My 60 Day Strategy to BUY the DIP: Crypto & Stocks.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone me kevin here boy oh boy it
has been a spectacular last 24 hours and
to help with the last 24 hours i got
myself an emotional support uh well the
closest thing i could get to a paper
mario which is uh
paper slash foil mario
so i've got an emotional support animal
here he's got a nose as big as a clown
so i think it's pretty appropriate
anyway it's kind of cool because he uh
he self writes himself uh so when i
throw him he still stands up which is
kind of cool he's got a little weights
on him anyway in this video we're going
to talk about strategies moving forward
because obviously a lot has been made
about me selling and i think folks are
tunnel visioning the fact that i'm only
selling to set myself up to buy the dip
more aggressively because see i believe
the more the market dips and i do
believe that the market has more to dip
the better opportunities i can get the
problem is
when you are restrained by capital in
tight markets you got to do everything
you can to maximize your ability to buy
the biggest stamp with either options or
just straight trades that you can and
that's what we're going to talk about in
this video about how to maximize some of
these things
okay so let's go ahead and talk about
this we'll also talk about futures
because we've got a little bit of green
and futures right now i'm going to talk
about my expectations for futures uh so
let's go ahead and get right into this
so the first thing that i'm going to
talk about is uh step one and this is
sort of like a five-part video step one
is going to be refinancing now what i
like to do when markets get tough
because when markets are good i have a
rule i don't refinance my properties i
generally don't like refinancing at all
and see in my stocks and psychology
money group and in my real estate
investing courses we always talk about
real estate is your piggy bank for a
tough market i've currently built up
over five million dollars in excess
equity over the last two years in real
estate now i don't try to time interest
rates on real estate although it would
have been nice to refinance last year at
lower rates i usually don't even
remotely think about refinancing my real
estate unless the market's going to crap
and so i've got about 5 million plus
maybe 5.2 million that i could draw out
of real estate and if i do activate
those refinances now i should get that
cash by the first week of march
which if my timing is correct and we end
up at peak fear before the first rate
liftoff of march 16th i'll be able to
plow an additional 5.2 million dollars
into the market which means i'll be able
to take an additional 25 of my overall
portfolio throwing it and throw it into
the market at a time that i think will
probably have peak fear in the meantime
between now and then we're going to have
a lot of this vacillation so i'm not
going to get head faked by this
vacillation because we've seen this sort
of isolation for the last eight weeks
remember folks the most difficult thing
in a bear market is raising capital so
cutting away expenses is one thing
making more money is one thing but if
you have a piggy bank that you can go to
and it can bail you out of margin which
i'm not in margin obviously at this
point or you can go to a piggy bank so
that way you have more money when you
need it close to ideally the bottom
market that's ideal why do i say this is
one of my favorite moves because in
march
on march 3rd of 2020 i activated a ton
of refinances i refinanced somewhere
around 10 properties in the span of two
months and i got a boatload of money
somewhere around at that point two to
three million dollars and those original
investments 4 to 5x if not even more
they carried investment returns for a
very long period of time so i want to
get max cash that i can for when i think
we get to max fear i don't know if we've
hit max fear just yet i was hoping and
i've been hoping that we've hit max fear
last week and to some degree maybe but i
don't know if jay pal is going to help
us
get rid of any of our fears so we'll see
but i talked a lot about that on
saturday okay the second thing to do in
my opinion maximizing credit lines so
that way you're not exposed to margin
and see that's one of the beautiful
things about mortgages or credit lines
is they are different you don't have
margin calls on credit lines or
mortgages like you do on margin so i
like staying away from that kind of debt
or consumer debt and focusing on sorts
of credit lines i think that's really
where the juice is so if you're a
business owner or you own your own home
you might consider requesting to expand
your lines of credit with banks banks
are generally quite interested in
expanding lending right now so while not
all banks may be accommodative i believe
you'll find one that will be
accommodative so what i would do is i
would ask for a home equity line of
credit against your home or a business
line of credit against your business
income home equity lines of credit are
known as helocs and certain credit
unions not all the big banks will let
you pull out up to 80 to 90 percent of
the value against your property if you
find a a credit union that lets you go
up to 90 this means if your home is
worth 500 000
and you owe 300 000 on it you could get
a credit line while still maintaining
your first for a hundred and sixty
thousand dollars against your home
that's amazing against your business you
could usually get a credit line for
somewhere between 10 to 20
of your gross business revenues extended
to his line of credit so let's say
you're a real estate agent and you make
400 000 gross you might get a credit
line of 40k let's say you're all and i
know this sounds a little skewed because
the profit margin on that might be like
90 on that business right but now let's
say you're a wholesaler and you have
five million dollars of gross revenues
but you only net let's say 4.5 mil so
you're netting 500k on 500 mil right
there they might actually are on on five
mil they might actually let you take ten
percent of that five mil or 500 k out as
a credit line so like when it comes to
these credit lines they often don't care
so much about your profit margin they
care about that gross revenue so for
individuals with gross revenue
businesses that are more elevated those
business lines of credits are usually
going to be a little bit more desirable
and of course rates and terms may vary
but these lines are usually variable and
uh they can take basically you could
take money in and out of them like you
can on a credit card except the interest
rate is way lower it's usually between
three and five percent and uh generally
you can take money in and out for the
first 10 years you kind of write a check
in and out of it uh and then after 10
years whatever balance you have left is
usually locked the account is closed and
then you're required to pay that off
amortized fully amortized over 20 years
that's when you start paying principal
and interest otherwise you just pay
interest before so those those are some
cool things to consider as well now uh
let's also touch now based on on sort of
uh trade strategies right and i've been
actively
working on these and coming up with
plans and strategies for these with
those close to me and here's some
expectations so i expect the market to
change extremely quickly in my opinion
all eyes are on the fed the first big
date is january 25th and the next big
date is march 16th it really in my
opinion doesn't matter what news comes
out in between because we could end up
having good news and still end up with a
hawkish powell or hawkish fed board and
i do think that political influence is
involved so we have to be somewhat
careful about this but knowing january
25th and march 16th is just one part of
the problem you've got to have an
executable plan to maximize your returns
in my opinion because if you end up
seeing oh wow okay it seems like we're
getting good news from the fed what
should i do now and then you have to
come up with a plan you might end up
missing the boat so you don't want to
miss the boat if you're trading remember
trading is different from long run
investing and i think that's so critical
and a lot of people forget that that
it's it's okay
to to trade if you know you're a trader
and you're going to pay taxes on those
gains if you want to be a diamond hand
hodler that's totally okay if you want
to divide your portfolio 50 50 or 80 20
you could do that too but you have your
right to change your mind with what you
want to do with your portfolio and
nobody should ever tell you otherwise
now
let's go through this so i can buy small
caps for example now with money that
originally i had invested in apple
because see i don't particularly believe
the upside for apple is huge what's
apple going to do over the next year 10
20 30
i personally don't think it's going to
double i think it would be lucky to do a
10 20 30 over the next year or two that
would be amazing if apple did that
because i do consider apple a relatively
safe stock
but now because i sold my apple stock
and i washed some of the gains that i
had with apple with other stocks and i
sold profitably i will be paying taxes
what i can do is i now have this money
unlocked to be able to trade without
fear of taxes into and out of small caps
that in my opinion are desperately
oversold and are setting up for a short
squeeze these are the traditional ones
the shift technologies the lemonade the
tattooed chef even the matter ports or
the robin hoods or the arrival right
these are great companies that have been
so oversold because they just have
continued to go down and so now because
i've liquidated my portfolio in most
areas i have more cash available to be
able to take advantage of these swings
because i think some of these small caps
have the potential to four to eight x uh
their valuations which is kind of insane
and is substantially worth paying taxes
on if you can hit this correctly the
problem is getting head faked and
getting fake bounces and we'll talk
about that in just a moment we'll pull
this up and i'll talk exactly about what
a head fake looks like in the market
or or a bull trap and how we're going to
try to identify when are we actually
really going to turn around in this
market and that's difficult to identify
but we'll do our best to do so okay so
uh some of the things obviously on longs
i think it's really good to have uh
buckets uh of longs
and the buckets of longs that i've been
playing in
are of course ev where we've got tesla
as a main holder autonomous tech
honestly tesla is one of the best for
autonomous tech uh chips and metaverse
of course nvidia matterport some of our
faves green energy of course enphase
consumer discretionary even stocks and
you want to start paying attention to
some of these home depots down 15
percent from all-time high uh target is
ultimate highs target is down 16.7 from
all-time highs obviously your consumer
discretionary is like etsy and a firm
that you want to be careful with the
firm because if we go into a recession
you want to stay away from a firm uh
consumer staples uh well staples would
be more like your your probably uh your
cost goes and your target actually
rather than a discretionary that depends
what you're buying there but anyway uh
those are some to pay attention to as
well maybe even sherwin-williams in that
uh but personally uh i still love my
faves that i've always loved again the
etsy affirm the end phase the tesla
these are sort of the core ones that uh
i'm strategizing on how to get in uh and
so there are a few ways that i can set
myself up to get into my longs obviously
i could just buy the shares on a lower
dip that is an easy option in addition
to just buying the shares on on a dip
and this is probably the direction i'm
going to go i i can sell puts because i
think we've got about a 50-day window
here where we're going to be trading
downwards and sideways i don't really
think that we're going to have massive
rallies that are going to last i think
we're going to have head fake rallies
rallies that come and go really really
quickly
and so what i'm looking for are
opportunities to potentially sell puts
here so that way i can decrease my cost
basis getting into these and ideally i
want to decrease my cost basis more than
the amount of money that i'm paying in
taxes so for example if on average on my
entire portfolio i'm paying about 20 in
taxes or about four million dollars
let's just say as an example washing out
gains losses uh then then i want to make
sure that uh that's a 20 decline i want
to make sure that i can lower my cost
basis in certain stocks ideally by
around 20 and if i could do that with
weekly sell puts farming the credits
that might be an option over the next 50
days probably the worst thing i could do
is just sit for 50 days and do nothing
with my cash
though
you know that's tbd so still working out
the exact details of that obviously
every single move that i make i will be
pointing out in my stocks on psychology
of money group whether whether it's uh
crypto or it is a traditional stock or
it's an option every single trade goes
in the stocks in psychology and money
course so if you're looking for trade
ideas again no guarantees ups or downs
but uh i'm gonna be doing a lot of
trading over the next 50 days probably i
will probably be doing more trading over
the next 50 days than i have in the last
year so if you like trading
check it out
i stare at the charts all day long
that's what i do now some of you may be
unfamiliar with exactly how a sold put
works so let me just give you a very
quick example using end phase so let's
go ahead and jump in here we're going to
drop in end phase what we're going to do
is we're going to see this has gone down
substantially in in value we're going to
jump over here to options
you could go for weeklies which can
sometimes give you a little bit of a
higher rate of return but let's just go
ahead and say i'm going to go for a 33
day on this one i'm going to go for 33
days and let's say i'm willing to buy
end phase at it's currently at 126
dollars so we go for the 125. let's say
i can sell this for 12 dollars a
contract approximately at this this year
or or per uh per share that is since
contract is times 100. so here's what's
going to happen i'm going to pick the
125 strike
february 25th 2022 expiration
sell
put and this is a if you're using a uh a
platform that has the like two open or
two closed phrase what you're looking
for is sell to open because by selling a
put you're giving somebody else the
right to force you to buy shares at 125
so in this case i'm giving somebody else
the right to force me to buy 10
times 100 shares of end phase at a
hundred twenty five dollars that means
i'm agreeing to pay to pay a hundred
twenty five thousand dollars for one
thousand shares of enface
in return i'm going to get a ten
thousand seven hundred fifty credit now
if end face trades above
uh 125 dollars i can either sell the
contract for a profit or i can sell or
just i could literally do nothing i
could keep the 10 000 uh dollar credit
and then the contract expires worthless
and then i keep the ten thousand seven
hundred fifty dollars the only time this
is bad is when prices go down you go
under 125. uh well i'm good until about
115 dollars that's approximately my
break even depending on if i get it for
ten dollars 10 or 75 cents somewhere on
there my break even is going to be
somewhere around 115 114 that's my break
even so it's kind of like i'm buying end
face for a discount
and the cool thing about that is if uh
if it ends up falling to 120 and i get
assigned that's okay because it's really
like i got the shares for 114 or 115
dollars and uh i got forced to to pick
him up while i was at about 120 big deal
uh so i'm still in the money in that
case
gets ugly though when you sell a put and
end face goes from 125 to like 80. in
that case you'd be agreeing to buy
shares for 125 sure you'd have the 11ish
dollar credit but you'd still be upside
down by 34
so there is some risk related to this
and that's why sometimes what people
like to do is they like to go for the
one weeks so that way they limit how
extremely down it can go but they're
still farming that credit because look
at this on one week i'm collecting four
thousand six hundred fifty dollars if i
go to four weeks i'm collecting roughly
twice that so it's four times the time
for only twice the credit so that's why
those weeklies can be really nice
because people are buying weekly puts
speculating so it's kind of like selling
the pickaxe to the gold farmers
right now if i went in here and did 500
of these contracts times 100 shares per
contract
at uh in this case
per the week four dollars and 65 cents i
would get a credit of 232 000 between
now and friday and if end face sold
below 125 by friday i would be
committing to spend
uh
a few million dollars six point two
million dollars which is a lot it's
crazy right i'm using big numbers here
just as an example but still if npace
traded above 125 i could take that 230
thousand dollars thank you very much for
free by friday as long as we're above
125. so these are just some ideas that's
not exactly what i'm planning on doing
this particular one i'd probably go a
little to different prices and ladder
and vertical this out a little bit but
uh to be determined still in the works
just a quick example uh so now what
about shorts okay so i don't love
shorting because i believe when you
short you're betting against train
america you're betting against the
future growth of america so what i'm
looking at is potentially shorting
overvalued momentum which is very very
dangerous you could you could lose your
pants on that so you'll be very very
careful or kind of limit your exposure
here or specific tech stocks that have
not fully sold off yet i specifically
want to do this as potentially an
earnings play on only certain stocks i
hate playing earnings but earnings are
going to be the catalyst on very
specific stocks where i believe i have a
competitive advantage so for example
let's say i'm a consumer or a purchaser
of a certain good and i see something
shady happening at a company and i think
it's going to get reported in earnings
and it's corroborated by potentially
still a high stock price that might be
an opportunity for me to short uh who
knows but in my opinion what you're
trying to do with trading is balance the
scale to where you have an 80 chance of
being right 78 chance of being right 30
chance of being wrong uh in that way you
were right more than you're wrong if i
had those odds in roulette i would be
playing roulette all day long and we
would be doing roulette live streams
every single day
uh so uh one of them just and i've got a
whole list of positions i've got about
five that i'm really considering at
right now one that i will just kind of
throw out there uh and i have not made
any moves on this one yet it's very very
dangerous but i think i think if we get
more pain in the market it's going to be
very very juicy for short potentials
it's dwack uh i i know that sounds like
anti-trump this is not a political move
at all this is just straight up like
okay there's absolutely zero reason a
company
with with its level of development and i
know they've done some fundraising
they've done some good with fundraising
but with this level of development
should be trading for for what it's
trading for it's absolutely the same
calculating the valuations on spax is a
little bit more complicated you can't
just look at what the market cap is on
google because that's based on the
market cap of only the pipe shares
anyway long story short this is like a
10 billion dollar company dwack is worth
more than like robin hood which i mean
maybe some people might actually be
happy about but but from a rational
basis with a company where robin hood's
got seven to eight billion dollars in
the bank and whack is worth more than
robin hood it doesn't make logical sense
right going back to fundamentals here
but anyway uh okay so any trades that i
do end up making obviously i will post
immediately in the stocks and psychology
money group there are some trades that i
may make a video about and then post
them like a day later or whatever i
can't always post them uh the same day
though because it takes time to put
videos together and i do my best to get
polished videos out even though i can
get news videos out very quickly when
they come to my thoughts and putting my
thoughts together alone i try to make
sure i bring out a polished product okay
so uh
next thing i'm gonna also do a lot is uh
my expectation is crypto is going to be
extremely volatile over the next uh the
next 60 days and i do think that there
are going to be trading opportunities in
crypto where we are going to bounce up
and down and break through and break
above over and over and over again
support lines within the crypto space
and so i want to take advantage of those
opportunities when i see them present
probably going to stick with some of the
larger ones and uh that's going to be
like bitcoin ethereum and cardano maybe
even solano just because these are ones
where i feel like i've got the chart
down a little bit better than some of
the others though i'll probably be
expanding to alts as well so i do expect
to get into and out of crypto on almost
a daily basis over the next 50 to 60
days and uh we'll see how it goes it'll
be fun okay the next thing that i'm
going to do is i'm going to uh brokerage
transfer so i'm really tired of using
jpm i can't handle the fact that they
don't let me do pre or post market
trading i have to wait hours for my
margin to become available when i want
to use it sometimes i have to call them
to buy or sell and i can obviously only
do that when they answer the phone and
if the amount is over a certain size
then they can't help me trade and the
bank automatically has some weird limits
set so then they have to like the phone
banker has to send an email to a
different department but everybody's
work from home so it's like this
complete cluster f i absolutely hate it
complete moronic rules uh and rules like
this have cost me tens of thousands of
dollars in lost opportunities because
what like when i make a trade and it
goes down like i'll i'll suck it up like
okay i made a mistake that's fine if i
make a trade and i'm like i want to make
this trade like right now let's go and i
can't do it because somebody else is
standing my way like vlad then i get
pissed that's not fair right that should
happen to nobody and my heart goes out
uh empathetically to uh the robin hood
folks who had this issue uh also td
ameritrade is expecting to offer me some
sort of a special portfolio like lower
margin rate which would be really
amazing jpm's was like 1.25 and if they
can low get lower than that
let's go
okay good so uh now what else what else
so the big thing here is i am going to
do everything that i can over the next
50 to 60 days to make sure that i can
get uh more money raised so that when we
get better pricing i am the person
they're buying i'm a big fan of buy the
dip i just want to do everything i can
to build my portfolio as much as i can
with trades
probably by yield farming credits
because i think that's the safest and
most conservative way to do that and
then that way if i've got a few extra
million dollars i've covered my taxes
boom i get back in at lower prices so
that's my expectation watching futures
very closely so futures are really
interesting right now
nasdaq
futures have shot up from about .66 to
about .94 they ran up to almost one
percent up in futures they pulled right
back down to up about two-thirds so
you're seeing that volatility already
present in the futures market here's my
expectation for tomorrow i believe that
there's a very high likelihood that
we're going to have a green open
tomorrow but i think it's going to be a
little bit of a weenie baby open where
it's kind of just like yay we open green
but then the second half of the day the
traders take advantage of us the
institutions take advantage of us and we
sell out i do think if you are a trader
this is a very very important pattern
that has been consistent for the last
eight weeks that you can take advantage
up also remember the best time to sell
puts is when put prices are higher so if
you do towards the second half of the
day start seeing prices go back down
that's probably going to be the time to
sell your puts rather than the beginning
part of the day where stocks are green
because that's when puts are going to be
less expensive and if you're going to
sell them you want to sell when things
are a little bit more expensive when
prices stock prices start falling your
put prices the credits you're going to
get are going to start going up which is
better keep in mind we're also seeing
volatility go down so there might be
plays on
uh uv xy as an example so this is a
little tricky but just so you know uvxy
is is essentially a ticker that goes up
when volatility goes up so when
volatility
goes up you you can actually make a bet
on this by having call options or just
buying the actual taker right you have
to be careful it's not a one-for-one
correlation with volatility
so you've got to be careful with that a
little bit it maybe do some research on
the actual ticker beyond what we're
going to talk about here in this video
uh but uh there's also the inverse of
this but i personally prefer just take
the uv xy and if you think this is going
to go down like it probably will first
thing in the morning tomorrow in fact
right now we're expecting this to open
up down three percent futures are gonna
open up down three percent at least
that's what futures indicate right now
this isn't actually active right now
yeah uh then this should also go down
you know we'll see roughly three percent
sometimes a little bit more
and uh and there's an opportunity then
if you believe that volatility is going
to go back up second half of the day to
maybe make a bet on this particular one
this is to me like a perfect day in day
out kind of trader stock so uh that's
definitely one to watch okay good so uh
those are my thoughts folks thank you so
very much for watching check out the
programs link down below i'm building
your wealth there's a coupon code that
expires on my birthday which is in five
days you get 100 transparency as soon as
i make trades and folks we'll see in the
next one thanks so much goodbye
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