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The Future of Lucid & Apple: My Thoughts.

12m 16s2,275 words389 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

hey everyone me kevin here we have three

0:01

things to talk about regarding lucid and

0:03

its merger with cciv only one of these

0:05

three things

0:06

are things that we're hearing about

0:07

right now on social media so let's get

0:08

right into it

0:09

first the short interest that this

0:11

company is exploding

0:13

take a look at this short interest short

0:16

interest rather as a percentage of

0:17

float is currently at a high of 14.78

0:21

we had essentially a skyrocketing in the

0:24

short interest

0:25

following the official announcement that

0:29

lucid will be merging with cciv

0:31

beforehand this was just a rumor

0:33

obviously there was a lot of excitement

0:35

that went into this rumor we had a big

0:36

valuation

0:37

change on uh well announcement day which

0:40

ended up being february 22nd

0:42

and shortly after that we had the price

0:44

of cciv come down substantially

0:47

because of this revaluation and on top

0:49

of that once

0:50

the market price fell over here we could

0:52

see on the 23rd

0:53

we were somewhere around six percent

0:56

seven percent

0:56

short and that essentially doubled just

1:00

over

1:00

the last week as the so the share price

1:03

has essentially been getting beat down

1:04

day after day after day after day

1:06

now this could very well be likely

1:09

because

1:10

people are potentially hedging

1:12

themselves against

1:13

the what i call nicola fear look nicola

1:16

had some really freaking awesome

1:19

artwork for their vehicles but nobody

1:22

has actually

1:22

seen like the badger nobody's actually

1:25

been

1:26

in a semi truck and have has seen it

1:28

drive with the exception of some recent

1:30

prototypes they made afterwards but

1:32

during the time of the nikola spec and

1:34

the merger

1:35

everything was just look at our truck

1:36

rolling down the hill

1:38

you know look at all these designs and

1:40

plans we have

1:41

and in some respect you can't blame

1:44

investors for looking at lucid going

1:47

we've been down this road before okay we

1:49

got to see a product here i mean look

1:50

it's great you guys had an ad in the

1:51

super bowl you guys got some

1:53

sales studios all across the united

1:55

states you know you got the saudis

1:57

helping you build a factory in arizona i

1:59

mean this is cool you guys actually have

2:01

a factory

2:01

when you look up the you know factory

2:04

that was supposed to

2:05

be getting built for nicola outside

2:07

their headquarters or away from their

2:09

headquarters they separate from their

2:10

headquarters all we get is a plot of

2:12

dirt

2:13

in fact something funny you could do is

2:15

you could look up the

2:16

aerial drone footage of the progress of

2:18

the nikola factory

2:19

and they kind of do like day one plot of

2:21

dirt like

2:23

two years later same plot of dirt mostly

2:25

because people on the internet

2:27

uh daily drone the tesla factory sites

2:30

and you can kind of see the progress

2:32

and time lapse really fascinating to see

2:34

the progress of the gigafactories

2:36

and so in my opinion there's a lot of

2:37

this increasing short interest because

2:39

people think

2:40

we haven't seen this real product really

2:41

hit the road yet we don't know

2:44

is is the product that they had on the

2:45

racetrack actually a viable product

2:47

why don't we get some people behind the

2:48

wheel here rather than just

2:50

showing up in their showrooms well folks

2:53

that is where

2:54

update number two comes from update

2:57

number two

2:58

is that elucid motors appears to be

3:00

prepping to start taking folks this is

3:03

unofficial

3:04

rumor at this point we don't know

3:05

there's no confirmation of this

3:07

but through the grapevine we're starting

3:10

to hear

3:10

that maybe within the next few weeks

3:14

lucid motors will actually start letting

3:16

people

3:17

drive this vehicle which is very very

3:20

important obviously as somebody that

3:22

has around uh somewhere around a million

3:24

dollars invested in this company

3:25

i would love to be able to get behind

3:27

the wheel of the vehicle

3:28

i have this feeling that lucid hasn't

3:31

quite yet figured out

3:32

who their partner is going to be for

3:34

automation that's okay i think

3:36

there are plenty of options for that i

3:38

don't think it's uh

3:39

horrible that lucid does not have their

3:41

own automation who knows maybe they do

3:43

but hey if they want to focus on the

3:45

best motors and the best engineering and

3:47

the best batteries possible

3:48

because they're recruiting and poaching

3:50

people and offering them more money from

3:52

tesla or whatever hey look money talks

3:53

like i get it right

3:54

that is totally possible so i definitely

3:56

don't think it's true and i hear this

3:58

rumor a lot that

3:59

or maybe it's not a rumor that's more

4:00

like a saying people saying things like

4:01

oh well tesla's going to attract the

4:03

best talent

4:03

not necessarily because people at tesla

4:06

might want to get into like the next big

4:08

thing

4:08

especially if they get offered more

4:10

shares more compensation right or the

4:12

potential for more compensation

4:14

if they help a product succeed so i'm

4:16

not really worried

4:17

about i'm not worried about lucid at all

4:20

i'm not worried about the autonomy of

4:22

factors i think they can partner with

4:23

somebody again

4:24

not that i want them to but they could

4:26

partner with um cruz

4:28

division of gm gm bought them they could

4:30

partner with nvidia

4:32

qualcomm endless real options here uh

4:35

mobileye with intel

4:36

plenty of options for them to get a

4:37

software suite into this car

4:40

for autonomy so i'm not so worried about

4:42

that more

4:43

i want to see this engine and this

4:45

wounder box

4:46

and all of these actual products working

4:49

not just in a showroom

4:51

we can put a car with a really cool

4:54

prototype motor and everything in a

4:56

showroom

4:56

i want to see this thing actually on the

4:58

road i want to see how fast this

5:00

actually is

5:00

i want to see how quickly that battery

5:02

actually drains that right there

5:04

is a massive massive catalyst for the

5:06

stock

5:07

when people start getting behind the

5:09

wheel of this car and we start getting

5:11

video footage of this car coming out on

5:13

the road it's real

5:14

reporters are test driving it people are

5:16

test driving it the legitimacy for this

5:18

company is going to go through the roof

5:19

and we can potentially see a short

5:21

squeeze

5:22

not massive because the short interest

5:23

is only around 14.7 percent

5:25

obviously rocket mortgage we've got

5:27

short interest around 45

5:29

which is insane that's why we're seeing

5:30

this crazy squeeze on this company that

5:32

have been kind of like

5:33

huh when is this going to actually print

5:35

some attendees for me because i've been

5:36

investing in the company for

5:37

over six months actually since august

5:39

ipod but anyway

5:41

that brings us to the third thing to

5:43

address here we go folks

5:45

a lot of folks have been asking me to

5:46

address this so i'm going to address it

5:49

i'm gonna put headphones on for this one

5:50

okay

5:51

by the way if anybody has a connection

5:53

and can get me an

5:54

interview with lucid that would be

5:57

really freaking awesome as well because

5:59

as an investor in the company

6:01

i have some questions

6:04

okay folks let's uh let's listen into

6:06

this just uh

6:07

45 seconds here there's a there's a

6:10

compelling argument for partnership this

6:12

is a pragmatist in me

6:13

let's lead let's create the very best ev

6:17

technology in the world and i believe

6:18

lucid's got that but i think i'm up for

6:21

a partnership in terms of software

6:23

we've got the best car we have the best

6:26

um hardware suite we've got all this

6:28

connected with an ethernet

6:30

gigabit ring super connected car two

6:33

terabytes of data

6:34

on-board storage super cloud

6:37

connectivity

6:38

this is the perfect platform for any um

6:42

silicon valley big company to prove out

6:46

its ad software i think

6:48

now was this all developed in-house or

6:50

did you partner with

6:52

so you you might not have caught that

6:54

there but he does this sort of uh

6:56

nudge-nudge wink wink watch watch his

6:58

face and i know it's a little small

7:01

sorry it's not bigger well company to

7:03

prove out it's a d

7:05

software i think now was this all

7:08

developing

7:09

uh now okay this is this sort of

7:12

nudge-nudge wink wink is leading a lot

7:13

of people to say

7:14

oh my gosh it's tesla it's apple for

7:18

sure

7:18

i don't know why i said tesla's not

7:19

tesla i think too much tesla i'm like

7:21

dreaming about tesla here this is a bad

7:23

thing

7:24

oh my gosh it's apple apple's finally

7:26

gonna partner with somebody on this

7:28

so this got me thinking a little bit

7:30

there have been so many rumors about

7:31

this potential apple car but apple

7:33

doesn't even have a picture of a

7:34

prototype they say it's secret but it's

7:36

not that easy to have a secret prototype

7:38

car

7:39

because if you actually want to get

7:40

miles driven you have to actually be on

7:42

the frickin road

7:45

i think it is entirely possible

7:49

that apple does not actually ever build

7:52

a car

7:54

yeah yeah i think it is entirely

7:56

possible that apple ends up expanding

7:58

on the apple car platform and see there

8:01

has been talk and rumors that

8:03

people at apple are being hired to help

8:05

design led

8:06

console like dashboard console lights

8:09

and things like that

8:10

and it got me thinking oh my gosh think

8:12

about

8:13

the the airpod the the little uh radio

8:16

device or music device is kind of like

8:18

alexa i don't want to say her name too

8:20

loud because then i get a ton of

8:21

comments that i woke all the viewers up

8:23

but anyway it has some nice lights when

8:26

it plays music you put your phone close

8:27

to it some nice lights come on

8:29

imagine this you get in the car who

8:31

knows maybe it's a toyota camry

8:33

maybe it's it's gm maybe it's lucid

8:35

maybe it's

8:36

all of these cars and they all run the

8:39

apple software it's possible after all

8:43

we know that sir johnny ives who is the

8:45

designer of the macbook the iphone the

8:47

ipad

8:48

sits on the board of cci

8:51

churchill investments and specifically

8:53

sits on the board of cciv

8:55

which is this one churchill capital four

8:58

which is merging with a lucid so it's

9:00

not

9:01

it is entirely possible that apple is

9:04

just going to focus on an autonomy

9:06

system and a software suite

9:08

rather than a car and yeah in such a

9:11

case

9:12

apple could license or partner with

9:14

vehicle developers

9:16

and basically get their car app store

9:18

into

9:19

every car that's out there why make a

9:21

car

9:22

you guys are gonna i don't think apple

9:24

and i was talking to uh russ gerber

9:25

about this yesterday

9:26

i don't think apple is ever actually

9:28

gonna make a car because if they start

9:29

making a car now it's not gonna be

9:31

around until 2027 2028

9:33

they're gonna be way behind why don't

9:34

you just hit up rivium

9:37

you know fisker lucid and give them the

9:41

software let them design the car let

9:43

them do what they're good at but wait a

9:45

minute sandy monroe

9:46

in my interview with sandy monroe

9:48

automotive expert here he

9:50

kind of hinted at partnering with apple

9:53

and potentially having a contract with

9:54

apple

9:55

which sort of implies that apple wants

9:57

manufacturing prowess

9:59

but what if apple is partnering with

10:01

sandy

10:02

to use sandy as a conduit for finding

10:05

the best companies to invest in

10:07

what if sandy is the guy going apple you

10:10

all need to talk

10:11

to faraday futures here's the connection

10:14

you need to hit up fisker here's the

10:15

connection hey let's get you in the

10:17

archimoto as well in the future who

10:18

knows the arcimoto i don't think has

10:20

much

10:20

of sort of the technology in it right

10:22

now but who knows maybe in the future

10:24

because arcimoto wants to be part of

10:26

this this robo taxi network

10:28

maybe they they signed up for the

10:29

episode this is pure speculation here

10:32

a lot of people think it is possible

10:34

that apple's just going to come out and

10:36

buy lucid

10:37

but i am skeptical about apple just

10:39

literally buying their own vehicle

10:41

why buy the vehicles why manufacture the

10:44

vehicles

10:44

why do all of that when you could just

10:47

provide the software

10:49

and make your 30 off the car app store

10:52

why not do that and guess where the

10:55

biggest hint is

10:56

that maybe they could do something like

10:58

that tesla

11:00

elon musk thinks that in the future he's

11:02

going to be open to just

11:04

licensing the automation for the

11:06

vehicles and the tesla software suite

11:08

to other manufacturers so why why bother

11:12

why make your own for lucid

11:14

when you could just hook up with a

11:15

license with let's say apple or tesla in

11:17

the future or whatever

11:18

you guys focus on cars we'll put the the

11:20

technology in

11:22

done now it'd be nice to have like an

11:24

apple iphone that was ground up apple

11:27

personally i think they're way behind

11:29

the eight ball on this way behind

11:31

these are my thoughts this overall the

11:34

apple partnership thing

11:35

doesn't make me too bullish on the

11:37

theory of uh you know occiv being a good

11:39

investment i'm not going to invest in

11:40

ccv

11:41

because i think there might be an apple

11:42

partnership but

11:44

i will invest in ccav for the potential

11:48

of them partnering with somebody else

11:49

for a software suite

11:50

and the short interest going up and the

11:53

belief that once people get behind the

11:54

wheels of this vehicle

11:57

i think we'll be thoroughly impressed at

11:59

least hopefully

12:00

anyway these are my thoughts thank you

12:01

so much for watching and folks we'll see

12:02

in the next

12:10

[Music]

12:13

you

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