Stock WARNING, CIA *PAID* to LIE on Covid, UAW, Ukraine LIE, F35, & Biden | Bottom Line Report [E.3]
FULL TRANSCRIPT
multiple bottom line reports to cover
today including what's going on with the
consumer what's going on with Amazon and
temporary workers a government shutdown
Hunter Biden and the United Kingdom's
inflation surprise a Kroger's inflation
warning and Bays the UAW Tesla an F-35
hack and oh man Morgan Stanley
potentially suggests there could be an
investment that makes sense Beyond just
shorting everything yeah and that is
Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson now you
might be surprised to see what his
suggestion is let's get into that and
more in today's bottom line report keep
in mind house hack is officially raising
money go to househacker.com to learn
more about this investment which may
only be open for the next two to four
weeks as we might sell out a lot sooner
than we thought go to househack.com to
learn more about our one-to-one share
race which is a great opportunity for
investors in our opinion make sure to
read the prospectus the United Kingdom's
inflation metrics that came in at a
surprise we were looking at 6.8 percent
down from a seven percent last month we
ended up getting 6.7 percent putting
pressure on the bank of England to
potentially pause their interest rate
increases part of this drop uh in
inflation was due to a drop in
Restaurant pricing putting less pressure
on consumer prices one of the reasons we
might be seeing this decline in consumer
prices at restaurants in the United
Kingdom is well at least according to
Bank of America a Slowdown in restaurant
spending Bank of America is warning a
monthly decline in well restaurant
spending that is greater than what we've
usually seen one of the reasons Bank of
America is suggesting we might be seeing
this decline is less spent on fast
casual fast casual decelerating more
than expected and turning negative in
August one of the reasons they seem to
see this decline is when we jump over
here we see less spending by those May
making over 125 thousand dollars this
was actually a really bizarre and we
were doing some additional research on
this trying to come up with why would
those making over a hundred twenty five
thousand dollars spend less on fast
casual and have a larger drop in
restaurants spent in August than others
I mean obviously on this chart here you
can see this spike in spending on things
like doordash and fast casual after
covid that makes sense but why all of a
sudden are those making over 125 000
spending less one of the reasons I
thought potentially a return to the
office and readily accessible
refrigerators now I know this sounds
crazy like wait Kevin's going to tell us
about refrigerators think about this for
a moment if you're in office at a
computer all day long you probably have
access to a refrigerator which means you
have access to the ability to snack you
have access to maybe fruits and
vegetables or yogurt smoothies or
whatever that you might not have access
to if you were let's say a blue collar
our construction worker or plumber or an
electrician you go pick up your Dunkin
Donuts coffee in the morning and then
you order doordash for lunch and when
you get home the last thing you want to
do is cook whereas somebody who's in the
office all day long has access to a
refrigerator not only is able to snack
throughout the day but it's also
experiencing inflationary pressures
higher gas prices oil up 27 over just
the last quarter JP Morgan going as far
as calling an oil price shock something
that we could be experiencing putting a
damper on consumer spending this is a
big deal JP Morgan really warning about
this and really warning that maybe just
maybe this could end up contributing to
a GDP decline that the Federal Reserve
may not end up looking through in other
words the Federal Reserve may say all
right well I guess we're going to get a
GDP decline thanks to higher oil prices
but the inflationary impact is not
something we can ignore so guess what
hire for longer not great but finishing
the thought on restaurants and
refrigerators it is possible it is
entirely possible that those individuals
making under 125 000 a year might be
more prone to ordering doordash just
because you have less access to a
refrigerator just our idea point is
though restaurants spend declining
consumers under pressure oil prices up
yet again continuing on what is Morgan
Stanley suggesting despite all of this
could actually perform well and
specifically Mike Wilson remember Mike
Wilson is almost our resident bear who
famously flip-flopped about six weeks
ago after suggesting the rally in the
stock market was exactly what you wanted
to sit out for essentially the entire
year in all of last year kind of rose to
prominence because last year he was
right you know anybody who told you to
sell last year was kind of doing you a
solid well what is Morgan Stanley's Mike
Wilson suggesting now listen to this
thoughts from the road after spending
the past week with clients across Europe
and obviously in discussions with those
in the United States we conclude that
sentiment is quite similar to that of
the United States many are grappling
with uncertainty about the economic
cycle however this uncertainty
potentially reiterating a bull case for
Mega cap growth leadership this is of
course because of indexation the more
uncertainty you have the more people
might end up just throwing money into
the S P 500 or the NASDAQ leading to
more out performance by Mega caps versus
maybe value underperforming in small and
mid caps eventually Smalls and mids are
expected to catch up but will they right
now people seem to be more prone to this
sort of decision making of well should I
just throw my money into money markets
and make five percent on my money or do
I invest in stocks remember it's not
just five percent that you're getting in
your cash though if you do throw money
into money markets you are also getting
with that opportunity cost and that's
the opportunity to lose money in the
stock market or hopefully make money in
the stock market
Kroger is now warning that customers are
buying smaller package sizes of products
at a time prioritizing the lowest shelf
priced items this is in a report of
their recent earnings call I went
through their entire earnings call
yesterday we went through multiple other
earnings calls as well in the course
member live streams and we saw the same
thing happening in fact people are now
talking about consolidating when they go
shopping for things around holidays like
July 4th or Memorial Day rather than
just regularly buying the consumers are
definitely exhibiting stress so much so
that Kroger is saying they're seeing
sales ebb and flow
with paydays and SNAP benefit
distributions a sign that those excess
savings are probably gone Kroger
expecting economic headwinds to continue
pressuring customer spend in the second
half of the year and a greater
promotional price environment when they
were asked about deflation they said in
the last 40 years they have not
experienced deflation in any time except
two years that is out of the last 40
years they've only seen grocery price
deflation twice
however they said that at the beginning
of the year they thought inflation would
be around three to four percent guess
what they think for inflation now
they think that inflation Trends have
continued to evolve and that they now
expect instead of three to four percent
inflation
only one to two percent inflation and
they expect inflation to continue to
decelerate that's bullish for inflation
falling still doesn't help the fact that
oil is rising leading in the five-year
break evens and five-year forward
breakevens the Skyrocket recently which
hopefully doesn't call for pummeling
from Jay pal we'll see
FTX has now sued the parents of
sandbagmen freed yeah FTX the company in
bankruptcy has sued the parents of
sambangman free claiming they enrich
themselves by siphoning millions of
dollars in fraudulently transferred and
misappropriated funds that's their
warning okay
from FTX some of this money potentially
going to elicit campaign donations
Joseph bankman and Barbara freed get it
where Sam bankman free the name comes
from the hyphenation anyway Sam Venkman
freed whose net worth has a weird hyphen
in front of it well his parents are
tenured professor professors at Stanford
and are now accused of purposely taking
money to funnel to their favorite
charitable contributions which of course
many allege uh are basically all
left-leaning institutions and causes
although some are saying sandbagment
freed donated an equal amount of money
to Republicans but did so
in Hidden ways or not clear ways because
the media just likes the left so if you
come across as just a big left owner you
get more media attention
apparently Joseph bankman allegedly used
FTX funds for personal gifts including
tickets to Formula One Grand Prix event
in France
Barbara freed is also accused of
donating to her own Super PAC
which is known as mind the gap helping
Democrats specifically whoops anyway Sam
begman freed can enjoy his hyphenated
net worth in jail where he belongs for
perpetrating one of the greatest frauds
that duped so many
the director of enface has uh or a
director at end face has apparently
bought four million dollars worth of
shares helping contribute to enface's
gain of over four percent yesterday the
company has since their last earnings
report authorized over one billion
dollars in stock BuyBacks and questions
are now Rising is Enphase maybe buying
the dip on its own stock the dip has
been pretty aggressive and may continue
until interest rates fall incentivizing
that financing of homeowner investments
into solar though recently with energy
price spikes maybe we'll finally get
some good news coming to enface which
more and more is trading like well cheap
at a peg a ratio basis and face right
now is trading under a one peg and I
have to say
I think from a technical and fundamental
basis it is a steal at 120 per share
although I have been buying it since
under 180 and then backed up the truck
around 150 and now I kind of feel like a
little bit of a clown that instead of
120. but you can't be perfect and guess
what I still think there's an
opportunity though if you were betting
on that the downtrend might uh might
continue if you don't know we need to
lend
much like the United Auto Workers well
we don't know when the United States
strike is going to end but apparently
the Canadians have figured it out eh yes
Canada has avoided an extension of their
version of the strike where 5600 a
uniform workers uh or uniform union
workers uh were on strike striking
simultaneously specifically against a
Ford and finally struck a deal to
achieve a three-year labor contract the
details of which are still TBD but it's
giving some hope that hope some people
hope that maybe the UAW strike will end
in America UAW is threatening to expand
its strike come this Friday
the president of the UAW is also
emphasizing that they are not messing
around a lot of supportive comments from
both union members and stock traders in
my commentary on the UAW yesterday where
we clarified that this 66 dollars per
hour that people say union members are
earning isn't correct but that actually
includes this future amortization of all
the benefits and pensions or other
related benefits profit sharing
agreements that UAW members could
eventually get we found the commentary a
very supportive I encourage you to watch
the video yesterday but it's worth
noting that it's not just the big three
automakers that are getting hit hard
here there are at least 76 publicly
traded companies that are all getting
hit with a potential combined 38 billion
dollars of Revenue at risk
because of their relations supplying
materials and parts to Ford GM and
stellantis if this UAW strike continues
to expand
in this moment I highly encourage the
CEOs before GM installantis to get a
deal done the last thing we want are
more people out of work potentially more
layoffs and industries throughout the
country now that could end up leading to
a j-pal pause or maybe U-turn but it
could also not which would mean bad news
and bad news which is what nobody wants
but we also want individuals to be able
to earn a decent living with
all the inflation we've now experienced
which probably isn't going to go away I
don't think we'll face deflation anytime
soon because we'll just keep printing
our way out of it until that's no longer
possible but I think the money printer
is still going to work for some time
going into the future and it'll be on
again soon enough
on top of this we now have a talk that
Elon musk's Zach kirkhorn in other words
the CEO or CFO at Tesla might have ended
up leaving relating to investigations
into that glass house Elon Musk was
potentially building now there are SEC
allegations or at least investigations
into allegations that back in 2017 Elon
Musk was potentially throwing money into
project 42 a glass house near Giga
Austin and that there's now
scrutinization that money was
misappropriated from Tesla's EV profits
to other pet projects of Elon Musk and
if Zach was involved in this some are
suggesting Zach raised concerns and then
was forced out of the company and that
could have potentially explained his
sudden departure from Tesla after having
amassed nearly a half a billion dollars
in wealth while working at Tesla
wild allegations keep in mind at Tesla
you have 10 days left to transfer full
self-driving for free that is if you buy
a new Tesla if you need a referral code
by the way met kevin.com Tesla but
anyway if you buy a new Tesla and you
have an old Tesla with FSD you can now
transfer it from your old Tesla to your
new Tesla for free it's sort of a nice
little grace period opportunity to
transfer to a new Tesla if you were
looking to upgrade
keep in mind you also now have a lot and
a lot a lot a lot of people making fun
of Green Hill Technologies because Dano
Dodd's Green Hill Technologies
apparently was used in
f-35s
f-35s now apparently
hacked or maybe hacked who knows a lot
of allegations now that danodot's
software was used in an F-35 that
recently crashed after a pilot ejected a
lot of folks suggesting that the
software may have been hacked leading
the pilot to safely eject although he
ended up in the hospital afterwards
which is not uncommon after ejecting
creates a lot of pressure on your spine
Springs your spine it's a lot of G's
instantly I mean think about somebody
putting a bomb under your butt and then
getting ejected out of a plane like it
seems glorious in movies but it's
extremely painful and damaging you could
end up having to retire from the Air
Force after ejecting in an emergency
situation
anyway the F-35 which was missing for a
while kind of shocking that it could end
up going missing was found the debris
field was found for him a lot of folks
wondering if the software was ultimately
hacked leading to the demise of that
F-35 potentially signaling to the pilot
that things were wrong which may not
have otherwise been wrong who knows but
the Tesla Community is definitely making
fun of Dan o'dodd for this one given his
involvement uh well in running the
company Green Hill technology which
could Supply some autonomous technology
to f-35s yet what's also interesting is
going all the way back to 2018 we've
been talking about f-35s potentially
getting hacked listen to this Popular
Mechanics wrote a piece talking about
how the f-35's greatest vulnerability
isn't enemy weapons it's actually
getting hacked that the aircraft itself
is pretty secure but because of these
multiple communication systems that the
plane relies on first the
autonomatic wait what is is
autonomic Logistics information system
boy that is a tongue twister
a-l-i-s that's a lot easier that needing
to communicate with other systems
outside other servers outside of the
plane and the joint reprogramming
Enterprise both of these networking
systems and Communications being
required to actually operate the plane
but requiring data to leave from the
plane communicate with another system
potentially leaving the plane vulnerable
to hacks leading potentially Pilots to
believe that they're safe after
deploying weapons even though they're
not or sending signals to Pilots that
there are issues when indeed there are
not it isn't clear if the F-35 could be
remotely controlled by a hacker
somewhere else right now the only thing
that we think can be remotely controlled
by hackers or apparently MGM room key
cards but
we really don't need to talk about this
Cyber attack that has now gone into its
ninth day of people not being able to
get into MGM rooms or play in the slots
and apparently now Vegas stores offering
free lap dances if you are affected by
the MGM hack
it's crazy I think literally it is a
crazy world we live in what's not crazy
though is that did you know you can now
get into the courses on building your
wealth for just 79 we are releasing
multiple potentially as many as 20 but
for now 10 different micro crash courses
High value-packed crash courses that are
79 on pre-sale there's no content in
them yet but once the content comes out
we expect these courses to double in
value as soon as the content releases so
that means you have an opportunity now
to get into these courses for just 79
their crash course style so they're more
value packed in a shorter amount of time
than some of the larger courses which
might go into more detail and be a lot
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for a crash course on for example how to
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again we expect that pricing to go up
after the pre-sale ends so check that
out by going to meet kevin.com if you
have any questions you can always email
us at staff and meet kevin.com by the
way that's a good port for me to mention
if you have any questions for house hack
Make sure to email us at IR
househack.com
Elon musk's neural link is now
recruiting those potentially if
afflicted by ALS or quadruplegia
for quadriplegic Elon musk's neuralink
is looking to help you and potentially
the first human trial of neuralink
should be quite interesting my heart
goes out to anyone affected by these
issues and hopefully Elon musk's and
oral link can help
Amazon is now offering to pay Logistics
workers up to 20.50 on average the range
being 17 to 28 and offering a workers
bonuses of one to three thousand dollars
just to go work on Amazon on a temporary
basis this is not a bad deal if you're
looking for work consider checking out
Amazon there's some people scratching
their head going wait a minute it's
going to cause a wage price buyer oh
on the other hand something that is
spiraling and indeed spiraling out of
control is Congress right now House
Republicans are postponing a procedural
vote on a 30-day government is a funding
bill to basically Kick the Can down the
road again since our budget runs out on
the 30th of this month keep in mind that
also means funding for Ukraine is
technically due within the next 10 days
Joe Biden expecting to sign another 24
billion dollars of funding for Ukraine
Donald Trump freaking out over this on
Truth social arguing that why is it the
United States has funded more than the
European Union combined for Ukraine
Donald Trump arguing it's time for the
European Union to at least get to par
with our funding for Ukraine zelenski
wall in Ukraine or wall in Ukraine while
in the United Nations arguing that if
Donald Trump indeed has a plan to end
the war between Russia and Ukraine
within 24 hours he should go ahead and
do the humanitarian good
and provide that plan now directly
calling on Donald Trump to help end the
war although some argue the idea of
ending the war where it is right now and
just dividing up territories potentially
exactly what Russia wants potentially
Russia's reasons for barricading itself
in minefields and trenches is because
they want that oil Rich to vipero and
Dinesh territory where 90 of Ukraine's
natural gas and oil production comes
from maybe that was the plan all along
maybe the plan was to wait for another
president that'll just say oh let's
let's let Ukraine have that little Edge
territory over there who knows that is
what Vivek ramaswami is calling for
right now who has been criticized for
his potential radical ideas for not only
ending certain domestic uh departments
like the FBI or department of education
but also for suggesting that we should
just pause the war in Ukraine versus
Russia and just divide up territory the
way it is now leading some to say I
don't know is this going to be the right
person to get in the presidency or do we
risk the biscuit where we already know
what we're going to get on either Joe
Biden or Donald Trump
thinking of Joe Biden oh no the National
Archives says it has about 5400 emails
that Obama can decide whether or not to
approve the release of which may include
all of Joe Biden's aliases yeah
apparently Joe Biden while he was in
office which wasn't uncommon during the
Obama Administration used a lot of
aliases and guess what one of them is
yeah the big guy other aliases
potentially including Robert L Peters
j.rb Ware and Celtic this did happen
during the Obama Administration as well
with individuals like Attorney General
Eric Holder using nicknames like Lou
Alcindor and Lisa Jackson the former EPA
administrator using Richard Windsor as
her second email account
this is weird it doesn't feel right that
politicians get to use aliases I don't
like that I think it's confusing on
purpose now I get it if there's maybe
like some uh you know Espionage risk or
like uh you know security risk where we
don't want you know the Russian
intelligence agencies knowing what's
going on in our emails although I bet if
they're in our emails they probably also
know our aliases so it's kind of
frustrating it's also frustrating that
we're going through this budget shutdown
and Showdown again obviously Schumer
wants to see disaster relief and Ukraine
money in the continuing resolution to
Kick the Can down the road McCarthy
wants funding as well but he's fighting
others says he needs a couple more votes
to get some kind of budget resolution
pass but he's in this big fight because
you've got some Republicans are like
look or we're done kicking the can down
the road we need cuts when are we ever
gonna actually put our pants on start
cutting the United States budget deficit
grows every single year with the total
debt now exceeding 33 trillion dollars
we just passed the debt ceiling just
under 31 trillion dollars and all of a
sudden we went from
under 31 trillion to over 33 trillion
just a matter of a few months it's
definitely definitely hands down an
unsustainable path now do I think the
dollar is going to collapse tomorrow
because of all of us no do I think it's
going to collapse within the next 10
years no well eventually the Ponzi of
the American dollar end yeah of course
eventually all currencies collapse they
all do
in the meantime if you want to get some
more of the dollar FAFSA applications
are being delayed until December
apparently they're going through an
overhaul a new shorter form and it'll
take until December for that form to be
ready
in other news you could just go steal
because apparently that's what people in
California are doing 20 thieves just
stole three hundred thousand dollars
worth of handbags
security guard was blast in the face
with bear spray the LAPD is calling it
flash Rob instead of flash mob coming
after Glendale uh and also in California
just got robbed of four hundred thousand
dollars by 30 people in a Flash Rob it's
not just California the national retail
Federation estimates that shrink has
climbed to almost 100 billion dollars
this year you could almost fund the war
in Ukraine
oh look at this coming through the wire
right now Russia is speaking of Ukraine
Putin Russia's Putin accepts invitation
to visit China in October
you know as much as the United States is
trying to get away from its Reliance on
China you realize and The Economist had
a great piece on this you realize what's
happening is all the other countries
around China are just buying the stuff
from China and then they're selling it
to the United States
whether that's
Taiwan South Korea or even Mexico just
buying Chinese stuff so anytime we try
to get away from China we're still
getting Chinese stuff
can't get away from China
anyway National Retail Federation is
estimating that mentions of theft and
Shrink have doubled in company earnings
calls Dick's Sporting Goods blames their
missed earnings odd theft and now you
have the dollar store complaining that
they're going to see another 100 million
dollars of increased theft going forward
honestly this is just like a human
crisis but it's also a criminal justice
problem right so you've got a double
problem you've got a criminal justice
system that's massively flawed but then
you've got this human crisis of food and
gas and everything being much more
expensive and it ain't gonna go down
okay Jay Powers is gonna throw the money
printer on as soon as we hint at
deflation so prices aren't going to go
down
inflation it's growth might be falling
prices ain't gonna go down not If the
Fed can stop they'll just print more
that's what they did the last 10 years
before covet
anyway now and this is devastating okay
I I hate to hear stuff like this uh but
uh it it does it does Jade you quite a
bit apparently now you had Ukraine
blame a missile strike on Russia that
apparently didn't come from Russia it
apparently came from Ukraine itself
here's the New York Times piece where
they show imagery along with interviews
and investigations of the site uh
showing the the uh the explosion and uh
hey look I know it's the times but the
times originally did Echo zielinski's
claim that this was a Russian strike
well apparently
it probably wasn't a Russian strike in
fact evidence now indicates that the
Ukrainian missile that a Ukrainian
missile just fell short of its Target it
was supposed to fly somewhere around 15
miles and ended up falling after 10
miles killed 15 civilians and injuring
more than 30 others New York Times
reporters apparently analyzed fragment
satellite imagery witness accounts blah
blah blah blah Intel originally blamed
Russian terrorists and so did zelinski
but apparently it was actually Ukrainian
missile that malfunctioned for unknown
reasons or it's being used as a
propaganda tool which is the more jaded
and devastating consideration that maybe
Ukraine could be conducting some of
these strikes or attacks on itself this
is super jaded tinfoil had okay but the
more you kind of like shoot yourself in
the foot the more you're like I need
help
very very jaded it but I'll tell you I
don't know after covid the level of Jade
in our society is going up and
oftentimes rightfully so listen to this
Cliff Sims former deputy deputy director
of the National Intelligence service and
John Radcliffe who was the former
director of the National Intelligence of
the United States both just wrote an
op-ed
and they are reiterating whistleblower
claims that the CIA purposefully
manipulated covid-19 origin claims to
favor the story China was coming up with
analysts who initially supported the lab
League Theory were apparently paid to
change their opinion
accusations of a larger Trend within the
CAA being politicized regarding China
are being cooperated by this op-ed
scathing op-ed in the Wall Street
Journal today
I'm like this this is crazy
CAA intelligence analysts being paid off
to do political favors
I mean quite frankly maybe we should
have assumed this but it just seems like
every day more and more the Jade level
is going up everywhere and again
rightfully so apparently this is so
common it's literally called conclusion
shopping yeah conclusion shopping yeah
it'll actually investigate anything
anymore just shop for the conclusion you
want and then you pay for it
on top of that nvidia's uh data center
hardware sales in Q2 we're around 10.3
billion dollars right well apparently
now an analytics firm called omdia is
estimating that Nvidia dispatched 900
tons of h100 processors during the most
recent quarter here in 2023 suggesting
maybe Nvidia sales might end up beating
this is coming at the same time as
rumors
or that Microsoft might actually be
canceling orders
for h100s because the AI hype isn't
holding up
rumor rumors lots of rumors who knows
who knows the positioning of these
people's stocks anyway uh but anyway I I
look I'm a big believer that a lot of
the AI software is a fad uh and I've
purposely tried staying away from AI
software I do still think and I still
believe it that the chips are an
opportunity TSM AMD Nvidia you know
nvidia's price might be a little lofty
but the amount of capex that's going to
absorb in videos production as long as
they can get their hands on these AI
chips it's going to explode this is as
other chip sales are slowing down as TSM
is warm it just doesn't seem to be AI
chips that are slowing down
anyway
we'll see
now it's time for the Daily Wealth
individuals really enjoy the Daily
Wealth emails that we send out check out
the link down below to sign up for that
and one of the big things that we're
seeing a lot of folks have questions
about is this idea of how do we make
sure our job doesn't get replaced you
don't want to be the person in a stone
quarry learning how to swing the hammer
or the pickaxe the best when you're just
going to get replaced by a jackhammer or
a tool you don't want to drive a
forklift better because you're just
going to get replaced by our whole robot
instead some jobs that could really
insulate you or those jobs that rely on
a deep understanding of human psychology
this could be things like sales hey
we've got a crash course on that nursing
Finance real estate law advertising
potentially highly insulated and
actually benefiting from artificial
intelligence Healthcare companies
spending a ton of money on AI by the way
anyway that does it for today's bottom
line report let me know in the comments
down below if you still appreciate these
segments I like them I need as much
feedback as you can give me it's
obviously very different from what we
used to do so I'd like to hear your
comments thank you so much for watching
and we'll see in the next one
here I feel like nobody
congratulations man you have done so
much people love you people looked up to
you Kevin path right there financial
analyst and YouTuber meet Kevin always
great to get your take
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