because it's been

6:16

a roller coaster day and I had a lot of

6:19

deadlines today and

6:22

so we're going to talk Robo taxi but I

6:25

don't think I'm going to get back to all

6:26

these bundle emails so you still got a

6:30

few hours before we raise the price on

6:33

the uh courses on building your wealth

6:36

by the way I will say shout out to the

6:38

people joining there are a lot of people

6:40

joining the courses on building your

6:41

wealth most people right now are either

6:44

buying the stocks and psychology of

6:45

money group or they're buying the stocks

6:47

and psychology of money group and the

6:49

real estate bundle I'll give you an

6:51

example uh we got Jesus who just bought

6:54

stocks and psych Zachary just bought

6:56

actually do-it-yourself property

6:58

management and Rental renovations

7:00

bundle up from some of the other courses

7:01

we've had that one's great because we've

7:03

got a lot of other people in that one

7:05

stocks and psych we got Daniel uh

7:08

Ricardo Constantine Fernando Christian

7:12

Pat ralo Steven ashgar Mandy

7:18

William

7:20

Marcelo um many others here but anyway

7:24

thank you thank you so much for joining

7:27

and do note that I just posted a message

7:30

in the Discord and said that if anybody

7:33

has lecture suggestions please mention

7:35

them because I am going to go through

7:38

another recording session of new

7:40

lectures so if you watch our lectures

7:42

and you think something's missing I will

7:44

add the new lectures completely for free

7:48

so that's going to come within the next

7:49

uh week and a half here so stay tuned

7:51

for

7:52

that but in this video we we we really

7:56

need to talk about Tesla robotaxi so

8:00

I think we should just be honest and we

8:02

should be honest and

8:04

transparent first of all I love

8:07

Lauren but second of all I had uh

8:10

multiple

8:12

debates with a group of uh Tesla balls

8:15

hyper balls I'll call them this is crazy

8:17

I'm sorry but you You' have been too

8:19

long in Ross's and and Gary's school I'm

8:22

sorry of all I'm happy to hear what

8:24

you're saying but wait wait wait wait

8:26

wait I'm happy to hear what you're

8:27

saying but that's that's a popular thing

8:30

to say because people like to say these

8:31

populist slams or whatever but that's

8:33

disrespectful first of all uh and second

8:35

of all I they're not my dad I I I I

8:38

listen to everybody equally I'm here I'm

8:40

not talking to Ross and Gary I haven't

8:42

talked to them at all today I'm here

8:43

listening and talking to y'all so we

8:45

don't have to start with that the issue

8:46

with that is that short-term noise does

8:48

potentially affect hiring Recruitment

8:51

and talent compared to other AI

8:52

organizations so that is something to

8:54

keep in mind we do want to attract AI

8:56

talent to Tesla you want the best AI

8:59

Talent there there so that leaves us

9:01

stuck with q1 Q2 which right now aren't

9:04

looking too great and then I know you

9:06

want to buy and you need 10 days but

9:08

stop talking down the stock that's all

9:09

you're trying to do it's all good that's

9:12

that's that's not that's not true at all

9:14

well well hold on again it's it's

9:15

completely disrespectful to my argument

9:17

well hold on hold on I I I I gave you

9:19

all a chance to talk I made a very

9:21

respectful argument I said I agreed with

9:23

you with the licensing I said there's a

9:25

political risk you didn't mention

9:27

regarding attracting talent to Tesla and

9:29

I also made a respectful argument and

9:31

said I actually made a prediction and I

9:33

said I think we're going to start with a

9:35

small scale Robo taxi launch where they

9:37

compete with the zukes and the likes of

9:38

weo and that they can expand a hundred

9:40

times faster than the others these are

9:42

actually extremely bullish statements I

9:44

just think they're realistic statements

9:46

they don't help us q1 Q2 duh so then I

9:49

was going to say what does this do for

9:52

26 27 28 but then you did cut me off I

9:55

think for 26 27 28 that's probably when

9:58

Tesla really starts pricing in the

10:01

explosive growth because that's when

10:03

wall Street's going to be able to start

10:04

realizing aha Tesla's doing what the

10:08

wh's doing but look at how they can

10:10

scale a 100 times faster look at I mean

10:13

Tesla AI just posted Tesla hit 1 billion

10:16

miles of FSD so this is great like Tesla

10:19

has so many wonderful things going for

10:21

it but I just want to be clear I like

10:24

it's it it is rude for me to be here and

10:27

then you make that accusation and this

10:29

is the second time now I'm asking you to

10:30

please be respectful I'm being very

10:33

respectful I I I will be respectful

10:35

Kevin and I appreciate you hyper bols I

10:38

can see no wrong and that's okay I still

10:40

respect

10:43

them I uh I'm I'm not as optimistic as

10:46

they are I uh I do not think that full

10:50

self-driving Vehicles as Robo taxis are

10:53

worth $1 per

10:55

mile I'm sorry Brett I think that's

10:58

wrong from Arc I respect you I like you

11:01

I'm sorry Tasha from Arc I'm

11:05

sorry everybody else who thinks you're

11:07

going to make a dollar per mile

11:09

submitting your car to a robo taxi Fleet

11:14

I think that is

11:15

delusional I think it is straight up

11:17

delusional to think that you were going

11:19

to have bought a Tesla and you are going

11:21

to somehow turn your Tesla into

11:24

$100,000 of passive income annually that

11:27

is what I heard people talk about today

11:30

and I think it is straight up

11:35

delusional now I understand the hopium

11:38

the hopium is that we'll be able to take

11:40

out our phones and go well we all have

11:42

uh self-driving Vehicles should be easy

11:46

just submit them to the

11:49

fleet no no because when and if that

11:54

happens trust me in every single local

11:58

you'll have 100 Teslas looking for about

12:02

one person willing to

12:03

ride the demand for robo taxis compared

12:08

to the demand for Uber and Lyft will not

12:11

be one to one the demand for robo taxis

12:14

will only rise when the price

12:17

collapses and then Uber and Lyft will

12:20

collapse and go bankrupt and then the

12:23

demand for robo taxis will exist at

12:27

probably cents per

12:30

mile now I'm not saying if you drive 5

12:33

miles you're only going to pay 5 cents

12:34

there'll be some base fee some minimum

12:38

fee but you also have to offset the

12:41

charging depreciation vehicle investment

12:45

so the ROI for the investor in the

12:48

vehicle and unfortunately I don't think

12:50

that's going to be the vehicle that you

12:53

own I think the model uh 2 Robo taxi is

12:59

actually going to be a very Niche

13:01

product that only works for

13:05

robotaxi so ironically I think that

13:08

Reuters was right see Reuters suggested

13:11

that they spoke with insiders multiple

13:15

insiders and found that the $25,000

13:19

vehicle was

13:21

dead and you know this led a lot of

13:24

people say that reuter is a fraud and

13:27

they're a lie well Reuters alleged that

13:31

one source said that elon's directive

13:33

was to go all in on robotaxis and to

13:36

cancel the $25,000 vehicle and see this

13:40

is very interesting because if you look

13:42

at Elon musk's history all you have to

13:46

do is look at his

13:48

book I have it right here see I'm

13:51

wearing my little Tesla sweater

13:55

here got some jeans on whatever

14:00

it's right

14:02

here it's right

14:05

here I have it it's in my

14:10

studio and I'm going to read you a

14:13

section I clipped from

14:16

it for years they had talked about what

14:20

should be Tesla's Next Generation

14:23

offering a small

14:26

inexpensive Mass market car selling for

14:30

around

14:32

$25,000 Sorry by the way if I sound a

14:34

little lispy I had

14:36

carrots I we buy raw carrots and I'm

14:40

actually highly allergic to Raw carrots

14:43

so my throat gets itchy and my voice

14:45

sounds different and my lips kind of

14:47

swell

14:49

up I eat them anyway though I don't

14:52

think I'm anaphylactic having my my

14:54

throat close up all the way at least but

14:57

anyway musk himself has teased the

15:00

possibility in

15:01

2020 but then he put a hold on those

15:04

plans and over the next 2 years he

15:07

repeatedly vetoed the idea saying that

15:10

the robo taxi would

15:12

make the other car unnecessary the robo

15:17

taxi would make the 25k car unnecessary

15:20

hm interesting nevertheless others had

15:25

quietly kept it alive as a shadow

15:29

project hm interesting so maybe the

15:32

$25,000 car we were told was coming with

15:35

$110,000 of I'm sorry 10,000 volume

15:39

units of production per year I'm sorry

15:42

no that's per week I believe I believe

15:43

that was 10,000 units per week uh per

15:46

week starting at the end of 2025 was

15:48

frankly just clickbait because they

15:50

never actually thought about making a

15:52

$25,000 vehicle that you could buy they

15:55

thought about making a $25,000 vehicle

15:57

that Tesla could license as a robo

16:02

taxi well that's a little different

16:07

now why is that different

16:10

well let's say you don't think Robo taxi

16:13

is going to be a reality until 2030 well

16:16

I could sell you a Tesla $25,000 car in

16:19

2025 or 2026 but I can't sell you a

16:23

roboox until probably 2030 which means

16:26

I'm going to have to delay my earnings

16:27

per sh share estimates for Tesla which

16:29

means this is actually a net negative to

16:32

Tesla in the near term near to medium

16:35

term

16:38

yeah now a lot of people get mad about

16:40

that they say well you should be a

16:42

long-term investor what do you mean you

16:45

care about 2026 EPS estimates oh my gosh

16:50

all right

16:52

fine so let's assume the robo taxi Fleet

16:56

is here and Tesla's the only one who's

16:59

going to produce it my prediction by the

17:01

way is that Tesla is going to release a

17:04

localized

17:07

robotaxi option that's going to be very

17:09

similar to zuk's and it's going to

17:12

operate in areas like San Francisco and

17:14

Vegas and it's going to end up looking

17:16

like zuk's which is amazon-owned and

17:19

it'll be a localized Robo taxi it'll

17:22

work and the odds are it'll be able to

17:25

expand to new cities substantially

17:29

faster than other vehicles but it's

17:33

still going to be a niche product for

17:36

quite a while here's

17:39

zuk's it exists it exists today it's

17:43

allowed to go on Prototype drives of up

17:45

to 35 mil hour but does it drive on

17:48

highways does it get off Highway off

17:51

ramps does it change change lanes on

17:54

highways no no it doesn't so

17:58

unfortunately I think there's

18:00

a regulatory hurdle that comes with this

18:03

as

18:04

well because elon's FSD is not perfect

18:09

every FSD driver knows that there is not

18:12

a single FSD driver who says the vehicle

18:15

is perfect for full self driving level

18:17

five autonomy now I understand people

18:20

say well Kevin don't let perfect be the

18:22

enemy of the good that's fine I agree

18:26

FSD is much safer than a human driver

18:29

110%

18:33

agree but even though you're safer than

18:35

a human

18:37

driver doesn't mean you're going to get

18:39

Robo taxi approval on a broad-based

18:41

level to where every

18:43

operator can be

18:46

you the first operators for robo taxis

18:49

will always be the corporations it will

18:51

always be the Amazon the Google the GM

18:55

and the Tesla it's not going to be you

19:00

the next operators will be those who are

19:02

willing to pay for extremely expensive

19:04

licenses and oversight procedures that

19:07

require a very strict maintenance of

19:09

their vehicle Fleet which the vast

19:11

majority of individual owners will not

19:14

be willing to partake in just look up

19:16

for

19:18

example flight

19:20

operators

19:23

okay there's something called a part 135

19:27

operator verse a a part 91

19:31

operator if you know you know let's just

19:35

say if you're a 91 operator you don't

19:37

want to be a

19:39

135 and if you're a 135 you paid enough

19:42

money to The Regulators to your to where

19:44

you're like please let me fly other

19:47

people in my jet for

19:51

money good luck paying those

19:55

fees in other words bottom line I think

19:58

that the Tesla Robo taxi is

20:00

unfortunately a

20:03

downgrade this is painful to say this

20:06

very painful to

20:09

say because a lot of people are really

20:11

optimistic about this they think that

20:13

Reuters is uh wrong because Elon said

20:17

they lied so obviously uh that means

20:20

they lied about everything

20:23

wrong I actually think Reuters and Elon

20:26

are

20:27

right now how is that

20:31

possible it's actually quite

20:34

simple it's actually very

20:38

simple Elon

20:40

Musk will not produce a $25,000

20:45

vehicle retail will never buy a $25,000

20:48

Tesla unless it's some used Tesla or uh

20:51

massively subsidized government

20:54

Tesla no instead we're robot taxis will

20:59

be operated by Tesla so it is a lie that

21:04

the $25,000 car is dead because Tesla is

21:09

going to use the $225,000 car but for

21:12

you the retail audience it's true it's a

21:15

lie Reuters lie to you everyone please

21:20

Reuters is a scam because Reuters lie to

21:23

you Reuters told you that the $25,000

21:26

Tesla is cancelled and you know what

21:28

they're wrong the $25,000 Tesla is

21:31

cancelled but not for

21:34

Tesla of course this a Tesla shareholder

21:36

you're like oh that's okay they'll make

21:39

the money on the robot

21:41

taxi

21:43

right right yes that's what we'll

21:46

underwrite we'll underwrite that every

21:49

single Tesla will make $100,000 per year

21:51

in passive

21:53

income delusional no

21:59

no if every Tesla owner could submit

22:02

their car to the robo taxi Network I

22:06

will guarantee you there's no way you

22:09

will make $100,000 a year on one vehicle

22:12

there's no way the price per mile will

22:14

plummet because most of what you

22:16

compensate a driver for today in Uber or

22:19

Lyft is a labor not the

22:23

car price will

22:25

collapse H yeah

22:29

so um this is where I call

22:33

and just like this old card

22:35

that I have on my desk do you know what

22:37

this card is it's how I started my

22:40

career look at

22:43

that the no pressure agent realtor Kevin

22:47

paffrath you know what's on the other

22:51

side don't

22:55

oh

22:57

don't

22:59

get

23:01

biffed don't get

23:05

biffed you're being lied to if you think

23:08

you're going to turn your car into a

23:10

robo taxi on August

23:12

8th you're full of poopy doopy you're

23:17

being lied to I think on August 8th we

23:21

are going to get a

23:22

generic demonstration of none other than

23:27

a product that already exists

23:31

aukes that'll be Tes level five okay we

23:34

can do certain cities Great yes we'll be

23:37

able to scale faster than anybody else

23:40

because we use Vision versus the map

23:42

liar I know I

23:46

agree but will you own that vehicle no

23:49

Tesla will actually use their fantastic

23:53

new unboxed assembly line they'll make

23:57

100 cars for themselves

24:00

elves and you'll have 100 Tesla Robo

24:03

taxis so it'll be true they'll be Tesla

24:06

Robo

24:08

taxis just like there are

24:12

Whos but do I think you're going to turn

24:14

your Tesla into a robotaxi on August

24:18

8th you'd be delusional to think

24:21

that so am I short Tesla today no am I

24:27

trying to talk to stock down

24:30

no

24:32

disrespectful people think that it's

24:36

okay let them think whatever they

24:39

want just trying to be

24:42

realistic Elon Musk is uh in a

24:45

corner he had to come out with an

24:47

announcement today so by saying that

24:50

Reuters lied about the $25,000 car he's

24:54

right there won't be a $25,000 car but

24:58

there will be a $25,000 car for

25:01

Tesla it's all in the

25:05

Nuance doesn't actually make me that

25:07

bullish unfortunately but I do want to

25:09

be bullish longterm because I do think

25:12

long-term Chevy Ford and all the

25:15

competitors will die in America and

25:17

Tesla will stand Supreme and Tesla will

25:19

win in a long

25:21

run but not in the short term especially

25:24

with Ray Cuts coming later than we why

25:27

not advertise these things that you told

25:29

us here I feel like nobody else knows

25:30

about this we'll we'll try a little

25:32

advertising and see how it goes

25:33

congratulations man you have done so

25:34

much people love you people look up to

25:36

you Kevin PA there financial analyst and

25:39

YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get

25:41

your

25:42

take even though I'm a licensed

25:43

financial adviser licensed real estate

25:45

broker and becoming a stock broker this

25:46

video is not personalized advice for you

25:48

it is not tax legal or otherwise

25:49

personalized advice tailored to you this

25:51

video provides generalized perspective

25:53

information and commentary any third

25:54

party content I show shall not be deemed

25:56

endorsed by me this video is not and

25:58

shall never be deemed reasonably

26:00

sufficient information for the purposes

26:01

of evaluating a security or investment

26:03

decision any links or promoted products

26:05

are either paid affiliations or products

26:06

or Services we may benefit from I also

26:08

personally operate an actively managed

26:10

ETF I may personally hold or otherwise

26:12

hold long or short positions in various

26:14

Securities potentially including those

26:16

mentioned in this video however I have

26:17

no relationship to any issuer other than

26:19

house act nor am I presently acting as a

26:21

market maker make sure if you're

26:22

considering investing in house Haack to

26:24

always read the PPM at house.com

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