The Coming Great Depression & Dollar Collapse | Tucker Carlson | BRICS
FULL TRANSCRIPT
you're leading this country to its
destruction we've already lost control
of the world the American Empire's in
free fall right now and we're going to
lose the US dollar and when that happens
we're going to have real poverty here
like Great Depression level poverty
yikes that doesn't sound good is it true
are we moving closer to D dollarization
well rather than just listening to my
opinion what I'd like to do is pull up
the opinion of T.S Lombard this is an
Institutional research firm and usually
they are the bears in case you're not
super familiar with that and you're
mostly focused on the dedolarization
when I talk about the stock market and I
need something negative I go see what TS
Lombard to say because they usually have
the negative POV and Tucker Carlson is
suggesting that we could be close to
losing the dollars Reserve currency
status in the world as countries like
India China Russia Korea Iran
potentially becomes stronger in
coordination even with Brazil in having
a currency that together could be
stronger than that of the dollar leading
to a Great Depression in America so of
course I wanted to see what the
institutional Bears have to say about D
dollarization and fortunately I have a
piece that is pretty fresh it is from
August 30th now that's yesterday today
is August 31st it's my seven-year-old's
eighth birthday so he's not seven
anymore it's also coupon expiration day
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meet kevin.com so what do we got here
T.S Lombard says we have the slow moving
D dollarization and they suggest here
that the Dollar's Reserve status is a
privilege that gives the US significant
political and economic Market influence
in other words it's very important and a
shift away from the status could imply a
weaker dollar and therefore higher
interest rates in America which makes
the cost of everything from cars and
houses and credit cards and student
loans more expensive for those
interested in the nerdy reason why I
wrote this little translation basically
the less people buy U.S treasury bonds
across the world which puts less Demand
on the dollar and if there's less demand
for the dollar there's usually less
Demand on the bonds those kind of work
together then you end up with lower
prices for those bonds which equals
higher rates okay so less dollar demand
higher interest rates yes this is true
for this reason D dollarization is an
important long-term Trend but it also
generates a lot of hyperbolic headlines
in the short term the latest wave of
whispers about the demise of the dollar
came during the 15th Summit of bricks in
South Africa Brazil Russia India China
right anyway okay
well the summit failed to make much
progress it highlighted a longer term
trend of whittling away at the Dollar's
dominance and the forces that drive the
shift
see that's especially because Emerging
Markets realize that when the US dollar
appreciates or goes up in value and
strengthens by 10 percent
Emerging Markets smaller economies
suffer by 1.9 that might not sound like
a lot but when you look at most of your
GDP being export driven that is your
economy is based on exports and your
export output drops by 1.9 percent you
could be in a situation where let's say
your GDP is I don't know one percent
because you're close to a recession and
exports make up 50 of your economy and
all of a sudden the exports tank
it is possible you could end up in a
recession because of the dollar
appreciation especially as the dollar
hasn't just moved 10 but it's moved
significantly you look for example at
the Euro and it used to be around a buck
40 to get one Euro that's gone down by
somewhere around 50 percent at Lowe's
40-ish percent now so in other words the
Euro has lost a lot of power so if other
currencies around the world that's
because the dollar has become so strong
in these uncertain times and the point
of this is not to create exact math it's
just simply to say the trend of the
dollar putting pressure on these growing
economies is here and it's strengthening
and that encourages those economies to
get away from the dollar but it's not
just that it's also that when we have
the strong dollar we can wield it as a
weapon consider when Russia invaded
Ukraine the U.S confiscated Russian
assets via the U.S backed Swift banking
system which is like the interbank
messaging system
weaponizing the international monetary
system these are two perfect reasons why
the U.S dollar is not that desirable to
other countries especially you look at a
country like China China is responsible
for one third of global GDP and a
strengthening dollar makes it harder for
China to succeed so all of the countries
that were basically fighting with a
strong dollar are pissed and they're
like bro we don't want this much of a
strong dollar and that's why we've seen
the reserves of dollar Holdings slowly
decline you can see this red line is
roughly a decline line and you can see
we go from about 80 percent to about 60
percent of dollar Reserve Holdings but
that's over 50 years it's been a really
slow slog of getting rid of the dollar
and part of that is this chart here
there's no feasible alternative what
dollar or currency like what other piece
of paper backed by nothing other than
trust in our government which boy that's
a mouthful what other piece of paper is
better
would you rather trust our broken
American government
or the very broken Chinese government or
how about the European Union okay that
is the problem with dedolarization yes
the trend towards dedolarization is here
and yes it will probably be very bad
when the dollar has lost its Reserve
currency status unless something else
has occurred uh and maybe the US has
created some new stable coin currency
that everybody wants to use so they can
track every bit of your expenses with
and the IRS doesn't even ask you to file
a tax return because they already know
it all
uh well until then obviously the dollar
seems to have some strength now if the
dollar disappeared tomorrow that would
be a big problem Tucker Carlson would be
right we'd probably fall into depression
overnight but at least right now it
appears there's no feasible alternative
in fact consider the argument here China
has an unpredictable government and
they've managed their currency in such a
way to try to Peg it to the dollar and
manipulate it but they've even failed at
doing that Japan has failed to
manipulate its currency even though
they're trying and you've got other real
hurdles economic growth at members of
brics is actually plummeting now part of
that is actually because of the strong
dollar but beyond that we have a global
inflationary induce likely recession
either here now or coming very soon it
is possible that the U.S could be the
best of the worst in other words you
think things are here are bad here and
inflation is bad here and grocery store
prices are bad here imagine what it
feels like in India or Russia or Brazil
and that in one argument is why the
dollar might actually still be able to
cling to its strength for a while not
because the policies in America aren't
broken but because at least they're
better
than the policies of everyone else and
there is no Central Bank to rig
everything in these other currencies
whereas we have the fed that's why when
you look at this chart see how the
reserves of US Dollars have gone down
13.3 in this chart look where the money
is gone it's gone equally to the Aussie
dollar the British pound the Canadian
dollar the Chinese Yuan the European
Euro
nobody knows where to put it because
there is no clear winner and Saudi
Arabia the UAE United Arab Emirates big
oil producers guess what they use
in fact they Peg their currency to the
dollar
the Petro dollar is just one part of the
dollar that's basically trading oil and
dollar people like oh we're gonna stop
using the petrodollar whatever maybe in
20 30 years when that's true oil won't
even be needed anymore hopefully I mean
for the time being obviously we need oil
to actually sustain a a green energy
transition we need oil we need cleaner
oil and cleaner natural gas but then of
course you get States like California
that are like if we can't have 100 green
natural gas we just won't do anything
and then you get I ran for governor on
this okay so I can I can go on about
this but basically California's got like
1970s natural gas production facilities
and those natural gas companies are like
hey California we can make our stuff
more efficient emit less carbon monoxide
and carbon dioxide and actually be
cleaner for the environment if you let
us make some improvements to our crop
and California is like nah man your
improvements aren't 100 green so screw
you stick with the 1970s stuff that just
makes everything worse it doesn't make
sense the regulations on our truckers in
California are such that it's almost
impossible to run a trucking business in
California it's ridiculous and so what
does that do
makes everything worse so the policies
are like they try to come from good
spirits but the implications that our
government's stupid actions have or that
everything is broken it's pretty bad now
I'm not here to say that yes okay it's
the end of the world but let's just say
they're a real real problems
fortunately though at least according to
T.S Lombard which is a bear in the world
we might be okay for a little bit longer
because we are still the best of the
worst however I agree with Tucker
Carlson in that if there's anything
Tucker says or tells us it's that we
should not become complacent that
complacency could literally be the end
of America and I think that is the
warning Tucker is sending us and I don't
disagree with that once we become
complacent we lose the same is true in
our personal lives which is exactly why
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congratulations man you have done so
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