WARNING: The Largest Wealth Transfer *JUST* Started - DO THIS.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
the greatest wealth transfer ever is
about to happen and you want to make
sure that you're part of it because in
this video I'm going to show you how to
be a part of the greatest wealth
transfer because the reality is
Millennials and gen z's are expected to
see their net Worth's Skyrocket much
like we've seen in the last 34 years for
other households and generations between
1989 and 2022 adjusted for inflation U.S
family wealth has tripled that means
adjusted for inflation people's
purchasing power and their wealth
increased 3 X in the last
33 years the problem is the majority of
that wealth once you guessed it to the
top 10 so once again the rich are
getting richer those in the bottom 50 of
America in other words households with
net worths of under 166 thousand dollars
and predominantly renters only saw their
wealth increase eight percent during
that time and so there are three massive
issues and a lot has to do with a
financial education but also a lot has
to do with what we're actually spending
our money on and what our priorities are
so let's talk about those after we first
talk about what the heck is going on
with markets and well positioning the
three problems number one bearish
positioning the more negative we feel
about the economy and the stock market
ironically the better stocks tend to
perform remember back in the days of
covid where we saw the meme images of
the child on the switch well the economy
was in tatters the stock market was
Rising
and that is actually a pretty dang
common occurrence the unfortunate thing
is it's the rich who end up enjoying the
swinging while everybody else is fearful
and leaves markets at times when they
tend to make the best returns if we look
back to post 2008 2009 we saw every
reason Under the Sun for a double dip
recession whether it was a double dip in
2009 a double dip during the 2011 debt
ceiling crisis which sounds eerily
similar to today which never ended up
happening just like the 2009 double dip
never ended up happening or it was the
2013 Eurozone sovereign debt crisis
disaster or was the reduction of
quantitative easing around the 2014-2015
era or the rate hikes of around 2018 or
the pause around the end of 18 and then
the cuts in 2019 there was always a
reason to be fearful another election
cycle another dose of bad news to keep
the Bears on their bearish High
well as a result today fund managers
have their lowest exposure to stocks
relative to bonds that they've had since
2009 retail investors individuals that
is have followed fund managers and in
total have yanked 330 3.9 billion
dollars out of stocks in just the last
12 months 41 of investors are bearish at
the moment below the 61 percent we saw
in September but above the usual
long-term average of 31 and usually when
we're at levels of bearishness above 31
stocks ironically tend to outperform so
that 31 level is actually pretty
critical when we're above 31 percent we
tend to get an out performance just like
we saw in our performance after that
negative 61 percent reading and then we
had this massive out performance in
January and February
usually we're at these bearishness
levels it makes sense to invest in
stocks it's a contrarian viewpoint but
part of the reason we don't like being
contrarian is because of the lack of
financial education in America American
Education should teach that long-term
positioning in stocks tends to reward
investors unfortunately we don't get
taught that in schools instead we get
taught to be good worker bees and follow
the rules and that ends up leading us to
follow Trends and overvalued plays and
ultimately being fearful when the exact
thing to do would be as Warren Buffett
says be greedy when people are fearful
now of course then people say but Kevin
inflation is so high and inflation
expectations are starting to unanchor
and this is going to be the end of the
world
yes well that does lead to the second
problem which is a focus on short-term
noise the average person finds it
difficult to distinguish between High
pricing and Rising pricing if you don't
understand the difference in that line
don't worry I'll explain that but it
highlights how important it is to
understand what's actually going on
versus what the mainstream media and the
television is telling us is going on
this is one of the most underrated
Concepts to understand but it could help
a lot yes if we look at the past three
years after the covet boom and during
the covet boom prices of a lot of things
have gone up a lot whether it's
McDonald's insurance or otherwise prices
in many areas have gone up 10 20 30 40
and these prices will probably never
come down again but the FED does not
care about high prices they care about
prices rising at unsustainable levels
and as soon as you study what the
Federal Reserve cares about and realize
they don't care about high prices and
they don't care about trying to make you
rich
then you can recognize that okay we need
to analyze what the FED does care about
which is rising prices or the rate at
which prices are going up
and if you do like we do in our daily
course member live streams when the
market is open and you read company
earnings calls you know that prices
aren't Rising anymore the way they had
in Prior years if anything they're
barely Rising maybe two to three percent
on average
but the average person focuses on the
past inflation not on forward inflation
and this is starting to have a pretty
strong impact on consumer sentiment
consumer sentiment is deteriorating
especially with what the mainstream
media peddles like Bloomberg Bloomberg
is supposed to be a well-positioned
source for trust in financial news yet
even they are blatantly lying suggesting
that Kimberly Clark raised prices nine
percent in the first quarter that sends
signals to Consumers that oh my gosh
prices are still going up nine percent
in the first quarter that's just bad for
past inflation and current inflation
but it's just not true see Kimberly
Clark raised prices in early 22 and it's
only a nine percent increase which is a
lot but it only reflects as a nine
percent increase when we look at a
year-over-year measure when we actually
look at quarter over quarter measures
we'll and forward inflation expectations
for Kimberly Clark we're much closer to
two to three percent
and that's not even a market average
Market average we could be below two
percent even for many consumer goods
unfortunately that doesn't make for good
and exciting mainstream Media clickbait
news so we know this about the consumer
but how about S P 500 earnings are those
going to hold up because ultimately if
we're investing in stocks we want to see
earnings hold up right well when we take
a look at S P 500 earnings and the
growth rate of that S P 500 companies
have been experiencing we can see that
in the first quarter of 2023 we're
sitting at about
1.83 percent growth which is above zero
but it's definitely less than where we
had been sitting closer to two to even
three percent post pandemic so is this
just a new normal well I think it's
useful to consider a new normal to look
at what normal used to be back in 2019
if we go back to 2019 you could see oh
wow S P 500 growth was below two percent
and then towards the last three quarters
of 2019 below one percent which means
we're actually growing S P 500 earnings
still today at twice the rate we were
back then which means we actually still
have room to normalize even further down
we could be half of where we are at s p
growth now and still be at the level
where we were in 2019. so this new
normalization could be leading to a big
missed Opportunity by a lot of folks
paying attention to the noise cycle But
ultimately when we combine this sort of
inflationary news with a debt ceiling
crisis War the banking crisis guess what
happens sentiment turns bearish
Friday's University of Michigan survey
indicators suggests that not only has a
negative news cycle in March and April
shrouded with uncertainty around the
banking crisis and elevated inflation
led to a deterioration inflation
expectations but also consumer sentiment
fell because quite literally quote a
proliferation of negative news about the
economy including the debt ceiling
crisis all contributing
but then again for the last two years
we've been taught that bad news is good
news because we've been wanting the
economy to slow down to slow Rising
prices
but the bond market is telling us we've
already done enough if anything maybe
we've gone too far look for example at
the five-year Break Even rate not only
are they at a one-year low which is a
market measure of inflation expectations
but they just dropped another five basis
points to just 2.12 suggesting inflation
is well on its way back to two percent
in fact Paul Tudor Jones suggests that
inflation has been declining for 12
months in a row something that has never
happened in history CPI it's been
declining 12 straight months that's
never happened before in history that
inflation is gone we're just dealing
with the residual left over inflation
readings
unfortunately those don't stop
short-term pessimism by consumers and
unfortunately that risks leaving them
misposition especially I hate to say it
but fact is consumers and Retail
investors are often wrong they chase the
latest Trend or news cycle or chase the
latest stocks that have done well
and they completely ignore fundamentals
in my opinion that would lead investors
to go into things like Consumer Staples
that have done very well and
outperformed over the last year or other
security style defensive style stocks
like healthcare utilities
but that could leave consumers
substantially misposition
but again maybe the bond Market's wrong
because if you look at history the
Federal Reserve has cut rates when the
unemployment was less than four percent
rarely in fact out of the last 124 rate
cuts from the Federal Reserve only six
have occurred with unemployment under
four percent two of those were during
covid three happened in 2019 when
inflation was around 1.7 percent so
below Trend and
the other one was well January 3rd 2001
which was right before the.com crash
which isn't a great comparison because
we don't want to feel like we're walking
into a.com crash because that's just
gonna make us very bearish and quite
frankly yeah that could be a reality it
is possible stocks go down more that all
of this Nike Swoosh recovery will all be
for nothing and stocks will go right
back to hitting brand new lows
it seems unlikely based on investor
positioning today with how bearishly
people and institutions are positioned
with how much money is sitting on the
sidelines in Money Market funds with
money market funds seeing skyrocketing
rate of deposits and institutions
pulling money out of stocks at the
highest levels since 2009 so yeah it
seems unlikely that the stock market is
going to continue to go down but then
again you get people like Raphael Bostic
over the FED saying well we don't expect
rates until 2024 which means we have to
unprice some of the rate cuts that are
priced in which could mean that stocks
could go down more right I mean after
all if inflation is even remotely sticky
which quite frankly if CPI goes up at
just 0.2 percent every month for the
rest of the year you're still at four
percent inflation given the inflation
we've already had this year which is
twice the fed's target all of this just
sort of contributes to pessimist
arguments that allocating to stocks
right now or just Assets in general is a
bad idea but you can't help but wonder
if it is possible that somebody like
Paul Tudor Jones Is Right that the FED
could declare victory that we've had 12
months of 12 months of declines in
inflation and stocks could end up 10
percent higher six months from now well
as optimistic as that sounds all the bad
news that we've been talking about is
driving people to cash and gold we've
seen money market adoption but we've
also seen gold Skyrocket to some of its
highest levels now above two thousand
dollars per ounce and some of the
highest levels we've seen over the last
year now part of this could be because
of the news stories creating fear the
banking crisis debt default potentials
or it's because when the dollar Falls
central banks diversify away from the
dollar which is exactly what central
banks have done they've added 228 metric
tons of gold to their balance sheet in
the first quarter alone and China has
contributed over four x that to gold in
2022 alone all of this is reiter rating
ah yeah the best trend right now is buy
gold and Parker cash and money market
funds but in my opinion all of this
isn't actually the real danger the real
danger isn't the debt ceiling which will
almost certainly be extended it'll
either get kicked down the road to the
July 4th session or the end of the
fiscal year around September 30th or
some sort of full passage on a deal the
real danger is also unlikely to be
inflation because the reality is it's
collapsing the real danger is unlikely
to be the collapse of the consumer
because yeah even though people have
changed up their Trends and we're
looking for that new normal and
corporate earnings American Savings
rates are not only increasing again but
their savings are higher than they were
at the end of last year suggesting that
savings again a rising excess cash that
people have is still well above by some
accounts over 60 percent higher than
where we were in 2019
the real mistake is probably in
what we do and how we personally
position ourselves see there are very
important things in my opinion not to do
and very important things to do and
we're going to spend more time on the
things to do to make sure that you can
be part of the greatest wealth transfer
in history that is probably getting
started now in my opinion the worst
things to do right now are things like
buy a new car lease a new car buy
furniture appliances remodel a home or
extend yourself on home equity lines of
credit personal loans or credit card
debt one of the worst things I see
people do who own homes is they'll take
a home equity line of credit pay off
credit card debt they'll pay off
personal loans and then they just go
back out and spend again it's all a big
mistake it's often for nothing and it
leaves most people poorly positioned
because they sync themselves in debt and
then they don't focus on what they
should be focusing on to make sure they
can take advantage of this massive
wealth transfer it's probably just now
getting started we're the roots of this
massive wealth transfer so what should
you focus on well in my opinion it's
obvious well maybe it's not obvious
that's why I'm making a video about it
number one your income maximize your Top
Line what can you do to make more money
that literally means not focusing on
passive income but actually focusing on
active income I'm not going to sit here
and tell you that oh here are the five
dividend stocks so you could do nothing
and you know deck around all day long
I'm actually going to say now is the
time to work harder and focus on
increasing your active income somebody
asked me the other day hey what do you
think I should do myself and my spouse
have a combined income of 100k
what you should do is figure out how
your average income is 50k and how
you're going to get that up maybe that
means enhancing your skill set by
learning a white collar professionally
becoming a CPA becoming a lender
becoming a realtor or it means taking
what you're doing now and making sure
you're enhancing the value you provide
to your business or to your own business
that is whether you're an employee or
you're self-employed you're being as
productive as possible making sure
you're building out your teams with AI
productivity or you're doing whatever
you can to make sure you can provide the
best value possible by making sure
you're not distracted in the workplace
you're productive and you're not the
person who's going to get laid off
instead you're the person who's going to
get a raise because nobody works harder
than you this is the time to focus on
your income but after you focus on your
income don't let yourself be sunk to the
ways of having a high debt to income
ratio which means you can't qualify for
Real Estate instead you should be
focusing on getting into real estate I'm
a big fan of focusing on buying real
estate in the third and fourth quarter
of this year we don't know exactly
what's going to happen in the real
estate market but generally time in the
real estate market beats timing the
market and on top of that positioning in
stocks now when positioning is so
bearish broadly
could be one of the best opportunities
of the next decade that is increasing
your income now so you can buy more real
estate at the end of the year and buy
more stocks now could be a great way to
be part of the next massive wealth
transfer as well as potentially starting
your own business or a side hustle
through maybe one of those professional
designations I talked about or finding a
way to capitalize on this AI explosion
of new businesses that are coming
every business will be more productive
because of artificial intelligence and
if you can help those people become more
productive you could find yourself a
side Hustler business that can make you
a lot of money and your goal is to make
sure that no matter what it is you're
doing you're maximizing the tools you
have available to make sure that you're
not being left behind just like
on the wealth transfer path you don't
want to be left behind on AI you don't
want to be left behind on the massive
wealth transfer so positioning yourself
bearishly now focusing on a five percent
money market fund and cash which is
going to get eroded through inflation
rather than focusing on building your
asset exposure to the quantity owned of
real estate or stocks or businesses in
my opinion is a big mistake it's the
same mistake spending money on a credit
card and not focusing on increasing your
income
always remember the average person finds
it difficult to distinguish from
long-term fundamentals and the
short-term noise and when you have
neighbors walking around the
neighborhood coming up to you saying hey
I'm worried man we got an election cycle
we got a debts
Putin
all are falling and gold rising in Money
Market funds up what about silver Kevin
there's probably a good time to
seriously consider taking your higher
income as you're working on increasing
your income maybe even taking on a
second job
in actually investing to be best
positioned for the greatest wealth
transfer coming
through assets
because the time will come in the future
the Federal Reserve whether it's in 23
or 24 or 25 when the Federal Reserve
starts cutting rates again
and asset values explode guess who's
going to win the most
people who went out of the way to
acquire more assets will win the most
owners of businesses through stocks or
their own ownership and real estate will
probably be the best position to reap
the most of this massive wealth transfer
now I want you to know this when it
comes to AI time is what's going to make
you money and if you can prove that
value to an employer you'll always be
able to be employed so this is another
way of making sure that you don't get
replaced
foreign
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