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My 60 Day Strategy to BUY the DIP: Crypto & Stocks.

23m 51s5,205 words717 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

hey everyone me kevin here boy oh boy it

0:01

has been a spectacular last 24 hours and

0:04

to help with the last 24 hours i got

0:06

myself an emotional support uh well the

0:08

closest thing i could get to a paper

0:10

mario which is uh

0:12

paper slash foil mario

0:14

so i've got an emotional support animal

0:16

here he's got a nose as big as a clown

0:18

so i think it's pretty appropriate

0:20

anyway it's kind of cool because he uh

0:22

he self writes himself uh so when i

0:24

throw him he still stands up which is

0:25

kind of cool he's got a little weights

0:26

on him anyway in this video we're going

0:28

to talk about strategies moving forward

0:30

because obviously a lot has been made

0:32

about me selling and i think folks are

0:35

tunnel visioning the fact that i'm only

0:37

selling to set myself up to buy the dip

0:39

more aggressively because see i believe

0:42

the more the market dips and i do

0:43

believe that the market has more to dip

0:45

the better opportunities i can get the

0:47

problem is

0:48

when you are restrained by capital in

0:51

tight markets you got to do everything

0:53

you can to maximize your ability to buy

0:55

the biggest stamp with either options or

0:58

just straight trades that you can and

1:00

that's what we're going to talk about in

1:01

this video about how to maximize some of

1:03

these things

1:04

okay so let's go ahead and talk about

1:06

this we'll also talk about futures

1:07

because we've got a little bit of green

1:08

and futures right now i'm going to talk

1:10

about my expectations for futures uh so

1:12

let's go ahead and get right into this

1:14

so the first thing that i'm going to

1:15

talk about is uh step one and this is

1:18

sort of like a five-part video step one

1:20

is going to be refinancing now what i

1:23

like to do when markets get tough

1:25

because when markets are good i have a

1:26

rule i don't refinance my properties i

1:29

generally don't like refinancing at all

1:32

and see in my stocks and psychology

1:34

money group and in my real estate

1:35

investing courses we always talk about

1:37

real estate is your piggy bank for a

1:39

tough market i've currently built up

1:41

over five million dollars in excess

1:43

equity over the last two years in real

1:45

estate now i don't try to time interest

1:47

rates on real estate although it would

1:48

have been nice to refinance last year at

1:50

lower rates i usually don't even

1:53

remotely think about refinancing my real

1:55

estate unless the market's going to crap

1:57

and so i've got about 5 million plus

1:59

maybe 5.2 million that i could draw out

2:01

of real estate and if i do activate

2:03

those refinances now i should get that

2:06

cash by the first week of march

2:08

which if my timing is correct and we end

2:10

up at peak fear before the first rate

2:14

liftoff of march 16th i'll be able to

2:17

plow an additional 5.2 million dollars

2:20

into the market which means i'll be able

2:22

to take an additional 25 of my overall

2:24

portfolio throwing it and throw it into

2:26

the market at a time that i think will

2:28

probably have peak fear in the meantime

2:30

between now and then we're going to have

2:32

a lot of this vacillation so i'm not

2:34

going to get head faked by this

2:35

vacillation because we've seen this sort

2:37

of isolation for the last eight weeks

2:39

remember folks the most difficult thing

2:41

in a bear market is raising capital so

2:44

cutting away expenses is one thing

2:46

making more money is one thing but if

2:48

you have a piggy bank that you can go to

2:50

and it can bail you out of margin which

2:52

i'm not in margin obviously at this

2:54

point or you can go to a piggy bank so

2:57

that way you have more money when you

2:58

need it close to ideally the bottom

2:59

market that's ideal why do i say this is

3:02

one of my favorite moves because in

3:04

march

3:05

on march 3rd of 2020 i activated a ton

3:08

of refinances i refinanced somewhere

3:10

around 10 properties in the span of two

3:11

months and i got a boatload of money

3:13

somewhere around at that point two to

3:15

three million dollars and those original

3:18

investments 4 to 5x if not even more

3:22

they carried investment returns for a

3:24

very long period of time so i want to

3:25

get max cash that i can for when i think

3:28

we get to max fear i don't know if we've

3:32

hit max fear just yet i was hoping and

3:34

i've been hoping that we've hit max fear

3:36

last week and to some degree maybe but i

3:39

don't know if jay pal is going to help

3:41

us

3:42

get rid of any of our fears so we'll see

3:45

but i talked a lot about that on

3:46

saturday okay the second thing to do in

3:48

my opinion maximizing credit lines so

3:51

that way you're not exposed to margin

3:54

and see that's one of the beautiful

3:55

things about mortgages or credit lines

3:56

is they are different you don't have

3:58

margin calls on credit lines or

4:00

mortgages like you do on margin so i

4:02

like staying away from that kind of debt

4:03

or consumer debt and focusing on sorts

4:05

of credit lines i think that's really

4:07

where the juice is so if you're a

4:08

business owner or you own your own home

4:10

you might consider requesting to expand

4:12

your lines of credit with banks banks

4:14

are generally quite interested in

4:15

expanding lending right now so while not

4:17

all banks may be accommodative i believe

4:20

you'll find one that will be

4:21

accommodative so what i would do is i

4:23

would ask for a home equity line of

4:25

credit against your home or a business

4:27

line of credit against your business

4:29

income home equity lines of credit are

4:30

known as helocs and certain credit

4:32

unions not all the big banks will let

4:34

you pull out up to 80 to 90 percent of

4:36

the value against your property if you

4:38

find a a credit union that lets you go

4:40

up to 90 this means if your home is

4:42

worth 500 000

4:43

and you owe 300 000 on it you could get

4:46

a credit line while still maintaining

4:47

your first for a hundred and sixty

4:49

thousand dollars against your home

4:51

that's amazing against your business you

4:53

could usually get a credit line for

4:54

somewhere between 10 to 20

4:56

of your gross business revenues extended

4:59

to his line of credit so let's say

5:00

you're a real estate agent and you make

5:02

400 000 gross you might get a credit

5:04

line of 40k let's say you're all and i

5:06

know this sounds a little skewed because

5:08

the profit margin on that might be like

5:09

90 on that business right but now let's

5:11

say you're a wholesaler and you have

5:13

five million dollars of gross revenues

5:15

but you only net let's say 4.5 mil so

5:17

you're netting 500k on 500 mil right

5:20

there they might actually are on on five

5:22

mil they might actually let you take ten

5:24

percent of that five mil or 500 k out as

5:26

a credit line so like when it comes to

5:28

these credit lines they often don't care

5:30

so much about your profit margin they

5:32

care about that gross revenue so for

5:33

individuals with gross revenue

5:34

businesses that are more elevated those

5:36

business lines of credits are usually

5:38

going to be a little bit more desirable

5:39

and of course rates and terms may vary

5:41

but these lines are usually variable and

5:43

uh they can take basically you could

5:44

take money in and out of them like you

5:46

can on a credit card except the interest

5:47

rate is way lower it's usually between

5:49

three and five percent and uh generally

5:51

you can take money in and out for the

5:53

first 10 years you kind of write a check

5:54

in and out of it uh and then after 10

5:56

years whatever balance you have left is

5:58

usually locked the account is closed and

6:00

then you're required to pay that off

6:01

amortized fully amortized over 20 years

6:03

that's when you start paying principal

6:04

and interest otherwise you just pay

6:05

interest before so those those are some

6:07

cool things to consider as well now uh

6:09

let's also touch now based on on sort of

6:11

uh trade strategies right and i've been

6:14

actively

6:15

working on these and coming up with

6:17

plans and strategies for these with

6:18

those close to me and here's some

6:20

expectations so i expect the market to

6:22

change extremely quickly in my opinion

6:24

all eyes are on the fed the first big

6:27

date is january 25th and the next big

6:29

date is march 16th it really in my

6:31

opinion doesn't matter what news comes

6:33

out in between because we could end up

6:35

having good news and still end up with a

6:36

hawkish powell or hawkish fed board and

6:39

i do think that political influence is

6:40

involved so we have to be somewhat

6:42

careful about this but knowing january

6:44

25th and march 16th is just one part of

6:46

the problem you've got to have an

6:48

executable plan to maximize your returns

6:50

in my opinion because if you end up

6:52

seeing oh wow okay it seems like we're

6:54

getting good news from the fed what

6:56

should i do now and then you have to

6:57

come up with a plan you might end up

6:58

missing the boat so you don't want to

6:59

miss the boat if you're trading remember

7:01

trading is different from long run

7:03

investing and i think that's so critical

7:05

and a lot of people forget that that

7:06

it's it's okay

7:08

to to trade if you know you're a trader

7:11

and you're going to pay taxes on those

7:13

gains if you want to be a diamond hand

7:15

hodler that's totally okay if you want

7:17

to divide your portfolio 50 50 or 80 20

7:20

you could do that too but you have your

7:22

right to change your mind with what you

7:23

want to do with your portfolio and

7:25

nobody should ever tell you otherwise

7:26

now

7:27

let's go through this so i can buy small

7:29

caps for example now with money that

7:31

originally i had invested in apple

7:33

because see i don't particularly believe

7:36

the upside for apple is huge what's

7:38

apple going to do over the next year 10

7:40

20 30

7:42

i personally don't think it's going to

7:43

double i think it would be lucky to do a

7:45

10 20 30 over the next year or two that

7:48

would be amazing if apple did that

7:49

because i do consider apple a relatively

7:51

safe stock

7:52

but now because i sold my apple stock

7:55

and i washed some of the gains that i

7:57

had with apple with other stocks and i

7:58

sold profitably i will be paying taxes

8:01

what i can do is i now have this money

8:03

unlocked to be able to trade without

8:06

fear of taxes into and out of small caps

8:08

that in my opinion are desperately

8:10

oversold and are setting up for a short

8:12

squeeze these are the traditional ones

8:14

the shift technologies the lemonade the

8:17

tattooed chef even the matter ports or

8:19

the robin hoods or the arrival right

8:22

these are great companies that have been

8:24

so oversold because they just have

8:26

continued to go down and so now because

8:29

i've liquidated my portfolio in most

8:32

areas i have more cash available to be

8:34

able to take advantage of these swings

8:36

because i think some of these small caps

8:37

have the potential to four to eight x uh

8:41

their valuations which is kind of insane

8:44

and is substantially worth paying taxes

8:46

on if you can hit this correctly the

8:49

problem is getting head faked and

8:51

getting fake bounces and we'll talk

8:52

about that in just a moment we'll pull

8:54

this up and i'll talk exactly about what

8:56

a head fake looks like in the market

8:59

or or a bull trap and how we're going to

9:02

try to identify when are we actually

9:05

really going to turn around in this

9:07

market and that's difficult to identify

9:08

but we'll do our best to do so okay so

9:11

uh some of the things obviously on longs

9:14

i think it's really good to have uh

9:16

buckets uh of longs

9:18

and the buckets of longs that i've been

9:20

playing in

9:21

are of course ev where we've got tesla

9:23

as a main holder autonomous tech

9:25

honestly tesla is one of the best for

9:27

autonomous tech uh chips and metaverse

9:29

of course nvidia matterport some of our

9:32

faves green energy of course enphase

9:34

consumer discretionary even stocks and

9:37

you want to start paying attention to

9:38

some of these home depots down 15

9:40

percent from all-time high uh target is

9:42

ultimate highs target is down 16.7 from

9:45

all-time highs obviously your consumer

9:47

discretionary is like etsy and a firm

9:49

that you want to be careful with the

9:50

firm because if we go into a recession

9:51

you want to stay away from a firm uh

9:53

consumer staples uh well staples would

9:55

be more like your your probably uh your

9:57

cost goes and your target actually

9:59

rather than a discretionary that depends

10:01

what you're buying there but anyway uh

10:03

those are some to pay attention to as

10:04

well maybe even sherwin-williams in that

10:06

uh but personally uh i still love my

10:09

faves that i've always loved again the

10:11

etsy affirm the end phase the tesla

10:14

these are sort of the core ones that uh

10:16

i'm strategizing on how to get in uh and

10:18

so there are a few ways that i can set

10:20

myself up to get into my longs obviously

10:22

i could just buy the shares on a lower

10:24

dip that is an easy option in addition

10:26

to just buying the shares on on a dip

10:29

and this is probably the direction i'm

10:31

going to go i i can sell puts because i

10:34

think we've got about a 50-day window

10:37

here where we're going to be trading

10:38

downwards and sideways i don't really

10:41

think that we're going to have massive

10:43

rallies that are going to last i think

10:45

we're going to have head fake rallies

10:46

rallies that come and go really really

10:48

quickly

10:49

and so what i'm looking for are

10:51

opportunities to potentially sell puts

10:53

here so that way i can decrease my cost

10:55

basis getting into these and ideally i

10:57

want to decrease my cost basis more than

11:00

the amount of money that i'm paying in

11:01

taxes so for example if on average on my

11:03

entire portfolio i'm paying about 20 in

11:05

taxes or about four million dollars

11:07

let's just say as an example washing out

11:08

gains losses uh then then i want to make

11:11

sure that uh that's a 20 decline i want

11:13

to make sure that i can lower my cost

11:15

basis in certain stocks ideally by

11:17

around 20 and if i could do that with

11:19

weekly sell puts farming the credits

11:22

that might be an option over the next 50

11:24

days probably the worst thing i could do

11:26

is just sit for 50 days and do nothing

11:29

with my cash

11:30

though

11:31

you know that's tbd so still working out

11:33

the exact details of that obviously

11:35

every single move that i make i will be

11:38

pointing out in my stocks on psychology

11:40

of money group whether whether it's uh

11:42

crypto or it is a traditional stock or

11:45

it's an option every single trade goes

11:47

in the stocks in psychology and money

11:48

course so if you're looking for trade

11:50

ideas again no guarantees ups or downs

11:52

but uh i'm gonna be doing a lot of

11:54

trading over the next 50 days probably i

11:56

will probably be doing more trading over

11:58

the next 50 days than i have in the last

12:00

year so if you like trading

12:03

check it out

12:04

i stare at the charts all day long

12:05

that's what i do now some of you may be

12:07

unfamiliar with exactly how a sold put

12:09

works so let me just give you a very

12:10

quick example using end phase so let's

12:13

go ahead and jump in here we're going to

12:14

drop in end phase what we're going to do

12:16

is we're going to see this has gone down

12:18

substantially in in value we're going to

12:20

jump over here to options

12:21

you could go for weeklies which can

12:23

sometimes give you a little bit of a

12:24

higher rate of return but let's just go

12:25

ahead and say i'm going to go for a 33

12:28

day on this one i'm going to go for 33

12:30

days and let's say i'm willing to buy

12:32

end phase at it's currently at 126

12:34

dollars so we go for the 125. let's say

12:36

i can sell this for 12 dollars a

12:38

contract approximately at this this year

12:41

or or per uh per share that is since

12:43

contract is times 100. so here's what's

12:45

going to happen i'm going to pick the

12:46

125 strike

12:49

february 25th 2022 expiration

12:52

sell

12:53

put and this is a if you're using a uh a

12:56

platform that has the like two open or

12:59

two closed phrase what you're looking

13:00

for is sell to open because by selling a

13:04

put you're giving somebody else the

13:06

right to force you to buy shares at 125

13:11

so in this case i'm giving somebody else

13:13

the right to force me to buy 10

13:17

times 100 shares of end phase at a

13:20

hundred twenty five dollars that means

13:22

i'm agreeing to pay to pay a hundred

13:24

twenty five thousand dollars for one

13:27

thousand shares of enface

13:29

in return i'm going to get a ten

13:31

thousand seven hundred fifty credit now

13:34

if end face trades above

13:36

uh 125 dollars i can either sell the

13:38

contract for a profit or i can sell or

13:43

just i could literally do nothing i

13:44

could keep the 10 000 uh dollar credit

13:46

and then the contract expires worthless

13:48

and then i keep the ten thousand seven

13:50

hundred fifty dollars the only time this

13:52

is bad is when prices go down you go

13:55

under 125. uh well i'm good until about

13:59

115 dollars that's approximately my

14:01

break even depending on if i get it for

14:03

ten dollars 10 or 75 cents somewhere on

14:05

there my break even is going to be

14:06

somewhere around 115 114 that's my break

14:10

even so it's kind of like i'm buying end

14:12

face for a discount

14:14

and the cool thing about that is if uh

14:16

if it ends up falling to 120 and i get

14:20

assigned that's okay because it's really

14:22

like i got the shares for 114 or 115

14:24

dollars and uh i got forced to to pick

14:27

him up while i was at about 120 big deal

14:30

uh so i'm still in the money in that

14:32

case

14:32

gets ugly though when you sell a put and

14:36

end face goes from 125 to like 80. in

14:40

that case you'd be agreeing to buy

14:42

shares for 125 sure you'd have the 11ish

14:44

dollar credit but you'd still be upside

14:46

down by 34

14:47

so there is some risk related to this

14:49

and that's why sometimes what people

14:51

like to do is they like to go for the

14:53

one weeks so that way they limit how

14:55

extremely down it can go but they're

14:57

still farming that credit because look

14:58

at this on one week i'm collecting four

15:00

thousand six hundred fifty dollars if i

15:03

go to four weeks i'm collecting roughly

15:04

twice that so it's four times the time

15:07

for only twice the credit so that's why

15:10

those weeklies can be really nice

15:11

because people are buying weekly puts

15:13

speculating so it's kind of like selling

15:15

the pickaxe to the gold farmers

15:18

right now if i went in here and did 500

15:20

of these contracts times 100 shares per

15:22

contract

15:24

at uh in this case

15:26

per the week four dollars and 65 cents i

15:28

would get a credit of 232 000 between

15:32

now and friday and if end face sold

15:34

below 125 by friday i would be

15:37

committing to spend

15:39

uh

15:40

a few million dollars six point two

15:42

million dollars which is a lot it's

15:43

crazy right i'm using big numbers here

15:45

just as an example but still if npace

15:47

traded above 125 i could take that 230

15:50

thousand dollars thank you very much for

15:52

free by friday as long as we're above

15:53

125. so these are just some ideas that's

15:55

not exactly what i'm planning on doing

15:56

this particular one i'd probably go a

15:58

little to different prices and ladder

16:00

and vertical this out a little bit but

16:02

uh to be determined still in the works

16:05

just a quick example uh so now what

16:07

about shorts okay so i don't love

16:09

shorting because i believe when you

16:12

short you're betting against train

16:13

america you're betting against the

16:15

future growth of america so what i'm

16:18

looking at is potentially shorting

16:20

overvalued momentum which is very very

16:22

dangerous you could you could lose your

16:24

pants on that so you'll be very very

16:25

careful or kind of limit your exposure

16:27

here or specific tech stocks that have

16:29

not fully sold off yet i specifically

16:32

want to do this as potentially an

16:34

earnings play on only certain stocks i

16:36

hate playing earnings but earnings are

16:38

going to be the catalyst on very

16:39

specific stocks where i believe i have a

16:41

competitive advantage so for example

16:42

let's say i'm a consumer or a purchaser

16:44

of a certain good and i see something

16:46

shady happening at a company and i think

16:48

it's going to get reported in earnings

16:50

and it's corroborated by potentially

16:51

still a high stock price that might be

16:53

an opportunity for me to short uh who

16:55

knows but in my opinion what you're

16:57

trying to do with trading is balance the

16:59

scale to where you have an 80 chance of

17:01

being right 78 chance of being right 30

17:04

chance of being wrong uh in that way you

17:05

were right more than you're wrong if i

17:06

had those odds in roulette i would be

17:08

playing roulette all day long and we

17:10

would be doing roulette live streams

17:12

every single day

17:13

uh so uh one of them just and i've got a

17:15

whole list of positions i've got about

17:17

five that i'm really considering at

17:18

right now one that i will just kind of

17:20

throw out there uh and i have not made

17:22

any moves on this one yet it's very very

17:24

dangerous but i think i think if we get

17:27

more pain in the market it's going to be

17:28

very very juicy for short potentials

17:30

it's dwack uh i i know that sounds like

17:32

anti-trump this is not a political move

17:34

at all this is just straight up like

17:36

okay there's absolutely zero reason a

17:38

company

17:39

with with its level of development and i

17:40

know they've done some fundraising

17:42

they've done some good with fundraising

17:43

but with this level of development

17:44

should be trading for for what it's

17:46

trading for it's absolutely the same

17:47

calculating the valuations on spax is a

17:49

little bit more complicated you can't

17:50

just look at what the market cap is on

17:52

google because that's based on the

17:54

market cap of only the pipe shares

17:56

anyway long story short this is like a

17:58

10 billion dollar company dwack is worth

18:00

more than like robin hood which i mean

18:02

maybe some people might actually be

18:03

happy about but but from a rational

18:05

basis with a company where robin hood's

18:06

got seven to eight billion dollars in

18:08

the bank and whack is worth more than

18:10

robin hood it doesn't make logical sense

18:12

right going back to fundamentals here

18:13

but anyway uh okay so any trades that i

18:16

do end up making obviously i will post

18:17

immediately in the stocks and psychology

18:19

money group there are some trades that i

18:21

may make a video about and then post

18:23

them like a day later or whatever i

18:24

can't always post them uh the same day

18:27

though because it takes time to put

18:28

videos together and i do my best to get

18:30

polished videos out even though i can

18:32

get news videos out very quickly when

18:34

they come to my thoughts and putting my

18:35

thoughts together alone i try to make

18:37

sure i bring out a polished product okay

18:39

so uh

18:40

next thing i'm gonna also do a lot is uh

18:43

my expectation is crypto is going to be

18:45

extremely volatile over the next uh the

18:49

next 60 days and i do think that there

18:51

are going to be trading opportunities in

18:52

crypto where we are going to bounce up

18:54

and down and break through and break

18:56

above over and over and over again

18:59

support lines within the crypto space

19:01

and so i want to take advantage of those

19:02

opportunities when i see them present

19:04

probably going to stick with some of the

19:06

larger ones and uh that's going to be

19:08

like bitcoin ethereum and cardano maybe

19:11

even solano just because these are ones

19:13

where i feel like i've got the chart

19:14

down a little bit better than some of

19:15

the others though i'll probably be

19:17

expanding to alts as well so i do expect

19:19

to get into and out of crypto on almost

19:22

a daily basis over the next 50 to 60

19:24

days and uh we'll see how it goes it'll

19:26

be fun okay the next thing that i'm

19:29

going to do is i'm going to uh brokerage

19:32

transfer so i'm really tired of using

19:35

jpm i can't handle the fact that they

19:37

don't let me do pre or post market

19:38

trading i have to wait hours for my

19:40

margin to become available when i want

19:41

to use it sometimes i have to call them

19:43

to buy or sell and i can obviously only

19:45

do that when they answer the phone and

19:46

if the amount is over a certain size

19:48

then they can't help me trade and the

19:50

bank automatically has some weird limits

19:51

set so then they have to like the phone

19:53

banker has to send an email to a

19:55

different department but everybody's

19:56

work from home so it's like this

19:57

complete cluster f i absolutely hate it

20:00

complete moronic rules uh and rules like

20:02

this have cost me tens of thousands of

20:03

dollars in lost opportunities because

20:05

what like when i make a trade and it

20:06

goes down like i'll i'll suck it up like

20:08

okay i made a mistake that's fine if i

20:11

make a trade and i'm like i want to make

20:12

this trade like right now let's go and i

20:14

can't do it because somebody else is

20:16

standing my way like vlad then i get

20:18

pissed that's not fair right that should

20:20

happen to nobody and my heart goes out

20:22

uh empathetically to uh the robin hood

20:25

folks who had this issue uh also td

20:26

ameritrade is expecting to offer me some

20:28

sort of a special portfolio like lower

20:30

margin rate which would be really

20:31

amazing jpm's was like 1.25 and if they

20:34

can low get lower than that

20:35

let's go

20:36

okay good so uh now what else what else

20:40

so the big thing here is i am going to

20:42

do everything that i can over the next

20:44

50 to 60 days to make sure that i can

20:46

get uh more money raised so that when we

20:50

get better pricing i am the person

20:53

they're buying i'm a big fan of buy the

20:55

dip i just want to do everything i can

20:57

to build my portfolio as much as i can

20:59

with trades

21:01

probably by yield farming credits

21:03

because i think that's the safest and

21:04

most conservative way to do that and

21:06

then that way if i've got a few extra

21:07

million dollars i've covered my taxes

21:09

boom i get back in at lower prices so

21:11

that's my expectation watching futures

21:13

very closely so futures are really

21:15

interesting right now

21:16

nasdaq

21:18

futures have shot up from about .66 to

21:21

about .94 they ran up to almost one

21:24

percent up in futures they pulled right

21:26

back down to up about two-thirds so

21:28

you're seeing that volatility already

21:30

present in the futures market here's my

21:32

expectation for tomorrow i believe that

21:35

there's a very high likelihood that

21:37

we're going to have a green open

21:38

tomorrow but i think it's going to be a

21:39

little bit of a weenie baby open where

21:41

it's kind of just like yay we open green

21:44

but then the second half of the day the

21:46

traders take advantage of us the

21:47

institutions take advantage of us and we

21:49

sell out i do think if you are a trader

21:51

this is a very very important pattern

21:53

that has been consistent for the last

21:54

eight weeks that you can take advantage

21:56

up also remember the best time to sell

21:59

puts is when put prices are higher so if

22:02

you do towards the second half of the

22:03

day start seeing prices go back down

22:06

that's probably going to be the time to

22:07

sell your puts rather than the beginning

22:09

part of the day where stocks are green

22:11

because that's when puts are going to be

22:13

less expensive and if you're going to

22:14

sell them you want to sell when things

22:16

are a little bit more expensive when

22:18

prices stock prices start falling your

22:20

put prices the credits you're going to

22:21

get are going to start going up which is

22:22

better keep in mind we're also seeing

22:24

volatility go down so there might be

22:27

plays on

22:29

uh uv xy as an example so this is a

22:33

little tricky but just so you know uvxy

22:35

is is essentially a ticker that goes up

22:37

when volatility goes up so when

22:39

volatility

22:40

goes up you you can actually make a bet

22:43

on this by having call options or just

22:45

buying the actual taker right you have

22:48

to be careful it's not a one-for-one

22:50

correlation with volatility

22:52

so you've got to be careful with that a

22:54

little bit it maybe do some research on

22:56

the actual ticker beyond what we're

22:57

going to talk about here in this video

22:58

uh but uh there's also the inverse of

23:00

this but i personally prefer just take

23:02

the uv xy and if you think this is going

23:04

to go down like it probably will first

23:06

thing in the morning tomorrow in fact

23:07

right now we're expecting this to open

23:08

up down three percent futures are gonna

23:11

open up down three percent at least

23:12

that's what futures indicate right now

23:13

this isn't actually active right now

23:15

yeah uh then this should also go down

23:17

you know we'll see roughly three percent

23:19

sometimes a little bit more

23:20

and uh and there's an opportunity then

23:23

if you believe that volatility is going

23:25

to go back up second half of the day to

23:26

maybe make a bet on this particular one

23:28

this is to me like a perfect day in day

23:30

out kind of trader stock so uh that's

23:32

definitely one to watch okay good so uh

23:35

those are my thoughts folks thank you so

23:37

very much for watching check out the

23:38

programs link down below i'm building

23:39

your wealth there's a coupon code that

23:40

expires on my birthday which is in five

23:42

days you get 100 transparency as soon as

23:45

i make trades and folks we'll see in the

23:47

next one thanks so much goodbye

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