Pentagon JUST Said Trump's Strikes FAILED vs Iran.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
The Defense Intelligence Agency says
that Donald Trump's strikes may not have
worked. He calls this news fake news
reported by Even More fake news. In this
video, I'm going to show you why it's
possible
Trump's strikes did not work. Note, this
is not to take a political side, and
we'll still talk about the resolution
with Iran. The battle damage that was
that resulted from those US military
strikes on these three Iranian nuclear
facilities over the weekend. And as you
said, it was produced by the Defense
Intelligence Agency, which is the
Pentagon's intelligence arm. And it is
worth noting that it is a very early
assessment. The strikes were only a
matter of days ago, and the intelligence
community is still gathering
intelligence. They are still working to
come up with a full comprehensive
picture of what exactly happened here.
Based on a battle damage assessment that
was carried out by US Central Command,
essentially looking at the images and
looking at what was actually damaged,
the Defense Intelligence Agency has
assessed that the core components of
Iran's nuclear program uh are largely
intact and that Iran's nuclear program
has essentially only been set back by
months. Now, first let's understand a
few things that we know about the
facility. We know that the facility is
buried about 80 ft deep. uh sorry 80 m
deep which works out to about 200 ft
deep. That's quite a bit. We also know
roughly where the facility uh is in
terms of its underground layouts likely
because of previous satellite images
when these facilities were built. We had
some of these air vents that were
assembled and built and you could see
via the concrete exactly where different
components of the structures were. So,
historical satellite images plus
potentially on the ground espionage
could help us with uh targeting our our
strikes here on these various different
facility uh facilities throughout Iran,
including Espahan, which is where we
believe the uh 15 different canisters of
highlyenriched uranium might be stored.
the Natans nuclear enrichment facility
which has a re very relatively lowlevel
underground uh facility and then you've
got the Ford deep underground nuclear
enrichment facility. Now uh NASA did
capture uh fire or sort of heat
signatures in Iran when the Ford nuclear
facility was struck and you see that in
that little flicker right here of a
heat. So we know that the area was
struck. We obviously saw the holes after
the fact. We know the area has been hit.
We know that ventilation shafts were the
target. You could see these images here.
Uh you could see holes here from
multiple uh 30,000lb bunker busting
bombs being dropped roughly where uh
these ventilation shafts are. Keeping in
mind that a 30,000lb bomb is really not
a 30,000lb bomb. It's about a 25,000lb
casing sort of thing, shell around a
bullet. And then the actual bomb itself
is about a 5,000 lb munition, which is
still pretty dang significant. And when
we look at the impact points overlaid
here, we believe that these areas right
here were the target uh of the strike.
Now, this looks perfectly aligned. We
see the ventilation shafts. We see the
holes on the surface. We see what looks
like concrete dust on the surface. And
it's reasonable to assume that if we hit
the ventilation shaft, the bomb would
drop directly to this level and explode.
The problem unfortunately with bunker
busting bombs is the level or should I
say the third third dimension of
dropping a bomb. You know, when we
strike something in Esvahan like some
kind of building, we know where it is.
We can see with satellite imagery that
we've targeted it and all we really have
to achieve is this twodimensional strike
point, right? We really only need to hit
uh the the uh in this case the xaxis uh
and the you know we'll call it in this
case the y-axis we'll say is over there
that 2D x and y coordinate. That's all
we have to hit. the problem. You don't
really care about the third dimension,
your Z-axis, because you know what's the
building? 10 feet tall, 20 feet tall.
Who cares? You're gonna strike it. It's
going to hit and it's going to blow and
the whole thing's going to be gone. Very
easy. Okay. Well, the problem with
something like an 80 meter bunker
busting bomb is that even if you know
that the enrichment tunnel uh is
connected, you know, let's say you have
your ventilation shaft over here and
then you've got uh well, let's draw it
sort of like this way as if it's a
cross-section because this is our, you
know, tunnel down here. Okay, even if we
know these are the ventilation shafts
right here and then you've got this sort
of perpendicular hallway where the
centrifuges are. I'll just put C for
centrifuge. You still need that 30,000
lb bomb to actually get down. And if you
detonate here or here or here or here or
here or even here, the odds of you
actually damaging the area that you're
trying to target here with a blast is
low. Yes, you are going to cause damage
to the ventilation shaft, but did you
actually destroy that centrifugal
equipment? What CNN is suggesting is
that they have a leaked Directorate of
National Intelligence report that
suggests we only did minimal damage to
this facility. Now, at CNN, they their
goal, of course, because it's it's good
viewership for their viewers, is to make
Trump look bad. And when you look at
Fox, their goal is to make Trump look
good because Trump likes hiring people
from Fox News. Fox gets a lot of views
from people who want to hear good things
about far about Trump. And uh CNN gets a
lot of views from people who want to
hear bad things about Donald Trump. So
this makes sense. Keeping in mind though
this little graphic we're drawing here.
When you explode one of these bunker
busting bombs, which is really a 5,000lb
bomb in rock and you miss
probably by a radius of about 10 meters.
So call it about a 30 foot radius here.
your damage to the actual structure will
be very very little. And that's I think
why we dropped as many bunker busting
bombs as we did. Six holes reportedly up
to 14 bombs. Some of them dropped into
the same holes likely to try to hit
various different depths because it
wasn't really a matter of hitting the
shaft. It was a matter of hitting the
depth that Z-axis. And it is possible
that we failed. This alleged assessment
is flatout wrong and was classified as
top secret, but was still leaked to CNN
by an anonymous low-level loser in the
intelligence community. The leaking of
this alleged assessment is a clear
attempt to demean President Trump and
discredit the brave fighter pilots who
conducted a perfectly executed mission
to obliterate Iran's nuclear program.
Everyone knows what happens when you
drop 14 30,000lb bombs perfectly on
their targets. Total obliteration. Now,
our bombing campaign obliterated Iran's
ability to create nuclear weapons. Our
massive bombs hit exactly the right spot
at each target and worked perfectly. The
impact of those bombs is buried under a
mountain of rubble in Iran. So, anyone
who says the bombs were not devastating
uh uh is just trying to undermine the
president and the successful mission.
Now, our sources did emphasize here that
there was uh severe damage that was done
largely to the above ground structures
at these nuclear sites. Uh and so there
was damage done of course by these
massive bombs. But the core components
of the nuclear program we are told they
are largely intact and it only set the
program back by a matter of months. Now
the question that really matters is does
it matter if we devastated these
centrifugal hallways or not? Iran right
now is in a position where they're
arguing, at least some politicians in
Iran are arguing, we will never allow
weapons inspectors or IAEA inspectors
into Iran again. This would be really
bad. What you really need is you need uh
a uh new JCPOA. It's not going to be
called that. We've talked about that
before, but you need a new JCPOA, Joint
Comprehensive Plan of Action. We'll call
it 2.0. Uh we'll call it the uh uh the
MAGA Peace Plan. Okay? guarantee. It has
to include IAEA inspections. And in this
case, it doesn't really matter if the
site's damaged or not because
inspections are going to be looking and
keeping track of uh the canisters of
highly uh enriched
uranium. Uh there we go. Just AI tab
that. That's kind of nice. Uh that's
what we're looking for. But we're also
looking for that centrifugal equipment
which as part of a peace plan we would
expect Iran to go to zero enrichment. Uh
and they really need to probably
outsource their peaceful nuclear program
or uh give up the plutonium
uh remnants
of uh their peaceful program. These are
really going to be components of a JCPOA
2.0 you know, as well as, you know,
reduced uh sanctions,
uh, you know, some form of demand that,
uh, Iran reduced funding for Houthies
and terror groups, obviously, uh, you
know, allowed oil exports,
etc., right? Uh, this this is probably a
rough framework of what you would expect
to be incorporated into a new peace
plan. A ceasefire doesn't do this. you
know, a ceasefire is really just stop
shooting, you know, for for now and then
and then let's talk.
Okay, this is what needs to be talked
about. Now, the real problem with Iran
right now is that Iran has already
rejected
the idea of we will go to zero
enrichment. Now, they rejected that
before US strikes.
And this is where the US strikes could
matter because so far it looks like the
US strikes uh ushered in a ceasefire
for now. If our strikes failed
at Fordo, is it possible the ceasefire
falters and uh this uh this conflict
resumes? Yes, that's possible. But you
really
you do still have a reality where uh it
is possible our strikes failed at Fordo
and the ceasefire holds. That's also a
possibility. And this this is what I
would hope. So my hope is that even if
we we we were not perfect on our FDO
Fordo depth and you know the concrete
dust we saw or whatever was simply
ventilation shaft dust and the
centrifugal hallways are fine.
Presumably they had blast doors between
these hallways as well, right? So keep
that in mind. If you have blast doors uh
you know maybe here, here and here
because they presumed that if they were
ever attacked that they would be
attacked through the ventilation shaft
then what good does that really do you?
Well, potentially not much.
I believe it's possible that even if our
strikes failed, that ceasefire talks
could hold. If they don't, uh then yes,
uh Iran could rush towards
uh uh you know, further uh bomb making
and and this really uh likely results in
a protracted conflict uh in the Middle
East. So my hope is that my hope and
what we're seeing now
is strikes uh succeeding
or failing doesn't matter.
Uh the symbology
is clear. Uh US demands peace
and uh we're willing to drop bombs
until we get it. It's very much the
stick of the carrot and stick, right? So
hopefully it doesn't matter. Now CNN's
probably going to have a field day with
this information that, you know, was
leaked to them or whatever. And we saw
Carolyn Love it, you know, freak out
here or whatever. But again, my hope is
that it doesn't matter. I see some of
your comments you say, you know, why
don't we send like commandos in or, you
know, Seal Team 6 or whatever. Well,
first of all, the facility is probably
buried right now. The exterior of the
facility, these tunnel entrances were
covered uh by uh rocks and dirt uh
purposefully to seal the facility in by
the Iranians in the days leading up to
the bombing. Uh and getting into these
ventilation shafts will be really
difficult. So, how they're getting this
intelligence analysis of how much damage
we did or didn't do, I don't know. you
know, it could be based on, you know,
some surface analysis or who knows,
maybe they've got some kind of deep
sonar that they can use or whatever or
they do have somebody who's been able to
get on the ground and and explore this.
I I don't know. Who knows, right? But I
don't again think it makes a difference.
I think what you really need is to stop
uh the the uh this you know the
hostilities between the two and and just
use this as an opportunity to get back
to talks because whether or not the
facility is destroyed I don't think
matters because the nuclearenriched
material to help make a bomb was removed
from Esphahan before the bombings and if
they could use that to make a weapon
maybe maybe they're already done
enriching and they could make the bomb
that they need and want without these
facilities. I did on the day of these
strikes question and I remember saying
you know Donald Trump's going to tell us
like this was a great and huge success
after we heard that the strikes occurred
and before we heard uh that you know the
press conference that's really
predictable but you always have to take
what Trump says with a little bit of a
grain of salt because everything he does
is a great and huge success. But I do
think there is some clear frustration
with Donald Trump and it's entirely
possible that this facility is not
completely destroyed. In fact, these
centrifugal halls could be entirely
intact still. Uh but again, the hope is
as long as we can monitor and control
the ceasefire, it may not matter because
we symbolically showed we're willing to
get involved. And if we need to drop
more, I don't think Trump will be
opposed to dropping more. The bigger
issue that you end up having is, you
know, Israel, a nuclear power, ends up
dropping a strategic nuke onto a
location. Uh, and and then you really
get the loss of life, and that's when
things go really poopy really fast. So,
uh, that's that's my opinion. Uh, uh,
somebody here says, "You would think it
would have fortified concrete." Yeah, I
mean, that's why you use a 30,000lb bomb
to fly through that kind of stuff,
right? I mean, that's these these are
really heavy. Uh, so let's see here.
Somebody says, "Check out AP news." You
know, it's it'd be useful if you gave me
like on what AP has a lot of news. Let's
see here. Somebody else says, "Think of
Iran as a big whack-a-o in where
mobility is what really matters, meaning
they could pop out of everywhere." Well,
that's to some extent true. We do track
them very closely with satellite
imagery, which does make it a little bit
harder for uh Iran to just build tunnels
anywhere they want and get away with it.
Uh Netanyahu says that Israel bought uh
brought Iran's nuclear program to ruin
here. This is your live blog on AP. Uh
after US air strikes on Iran, Trump told
BB not to expect further offensive
military action. White House officials
said and US strikes on Iran. Trump told
BB not to expect further Okay, we just
read that. They've written that twice
now. Secretary of State makes Iran
related phone call with various foreign
ministers. Okay. Yeah, big deal.
Probably damaged at least. Well, I mean,
yes, certainly the ventilation shaft is
gone. You're going to you're going to
need a new one of those, right?
There's no doubt about that.
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