Tesla to "Cancel Cybertruck" | DEMANDS ANALYST
FULL TRANSCRIPT
meet Kevin Black Friday sale is now live
go to meetkevin.com you have got to be
freaking kidding me Jeff is suggesting
Tesla stock would go up if they just
cancelled the Cyber truck what kind of
shortsighted moronic dumbass idiot do
you have to be to suggest that Jeff you
do not realize that the Cyber truck is
literally the Catalyst the ultimate
epitome of the test of Tesla's ability
to innovate of course we have Down the
Road full self-driving Robo taxi
driverless Vehicles Optimus all of that
dies without the Cyber truck cancelling
the Cyber truck would literally be the
end of Tesla's Innovation cycle it is
the most moronic suggestion I have ever
seen and folks here it is I kid you not
it is right here jeffy's analy Filipe
hoo hoo this boy cut the price target
for Tesla to 210 per share these
analysts they literally just follow what
the stock does it is so I read this crap
on a daily basis and it's rare that I
have forward-thinking price targets so I
usually ignore the price targets but I
do like the perspective that I hear
except when it's stupid now call it out
the price Target reflects reduced
earnings and free cash flow estimates
the analyst argues that Tesla looks
stuck in the slow lane for another 12 to
18 months unable to capitalize on peer
delays while European Legacy oems
launched 25k EVs and Chinese car makers
set a new pace of shorter product
Cycles you're an analyst you have
absolutely got to be fracking kidding me
first of all let's break this down one
by one in Reverse China is not only
going to glow grow below Trend but the
darn country is essentially trending
towards recession you have and that's
way worse than what we have in America
because they were supposed to be growing
at 5 to 8% per year the last 20 years
they were growing at 8% a year now we're
talking about growing maybe 4% or closer
to zero it is a massive massive shift
for China China's government has told
their citizens to take on as much debt
as possible only to slap them across the
face and say don't have debt they have
Shell Shocked their customers their
consumers not really customers of the
government maybe they are in China I
don't know but anyway China's economy is
not the one to be bragging about
especially when these shorter product
cycles for Chinese EVS you're talking
about you're mostly referring to byd and
you're talking about hybrid vehicles
let's be blunt here the competition that
people keep referring to when it comes
to Chinese cars are battery hybrids gas
battery together very little margin in
that by byd does good they have figured
out how to do margin in hybrid but let's
see them actually pull sustainable
margin on just bevs battery electric
vehicles get the margin out and Tesla
kicks their butt in every metric hands
down and they're not even focused on FSD
or autonomy why because all they care
about is selling
hybrids okay good for you guys I know
there's a priority in uh getting battery
electric vehicles out as well at byd I
don't want to bag on byd I do like byd
they are a competitor but let's be clear
the Chinese economy is not the one we
need to worry about we should be
thankful for the Chinese economy
basically experiencing deflation I
shouldn't even say basically their
producer prices are negative Germany's
producer prices are negative too they
just came in year-over-year down 11%
last month they were down 14% guess
where we have factories oh wow China and
Germany guess where it's now cheaper to
manufacture Teslas wow Germany and China
this is absolutely fantastic for Tesla
European Legacy oems planning to launch
a 25k Euro are you a how many
times have we heard Legacy auto say
we're going to have a 600 mile battery
doesn't happen oh we're going to have a
highquality evv at scale and
profitability really where show me one
they can't even make a profitable 50 60
70 $80,000 electric vehicle not even
rivan can make a profitable $80,000
electric vehicle and I would rather
invest in rivan than the Legacy Autos
which are probably all going to go
bankrupt rivan dodged a bullet I'm going
to give it to them they're actually
they're on the up and up they're doing
better but anyway now since we're
working backwards Tesla being in the
slower Lane in the next 12 to 18 months
have you not remotely considered the
fact that we have this little Catalyst
called lower interest rates and interest
rates are what Drive Tesla's
profitability and we're at the height of
interest rates now we're probably at
Peak interest rates which means you're
making the bare argument saying Tesla's
in the slow lane going forward for 18
months when the reality is probably was
the last 18 months as you're ramping
Giga Berlin and Giga Texas so as we
actually ramp in a lower interest rate
environment you're saying that's the
slow lane the slow Lane's here now oh my
God we appreciate future value from FSD
your Optimus but not as near-term
substitute for performance that's fine I
actually agree with that in my estimates
for Tesla I purposely ignore Optimus or
F Well I do include some FSD like a 10%
take rate uh but I ignore Optimus and
and you know anything above 10% for
energy mostly just as a margin of safety
okay I I I these things are wonderful
they're great uh but anyway as Bev
penetration continues to grow globally
one of Tesla's long-term edges is to
remain one of a handful of global
lowcost producers along byd stantis and
Toyota okay the analyst believes at
Tesla cancelling the cybertruck would
probably be positive for shares again
totally moronic what are you some
short-term like Trader or whatever and
even at that you would be wrong Tesla
would plummet if they canceled the
cybertruck they would literally plummet
it would probably go down 50% because it
would say Tesla failed it would be the
worst thing you could do for Tesla with
2024 already a lost year for growth it
would help Tesla refocus on an edge that
was built on Simplicity scale and speed
so what you're saying is let's sacrifice
the longterm potential that Tesla has
for some short-term gains this is stupid
thank you for a lower price I can
increase my exposure to Tesla either
through my ETF or myself
whatever that is not Insider information
or plan there no plans there's no plan
there's nothing okay we got to be
careful with the disclaimers anyway with
2024 already a lost year for growth it
would help Tesla refocus on an edge who
said who cares like wait like who cares
we've already priced in 2024 man get
over it bro if we type in Tesla right
now and we go to the financial analysis
for Tesla right now what we're looking
at four forecasts on EPS is 310 for this
year that is negative about
15% that's this year bro guess what next
year is pricing in per Wall Street 26.8%
growth not exactly sure where you're
coming up with a lost year for growth
it's literally a return to growth wall
Street's then projecting 37% 33%
thereafter 37% in 25 33% in 26 I see 35%
on average going forward for the rest of
the decade instead of spending a
significant amount of resources on the
cybertruck ramp the management should
focus on high volume Global segments and
supply of the 4680 for the model one bro
nobody buys a car because it has the
4680 don't get me wrong in the long term
the 4680 will create substantial
increases in performance
speed uh uh Energy Efficiency cost
efficiency but the reality is right now
people are buying cars and they don't
ask about what battery is in it unless
you're in the tech World nobody cares
nobody cares what's the range what's the
price that's what I'm going to buy so
let it be the lithium iron phosphate
batteries that they're using the cheaper
ones from China they've gotten very good
they're very very good anyway this is
frustrating this person is a I
can't believe we're even making a video
on this can not advertise these things
that you told us here I feel like nobody
else knows about this we'll we'll try a
little advertising and see how it goes
congratulations man you have done so
much people love you people look up to
you Kevin P financial analyst and
YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get
your
take even though I'm a licensed
financial adviser real estate broker and
becoming a stock broker this video is
neither personalized Financial advice
nor real estate advice for you it is not
tax legal or otherwise personalized
advice tailored to you this video
provides generalized perspective
information and commentary any third
party content I show should not be
deemed endorsed by me this video is is
not and shall never be deemed reasonably
sufficient information for the purpose
of evaluating a security or investment
decision any links or promoted products
are either paid affiliations or products
or Services which we may benefit from I
personally operate and actively manage
ETF and hold long positions in various
Securities potentially including those
mentioned in this video however I have
no relationship to any issuers other
than house act nor am I presently acting
as a market
maker
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