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Pentagon JUST Said Trump's Strikes FAILED vs Iran.

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FULL TRANSCRIPT

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The Defense Intelligence Agency says

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that Donald Trump's strikes may not have

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worked. He calls this news fake news

0:08

reported by Even More fake news. In this

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video, I'm going to show you why it's

0:13

possible

0:15

Trump's strikes did not work. Note, this

0:18

is not to take a political side, and

0:20

we'll still talk about the resolution

0:22

with Iran. The battle damage that was

0:24

that resulted from those US military

0:25

strikes on these three Iranian nuclear

0:27

facilities over the weekend. And as you

0:29

said, it was produced by the Defense

0:31

Intelligence Agency, which is the

0:33

Pentagon's intelligence arm. And it is

0:35

worth noting that it is a very early

0:36

assessment. The strikes were only a

0:38

matter of days ago, and the intelligence

0:40

community is still gathering

0:41

intelligence. They are still working to

0:43

come up with a full comprehensive

0:45

picture of what exactly happened here.

0:47

Based on a battle damage assessment that

0:49

was carried out by US Central Command,

0:51

essentially looking at the images and

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looking at what was actually damaged,

0:55

the Defense Intelligence Agency has

0:57

assessed that the core components of

0:59

Iran's nuclear program uh are largely

1:02

intact and that Iran's nuclear program

1:04

has essentially only been set back by

1:06

months. Now, first let's understand a

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few things that we know about the

1:10

facility. We know that the facility is

1:12

buried about 80 ft deep. uh sorry 80 m

1:16

deep which works out to about 200 ft

1:19

deep. That's quite a bit. We also know

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roughly where the facility uh is in

1:25

terms of its underground layouts likely

1:28

because of previous satellite images

1:32

when these facilities were built. We had

1:34

some of these air vents that were

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assembled and built and you could see

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via the concrete exactly where different

1:42

components of the structures were. So,

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historical satellite images plus

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potentially on the ground espionage

1:49

could help us with uh targeting our our

1:52

strikes here on these various different

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facility uh facilities throughout Iran,

1:57

including Espahan, which is where we

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believe the uh 15 different canisters of

2:02

highlyenriched uranium might be stored.

2:04

the Natans nuclear enrichment facility

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which has a re very relatively lowlevel

2:09

underground uh facility and then you've

2:11

got the Ford deep underground nuclear

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enrichment facility. Now uh NASA did

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capture uh fire or sort of heat

2:21

signatures in Iran when the Ford nuclear

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facility was struck and you see that in

2:26

that little flicker right here of a

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heat. So we know that the area was

2:31

struck. We obviously saw the holes after

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the fact. We know the area has been hit.

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We know that ventilation shafts were the

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target. You could see these images here.

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Uh you could see holes here from

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multiple uh 30,000lb bunker busting

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bombs being dropped roughly where uh

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these ventilation shafts are. Keeping in

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mind that a 30,000lb bomb is really not

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a 30,000lb bomb. It's about a 25,000lb

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casing sort of thing, shell around a

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bullet. And then the actual bomb itself

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is about a 5,000 lb munition, which is

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still pretty dang significant. And when

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we look at the impact points overlaid

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here, we believe that these areas right

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here were the target uh of the strike.

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Now, this looks perfectly aligned. We

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see the ventilation shafts. We see the

3:28

holes on the surface. We see what looks

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like concrete dust on the surface. And

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it's reasonable to assume that if we hit

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the ventilation shaft, the bomb would

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drop directly to this level and explode.

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The problem unfortunately with bunker

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busting bombs is the level or should I

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say the third third dimension of

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dropping a bomb. You know, when we

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strike something in Esvahan like some

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kind of building, we know where it is.

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We can see with satellite imagery that

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we've targeted it and all we really have

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to achieve is this twodimensional strike

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point, right? We really only need to hit

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uh the the uh in this case the xaxis uh

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and the you know we'll call it in this

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case the y-axis we'll say is over there

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that 2D x and y coordinate. That's all

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we have to hit. the problem. You don't

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really care about the third dimension,

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your Z-axis, because you know what's the

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building? 10 feet tall, 20 feet tall.

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Who cares? You're gonna strike it. It's

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going to hit and it's going to blow and

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the whole thing's going to be gone. Very

4:31

easy. Okay. Well, the problem with

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something like an 80 meter bunker

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busting bomb is that even if you know

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that the enrichment tunnel uh is

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connected, you know, let's say you have

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your ventilation shaft over here and

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then you've got uh well, let's draw it

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sort of like this way as if it's a

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cross-section because this is our, you

4:53

know, tunnel down here. Okay, even if we

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know these are the ventilation shafts

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right here and then you've got this sort

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of perpendicular hallway where the

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centrifuges are. I'll just put C for

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centrifuge. You still need that 30,000

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lb bomb to actually get down. And if you

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detonate here or here or here or here or

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here or even here, the odds of you

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actually damaging the area that you're

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trying to target here with a blast is

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low. Yes, you are going to cause damage

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to the ventilation shaft, but did you

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actually destroy that centrifugal

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equipment? What CNN is suggesting is

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that they have a leaked Directorate of

5:39

National Intelligence report that

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suggests we only did minimal damage to

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this facility. Now, at CNN, they their

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goal, of course, because it's it's good

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viewership for their viewers, is to make

5:50

Trump look bad. And when you look at

5:52

Fox, their goal is to make Trump look

5:54

good because Trump likes hiring people

5:57

from Fox News. Fox gets a lot of views

5:59

from people who want to hear good things

6:00

about far about Trump. And uh CNN gets a

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lot of views from people who want to

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hear bad things about Donald Trump. So

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this makes sense. Keeping in mind though

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this little graphic we're drawing here.

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When you explode one of these bunker

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busting bombs, which is really a 5,000lb

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bomb in rock and you miss

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probably by a radius of about 10 meters.

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So call it about a 30 foot radius here.

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your damage to the actual structure will

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be very very little. And that's I think

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why we dropped as many bunker busting

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bombs as we did. Six holes reportedly up

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to 14 bombs. Some of them dropped into

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the same holes likely to try to hit

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various different depths because it

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wasn't really a matter of hitting the

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shaft. It was a matter of hitting the

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depth that Z-axis. And it is possible

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that we failed. This alleged assessment

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is flatout wrong and was classified as

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top secret, but was still leaked to CNN

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by an anonymous low-level loser in the

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intelligence community. The leaking of

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this alleged assessment is a clear

7:06

attempt to demean President Trump and

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discredit the brave fighter pilots who

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conducted a perfectly executed mission

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to obliterate Iran's nuclear program.

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Everyone knows what happens when you

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drop 14 30,000lb bombs perfectly on

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their targets. Total obliteration. Now,

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our bombing campaign obliterated Iran's

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ability to create nuclear weapons. Our

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massive bombs hit exactly the right spot

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at each target and worked perfectly. The

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impact of those bombs is buried under a

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mountain of rubble in Iran. So, anyone

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who says the bombs were not devastating

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uh uh is just trying to undermine the

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president and the successful mission.

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Now, our sources did emphasize here that

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there was uh severe damage that was done

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largely to the above ground structures

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at these nuclear sites. Uh and so there

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was damage done of course by these

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massive bombs. But the core components

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of the nuclear program we are told they

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are largely intact and it only set the

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program back by a matter of months. Now

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the question that really matters is does

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it matter if we devastated these

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centrifugal hallways or not? Iran right

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now is in a position where they're

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arguing, at least some politicians in

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Iran are arguing, we will never allow

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weapons inspectors or IAEA inspectors

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into Iran again. This would be really

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bad. What you really need is you need uh

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a uh new JCPOA. It's not going to be

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called that. We've talked about that

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before, but you need a new JCPOA, Joint

8:32

Comprehensive Plan of Action. We'll call

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it 2.0. Uh we'll call it the uh uh the

8:36

MAGA Peace Plan. Okay? guarantee. It has

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to include IAEA inspections. And in this

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case, it doesn't really matter if the

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site's damaged or not because

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inspections are going to be looking and

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keeping track of uh the canisters of

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highly uh enriched

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uranium. Uh there we go. Just AI tab

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that. That's kind of nice. Uh that's

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what we're looking for. But we're also

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looking for that centrifugal equipment

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which as part of a peace plan we would

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expect Iran to go to zero enrichment. Uh

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and they really need to probably

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outsource their peaceful nuclear program

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or uh give up the plutonium

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uh remnants

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of uh their peaceful program. These are

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really going to be components of a JCPOA

9:29

2.0 you know, as well as, you know,

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reduced uh sanctions,

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uh, you know, some form of demand that,

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uh, Iran reduced funding for Houthies

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and terror groups, obviously, uh, you

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know, allowed oil exports,

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etc., right? Uh, this this is probably a

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rough framework of what you would expect

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to be incorporated into a new peace

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plan. A ceasefire doesn't do this. you

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know, a ceasefire is really just stop

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shooting, you know, for for now and then

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and then let's talk.

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Okay, this is what needs to be talked

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about. Now, the real problem with Iran

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right now is that Iran has already

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rejected

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the idea of we will go to zero

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enrichment. Now, they rejected that

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before US strikes.

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And this is where the US strikes could

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matter because so far it looks like the

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US strikes uh ushered in a ceasefire

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for now. If our strikes failed

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at Fordo, is it possible the ceasefire

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falters and uh this uh this conflict

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resumes? Yes, that's possible. But you

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really

10:58

you do still have a reality where uh it

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is possible our strikes failed at Fordo

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and the ceasefire holds. That's also a

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possibility. And this this is what I

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would hope. So my hope is that even if

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we we we were not perfect on our FDO

11:17

Fordo depth and you know the concrete

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dust we saw or whatever was simply

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ventilation shaft dust and the

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centrifugal hallways are fine.

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Presumably they had blast doors between

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these hallways as well, right? So keep

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that in mind. If you have blast doors uh

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you know maybe here, here and here

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because they presumed that if they were

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ever attacked that they would be

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attacked through the ventilation shaft

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then what good does that really do you?

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Well, potentially not much.

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I believe it's possible that even if our

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strikes failed, that ceasefire talks

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could hold. If they don't, uh then yes,

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uh Iran could rush towards

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uh uh you know, further uh bomb making

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and and this really uh likely results in

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a protracted conflict uh in the Middle

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East. So my hope is that my hope and

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what we're seeing now

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is strikes uh succeeding

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or failing doesn't matter.

12:24

Uh the symbology

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is clear. Uh US demands peace

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and uh we're willing to drop bombs

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until we get it. It's very much the

12:38

stick of the carrot and stick, right? So

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hopefully it doesn't matter. Now CNN's

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probably going to have a field day with

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this information that, you know, was

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leaked to them or whatever. And we saw

12:51

Carolyn Love it, you know, freak out

12:53

here or whatever. But again, my hope is

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that it doesn't matter. I see some of

12:57

your comments you say, you know, why

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don't we send like commandos in or, you

13:02

know, Seal Team 6 or whatever. Well,

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first of all, the facility is probably

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buried right now. The exterior of the

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facility, these tunnel entrances were

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covered uh by uh rocks and dirt uh

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purposefully to seal the facility in by

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the Iranians in the days leading up to

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the bombing. Uh and getting into these

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ventilation shafts will be really

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difficult. So, how they're getting this

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intelligence analysis of how much damage

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we did or didn't do, I don't know. you

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know, it could be based on, you know,

13:35

some surface analysis or who knows,

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maybe they've got some kind of deep

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sonar that they can use or whatever or

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they do have somebody who's been able to

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get on the ground and and explore this.

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I I don't know. Who knows, right? But I

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don't again think it makes a difference.

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I think what you really need is to stop

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uh the the uh this you know the

13:56

hostilities between the two and and just

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use this as an opportunity to get back

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to talks because whether or not the

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facility is destroyed I don't think

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matters because the nuclearenriched

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material to help make a bomb was removed

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from Esphahan before the bombings and if

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they could use that to make a weapon

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maybe maybe they're already done

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enriching and they could make the bomb

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that they need and want without these

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facilities. I did on the day of these

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strikes question and I remember saying

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you know Donald Trump's going to tell us

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like this was a great and huge success

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after we heard that the strikes occurred

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and before we heard uh that you know the

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press conference that's really

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predictable but you always have to take

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what Trump says with a little bit of a

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grain of salt because everything he does

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is a great and huge success. But I do

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think there is some clear frustration

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with Donald Trump and it's entirely

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possible that this facility is not

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completely destroyed. In fact, these

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centrifugal halls could be entirely

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intact still. Uh but again, the hope is

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as long as we can monitor and control

14:54

the ceasefire, it may not matter because

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we symbolically showed we're willing to

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get involved. And if we need to drop

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more, I don't think Trump will be

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opposed to dropping more. The bigger

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issue that you end up having is, you

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know, Israel, a nuclear power, ends up

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dropping a strategic nuke onto a

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location. Uh, and and then you really

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get the loss of life, and that's when

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things go really poopy really fast. So,

15:18

uh, that's that's my opinion. Uh, uh,

15:22

somebody here says, "You would think it

15:24

would have fortified concrete." Yeah, I

15:25

mean, that's why you use a 30,000lb bomb

15:27

to fly through that kind of stuff,

15:29

right? I mean, that's these these are

15:32

really heavy. Uh, so let's see here.

15:35

Somebody says, "Check out AP news." You

15:37

know, it's it'd be useful if you gave me

15:39

like on what AP has a lot of news. Let's

15:42

see here. Somebody else says, "Think of

15:43

Iran as a big whack-a-o in where

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mobility is what really matters, meaning

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they could pop out of everywhere." Well,

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that's to some extent true. We do track

15:52

them very closely with satellite

15:54

imagery, which does make it a little bit

15:56

harder for uh Iran to just build tunnels

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anywhere they want and get away with it.

16:02

Uh Netanyahu says that Israel bought uh

16:05

brought Iran's nuclear program to ruin

16:08

here. This is your live blog on AP. Uh

16:12

after US air strikes on Iran, Trump told

16:14

BB not to expect further offensive

16:17

military action. White House officials

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said and US strikes on Iran. Trump told

16:21

BB not to expect further Okay, we just

16:23

read that. They've written that twice

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now. Secretary of State makes Iran

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related phone call with various foreign

16:28

ministers. Okay. Yeah, big deal.

16:30

Probably damaged at least. Well, I mean,

16:32

yes, certainly the ventilation shaft is

16:33

gone. You're going to you're going to

16:35

need a new one of those, right?

16:38

There's no doubt about that.

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