What Nvidia JUST Said [GTC Keynote Summary] YIKES Tesla!
FULL TRANSCRIPT
well the GTC keynote from Nvidia is over
and in this video I'm going to give you
a complete summary as quickly as
possible in the over 2hour keynote
presentation of the new chips that were
introduced from Nvidia as expected
project code name Blackwell from a
famous game theorist who's no longer
with us died about 13 14 years ago at
this point uh they nicknamed or code
named this chip after uh this game
theorist and the idea was this is is the
next breakthrough for NVIDIA it's a chip
that's faster it's more efficient we'll
do some car comparisons in a moment but
basically you get a whole new stack
think server system assembled by a
company like either Dell or super micro
computer uh new uh Graphics GPU chips
throw in the uh gray CPUs that Nvidia
uses new chipset for linking all of the
gpus together uh new security modules
for linking these together and crypting
all of the computation throughout all of
these gpus together it's essentially
going from the iPhone moment of the h100
to the iPhone 2 which if I remember
correctly was the 3G but anyway so it's
sort of like your next year's iteration
I want to before I actually get into
some detailed summary just hit numbers
here for a moment how does this actually
change what we saw today the trajectory
for revenues at Nvidia what doesn't this
is just the next phase the question is
how long can Nvidia continue to sell
these chips and grow that's the biggest
question and that's not an answer you
can really get from this presentation in
a number format but you could see how
vast Nvidia is expanding its user
applications to try to make sure that
they don't stop growing anytime soon so
you're going to see that as I go through
the summary first in the first 5 minutes
we had self-driving cars mentioned two
times and later in the video we act or
presentation we actually learned that
byd is going to partner with Thor uh
which is the Nvidia uh sort of Omniverse
and full self-driving software uh that
Nvidia puts together and byd imp uh
plans to implement Thor in their
vehicles in the future the first vehicle
to implement Nvidia self-drive
self-driving features will probably be
the Mercedes glr at the end of this year
or early 25 but it looks like Tesla's
biggest competition might not actually
be another car manufacturer themselves
it could actually be the world's next
biggest or potentially the biggest auto
manufacturer combined with Nvidia so
while FSD 12.3 is pretty awesome I have
to say and we haven't seen any video or
footage of Nvidia does seem like Nvidia
is gearing up to be one of the biggest
competitors now you have to think about
this I just I'm purposefully starting
with this because I want you to think
about this think about the compute Tesla
uses just to train FSD now imagine the
compute generated by All Automotive
companies moving to AI GPU systems with
maybe invidious core package that they
can build off of and now everybody has
FSD you basically have democratized FSD
and you're writing and using Nvidia
chips later in the presentation they
talked about how you you could go to ai.
nvidia.com and you could basically
download different tools I summarized
all of this at ec.com by the way
including the link to ai. nvidia.com and
you could use different tools there one
of the things that I was playing around
with was I jumped into grabbed I grabbed
my cookies I I did I did it but anyway I
was messing around with their weather
tool over here uh and there are plenty
of different use cases and Integrations
and products you can use here and you
can actually play with some of these AI
products and see the demonstrations that
they can produce for you for certain
probably mostly at this point
pre-programmed events but they kind of
what they're trying to do is show you
look we're going to give you the AI tool
and y'all build off of it the idea is
can we give you a GPU uh GPT rather
that's based on your company's
infrastructure your company's systems
and procedures your stock brokerages
systems and procedures your doctor's
offices systems and procedures and then
can you take our little base thing turn
it into your own own stuff and then
utilize that to be more efficient all
while of course running it all on GPU
gpus put together by Nvidia that's sort
of the idea here and so I think when you
when you realize just the car Revolution
that's
coming excuse me which Nvidia is honing
in on is just one of the angles of
attack they have consider as we saw in
the presentation protein folding biology
genomic sequencing it's a whole another
world
Aviation consider uh construction
manufacturing all of these very
important forgive me for a second
SEC a okay hard to do a summary when
when you have a cough but anyway uh a
lot of shoutouts here in human robotics
as well that is humanoid robotics we got
multiple shoutouts and demonstrations of
Amazon Amazon was probably thrown up on
that screen 10 different times during
the presentation apptronics
robotic startup in uh Texas they built
humanoid robots they um I've actually
visited them in person really cool
seeing the robots in person spoken with
the CEO in person fantastic company they
got two shoutouts in this video multiple
different robotics companies got shout
outs in this video uh and especially
highlighting the self-driving
competition that's coming now keep in
mind we didn't get real demonstration
yet demonstrations yet right Tesla's
already demonstrating that's a big deal
for Tesla but what we're finding is
Tesla's biggest competition might not
actually be Tesla itself and a lot of
folks are going dang didn't even
consider Nvidia coming multiple
Partnerships were announced including
Partnerships between Nvidia and tsmc so
tsmc can use Nvidia AI in manufacturing
chips but intel was not mentioned Taylor
Swift got a shout out and the actual uh
Blackwell b00 GPU stack will be built on
the arm core processors it's basically a
giant GPU and there were some cool
Technologies they mentioned such as
using two blocks of semiconductors that
they were able to layer together to dyes
so to speak and they gave a lot of
technical examples I'm going to save you
most of the technical jargon because if
you really wanted the technical jargon
you'd go to somebody that's really
technically Advanced I'm going to be a
little bit more high level here uh
mostly because we're looking at this
from a financial analyst uh point of
view we've got this idea that we're
actually progressing with technology
faster than ever before ever before that
previously we were growing at uh
basically 5x sorry 10x every 5 years
100x every 10 years well we just went
eight years from the moment open AI got
their first uh I think it was the dgx uh
GPU machine essentially and from there
we've gone about a,x in just eight years
Jensen argues
this uh excuse me all right yeah liquid
cooled machines an example of how uh
this could be productive is that the
b00 would take about 90 days to train a
GPT but would just use 1/4 of the gpus
and so you could train the same model
with 1/4 of the gpus I think that's a
really like relatable stat so I put a
highlighter on that 1/4 the gpus needed
to do the same progress now of course
you don't only want to do the same you
want to do better right so you could do
that better work more
efficiently uh chat Bots tokenomics we
talked about llms the AI Factory Amazon
Oracle Google Microsoft all partnering
uh obviously the B100 will offset h100
sales when it's available we didn't
really get a release date a lot of talk
about Omniverse we've already known
about the Omniverse for a very long time
with Nvidia they've been pitching the
Omniverse for like 5 years now I feel
like excuse me it's basically a way of
having uh a virtual environment of a
factory so you can more appropriately
lay out a factory to be the most
ergonomic and efficient for workers uh
that is a lot easier than obviously
building a factory and then trying to
re-engineer it I hate to say it but I'm
not sure that Elon uses Omniverse
because one of the reasons Elon doesn't
like the phrase copy and paste factories
is because he says he learns how to do
the factories better every single time
they make them well the idea of the
Omniverse is that rather than building a
new Factory and then going ah we could
do this better this better this better
and then building another Factory that's
better you could do that virtually and
basically virtually iterate how you want
to build your factory and in the long
term robots and humans and whatever can
all work in a factory together
seamlessly being notified of emergencies
or issues or the best processes or
efficiencies for doing things they did
mention that you're going to be able to
stream the Omniverse from the Apple Pro
Vision Vision Pro dude I always say that
backwards I'm sorry I piss a lot of
people off when I say that I actually
have them right
here uh but anyway uh I I personally
really like them I know a lot of people
poo poo on them but I think they're
really cool and they're really great so
I'm a big fan of these uh for me this is
actually really critical when it comes
to distraction free work uh and I get
really burnt out as an example of like
sitting in this studio here I get really
burnt out sitting here and so I can
actually stay sitting in here because it
is a soundproof room put this on and
then feel like I'm somewhere else and
really just hone in like if I got to
finish something that I know I'm going
to have to write out it's going to take
me three hours to write out I could go
on this and and do that so I think this
is actually really cool that they're
integrating Omniverse in this I'm not
sure if they're going to like Stream It
Through Safari like you know type in the
IP address sort of thing which that kind
of seems lame and like it would be
clunky I'm sure it'll get better in the
future uh and and so something to think
about here is a lot of these
Technologies aren't going to be perfect
today right A lot of people I think are
going to see this high level vision and
go my gosh it's all going to be perfect
today no just like GPT isn't perfect
it's great but you know there are a lot
of times where like ah I know GPT is not
going to do well at that you know it's
great for some things but it's not great
for everything like Jensen himself said
gpts basically just imitate you they try
to understand your context and then they
imitate
humans that can have problems right that
can come with problems
so in the long term this is the future
though humanoid robotics uh you know
basically making vaccines or uh genomic
solving genetic diseases genomic
sequencing all of these things will be
done with AI in the long term there's no
doubt about that I personally I I think
we're going to have a buy the rumor sell
the news on the stock but for the very
long term would I be bullish Nvidia for
the very long term oh you you can't not
be bullish Nvidia you just cannot be
with 7 7% gross margins that'll settle
down to 75% over the next two quarters
this is phenomenal and uh I understand
the stock has run up a lot and and I
have long exposure to the stock but uh
and I do think it's going to sell down
in the near term uh along with probably
some of the other overblown chip sectors
spe specifically the super micro
computers the arm lock up uh and you
know these are all these are all
short-term considerations so if you're
trading yeah by the rumor s news if
you're really really long is this
exciting and and full of enthusiasm
absolutely the potential is Limitless
for example I really enjoyed their uh
demonstration when they talked about
predicting weather at accuracy right now
they say we can take predict weather
within a 25 km band of accuracy but
that's actually pretty dang wide I
always think about hurricanes because I
grew up in South Florida where we had a
lot of hurricanes 25 km okay so what is
that like 15ish miles or whatever well
that that's a big spread and so what I'd
like
uh is more accuracy and what does Nvidia
say they're getting to 2 km accuracy
that's great that's fantastic and maybe
we could predict earthquakes or
hurricanes or you know they call them
typhoons in different parts of the world
better they're just starting with
Typhoon typhoons over uh by Taiwan right
now they got to protect
tsmc I got to protect their chips but uh
uh but you know this will all expand in
the long term now I feel like I'm losing
my voice
too okay uh then they've got Nims Nvidia
inference microservices basically
pre-trained packages we kind of already
touched on that uh chat Bots robotics
the physical world sensor processing uh
air traffic control uh I think uh Autos
autonomy I mean the use cases here are
quite frankly endless uh and it's really
really enjoyable to sort of think about
these things again the Mercedes glr
partnering in early 2025 no
demonstration of the ability of this
vehicle yet but it's coming and uh
Tesla's remaining Mo feels like it's
quite frankly manufacturing Vehicles
hopefully we'll see what their margins
end up like uh hopefully manufacturing
robots and uh an FSD but FSD has got a
competitor coming though I think Tesla's
way ahead for now humanoid robotics
Nvidia Project named Groot General
robotics 003 is what that stands for so
that's gr00 T then at the end they
showed off two Wall-E style robots those
are probably remote controlled like I
don't actually think they're interactive
or autonomous by any means certainly not
during a live event there's no way so
but they were still cool seeing the
little Wall-E style robots come out uh
and so then they wrapped it up with a
little spaceship and micro kind of
flying around their animations were
great they did a fantastic job showing
some generative AI but uh look the
reality is can you really bet against AI
in the long run no of course not can you
bet on every single software company no
you probably are going to see like 90%
of software companies in AI fail you'll
probably see 70% of Robotics companies
fail and 70% of auton like you know uh
uh car companies fail there's almost no
doubt about
that but one thing that will be
consistent is that pix and shovel style
investment who's got the best chips to
actually operate AI on obviously uh you
know today's an Nvidia day uh AMD is
watching this very closely to make sure
not only can they catch up but they can
exceed Nvidia so obviously expect
something very similar from Lisa Sue
over at uh AMD and uh and that's my take
now again bottom line let's do a quick
little stock look is the stock going to
go up or down well you know the Stock's
already done exceptionally well it's
certainly done better than I thought it
would as quickly as it did uh I did
think it was going to go to $600 or $700
I thought this was realistic I thought
we were going to stop here and get
rejected I was wrong we got rejected at
the next line at the uh
969 this by the way is Weeble on Windows
if you want it go to metkevin me t k v i
n.com Weeble uh you'll get like 20 free
stocks fractional shares or whatever
they do it's worth up to $3,000 if you
sign up with that affiliate link so go
to that link before you go to
Weeble but anyway uh my take is um you
my really the same as what we had over
here is that I think this is a great
company to invest in the long term but
realistically I thought that the the
growth potential here is going to become
a little bit more limited in the near
term just because you uh you've already
priced in so much enthusiasm I don't
think this event really moves the needle
I was actually a little bit more
enthusiastic about potentially Apple uh
being a play I wanted to buy the dip on
Apple over here and I know it's moved up
a little bit today 64 bips it's been
moving up a little bit but I'm actually
really disappointed that apple was
considering using Google uh and Gemini
for their artificial intelligence I was
looking for something a lot more
proprietary here so I'm a little Tor I'm
going to have to do some more analysis
on Apple part of me just feels like we
need to wait for a little bit of a
correction on the cues thanks to JP's
rugging mostly because I've predicted
this Nike Swoosh style recovery but I've
always called it a volatile Nike Swoosh
there's been no volatility and so that
does make me a little nervous that
things have got a little euphoric here
since about November and maybe a little
bit so much so but what do I think is a
better investment in the long term
starting right now well I don't think
you can bet against the chip sector
obviously not personalized Financial
advice if there's a little correction
it'll get bought if Nvidia drops to 700
or whatever it is it'll get bought up
you know 730 I think is where the level
was yeah 731 it'll get bought and that
might be a great entry point for the
long term I'm not convinced that entry
point is here I personally would touch
super micro computer because there'll be
a lot of companies doing this I don't
think they have the IP I think Nvidia
has the IP uh
dell is very much in that super micro
computer boat for me Dell by the way I
did not expect that they would blow up
like this when they got their shout out
I mentioned them in my Nvidia review
video that they got a shout out from
Nvidia which they got today as well and
their stock blew up and so they got
another shout out today Stock's up 2%
big deal it's already kind of trending
down why because only 2% of this
business doubled so great 4% of this
business is coming from AI but the rest
of the business isn't doing too hot so I
have some problems with uh dell I
actually think in i' I'd be more
considering looking at if I get a sell
off on AMD I'm down to have a nice
barbell between like an AMD Nvidia uh I
like TSM uh and asml don't don't count
out asml making your Advanced
lithography machines don't count these
guys out they make the chip they make
the machines that make the machines
basically or make the chips that they
make the machines that make the chips
put it that way the uh
euv uh uh lithography machines they're
essentially the only company in the
world they've got nearly a monopoly on
this obviously interest rate sensitives
are a little little risky in this
environment but uh look long-term
bullish shortterm I don't even know that
I could really be more bearish than just
saying by the rumors H the news because
I don't think there's a bearish
near-term catalyst Beyond maybe you'll
get some sell down after this event's
over big deal but I don't see a
near-term bad Catalyst for chips I do
see a near-term bad Catalyst for
interest rate sensitives uh and I think
interest rate sensitives are going to
hurt for way longer than I could have
possibly anticipated because the economy
is just doing too damn well and not only
is the economy doing too damn well but
uh the Federal Reserve is going to be in
no rush to cut interest rates anytime
soon so that's um that's my take
hopefully this was useful for you if you
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